> The Arab population in Jaffa is roughly 33%. A lot of that is due to the growth of the city.

I’m a bit confused here. I was under the impression that Jaffa was annexed into Tel Aviv in 1949. Jaffa today is only a neighborhood, a district, or a part of a larger city. According Wikipedia[1] the Arab population of that portion of Tel Aviv called Jaffa is 33%, which is still only 16000 people. Before the Nakba the population was around 95 000 (of which 15 000 Jews). Only 3800 Arabs remained during the Nakba. So in historic terms, Jaffa hasn’t recovered to previous population numbers.

Aside, the annexations of Jaffa into Tel Aviv, is colonialism 101. The eradication of the place names and administration boundaries is straight from the playbook of the colonization of Ireland by the British.

When you say stuff like: “The vast majority of the Palestinians who still live there and are Israeli citizens sure as hell don't want to be ruled by the Palestinian authority.” I thing is very disingenuous given the history of the place. The thing is, they don’t still live there, they were overwhelmingly displaced, and those that remained were assimilated into the culture of the colonizer. To the extent they mostly identify as Arab Israelis (not Palestinian as you call them; it is of course up to them if they want to identify as Palestinians though, and I bet some do). By the same logic you could claim that Dublin has no claims on Belfast because Belfast has some Catholics that vote for the DUP.

Aside 2, the way the British finally achieved peace in Northern Ireland was by actually recognizing the fact that Dublin does have claims to Belfast and it is up to the citizens of Belfast to decide if they ever want to reunite with the Republic of Ireland. Just compare that to how Israel is responding to a crisis of similar nature.

Thanks for the numbers btw. I appreciate it.

1: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jaffa#Demography

EDIT: If we crunch the numbers of the 2022 elections (very interesting link btw.) we get 14% of all Arab voters that voted for Zionist parties. Only 53% of Arabs voted in that election, and that number includes Druze and Bedouin. This comes down to a grand total of 36230 votes, 13000 of those are for Yesh Atid and Labour which are a liberal/reformist versions of Zionism (kind of like the Alliance party in Northern Ireland). I also wonder about the methodology here as the tally is broken down by Arab neighborhoods, so if a Jew is living in an Arab neighborhood, they are counted, and if an Arab is living in a majority Jewish neighborhood, they are not (I also wonder how East Jerusalem is counted here here).

I wanted to see how this compares to Unionist support among Northern Irish Catholics, but I was just as bad as finding numbers of that as in Israel (turns out speaking the language is not enough). The best numbers I found was from a 2014[2] poll which got hardline Unionist parties 1% of Catholic votes, and nonsectarian got 6%.

I don’t think this is enough to compare, given the different methodology, difference in participation, etc.

But what I get from this is this is that it is not that easy to claim that “Palestinians” that still live in Jaffa vote Likud in shocking numbers.

2: https://www.ark.ac.uk/nilt/2014/Political_Attitudes/POLPART2...