skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
The sickest dudes pull the gnarliest waves. Or the FBI’s most wanted list, I guess.

Either way, go big or go home?
I wonder if the intent or hidden upside behind a policy like this would be incentivizing people to stop taking 'under the counter' cash tips and move them to be registered income / by credit card.

To be clear, it seems like most tips have moved to CC already (at least in the areas I find myself in), but if there were any regions where cash tips are still used to hide from taxation, this could be a nudge to do less of that?

I'm definitely dubious of the impact of anything like that, just a thought that came to mind when I saw this.
This is a proof that both politicians and economists are clueless perhaps on purpose. How about getting rid of this tipping thing as a whole? It has essentially became a way to scam customers.
As a non-american I'm aware of the difference in tipping culture between here and there.

While there are pros and cons for tipping, as a consumer I vastly prefer our system here (basically tipping is only expected in restaurants and 10% is considered plenty.)

Other people are tipped occasionally, but its rare and mostly unexpected. People are paid on the basis that they aren't tipped.

In the US it seems the opposite. As an employer I can reduce wages claiming "you'll make it up in tips". Patrons, aware of this, make random (20%+) donations to assist. Now the employer can use the "tips are better, no tax" argument.

I get that everyone wants to pay less tax. I'm not sure that tax policy which encourages "taxing" customers on an individual basis to the detriment of workers getting a standard, living, wage is necessarily in anyone's best long-term interest.

This approach will have long-term unexpected consequences. And I suspect that will be good for employers, bad for servers and patrons.
They should have used Kardinal: https://github.com/kurtosis-tech/kardinal
> cord connecting Europe to Australia

Also Puerto Rico to just off Australia.

Melbourne, the neutrino city!
An irritatingly overlooked issue is the tension between procedure and results. Obviously, a well-refined procedure learns from past issues and evolves, growing ever more adaptable and useful, the way that aircraft rules are "writ in blood." Still, every one of the adaptations was prompted by an event that was Not in the Script.

I think, for my next job, one of those questions I will ask when the time comes to ask if I have anything I am curious about in the interview is the choice, when a choice must be made, between procedure and results ... which am I expected to prioritize?

Probably won't win me any callbacks.
At least for the very first part of your question, Nate himself has answered that question in the past:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/checking-our-work/

(Note, he no longer is affiliated with fivethirtyeight, but at the time this article was published he was, and he retains the rights to the politics models that are being tested, and potentially some of the sports models as well, although I'm less sure of that)
Curated Repository of Red Teaming TTPs from My Career
If you have a compelling reason to believe that "income should all be taxed the same", I'd like to hear it. An easily solvable loophole is not compelling.
What people don’t realise is that the true competition he was trying to enter, was to get on HN by following the correct formula of including the keywords AI, maths, an amount of money, and a novel item (WD-40).
Want to Win a Bike Race? Hack Your Rival's Wireless Shifters
I feel like with typescript and pydantic taking center stage it seems that the dynamic vs static typing debate finally comes to a close.

More and more Java seems to be not that bad after all.
> Like standing it's original idea

Patreon's original idea included the features you're calling antifeatures.

You are imagining a fictional version of a platform that has never existed and getting mad that the real platform has lost its way from the fictional platform that only lived in your head.

The original idea that you're upset about Patreon abandoning existed only in your head. It has always been a platform for both pure donations and for transactional subscriptions. It was never the idea to serve one of those communities exclusively. That is a thing you have imagined.

> No one is telling anyone what to do.

> if you want to sell stuff you better look at Etsy or whatever fits your niche

Sure.

> But there are good reasons Patreon may choose to not offer you that feature.

Patreon offers the feature. This is a conversation about whether Apple might remove a feature that Patreon chooses to offer.

I don't know how to make that clearer? Again, the platform you are imagining does not exist; there is no version of Patreon that was positioned against creator services or the ability to pause transactions or per-creation payments. Yes, Patreon could choose not to offer these services.

But they did choose to offer them.

And only one person here showed up and got really mad about the fact that Patreon used the word "patron" in relation to a service they have as far as I can tell, always offered.

> Like not turning creativity into a service business.

> Some hustlers or professional artists may want it, but most don't want it (even if they don't realize it because they didn't think about the implications)

I don't know if you get to tell people to chill at the same time you're calling anyone who uses Patreon in a way you don't like a hustler, accusing them of ruining creativity, and questioning their ability to know what they do and don't want?

And again, only one person here is mad that Patreon is... doing what they have always done, under the direction of a community that wants them to do it, despite what people who are not part of that community want. Only one person showed up in an unrelated comment thread and said, "stop calling it patronage if a creator chooses not to take someone's money for a month."

I mean, yes, it is irritating and frustrating to hear someone who's not using Patreon as a creator badmouth a significant portion of the community that is doing stuff that people love, and to belittle them and tell them that they don't know what they want or they're hustlers and shouldn't be on the platform. If it means something to you that it's irritating to hear that, congrats! That is irritating and annoying to hear. I'm not sure what that proves, but yes, good job. Belittling creators will make people mad at you, you have cracked the code.
They don't get smudged when giving oral?
Well, let me put it this way: that apparently little fresh water sphere? If the ISS passed over that spot, it would hit that.

This is the point: everything on the surface of the Earth is essentially two dimensional at this scale. Seeing a sphere with a 400 km radius placed on the Earth doesn’t give any better intuitions for the scale of water resources than simply reading the number “35 quintillion liters”. If you think it’s given you a better intuition, you’ve been misled.
> To jam, presumably you need to know precisely where the receivers are

You need to know where you don't want functioning receivers.
Victorian Artistic Printing (2009)
Because that's what companies incentivize for, sadly.

The handbook or SOP somewhere probably does call for a risk assessment.

So they have two choices. Choice A is to do what's obvious, cut power and get to work. That has two branches. One branch is saving the day and potentially millions of dollars. For what? A side mention at the next all hands, maybe. Branch 2 is something goes wrong, and the company says you didn't follow the handbook, and you're fired or worse, found liable.

Choice B is following the handbook, knowing everything will be ruined. But, you keep your job, and maybe the handbook gets updated.

Both choices provide no reward. Only one provides no risk.
> Declare an incident first, investigate later.

If that would be the best way to deal with it- why is literally no one doing it this way and what does that tell you?
Is 1% too greedy?

Before you say, “Stripe:” listen, they’re too greedy too!
youtube premium is worth if you use it as much as i do. well at the very least im willing to pay for it since i use it everyday.
The deficit is about 1.5T annually. You'd have to find a missing $3B 500 times per year to make that up.
I once built an advertising efficacy detector. It was a voltmeter connected to a solar cell. The more light there was in a shop window, the stronger its advertising effect.

Does this detector work equally well?
Just give $2 per $10, very simple math. But do look out for gratuity already included on the bill.
_Earned_ income should correspond to productivity.

But unearned income enjoys a dramatically lower tax rate (the capital gains rate is lower than income rate, and capital gains are not subject to FICA/self-employment taxes)
Just wait until they hear that it’s perfectly fine to show someone being graphically killed or blown up on prime time TV, but a national scandal if a boob gets flashed.

It’s just a particular flavor of first world problems combined with group policing using rage and shaming.

I know my libertarian tendency hackles get triggered when I see it, but frankly I’ve given up giving a shit. Mostly.
> I don't understand your last sentence, why as little as possible?

It should come with a corresponding reduction in government waste. The existing government budget contains a level of inefficiency which is difficult to comprehend. The scale of it is so large it's hard to wrap your head around it.

> I would even say the more taxes you pay, the more invested in politics and civic responsibilities you would become.

This doesn't seem to be the case. In fact, it tends to go the other way. The people who have lives and just want to go about their business (i.e. the middle class) are taxed heavily specifically because they don't have time to get involved in politics and then are poorly represented when politicians are slicing up the pie. The super-rich, meanwhile, are highly involved and then avoid paying.

> The general ailments and downtrends in American society started right around the time when taxation (especially the corporate kind) started getting cut and we moved away from the gold standard for our money.

US government revenue has been stable as a percent of GDP since the end of WWII and growing over time in real dollars per capita. Taxation per capita, even adjusted for inflation, is now higher than it was during WWII. That level of taxation is... high.

As to your point, multinational corporations avoid paying those taxes: Since real government revenue has been going up rather than down, guess who pays?

> For once I'd like to see a politician promise to raise taxes and use that revenue to fix things and actually win.

Doing this is not really possible. Between state and federal income, payroll, sales, property and other taxes, the average person in many states is already paying more than 50% of their compensation in tax.

Even if all you care about is tax revenue, there comes a point at which increasing taxes lowers government revenue. If you raise total taxes from 5% to 10% and that causes the economy to contract by 10%, that's maybe not great for wage earners, but government revenue has increased by 80%. If you raise total taxes from 55% to 60% and it causes the economy to contract by 10%, even government revenue goes down because 55% of 100 is more than 60% of 90.

The problem isn't that the government doesn't have enough revenue, it's that most of that money might as well be set on fire because it spends it so inefficiently. And whether you think it should instead be returned to the taxpayer or spent in some other way, the status quo is absurd and unsustainable.
Similary does not necessarily mean a flat rate. Or indeed any rate (the minimum rate on a sliding scale can be 0).

Imagine a world where a hairdresser (for example) tells you the price of the service. You pay that number. The worker is paid a fixed wage. (Ideally a wage high enough that you can live on 1 job.) That person starts paying tax on income once they reach a certain level etc.

It may surprise you that most of the world uses this system. What happens in Mississippi et al is already the "weird exception".
FYI Meshtastic doesn't exist to make money, the software is open source[0] and the corporation sells nothing, it's a truly "for the community/public" project.

[0] https://github.com/orgs/meshtastic/repositories
Where's CEEFAX?
> How about getting rid of this tipping thing as a whole?

Do you propose we make it illegal to tip?
The beauty of being that kind of ‘stupid’ is you’re impervious to certain kinds of shaming. Enjoy it. Revel in it, if you can.
How?

Everyone's like "a government went on and extermination campaign" and for some reason what would've stopped them is the difficulty in identifying who to exterminate?

As though genocides much care about accuracy.

The big secret of Nazi Germany that isn't a secret at all I is that they put a lot more then just Jews in those camps.
I'm very happy this is now available. With a model as smart as Claude 3.5, this opens up the possibility of writing prompts the size of relatively complex programs, prompts with many examples and targeting multiple outputs, and running them repeatedly on different datasets (big code, small data), at a reasonable cost. For example, a classifier with a hundred class labels described by prompts? A questionnaire that turns a piece of unstructured data into a long list of features? A complex custom assistant, with a long prompt listing individual user's available tools and preferences?

(my previous rants on why we need this: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=40034972#40036309 )

Now we just need to merge Anthropic's cache pricing with Google's context length (their cache pricing isn't as good) and OpenAI's strict structured output mode...
There are several chromium forks that also declared they'll keep manifest V2. I.e Vivaldi, Microsoft Edge
Not if there are fish in it. Otherwise maybe.
Very good; keep at it. Mathematics is the language of Science/Nature and hence studying and applying it (at whatever level) is enlightening. There have been lots of threads on HN on good Mathematics books and how to study which you may find useful.
Having income taxed different encourages evasion/fraud, distorts economic activity, and raises compliance costs
https://www.classics.cam.ac.uk/research/projects/mycep/decip...

Fascinating, sad story of Linear B. Ventris died early. The book from 1958 is well worth reading

https://ia600401.us.archive.org/34/items/ChadwickJohnTheDeci...
I too am only on HN for WD-40 content!
I can't comment on all of Chrome's behavior here, but Firefox ignores autocomplete="off" too, and this is noted on MDN [0]. This is because a lot of poorly-managed sites think they're being security-conscious by disabling password managers, so browsers had to step in and ignore the attribute.

[0] https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTML/Attributes...
Channels really should go from 2-13 instead, but this is awesome.
> adds another step to development

I never understood this. It takes maybe 10 minutes to set up TypeScript in a project if you’ve done it before.

Compared to all the other times involved (time to learn typescript, time saved debugging and writing tests for type errors) the setup time is a total non-issue.
The capital gains rate is lower because the way capital gains are calculated causes nominal price increases due to inflation to be counted as an increase in the value of the asset. This is a pretty dumb way to do this -- just calculate the capital gain in inflation-adjusted dollars instead -- but the current system isn't inherently to the advantage of capital gains. For long-held low-risk assets it typically goes the other way because so much of the "gain" is only on paper but gets taxed anyway. And short-term capital gains are taxed at a higher rate.
Great article.
I had an argument with a coworker how a normal breaker works and that it won’t just fail when exceeding the rated amp-age. That it can happily continue for minutes. And of course the biggest misunderstanding: Breakers protect the cables in the wall not humans. That they can do that as well is just a nice side effect.

Never the less, I would still argue to kill the power before stepping into water with an active mains line running through it.

Just a question. How about doing this experiment in 240 land? I would assume the result would be different?

Edit: replaced rated power with amp-age
This is lovely!

Two features that would be useful for me:

1. Being able to see multiple chords in a time sequence that use a given note, say E4. My teacher told me that I should practice singing a given note while playing multiple chords having that note. This would help with singing, ear training to recognize chords by the ear, as well as learning chord progressions for a given song. Initially I would like this to be any chords through a given note, whether on the scale or not, and later also limiting to those falling on a given scale.

2. It may be helpful to be able to rotate and flip the fretboard diagram. This is just to match the orientation I see elsewhere like in a book.
I too think it was that combined w the fact of hurting insects with it perhaps.
I now realize that I think of a 'wiki' as being *collaborative* specifically in ways where contributions are solicited rather than say, a knowledge base or some other linked-or-related-note system as described here. I do not think of my Obsidian or Notion instances as "wikis" though I do have public sets of notes in some instances. I can "add someone" to it to collaborate but there is no way for a general reader to submit proposals to add or change information. Is there another term that specifically makes that distinction?
Can’t really refute a hypothetical. Is there a polymarket bet for that? I will categorically take the under on your position for any company doing CLA with AGPL. The intent is so glaringly obvious.
> $3B 500 times per year to make that up.

You don't think that is possible? Why?

https://www.gao.gov/products/gao-24-105833#:~:text=What%20GA....

> GAO estimated total direct annual financial losses to the government from fraud to be between $233 billion and $521 billion, based on data from fiscal years 2018 through 2022. The range reflects the different risk environments during this period

That is just fraud. Wastage will be probably be higher lol.

It is morally wrong to pour more water into a container with holes in the middle of water shortage.
Taxes should be as high as necessary but as low as possible.

Debt should be reduced by reducing government spending, not by higher taxes.

I don‘t know where you get the idea that paying taxes somehow makes you more invested in politics. Switzerland has very low taxes and yet the whole political system is based on civic involvement with all but the top political offices being done by people as a sidegig rather than a career. Meanwhile Germany is a high tax country where most people are just fed up with politics and government because politicians are so far removed from civic society.
The Key to Bizarro's Symbols
This is weird. I've been using Github all night (in France) and didn't notice anything was wrong. Was the outage in North America?
Sorry, I value my legal rights over the viability of the data broker industry. If they can’t figure out a way for lawfully not collecting my data, they should not collect data period.
The last time this happened:

<https://toot.cat/@dredmorbius/111105389290062668>
The argument worked against student loan forgiveness.
Show HN: Early Look – Figma to Make It Work / Make It Real Using AI Automarkup
This is a game changer for making Figma files real
> All we have is our current understanding of things, and the paradox is simply going

Actually based on what I’ve learned about it, the paradox is actually doing both things: it’s assuming over enough time scale our technology evolves rapidly enough to unlock new physics to traverse the universe we don’t have today while simultaneously being able to detect it using insanely primitive technology by comparison. It would be like asking someone to detect an atomic explosion in our solar system in 1930 - an explosion we’d likely not even notice today I suspect. There’s simply not enough understanding, we’re monitoring too little of the universe, and the equipment to do the monitoring is too primitive if technology really continues to advance at the pace posed by the Fermi paradox.

Basically the Fermi paradox says “after the invention of modern science and Industrial Revolution, within a couple of hundred of years we were flying, within 50 years we’d left orbit and within 20 years or so we’d reached a moon. So surely after a few hundred thousand years the society should be able to reach and have colonized huge swaths of the galaxy”. But that kind of advancement would be at odds with our ability to detect such signatures and what we’re doing today is hypothesizing crazy sci-fi ideas and looking for those signatures with insanely primitive tools that have poor resolution. Communication we have 0 chance of spotting (encryption + energy efficiency = noise). Dyson spheres are interesting to look for but it’ll be a while before some novel ideas for how to spot them pan out (and that’s assuming the clever ideas are correct about what the footprint would look like and that Dyson spheres would be needed for long distance travel vs wormholes).

However based on our current understanding of technology long distance travel is simply not possible - the Milky Way itself is 100k light years across. Even at 10% light speed that’s 1 million years to traverse the galaxy and ignores the challenges (surfing that kind of distance traveling at such speeds and avoiding all kinds of things flying through space). And visiting (let alone building major hubs) various star systems is going to take significantly more than that. If you can only manage 1% then that’s a 10 million year undertaking just to go from one end to another. It’s easy to imagine that visiting many star systems would take billions of years and that’s with technology we don’t know we can even build. And ignoring the practical challenges of going that fast, needing to survive, decelerating, and ignoring the economics of creating a craft that can undertake and last a 100k year journey at relativistic speeds.

And saying we don’t have scientists working on this actually proves my point that there’s no paradox - no one is really working on this problem using very poor sensors trying to think as creatively as they can with basically 0 knowledge (compared to a civilization many thousands of years older than us) for signals we don’t know how or where to look for. So of course we haven’t found anything.
How about adding extra taxes on tips? Instead of taxing tips like regular income, tax them at 90%. Then no one will want to work for tips, and they'll be phased out quickly.
That would actually be amazing. I fucking hate tipping. Especially how it seems like there are 50,000 different random jobs that take tips and half the time you have to choose the tip before receiving the service, defeating the stated purpose!
Undefined?
I don't read his substack, so most of what I see of him is what gets passed on social media, which is definitely in this vein (even if it is perhaps a collection of the worst of Nate Silver).

It's also worth noting that you making your comment on a thread about an article by Nate Silver on why people like him are great that makes almost no reference to statistical modelling and is instead heavy on some sociopolitical views are better than others, which is exactly the kind of writing that has caused many people to sour on him.
I used to work on autonomous subs. Seeing this kid's project brought back some memories of the fun in that job.
It might become the future of computer graphics for photorealistic rendering. Or it might not.

But it's advancing very quickly, and it definitely merits further study. People are interested to see how far we can take it.