skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
This is how it will play out in the next 20-30 years you are thinking about

> They can't do a firesale of US bonds

they aren’t buying a lot of new American bonds and keeping the bond market strong with private buyers. It is why the fed buying treasury bills in the quantities they do is troubling.

Interest rates aren’t going to back zero, they will drop from the current highs but interest will remain positive.

The debt to GDP ratio has jumped massively in last 40 years from 30 % to 60% in 2000s and now 120%, that is an impressive amount of spending considering how large the US economy is . [1]

At some point the either spending on programs have to be cut or taxation has to increased, or inflation has to be allowed to increase significantly to service it.

The policy paralysis in Washington almost by design will not allow for either of the first two solutions to happen which would be internal to the country, so likely in next 20-30 years we are looking at runaway inflation .

At the point dominoes will be too late to control, if dollar no longer is a strong reserve currency , interest rates will go up , either we default or massively rebalance the economy after getting a bail out (! No country or institution like IMF is large enough to remotely even attempt bailing out America ) .

The pain will be global of course , but nobody will be able to do anything about it.

[1] In itself the ratio is not a problem, In OECD countries high numbers can work for long while, Japan holds 250% + of debt to GDP ratio famously , but now after 30 years of weird economics they are slowly being forced to raise interest rates positive or face the yen falling and it will be costly either way
Starliner wasn't selected based on merit in the first place so only after people will die will it become impossible to pretend otherwise. What incentive do the current decision makers have to own up to their mistake? They'll double down first, watch.

Forget it, Jake. It's Chinatown.
I found it quite similar, even the name 'DREAMACHINE' Do you think they are aware of Pollinations.ai?
Not sure what "effective" tax rate means, but 9.6% seems accurate to me for income tax only, and can go up to 12%. Sales tax is like 7 something, and all the other taxes are all over the place.
80s? NATO expands. 90s? NATO expands. 00s? NATO Expands. 10s? NATO expands. 20s? NATO expands. Russia at peace? NATO expands. Russia at war? NATO expands. Russia tries anything, including diplomacy? NATO expands. Only the neutrality of Switzerland prevents me from drawing a line through NATO from the Russian border to Spain.

The pattern here is not "oh Ukraine wasn't going to join up until the Russians invaded". The pattern is NATO expands. The preponderance of evidence in the NATO response to the Ukraine invasion - and the flow of history - suggests that the US has its sights on integrating Ukraine into NATO and was probably in the process of it.

> Yes, the coalition attack on Iraq in 1991 to repel its forces from Kuwait is one example

The audacity. You spend a thread whinging about Russia panicking because the US is organising all of Europe against them [0], then as a counterexample you pick one of the US's invasions of the Middle East (of Iraq no less, those poor people) as your example of a justified war?

What is the criteria here? US aggression is OK? A quorum of European interests justifies any invasion? It is OK if we do it to brown Muslims but not white Christians? There is no jus ad bellum to be found in the US expeditions into the Middle East; they've been a disaster for the region and the world. And any time you end up siding with the Saudis it is bad news for any sort of principled approach.

[0] Which, I mean, fair enough what Russia is doing is awful but let's aim for some consistency here.
I would say that the freezing of Russian assets has changed this equation considerably for almost every non-western country.

People seem to think we are still living in the past, where the US alone accounted for more than 40% of the global GDP and was the single most important trade partner of every country outside the former communist block.

It is a different world now. The BRICS GDP in Purchase Power Parity terms has surpassed the G-7, their growth rate is also bigger.

Yeah. it is not the end of the world. Things won't change everyday, zero-hedge doomers are a bunch of crazy scammers shorted as fuck. But the situation is dynamic and requires attention.
How do you feel about code review for programmers? For some roles, the key presses are the output.
Doesn’t the local rate depend on… where in the state you live? These numbers don’t make sense at all.
With the officially stated reason from Boeing being "It would be quite involved" to fix before launch: https://arstechnica.com/space/2024/05/nasa-and-boeing-are-ge...

It would almost be comical at this point if this company weren't directly responsible for human lives.
Map of median income by county: https://rstudio-pubs-static.s3.amazonaws.com/581630_272937bc...
> When geico figures out you are using consumer insurance for business purposes

You can end the sentence here. If there already wasn't proper insurance, then switching drivers is not the problem.
Depending on the weather and time of year, a grab-bag of:

* Cycling somewhere in the city, usually to a new cafe or something

* Hiking with friends

* Boardgames night with friends

* Go to the big shop and buy stuff I can't get easily locally

* Set up the coffee roaster and roast me a few batches

* Do a big tidy/clean up

* Voluntary work at a soup kitchen

It's a _very_ rare weekend I don't have something planned.
> allocation of physically contiguous memory allocations (ashmem, dumped now in favor of dmabuff).

ashmem is user space shared memory with permission controls. It was replaced(ish) with memfd with the addition of F_SEAL_FUTURE_WRITE in 5.1 (it took a shockingly long time for that to finally have feature parity but hey better late than never)

ION is the special allocator that was replaced with dmabuf.

Also ARM, qcom, etc... all love playing with the scheduler or making other changes which typically happens downstream first for time-to-market reasons before being upstreamed. eg, ARM's EAS / energy aware scheduling I think actually shipped to users prior to upstream accepting it.
Rolling your own fast matrix multiplication: loop order and vectorization
> The previous method was to use focus groups to make new products. That was far worse.

I actually don't think that was worse at all, and focus groups should come back into the equation. Not as the only measure, of course, but they were never the only measure.
I think the hard part of trying it isn't using it, it's implementing it.
i wish there was more than a single photo, and maybe some cross sections or something. didn't see any with a quick google
If developers were unionized this wouldn't be an issue, but with the rate of outsourcing and Ai sourcing going on, human workers have never been under this level of pressure before in any post historic era.
Pretty much your fault entirely for choosing to use my tool but not reading at least the README.md, which would explicitly state that there might be achievement texts on stderr. Anyway why output that stuff on the standard streams anyway when every modern OS has a perfectly fine window popup functionality with associated sound effects.
Low-Level Academy's Network Programming TCP/IP Fundamentals
i doubt wells fargo would fire you for that

the most likely scenario (in my mind) is that managers realized some people were not working anymore, checked what was going on, and ended up firing them for not working. the keyboard simulator was just a side thing.

now as regards to the focus of other people in this thread that wells fargo is to blame, my assumption is that the managers are not great either
Melatonin. Here in Australia they sell an extended-release version that lasts throughout the night.
or M, for murder
Right but the Texas income tax rate is 0% and the sales tax is 6.25%. So I'm curious how they arrived at a 12.5% vs 9.6% effective tax rate.
+1. I think the term petrodollar makes it seem it's all about the oil. The oil is important, but the most important part of it is the guarantee that the casino chips the USA issues can (and in fact have) to be used to buy things around the world, even when the USA isn't involved in the trade at all (for example, when India buys oil from Saudi Arabia).

The overall fate of the USD as the world's reserve currency depends on a lot of factors beyond this event, but I think we also shouldn't mistake this event as unimportant. I might or might not have important consequences, but it's also a data point that's telling on other diplomatic and geopolitical trends going on in the world.
The state of desktop paradigms has been one of great stagnation, if not outright regression. The VR fad is never going anywhere: its problems are an order of magnitude worse and engineers and companies nowadays seem unable to do basic 2D interface right.
> The results follow my expectations: the simplest vectorized classification routine has the best performance. However, you may observe that even a rather naive SIMD approach can be quite fast in this instance.

I've recently written my first SIMD code [1]. This matches my observation: you get a big improvement just moving from scalar code to autovectorized code (i.e. working in fixed widths and telling the compiler to use specific CPU features you've detected), another decent improvement going to basic use of vendor intrinsics, and then more and more modest improvements from extra sophistication.

[1] uyvy->i420 pixel format conversion code, a much easier application of SIMD. No branching, just a bunch of pixels transformed in identical fashion.
For a start, you'll have a bunch of internal applications that are not hardened to be exposed on the public internet, and that you have neither the time nor the money to replace. A "zero trust" product vendor will therefore offer you something exactly like a VPN, but for some reason they'll say it's not a VPN.

You will have "heuristics to detect anomalies" and users won't be allowed to directly see what 'anomalies' are being detected, for security reasons. Instead, if someone plugs their phone into their laptop to charge it, they'll start getting network timeouts when they try to use the ERP system. After waiting 30 minutes for it to come back online, then calling the helpdesk, they'll be told that the charging phone counts as an unencrypted disk and they need to unplug it.

Other heuristics will create a huge backlog of 'maybe' alerts they'll invite you to manually review. Warning, a user who hasn't logged into the holiday booking system in 9 months just logged into the holiday booking system. Finding the real problems will be like looking for a needle in a haystack.

In-house infrastructure - which your team provides - will start appearing flaky, with mysterious outages. Public-internet SaaS products like Github will start looking better and better.

It will turn out the "zero trust" system doesn't work with your office's networked printers, access control system, CCTV cameras, meeting room conferencing system, server BMCs, networked UPSes, networked oscilloscopes, networked 3D printers, networked telephones, and so on.

It will also turn out, once a vendor is giving you "completely managed endpoints, strong hardening of the endpoint" you can't update without going through them first. And they aren't in any hurry to support the latest OS versions. Maybe they'll support Ubuntu 24.04 some time in 2025? Of course you'll pay them the same whether they hit that target or not.
This would make sense if the money was paid upfront.

It wasn't. As of right now, Boeing is massively in the hole on the project. The only way they get paid if they successfully complete the development program and then fly the 6 operational flights.
> What customer has *555 as their phone number?

"Surely we won't ever need it"
You misunderstand entirely how much the author of any software with "achievements" cares about whether it works well in shell scripts and/or from python.
It's almost certainly the real estate taxes.

In California, Prop 13 makes real estate tax effectively de minimis (especially if you bought a long time ago), and the higher income tax rates make up for that.

Texas rates are higher and there's no limitation on their growth.

This difference is obscured if you're a renter.
After decades in industry it becomes obvious some people really generate 5x+ of a new hire. Not sure why they shouldn't be able to capture that wealth when the market bears it. I don't make nearly 500k but I'm happy for most anyone that does.
IG doesn't seem to have the equivalent. Events for instance, https://help.instagram.com/448430800019943 says "This feature is only available to professional accounts on Instagram."

Just checked, I'm still in the largest school-wide FB group from college. It ceased posting in 2019 despite technically having over 100K members still. Gonna assume FB groups aren't a thing anymore and it's moved to Discord, but I'm still curious.
It's amazing how ChatGPT makes code the reader may not be familiar with faster to grok.

The examples in this article assume familiarity with SIMD.

In the past, I would have tabled an article like this for deciphering later.

But, with ChatGPT, I was able to ask about just a few bits of code and immediately grok the implementation.

From a technology standpoint, the future is looking scary productive.

Can't wait to see what new vistas developers open up with these new super powers.
That's fair. I have limited experience with the rest of their offerings. They only came onto my radar because of regular critical CVEs that needed urgent fixing. The communication from the company had no hint of apology - just "hey, better fix this before your server is p0wned" - which did not seem like they were to be taken seriously.
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=40661990
https://archive.is/K2ygF
Linux Media Group looking for DCR-300/500 experts to digitize Reboot
> Consider the source.

The source is a paper run by an ex-News Corp employee.

> And the same deals Dems have been making for decades too.

This is extremely hand-wavy. To get down to specifics, look at the history of the opening of drilling in the Arctic Wildlife Refuge. GOP opens it, Dems close it.

Look at EPA fuel efficiency regulations, which party increases them?

I understand being frustrated by how corporate-friendly both parties in the USA are, but to just throw your hands up in the air while stating "both sides" is ignoring reality and surrendering your agency.
So in your mind what was making Boeing not suck in the time before it sucked?

Like there was a time when Boeing was pretty great, and now it's pretty shit.

What happened? Could the loosening of oversight from the government have played a part in it?
How about some MEs on the barbie mate
I'm actually interested in being coached by the solver, so it can tell me when I made a suboptimal move and what the optimal move would have been.

Like in chess, playing against stockfish isn't very fun, but having it as a way to get better is fun.
Marget wages represent labor supply/demand/productivity dynamics, I dont like it when government starts looking into people’s wages. It is their hard earned money.

Government should focus on increasing efficiency, reducing bloat, and helping private sector thrive: building more housing, allowing dense housing, there should be orders of magnitude more housing across the board
School is not healthy for children and other living things
> What... does that mean?

microsoft.com is legitimate website.
The owner of microsoft.com however get your browsing history, reboot your PC during weekends when your rendering is almost complete, put random adware on your PC without asking you, injects adware into various websites, i'm too lazy to list all the rest but you get the picture. Legitimate website with a malicious owner.
I felt fatigued once and had a doctor tell me "sometimes you just have to exercise even if you don't feel like it and then you feel like it"

There are some conditions this doesn't apply to, but it was good advice for me.
> Sadly, can't punch people in the face over the internet. Even worse everything is all about forced inclusivity now.

Nobody is going to do that anymore because we don't all have lead poisoning from gasoline fumes.
That's addressing a different point than I was making. I'm not saying that we need to keep old professions around or that we shouldn't adapt to changing times.

I'm saying that speaking about the people who are harmed when things change as if they don't matter is heartless.

We need to have empathy for them, and to help them where we can, not to talk about them and treat them like obsolete machinery. They're people, not machines.
> ...a wearable sensor that could be used non-invasively to detect various small molecules in fluids such as sweat.

How do you think the LIG and elastomeric polymer blend would have held up in a washing machine / dryer?
https://fortune.com/2023/03/23/states-with-lowest-highest-ta...

Essentially, California has a more progressive tax system than Texas.
They haven't solved the "not sourcing wood illegally from Romanian primordial forests" yet though.

Baby steps.
Thanks. I've only read Exhalation but really enjoyed it. Will check out the others.
NIST Brings Mass Measurement to the Masses
If 10% get it then you'd get it roughly once in every ten years.
What are you looking for ? Thumbs up on your hackernews design doc?
Speaking as a Texan, Texas has plenty of ways to tax you. My favorite is the punitive registration fees they recently added to electric cars.
A PHY for the USB PD communication over the CC wires. That makes it possible to negotiate things like Alt Modes for a USB-C connector. DIYing one is surprisingly hard due to the voltages and timing involved.
Depends what you mean by 'useful'. They were a technological marvel, but an incredibly inefficient way to deliver approx a ton of high explosive. But I guess we should be thankful that Hitler wasted so much of Germany's increasingly scarce resources on 'Wunderwaffe' like rockets. The Allies developed technology that was less showy, but much more useful (computers, cavity magnetron, proximity fuze, atom bomb etc).
All of those starlinks are designed to burn up though. And there will be many thousands more of them then there ever was of those older larger satellites.
> One guy who worked for Saudi intelligence knew about the attacks (disputed)

Not disputed. You didn't go far enough.
Saudi intelligence agent met a set of the attackers in L.A. at the airport. He drove them, and had their first apartment setup. They started using computers in that apartment using Flight Sim software, for them to start training flying. He gave them cash. They scheduled enrolling in their classes in the Florida flight school from that apartment at that time.
The other guy used to play it on his livestreams often. I'm sure it's on soulseek in some form.
What’s the largest Mamba model that has been trained so far?

Seems like it scales better than transformers, but this would only be really obvious at parameter counts far in excess of the experiments in this paper.
> Nobody is going to start frenetically doing oil business in Yuan just because this agreement has expired.

I am highly uneducated in this realm, but would this even be possible as the Yuan is a nonconvertible currency?
SD 1.5, on the the other hand, with the right checkpoints generates flawless human bodies. Older tech, much better results.

Can finetuning fix this?
More dead butterflies.

https://www.emilydamstra.com/please-enough-dead-butterflies/
I mean, the conclusion of this post isn't precisely claiming a USD victory:

> So at this point, the most likely next regime is of fragmentation, of multiple major currencies used for trade and investment rather than a dominant currency. [...] So this remains an unsettled area. Stay tuned.

And I agree. I don't think the Renminbi will necessarily take over, but I also don't think the dollar will maintain the strong dominance it has on global trade and as a reserve currency.
So... what you're saying is that we should do what cobol did in 1960?
> "This large gap isn’t particularly surprising, given that San Francisco has the highest density of billionaires of any city in the world, with Silicon Valley known for its absurd CEO pay packages"

Given that the methodology was to compare wages for the 75th percentile vs. the 25th percentile, this just seems like a political potshot/non sequitur rather than an explanation for the wage gap. Billionaires are ~.01% of SF's population, and that won't meaningfully impact the wage gap between the 25th and 75th percentiles.
Oh our main thing was Minecraft. Must be the longest running popular video game ever.
What did you dislike about Exhalation?
It’s a remarkably insular and US-centric view to believe that that story was the reason the United Nations Security Council voted to eject Iraq from Kuwait. It was a piece of propaganda that merely had some air play in the US and which, while it may have been convenient to the US and Kuwaiti governments for the support of the US population, was not the strategic reason for any of the nations involved.

Fortunately we have plenty of primary sources to validate this, from the minutes of UNSC minutes to statements by various heads of government at the time. All make it clear that the war was authorised because Iraq’s invasion of Kuwait was not only blatantly illegal but destructive to the international system. That story didn’t form any part their rationale.
Do banks record every in-person voice interaction between their employees?
Is it not more about specialization and deep domain experience than raw output?

If I just need raw output, the army of juniors is a viable solution. You might even find it’s preferable if you have many separate functions or projects or think you may flex down/up the labor expense later on.
> Qualcomm does not have any pull to make Google to make RISC-V Android a first class citizen.

You can debate what "first class" means, but RISC-V was announced as an official Android platform in 2023, and runs in emulators today:

https://arstechnica.com/gadgets/2023/01/google-announces-off...

https://opensource.googleblog.com/2023/10/android-and-risc-v...

https://github.com/google/android-riscv64
Yeah I was referring to Sputnik, as the V2 wasn't orbital.
I updated the post with a a link to counter-argument from Sabine Hossenfelder, the arguments from Zvi and three points from my side.
Social media is both a tool and entertainment. It's not entertainment that's wrecking kids. It's being in a global and immutable social circle.

In the 90s, if you were a nerd in high-school, you get a chance to re-invent yourself in college, and another at your first job. Heck, you can re-invent yourself between different groups of friends. Now, we ask kids to define themselves completely, wholly, all at once, finally, in front of everyone. Got broken up with? It was pretty hard to tell someone in the 90s their lives weren't over, but it's impossible now. There is an (apparently) permanent record of all your failures and lack of successes.

Tons of kids grew up glued to their Nintendos. I played an _insane_ amount of Starcraft. Our generation did not have the same negative effects that the current generation is having with social media.

What we need is physical community based social media - ie: a facebook with only your high-school, which becomes inaccessible upon graduation.
Do you not see the national security aspects of 2024 AI? It's very similar to the nuclear race where, right or wrong, there is a non-zero possibility of a winner take all supremacy scenario where the first to reach superintelligence rules the world.