skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
By 2025 the majority of applications will use AI in some way (mostly to allow for sloppy user input), in 5 years there will be no non-AI applications.

For example, in healthcare (because... day job), you will be interacting with an AI as the first step for your visits/appointments, AI will work with you to fill out your forms/history, your chart will be created by AI, your x-ray and lab results will be read by AI first, and your discharge instructions will be created on the fly with AI... etc. etc. etc. This tech is deploying today. Not in a year, today. The only thing that's holding it up is cost and staff training.
Hmm... Yeah there have always been crises. The difference now is the ability to actually know about all of them in detail and read an unending discussion of them.
Dude, no one was using crypto for anything besides speculations. People are using LLMs quite a bit it seems. I do too occasionally.
From what I saw in the video, Ed is the “trust me, bro.” Many recited popular knowledge arguments and no boots-on-the-ground industry experience. This guy is a literal influencer.
Among liberal faculty 35 and under, only 23% indicated that shouting down a speaker is never acceptable, 43% said the same for blocking entry, and 64% for using violence to stop a campus speech.

https://www.thefire.org/research-learn/academic-mind-2022-wh...

Look at Figure 3, which covers all faculty (liberal and conservative). The shift towards illiberalism and less tolerance towards speech is absolutely visible in generational cohorts, and the under-35 cohort is the most supportive of illiberal measures. Students are even more supportive of illiberal measures than young faculty.
>If in 10 years all we have are better chat bots and image generators, I’d say it was a bubble

Sure, if in 10 years that's all we have, you win, it was a bubble.

I think the probability of that is a rounding error.
"a culinary student learning safer fermentation"

What could possibly go wrong?
The US-led imaginary property system was at least administered in mostly good faith, encouraging actual competition amongst the administrative class benefiting from it. And it still produced endless make-litigation garbage like "Method and Apparatus for Banging Two Rocks Together... Near a Computer"

Whereas now this system has expanded to a different center of power with different strategic goals, quite content to operate closer to the barer reality (aka hack). And when a document can create a claim of legal claim of ownership over the ways everyone else can do things, the fundamental incentive is just to generate as many of those documents as possible.
I think the AI bubble may have some interesting parallels with the dot com bubble ~25 years ago.

The internet was revolutionary and transformed the global economy. However, most of the internet companies at the time were garbage and were given money because people were blinded by the hype. At the end of the day, we were left with a handful of viable companies that went on to great things and a lot of embarrassed investors
> Yes, I lose the power to do things; in exchange, I genuinely gain the security of some measure

Most of the security you gain is due to mechanisms built in the OS like sandboxing. Third-party appstores gain the same security by default.
AI and Jobs: Evidence from Online Vacancies (2022) [pdf]
Oklahoma, Alabama Now Have AI-Powered Vending Machines That Sell Bullets
> now they are systemically important banks who can't lose

Reminds me of cryptocurrency like WorldCoin, where an overwhelming amount of all minted coins goes back into the developer's pockets no matter what.

Really, the biggest difference is that a treasury can coordinate it's workers to meaningfully resolve economic deficiency. Cryptocurrency comes with no governance guarantees, zero regulatory oversight on developers, and no incentive to stabilize value. When you consider the basic needs of a governed economy, it's plainly evident why mints do what they do. Shaking your fist and complaining about it is the extent of the anarchist pipe-dream; nobody is going to read this or the parent's comment and invest their 401k in Ethereum.
Big tech has hit the IBM stage of their lifecycles, there will be a new Microsoft there in the next couple of years to reset things.
Most radio stations do provide ‘now playing’ info on their website. I acknowledge that it would be a lot of work to collate all these data sources, though.
> A quick keyword search on the phrase easily refutes the supposition you're making here.

You don't have to do a quick keyword search. The 'ethical journalism' the guy referred to in this comment thread is a US government funded propaganda outlet.

> Probably because it would seem to be a reasonable enough description of the system of government in that country since 1962.

But not the colonial british government before 1962? Can you show me on reuters article calling the colonial british government 'authoritarian'?

Funny how the democractic russian government and indian governments are called authoritarian, but not the saudi government? Strange.

Lets hope myanmar stays authoritarian long enough to maintains its independence. So many people with political agendas.
> which $0.35 gasket to replace

I’m sorry, but can it actually do that??
Yeah but that was already an established function by the time the public learned about Bitcoin. The recent crypto bubble is about speculation and web3 and NFT nonsense, none of which will last (while the drug buying probably will).
Lockdowns have completely stunted the emotional and social growth of the young -- making worse the effects of constant connectivity to the internet.

Children have always been rowdy, and some would say lacking in manners, but they were always at the very least somewhat connected to their environment and the people that inhabit them.

But this is true for everyone -- like we've all forgotten how to get along and atleast pretend to live in a society.
> It’s orthogonal

I disagree its orthogonal and explained why. I guess lets agree on disagree.
Arch.

I started using it basically by accident. I got a new computer, tried installing Ubuntu and it just wouldn't boot. Someone told me maybe the drivers weren't in Ubuntu yet and I should try Arch.

Getting it installed took some work since I'd never really used Linux before, but the wiki is such an amazing resource, and by necessity you learn a lot about your machine.

Now after a decade of use it's very much _my_ distro, and I can understand the whole thing.

Also, the aur is such an amazingly useful resource. Everything in the main distro is also put together in a very sensible way.
I am not a fan of rolling releases, but many people use Slackware Current as one. So if I had to chose a kind of rolling Linux, that would be my choice.

**But** Slackware Current is really a Alpha/Beta Test System for Slackware Release.
Why is a Twitter link used for this?
It may really depend on the location. My neighborhood is nice ( with an occasional crazy person driving through either too fast or too loud ) and it does warm my crusty heart to see kids playing in the frontyards. I can absolutely understand that there are locations where that would not be sensible.
That is exactly why I do it.
>Then I'll present my credentials. 25 years in tech and I use ChatGPT every day.

I think you're proving my point: long-time tech person who'd rather look stuff up on Stack Overflow, but yet uses the tool every day.
"kids are overcoddled yet exposed to potentially harmful content with smartphones"

which is it then?
I’d argue that if writing is an algorithm that has been cracked, is it important to learn anymore? I have to imagine when the calculator became popular it was a similar debate. I do wonder how we should measure student understanding next
I think the idea is that it cost a lot more than $20/mo/user to create the tech, and that investment in the tech-creation won't be recouped by your tech-consumption.

I think it depends on how far out you run the numbers for the area under the curve and all the various costs and profits. Seems clear to me that the individual tech-creation might end up being losses but that the net global will be gain very shortly as we continue to adapt and accelerate based on using the tech.
And OpenAPI is spending more than $20 to provide you that service...
There's some survivorship bias in that. Not every adult who gave up partying and focused on career and investing, ended up very well off.

Sometimes it just doesn't work out and then you sacrificed the most fun years of your life for nothing leaving you depressed and unhappy.

Not saying you should or shouldn't, I'm saying while there's no free lunch there's also no guaranteed lunch big either. For example here in socialist parts of Western Europe working hard is a scam since you don't end up more wealthy than those who just coast and do the bare minimum expecting the state to provide for them while you'll be the one paying for it with more taxes.

Sometimes a simple and fun life with less money can be more rewarding than a life of stress and money
Arch, if I want to revive the 20-something geek in me.
I’ve been using Debian in prod for very long time, but recently switched to Centos (and RHEL).
No idea when or why I got so radicalized against Centos/RHEL that I didn’t even want to try it for years, but after working with it for a few months, I’m absolutely in love.
When I started using Linux years ago, I had this feeling of order, that it just made sense.
But it died with all the bloat and faction wars in the community on how things should be done (e.g network management).
With RHEL, it all makes sense again. I know what’s going on and I am in control.
nixpkgs-unstable

> why?

https://repology.org/repositories/graphs
I have been stuck on this exact question a few weeks ago. Does someone know how the same could be done in python? Could a thread class be made that allows this kind of testing? Could it be written in C with e.g. pybind?
Looks like I hit a nerve with the people who have deep regrets about not investing when they should have. Many such cases.
> They'll run out of data, and the models won't be able to get any better.

Well, that is enough to prove to me he doesn't know enough about the technology for me to pay attention to his opinions...
It's not "emotional", it's "regulation-evading" that people are looking for. They want a moped without registration, license, insurance and all other things that may accompany one depending on jurisdiction. As a result we now have 250 lb "cyclists" doing 25 mph on their 70 lb mopeds with miniscule brakes and tires on the bike-and-hike trails, imposing great danger on themselves and others.
> Stripe are lying when they say their IDs are random

Where does Stripe make that claim?

I think most of the value of Stripe-style IDs is in their other properties, like the information they bear, readability, copy-pasteability (which uuids lack - double-click to select often stops at hyphens), etc.
> In those days, you'd be spending too much time in front of your screen, and the worst that could happen was you'd worsen your eyesight, end up somewhat socially inept, or even get a job in the industry once you grew up.

Social ineptness of nerds is not because they spend time in front of computers. It's much more the other way round: those with a predisposition to ineptitude like computers.

Is there any _scientific_ evidence rather than folklore/gut feeling backing up the sentence above?
> well Apple made PWA's harde

So. Let me get this straight. Android is dominant in the world. In first world countries it's 50/50 (though it's 69% in the EU). There are also desktops where Chrome is dominant.

And yet, somehow, there are still no amazing PWAs[1] that are the future as everyone claims, because somehow Apple prevents you from building them for those dominant platforms.

[1] Don't mention Figma or VSCode before you also mention how much effort went into implementing them.
> students getting ChatGPT to write their essays so they don't have to actually learn anything?

You know it’s funny but my math professor in high school had the same argument when I modeled a calculus problem in my computer to arrive at the answer numerically instead of analytically.

In elementary school calculators were banned because “students arent learning anything”

Then in high school and college Wikipedia was banned because “students arent learning anything, they’re just looking up facts”

But by end of college open laptop exams were popular because doing fast research during an exam is good actually.

Is writing repetitive uninsightful essays nobody wants to read a useful skill for humans?

PS: graphing calculators were super banned in high school, even after we started being allowed calculators. I hear these days graphing calculators are required. Progress marches on
Part of the problem is the faster and wider communication of these kinds of incidents. I think people can intuitively understand, at lowest, 5%* odds. Anything below that is either 5% or impossible unless you're mathing it out.

Hearing about these kinds of tail-case incidents at least once or twice a year is probably enough to bump them up to the 5% category.

*I'm not committed to any specific number here. The relevant threshold is "high enough to consider when making decisions".
I totally agree.

I have seen the changes working with children for over 20 years.

The mass media have a huge impact on parent's over protection of their children.

The media claims, which are untrue, that we live in a society with a rapist, a child abductor and paedophile in every street will no doubtedly have a chilling effect on parenting.

Schools also play a massive role in this by perpetuating this myth.

Every school in Surrey UK where I live have huge 8-10 feet high fences all around the school to prevent unwanted innocent passersby looking at the children playing and more scarily, to prevent those rapists, child abductors and paedophiles living in every street from entering the school grounds.

Children are living in prisons, constantly monitored by CCTV.

The panopticon designs of the buildings and environment.

What does this say to the children living in this protected environment?

It says; this is a very frightening place to be, there are dangerous predators who might abduct you.

No wonder then that children are presenting with acute anxiety disorders.

This is most probably why parents allow their children to have carte blache when it comes to internet access.

When I was a child in the 60's I roamed the streets from morning until night. I went home when I got hungry. Most children I knew had the same experience.

Are there more paedophiles living in the world today compared to 100 years ago? I doubt it.

One very strange phenomenon is that 95% of all child abuse happens in the family home by close family members and not by some stranger lurking in the shadows.
Is it? I seriously doubt it, and writing essays that get skimmed, graded and thrown into trash is a pointless task anyway.

People who want to cheat will always find ways to cheat. But if you genuinely want to learn something new then LLMs make it an order of magnitude easier, because they tell you exactly where to start, which resources to consider, giving you completely tailored answers to your problem or project, even if they're still oftentimes wrong. Google being increasingly useless in recent years also didn't help things.

I would not be surprised if in 20 years multimodal models are the main way to for most people to learn. There's always a lack of teachers, they're underpaid and forced to deal with an increasing amount of parent bullshit, half of them don't even have a good grasp of the topics they're teaching or just no longer give a fuck. Eventually there simply won't be enough of them and a personalized automated solution will just be better and cheaper. College professors? Probably in 10 years already and both them and the students will be happier for it, the former that can now finally focus on research and the latter for actually having a competent tutor instead of someone who has no aptitude for it but is forced to do it regardless.
2025 is 6 months away. There is absolutely no way a majority of applications will use it.
That sounds like an absolute nightmare
Which lints are you missing?
Leaf cutter ants bring back leaves which are used to cultivate a fungus that is eventually to be consumed by the ants.
> It is similar to how globalisation is making everywhere feel the same whereas in the past people had completely distinct cultures from one country to the next.

Huhu. Yet US Tik-Tokers travelling in Europe for holidays are losing their collective marbles about how coffee shops aren't opened 24/7

https://www.tiktok.com/@jackknightley/video/7373645420318248...

https://www.businessinsider.com/us-tourists-tiktok-drink-wat...
Not to mention boiling the oceans
Nigeria has lots of good stuff
That’s just the sideshow. The bubble has yet to start: very few AI companies are publicly tradable through direct stock purchases.
Arch Linux, because of Arch User Repository and documentation
... of Phil Hartman?
If you've got time to kill -- that says to me that it is faster, and therefore better. Time is money. How much time are we talking? If this is a 10x speed up on your research cycle then that sounds like a subtle revolution.
I’ve spoken about it in other threads, but I believe that a significant factor in the the weakening of neighborhood community is the need for people to move frequently (relative to the past) to have access to opportunity (whether it be education, employment, or something else). Each move means a total reset of social connections for the individual moving and a hole left behind in the community being moved out of. Eventually nobody in a neighborhood other than a handful of longtimers (likely retirees) knows each other and everybody is a stranger.

I think it would do an immense amount of good if employers in particular made greater efforts to allow employees to stay where they are, whether that be through small satellite offices or remote work.
> One of these forces is unfettered access to social media.

I think we should reframe this to make it a bit more clear who the enemy is: We're allowing ad companies unfettered access to our kids.

It's not communicating with their friends that's a problem, it's using a medium that is incentivized to encourage poor dopamine hygiene.

These platforms are designed to harm their users because unhealthy users are more profitable than healthy users.
Again, it's just better if you say what you're trying to say, instead of posting a bunch of links and let us figure it out.

I don't know how any of your links really let us weigh ARM's commitment to CHERI going forward, which is the point of discussion. Indeed, none of those 3 links has anything to do with ARM at all, other than the first mentioning Morello.

The comment you responded to is this:

> It's not clear to me if ARM (the company) is actually interested in pursuing Cheri
How much energy is being used to provide that $20 service?
No, per the original asker on Math Exchange SCP doubles the number of As, there's no need in their problem description to deselect. It's not the same as the typical C-a, C-c, C-v shortcuts on a modern computer where you'd need a deselect option after C-c. The C++ program produces a trace that also results in SCP doubling the size, or the 42 action sequence wouldn't even work. If you look at the trace that Hillel shows (and is on Math Overflow) it would only work out to 2304 As if you had to do SCPP to double the size and SCPPP to triple it. Which is quite a bit short of the target of 100,000.

> What I started thinking about was – If the steps of "select all", "copy" and "paste" are roughly counted as one step. Each step makes the number ×2, so it is a geometric progression with a common ratio of 2.

It's clear from that that he was not thinking of a paste following a select-copy as replacing what was already there.

EDIT: Typos
As a linguist, Larry was also acutely aware of the difference between prescriptive rules of grammar vs how language is actually spoken by real people, and in terms of informing Perl he always came down firmly on the side of the latter. And now perl is the gold standard for "regexes" even if they don't encode regular grammars anymore.
Thanks, not sure what's up with the downvotes, it's simply a fact of the math, and in particular the math here.

A computer random number generator with a seed deterministically based on MAC address is another less trivial demonstration of the idea.
Having used Debian stable, then testing, then sid, then migrated to archlinux, I can very confidently say that an arch Linux system will break infinitely less than Debian testing & sid
In general DRM/KMS can be quite confusing a there seems little userland documentation available. I assume you get the DMA buffers from the HDMI input somehow? If so, you should be able to use drmModeAddFB2WithModifiers to create a DRM framebuffer from them. Then attach that to a DRM plane, place that on a CRTC and then schedule a page flip after modesetting a video mode.

The advantage would be that you can directly run without starting into any kind of visual environment first. But it's a huge mess to get going: I wrote quite a bit of Pi4/5 code recently to make a zero copy HEVC/H264 decoder working and it was a quite a challenge. Maybe code like https://github.com/dvdhrm/docs/tree/master/drm-howto can help?
Arch. The documentation, packages, community and flexibility are great.
Absolutely there are no guarantees but it’s disingenuous to point to what’s happening and claim pikachu face levels of shock, when plenty of people did pay attention, did act accordingly, and things more or less went in their favour.

I’m not a fan of cargo culting “survivorship bias.” It’s flimsy.
If it were 1900 they'd blame newspapers for "damaging" kids. If it were 1930 they'd blame radio. If it were 1950 it'd be television. If it were 1980 it'd be video games. What all of these have in common is being completely bogus.
I think that's an exaggeration, especially for cutting boards. Unlike thickness planers, most drum sanders have an open frame. Even the smallest 16" units can handle projects that are 30" wide. And these units work perfectly fine off 115V.

You can crank out cutting boards like that with not much more than a bunch of clamps, a small drum sander, a miter saw, and a good vacuum cleaner - garage-friendly and under $2,000. The issue is the hours of manual labor you have to put into this, especially since people are not used to paying hundreds of dollars for a decorative cutting board.

There are custom cutting board businesses out there, but they just use a CNC mill to cut personalized shapes or messages in common stock. That's a larger capital investment but far less manual work.
I love academics complaining about lack of free speech while exercising said right. They seem to confuse right to free speech with freedom from criticism.
the evidence he cites is weak. it goes back only 12 years is not long enough to establish causality
As someone with some EtherCat and CNC experience, what’s your interface from gcode to your CNC? Have you written custom software or is there a EtherCat compatible gcode sender I’m unaware of?
Just because you played Quake doesn't mean the web is good for "vast majority of apps".

The web can barely display simple text and images without jank because that is inherent limitation of the DOM that you cannot escape (that, and the absolute dearth of useful controls and utilities in the browser).

You could of course build stuff with canvas/WebGPL/WebGPU, but then you have to reinvent the whole world from scratch because those are low-level (and in case of Canvas quite limited) APIs