skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
> If we start with 2410 GWh in 2023 and grow with 59% per year that gives us 61.917 GWh in 2030. That would mean almost exactly 8 doublings in 2030.

There's an order of magnitude error here. That's an increase of about 26x. 8 doublings would require an increase of 256x.

Now, anyone can make a simple math error. But, like, it should be totally obvious to anyone that 7 years of 60% annual growth can't possibly be anywhere near 8 years of 100% annual growth? Or if not anyone, then at least for someone like the author who spends the first page of the article bragging about their credentials in reasoning about exponential growth.

Edit: and this isn't just nitpicking, this faulty result is then used as the basis of the cost reduction estimates.
It's bothered me every now and then that the word "technical" is quite ambiguous. In German, we have a separate word for skills relating to any particular field, which is called "fachlich" ("field-y"). And then we have "technisch", which primarily means "relating to technology". Both translate to "technical". In the software world, I tend to express the former as "domain expertise", but it's not an exact match of what I mean usually.

Though in the first example given in the post, relating to technique, it's even ambiguous in German. The joys of natural language I suppose.
UK Startup Manifesto 2024 – An Open Letter
Measure your E-Peen using Python
Location: Atoyac de Alvarez, Guerrero. Mexico.
Remote: 100%
Willing to relocate: Maybe in the future
Technologies: Java, SQL, JavaScript, SQL
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Email: calebjosue-dev@outlook.com
Fair enough. It is a trade-off I guess.
Aren't then all projects waterfall projects? I cannot think of a project that didn't have some hard or soft deadline ever.
That seems less risky than pissing into the wind .. Lunduke appears to be a urophiliac.
"Technical" skills just means a person has or can switch to a "technical" mindset, which I find to be quite different from non-technical people. Not to say that one is better than the other, but I do find it much, much easier to communicate with other people who have "technical" skills than those who do not. Mainly because I also happen to think in similar way. In that regards, it's a very useful heuristic.
This is neat!

A more generic solution to research-tabsplosion is https://browser.horse, where EVERY link clicked opens in a new tab, but your tabs are stored as a tree.
Can you share places the I can get 1kwh if batteries for 89/kw shipped? I am waiting for a 14kw diy build set at 122/kw, that's the best I could find on Alibaba
Rixsteps take on .DS_Store - a much more enjoyable read.
https://rixstep.com/1/20030521,00.shtml

And a follow up article - https://rixstep.com/2/20061212,00.shtml
> The “technical skill” everyone talks about is coding

not really necessary or sufficient in many cases. the real question is whether or not someone has the background and interest to understand the details at hand and how they fit together.
Haven spoken to the authors, the really nice layout was done by the journal itself - the source paper is available on arxiv, and whilst a nice paper still, does not have the fancy photos of the authors embedded in sidebars and the like.
The main difference there is right now is that mobile operators have much better hardware because it's newer.
That makes it easier for them to implement government-requested blocks including using DPI.
The landscape is changing right now, that's true as each provider got it's own issues and tech abilities.

They can block services by IPs, but that the game they failed miserably while trying to block telegram. Also most modern VPNs(well at least Le VPN does it) rotate their IPs to avoid blocks. It's a lot of work, but that's a lot of work for those who try to block them too..

They can also block ports, but that's easy to change.

I saw them blocking the domain names, to kill the API communication of VPN apps, but that's a pathetic move too - you just buy another domain, push the update and that's it.

I'd recommend using Wireguard with Amnezia modification. It obfuscate the WG handshake as well as transport channel.
Yeah, the "softness" refers to epistemology, rather than emotional content.

> A knitted cap is technology, therefore knitting is a technical skill.

To offer a converse example, consider the creation and delivery of devastating rage-inducing insults. It isn't kind nor necessarily desirable on your team... but it's still a "soft skill" because it is hard to evaluate or formalize.
Not in flight, but Nerva had multiple prototypes built and tested - the longest run being over an hour long. It was cancelled due to politics, not technical viability.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NERVA
> Design choice

Presumably this is why Pu-238 is used for RTGs where power density matters; a half life of 87.7 years means a reasonably long working life using with only 1/3% of the mass compared to Pu-239.
Interesting that the job supply is highly co-relevant to interest rate. Thanks for sharing.
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They have also tried to use nuclear power for space propulsion. Here is a fun one: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Project_Orion_(nuclear_propuls...
But it's not the single factor?

> There are account recovery options outside of multi-device, but those require the attacker to compromise your primary email. These also take a minimum of 24 hours, during which you would receive email notifications, and could request a cancellation

https://help.twilio.com/articles/19753631468059

And for multi device you can require current device to approve new ones
> You also say it doesn't save in incognito but I can't find anything in the source code to support that claim.

Doesn't Chrome default to disabling extensions in incognito? So the extension wouldn't actually have to do anything itself for that to be true.
You're better off using an Nvidia Shield for that. You can swap that or the TV out independently as tech changes. You can also plug drives into it and play whatever media you want.
What was your setup? I'm currently going on that journey.
Terrible advice. I can’t imagine anyone following it. Not even Kafka.
British Gas has taken to removing their bank account details from their invoices so that you have to set up an online account with them and then set up a Direct Debit (permission to take arbitrary amounts of money from your UK bank account).
Yeah I think if you want to order from CATL directly, your chances for a reply are better if your order is worth some billions :-)

EVE cells are very famous in the DIY scene, you can get them via Alibaba/Aliexpress, or if you're in Europe from nkon.nl, they have a very good reputation.
Tbh, if you replaced the word "AI" with the word "technology" this sounds more like an overwhelming paranoia of power.

As technology progresses, there's also not much difference if the "creators" you listed pursued their goals with "dumb" technologies. People/Entities with differing interests will cross with your interests at some point and somebody will get hurt. The answer to such situations is the same as the past. You establish deterrence, you also adopt those technologies or AGI to serve your interests against their AGIs. And so balance is established.
Could try that FOSS ente app

And there is a FOSS app I forgot the name of to allow exporting Authy tokens from cli
A system that devolves when it comes in contact with reality,is not its idealized version bastardized. Its what it results in reproducible built after built in society. Nobody cares if the idea is pure.What matters is that the idea can not handle edge cases like the mgmt-dev relations becoming antagonistic.
I've been on the verge of buying one of these for a while, but I think my biggest problem is they don't offer international keyboards. Only US qwerty. It's not a huge problem, but definitely not preferable.
> every field has "technical" skills.

> they're simply the skills used to produce the work.

it's contextual, words can mean different things in different context.

in my work technical skills just means that you are a manager who progressed through engineering. you understand our problems and speak in the same terms.

non-technical is just someone from a different contextual background. although in their own context of dealing with humans ("soft skills") is also a "technical" skill in that it require specific skills which we engineers may not have.
This concept is also covered in a Taoist story about The Dexterous Butcher: https://www.bopsecrets.org/gateway/passages/chuang-tzu.htm
I find that English often lacks words to express the same thing I can say in German. There might be a word that's close but it's often subtly different or lacking in nuance.

Of course this also happens the other way around from time to time, but much less often. I wonder if it's because I'm biased as a German native speaker or because there really is a difference in the languages.
now start collecting user movement data with the visual recordings and we can eventually automate all the things
long read about the history of Reality TV.

I have never watched any of those.

I have always found it very interesting watching and listening to people "over identify" with Reality TV (though it is not reality) and Soap opera's.

Their lives must be so empty and boring that they have to constantly watch empty and boring TV shows.
> as the passing missile would shred the ground with sonic shockwaves

Reminds me of this “oopsie”:

> Three-quarters of the windows in an eight-block area of downtown were shattered by a sonic boom accidentally created by the Blue Angels, the U.S. Navy's flying aerobatic team

https://www.kelownadailycourier.ca/news/article_5e48d6a2-f6c...
Not OP but let me try to define by example. I've been programming for 19 years give or take, starting as a kid I'm now 29.

There are many parts of software engineering in several domains that are just second nature to me at this point, I don't think deeply about how to write or structure the code, it's simply an intuitive action and it's usually somewhat solid code when I finish producing it. I just write good code without having to think about how to write good code.

I've also become competent in several other domains as I've continued in the field and I can write good code in those domains, low level systems engineering as an example, however, I have to think through systematically how to structure the code and how to avoid memory issues etc etc. I'm competent, but it takes a bit longer and I'm actively considering structure etc, checking papers, reading docs more deeply.

I can say I'm competent and even good in those differing areas, but the amount of effort needed to achieve the perception of being good is a lot different between them. Some areas are basically effortless and some are effortful.

That's the distinction between unconscious competent and conscious competent as I would define it.
Scrap it, bad idea.
Neal Stephenson put this to good work in his novel Anathem.
How did they achieve 80 miles in that era?
From that page: Pylontech 5 kWh for 1198€ - so 250€/kWh is also possible :-)
I assume they are given the launch of snapdragon copilot laptops, and your witnessing it get drivers from windows update.
IMO the problem isn't the feature per se, but how it combines with an overall lack of ownership in a purchased product.

The contrast is between individuals being empowered with tools--dare I say capital--versus being squeezed by manufacturers-turned-rentiers.
Sometimes I still find the need to write a lot on a phone and it's thumb typing in a touch mobile device that frustrates me the most. I believe a good add-on keyboard, preferably just as portable as the phone, would have more use cases than a hollow laptop that can be just as big (and similarly less convenient) as a normal laptop.
This doesn't sync across devices/os, does it?
Except that my TV already has a computer running Android inside, so why would I want to spend a bunch more money on an additional device that just does the same thing?

If I could have saved a little money by getting a 65" monitor, this advice would make a lot of sense. But that's just not an option these days. You're getting a built-in computer whether you want it or not.

As for plugging in drives, it looks like you can only do that with either microSD or USB. Either way, doing that for every item I want to watch is very inconvenient compared to just using Jellyfin, which lets me browse everything on my PC.
You have (or had?) the realschule too. In German society "technical" skills of that sort were considered second class really behind the gymnasium.
Huh, this will affect all Nan-boxing vm's, like v8, luajit, etc. Didn't know that they even had this 5level config already. 9 bits less for additional types now. But in reality you would be fine even with the last 3 bits, as in most not-nan boxing fast vm's.
This is why I don't eat out.
To me it seems as if the selling points of these latest snapdragon chips is high efficiency/battery life and competitive performance, so given the efficiency angle it makes less sense to try to make gaming machines out of them right now. Maybe in the future there will be a gaming oriented snapdragon less concerned about battery life.
Do they offer a device-to-device sync with the desktop? Or is it all gone if you lose your phone?
> Not “open source” because I don’t want contributions

Minor nit: You can make something FOSS by publishing the code under a FOSS license. You don't have to accept PRs, you don't have to take bug reports or feature requests, you don't have to foster a community. Open Source can be as simple as "here is a tarball of source code that you can use", full stop. (As an extreme case in multiple senses, sqlite famously is public domain, and also generally doesn't take any contributions - https://www.sqlite.org/copyright.html )

Of course, you are fully entitled to go Source-available too, and if you want to facilitate audits without actually giving anyone else the right to use your code then that's the way to go. I just want to point out that there are options between "not FOSS" and "community-centric development".
Another way to look at it, is that there are people and there are things. Humans will inevitably have to interact with each other, at least in order to mate to prevent the species from dying out.

Arguably, everything involving people is communication overhead, the larger the organisational structure, the more communication overhead.

Anything non-people related are "things". This includes anything from planning, math, engineering, logistics, marketing.
> Kafka's life abounded with misery

Which is to say that his life was objectively mostly very comfortable (for the time) but still miserable in his personal experience.
Because I didn't know, I asked ChatGPT. For the benefit of those in a similar situation, I'm posting the output I got below.

---

"Everything Flows" by Vasily Grossman is a novel that explores the devastating impact of Soviet policies on the lives of individuals. Although the book does not focus exclusively on the Ukrainian Holodomor, it addresses the broader tragedies inflicted by the Soviet regime, including the forced famines in Ukraine. The Holodomor, specifically, was a man-made famine in Soviet Ukraine from 1932 to 1933 that caused the deaths of millions of Ukrainians due to starvation.

In the context of the novel, Grossman discusses the repercussions of such events on the human spirit and the moral compromises of those who survived. The narrative sometimes touches on how the Soviet authorities repopulated areas depopulated by famine and repression with new settlers, often people from other parts of the USSR, to consolidate control and continue the Sovietization process. The novel provides a deep reflection on guilt, suffering, and the resilience of the human spirit in the face of oppressive political systems.
World of Tomorrow (short film) [video]
The piece was definitely written by an AI.

And a bad one at that. It is a redundancy nightmare.

To save your time:

"In 1951, the United States military initiated a program aimed at developing a nuclear-powered aircraft capable of unlimited range (ANP program).

The program’s goal was to create a nuclear reactor small enough to fit into an aircraft yet powerful enough to provide the necessary thrust while ensuring the safety of the crew from radiation.

General Electric (GE) initiated the HTRE (Heat Transfer Reactor Experiment) series to create and refine the technology necessary for integrating a nuclear reactor with a jet engine.

The reactor in the HTRE-1 was essentially a modified version of existing nuclear technology adapted for aviation use.

The HTRE-2 tested different configurations and setups to optimize the efficiency of the nuclear jet engine concept.

The HTRE-3 featured a more compact and efficient reactor design that was closer to what would be needed for actual aircraft implementation. The HTRE-3 incorporated a modified General Electric J47 turbojet engine, which was a well-known engine in military aircraft at that time.
The HTRE-3’s design was sophisticated, involving a direct cycle in which the air passed directly through the reactor core, getting heated in the process and then expelled to generate thrust. Moreover, the HTRE-3 featured improved radiation shielding techniques

While the HTRE series ultimately did not result in operational nuclear-powered aircraft due to various strategic, technical, and ethical considerations, it significantly advanced the understanding of nuclear propulsion."
Yes and no. Yes, I believe it is overhyped and in many cases it causes more problems than it solves. For instance, it's easier to create content now, but the quality is usually mediocre at best. I think that's because whatever it's used for still depends on humans for its quality. You get average Joe using ai to code or write, the output is still going to be mediocre. It's just gotten easier and faster to produce it. To me that's a net loss. Companies now sprinkling AI features on everything is more likely to make me roll my eyes, it's become a gimmick.

At the same time I do think it's an incredible tool, and I personally do use it, as a sparring partner, to do quick experiments, to explore ideas or technology I don't have experience with. For example, in my current position I found myself constantly hitting limits with excel. AI enabled me to use Python, Pandas, Sklearn and other libraries to great effect. All stuff I didn't have prior experience with. So I understand the excitement.
Ants Perform Life-Saving Operations on Injured Nestmates, Similar to Humans
offtopic, is it secure to design a login that only requires username+TOTP?

This elimilates passwords altogether, but are there any pitfalls?
Autocorrect is one of the biggest misnomers in all of history, I think; in fact, it's downright Orwellian. It should be called "auto-incorrect".
We were lucky, and got ICBMs instead.
I think my expectations have become more realistic as time progresses, but no, I still enjoy the experience.

I just tackled an Arduino project for the first time. It was really nice being able to have AI talk me through the process, help me write in C++ which I'm not strong at, and generally be an accessible companion. I took on a project larger than I would've done without AI, and completed it more quickly and with more personal engagement than I would've done prior to LLMs being invented.

I don't think AI is going to magically generate the ROI that the market seems to believe, but it's such a nice modifier to my development process.
Unsure about this one.

I will give old Putin a quick phone call later and ask him.

I learned basic Russian at school in the mid 60's.

Russian used to be an option for languages along side French and German, though I cannot think for the life of me why it is now not part of the carriculum.
A related observation, where in many real-world data digit frequency can be predicted, is described by Benford's Law: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Benfords_law

However this law obviously does not apply to TOTP codes (unless someone did something very wrong).
... and there are reasons for the rollover odometer meme too.

Is the supposition that they didn't need the digit until recently? I doubt that was a concern - if any, more financial/cosmetic than engineering.

The older cars didn't fail spectacularly. The used car market is made mostly of these repairable cars.

Again, they lasted long enough for the odometer rollover... but also for Toyota trucks to become an icon. These 'junkers' (said lovingly) are how 'everyone' in the Midwest learns to drive and gets to their first job, too.

I'll close with my own crazy assertion! Leases are for people so bored with their work, they need financial commitments to spice things up
VR is a zombie category like flying cars that rears its head every 10 years or so. If there were anything to it, it would already be a thing. Instead, it is mostly a comical MacGuffin of 80's and 90's sci-fi movies and sells a few widgets now and then like Meta Quest. Anyone remember VRML? Or Sega's canceled Sega VR?

AR, OTOH, has immense, untapped potential to be ubiquitous and helpful albeit to a potentially intrusive degree if privacy isn't managed properly. The ambient, contextual-, and location-dependent helpfulness achievable of AR creates undeniable advantages.

AI code tools cannot create much usefully-intricate, specific, or reliably correct at this point. It's helpful for completing predictable sequences like advanced code completion, but that's about the limit of it's utility right now. At this moment, wisdom and experience of good engineers cannot be substituted to create custom, reliable solutions, but this may gradually change at some point.

Narrow AI will need to be progressively and iteratively tuned to make it more useful for specific point solutions, but there is almost zero hope of AGI ever being realized, much less a SkyNet or Johnny Number 5 scenario, without absurd computing infrastructure and ongoing electricity costs.
Well with the DIY route that's not a problem - nkon.nl is shipping to France as well, I guess? So there you can get EVE 280 Ah cells for about 100 €/kWh: https://www.nkon.nl/fr/rechargeable/lifepo4/prismatisch/eve-...
> No matter what, in the end the corporation has given a group of people what they wanted.

For example, environmental destruction and labor abuse. There is always "a group of people" that want that kind of thing. Not a majority, but that doesn't matter.
It's good you didn't correct them because they aren't the same thing. Wide flange beams have wider flanges that don't taper or taper less than I beams. Your architecture friends were probably using the right lingo.
I have to favorite mantras related to this:

There is nothing more permanent than temporary.

... and ...

We don't have time to do it right, but we do have time to do it twice.
Some combo of the ratepayer base and the taxpayer base, I assume.