skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Well sure, but the hardware encode and decode isn’t completely widespread yet. I’ve been patiently waiting for what has felt like an eternity. From the developer perspective everyone needs to have access to it or I’m just sitting on my hands waiting for the capabilities to trickle down to the majority of users. Hopefully more users will purchase hardware if it features AV1 encode/decode. They need a logo that says “AV1 inside” or something. So, for example only the iPhone 15 pro offers hardware decode so far in the iPhone lineup.
Your range of "1-10 years" means predictions here are going to be subject to Amara's law: "we overestimate the impact of technology in the short-term and underestimate the effect in the long run."

Prospects in 1 year? Likely overhyped.
Prospects in 10 years? We are unprepared for how much it will change.
Generative AI is a technology that moves the frontier of what is possible. This comes with many opportunities to solve problems that were not previously solvable by a reasonably sized team.

Transformers have some interesting properties like in-context meta learning. This is indeed something to be excited about.

But to say transformers can be AGI by simply increasing context windows is a doubtful proposition.
Discovery of 4,000-Year-Old Structure in Greece
The article doesn't really answer the question. I do think it peculiar that the CCP isn't pushing Linux harder. I've also read that the CCP has access to the Windows source code, so in the event of war, it may not be as worried about Microsoft's power as it might otherwise be.
Camping – Ruby Web Microframework
I found “teaching each other how to use the MOD function” kind of jarring. I guess it’s the journalist thing where anything involving even simple arithmetic is super challenging.
One of the things I dislike about the multitude of get-rich-quick crypto scene so much is that many projects disproportionately punished people for trying out new technology and being early adopters. The scar tissue of that is going to be hard to unlearn. I think that “ai” as in generative models right now is under-hyped by a lot of people who dismiss it as another solution in search of a problem similar to blockchains, but it’s difficult to argue it’s under-hyped by the market overall with these insane valuations assuming realistic % chances of ASI right around the corner.

I think a better analogy might be self driving cars: probably going to be as impactful as early hype people guessed eventually, but on much longer timescales than people originally thought.
This is a well known exploit, and is proven effective in times of conflict. I think it is safe to assume that such efforts are ongoing in many corners of the world at any given time.
PostHog and Rudderstack say the same things. They're not really self hosted. But that's the rub, if someone authored a good operator for Sentry, Sentry as a commercial service would cease to exist. That's not good in my opinion, they do real innovative stuff.

It's tough. We should have never done "give away the software, charge for hosting." The market, in every sense, has been telling you that you're really building value for AWS, for years, by doing that.
Imagine if Google search had improved rather than gotten worse over the last 5 years, there would be even less than a gap
That's basically what Apple announced with the their semantic AI integrations; they didn't call them screenshots because they're smarter than Microsoft but it's the same thing (actually, slightly worse, since their "AI" is not only local, but can reach out to the "private cloud" under unspecified conditions).
You mentioned the cost of tools a couple of times. What's wrong with using MOSIS, which is free? Just asking, since I don't know anything about this area except that MOSIS was mentioned multiple times when I was in grad school back in the 1980s.
Sure - I guess I should say "domain" is an incorrect word, when "use case" is a better phrasing.

LLMs have a tendency to hallucinate at a rate that makes them untrustworthy at scale w/o a human in the loop. The more open ended the prompt, the higher the hallucination rate. Here I mean minor things, like swapping a negative, that can fundamentally change a result.

Thus, any place that we trust computer to perform reliable logic, we cannot trust an LLM because it's error rate is too high.

Methods such as RAG can box in the LLM to keep them on track, but this error rate means that they can never be mission critical, a-la business logic, and keeps them to being a toy.

Where LLMs are game changers are ETL pipelines / data scrapers. I used to work at Clearbit where we built thousands of lines of code just to extract the address of a company's HQ or if a company is owed by another org. LLMs just do that... for free. With LLMs data extraction from free form text is now a solved problem, and thats god damn mindblowing for me.
I voted “overhyped” because some people are out there saying it is more important than the fire or whatever. These people are out of their mind (or just performing PR stunts). But I don’t think it’s a bubble.

Not in terms of value — I think it is already delivering a lot of value and it will deliver more and more —, nor in terms of finance. Some overspending VC losing their bets does not constitute a bubble. NVidia has a somewhat diversified demand in games, crypto mining and AI. And it’s not negligible the chance of the next software big thing also use GPUs.

I don’t think it will end up being more impactful to humanity than the internet itself, but it will be big and useful.
I think the point is that it's pretty darn close to the very fuzzy limit of when something can be a star vs. when it can't. If it were off in space on its own, rather than orbiting our star, it might be a contentious classification
An ad hominem doesn't have to be irrelevant; it just means that the argument is about the person rather than the position. Attempting to dismiss an argument due to the person's credentials instead of their position is 100% an ad hominem.

But like contravariant said, that doesn't mean the argument is wrong—just that it's a weak argument.
Vague acronyms are a pleasure as well
So GCP gave their database business to Oracle and Oracle just shut down its ad business?
>That's literally step one in OPs advice.

No, it's your generous, retroactive re-writing of the OP's advice. If you genuinely don't understand that you communicated something that wasn't in the original, then your communication skills are not at the level that justifies the confidence with which you're posting.
Don't shoot the messenger. It's all theory and conjecture until it actually happens, and it has in the past, and it WILL happen again in the future.
Can confirm can’t unsee it! And you realize it’s used a lot. If Russia destroys infrastructure in Ukraine, our news says “Ukrainians adapted after the Russian military destroyed their networks”. When the IDF destroys Gazan networks, the story is “Gazans adapted after their networks were destroyed”.

Same thing happens with police shootings. “A stray bullet killed a child during police encounter” is a common type of headline. “Police officer shoots kid” is less common.
“Everyone” meaning the vocal minority of HN users trying to maintain the purity of their Gentoo installs.
I would say the "long ago" was 13 years ago with the release of the legendary Sandy Bridge line. Those things are still fast enough today that you don't need anything newer for most practical daily tasks.

Sandy Bridge's staying power even became a meme in Japan, with Sandy Bridge users refusing to upgrade due to lack of need becoming known as "Uncle Sandy" (サンディーおじさん, Sandy-ojisan).

At this point the only reasons to upgrade are one of two things: Software legitimately pushing the performance envelope, like vidja gaemz; and software demanding more resources for no good fucking reason.
It's difficult to enforce any international contract, particularly in a country like the People's Republic of China. That said, I don't think signing a contract with a different name gets you anywhere; if your counter-party can show that you signed the contract, or in a corporate context that someone who can reasonably have been presumed to have signing authority did so, you (or the company) is on the hook.
Closing the Army's Tactical Air Defense Gap
Tiny Ltd. plunged 16% after founder sells shares
Of course, everything will be encrypted, then securely transmitted over to their servers and promptly decrypted when requested by the authorities (see Apple in China and CCP's key to iCloud).
> AI feels to me like it's in a similar state.

Apple has heavily integrated AI into it's systems and apps. Every other major tech company is actively adding it to their apps and systems in many different ways. They aren't talking about future potential. We are years past that already. It's here. That's it. We aren't trying to convince people that AI is here to stay. Rather, we are already talking about a post-AI/LLM world. Crypto never really got to that state.

What was crypto's big thing? Ape pictures.

> I literally don't use any other AI applications.

Linux users will get there too. Especially if you start using ANY tech used by any of the major players. You are already using it, and you don't even realize it.
Was it not the Fed that denied The Narrow Bank's business model to pass through demand deposit accounts directly to the Fed? And in their denial letter, they asserted both that TNB would be at too high of a risk of runs (which makes no sense since it'd have 100% reserves) because customers won't have enough other services like lending to make them sticky, but also that TNB would be too high of a risk of causing runs on other banks because it's too safe:

https://www.tnbusa.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/TNB-Letter...
Consumer off the shelf quadcopters being used extensively in a land war in Europe
Maybe a Google scale revolution, but internet scale revolution, that's just silly.
I don't know about "foolish", but the current efforts adding complex threading and a JIT that promises 30% speedup over 3.10 look misguided.

Before, the selling point was simplicity and C extensions.

Just go to GitHub: Apart from the people who are paid to integrate the above features development has all but stalled. The corporate takeover of the "free" software Python (without a standard or viable other implementations like C++) is complete!
I am thinking of a Sun compass a signal of which could be used in space.
Can this signal be fused into IMU? I wonder if it makes any sense.
I understand your concern. You’re right; at this stage, we don’t have physical gold backing for NFTroxies. However, here’s why early adopters might still find value in NFTroxies:

1. Early Adopter Benefits: Early adopters often get in at a lower cost before full infrastructure is in place. As we establish partnerships and custodianship, the value and security of NFTroxies will increase.

2. Transparency and Roadmap: We are transparent about our development stage and have a clear roadmap towards securing physical gold backing. We’ll provide regular updates and audit reports as we progress.

3. Innovative Investment Opportunity: By supporting NFTroxies now, early investors are part of an innovative project that combines the tangible value of gold with the flexibility of digital assets. This positions them well for future benefits as the project matures.

4. Community and Feedback: Early supporters have a voice in shaping the future of NFTroxies. Their feedback and support are crucial in developing a product that meets investor needs and builds trust.

While there’s inherent risk in early-stage investments, we’re committed to transparency and building a reliable, innovative investment option with NFTroxies.

Thank you for your questions and engagement! If you have more concerns or suggestions, we’d love to hear them.
I voted unsure. If I hadn't had this option, I would have voted overhyped.

Last year I had a subscription for ChatGPT, I had two homegrown apps running on OpenAI API (which have since moved to Groq with LLama), I had Copilot on VSCode, I had Midjourney, I was playing around locally with LMStudio and Stable Diffusion... and I'm pretty sure I'm forgetting some things.

Now I have nothing left. I use ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini (the free versions) from time to time, but it's a hit or miss and I'm extremely skeptical of GPT generated content which has a smell to it. The only people I know that use this constantly and unapologetically are the ex-blockchain grifters and junior (or wannabe) devs that think generating a small encapsulated function for a well known problem domain is a step away from the AI replacing humans.

So yeah, I'm unsure, but leaning towards overhype based on personal experience. We'll see, I'm too dumb to ride this wave I guess.
Maybe overhyped locally but IMHO not globally.

Imagine being able to program every machine by just telling it what you need. For example, even toasters can have LLMs in them. Give it ability to control temperature and humidity and you have the perfect toaster machine that can toast everyones bread upon request. Maybe every machine in the future will have AI in it that will act both as a controller and UI. Any specialised industry getting wiped out. Doing home security? No more specialised applications or implementation, just tell the door whom should it let in.

And LLMs are just one way of doing computer intelligence.

The way software ate the world, AI will eventually eat software.
NVDA market cap for sure is bonkers but AI is here to stay. Anytime you question the future, think if you can see yourself in "that" future. For me, AI is already a part of my workflow and it's beneficial to my daily life. From coding, explainers, and to random questions in perplexity.

In coding, it made me a lot more productive. No more do I have to scour Google or Stack Overflow. Instead, I get the answer straight from the AI. It might not be working at times but it's definitely better.

Even random questions like "What is the cost to produce the Apple Pro Display XDR?" is being answered more promptly by AI.

This is contrary to the crypto craze where there was expected use but sadly it did not come to fruition. And until now, it's still a speculative industry, a solution looking for a problem.
If I'm using something for employment, and the employer would get value out of it getting a bug fixed, why would I not fix it?
I would have totally bought this in the 90's.
But the probability that a statement is factual does.
That’s also accurate. I too take issue with the Fed’s efforts to prevent TNB from operating.
I am sorry that your frustration is so great that you have to insult and make unnecessary comments. I do not intend to continue the discussion any further. Bye.
From the wiki article:
"he maintains that satellite measurements of the cosmic microwave background radiation, believed by most astronomers to be an afterglow of the Big Bang, are actually observations of a glow from Earth's oceans."

I am no expert but that wacky idea can be ruled out with concepts in an introductory physics textbook just based on the fact that the cosmic microwave background is a few Kelvin blackbody spectrum whereas the ocean temperature is 273K or higher (which would have a very different "warmer" spectrum).
> How much do you think the lives of Walmart’s employees would change if Suresh Kumar would forego those 4.5 million and distribute it among them instead?

Him alone? Not much, but take a tiny bit from everyone making >1M and increase the pay of only those employees who don't already make a living wage and I'm guessing it would make a huge difference to the lives of those employees while still making no difference to the lives of the people who'd be taking a bit less.

As a bonus, putting that money into the hands of the people who would spend it, and most likely spend it on paying off debt and local goods/services, would help the economy and a lot of other people too.
Ollama is llamma.cpp plus docker
If you can do without docker, it’s faster
I think I see it as similar to the .com bubble, there's certainly useful and interesting tech involved, just the amount of money being thrown around doesn't look sustainable.

Entire companies are putting huge proportions of their total budget into AI hardware, I cannot see the majority of those being profitable at the end of the day as there's simply not the consumer spending on those products to maintain it.

Most current AI projects seem to be a "value-add" level, meanwhile nvidia's market cap, at $3.2 trillion, is $10k for every man, woman and child in the united states. And that's just one company - even if it may be the largest single representative of the AI-driven market. And all the largest 5 companies in the world (Microsoft, Apple, Google and Amazon) are also likely riding the AI hype valuation train, but maybe to a lesser amount. Summing them gives ~$14 trillion, or over 40k for every man, woman and child in the united states.

How on earth do we expect the revenue that sort of valuation represents be extracted from the market?
Aren’t “all” the servers and browsers speaking in gzipped html to one another anyway?

Couldn’t we do a similar kind of invisible conversion if we had some format better enough to be worthwhile?
The fact the country wasn’t mentioned means it’s almost certainly USA. ;)
If he illegally appoints a board of yes men who remain faithful to him, then it doesn't matter how the board votes: it's not a legal & legitimate board looking out for the company as a whole.

That case has already been decided. And the board re-voting doesn't change that outcome.
This is awesome. I was looking for a solution for averaging multiple rotations, and I found https://mathweb.ucsd.edu/~sbuss/ResearchWeb/spheremean/paper...

This method looks a lot easier than that paper, at least at my level of math.
The author is making a few leap of faith in this article.

First, his example of the efficiency of ML+search for playing Chess is interesting but not a proof that this strategy would be applicable or efficient in the general domain.

Second, he is implying that some next iteration of ChatGPT will reach AGI level, given enough scale and money. This should be considered hypothetical until proven.

Overall, he should be more scientific and prudent.
Anonymous eSIM
Given no knowledge beforehand, "water fast" can mean either of two things:

* You only consume water.

* You consume anything but water.

Both understandings can be inferred at face value, but only one is correct.

I too understood this as the latter before subsequent comments specified it is the former, and the name isn't even accurate since apparently consuming tea or black coffee is also acceptable.

Using as few words as possible is often the hallmark of a talented orator, but sometimes it pays off to be verbose and specific.
And Twitter is just RSS with a textbox.

Here's a fun fact about federated Twitter by the way: ActivityPub is just a JSON-ified reinvention of SMTP.
Zware: Zig WebAssembly Runtime Engine
> For one thing, my kids were increasingly being asked to "do research" for their school projects. As far as I could tell, this meant just Googling materials, copying and pasting what they found, stealing photos on the internet, and generally neither digesting nor evaluating anything that popped up in search results.

The degree to which my children's teachers actively don't care about this is hard to overstate. I was able to trivially catch this by googling phrases from papers my daughter had "written" and when I showed it to her English teacher the response was roughly: "Yeah, it sucks that all kids are doing that these days."

Saw the same daughter doing homework by using C-f to search the textbook for keywords in the question and pasting the answer. Sometimes this yielded nonsensical answers because the keywords appeared in multiple places. She got a high A in that class (including perfect scores on the homework).
You worked on MPEG?
We should separate two propositions: 1) whether or not the operations of the agency are too weighted toward ex post facto investigations and therefore, and 2) whether or not the people involved are competent and doing they best they can

It’s perfectly possible that the FAA has correctly optimized for the constraints they are under and the FAA is not sufficiently effective at delivering its charter.
There's a possible fourth option: it's under-hyped and under-appreciated.

I'm both highly critical of much of present-day Silicon Valley (as a metonym for the high-tech industry itself, not merely some geographical region centred near Sunnyvale, CA), and of the view that developments of the current AI boom, even if falling short of or manifesting in ways far different from what advocates claim could be absolutely profound.

There are a couple of items I've been sitting on for a few years which might make interesting HN submissions. One is a Wikipedia list of defunct US automobile companies. There are a lot of them:

<https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_defunct_automobile_man...>

Another, which I cannot locate presently, was a list of hundreds of oil companies which had been registered in California.

In both cases:

- A huge number of individual enterprises sprang up.

- A tiny minority of those survived. The rest were acquired or simply went out of business.

- The resulting industries transformed absolutely everything, though not necessarily how early pioneers and backers advertised or anticipated.

The most salient observation though is that these are events from which one can draw a profound boundary, with clear "before" and "after" times. Moreover, the concerns of those in the midst of the transformation often seem quaint because we live in the world shaped by that transition. Thinking from the perspective of those alive at the time, or before, their world DID in fact end.

I'm reasonably certain of a few things:

- AI seems like it will profoundly disrupt much of the present high-tech information technology sector. Particularly programming, data processing, data creation, data interpretation, design, and other elements.

- There will be tremendous business failures. The end result will likely be profoundly monopolistic, with a very few large winners. To the extent that diversity is retained, it's likely to be grounded in legal, cultural, financial, and/or regulatory conditions, and not on the "free market" preserving competition. (The free market rarely preserves competition.)

- There will be many unanticipated, and some anticipated, negative consequences. Growing lack of trustworthiness of information and media, use in mass propaganda and targeted manipulation, general disinformation, etc., are among the more obvious of these (and generally: are anticipated). These are only some of the consequences.

- There will likely be sharp limitations or constraints on certain applications, again, some fairly evident, others not, but which will shape the resulting landscape.

I find the bubble / no-bubble question something of a red herring. Both hugely transformational and stillborne technologies tend to arrive with bubbles. Markets and investment patterns tend to drive this. What really matters is how well the technology ultimately persists after the bodies have fallen.
Did you happen to remember the domain-specific LoRA startup?
Thats just what housing looks like lol. Luxury is just a name dude.
I'm curious if anyone suspects which is the more likely justification for the forged paperwork --

-- is it most likely lower-quality or wrong-quality titanium being passed off in an effort to fraudulently save money?

-- or is it probably the real deal, but stolen from a warehouse somewhere and the certificate is fraudulent merely to conceal that it was stolen?