skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
It was the former: they campaigned exclusively on why Brexit would be bad. And moreover they argued exclusively that it would be bad due to economic impact.

It's not something you ever read here on HN and it's very surprising/unusual, but for people who made their decision based only on the campaigns, hindsight shows that voting Leave was entirely correct and voting Remain was incorrect. You'd never be able to have that level of clarity over something like an election because there's too much vagueness involved, but the specific structure of the Brexit vote and campaigns actually allows an objective evaluation.

The reason is that both campaigns made unusually objective and testable claims. On the Remain side they predicted a huge and immediate recession if Leave won due to uncertainty, they predicted enormous "emergency" tax rises to compensate for that, they predicted the UK would not be able to stay in the Horizon research framework, and more generally they predicted that the UK would underperform relative to the rest of Europe due to new trade barriers hurting trade with Europe. On the Leave side they stated the UK would be able to implement an Australian-style points based immigration system, that it would allow for new trade deals, that it would let the membership fees be reallocated to general healthcare spending, that it would allow divergence from EU law and that it would let voters "take back control". Both sides made no specific predictions about what would happen in the Remain case iirc, because that was assumed to be the status quo.

Well, Leave did win, and that lets us test these predictions. The 500-800,000 job losses due to an uncertainty-created recession never happened, the UK is still in the Horizon research framework (after leaving and rejoining), and the trade ratio of EU:ROW for the UK hasn't changed. In fact there's been no discernable change in EU/UK trade whatsoever, implying the single market had no benefits. The UK's performance has matched the rest of the EU as well. So basically all their main predictions were wrong.

On the Leave side, the UK does now have a points-based immigration system, it does have new trade deals, the membership fees are now being spent on public services instead, the UK is diverging from EU law (albeit slowly), and so on. The main disappointment for Leave voters is that mass immigration ideology proved so strong that the Conservatives chose political suicide and set the points threshold so low that immigration soared instead of reducing, this is technically not a failure by Leave who only campaigned on having a controllable system. The implicit assumption was that politicians would prefer to keep their jobs and set the points threshold high than destroy their own party; this assumption was wrong and now voters are "taking back control" by wiping out the Tories and moving votes to Reform... something that would have previously been impossible (as Reform's manifesto wouldn't have been legal).
This website is pretty badly designed. The home page should be selling me on what phones this works with, and why I should trust these people to pull it off when a bunch of other projects have come and gone that failed to do the same thing.
I didn't watch the video, but both practically and legally speaking, in the US when a car hits a pedestrian it's considered the car driver's fault, excepting some circumstances. The noise doesn't have anything to do with it- cars have to stop for pedestrians in marked crosswalks, and should stop at any formally defined crosswalk (not all "crosswalks" are directly labelled or signed as such).
I started using my new 18" monitor attached to my phone.

I just need a second phone so I can control my phone now. The Samsung remote control alas doesn't work with Linux, otherwise maybe I could try that (although I doubt it's really be all that.for this remote control case).
Right, but it isn't really a core benefit of using PS is my point.
Before we discuss this further: are you a scientist?
"The Truth About English Grammar" by Geoffrey K Pullum
Weak article that exists only to inform that Kurzweil's new book is out.
And what a terrible last sentence, but it does fit the NYT perfectly.
Wow. He hoped that one day computers would allow us to ask Aristotle questions. If he could be here today…
I work in the field and the work is presented in an extremely obtuse manner.

What is the problem you're trying to solve? Are you proposing a new generative model?
> This blog post is all over the place.

Which is sad. He has something useful to say, but destroys his credibility by not focusing.
Here's the "poster wall" of the organization he claims to head.[1] "Disciplinary convergence through creative story telling".
For a much better summary of the subject, see the cover story in this week's Economist.

OK, how cheap can batteries get, really?

Well, the price of lithium dropped 80% in the last year.[2] Overproduction at the moment. Exxon has a lithium production unit, and they're expanding.
New, large lithium mines under construction in Nevada, Sonora (Mexico), five new mines in Western Australia, Quebec, Zimbabwe...
Plus, of course, recycling old batteries, a far more concentrated source than anything in the ground. Lithium supplies do not look like a problem.
The prices do go wildly up and down because the price of raw lithium doesn't affect car sales much in the short term. That's normal behavior for minor commodities.

This also means that sodium batteries will probably be unnecessary. This is good, because of the fire risk. For fixed installations and low end car, lithium iron phosphate is cheap, not subject to thermal runaway, and in most of BYD and CATL products right now. (APS, please get with the program and start shipping small UPSs with LiPoFe batteries so those things last 10 years.)

Coming along next are solid state batteries. Huge hype, a few samples, and production cost problems.[3]
Here's the manufacturing process at lab scale, at the Franuhofer Institute.[4] Works in the lab.
Here it is at production test scale.[5] The IEEE consensus is that solid-state battery production technology is about 10 years behind existing lithium-ion production. With production in test everywhere from Shenzhen to Belgium to Maryland, progress is being made rapidly.

This is the kind of process that gets cheaper as it scales up.

Solid-state batteries are important because 10-minute charging is needed to increase consumer acceptance rates.

Between solar and battery technology, fossil fuels are going to be crushed. Soon.

[1] https://neonresearch.nl/poster-wall/

[2] https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/lithium-producer...

[3] https://spectrum.ieee.org/solid-state-battery-production-cha...

[4] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j5SVrp8N-1M&

[5] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_eZGuDaqZAE
Is this like an American thing? I'm in the Netherlands and i get like 1 spam call per two months (business internet/electricity salesperson usually)
Both fixed now, thanks.
I bought a secondhand Macbook M2 and I was genuinely shocked at how awful Finder is (no offense to this guy) it sort of reminds me of the Android file manager that hides directories and files and tells you that "you can't do that, you cant just use a folder!" That was really off putting. I ended up installing Asahi despite getting the Mac to have access to the awful apps that I can't get on Linux like MS Word and photoshop. I hate this landscape tbh.
The best paid ones work on vanity projects.
Current European/German prices for home storage of 2-10kwh are at 400-500 EUR per kwh.

https://geizhals.de/?cat=bmseswresp&sort=t&hloc=at&hloc=de&v...
I think it's better to take away options, rather than throw up your hands.

Just because someone can load up my car on a flat bed tow truck doesn't mean it's pointless for me to have locks on the doors and ignition.
I hand-rolled my authn scheme in half a day (backend endpoints only; f/end HTML took a longer). In addition to sign-in with email/password combo, it also does passwordless (i.e. if a user set their profile to password-less, anytime they attempt to sign in it sends a password to their email that is valid for 15m).

It's better (i.e. more secure) than at least two currently-in-use corporate systems I have seen.

And no, I don't store plaintext passwords, and I do use a generated random salt when a password is set, and the crypto functions I use are well-regarded and well-used, not something I wrote myself.

In summary, I don't think it should take two days for a minimal authn/sign-up/sign-in implementation.
Thanks, is fixed now.
> you mean like hackernews? i have been active here for years without it leading to any kind of notable connection.

Do you read the threads about who's hiring, and post on the threads asking for who's looking for work?

> so when i am out of a job and i don't find a new one in my network, does that mean my networking efforts have failed and i should try networking elsewhere?

Do you mean this as hyperbole? In any case, there is no single answer because it depends on many factors. If you think abandoning every bit of your network, even if it has led to few if any connections, is the right solution, then sure, go ahead. But that sounds like an extreme response, and probably not as wise as redoubling your existing efforts.

> trying to build a network when you need work doesn't seem like a viable strategy.

Why not? If you need work, and connections are known to help get work, I'd argue building a network is exactly what you should be doing. This applies whether you're working or not (although if you're not currently working, doesn't that give you more time to network?).

As to whether you have time, or where to focus your efforts, that's a different issue. Because you'll never know where that next connection or job lead may come from, there's no right or wrong answer to how much time you "should" be spending networking or where you should be spending it.

Certainly, LinkedIn is very job-oriented, so that might be a good place to continue to make connections and communicate with them, in whatever way and at whatever frequency works for you. Yes, doing this requires effort, but nobody is saying you should do it to the point where other parts of your life suffer.

At the end of the day, networking, like anything else, should be at least somewhat enjoyable. If you're not comfortable in person, do it online. If you can't find an online forum where you feel comfortable, make your own (although it's pretty clear you're comfortable here on HN since you've stuck around for so long).

If the way you're networking now is not enjoyable, I'd urge you to find a way that is. These days there is no shortage of ways to connect with people in ways that anybody but the most communication-adverse would find acceptable.
I've had a NexDock for about 7 years or so. Definitely a nice tool to have. I don't really have a normal laptop besides my work laptop anymore. I primarily just use my NexDock with either my phone or my Steam Deck. I've also used the dock with Raspberry Pis in the past.

The older model that I have has a pretty terrible trackpad, does not have a touch screen, and does not fold back (I normally use my ergonomic keyboard with it). I think these are all resolved in newer models though.
Hi Oliver. Yes an extension is currently in the works as we speak. Could I have your email so I could update you on our progress?
Honestly I don't believe these sorts of issues can be resolved with authoritarian approachs, in fact I believe any kind of top down approach is doomed to make this kind of thing even worse really. We would end up with populations A, B, C and just News Org Z! I wasn't trying to offer a solution with my prior comment, but a post-mordem of how legacy media has declined, and how this could have been avoided.

We had a period where the FCC only offered a limited amount of airspace so News Orgs has certain obligations to keep the public at large informed. This required a more diverse set of perspectives and I really do believe these perspectives helped keep each other in check. However with these obligations gone, and the collapse of the integrity fostered during this period, legacy Journalists have grown into smug elitest who, drunk over the reputation they gained while they had this integrity, now think of the public as a group to be guided rather than informed.

Looking forward I believe the proper solution to all this will emerge naturally as legacy media's decline continues to glide downwards. Personally speaking I simply get my news from the front page of Wikipedia, maybe more options like this will come about as the priorities of society at large continues to evolve as it gets comfortable with the internet? I don't think we will get anywhere though so long as "unbiased" is treated as a taboo word, something I believe legacy media has grandly succeeded in spinning the public on in recent years, atleast in my eyes...
Quite cool.

Plain and simple C, etc. I would have liked a one compilation unit with proper preprocessor namespaces/name mangling, that to be picky.
What voltage are you running your solar strings at? I was wondering what would happen if the loose cable was a cable from the solar panels instead of the low voltage battery.
I don't know about most phones supporting that, probably depends on the market.

But best I can tell, 80% of my spam calls are just war dialing; a new number would get war dialed just as much. Probably wouldn't get collections calls for my deadbeat cousin though.
I've seen these before and I always loved the idea of "convergence" even though its never been successful. I remember in at least 2013 when the Ubuntu Edge had a convergence feature that would blow your phone up into a (very slow) desktop PC over DisplayPort that you would then control via the phone touch screen [1].

I suspect the reason that mobile convergence hasn't been successful is that people like owning multiple devices that fit the mood you are in. My phone is for social stuff, my tablet is for entertainment stuff and my laptop is for work stuff. The thought of cramming all of those head-spaces into one device feels stressful, like putting all my eggs into one basket. I'm always very happy when I hear about updates to DeX or new convergence docks though

1:https://youtu.be/bk9-v8Sl4yU
> many endpoints only need to accept requests from known (identified, authenticated, authorized) endpoints

Do you mean clients for the last part? I'm not a networking expert but I don't see how layering on certs here is going to help?
To elaborate on the analogy:

Books cannot change the world if they lie unread on a shelf or are confiscated or impounded and kept out of people’s hands.

In the same way, software cannot be useful to you if your hardware will not run it.

Therefore we cannot think that by being programmers making software, we are directly helping people; we can only help those people who can, and will, run our software.
This looks like a neat idea but the marketing for this is scummy. Adding a keyboard and screen does not like a "gaming PC" just because you can run cloud games on it. It advertises plugging a raspberry pi into it for a "fully functional computer at a revolutionarily low cost" which isn't true. You also can't turn your phone into a windows 10 laptop by running cloud services.
If the battery is only ever charged from solar and I uncharge it to the lowest safe level in the evenings, it lets me get the best possible return on my capital expense. How long it lasts doesn’t matter in this regard.

But in terms of using it for UPS purposes, it lasting longer would mean I won’t need to expend capital again as soon.

So I guess it depends on what you want out the battery.

I did some math when I bought the battery and it seemed it would probably pay itself back before needing to be replaced, but it was questionable at our energy prices.

I bought the system mostly for UPS reasons though, especially as I work from home and on a personal note, sitting in the dark several evenings a week or being unable to make coffee when you want, sucks.
That last sentence sounds snarkier than I meant. For instance,for all my classmates they are enjoying the learning and also trying to make a career out of it somehow. Different altogether than my fun based curriculum
> I would test if it is worthy money wise, not energy wise, to put the A/C at full blast in the cheapest hours. Say from 4 to 6 PM (the cheapest here in Spain), to get the house as cold as possible, and then try to play with A/C at maybe 5% letting it rise until reaching 76°F at 9 PM.

Depending on how big the house is and how well insulated it is, it very well may make for a big thermal battery and this would work well.

If small and/or poorly insulated or drafty then this will not work well.
The organized mid to large web app DOES NOT EXIST - it is a myth, like sasquatch. In the swath of experience I've had from working small startups to massive corporations I have never seen this mythical "organized mid-to-large sized web app" nor heard of anyone speak of it.

There will ALWAYS be cruft, and doubly so in a webapp since what is essentially the "build target" is always moving, heck the language it runs on is always moving.

The title of the post might as well be, "has anyone else worked in a mid to large sized web app code base?". The experience is ubiquitous and has nothing to do with React specifically. In fact the problems that the author mentions, "Large component files with excessive composability" for example, is easily overcome with the exceptional tooling that now exists in the JavaScript/TypeScript ecosystem - of course one might not realize the huge strides that have been taken here if they've only been doing web dev for a couple years.

Anecdotally - I really don't like to see Reddit posts pop up on HN, it degrades the quality of this site towards Reddit's level.
Manipulating actual flight controls is probably hard.

Manipulating sensors is probably comparably easy, and, if you can adjust the AOA sensors to make the plane think its in level flight while spoofing altitude data, you can probably manipulate the pilots (auto or not) into a CFIT.

It's happened on other flights where pilots became confused by conflicting information (AF447 and many others) so giving them consistently wrong data is going to cause a consistently bad output.

Anyway though I deeply agree that once you have physical access all bets are off. Sure, you can put a bug in which causes a complicated aircraft failure but you could also just put a time-delayed container of thermite or tannerite in the right place.

I'd be much more worried about a software update causing a major issue, either intentionally or even more likely and more worrying, accidentally ALA 737Max.
I love that this is the perfect parody of what social media is now
Do you have a model problem which is tricky to shrink?

I implemented a stupid simple shrinker for arbitrary, and I’d love to know a specific example where it fails to shrink in a good way:

https://github.com/matklad/arbtest/blob/0191f93846e9f7e38254...

I know at lest two interesting approaches for making that way smarter, but I don’t yet have a problem where my dumb approach isn’t sufficient.
I remember playing the Xbox version and you would sometimes get lobbies where everyone had infinite ammo grenade launchers with no reload, or other similar funny stuff. I really enjoyed myself when I was lucky to end up in one of the matches.
> This is a terrible take, and one I generally see as a signal of lack of seniority in a software dev. It is absolutely everybody's job in the company to make sure it is profitable, unless you work for a non-profit.

There's a third and even more common option: seniors who really could care less about either

Who do you think is more likely to be lying? The person who claims to care about the bottom line or the person who claims to care about code quality? From my experience the former is almost always a bullshitter
I spent hours watching some of these ~10 years ago via their Youtube channel.

WARNING: video shows a man dying - One that stuck with me is Franz Reichelt's "Death Jump" where he tests a parachute he has invented by jumping off the Eiffel Tower - https://www.britishpathe.com/asset/92596/ - permission had been granted for him to test his parachute with dummy drops but he surprised everyone by making the jump himself. The wikipedia page is a good read https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Franz_Reichelt
Great question. The big advantage of IndexBlaze is that it doesn’t require any programming knowledge. It’s super user-friendly—just sync your Google Search Console, submit your URLs, and we handle the rest. No coding, no hassle.
Ishmael by Daniel Quinn. As for why it bit and stung me: IYKYK, I guess? Any reasons more than that tend to start flame wars.
This is so cool, leave it to Japan.
Or cooking with gas instead?
A source of very expensive electricity in California.
And plotting to do it.
Hadn’t thought of the steam deck as an option, how do you find it?
Please stop spamming. You’ve created this account solely to promote your bookmark product - which has a new domain name today - and this behavior is frowned upon. Your last post was egregious self promotion.
I had my electrician build me such a box, though the result was so simple that if you are handy I'm sure you could do it yourself.

The contents of the box are

1. A programable timer light switch: https://leviton.com/products/vpt24-1pz

2. A 120 volt controlled contactor. I'm not entirely sure which one it is, but I think it is https://ca.rs-online.com/product/eaton-cutler-hammer/c25bnb2...

The box has a 240 volt circuit and a 120 volt circuit into it. The 120 volt circuit is connected to the programable timer light switch, which is then connected to the control inputs of the contactor.

The 240 volt line connects to the contactor and then on the other side of the contactor it connects goes out of the box and to the water heater.

For me I've programmed my hot water heater to turn off from 4pm to 11pm on weekdays, which avoids heating the water during peak time of day rates at my location. (I typically shower sometime during that period.)

I can open the box and press the switch on the timer if I ever want to temporarily override the program.

That all said, I don't have any measurements to tell me if it is worth the expense. Although it is quite clear from my hourly power usage when the hot water tank switches on at 11 pm.
In the places I see people working with them, 3 is considered a disappointment (though noisy people are often those with the negative opinions, so take with a pinch of salt), while most of the interesting stuff is either SDXL or what third parties have done by fine-tuning on 1.5 or 2.
>I think it's better to take away options, rather than throw up your hands.

No, wasting time, resources and money while increasing the inherent complexity and risk of a system to gain absolutely no benefit is a very bad idea.

>Just because someone can load up my car on a flat bed tow truck doesn't mean it's pointless for me to have locks on the doors and ignition.

Idiotic comparison, which makes me think you are just totally disingenuous. The point I made was that with the same amount of effort a plane is compromised, with or without a secure bus. This is fake security, it doesn't protect anything.

Just tell me an attack on the bus of an airplane which couldn't have just as easily been performed outside of the bus.