skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
I think it is quite possible that NVidia's customers[1] are the ones selling hot air. If those customers go away then it turns out that NVidia made legitimately huge profits today, but it was still based on hot air, and their future profits are much smaller just of necessity. It is possible that someone will figure out a good monetization for LLM's, but I'm not aware of any existing yet, which is why I think this is a possible outcome. At least figure out monetization soon enough and with enough free cash flow thrown off that the business case closes with fancy, super expensive accelerators rather than just regular CPU's, which will Moore's Law up eventually.

NVidia is getting rich following the old "in a gold rush, be the ones selling picks and shovels" aphorism, and when the gold rush ends, you still have your money, but the discounted future profits might well be much smaller than you expected.

1: I don't think it would necessarily hurt NVidia, but I do think it might hurt their suppliers. I would be very curious as to how much of the current fab boom across TSMC, Intel, United Micro, Samsung etc. is based on assumptions about AI demand continuing to grow. Those companies would be the ones I would expect to suffer if the demand doesn't materialize because those fabs are going to be ridiculously expensive if they don't keep their order books full.
How to have a meaningful conversation with someone you've neglected
As human beings, we’ve all been guilty of neglecting someone important in our lives at some point or another. It could be a family member, a close friend, or even a romantic partner. Whatever the reason, it’s crucial to acknowledge the neglect and make amends when the opportunity arises. Having a meaningful conversation with someone you’ve neglected can be a daunting task, but with the right approach, it can lead to healing, growth, and a stronger bond.
Congrats and thanks for being so open in the write up!
Even if this wasn't factually incorrect, default max heap size on the JVM is 25% of system RAM.
The site is paywalled and archive.today doesn't get past it.
Agree. I've personally invested some money in Intel because I'm bullish on their new fab sites approaching TSMC (and potential higher tensions in Taiwan), they are currently profitable, and I expect the trend to increase reliance on American-soil built fabs. Their P/E is also low relative to their peers.

Of course, just one guy's opinion, I haven't beat the SP500 with my history of individual stock picks.
Good take, I would just add that if it wasn't Nvidia it would be something else that would be blackholing in this market. Investors are obsessed with (or required to?) back short-term moonshots. It's not a great look for the health of the financial system.
> "If you take, say, fifty H-bombs in the hundred megaton range and jacket them with Cobalt-Thorium G, when they are exploded they will produce a doomsday shroud. A lethal cloud of radioactivity which will encircle the earth for ninety-three years!" —AdS
I agree with that - those who live of writing who wrote few books are likely the highest sellers.

But that said, in the UK the average full time writer earns less than minimum wage from their writing (but have higher than average household income)
That's a super good point. My guess is any shop building apps like this are going to be doing it using some very OS specific system frameworks and are going to have a lot of domain knowledge in either android or iOS. It just doesn't make a lot of sense to pivot given the cost I suspect.
As far as I know, nobody has filed any cases in court, yet I see multiple articles and misstatements claiming otherwise which is odd.

This "case" was essentially resolved immediately and seemingly without major damage to either party. But people are absolutely chomping at the bit to have this be some kind of court-case, even if such a case would be long, expensive, and likely with two losers and zero winners.

If people want to discuss some hypothetical court-case go at it, but the chance of this actually going anywhere is low. I just feel like this is filling some "AI news" void.
That's what it says on its own "about" page.
Thomas addresses this in one of these two, I can't remember which, sorry:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ki6jVXZM2XU

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DwBeSjWkcKc
I’m mystified as to two things here: first that people feel this is ‘open and shut’ in Ms Johannsen’s favor, and second that this hasn’t been settled economically.

IF: OpenAI had advertised SJ as being a voice, had sold the plus subscription with that voice as a benefit, and had instructed talent scouting and internal editors to ‘copy her’ then this would be open and shut. We know for sure the first part did not happen: if there’s a case then discovery will tell us the second part.

If on the other hand they chose the voice for sky because they liked the actors natural voice, whether or not it was because they were reminded of SJ that is anything but open and shut- in fact it seems very difficult to me; a judge must determine that another actor cannot work at all, even if she makes no attempt to sound alike, sell as SJ, all through a platform that shows undeniable value regardless of voice. Guys, SJ is beautiful and likable. But this is a big ask of a credible federal judge.

As to money, I’m also mystified why they can’t ink a deal like: the largest single film voice acting payment is roughly $15mm. Let’s do a deal where we use your actual voice (which I would say is obviously different than sky) and rev share 50/50 with you on premium purchases, 50mm guaranteed year one.

It seems to me like this would open up the best possible world where people can have gpt4o talk with the voice of whatever actor that’s licensed, and these actors have a new distribution vehicle that’s valuable. Again SJ may not want to license for whatever reason she chooses, but I bet that OpenAI didn’t make a serious rev share offer, and I think they should.
GPT's are free for all now, try mine
And, what's been most alarming through COVID is the same people that would claim medical autonomy in the case of abortion are the exact same people that'll tell you to shut up and take your shot when it came/comes to COVID. People are idiots, generally, and politicians doubly so.
This link didn't help at all.

Took me a second to understand what this is with the submitted link, and installed it in seconds.
The evidence given to the committee had a different, but equally relevant, example about how completely pointless the entire concept was for their stated goal.

Something like:

Govt.: "Imagine a teenager goes missing, we can use these records to find if they were posting on Twitter!"

Expert testimony: "The way these things work, their phones will connect to Twitter hundreds of times each day even if the person themselves doesn't."

The government may well be dumb enough that you were correct to write:

> the person

But the assumption of their incompetence is only wise when asking if they'll do something you want, not if asking if they'll do something you hate.
As far as I understand it, context length degrades llm performance, so just because an llm "supports" a large context length it basically just clips a top and bottom chunk and skips over the middle bits.
I found it mildly problematic that non American views about American history are flagged because they don't fit into the American world view.
Results from the 2024 FreeBSD Community Survey Report
Thanks, I didn't know that. Last time I was dealing with these kinds of problems, pgvector didn't exist yet.
What do you mean, and are you sure? It works in ShaderToy. Big loops will happily unroll until the compiler crashes. There’s a standard trick for doing variable length loops (and preventing unrolling): https://shadertoyunofficial.wordpress.com/2017/11/19/avoidin...
> I am sure Canada has the progressivist ratchet like the US does: Left moves Overton Window never less than a click, Right moves it never more than a click

That's what happens when there is change in the world. Conservatives resist change, but change often has a momentum of it's own.

The world has changed a lot recently. TV brought everyone together. Transportation made the world smaller place. The internet and social networks gave everyone a voice. These are all game changers. For better and worse. We can't un-invent all that stuff.

The reason older people tend to be conservative is that they are used to the way things were when they grew up. They don't like the changes. They want the good old days back.

Young people don't have these notions about the good old days, they weren't around. They started off with a different view of things. The Overton Window moves with them. Progress ratchets, as you said.

p.s. None of this implies that I endorse how the protests were handled. I'm all for democracy and 100% against authoritarians - whether they are communists or fascists or whatever else.
MLIR enables so much potential to systems that use it
Cheap Chinese cars are placing a lot of pressure in western markets with very competitive prices, so we may see this trend across other brands. (https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2024-03-18/cheap-...).
How Waymo outlasted the competition and made robo-taxis a real business
Yeah, IIRC, it was in Taiwan or maybe Singapore that they started to see a reverse in the myopia trend in nothing less than one year after having mandated full days outside in school.
AI is here to stay. And local AI will be toyed with for some time longer. This is leading to the purchase of massive computing powers. The possibility of it being something one day is driving the sales and the speculation.

However, (my prediction is) AI will be able to be run on fewer resources than today. And if this optimization comes (too soon), the speculation will crash. If it comes late, the buying and selling will have already happened. And NVIDIA will reap the profits in the meantime.

NVIDIA should liquidate stock. Now is a good time.
As a child of the 80s, I'm glad to see the old wisdom is still alive. (Aka "make sure it lands on your head")
This is why I prefer the term "weights available" just like "source available". It makes it clear that you can get your hands on the copy, you could run this exact thing locally if they go out of business, etc. but it is definitely not open in the OSS sense.
The EU Parliament is directly elected but legislative initiative is the sole prerogative of the European Commission. They can’t pass a law without Parliament’s assent but they can keep on trying and they’re the driving force behind the legislative agenda.
car ownership in general is like that now. though evs are still working out their whole supply and support chain so that's an additional layer of mess.
Not sure about this current proposal but the previous one was on-the-phone based, which Apple double-timed into production so capability is there for EU to access when they finally flip the switch. That proposal would mean that it is Apple and Google that would provide access to your data before any apps or VPNs saw it (i.e. at the OS of the phone level). This new proposal sounds like maybe they backtracked on that and will just coerce the app and platforms?... not sure.
In about 1998 we tried to get acquired by Cisco. They were on an acquisition spree (see the incredible table here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_acquisitions_by_Cisco).

What was interesting is there was basically one director who made the decision on acquisitions. I wish I could remember his name, but he was the guy who came to see us and passed.
I will say I love this feature on my iPad (touch the screen and hold without moving, the video will be 2x until you let go) but I wish it could be turned on on a per-device basis.
> The EU is about to swing politically quite far to the right in a couple of weeks time. Chat control is just the beginning.

Not that I disagree with you but two things... First chat control is put in place by regular political parties, not far-right ones. Then it's the regular parties, by trampling with their boots on the face of EU citizens, imposing them things they didn't ask for, that made EU citizens decide to vote far-right. I don't know if the far-right is going to win but many of those who are going to vote far-right are going to do it because they've seen tens of millions of african and middle-eastern refugees imposed on to them. We're talking about a sizeable percentage of the entire EU population now being composed of refugees, arriving illegally in the EU (for the first time ever in 2024 there are going to be more refugees coming in in a year than babies born from EU parents).

Many in the EU simply cannot stand anymore to see their countries becoming third-world countries in a timeframe of mere years.
State of Vulkan Since 2015
Because it's not obvious and just using that word over and over again doesn't make it true.

Did OpenAI want to use a similar voice to Scarlett Johansson's specifically because it's her, and they want to capitalize off of her fame or her personhood specifically?

Or did OpenAI want to use a voice that sounds pleasant and appealing and as it so happens Scarlett Johansson has just such a voice and used such a voice in a famous movie about a talking AI?

In other words, if Scarlett Johansson had a different voice, perhaps even an unappealing one, would they still have used it because it's something particular about her fame and character they wanted to leverage, or did they use a similar sounding voice to hers because of the technical qualities of that voice that she happens to have and which has been demonstrated by her to be effective.

There are many other potential scenarios that one can argue are relevant to this case, and ultimately my point is that this case isn't obvious unless you come to it with an opinion already made up and have failed to appreciate the numerous points of view.
Or decrease. It looks like there is 200B industry is already sucking funds, but no end-user app with strong revenue stream is on the market yet.
How it feels to get an AI email from a friend
You mean they're selling puts at the share price they're okay losing the stock at?

What's that have to do with taxes (and wanting to hold 12 months+)?
> let's walk through a few of the tent-pole features

Hehe nice job on the Apple lingo signaling
It doesn't take many, social media is a far greater force multiplier than people realize. Just 12 people were behind most COVID-19 hoaxes spread online, and about 10 "superspreader" accounts are responsible for about 70% of "low credibility" tweets[0,1].

[0]https://www.npr.org/2021/05/13/996570855/disinformation-doze...

[1]https://phys.org/news/2024-05-superspreaders-responsible-lar...
It's exceedingly rare to do well from self publishing too.
> If guilty, will it be illegal for people sounding like famous people get voice work ?

The question implies that you believe a professional voice actor has a single voice they can use. That is a silly thing to believe.
Perlis died in 1978; if he were still alive today he'd be 102.
You're not alone. Hang in there.
Analyze collects statistics the query planner uses to determine the query plan. It can change the resulting plan, yes.

Production databases using different query plans sure is annoying and cause problems, but I'm not so sure whether returning errors is better. "Slow" beats "not working at all" in almost all cases. The typical case it will select a different query plan once the data grows, which is not so straight-forward to test for, especially since the hardware of your production may have quite different performance characteristics.

Pinning the plan is temping, but has the downside you risk running a bad plan because what works well for your 100k test rows may not work equally well for your 1b actual rows, and testing all of that is again tricky. That's not really a brilliant either, and may also make your application slow.

Just keeping an eye on slow query logs and/or query performance statistics is the general approach. I don't think it's really possible to improve on that without making some pretty serious trade-offs in other areas.
Seems like a great product !
Replacing search is enough to warrant trillion dollar valuation for LLMs, question is just if they can get that good.

Note that you need to replace search on the lucrative queries, stuff like you want to buy a product or want to know about nearby open stores, those are the queries Google focuses the most on and will be the hardest to replace them on.
Just seems like a way to maximize the risk of turning blind to start things off.
Thanks for reading!

>My question is, did you change anything on your strategy after you were set on selling? Or the goal was still the same, optimize earnings?

Once I started the process of preparing the company for sale, it did change a lot of the strategy.

For example, one of the things I'd been thinking about was how to allow users to purchase recurring subscriptions to their TinyPilot Pro software licenses rather than having to remember to re-purchase every year. But once I started the sales process, that basically became non-viable because it meant I'd be investing thousands in software development, but it wouldn't pay off for another year or so, so it would weaken our profit and loss statements and result in a lower valuation.

There were a lot of things like that, where I had to reject any investment that wouldn't pay off in three months or less.

The other thing that was a bummer about preparing to sell was realizing that everything effectively becomes so much more expensive. Normally, if I want to give someone a $5k bonus, it costs me $5k. When I knew I was about to sell and wanted a 3x multiple, the $5k bonus effectively costs me $20k because it's $5k for the bonus itself and then -$15k for the sale price on a 3x multiple. I could try to argue that the $5k is "discretionary" and therefore not part of SDE, but I think the buyer would be in their right to argue that it's not discretionary, as it sets bonus expectations for future years.

[0] https://mtlynch.io/retrospectives/2023/08/#what-would-make-r...
The catch is that most banks won’t finance “rebuilt-titled” cars, you don’t have a dealer warranty (and most plainly refuse to work on rebuilt cars) and the vehicle has a 50-60% (or less) resale value than a “clean-title”.
and less informative than NUKEMAP
Frugal random exploration strategy for shape recognition using stat. geom
Very distinct strategies can be deployed to recognize and characterize an unknown environment or a shape. A recent and promising approach, especially in robotics, is to reduce the complexity of the exploratory units to a minimum. Here, we show that this frugal strategy can be taken to the extreme by exploiting the power of statistical geometry and introducing different invariant features. We show that an elementary robot devoid of any orientation or location system, exploring randomly, can access global information about an environment such as the values of the explored area and perimeter. The explored shapes are of arbitrary geometry and may even nonconnected. From a dictionary, this most simple robot can thus identify various shapes such as famous monuments and even read a text.
You do not know what you are talking about with the vaccine but I’m guessing you’re not still getting boaters so that much is good at least.

Just because I’ve been (so far) able to avoid negative repercussions does not mean that I should ignore attempts to unrightfully force medical therapy upon me and react accordingly.

I’m frankly kinda shocked there are still people arguing for it honestly.
If you a rule follower that follows rules just for the sake of following rules, you wouldn't understand.

But, if you think in first principles, humans need to stop because we have only two eyes that can look at only one direction and can never simultaneously compute what speed the other cars are traveling. Of course we have to stop and give enough buffer for 0% accident probability.

A FSD vehicle will have 8+ cameras looking around and already have computed where all the vehicles will be and has faster reaction time. So, it can be afforded higher buffer and lenient rules that was designed for humans.

But, people like yourself are hell bent on following rules for rules-following-sake instead of thinking in first principles. So, an FSD builder would have to lie to you to say "It'll follow traffic rules" because you have that framework.

If another first-principle-thinker asks the FSD builder, then they won't lie and will correctly say "Hey it will stop only when it is required and will break some traffic rules which doesn't make sense for a machine".

But you think it's just a Billionaire club. But it is really about having same principles.

Hope that clarifies.
It's maybe reasonable to consider this an absurd bubble surrounding AI, but it is a demand-driven phenomenon from the point of view of Nvidia.

Right now, you can listen to CEOs of Nvidia's biggest clients saying things like "the current bottleneck is the bureaucracy around building nuclear powerplants to provide energy to our datacenters". The Saudi investment fund is shopping around for AI ventures to throw hundreds of billions at. Altman is suggesting he'd be able to utilise a multi-trillion dollar raise. These are big indicators that the demand for Nvidia's products will remain strong for some time to come.

The amount of money that is aimed at AI, which ultimately a large portion of will land in Nvidia's bank account, is staggering.
> I’ve got plenty of my own ideas, and if I ever need new ones... I can draw on the wonderful world around us, with its long and rich history.

...just like the AI?
That’s what I mean. I’m voting on a party opposed to this, but it won’t change anything. The way the parliament is set up, the way most people tend to vote for centrist parties, and the amount of supporters from different fractions will ensure there will always be at least some parliamentarians in support of all kinds of surveillance, and will continue to press forward on these topics. It only takes a single period of public opinion swinging into a safety minded direction, and these forces win permanently.
Aliens?? as in extra-terrestrials? Roswell-esqe sentient beings?
What do you mean? This is GLSL… a light abstraction on top of it anyway, but not a different shading language or breaking compatibility. The goal is just to write the GLSL shaders in JavaScript.
We are still early in the slow process of AI/ML percolating from the FAANGs all the way down to your neighborhood boutique software shop. Even if the hyperscalers stop buying Tesla, the demand lower in there chain will just grow.
> Most likely, Walmart leadership (Bentonville is in Westerman's constituency) lobbied for this as private flight data is often used in competitive intel.

Bentonville is in the 3rd, which is Steve Womack's district.
No mention of US in this.
Typical sili(con) valley thing
I used to think this. I still mostly think this (and have frankly lost a lot of money in opportunity cost because I thought it), but I've been astonished at how long AMD is taking to pivot, such that there are startup competitors like Groq that might honestly beat them out.
This is obviously meant for shareholders, not customers. Either way it's just pathetic.
PE will literally keep going till society start revolting
Openvibe: Open Social Media. Now Mastodon and Nostr Support
Standard marketing language, used especially in the features and series film industry. The Avengers is MCU tentpole IP.
Triggered by the CCP's takeover of Taiwan.

Buffett sold his stake in TSMC because of geopolitical uncertainty and the way I see it TSMC and NVIDIA are attached at the hip.
It’s not just a matter of the voice being a 1:1 match with Johansenns’s or that it used it as an input to build the model. What is definitive is that Open AI intently based this on the film Her as per docs and tweets && they used her voice similarity after being declined more than once.