skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Let's see...a 2019 Ars article, sourcing analysis from a company (QCS) that no longer provides a web site, is claiming that the 2016 data (8 years ago) can be interpreted to show a higher crash rate on autopilot than NHTSA computed at that time.

This is, of course, very old news.

There's far more data available today. Indeed, this old article says "Tesla could settle the debate by releasing more data". Great! What does current data say?

There are two pretty good sources of data. One is Tesla's quarterly vehicle safety reports, and the other is NHTSA's mandatory crash reporting data.

Tesla's quarterly data tells a pretty convincing story, from 18Q4 through to 23Q4. The US average accident rate has stayed almost unchanged that whole time, providing a useful baseline. What is completely clear is that miles per crash goes from 3.35 million (18Q4) to 5.39 million (23Q4). Occam's razor provides the simplest explanation: The autopilot software just keeps getting better at avoiding crashes.

The currently popular way of poking holes in Tesla's safety reports is to say "of course autopilot miles per crash are better; they're all on the highway and it's unfair to compare". First, anybody who drives a Tesla will tell you that autopilot gets activated all the time off freeways, by all kinds of drivers.

Current criticism of the quarterly safety data requires adopting assumptions that bias the data away from the metrics that being presented. They roughly amount to "well, here is a way that this data could be inaccurate. We don't know if it is or isn't inaccurate, but it could be".

But that doesn't really matter. Unless the methodology has fundamentally changed (which it hasn't), you only need to compare autopilot data against itself to see that there are huge improvements, and you can also see that at the same time, the US fleet does not improve.

For the US fleet, more and more cars have active emergency braking and forward collision warning systems...but this does not seem to be improving the US seasonally adjusted averages much.

It might also be interesting to compare Tesla data with cars of similar capabilities...which are mostly from the realms of super- and hyper-cars. How's the miles driven per crash there?

I think it's a pretty good trick to deliver supercar performance and have dramatically superior crash stats.

I also think these discussions are loaded with all kinds of people who think they are Lake Woebegon, above-average drivers.
> Hmm! Tell me more: why not want real? What are the upsides? And downsides?

Finding a partner with which you resonate takes a lot of time, which means an insanely high opportunity cost.

The question rather is: even if you consider the real one to be clearly better, is it worth the additional cost (including opportunity cost)? Or phrased in a HN-friendly language: when doing development of some product, why use an expensive Intel or AMD processor when a simple microcontroller does the job much more cheaply?
It's the wrong question, the wrong perspective.

We know a good diet is good for you. Just the same: Can a crap diet and lack of physical activity lead to more and more weight gain? Yes! Absolutely.

The diet that is known as dieting is the norm, or should be. But instead we've normalized the abnormal, to the point that we have to ask if a good diet is good? Huh?

These subtle but effective language gymnastics are helping anyone. Abnormal is abnormal and unhealthy. Why is this so hard for so many to understand?
As a professional technology person I say “computer” about 1megatoken per day
This is interesting, but isn't particularly surprising either, as this kind of freedom:

1. Don't affect the interests of the State

2. Goes against the interest of private actors (who want to have control over how a picture of their building can be monetized, and ideally get their share of it)

So we're typically in the (narrow) domain where you have more freedom in a communist country.
I expected more legal jargon, like the CC licences that have a friendly version and an official version.
Uh, no, I had it a few months ago and it was a lot worse than a cold. Not to mention potential long-Covid symptoms.

More importantly, my 85-year-old father-in-law finally got it despite precautions, and he had quite a hard time. I really don’t want to be the one who brings him a second infection.
I tried GPT-4o earlier where I was iteratively asking it to write and in improve a simple JavaScript web app that renders graphs of equations and it had a lot of trouble with substituting slow and ineffecient code with faster code, and at some later point where I asked it to implement a new feature how the graph coloring is rendered it started derailing, introducing bugs and very convoluted code.
Say if someone copied your codebase tomorrow, and rebranded it as a competing solution and started advertising on same places as you are, what do you do?
> because it completely ruins the ability to use Bluetooth devices to deter theft

I'd rather have the assurance that at-risk groups like women, marginalized people, and notable people are not at risk of having a cheap and easy to use location tracker attached to them. As others have pointed out, these trackers are not meant for, and are ill-suited to use as anti-theft devices. We've had Lojack like devices for years and they'll still work all the same regardless of the reporting standard.

> People don't realize that Life360 is on 1 in 8 phones in the US.

So that's 12% of devices. Another way to look at it is you have a 1 in 8 chance that the device will work and notify you when a potential reporting device approaches it.

> CEO of Tile / Life360 here.

As an Android user who is only now getting to use Bluetooth beacon tech like our iPhone friends have had with airtags for quite some time, I'm in the market for these devices. Your statement here makes me think I should look for devices other than Tile, even if they did participate in the standard.
> We recognize that GPT-4o’s audio modalities present a variety of novel risks. Today we are publicly releasing text and image inputs and text outputs. Over the upcoming weeks and months, we’ll be working on the technical infrastructure, usability via post-training, and safety necessary to release the other modalities.

So they're using the same GPT4 model with a relatively small improvement, and no voice whatsoever outside of the prerecorded demos. This is not a "launch" or even an announcement. This is a demo of something which may or may not work in the future.
> Apple (nor Google, as far as I know) has done zero to fix it in years (a decade?)

On iOS/iPadOS, touch-hold the virtual space bar and it becomes a trackpad for fine positioning of the cursor.

Magic Keyboard is a laptop-quality input device where capslock can be remapped to Esc for vim editing in ssh.
I used to love Tile, but nah this ain't it and I'm glad I got off your product ASAP. I'm not ok with how easily Tiles enable stalking.

You were literally just sued for this https://news.bloomberglaw.com/privacy-and-data-security/tile...

Edit: Hey man I'm not engaging you on this, you chose to opt-out of this safety feature and you've enabled stalkers that target at risk groups like me. Nope.
Indeed.

I rarely do these days.
Australia is a special case as it does not have a national-level bill of rights [1]. There are various cases that enshrine aspects of human rights as Australia is party to many UN human rights agreements, but there is no central easy document people can go back to like the US constitution or the German Grundgesetz. That allows for easy overreach that has to, time and time again, be pushed back by courts and then enshrined in new laws. For example, age discrimination is unconstitutional in some countries but is only illegal in Australia since the Age Discrimination Act 2004. So Australia needs piecemeal laws for every civil rights issue.

[1] https://peo.gov.au/understand-our-parliament/how-parliament-...
OK I should have said they use punctuation very sparingly.

I went looking for the Australian Standard for these things but it costs over $100 to obtain.

Also - I am half-remembering something I read like 30 years ago when I was working for government agency that dealt often with the geographical names board.
If you’re asking in terms of quality of the checksum in terms of catching corruption, CRC32 is bad just like any 32-bit hash would be. It’s too easy to generate collisions - other algorithms might perform better but it’s all going to be a marginal improvement - you want 64-bit or 128-bit depending on the expected size of data you’re hashing. CRC also exhibits pretty bad issues that cause it to fail SMHasher (even CRC64) - bias, collisions, etc. So gxhash and XXH3 should both perform significantly better in terms of more reliably detecting changes to the underlying data.

In terms of speed, XXH3 is roughly the speed of CRC32 but can output 64 or 128-bit hashes (CRC64 by comparison ~3x slower). This algorithm is ~10x faster than XXH3 for small data sizes and ~2x faster for larger ones so it would be 2x faster than CRC32 for a much higher quality hash and ~6x faster than CRC64 for a much higher quality hash.

TLDR: Don’t use CRC, use at least 64-bit or 128-bit checksum, and use a good modern hash algorithm for checksumming like XXH3. I know XXH3 very specifically targets the checksum use-case. I don’t know about gxhash’s suitability for that, but I suspect that it’s equally as fine - it’s really hard to measure the quality of a 64-bit and 128-bit hash unless they’re so bad they fail obvious tests.
If you live completely alone and don't leave home, sure, testing doesn't really apply.

In my house, if someone is sick and visiting the kitchen every couple hours hacking up a lung, but won't spend 3 minutes to crack open one of those free government tests, that would be a bit rude. Catching any virus sucks, so I'd appreciate an FYI about if the air they're exhaling has the virility to infect an average of 6 people or an average of 1 person (or whatever the latest research has determined the wildly high R-value of infectiousness to be of covid vs a cold). The difference affects how active I need to be to avoid catching a bug.
This is all deeply hypothetical (and I'm super biased), but I think it's important to distinguish two different questions:

- Is it possible for a private company to make it to space without government money?

- Is it possible to do that while competing with other companies that do get the money?

Observing that "company ___ would not have succeeded without government money" is answering the second question but maybe not the first.
I believe you’ll find that tracking your stolen items is just a recipe for frustration when you tell the police where your shit is and they act like you’re the asshole when you expect them to do anything about it.

(And no, this isn’t connected to current politics—I’ve not known cops to care about tracking down stolen good no matter how much evidence you can hand them, since at least the 90s)
And humans malfunction pretty badly without input. Even solitary confinement quickly drives them insane.
The super impressive stuff is more subtle:

1. Price is half for a better performing model. A 1000x1000 image costs $0.003.

2. Cognitive ability on visuals went up sharply. https://github.com/kagisearch/llm-chess-puzzles

It solves twice as much despite a minor update. It could just be better trained on chess though, but this would be amazing if it could be applied to the medical field as well. I might use it as a budget art director too - it's more capable of knowing the difference in subtle changes in color and dealing with highlights.
Password cracking: past, present, future (OffensiveCon 2024)
In my case, as someone on immune suppressants, it’s good to know if I should go on Paxlovid or not.
> Lack of background apps alone kills remoting via SSH

There are workarounds, e.g. live PiP window used by iPulse.
That could be great.

Is it possible that there could be a standard linux (fanless) tablet?
Better performance, twice the speed, and half the cost is a pretty big win. Demoing the voice features is what makes it an announcement
I tend to believe that a big part of the real issue is related to us not communicating how we feel and thus why I'm worried about how the chatbots may influence our ability (and willingness) to communicate such things. But they may help us open up more to them and therefore to other humans, I'm not sure.
Yes, we were sued, but we will fight it and win. I think most people on Hacker News know to approach lawsuits with skepticism.

And I feel like many people being critical of us are arguing with emotions and not data. You have to scan a government ID and agree to severe penalties for misusing our product. We have had zero instances of reported stalking from anyone who has enabled the anti-theft feature.

Can you articulate with data why what we are doing is problematic?
GPT-4o tops the aider LLM code editing leaderboard at 72.9%, versus 68.4% for Opus. GPT-4o takes second on aider’s refactoring leaderboard with 62.9%, versus Opus at 72.3%.

GPT-4o did much better than the 4-turbo models, and seems much less lazy.

The latest release of aider uses GPT-4o by default.

https://aider.chat/docs/leaderboards/
That...does not actually address what I said?
I think Jack's ideal of a social square is fundamentally at odds with the reality of how these social squares actually behave past a certain scale, especially with regards to moderation. Bluesky's approach to decentralised moderation has been really interesting to watch and seems to be working quite well. Granted, I don't think users should be responsible for it to the extent that they currently are, but it seems to be effective.
Yes, I know about the virtual trackpad, and it's still a pain in the butt to use. Before touch-and-hold, there was the faster deep press, which was better albeit not great, and the current setup is a regression.

"add a keyboard" isn't an answer.
These days, if something sparks my interest, I get an ebook on it or spend 15 mns collecting materials. Then I add it to the hoard of “read someday”. And go back to the task on hand. If I’m going to learn something, then I do it properly (The goal is to be able to explain it without reciting word by word). And I’d want proper materials for that.
Yeah, but when you are shipping computers with 256kb like the original PC/XT those extra two bytes per pointer start to look like a major luxury. There was a heroic amount of effort in those days to make due with as little memory as possible because memory was so expensive that nobody had more than was absolutely necessary.
The creator of 'Magic: The Gathering' knows where it all went wrong
> The problem I've had with this argument is immunocompromised individuals existed before COVID but masking and obsessive testing was nearly nonexistent outside the elderly and infirm. Now that things have largely reverted back to normal, why have behaviors not followed?

My general hope from society is that we learn new things and improve over time. COVID completely changed the public and expert understanding of airborne illnesses.

While cloth masks don't work, N95-grade masks absolutely do.
This all being said, the poverty trap is a real thing and making people so poor they can't pull themselves up by their bootstraps it can be very expensive in the long run.
They may not be able to deny entry, but they can hold you indefinitely with no limit even if you’re a citizen.
> principles be damned

This is a very common occurrence: convenience or perceived necessity trumping principles.

> I wonder what % of people are actually committed

Almost 0%, if by “actually committed” you mean consistently applying these principles in practice, in the face of inconvenience.

I nevertheless believe that having principles, however vague and sometimes inconsistently applied, is a good thing, in that it structures thought and informs action. It gives a way to discuss how things “should” be.
> As of today, we have zero known instances of abuse—the friction of scanning an ID is enough to make a bad guy think twice

So all I need is a stolen ID and then not only I am stalking but also ruining another person's life?
It's already here. Demo: https://youtu.be/kkIAeMqASaY?si=gOspEouo69eQmDiA

I also have an anecdote where it served (successfully) as a mediator for a couple.

Exciting times.
The generation before me are old and outdated

The generation after me are lazy and stupid

Only my generation is perfect.

- every generation ever
It’s so strange to see a country concerned about Chinese incidence essentially turn into them, with greater and greater threats to free speech, digital freedoms, and privacy. It’s one thing to complain about China and another thing to complain about them while adopting the worst of their practices and none of the good pieces.
In 2023 SpaceX launched commercial (in other words excluding experimental/starship stuff) 96 times including 7 times for NASA. NASA played a critical role in SpaceX's early founding, where their first contract with NASA is effectively what enabled the company to exist. But I would also emphasize that such wasn't just serendipity. SpaceX's entire initial concept was built around said NASA contract, because it existed. If it didn't then they obviously would have been pitching to e.g. telecoms companies or whatever. But since then they've increasingly just become another customer, though certainly a VIP customer!

As for talent, launching stuff is not really NASA's competency in modern times. After the Space Shuttle was retired in 2011 until SpaceX entered the picture in 2020, the one and only way we got to the ISS was by relying on Russia. The SLS [2] was NASA's effort at creating a new launch vessel and it's just been a complete failure that was already been obsoleted by the Falcon Heavy years ago. SLS's expected cost per flight is $2billion+. So you're looking at up to twice the theoretic payload for 20x+ the cost. If not for corruption/graft, that rocket would have long since been cancelled and would certainly never fly a single mission. And I'm completely ignoring Starship here!

[1] - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Falcon_9_and_Falcon_He...

[2] - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Space_Launch_System
Sure, I agree with that. We did user testing and people understood the concept. It is anti-theft in the sense you have a real chance of getting your stuff back, unlike with AirTags and now Google network devices where thieves will just disable the tracker.
But is the system really working usefully in this case? It seems like the intended purpose of CVEs is to actually identify serious (and less serious) exploits, which requires that someone, somewhere do quite a lot of work figuring that out and keeping track of things. But the kernel maintainers didn't sign up for that, so they basically shut things down via malicious compliance--not that I blame them, since nobody is stepping up to do the work and the maintainers already have a job, thank you.

So the tragedy of the commons is that security organizations ended up relying on CVEs as a security standard, without really thinking through who was going to do the dirty work of keeping that system going as it expanded.
Its possible to copy/paste text in at least. Seems to allow a single keystroke, then the text field looses focus and goes into 'shortcut' mode
Gell-Mann amnesia.

I don't think they lying; they are probably being selectively quoted and the article written to be as click-baity as possible.
Duck just isn't commonly eaten in the US. You probably won't find it at butchers either.

Independent butchers aren't all that uncommon. Though, for example, my town has 3-4 grocers that sell meat without having a counter (but I expect you could talk to the butcher at a couple of them), a grocer that does have a counter, and then a couple of independent butchers.
we need social housing programs like vienna, austria. aided by federal money, but facilitated and owned by local communities.

we missed a decade of low interest rates to build, even in places with lax zoning regulations. obviously the zoning regulations are a problem and need to change, but that didn't keep developers from underbuilding in areas with lax zoning during the low interest rate environment. there's no fucking way the free market will solve this now that the cost to borrow + costs of materials + labor etc are so high (because that just makes the cost of housing higher). it will take both government investment and private enterprise.
Are all the videos on the main page CGI? Sure looks like it.

The demo with the walnuts and coke sure looks like CGI.

So this is like a kickstarter where they promise the world using CGI/mockups and then maybe deliver?
> "add a keyboard" isn't an answer.

The best keyboard in the history of mobile computing was by Blackberry.

Blackberry (original and clone) physical keyboards are now available for both Android & iPhone, with some effort.
"Obsessive" is pretty loaded language! Also: normal has shifted, as it always does, so you should expect permanent changes in behavior. It used to be normal to smoke indoors; one of the few good outcomes of Covid is that people are a lot more serious about building ventilation than they used to be, thankfully.

Anyway, the new normal _still_ includes Covid, and Covid is still a significant risk to the naive (un-or-insufficiently vaccinated or people who haven't had it yet). It's comparably risky to a bad flu, which is a pretty real thing.

Do you have a citation for the N95 risk? I'm sure a bunch of painters and woodworkers would be interested in that.
> Humans are more partial to talking than writing.

Amazon, Google, and Apple have sunk literally billions of dollars into this idea only to find out that, no, we aren't.

We are with other humans, yes. When socialization is part of the conversation. When I'm talking to my local barista I'm not just ordering a coffee, I'm also maintaining a relationship with someone in my community.

But when it comes to work, writing >>> talking. Writing is clarity of ideas. Talking is cult of personality.

And when it comes to inputs/outputs, typing is more precise and more efficient.

Don't get me wrong, this is an incredibly revolutionary piece of technology, but I don't think the benefits of talking you're describing (timing, subtext, inexplicit knowledge) are achievable here either (for now), since even that requires HOURS of interaction over days/weeks/months of experiences for humans to achieve with each other.
> They're not a theft deterrent, in fact they're generally hidden so a thief has no idea it's there.

A potential car thief doesn't know if your car has an alarm on it either, but he just assumes that it does because most do. With wide enough adoption of these devices, it could work out the same.
You are not referring to page zoom or dpi I presume, which works.

I added `style="height: 2em"` to the `<object>` to fit it within my use-case. Should be able to adapt to current font size that way I think.
I think the actual simplest answer can be understood if you take a look at the account statements of pharmaceutical companies around 2020.