skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
You say "that’s not how they’re making money", but the only reason anyone wants those A100s is because CUDA is pretty good. The hardware power is secondary in the sense that AMD is competitive with them — one could imagine a dominant AMD. But their stack is missing an API that works well.
Honestly I'm actually kind of impressed the ChatGPT (and its competitors) are as accurate as they are, considering that they are still kind of fundamentally fancy-autocomplete [1]. The fact that when I ask a question to ChatGPT and it's generally "accurate enough" is really quite impressive.

I'm not claiming it's perfect, and like Tim Cook I'm not 100% sure it's actually possible to get to a 0% error rate, particularly considering it's trained on data written by humans on the internet, and humans write a lot of really dumb shit on the internet all the time, and human curation can't possibly stop all of it. It's easy to tell the bot to not scrape obviously sketchy sites like Infowars or something, and maybe block some specific subreddits, but there's still always going to be very dumb people posting very dumb opinions [2] in the "mainstream" areas as well.

It's not weird to see really stupid stuff on actual news websites like CNN talking about "ghost sightings", and I'm not sure how you correct for that in your training. You could block CNN, but that's a pretty big repository of news that you're losing training on, and moreover how do you actually block a news website impartially?

[1] Not to undermine the cool stuff that's being done in the space, just my rough understanding of how the algo actually works.

[2] My HN history is probably included in this.
I don't know if Tech Dirt is supposed to be a real news site, but the only thing I feel as though I learned from this article is that the author really hates Grady Judd. I don't know anything about Grady Judd, maybe he's a real PoS. But if the author wants to convince people of that position, I think he'd do a better job if he toned down the outrageously passionate bias.
Didn't we discover this recently? Like some domestic drone company was supplying drones to the law enforcement but most of the parts and software came from DJI.

Yep: https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/24/business/china-drones-anz...
There are models that can provide references if you’d like
Their developers have intent. That intent is to give the perception of understanding/facts/logic without designing representations of such a thing, and with full knowledge that as a result, it will be routinely wrong in ways that would convey malicious intent if a human did it. I would say they are trained to deceive because if being correct was important, the developers would have taken an entirely different approach.
Edited. Too many moving pieces and not one-to-one comparable. Simplified by just using Chinese govt statistics alone.
The Forbes article linked above shows that 80% of Americans have $2,000 or less in savings. That's 80% of everyone, not just people living paycheck to paycheck.

That directly contradicts your claim that the majority has 3 months of emergency savings unless you're so out of touch to think that $2,000 is enough to last people 3 months.
No doubt you could construct a more diverse set, but it still wouldn't be creative.
numpy's API was carefully designed to match matlab, where most of its early users came from.
No Sabacc?
SPJ has left MSR and is now at Epic games, working on a new PL. However, even while he was at MSR, MS didn't really have a say in how Haskell was developed.
> Oh, there will be a winner.

Judd will also be a winner, his voters will only hear that he is using "AI" to fight crime and think he is a genius.
Tamagotchi is the best metaphor. Take a look at this old school BBS game "The Pit" - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iK69uCBtI18

Could you do a janky version of "Street Fighter" where your dude (and assistant/second character) both had permanent stats + inventory + needing to "rest" or "heal over time" to recover after the battle? Same, but it's more of an RPG "character card + inventory card" vs. "opponent character + opponent inventory"?

The concept of 1x$100 base, and 4x$15 playing cards seems approachable (vis: MTG booster packs).

Definitely look to have some sort of replaceable / lay-in play mat (see the little cards on this toy: https://www.amazon.com/VTech-80-178200-Drill-Learn-Toolbox/d... ). You could have a "Street Fighter" 2v2 playmat, or "Texas Hold-em" flop/turn/river mat. "Scan the QR Code, bluetooth connect to the base, load the 'game' into the device's memory", and then you're phone-free (forever) to negotiate between the base and the cards.

You're "missing" some sort of cover/door on the cards themselves (eg: configure the base station for texas hold'em, and how do you "shuffle" the two player cards w/o revealing their values to others?

Actually, what you should do is to put some sort of pin-pattern on the top that can be accessed from the front or the back (eg: four pins "as rivets" on left and right sides, two pins on top/bottom), so you could "load" or "shuffle" the card face up or face down.

Face-Up + buttons 1/2/3 => the display changes, you take your action, etc.

Face-Down + buttons 1/2/3 => the display changes, but the result is "hidden until revealed".

Another useful tool would be to allow some sort of spinners/selectors on the "cards" themselves (vis: el-grande's spinners: https://boardgamegeek.com/image/105293/el-grande ).

Being able to have some sort of dumb switches or a rotating selector on the cards themselves that are then "read" by the base station will let people do their thinking and take their turns "in their own hand" is super powerful (eg: let people select punch/kick/block on the cards in their hands vs. having to "dock" the card and only then being able to select punch/kick/block) is super-important to enable a smooth-flowing game instead of a novelty toy.

Overall, there's tons of cool options with it!
My dad was accidentally paying 89.99$ a month and hasn't used their service for a year. I cancelled it for him after going through his taxes/finances. They use all sorts of dark UX practices at signup and cancellation.

Honestly there should be a law where if you haven't logged into your account in 3 months you should get a notification asking if you want to cancel. It's one thing if the company is storing your data (like google photos) as that has an associated cost, but inactive accounts just feels like corporate theft.
Large Language Models for Forecasting and Anomaly Detection
Figma’s pricing is extremely exploitative too, it’s essentially designed in a way were trivial actions can instantiate new subscription seats that have to be manually removed.
Belief is a posterior distribution over a combination of priors and inputs. That’s literally the only thing LLMs currently do.
lmao, not what i said. fix your attention head.

metaphors grounded in reality are fine. otherwise don’t call it a “generator”
Yeah, that's shitty, and it's no excuse, but I understand that, as a company, Proton will still have to comply with Swiss law, and if Swiss law requires IP Address monitoring in "extreme criminal cases" which I doubt Proton has the ability to decide whether it fits that or not.

I saw in the article that Proton also offers an onion address, which will make the IP Address monitoring useless anyway. So they, legally, have to do the monitoring, but provide a tool that makes their "monitoring" useless.
I had always assumed that the UK killed it's tech industry by selling it all off for short term gain. That needs regulation to prevent.
Its mostly just people getting too excited (including PR departments).

Breakthroughs like these are an important step. They are not nothing but they are not the end of the journey either.
Grady Judd is a face you might recognize but just not have a name associated with. He does the press releases about crime fighting efforts in Florida. When there's a high profile crime or an operation that has taken place, he's the gentleman with the brown hair doing the talking.
But the insanely small batteries in AirPods might be fine. Maybe even smart watch sided, let’s face it those are close to coin cell sized.

It could still end up making a major difference.
The Hannibal Directive refers to preventing the kidnapping of soldiers, and it seems that in this case, it applied to civilian kidnappings as well. However, as this interview states, it was still used to prevent captures, by shooting at vehicles approaching the fence and crossing the Gaza-Israel border.

I respect your opinion, but as far as I can tell, it was not the main cause of Israeli losses at the Nova festival (and certainly not in the October 7th attacks in general).
Certified dank
Prior vendor relationships and standardization. It's too much of a PITA ($$$$ engineering time) for research SWEs to support and buyers also have to engage more vendors to handle multiple stacks. Meta and Microsoft generally standardize their shit as much as possible. Meta's Reality Labs is sort-of a special case in that it does more "throwaway"-type stuff, but it still aims to standardize and not deviate that much because it slows things down.
The problem with this analogy is the gold miners are not just trying to mine gold. They are simultaneously doing a bunch of other economic activities that generally make money, as well as trying to mine gold. Some are selling yearbooks back at camp, or putting on plays, or selling food, etc.

nvidia can't make more money than the client companies make altogether, but they certainly can make more money than any(/all) of the client companies make using nvidia's products. It could be the case(and currently is the case) that other non-AI revenue streams are just being handed over to nvidia in the hopes the AI revenue streams take off eventually.
To be fair, if you've seen one Summoning Salt video, you've basically seen them all. They all cover similar events and are structured the same way. Even the music that's used is recycled every video to the point where mention HOME - Resonance is a part of the joke
All Xi has to do is stop barreling towards an invasion of Taiwan.

The U.S., Europe, and Japan need to create and enhance a drone industrial base before China invades Taiwan. By the time it has invaded, creating the industrial base will be too late.

Also, China has created DJI through government-sponsored industrial policy, not via open markets.
One mistake won't cause you to fall of unless you put yourself in a position where one mistake would lead to this: aka riding right next to the edge.
After Effects competition is the furthest away I feel. Everything else I could get by but nothing has the same toolset as AE
Solid state battery rules out some flammability failure modes, but introduces one: dendrite growth, creating a short. They need to prove that they've eliminated that before we can call it safe.
All the chat LLMs have a non zero temperature which means they can be looser with the truth or more creative.
I like this idea,

Or even better it could run on credits. 100 credits per month, and then various things in the software cost a credit each. Load a file = 1 credit. Save a file = 1 credit, etc.

You could even turn this into an ecosystem by itself, so instead of buying or 'renting' the software users are buying credits to actuallyt operate the software.

Newer features like AI could cost more credits up front.
There could be sales on credits etc.

Somebody please show me a downside to this model?
> Okay, but what will happen if US goes to war with China?

Actual armed conflict? Total annihilation. Neither side wants this. Its why China will not invade Taiwan, and why the US won't put its boot on the neck of the China.
Render and Diffuse: Aligning Image and Action for Behaviour Cloning
Back in the day (a decade ago) you would go to the lab which had Autodesk/Solidworks/Matlab/Adobe/$expensive-software installed instead of buying it for your personal (and probably underpowered) device. It was one of the few things that your tuition actually paid for.

And you'd have to learn time management to make sure you could get your project done on time instead of crunching at the last minute, because the lab would be filled with people who didn't.

</grumble>
CorelDraw is great, but for years they were also subscription-only. In the last six months or so they finally started offering a single-price license again--at a prohibitive level.

I bought the previous single-price version years ago, and it's so stale that I prefer to use Inkscape, despite the more limited feature set, and I've been using the Affinity suite as a more professional replacement.

Now it looks like they let you buy it again, but at $550, I'm still giving them the finger. Their upgrade price used to be ~$200; I would pay that once ever 3-4 years or so, and consider that a reasonable expense to get a good product and have it available when I did need it. But for $550, I'd need to be planning on keeping it for something like a decade to get a similar value--and it's too much to justify buying at my limited usage level.

All of these subscription services should get over themselves and allow you to rent them for occasional usage for a reasonable amount of money. If I could give them $20 for intermittent (time-limited? operation-limited?) use, with no "auto-renewal", I might do that every time I actually needed the product.

But no, they need to be greedy and demand that you pay for a year of usage in advance (or by using deceptive practices like Adobe above).

I've used Paint Shop Pro, and I really don't like it. I can use Corel PhotoPaint and Affinity Photo, and they're fine, but PSP makes me crazy when I try to use it. I'd almost rather use Gimp.
I wish there was a way for the public to vote on all of these bills! We need to be able to give feedback to these senators about what the public wants. And to me the public wants DJI.
In most human interactions, do people site their sources? If someone doesn't want to tell you something because it makes them uncomfortable, do they tell you that or do they lie to you to make you feel better?

I'm with you, it would be nice if LLMs could do those things, but also I don't expect my human friends to do that, so I'm not sure why I should expect it of my AI.
So Westinghouse sold the Chinese 4x AP1000, knowing full well that the Chinese would learn, document and then copy/clone the designs all over. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AP1000

Which is exactly what happened; with the follow-on that any improvements are patented and the patent rights are owned solely by the Chinese:

"In 2008 and 2009, Westinghouse made agreements to work with the Chinese State Nuclear Power Technology Corporation (SNPTC) and other institutes to develop a larger design, the CAP1400 of 1,400 MWe capacity, possibly followed by a 1,700 MWe design. China will own the patent rights for these larger designs. Exporting the new larger units may be possible with Westinghouse's cooperation."
Unison tries to swallow the whole elephant all at once, which is probably what the author is getting at.

* `ucm` is like a coding assistant that sits with you the whole time. You don't grep through code to find snippets or anything, you use `ucm`. It does a whole lot more, but that's just the trivial example.

* You need `ucm` because Unison stores code as a syntax tree, not text. This is awesome because versioning/dependency conflicts/rename issues just go away. This is not awesome because nothing else knows how to understand this: other source control systems will just not work.

* It's really trying to drag functional coding into this decade and what we use code for in production. It's not trying to be Haskell which is a great language, but doesn't (to me) feel like it was designed to do something like a simple web app.

* It is supposed to do distributed cloud computing without modification (this smells like where the VC money came from), but again, you have to use their platform because other clouds don't understand Unison.

The list goes on.

Each individual piece of Unison I think is really great. I love the `ucm` model of having an assistant sit next to you the whole time. What I don't love is that there is just _so much_ learning placed on the developer. To understand Unison, you need to understand a lot of what they're doing, a lot of what they are doing is novel, and so you have to eat the whole elephant that they are. I don't know if there was a path where they could have eaten the elephant one bite at a time, but it really makes the onboarding onerous.
Adobe software isn't quite "good" in my experience. The company is an Oracle: all-in on giving the right bullet points to pointy-haired managers but with a palpable paucity of technical merit.

I have to work with Adobe Experience Manager and it's a weird, painful, slow/inefficient kludge, not to even get into the licensing terms and what devs are "allowed" to do on their own servers.

Acrobat Reader stands out in my memory only as that extremely slow, bloated thing you launched by accident, then closed 5 minutes later once it loaded to use Sumatara instead.

They killed Flash by neglect after buying it from Macromedia - we might still have it around if they invested in it properly and made it up to par for the iPod. Thankfully we finally have good emulators that work in the browser to see the vast amount of old Flash content.

Creative Suite is fine and mostly functional from what I hear, but they didn't make that codebase either, and I've never felt limited by free or cheaper alternatives like GIMP or Sony Vegas. (I find it baffling how people rag on GIMP - I use it in a professional and personal capacity and I love it, and I'm familiar enough with Photoshop to compare it.)
I mean essentially it boils down to the fact that none of the huge cloud providers - for now at least - produce their own hardware enmasse.

The moment it happens, Nvidia will stop being that profitable from hardware sales there. For now they should be able to break records YoY. And indeed it feels like 2-3 years it will last.
The bi annual push for chat control (key „escrow”)
QXO Doesn't Have Enough Stock
For the same reason that you would care with Photoshop or Premier or Lightroom; you're investing money in learning and building your workflow around a tool that is guaranteed to go down the subscription and enshittification path.
Most hardware has no reason to require direct internet access or an account with the manufacturer to work. If some device requires internet access, then it cannot be trusted to not transmit personal data, therefore it should be possible to replace the software on that device, so that something that is trusted by the consumer can be installed.

While DJI here might create good hardware, their internet and account requirement makes it uncontrollable by the consumer, so I do understand that some consumers or, the possible more security aware US, will not trust it. But for the same reason China and other countries might not trust Apple or similar.

Trust is something that needs to be earned and which has to go both ways, if a company doesn't trust their users, and prevents people using their bought products however they like, then why should their users trust the company and let their uncontrollable software record their private lives and possible report back to them?
It wasn't just against China, they were campaigning against all non-western vaccines. Either you get Phizer/Astra-Zenka, or that evil Chinese/Russian/whatever liquid will make your eyes bleed out.

It's not even a "secret", you can just read "Radio Free Europe": the messaging was absolutely obvious.
Some useless fun about the halting problem is that it only works in a mathematical sense, because all real-world programs halt if given enough time. The heat death of the universe comes for us all in the end.
Pioneering studies show promise in sequencing a baby's genome at birth
https://www.washingtonpost.com/science/2024/06/17/sequence-b...
Would be nice to see the numbers
I tell my developers that each mock you use costs you $100. Maybe it is worth it, but probably not.

No I don't really charge em – but it gets the idea across that mocks have costs that you don't always see up front.
I cannot see how this will pass legal challenge. Banning a Drone Manufacturer simply because the manufacturer is Chinese?

There aren't ties to the Chinese military, are there?
Sure, but that's not any different in EU. Lobbyism exists here, too.

But the social differences of the two markets remain.
Then we are lucky they didn't decide to start their arrays at 1 :-)
Is that the exact situation that subscription pricing (in principle) solves? If you only use it thrice a year then you can pay for it as you go instead of needing pay for the thing outright.
Spain's AI Doctor
I know that the subtext to this is that GPUs will possibly be affordable again, and to that, all I can say is, don't play with my emotions.
I wouldn't pay $1 for Photoshop when GIMP is free and open source. It's been my daily driver in a personal and professional capacity for ages, and Photoshop offers nothing special for me.
> he went to Oregon State and worked at a Denny's while Lisa Su went to Bronx Science and on to MIT.

Seems like a bad vibe to imply someone shouldn't aspire to go to state school or work a humble job for money to get through it, even though given both options, indeed they may dream about the fancy one. Denny's has the best milkshakes anyway and state school is probably a much more sensible place to attend.
It's not. The quality stayed the same, even improved. It's run of the mill monopoly pricing.
OK so I just setup a blank controller (version 8.2.93, latest stable), no UI account (you just click "Advanced setup" and then skip when it tries to get you to supply an account), I then adopted a factory reset UniFi AP AC HD I had laying around, it accepted it without complaints, and automatically updated it to the latest firmware available (this is an option that's on by default in the controller software).

I then factory reset the AP AC HD again, and set it up as a standalone AP using the Android app on a freshly reset Pixel 6 running the latest version of Graphene OS.

Both methods worked fine to setup the AP without any UI accounts involved.

This is available on all APs able to run the current version of the AP firmware, which is literally all the APs released since and including the AP AC Lite (which is from 2014 or thereabouts, they support their devices for a very long period).

7 Pro Max is the current top-end model.

I highly recommend setting up a controller for managing the AP though, even if you don't keep it running 24/7 (you can simply start it on any PC whenever you want to make configuration changes), as when they're in standalone mode a lot of the cool features don't work, you only get one SSID (per radio) and no roaming support for example, whereas when managed by the controller you can have up to 8 SSIDs per radio on the latest APs, you can access telemetry, setup roaming, etc.
Might I suggest asking a friend who you trust to read the thread and share their thoughts with you - because I thought we just disagreed, and I didn't think much of your opinion, but saying that either of us have "made up scenarios" means you're just completely misunderstanding something we've said (giving you the benefit of the doubt that you didn't write that knowing it's nonsense in the hope that it saves you face).
Is this really a Poisson process?

Assuming that every Job succeeds with the same probability -> Bernoulli Process.

The probability of overall success would still be exponential (p^n).
Can start with the number of unicorns in USA vs Europe, especially when you take population in to account https://www.failory.com/unicorns
I don’t have direct experience, so I could be wrong. But, I believe a lot of the nice stuff that CUDA brings along is profiling and performance related, that is, most useful if you are writing the code yourself. Plus, if the ecosystem is not quite as stable, but it is mostly AMD’s engineers writing the library that have to deal with it, they have more latitude to just not go down the buggy or bad-performance code-paths.