skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
We don't have a clear, agreed upon definition of AGI, a way to test for it, or a way to predict whether a new model will meet those criteria.

The definition OpenAI uses for AGI is being more economically valuable than most humans at most things. That definition is entirely backwards looking. They'll keep releasing new models and occasionally check in to see how each model compared to humans economically. If that isn't bumble ducking our way into it I don't know what is.

Its interesting that you raise the difference in knowing the physics behind a bomb before building it and AI research stabbing in the dark as an acceptable thing. Its precisely that they don't know exactly what they're doing that there is so much risk. They're building potentially very powerful and dangerous things, connecting them to the public internet, and selling them to whoever wants to use them. That doesn't seem at all risky or dangerous to you?
> One such theory is that the star contains some long-lived nuclides from the island of stability (such as 298Fl or 304Ubn) and that the observed short-lived actinides are the daughters of these progenitors, occurring in secular equilibrium with their parents.
I probably prefer a clear separation of nature and non-nature, with my home/backyard being the latter one, but having actual nature within a walking distance - which requires the non-nature parts to be dense, not sprawling wide.
Suggesting the community raise funds on behalf of a tech worker who gave up stock options by quitting is an odd idea. He's likely well off and flooded with job offers. Maybe there are actual advocacy groups out there that need the money for lobbying congress and such.
I can't believe there are no sources for the data. A few charts I tried seem off, but even in the cases where it looks like it might be right, trusting it without a source is a big no.
Well first I think that Outer Wilds still does a great job at nudging the player in a direction and making them feel like they are doing important stuff, though sometimes this fails. Ironically I saw how much Jon Blow got lost and hated Outer Wilds. I think an aspect of making the player feel like they're doing something important and not just wasting their time is that for Outer Wilds the game world itself is so interesting and unique that it feels fine to be lost in it.

Riven is a series of paintings, Outer Wilds is a beautiful and serene real time fully simulated solar system. I think that is a concession the poster was referring to: Outer Wilds has to have a wow factor in order to make it okay to be lost and confused. If Outer Wilds was a series of static images, people would not persevere.
Now they need to include .NET and System.Numerics.Tensors but that would make a lot of popular options look bad :)

(particularly go which has no business being used in this area)
Hard to say since I abandoned this and then it was on and off for 2 years
I'm sure they're preventing any prompts that explicitly ask for child porn, but they can't stop the inevitably difficult challenge of knowing when an image is porn of a child versus porn of someone that just looks under age versus graphic imagery of a child that may not meet some specific definition of what makes it porn.
Which part exactly are you seeking proof of, and to what standard?

"I know" is unprovable to others, unless you examine the wiring of my brain. (But then, what is "knowledge"?)

"at least one other human is conscious, otherwise the term would never have been invented." — it's always possible that I'm a Bolzmann brain and this was just luck.

I don't see how the term could have been invented by a mind that didn't actually have it, except with astronomical low probably random events.
Update: Found a post by Sam Altman where he admits to the clause and says he is “embarrassed” about it. https://twitter.com/sama/status/1791936857594581428

OpenAI did say they haven’t and wouldn’t claw back an employees equity for not signing a document. So idk - it could just have been unvested equity which they would have lost at any other company when they quit.
Now what C64 needs is a web browser. :)
I agree with many other commenters here. The danger of AI is not an uncontrollable superhuman.

The danger is much more close, down to earth and real.

Misidentified speech when we apply LLMs in chat moderation.

Wrong conclusions summarising 100-page military report.

More subtle things like hallucinating some details in news, which then after many years will be taken as historical fact.

The long tail of such consequences will be as big as LLM use. Maybe single issue will be much more impactful than the others, unseen ones. Death resulted from this will result in additional regulation. Other consequences will just become our new way of life
Sure but this is nitpicking, as is your GP comment, and neither refute the point that the original commenter was making: modern/advanced societies have laws to protect conscious beings from exploitation and cruelty.

(As I was writing the comment I thought “ugh will someone chime in and point out that not all countries have strong animal protection laws? Do I really need to preempt that in my comment?”)
https://github.com/KrisKennaway/ii-pix/ converts to Apple II Hi-Res, Double Hi-Res, and 320x200 Super Hi-Res (disclaimer: I'm the author)
I know right?! I was super psyched to see some killer retro graphics
Roger Penrose – On the Escherization of David Smith's "Spectre" Einstein [video]
Excellent comparison. I would consider those both Riven-Tier games in terms of awe and wonder. There are a few factors affecting emotional appeal, including phase in life, age, how much you're used to games, and your main point but...

I will say I had nearly as much of a good time with those two games as with Riven. For all three, I had this sinking feeling while playing "I will rarely find works as lovely as these in my life".
> which means cheaper fusion.

It does not mean cheaper fusion. Fusion via magnets is a lie. For 70 years the fusion scientists have been telling us the same story: we are nearly there. We did the math, and if we can just increase the power of the tokamak/stellerator/z-pinch/whatever by a factor of 10, we'll get ignition.

The problem is that plasma shows all sorts of instabilities. All these projections need to come with an asterisk: "we did the math, and assuming there's no new instability that will show up this time, then ...". But each time there is a new instability.

ITER will get built one day (maybe) and they'll figure out that there's yet another issue that requires a few more tens of billions (or maybe hundreds).

They will not get the money this time. ITER did not start as a genuine quest for getting fusion. It was a political project designed to make the US and the USSR cooperate on something that both could perceive as helping humanity in general. Once the USSR disappeared, the impetus was gone, and a third of a century later it remains something that will be finished in the distant future.
I'm not that worried because humans are fickle creatures with an insanely sensitive trust/BS detector. One bad interaction out of 200 with a human/model and the human won't trust that human/model anymore. They'll categorize that human/model as a cute toy and look elsewhere for critical decisions or always get a second opinion.

My prediction is that digital content will end up just being "cute" and the real interactions/decisions will increasingly be offline and face-to-face. The open digital democracy that everyone hoped for will become tightly closed circles of humans talking face to face.
> I wish I could buy back my own mortgage at a discount given how much interest rates have risen

But why would you want to do that? If you take out a fixed-rate loan and interest rates rise, you are already making a profit. Financially, there would be no further benefit from the buy-back of the loan.
Re-imagining Think Different / Crazy Ones for fun, who should I include? [video]
Contracts speak louder than tweets
100% agreed. Must have been a very tough decision. But good for him.

Taking selfless actions like these, that have major personal costs, require serious courage.
When prompted for

'daily unique visitors to openai.com by month since 2022 to 2024'

It gave a graph with
1) time axis decreasing left to right,
2) visitor numbers which can't be real (near prefect linear trend)
3) points in the future, going out to Dec 31, 2024.
I mean he is in AI safety. Are there lots of job offers for these people. Seems to me that is going the way of DEI nonesense. His field is philosophy.
Don't get me wrong the US absolutely misbehaves. China misbehaves. Russia misbehaves. Europe is suffering from Russian and Chinese industrial espionage, Australia has definitely been the target of Chinese espionage. (Leaving the Ukraine war to the side for the purposes of this discussion)

Brexit is almost certainly linked to Russian influence. The difference is Australia, UK and Australia have strong institutions and firm anti-corruption mechanisms.

Brazil can't succeed until it deals with it's internal problems. Media that blames everyone but internal problems is just serving interests that would prefer the people to look elsewhere.
Nuclear war, tyrannical expansionist states, are still on the menu for the current generations and things like acid rain and ozone layer depletion (along with a host of other pollution issues) could easily be again if the current efforts to undermine the EPA and its rules are successful.

The biggest difference between then and now I think is that kids then could see and believe a future world that is better then the one their parents had. Whereas today's kids can't see that, and rightfully so I would say.
Lessons Learned Building an Answer Engine
Let me be (const was a mistake) – Epic Web Dev
What are examples of immense powerful text writers these days?
I for one don’t feel I have any way to judge whether by his lights this was something he felt he had to do. I do hope he gave some deep thought prior to making what may have been a financially life-altering decision.
I agree that Flux.jl is very cool but you can't use it to train a SOTA LLM, can you? The Julia ecosystem does not have the resources to even attempt building a viable alternative to Pytorch.

I'm still curious what concrete things you mean that Julia is missing. Maybe I'm so stuck doing numerical analysis, can't think of anything else...
https://columns.ai/chatgpt/Fq3fID0AVvWWIM
Your back of the envelope calculation is off by over 10x, so I'm not sure it's him that needs to put more thought into their comments.
> Yeah idk whether the sacrifice was worth it but thanks for the support. Basically I wanted to retain my ability to criticize the company in the future. I'm not sure what I'd want to say yet though

This is the craziest part to me. If someone was paying 85% of their net worth for the freedom to say something, I'd expect them to know exactly what they wanted to say, and for them to actually say it. Otherwise how could it possibly be worth it?
a $1000 drone is much more useful for going around
The cheaper ones have a magnetron that work a set number of cycles. The more expensive ones have much more cycles that cheaper ones.
I still have a faint hope that proliferation of AI generated content will make it all so absurd that people will turn back to traditional editorially reviewed content. But I know that's probably too naive - I recently had someone bring up "here's what Chatgpt told me" as an argument in a discussion, in manner like Wikipedia was quoted before
https://archive.is/UysEd
It’s like how QRs can be abused to appear like certain images, just a little stunt on top of the implementation
While I agree with you, I think that the problem with titles is the battle lost long time ago. In the age of online and social media titles are seen as a way to get an attention. I write regularly columns for a local media and while I'm free to write in any way I want, coming up with titles is the job for an editor, there are sometimes A/B tests done with these etc. Titles for my texts are often too clickbaity for my taste and I hate it, but that's how it's handled today.
Riven, and all the Myst games beyond the original have aged well. It is playable now. (And the original gets a remake every few years!)
Not "always" but it has been around since at least the 70s, including the original 8086 which I don't think anyone would classify in good faith as RISC
It turns out if you help a company you find unethical its a transitive property. Generally if you find you are working at a company to undo what they've done to the world, you will find yourself changed before the company.
The fashion industry may get stuck in ruts but it also responds to demand. It's simple that there is no demand for functional pockets for women's clothes despite what is expressed socially. It's quite simple in that regard. To that end, there's no demand to alter button handedness.
> losing 85%

He didn't lose anything, he just made a bad decision

It's like the Spotify dude wo got bankrupt because he started living like his 300k+ salary was some form of life long secured payment, it's hard to feel bad for these people
It's licensed under the AGPL, they welcome pull requests and don't seem to require a CLA, so open core is not really possible.
Windows by default issues TRIMs basically instantly when deleting a file, and runs "Optimize disk" (which trims all free space) on a schedule by default as well.
This is a great point. It's easy to spin up an LLM data analysis demo, but it's really hard to trust the outputs.

I think we've (https://www.definite.app/) done a decent job here. Once the LLM generates results, you can inspect the query all the way back to the source (SQL).

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Nu2Tal3hm7s
Doesn’t this fall under counting your chickens before they hatch? We are all taking opportunity risks in life and I don’t see how this person is any different.
That's not the problem.

There are 40 different definitions of consciousness, some of which we can quantify, we just don't all agree on which one we mean in any given context and indeed sometimes conflate them without realising it in the middle of a sentence.
Have a look at government, academia, religion, all instances of immense power acquired through convincing text. There are probably other examples.
I believe that computationalism is by far the best foundational explanation of higher cognitive phenomena, as all other explanations involve some unscientific form of mysticism at one point or another. From this perspective, the answer to the question in the paper's headline is trivially true. Computationalism implies multiple realizability.

It's worth noting that computationalism is independent from physicalism and monist materialism in general. It's not surprising that it's always paired with physicalism, but IMHO it's also the best foundational explanation for dualists.
But does a bug have consciousness? What about a bacteria?
So what? You don't get to play the hardcore tech capitalist game with insane perks and cry for socialism when shit hits the fan
Band practice?

Edit to clarify: I cannot fathom live collaboration over the internet when even 15 ms lag is annoyingly noticeable (10 ms latency with a midi keyboard seems like the cutoff for me personally at least).
Do you have a link to the contract?
To be fair, in the post he estimates it would be 85% of his net worth but says, please don't worry about us we are fine. The headline is disingenuous because he didn't lose 85% of his net worth he just passed up the opportunity to make a lot of money. The difference is that it is framed like he nearly went bankrupt and had to liquidate everything, when in reality he just passed up a massive payday to eschew and NDA. Still admirable but not quite the same as taking an 85% loss on his current assets
That doesn't work due to the latency. If you want 30ms roundtrip, you need to be within ~3000km/1800 miles of the subscriber.
I think that probably is the logical conclusion. There are a fair number of sci-fi books along those lines, e.g. Permutation City.
Bro I knew what a swastika and the nword was at that age. And yeah, probably I took them too lightly sometimes because I was a kid and its a learning process. But I knew they were wrong. Because my parents taught me right and wrong. How stupid do you think kids are? I used to pray for the victims of ww2 when they told us to pray in assembly. I wasn't a 6 year old neo-nazi because I knew what a swastika looked like.
It doesn’t seem selfless. It sounds quite narcissistic and as though he has a savior complex.

Even Altman admits ChatGPT didn’t have the economic impact he thought it would. The promoter has finally come to terms with reality.
I don't really care if stubborn, old leaders live longer if it means I don't have to worry about my loved ones dying and get to see humanity reach the stars.
I don't understand your argument well at all.

> So questions such as, "what would the latest SpaceGuys TV show be like if Elon handed just launched BlahBlahRocket5 ?" cannot be given fit answers

I don't understand this at all. ChatGPT can do a great job imagining a world like this right now, and there is no substantial difference in the output of a LLM based "imagination" vs a human based "imagination".

> These require the actual faculty of imagination, along with being in the world and so on.

I think you are implying by this that human's imagination requires a consistent world model and that because LLM's don't really have this they can't be intelligent. Apologies if I have misinterpreted this!

But human imagination isn't consistent at all (as anyone who as edited a fiction story will tell you). Our creative imagination process generates wrong thoughts all the time, and then we self-critic and correct it. It's quite possible for LLMs to do this fine too!

Basically I think my point is that I believe a perfect simulation of intelligence is intelligence, whereas I suspect you don't think it is, maybe?
Satya is a canny player, he knows how to give with one hand and take away with the other like a magician so you don't see the trick. I wish he was pushing Microsoft to be a bit more ethical, but he has done good stuff and he's a good model CEO, since he hasn't done any one genius thing, but he's consistently positioned and executed well which is something the "average" leader can model.
How can we assess if someone or something has consciousness? It's not like we have a defined framework with precise rules to tell if something has consciousness. In fact this problem might not be solvable.
It should be in November and be called “No Mowvember”.
Hence the "gradual replacement" part of my comment :)

Scan and copy never made sense to begin with, as you point out. Not sure why it's the default when people think of mind uploading.
I (UK) once refused to sign an NDA before a US company interviewed me. They were highly confused and they even scheduled a call with one of their lawyers to explain my position. They eventually relented but I really just wanted them to go away. I only went through with the interview because their HR guy put so much effort in. I ended up leaving the interview early after all that.

I still find it bizarre that some companies expect NDAs for interviews. Why would anyone agree to that, there’s literally no gain for me.
Carbon fibre, like most composites, is also very hard to predict. It's much more complex to model, especially in terms of how it ages, and there's a lot of opportunity for part-to-patt variability, so even extensive testing doesn't necessarily give you an all-clear. It took a lot fo time and money to get carbon fibre to the same level of understanding as metals for use in airlines.
Is it the same plant that was used for shokushinbutsu, the "self-mummification" practiced by Japanese monks? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sokushinbutsu

Edit: OK, not quite. The Japanese lacquer tree was used which produces the same "active" substance which is what slowly kills you. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Toxicodendron_vernicifluum
Attention will be scarce, influeism will replace capitalism.
I haven’t tried this but based on the description seems pretty rad. I stumbled across Exherbo [1] Linux as well while looking.

[1] https://www.exherbolinux.org/
That's the equivalent of saying we should have gone straight from black-and-white television to 4K HDR without color TV and HD in between.
Yes, thanks. So "the island of stability" is currently only predicted. [0]

This star appears to be so exciting. Whatever the answer is, it is going to push the boundaries of knowledge.

[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Island_of_stability
There were a few vendor-specific VLBish busses:

Opti local bus was the most common, and had a few different boards: https://ancientelectronics.wordpress.com/tag/opti-local-bus/

Gigabyte had one that was only used for the "GA-486US" motherboard. The connector was just two 16bit ISA cards back to back: https://theretroweb.com/motherboard/image/ga-486us-front-60b...

I believe there were some others from different vendors.

The signaling for all of these was pretty similar to VLB, since it was just the 486 bus on a connector.
Humans can never run out of economic activities we call for each other. Period!
Can anyone me one tell me how big this is in GB?
I've read some version of something like this a few times over the last while, and I don't really understand it. You typically vest the option to buy shares, separately; when you leave a company, they may ask you to sign additional agreements. You can just walk out the door, but what they often do is say they will vest all your equity to the end of the vesting schedule if you sign it. I've never done that in my career, and I don't feel bad about leaving money on the table. I was fine with what I had and didn't want additional obligations to the company when I left. This is normal stuff...?
Breaking Light Speed: The Quantum Tunneling Enigma
This enzyme is responsible for life on Earth. It's a hot mess
Is there any research out there which links moderate amounts of vitamin D (such as the recommended dosages on vitamin D supplements) to any negative effects at all?

Is there any research to indicate that a lack of urushiol has negative effects, similar to how we know that a lack of vitamin D has negative effects?

If not I don't really see the connection
An Ode to Deluxe Paint (2023)
Edit: This comment is wrong. I mixed up the EEC (direct predecessor to the European Union) and the EEA (like the EU, except it has Iceland, Norway and Liechtenstein).

> used to be named "The European Union of Coal and Steel producers", and hasn't forgotten

The “European Coal and Steel Community” predates the European Economic Community, which it was separate from until the 1967 merger (a decade after the EEC was founded). The EEC is related to, but not the same as, the European Union.
It's almost as though teachers have very little influence whatsoever over what students end up learning or doing.
It also made sense that being able to quickly look up evidence online should have ended nonsense conspiracy theories… it did not quite work out like that.
Inspired by that I tried to ask it for “Price of bitcoin from year 1900 to year 2300”

I had to press the “refine” button several times which turned the query into “Bitcoin price 1900-2300”

The result was a bar chart with five data points.

All of the five data points were labeled “2K”, and had differing heights.

The dates along the X axis were in a short span of time – just a few days – and were seemingly randomly ordered. Or like, sorted with even dates in descending order followed by odd dates in ascending order. Very.. peculiar.

2023-10-04

2023-10-02

2023-10-01

2023-10-03

2023-10-05

Also the link copy button is not working for me in Safari on iOS, and the url doesn’t change from the op link either, so I can’t share a link to the graph.