skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
> [...] market consensus (whatever that really means anyways) [...]

If we had proper prediction markets for arbitrary events, I would just directly talk about what those prices are. In the real world, we have to look at the prices of existing financial instruments and see which of these can be used as proxies for the events we are interested in.

For some events that fairly easy: if Russian government bonds trade at high prices in 2021, it's unlikely that Russia's dictator will start a senseless war of aggression soon. (In reality, the price of Russia's bonds went down in the runup to the war.)

For other events you have to be more clever: if you want to get a sense of the market estimate for the probability that an asteroid impact (or similar) will erase all life on earth, you can't just look at the price of a straightforward bet that pays out one dollar, if the asteroid hits: most of us would be dead, and the dollar would likely be worthless.

However you can create a bet that has the right structure: Alice gives Bob 100 dollar now, and in five years, Bob gives Alice 500 dollars (but obviously only if the asteroid hasn't killed Alice and Bob). The market price of such a contract can tell you something about the market consensus estimate of a collapse.

My argument wouldn't be that the market consensus is particularly good at prediction, just that it's better than any other prediction mechanism we have; because it can and will incorporate those other prediction mechanisms, and people have a financial incentive to do so.

Btw, why do you think markets would be particularly bad at forecasting ecological collapse? Is there any ecology you are particularly worried about?
When I saw it only seems to support a 'main' I got disappointed.

If it could even get to 'method calls with ref structs' you would start getting into where I'd want to YOLO with it, maybe even use Nesticle to test for the irony.
> [...] I just like living remote.

That's good, and enough justification for your lifestyle. No need to come up with stories of imminent global collapse (unless that kind of roleplay enhances your enjoyment of your lifestyle, I guess?)
try alternately flossing, then using the waterpik, or vice versa. You’ll find that either way, the second modality dislodges food particles left behind by the first. I take that as evidence that both > one > neither in terms of dental health and this of course assumes you then also brush your teeth.
I thought 200x is too extreme as well. In compression literature, is there a way to estimate the upper limit on lossless compressibility of a given data set?
https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/retirement/america-s-38-tril...
If you have a web browser that isn’t Firefox, it’s probably Chromium these days. Also irrelevant to the search product.

Regarding the search product, you’re suggesting they used to use Bing/Google but now don’t. … Does that not mean they run their own indexers? So you’re just diminishing their value today based on what they used to do?
The obvious feature was that ICQ was bloated and MSN wasn't while also MSN coming preinstalled with Windows.
Prototype iPod Features Apple-Designed Tetris Clone Called 'Stacker'
It sounds like a giant PR piece about how Google is ready to respond to a single customer and is ready to work through their problems instead of creating an auto-response account suspension infinite loop nightmare.
I found my (ex)wife on ICQ, or rather she found me.
> The models currently pose no more of a risk than someone going to the library and learning how a bomb or weapon is made.

That is absolutely not true. Books in libraries do not dynamically and non-deterministically withold, distort, falsify, provide, etc. information based upon a generative algorithm that no one understands.
The userspace is largely assembled from third-party sources.

That answered my initial surprise of clicking on the ISO and getting a 60MB download.

For comparison, Linux 0.01 was a 71k download, but contained only the kernel source.
In my honest opinion, Brave is a bit better than a crappy browser. They have their little crypto widgets, which you can disable very quickly if you’d like. Which depending on how hot blooded you are on the subject of crypto can be a turn off. But “crappy” seems a bit on the harsh end of the spectrum, no?
Haha, Bretton Woods wasn't magical. The dollar had long been unmoored in practice, that's why the Bretton Woods agreement collapsed.

So if you see any trends that only show up after Bretton Woods was _formally_ abandoned, then those trends can't have been kicked off by the unmooring.

What trends are you worried about anyway?
26446199, iirc. I remember the pass but not used in ages, I would have to bust out Pidgin or something...
A comment in the HTML source says this page was last modified in 1997. I think I can forgive the author for not including diagrams.
I had a Linux ICQ client in 1997/1998.
I found out the other day that zstd supports dictionary compression [0]. It's a pretty neat concept: you can "train" a dictionary on your corpus of text, and use this dictionary to compress subsequent documents. This is really useful if you have a lot of small documents with a similar distribution of characters. You only have to transmit the dictionary once over the wire once, and then clients can get great compression ratios after that.

For example, suppose you have a lot of chess PGNs you'd like to store [1]. If you compress each PGN separately, you won't get nearly as high of a compression ratio as if you stored them all in the same file and compressed that file. But storing games individually is more convenient. Here are the numbers:

Original PGN file: 780 bytes

Default zstd compression: 508 bytes (35% decrease)

With dictionary: 376 bytes (52% decrease)

I'm thinking about ways to compress at an even higher ratio. Chess PGNs are a great candidate for this task because they have a huge amount of redundant and repeated text.

[0] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35917279

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Portable_Game_Notation
Something like https://longbets.org/ maybe? The funds get held by a third party, and go to the winner's choice of charity rather than to the winner.
Thank you for this. I am trying to figure out what it is I want to do with my collection.

EAC doesn't seem like it would have anything set up for an autoloader like the Nimbie, but dbpoweramp does; on the other hand, the major music-sharing groups seem to prefer EAC.

Sadly, there's nothing out there that will be relatively accurate and precise when it comes to extracting beats per minute, key, and the nebulous "energy" characteristics. I would love to have those.

I think I will also have to work to do things like pushing lyrics and artwork into the FLACs, seeing what metadata "makes it" in the re-encoding to something like a 320kbps MP3.
> when people all of a sudden switched to a worse alternative, MSN

MSN wasn't a worse alternative to ICQ, MSN was faster and came with Windows, making it both easier to keep running at the background on the weak hardware of the time (i remember launching ICQ and waiting waiting waiting at the splash screen with the rotating petal colors and then the main UI was a mess of buttons, icons and all sorts of bloat) and it was just easier to get into.

ICQ did release ICQ Lite which was lighter but by then that was too late - and even that couldn't combat MSN coming bundled with Windows, meaning that people who didn't have any IM suddenly now had one.
This is a unreviewed preprint from politically active anti-mask advocates per their disclosures. It’s hard to take it seriously on the cover because they have a bias well articulated (and they have received compensation for) against masking long before they did this paper. I’d rather see it post peer review when taking such a stark conclusion in contrast with generally accepted public health science, yet is totally in line with their political stances they’re paid to propagate.
Yeah, yeah, but N95s didn't come into play until much later.

The earliest piece of advice was "please don't go out and buy all the masks because the hospitals need them (and the common ones won't protect you anyway because the virus is too small - you'll need an N95, which are expensive and also needed in hospitals)"

A little later, the advice was "on second thought, if we all cover our mouths and noses, we'll probably slow the spread by virtue of not coughing and sneezing all over everything. Save the N95s for the doctors, and cover your face with I-dont-care-what".

The opprobrium cited the earlier advice, with a "wait, you said these were useless, now we have to wear them?"

Instead of addressing this most simple point of confusion, it jumped to "MASKS WORK! SHUT UP AND PUT YOUR MASK ON, IDIOT!"

By the time production ramped up and we had N95s to go around, the conversation was already stupid beyond repair.

Again, it was never The Science™, but the piss-poor communication of it - and by people who should have known better.
this is a great paper
great paper
The average return from index funds is the benchmark that all those others are trying to beat but all the competitors trying to beat the average have a tendency to push successful strategies towards the average.
My company has a global remote workforce. The only team of which that owns any infrastructure being the team I am on, and all of my peers on that team being based in various parts of the US. So it’s not as simple maybe as you might think.
Show HN: Image To Prompt – An Open Source App for turn image to text prompt
I just open source a web application that converts images to text prompts using replicate api. It took me about 2 days to build a fairly basic version of this codebase, which can be used as a development template to quickly deploy to vercel with little modifications
Feel free to use it and feel free to leave comments or file issues here if you have any questions
101919 here. My account got hacked in 1999 and so it's been 25 years since I've been able to login, and yet I remember my UIN the way most people remember their first phone number.

My friend at the time, 101449 was in the first 1500 users; I was late to the game and joined later that afternoon.

I met three people by randomly searching by criteria who are still friends to this day. Erin from Niagara Falls was the first person I had an online voice conversation with. I went to visit Evgenia from Ukraine in St. Petersberg in 2004. I helped Juliana in Sao Paulo practice her English, and went to visit 13 years later.

The thing that was most amazing about the ICQ client was that it implemented a store-and-forward message queue, which was especially important in the dial-up era. That is, someone could send you messages while you were offline, and you'd get them when you logged in.

ICQ was also the first to implement Away, Invisible and DND modes.

While I'm sure that we edit out all of the rough edges in our rose colored memories, ICQ really was the first IM network that felt like a projection of our selves online. NNTP and IRC had their place, but they were radically different interaction modalities. ICQ got a lot of things right that we now take for granted, in an era where techno-optimism wasn't ironic.
Apple plans macOS 15 changes for the controversial System Settings app
As someone who has struggled with depression, low self worth, and felt the nauseating discomfort of when the limits of my natural abilities make violent contact with my (often unrealistic) expectations, this hits uncomfortably close to home. Hell, I’ve even been obsessively trying to learn Japanese this year. I’m sorry to learn through the submitter’s comment about the author’s demise. I hope they felt some level of success eventually, or learned to accept things for what they are.

Drive and passion are extremely valuable things, but they can be very difficult to distinguish from obsession and self destructive behavior. I guess one way to try to keep yourself from flying off the rails is to manage your own expectations. What do I expect from mastering something? Am I doing to try to show off or prove something to someone? What difference does it make if it takes me 1 year or 20? What’s the risk if I fail? Am I enjoying the process? Am I seeing progress? Do I need to make more commitments to get to the next level? How effective has beating myself up, skipping out on my responsibilities, friends, family, and other pleasurable hobbies been in my journey? Am I more or less happy in my pursuit?

I dream of being conversationally fluent in Japanese. I’d love to be able to watch films and anime with minimal help from subtitles. I’d love to be able to read it (although I’m a little scared of kanji). Through the language, I’d like to understand the culture and the history better, to feel the joy of learning something challenging. Piling on myself for being a stupid piece of shit because I can’t remember words or comprehend a sentence a native speaking toddler can understand is not only inappropriate and unreasonable, it’s also one of the biggest obstacles to achieving my goals. As I keep that in mind, I find that I’m able to thoroughly enjoy the process. Although I totally get the author’s desperation to find someone patient enough to spend time talking with and teaching me.
As a doctor, I find it hard to understand why or how a substance that is generally unreactive could cause health problems in the human body. Generally, the less reactive a substance, the less it causes health problems e.g. helium (sure, if you breathe a “hypoxic mixture” of 100% helium, you die, but thats from lack of oxygen, not the helium itself).

Any biochemists out there who can tell me if I’m missing some important context?
I got one of these when they first came out, and am about to return it. The colors are not as bright as I had hoped, and even in greyscale mode it's pretty dim. The screen also had a defect (sort of like a dead pixel; it shows up in night mode as a bright glimmer).

My daughter loved it since she reads graphic novels and comic books. But when she found out it doesn't work with her Kindle books, that killed it for her. Rumor is that Amazon is going to come out with a color ereader in 2025, perhaps with an ACeP screen. [1] I think those are brighter but slower on page turns.

I'm glad Kobo is innovating, and look forward to seeing what v2 looks like (and Amazon's first offering). In the meantime...I'm sending this one back. The return process was surprisingly manual and consumer-unfriendly. Even though it says you can send it back within 30 days for any reason, they were telling me that the busted pixel didn't qualify. I had to call back to get someone who would put the RMA through.

1: https://goodereader.com/blog/kindle/amazon-to-launch-next-ge...
From someone close with Near/Byuu: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=27665789

I also believe marcan (another friend of Near's) commented something similar, but I can't seem to find it (I think it was on Twitter).

Near's spouse referred to Near via "he/him/his" in all of the police/consulate correspondence in the FOIA, so it seemed alright to me.
Well it's being kept alive in the DoD as "tactical chat" [1]. Although the article is from 2015, watchstanders do still use it today.

[1] https://publicintelligence.net/tactical-chat/
I hate those so much...
the summaries have been around for a long time but this was a new “AI” section i haven’t seen before.
Thank you! This is exactly something we are look for at querro.io
https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1793930355617259811.html
I have been using RustRover on Arch Linux as my daily IDE for a few months but then I switched to Zed when they landed their Linux support. RustRover is definitely more feature complete but one of my wishes is to start following the development of a large Rust project as a I use it daily. Zed, or Lapce, or Helix or similar editors fit that very well along with being very usable. Still, I would highly recommend RustRover (or PyCharm which I have used a lot over the years).
In typical mathematical style, a good definition comes from the properties you observe and desire to hold true in your axiomatic system.
In the UK there was a lasagna meat scandal when the beef was found to be mostly horses. I think it was from redirected medical controls. The general reaction was, well at least it's meat. I wonder if economic and food standards will declined so badly that by the time something like Soylent Green becomes a reality the general reaction will again be, at least it's meat and not those bugs they keep trying to feed us.
Three meals a day at McDonald’s with the occasional supersize is easily 4000+ calories a day. That is a massive surplus to gain plenty of weight
> Never before I had to add `-phrase` so often to eliminate results I didn't want

Remember when Google broke boolean search operators because they wanted "Google+" to come up first?

They've been making unspeakably bad decisions about search for a looong time, at this point.
I think you should read the entirety of my message because what you wrote is basically what i wrote. You can't blame a single individual - or even a few people - you can only blame some amorphous blob of humans, like the entire company. But by doing that the blame is so diffused that unless it is something as egregious as the extreme example you gave, it wont mean anything (and in practice the only reason it might mean something is because it might become news and affect some shares value or whatever - i.e. things wont change because the people that make up the organization you blamed are all convinced it is bad to put goatse in MS Weather but because of the indirect effect your blame had - and the people in there can always go and add goatse-like stuff in other products, perhaps in other companies).
But it's literally not a bug at all it's a weird feature in the game they're doing machine learning on
Correct. ICQ was the first to the table with a store-and-forward message queue.

I suspect MSN/AIM/YM borrowed the idea within a few weeks or months.
With some well crafted requirements. Have someone independently compare it to a private offer. If they fail everyone involved gets fired.

The question to ask imho is if an isp (or any privatized service) can just be allowed to go bankrupt. Can people live without internet? Or is it something that needs to work?
You could unlock the entire world of books by using a tool like Calibre so you don't have to be locked into one ecosystem.
1 they do. and get backlash when they do it more openly, e.g. amp

2 they already do things like hitting THEIR dns servers for all links on a page you're reading "for performance". you have no idea what is in play here if you think "omg google is going to phish me my bank password with a fake login page". you're way out of your water here.

3 they can't because of backlash and that would move people to other browsers. they have to slow boil you. see point 1
Don’t you remember the closing act of the documentary?

The salad with dressing and nuts has more calories than a Big Mac!!
> You do not need drugs. You just have to understand and then decide “Enough!”.

"just have to" is the problem. you're not seeing that it's like yelling at a short person who can't reach the top shelf, just be taller!
What format are her kindle books in? You can usually remove the DRM and even convert them to epub (though if you install homebrew on your kobo, like Koreader, you may even be able to read kindle's proprietary format).

It's very simple using a tool like Calibre.
Foreshadowing megacorp value subtraction through UI shuffling learning curve and eliminating essential features deemed "unnecessary".

Perhaps we need a solid, unified, perfectionist, complete, and better UX than Ubuntu and macOS commercial source-available desktop OS for mainstream PC and Mac hardware that doesn't make dramatic, random, or bathroom wallpaper remodel changes.
Plexamp. Does the same kind of thing but with your own collection.
Safety right now isn't about keeping today's model from hacking NORAD.

It's about learning the techniques and approaches to try and have at least a halfway decent approach to safety by the time models capable of autonomously hacking NORAD exist.

(It's also just a very fun problem space in general.)
Thanks, multi-part Twitter links are now held hostage behind a registration wall, making them unreadable and lost for most.
Are you mixing .rs and .js(x)/.ts(x) files in the same project? Jetbrains doesn't support multiple languages in any version of their IDE well AFAIK. I daily drive PyCharm and Webstorm in parallel.
I'm the same way, it's one of the reasons I use helix, even for non rust dev
Looks amazing. My dream outcome would be something like warlords battlecry 3 in a voxel style.

How the hell do people get into graphics programming or voxels? Seems very difficult as a dirty ol webdev
Elon Musk's Community Notes Feature on X Is Working
seems like a dismissive attitude... engineer can cost 1M a year easily and that eliminates viability of lot of small ideas. It's no different than internet servers costing thousands and then suddenly innovation makes them cost less by many factors and creating a surge in new startups.
Is the Unix streams book “Unix Systems V network programming”?
"...what it expects them to do"

therein lies the nuance. some people expect to get a natural language answer back. others expect to get a data table back. others expect to get correct SQL back. this is why it's so important to understand the use case and not bucket everything together.
What’s horrifying about being able to quickly fix a honest mistake in mutual agreement? It’s not always possible, but when it is, it’s so much more efficient than the alternatives.

Trust isn’t a given and not always warranted, but when it is, it is a feature, not a bug.
If you blame a single "cog", the cog will become the scapegoat for your very specific blame and get replaced while all the other cogs, screws and levers will keep on having the same incentives and the machine will keeps on moving forward all the same.
I am using Calibre with my 6 inch Kindle paperwhite. I notice that it display the books bought from Kindle store a lot nicer than the same books but in .epub format sideloaded by Calibre. Do you know how I can improve this?
I gave up on JetBrains because most of their language plugins are broken most of the time. VSCode plugins have a much larger user base and tend to work, and I don't need 9 different products. It's similar to what happened to Atom.

The main downside of VSCode is Electron leaks memory like crazy and will use north of 150 GiB of RAM.
R2AK – No motor, no support, all the way to Alaska
if you expect correct 99% of the time, you will be waiting for a very very very long time for most, except for the most constrained, use cases
Morgan did.

There is an episode of his TV show “30 days” where exactly this is the premise.