skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Thoughts about AI/LLMs: imagining 1, 5 years from now
Beyond what can be done right now with AI (or LLMs), I like to imagine what will happen in 1, 5 years from now... Some "imaginings":

- It's going to be ubiquitous, it's going to be everywhere and accessing it won't be a concern: just like now we take it for granted that we have electricity and internet connection at any time and almost anywhere at a negligible cost, the same will happen with AI. This is already happening in part because accessing the APIs is very cheap and effective, but it's going to go much further.

- It's going to be invisible: we're going to have models embedded in software and devices (it's already happening: Chrome will embed a model in the browser itself and there will be a native API to use it). If this extends, many software functions will be using AI without us having to deal with it.

- It's going to be private: being local, we won't have to worry about it working on confidential data - the data won't have to go to an external API where we don't know what happens to it.

- It's going to be immediate: the generation speed will continue to increase. There will come a time where generations will just be there.

- Chatbots in vertical applications will be an anecdote: many of us are implementing them because it's easy (to implement and to think, or not to think, because we've seen the success of ChatGPT and we've followed it). But for many use cases it's not the best interface.

- End users won't use AI: in the sense of using prompts, configuring agents, etc. Only power users will do.

- Devs will use/"program" a lot of AI: to make it invisible by integrating it into existing software so that end users don't have to deal with using prompts etc.

- No/low-code will grow by x10/explode: what we've seen so far will be a joke compared to hooking up agents.

And some uncertainties I can't imagine how they'll evolve:

- Generative interfaces: AI will build for us in real time the interface we need.

- Integration of agents: the theory about agents is clear and there is already a lot of software, but I can't see how it will spread.
> the company expects

I can't recall if I've ever worked anywhere that hired as many people as they 'expected' to. It can't have been many places.
s/software engineer/constructivist/

Human-scale analogies are not tools for understanding formal systems. Formal systems are analogies for understanding human-scale systems :-)

Please excuse me if I prefer my Theory of Computation to be a theory of computation.
More concrete example: Account enumeration because the "forgot password" page tells the user "Unable to find account xyz@example.com" instead of "If your account xyz@example.com exists, then we have now send you an e-mail to recover your account".

If your forgot password page takes longer to respond when an account exists when it does not, it is also a side-channel attack.
This goes far beyond Elon - this is a lingering effect of Jack Welch.
When "run a SQL query against an implicit file database" is a huge improvement for anything but the edgiest of cases (and I believe you that it is), that's a scathing indictment of the normal UI.

What I don't understand is how the AWS log inspection tools are still as bad as they are. Even if it's just to prepare public-facing material, AWS clearly dogfoods them a little bit, so surely there would be glory and accolades to be won by implementing search that was half-assed (instead of quarter-assed)? Or is the AWS culture so broken that it net punishes core improvements? Come to think of it, that would explain a lot.
Rockets and drugs discovery seems harder but failure is part of those discipline and they are managed accordingly. It's rarely the case in software.
Perhaps if it was a research context sure, but for the most part I've found GPT4 to do a good job on small to medium size chunks of coding
> Shareholders might just make some castle.

And then be left with nothing?

Look at Silo's About page.

The people who started this are not slackers or already had so much money before that they could have bought a 3rd Porsche.

Do you think these people will pull back and do nothing as their ability to benefit from and shape the technological advances happening just increases with this exit?

I highly doubt that.

> Or move away to different country.

And then?

Capital is global. And as per these [0] statistics, Finland is ranked 4th for per capita VC money invested in 2018, far ahead of France and Germany.

As per this [1] article from May, Finland received the most private equity and VC investment adjusted for GDP in all of Europe in 2023.

Finland is an attractive country to invest in, and I highly doubt native speakers with an excellent local network - i.e. much more expertise than the average non-Finnish speaking invesotor - will not be aware of that and capitalize on it.

[0]: https://www.statista.com/statistics/879124/venture-capital-a...

[1]: https://www.goodnewsfinland.com/en/articles/breaking-news/20...
I sort of figured the layoffs were anticipating defecting customers next April.
> The risk then is that genAI implodes and takes down all of the other AI disciplines with it.

The terminology would just change. Really, after the _last_ AI crash, the first time that people uttered the dread word AI (except in the context of games) was with generative AI; before that, anything a bit AI-y just got tagged 'ML'. 'ML' covers a lot of sins.
> in no universe is that a legitimate ML interview question

Why not? This seems like the ML equivalent of FizzBuzz. If you don't know how matrix multiplication works well enough to implement it, I would argue that you don't know what you're doing at all.
Similar, my boss insisted I wear trousers but I’m more comfortable in my underpants. They’re clean, and I don’t have much in the way of a bulge. Power move, too, I suspect.
Not sure what else it would be views as? Just because something is considered a "medical condition" does not necessarily imply something negative or even necessarily something to cure.

You are "diagnosed" with Autism.

Wether or not we are "curing" it or just taking steps earlier to better set someone up for success with it, you still need a diagnoses.
classified tech is generally at least 10 years ahead of anything the public has access to. judging by how bizarre and polarizing the previous two US elections have been, i wouldn't be surprised if this prediction had already played out and we just didn't know it yet
Don't they usually also have Sherpas pre-hauling a lot of equipment up, installing ropes and ladders, setting up base camps, etc.?

In some ways it seems more like a military operation than a sport (in terms of the logistical complexities).
I’m going to use this from now on simply because of how much more fun it is xD

edit: omg I didn’t even notice the vim keybinds I’m sold
Don't think we didn't notice that the price of their tax software has pretty much doubled in the last few years.
My wife spends around an hour a day in the kitchen. I spend close to eight chained to my computer. If one of us is a slave, it's not her. She's not attending daily stand-ups to report how teaching our daughter the alphabet is going; she chooses how to spend each day with no external pressures at all. Her work taking care of the kids is still more exhausting than mine, but it's also obviously more fulfilling and engaging. When we meet all of our financial goals, we'll both be full time parents. As it is now, I make more than enough for her to take care of the kids full time and still make progress toward our goals. Why wouldn't she take that deal?

Consider that when you talk about women doing what makes them happy and what they see as important work (because it is) as being "stuck in the past" or in a form of slavery, it might be you who's devaluing them. We both received a lot of that rhetoric growing up, and it took until well into adulthood to really understand how wrong and harmful it is.
The community has been trained over many years to believe that anything FOSS is immediately trustworthy, and that anything non-FOSS is immediately untrustworthy.

This gets exploited all the time when companies use FOSS licenses to get traction, then pull the rug and switch to a more restrictive license once customers are locked in.

On the flip side, if a company tries to be honest from the beginning by using BSL (or similar) they get endless grief from religious zealots.

AGPL is the magic unicorn license that is just restrictive enough to protect you from your competitors, while still passing the FOSS religious purity test.
Everything in the future is novel, so that's a moot qualifier.

Everything requires attention to be seen, once somethign becomes "obvious" is fully determined where you're looking and the scope you're zoomed in on.

E.g. "matter is solid" until you zoom in and realize matter is mostly made up of space.
Seriously. At this point why would anyone trust what they say?
In 2023, Finland has received the highest investment of private equity and VC adjusted for GDP in all of Europe: https://www.goodnewsfinland.com/en/articles/breaking-news/20...
That’s not what brutalist means. Sorry I’m in “insufferable pedant” mode today :)
Texas has its own electrical grid and insists on not connecting it to the Federal grid because I guess they think someday they really would want to be independent or some such. As a result their funding is different as is disaster recovery. Also consider that when you have a state where taxes on like 80 acres of land end up being $70/year, there just isn’t much government money to go around to keep the infrastructure running well.
There's only so much you can do with old infrastructure in an area that's already highly developed and prone to hurricanes.
> And as for Sprints in Kanban, yeah, well Jira kinda works like that

I don't think it has to. It can do that, since it's built for both Scrum and Kanban. But you don't have to use the Scrum facilities; if your workplace does, that's because someone there wants it to, and therefore has set up sprints and stuff in Jira.
I would say that this take was correct, just not in the way the detractors at the time intended. The danger was to the usefulness of the internet.

I have yet to see any benefit to society from GPT's improvements, but I do see the internet quickly becoming more and more unusable due to the inundation of machine-generated spam on nearly every communications platform.
Now I shall have to think out another verse of "O Sing a Song of Singapore". (The first one was about pet nose prints, the second about remedial sex education.)
Move fast and break things (including organized society).

I can't even think of non malicious uses that are anything more than novelty or small conveniences. Meanwhile the malicious use cases are innumerable.

In a just world building this would be a severe felony, punished with prison and destruction of all of the direct and indirect source material.
> Kessler syndrom

Is this a big risk in the low, high drag orbits that the vast majority of SpX launches target?
Samsung screen off memo with a stylus has been the best note taking app for me. There’s an option to digitise the text and make it searchable. The big issue is it’s not cross platform.
Heat has two problems for helicopters and airplanes that combined cause much reduced performance.

Simplified: Hot air is less dense meaning we get less lift at the same power/speed. And hot air reduces engine performance, making it harder to get enough power.

Helicopters can land at airports with much higher weight (or less power) than the limits for hovering and vertical takeoff. Because forward speed when taking off from a runway creates additional lift.

Emergency helicopters, like commercial transport, will also consider the risks of engine failure. You don't want to put the helicopter in a position where engine failure is unrecoverable, it's too high risk. Just like (commercial) airplanes don't take off from runways too short to safely handle an engine failure.
Poop transplants.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fecal_microbiota_transplant
I don't have a cure but I've pushed back hard against the symptoms and tech is less of an all-consuming interest than it used to be, but I'm still quite good at it. I personally don't think a cure is going to take away that tech ability either.
Ah the essence of capitalism. Leeching middle men
So you use it for generation where validation is easy. If validation were harder, the calculus would change.

I also get a lot of mileage out of it, but it is important to recognize its shortcomings.
Every engine that america was buying from Russia was not ending up in China. Massive national defense win.
But unfortunately nobody can "Scrum correctly".
My wife is an educational therapist. Helps kids with autism/add/dyslexia/other. She told me it's a thing now to get autistic kids off gluten, sugar, and milk. She said it helps to reduce/isolate triggers, and as a behaviour resurfaces you can start addressing them one by one.
It happened at the Clapham Junction rail crash in 1988: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-london-46509473

A total of 3 trains were involved.
It's a transmission problem not an energy problem (this time). There is more than enough energy and generation capacity in the state. It just can't delivered to the last mile.

Based upon press releases from Entergy[0] (north of Houston/Centerpoint) a quarter million feet of wires need to be fixed. This doesn't include transformers, logging operations, etc.

I would estimate that Houston itself (Centerpoint) is probably dealing with a million+ feet of damaged transmission lines based upon the stats up here and their reported customer outage #s.

The area I (used to?) live in wont have power until the 14th because of the damage to the distribution infrastructure.

This is 99% a game of trees falling on lines and everything cascading from there.

[0]: https://www.etrviewoutage.com/map?state=TX
For the extra dollars they'll obtain when it is no longer too dangerous to release.
$10k is peanuts for starting a small business in many industries. It does not even buy you a truck. You don't need VC or a megacorp; this is well within the range of standard business loans.
Unless of course, you're willing to pay a monthly subscription fee for access to it. Then the danger has been mitigated.
... not to mention what I think is an enlightened policy on chewing gum. But really there is a reason they call them "mealworms".
My point is that N is most probably bigger than the entire Universe, if it turns out to be finite.
I am curious if the models are any good, though. The landscape is so fragmented I never heard of Poro.
Not everything is a conspiracy. It is very plausible they're speaking genuinely.
In Las Vegas, a Violent Sport Sparks Controversy
oh i get it now:

Participate in the community by making thoughtful and effortful comments.

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If chosen, we'll grant you lifelong access to special privileges on Indie Hackers!
If those folks from outside of the USA had been from economically prosperous backgrounds, they too would try to become nurses or caregivers instead of programmers.

Gender parity in STEM is a sign of the economic desperation of a countries people. This is a sociological fact which ruffles feathers when it’s stated out loud.
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I actually want an app like this, but I want something cross platform and web based so I can use it on mac/linux/phone.
Compilation performance or end executable performance?
In my experience, it's fine. I just wish it supported more condition keys across all services. Nothing sucks more than to write a policy with a explicit condition only to bash your head trying to figure out why and then finally realize that restricting for a specific tag for a specific resource+action is not supported.
Well, right now they lack that capability and don't show any interest in it, so why would anyone in the EU even bother working on the things that would use it, like, LEO megaconstellations (ie Starlink or Starshield alternatives)? They also miss out on business building out such constellations from other companies. Amazon bought up a bunch of Ariane 6 launches, but obviously in the long term they'll be shifting to something which can potentially be more cost efficient like New Glenn.
There's plenty of electricity. The power outages are localized to the city where a hurricane just hit. Its a local delivery infrastructure issue, not a power generation issue.
Ozempic solves this problem in 10 years.
The issue is the change in workload. If I'm going from "40 hour work week" to "40 hour work week plus on-call" then you need to compensate me for the increased workload. If you're not going to increase my compensation, then I'm not going to agree to increase my workload.
At least one good use is for video games where the text of some dialogue is determined when you run the game. For example in a game I work on player chat is local and voiced by tts configured by the player for their character.
The funding mechanisms are different. LA metro gets a lot of funding from sales tax initiatives. Iirc the farebox only covers like 5% of the operating budget and the median rider is making less than like $25k which is why they were considering making it free.
The classic Steven Seagal “my hands are weapons and I need a license for them” rhetoric. What a crock of shit.
OTOH, I walked into the office at about 9:30AM one day and found a group of people, including the project manager, waiting for me, clearly irritated. PM asked why I didn't respond to my pager (this was about 20 years ago), and I told him that in six months, it had never gone off, so I stopped wearing it. And that was that.

My guess is that they wanted a reason to fire your guy anyway, and he gave them one.
Do we need an alternative? We operated fine before twitter, and I have never bothered to use it and I seem to operating just fine still.
AIMO (AI Math Olympiad) progress prize winning solution
These outages from the hurricane have zero relation to ERCOT.
Eton students being forced to swap their iPhones for Nokia dumbphones
Not owned but started there. The Argo stack is a CNCF project that "graduated" in 2022.

Anyway, although there's still code coming from Intuit, nowadays I think there is a sizable portion of contributions coming from Akuity and Codefresh, among others...
That is a distinct issue than party incompetence and inability to perform in general.

https://www.google.com/search?q=gop+inability+to+govern
> The code for all these features is still available to the public so it can be reviewed and inspected, but these features will not be a part of Plausible CE and they’ll have a different license.

Will the code for these features be in the same repo, or be kept separate? If the former, is it easy to remove them to create a fork that is fully open source? Or does the community edition actually contain proprietary code that is disabled?

> if you want to contribute to our codebase in the future as an external contributor, you’ll need to sign a Contributor License Agreement (CLA)

What are the terms of this CLA? Does it mean that Plausible could change the license to something that isn't FOSS in the future?
Reading my electric meter with RTLSDR
Actual article: https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/climate-a...
If you can't trust the mail, the phone, or your computer, make them come to your house with the sheriff.

It's almost as if a consumer protection agency should be created and funded to protect consumers.
this is application side, correct?
Thanks for sharing this! Very useful data. The contrast on your dashboard at https://www.awsiamdata.com/ makes it almost impossible to read. You may want to take a look at that.
Fednow vs. Pix vs. UPI – which is the fastest payment experience?
Instead of a derailed train and a couple delayed trains you now have a derailed train and a couple of trains with flat wheels that also need clearing up (assuming they avoided slamming into each other)

Definitely not sold on the "let's chuck out the failsafe method of railwaying" idea, haha
Intuit Closes Edmonton Office as Company-Wide Layoffs Impact 10% of Employees
The electricity is ready and waiting, its the transmission lines that are down and out for people that were hit by Hurricane Beryl. CenterPoint energy (the owner of the lines around most of Houston) dropped the ball massively, underestimating how much damage the storm was going to cause and did not send out the call for linemen from other providers until it was too late.

If you're in the Houston area and don't have power - here is a status map from CenterPoint: https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/195bcf03ae0c491f9f14bf7...
A gun can help rob a bank.

A speech generator can help rob 1000 banks.
> newly hired person with 10 yrs experience finding out they earn 30% less than someone with 3 years experience, just because of the timing of when they were hired.

That's the problem with how pay scales, job titles and performance evaluation are setup. If there are no standard way to set this for everyone then this will bound to just happen again and be a recurring pain.
OpenAI board shakeup: Microsoft out, Apple backs away
This is interesting. Is it just a reference package for npm? As in, you can't set/update policies with it or do other IAM ops with it, correct?