skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
> I never claimed that my strategy beats the sp500. It has underperformed, especially the way the market has been. The market has returned 25% over the last year.

After two years of research, you have developed a trading strategy that, compared to the S&P 500, "has underperformed, especially the way the market has been"?

> The expected performance of the strategy is somewhere between 10% and 30%, but it is not clear what exactly.

If a profitable pattern exists, what makes you think nobody else has found it and that it will continue to exist in the future? Is it because few people look for these profitable patterns? Are they poorly funded? Do they lack incentives to do it?

> I don't think it's necessarily fair to call others "dumb money". They can hold for longer and still profit with the market.

"Dumb money" refers to hobby traders who believe stock trading will make them rich. Some rely on gut feelings, while others use advice from astrology or technical analysis. Why do you suppose professional traders pay for order flow from such traders?

> The market is not a zero sum game because the market capitalization is several multiples of the total invested funds. The market is a money printer in its own way.

For every trade, there is a counterparty on the other side, and your gain is their loss and vice versa. This makes trading a zero-sum activity.
Furthermore, for every trade, there are middlemen who charge fees, making trading a negative-sum activity.

Long-term buying and holding is positive-sum investing and does not require a trading strategy or searching for profitable patterns.

> Precious metals as a currency do not work because the government doesn't have the freedom to mint an unlimited supply of hard assets.

The purpose of a currency is to facilitate transactions and maintain stable prices in the short term while losing value in the long term to discourage hoarding. Gold cannot achieve this because the amount of gold cannot be adjusted to match the size of the economy as it grows or shrinks. When the economy grows, using gold as money will cause it to stall because people will save up gold as it becomes more valuable instead of spending it. Deflationary currencies like gold are detrimental to economic growth, which is why modern countries no longer use them.

> The government holds a gun to people's heads, locking them up if they don't use the highly inflationary national currencies.

Are you surprised by inflation? Saving your wealth using a currency does not make sense since it is designed to lose value over time.

If you prefer precious metals, what prevents you from keeping your wealth in gold (a negative-sum asset) and converting it to fiat currency only when needed?

> Countries are run by politicians, bureaucrats, and armed police mafia who care about their paycheck and pensions which wouldn't be so big if not for free moneyprinting at the expense of the citizenry. The people do not have freedom of their choice of money.

Countries are "owned" by their voters. Government debts are your debts. Inflation is just another tax like other taxes. If you are dissatisfied with the current situation, get involved to change it.
Or just taking it with a grain of salt since it’s David Frum. :)
At least in the US, modernity has pretty well trashed our food supply and education system. Those both seem pretty important.
> A party in power will seek to nullify issues by putting forward and then defeating sham bills.

Presumably the three strikes would be for the politicians, e.g. if you have voted in favor of three bills that courts have subsequently found unconstitutional, you're barred from holding office.
Show HN: I made GPT-4 Bot that diagnosis car problems
Hi HN,

Recently I bought my first car, without inspecting it first (rookie mistake, I know).

And after just couple of days all the weird behaviors started. I had no clue what's going on.

That's why I created MechanicBotAI, a tool that helps you figure it out in seconds.
So per the article the PM said:

> “When I first met President Xi Jinping, I was attracted to him because President Xi is one of the few outstanding leaders who talks about civilisation. In a sense, he is unique,” he was quoted as saying.

But last year we had a headline like "Malaysia rejects new China map claiming entire South China Sea":

* https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/8/31/malaysia-rejects-ne...

Curious to see how the ocean dispute will play into this.
Is that even the correct ratio?

<= 14 males per female?

Surely it’s even more skewed than that.
> the worst things that people can come up with on 4chan because they're by definition obvious

If they're finding your flag through star patterns and flying drones at it to set it on fire, I think they go a bit deeper than "obvious".
When you have democracy the democratic process is now available to undermine it.
Interesting, because it's barely usable on my android phone
I’m sure it’s closed source for the eventual plans to monetize it, but what’s the real difference to something like https://github.com/NavyTitanium/Fake-Sandbox-Artifacts and why can’t you at least name yourselves?

Not many software promises to fend off attackers, asks for an email address before download, and creates a bunch of processes using a closed source dll the existence of which can easily be checked.

Then again, not many malware targeting consumers at random check for security software. You are more likely to see a malware stop working if you fake the amount of ram and cpu and your network driver vendor than if you have CrowdStrike, etc. running.
Yeah, it seems by naming the game "Museum", they're trying to appeal to a preservation angle, but then modifying the games seems to undermine the point
killedbymkbhd.com

Jokes aside, they sort of "deserve" it - given their product
Many unpopular laws are passed during major sports events, soccer world cup, olympucs and/or during summer holidays season.
Hi, I'm Nikola.
I realized I know nothing about cars, so I created something that helps out a bit.
You make a good point, I was not clear at all on the scope of my statement. I am thinking about my own countries constitution. I am not familiar with UKs constitution [1], so I don't really know if "control chat" violates the UK's constitution or not. When I said "nefarious", I was in part referring to undermining a countries constitution, as it is illegal to do so. No, I think that proposing laws that clearly undermine the constitution should be stopped immediately at the time of proposal by the constitution itself. 0-strikes for the proposal. 0-strikes here was not meant to suggest the politician be thrown in jail or anything like that. But, I agree with you in that I was unclear.

Again, my statement above was poorly worded. This is what I meant by prosecuting for nefarious behavior: It is my belief that government behavior would be better kept in check if elect officials were under constant investigation for criminal acts. Society should have gauntness that their nation is being run by good actors. Those running our country should be legally obligated to be working towards making the society that they serve thrive, not using it as a platform for organized crime, influencing the outcomes of their personal investments, or traitorous behavior like ruining a nations economy to empower another nation.

[1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Constitution_of_the_United_Kin...
difficult balancing act. Having a legislative body throwing fundamental rights out of the window isn't appealing either.
> Sorry, I don't follow. Am I misreading something? To me the the quoted text says the opposite.

Yeah me too. But how would the provider report CSAM content if they are not obliged to break encryption? I don't really follow the Regulation on that part.
It creates a diversion. Classic move from cartoons.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hzYOdO4pEyI

It works in real life too. Distract the public for long enough that few people make a stink and the law gets through. When people complain later it’s “Oops, we didn’t know, no one seemed to care. Well, nothing we can do now”. Much harder to do that if everyone is shouting at you to not do the thing.
Note that this already happens to Malaysia. It won’t get better or worse by joining BRICS.
This could be a sensory processing disorder of some sort. Sensory processing disorders can cause issues with noise sensitivities, or light sensitivities or issues with texture etc.
often people with ADHD, autism, both, or similar experience things like this.

But if it’s a new recent development that you haven’t always had and it’s becoming more disruptive to your life/causing more dysfunction it could be worth talking to a doctor (neurologist) about it.
It is more complicated than that. There are more criteria for when you need an imprint:

(1) any kind of journalistic content on your site

(2) any kind of financial gain from showing ads or making ads

(3) organizing any kind of group of people active on German territory

(4) running a business website

There might be more, but those are the ones I remember from reading the paragraphs a while ago.

And these are, of course, vague, which means that even something like "my favorite restaurants in Berlin" could be considered an ad, or any kind of comment on politics might be considered a form of journalism.

I dislike these rules, because they basically kill German blogging scene. Not so many people want to run a blog and have every idiot on the Internet know their personal address. And few bloggers want to rent a digital office or actual office, that will send mail to them (an indirection). The German law in this respect is terrible and working against a free Internet and against freedom of voicing your opinion. It works greatly in favor for tech giants, because people resort to putting their blogging on Facebook, Instagram and other disservices. It is very anti-decentralization.
I've wondered about this also. I haven't heard any reporting that mentions whether or not these drugs cause a change in the desire for sex also.
I was resisting criticism of him and The Atlantic this one time. :)
Want to check how many died in Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya and Syria between 2001 and now as a direct consequence of Western military action, versus how many people the PLA killed in foreign interventions in the same period?

Hint: the former - hundreds of thousands, the latter - zero
> What problem here would be solved by ratifying a constitution?

Admittedly, a narrow one: clearly delineating unconstitutional behaviour and allowing it to be called out.

> collection of member state treaties is for ~all intents and purposes a constitution, just not in a single document

That morass makes it difficult for the public to cleanly digest when something is blatantly unconstitutional. (Britain has a similar problem.)
It happens in EU too

The demographic composition of intra-EU migrants by nationality has remained broadly unchanged: Romanians make up the largest group, accounting for 27 per cent of intra-EU migrants, followed by Poles (12 per cent) and Italians (10 per cent). The main “contributors” to this exodus are the economic powerhouses – Germany and Luxembourg in the EU, but also Switzerland
>> GPT-4 did "okay", but in some cases it felt like it was falling for the classic LLM issue of saying all the right things but then then failing to grasp some critical bit of logic and missing the solution entirely.

It still is. It misses the solution so comprehensively that it needs an outer loop to figure out which one is the solution out of 8k programs GPT-4o generates.
BT speaks out against Vodafone and Three's mobile marriage plans
> if you have voted in favor of three bills that courts have subsequently found unconstitutional, you're barred from holding office

Would you look at that, everyone who was passing court reform is now barred from office.

You’re looking for a cheat code to effort in government. It doesn’t exist. Power is ephemeral. The person in power is always more powerful than the person who just had it, almost by definition.
Came here just to say F Cox internet! Screw them they’re such a trash ass ISP
There's single-mode hollow-core fibers - which constrain the light via non-refractive / non-dielectric physics magic, i.e. without slowing down, to the hollow core. Not yet commercially available, I think.
The fact it's possible to not ponder shows consciousness doesn't depend on pondering.

I can't see how distracting yourself with something else (thoughts) could make you more conscious.
I seriously doubt that agencies have more capabilities than the scientific community of mathematicians. Perhaps there are weak points in implementations, but I don't believe any agency has the capabilities to crack encryption, even some of the older algorithms.

There is no evidence that a quantum computer can break classic encryption yet. Even if the agencies tried, they would not have the means to stop the spread of such information.

And finally, we wouldn't get laws like this.
Ooooh thanks, I was so hell bent on complaining that I didn't even try ff extensions and other tricks.
There's alien hand syndrome in split-brain people, where the verbal hemisphere will invent its own confidently incorrect explanation of "why I just did that" when the non-verbal hemisphere does something with the hand it controls. And there's Marvin Minsky's society of mind. But none of this undermines free will, it just means the will is a function of lots of components, only some of which are involved in contemplative thought (and not necessarily verbally).
This.

Anyone that voted for a law that is later struck down committed an illegal act, and should be liable for it.
Maybe.

How is it different from now when you can record a conversation you have? or forward an email to the police?
I'm the same but I tend to remember very precisely what people say. My partner is the opposite and yeah it's frustrating as hell especially when I'm being misquoted from mere minutes ago.
That’s a really cool description. Makes me think about people complaining of having unwelcome images brought to mind. Which I can relate to through songs. If someone says Baby Shark it’s going to start playing whether I want it to or not.

For me when someone asks “What color is it?” I think to myself “I don’t know you’re the one telling the story you tell me.”
Assuming it passes, what are some good alternative ways to communicate securely?

I was thinking a webapp of an open source app such as Element (matrix) is a good candidate. Also converse.js, and Movim (xmpp).

Me being Swedish I totally expect to have one Android phone for my eID app, and one with an open source OS for everything else.

It was good while it lasted, making orders on my phone from anywhere in the world. But now I'll have to go home to get my eID device, which is fine.
> What about event planners, nurses, military officers?

As a Dutch ex-Navy officer, we just called this "friction" as everyone had read Von Clausewitz during officer training and was familiar with the nuances of the term. Militaries overwhelmingly address this problem by increasing redundancy, so that there are as few single points of failures as possible. It is very rare to encounter a role that can only be filled by a single person, a well designed military organization will always have a plan for replacing any single individual should they accidentally die.
> Having a legislative body throwing fundamental rights out of the window isn't appealing either

They’re not. They’re discussing it. Even if they pass it, it’s subject to court review.
I should have the reflex to try things like that in the console more often.
Pulling off a completely fake story is one thing.

An elderly survivor of one bomb carrying out identity theft in order to claim to have survived both bombs is another thing entirely.
Vietnam's internet again in trouble as three of five submarine cables go down
Signal uses post-quantum encryption
Reminds me of NVIDIA Eureka:
https://github.com/eureka-research/Eureka
I’ve found the opposite to be true of him. Can you point to things he’s said that make you take him with a grain of salt?
Proton: Surfing the Wave of Windows Compatibility on Linux
It's a little ironic how the same legislative body that came up with GDPR is now implementing coerced consent. I believe they would also bar you from sending links, so no easy bypass with an image server.
MURICA

Malaysia, UAE, Russia, India, China, And others
It's a really nasty feeling to live in a society influenced by politicians in power with ideas so far away from my own, while also having little influence over their decisions, unless I give up what I like doing and go into lobbying (or politics, which seems to me like the poor man's lobbying)

I've sent an e-mail to the permanent representative in the country I live in, but I feel particularly blindsided knowing about such a decision on the same day it is voted. And angry for all the people, especially journalist friends, that are out there and unaware of what's going on.

I'm not sure this is what democracy is supposed to feel like, but if it is, it feels like shit.
I'm seeing more value in your comment than, apparently, the other people who have answered it here.

I think you are 100% right that above-the-law communication is not good for society. This should be obvious. At the same time, allowing government to be able to spy everywhere is also not good for society. Also obvious. The correct solution is therefore something in the middle.

I'm not convinced by the other arguments here that usually contains a hint of slippery-slope, what-aboutism or false dichotomy fallacies.

The proposed legislation is terrible: it is not balanced and does not contain any safeguard to avoid abuse.
However, it does not mean that the equally terrible situation of having easy way for criminals to avoid justice is the good solution either.

Personally, I think that a good system should be a distributed system where several independent justice organizations share the set of key needed to decrypt (for example, a message can be decrypted only if Amnesty International, Interpol and the Austrian Justice Department put their 3 keys together, each individual key being useless on its own). In this model, abuses are almost impossible while obvious crime can still be investigated. I don't know any argument that really works to say that this model is not always better than the free-for-all-all-anonymised-messaging.

Such ideas already exist, and David Chaum even came up with proof of concept of something similar
https://www.wired.com/2016/01/david-chaum-father-of-online-a...
More display of collateral damage from the unconditional support for Israel showing how much of the Islamic world has forgotten about the treatment of Uyghurs. Another win for China.
It's impossible for the EU to apply any meaningful enforcement action to a P2P encrypted chat system made by non EU citizen developers residing in a non EU country. Sure, the EU can declare your app is subject to this law, but then what?
> The most popular “e2ee” messengers in use (WhatsApp, iMessage) are already clientside backdoored in this manner.

No they are not. This is nonsense. The charitable interpretation is that you’re confusing the systems on iMessage that can voluntarily detect nudity and report it to you (but not the police or Apple) with the systems being proposed in TFA which have mandatory reporting to provider+police. The uncharitable interpretation is that you’re just making stuff up because it sounds good. Please don’t do either, it makes everyone worse off.
They often do here as well. It’s just very situational whether they have the ability to levy a fine directly, force action (e.g. the FAA can decide that an airplane is unsafe and they’re immediately grounded), or sue. Consistency would be nice, but every time someone proposes changes they’re going to hit industry opposition unless there was just a big failure, at which point they’ll probably try to let it go forward enough for the initial news to fade and then water it down.
The samples you gave make no sense.

Firstly, a person suffering from ADHD can do the dishes, despite the odds being against them. And a paralyzed person can raise their hand, given advances in technology.

And these are bad examples, as being incapacitated isn't an argument against free-will. The paralyzed still wants to raise their hand, even if they are unable at the moment. And the far more difficult question is if that want was entirely predetermined by the universe or not.

Quantum randomness and the huge number of variables at play point to the fact that believing that we don't have free-will is a non-falsifiable notion.

Consider this thought experiment: God comes to you and says ... "Here are 2 universes you can observe, one in which people have free-will, and another, that looks similar, but its people are just sophisticated automatons. Make an experiment to say which is which."

Your irrefutable argument quickly falls apart because there's no way you can show any relevant evidence for it. And it's worse than talking about the absence of God, because we experience free-will everyday. It's like talking of consciousness — we can't define it yet, but we know it's real, as we're thinking and talking about it. And a theory being non-falsifiable does not make it false. God could exist and you could have a soul.

You may or may not believe in free-will. But not believing in free-will is dangerous because it makes one believe that everything is predestined, so there's no point to doing anything, no point in struggling to achieve anything, no point in trying to escape your condition. If no free-will is possible, does life have any value at all? And that's the actual philosophical bullshit.
ICBM is likely to deliver a nuke. Which will probably take out a 20 km radius circular area. It is not going to be used to target a base with 100 soldiers.
> How many people did actually bother to vote in Germany?

People (including me) doesn't want to bother with voting when the whole thing is a farce - it's beyond my understanding why would someone be enticed to vote for incompetent politicians who get parachuted into EU parliament to earn hefty wage - very often as a reward for outrageous behavior, there are multiple examples of this, influencer from Cyprus, that polish MP who got expelled from Poland's parliament for outrageous behavior - surprise surprise - he got comfy EP seat.
Absolutely disgusting.
Well if they're modeling if after what we have in the US they pretty much nailed it. 435 representatives for 330M people or around 758k constituents per rep.
Isn’t that moving code around, not deleting it?
>> Program synthesis has been mentioned as a promising approach by François Chollet, and that's exactly what this is.

To be precise, "this" -a bog-standard generate-and-test approach- is the dumbest possible way to do program synthesis. It's like sorting lists with bogosort and a very big computer.

It's exactly like bogosort: generate permutations and test. Except of course the system that generates permutations costs a few millions(?).
I think you are confusing can’t with didn’t. In this era of auto correct and typing on mobile devices a bit of leeway should be given to minor spelling mistakes.
What if it was born with a disability?
It is substantially less skewed than that.
> If we had direct democracy, this bill would have passed decades ago.

And repealed also decades ago.
Good points. Difficult questions. I was thinking it is tied to the physical device. So you would register a laptop when you buy it with the state and the key would be in the HSM. So the main differences would be:

1. Give my name and address to activate a device
2. "The internet" requires authentication via the HSM.
I’m curious how the broad east would compete in writing

Btw how do you know he/she was from west?
I have the Duo, Duo 256M, the development board and the Duo S.

However these are so versatile I wish I bought even more...
Brexit looking good right now.
While this page brings up a lot of good points, the extreme leftist vocabulary and viewpoint is off-putting to me, though I guess that's necessary to get the point across to anarchists.