skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
> I have yet to hear a solid argument against Tesla achieving full self-driving within the next ten years.

You haven't heard a solid argument against me personally achieving full self-driving either, but that doesn't make it realistic

You are also assuming they are able to sell their FSD for a profit, and aren't out-competed by e.g. Waymo. Maybe Tesla does make full self driving a reality, but only after Waymo has licensed a better version of self driving to Toyota who sell millions of automated cars before Tesla
Carbon is still a research project, the authors are the first to state to use Rust if one doesn't need to migrate existing C++ code.
Unofficially, any large software company with lax RTO/WFH policies has had this for quite some time. Very few people work full 8 hours a day at these.
If I am not mistaken he has said in some interviews he is not a big fan of public speaking.
I remember a company in Scotland using whiskey byproducts for metal decontamination

https://www.abc.net.au/listen/programs/scienceshow/barley-hu...
Also stop them from buying other companies. This probably also would require some type of working anti-dumping legislation. Where prices can't be lower than actual costs. Or at least time which that is allowed such be relatively short.
If Toyota had 1T debt and kept its its current market value then it would have to be doing much better then it is. If it could not afford the debt it would be priced in.
Companies with enterprise values higher then thier market values are not better investments.
I wonder when we as an industry will start to address the scaling issues in LLMs.It is obviously in Nvidias interest to keep pushing out bigger and better GPUs, but what is the collective interest?

It is already proven that good language models are possible given enough resources. The challenge now is to put these models in a solution which do not require unfathomable amounts of resources for the average use cases.
Thanks! Your question is an interesting one: Forwarding TCP over LoRaWAN seems at first impossible due to large packet sizes (from LoRa perspective!). It turns out there have been some efforts to apply dictionary based compression methods to carry different protocols over LoRaWAN. You might want to check out RFC 8376 for details.
Somewhere towards the bottom, the post explains that "the price to buy the business and gain all its economic value is the enterprise value." So if you want to buy Toyota, and reap all of the profits, you buy all of the stock and all of its debt. Toyota and GM become much more expensive this way.

> I'm surprised TSLA is in such a good shape, debt-wise.

As the post also notes, "a high share price relative to your true value constitutes the ability to finance cheaply."
Edward Frenkel made a great analogy:

> So first of all, correct,
the beautiful ideas came out of string theory.
But that was not the original promise of string
theory. The original promise was to describe the
physics of this universe, unify all forces of
nature, the three forces, electromagnetic, strong
and weak described by the standard model and
quantum theory of gravity. This has not happened.
And now we hear that actually was not such a big
deal. It's actually such a big thing. We've
learned so much more.

> It's like, you know,
I tried to think of a good analogy. It's like,
remember Moses? He took Israelites out of Egypt.
Mm hmm. And he told them that he
will lead them to the promised land.
Yes. So imagine Moses after 40
years of wandering in the desert,
you would say, you know, guys, you know, this
idea of a promised land is not such a big thing.
Look how much we've learned. We've learned about
the desert. We've learned so much about the sand.

> [Interviewer: That's a great analogy.]

> Who cares about the promised land?
What do you think would people say to him? And
yet here we are. This is called, by the way,
you mentioned this expression, moving the
goalposts. This is not moving goalposts. This
is going to a different stadium.
It's starting to play a different
game. Like you used to play soccer
at one stadium. Then you go to another stadium.
You start playing baseball and you say, no,
we are playing soccer. We're still playing soccer.
Yes, yes, yes. Stating that your original goal
is not meaningful.

> It did not work out. It did
not work out. How about just starting with that?
It did not work out unequivocally, not
by saying the next 10 years [it will].

Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n_oPMcvHbAc

PS: It's probably one of the best podcasts I've ever watched. It made me realize the obvious thing: that scientists are also psychological humans, each of who has subjective personal preferences, even if they don't realize or admit them. Case study: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n_oPMcvHbAc&t=8712
Who is her?
Meanwhile in America I am allowed to self-remove asbestos as a homeowner no verifications required. Whereas a commercial builder is required to have certifications.

Another “fun fact,” when the asbestos ban went into place builders were still allowed to use any remaining stock they held in their warehouses. No new product could be purchased. So homes could still be built years later with a now banned substance.

Fascinating bit of law there.
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you have lawyers sign off your libs?
Most likely a small retrieval optimized model with focus on JSON tokens and a combination of the technique involved in grammar/guidance

https://github.com/guidance-ai/guidance

Same principle
Also, when third or fourth player enters the market. Would FSD not be commodity tech? Just buy a license and then every automaker will have it. At that point it is race to bottom, any self-driving car likely only making small margin over lifetime...
Cerebras: -Hold my beer
Keep in mind that a string theorist would probably just flip all of this on its head by pointing at the total lack of progress from their detractors.
Wasteful software development is easy and keeps momentum for development. As long as growth is king, quick and dirty will always beat well optimized and smaller systems.

This is not a problem with AI only, but with every software we use. Only two groups try to optimize things and try to fit into smaller systems. Passionate programmers and people who is paid to do this (e.g.: phone manufacturers' software teams, etc.).
Well, its not true that people only worked on string theory during these last 20 years: notably Woit himself didn't. That there's loads of people in Brazil, Russia (or frankly any place except Princeton and IAS) trying weird approaches sums up to nothing in his telling.

Honestly, I get the impression that what Woit is really upset about is that people like his idol Witten didn't switch to work on his ideas, because only the genius of "towering intellects" like Witten's could solve this very hard problem. 0
What a lovely blog post.

It’s more about market cap and equity than forward-looking statements about hydrogen and self-driving.
I'm not sure I follow your logic.

Let's assume that you're correct: Tesla achieves FSD in the next decade, and it automates billions of daily man hours. That's only really relevant to Tesla's current market cap if you also assume that other car makers don't achieve FSD in the next decade.

If everyone has FSD, then in terms of relative company value it's the same as no one having it; it's just another feature, like A/C or cruise control.
I'm a mixed race (black), nonbinary butch lesbian. I definitely have had a workplace where people made cruel gay and trans jokes constantly and my boss was 100% sexist. That's not exactly my ideal workplace either and I did end up working from home as much as I could for that one. But I find it really problematic that you think it's better for minorities to just isolate themselves to protect themselves from these inevitable facts of life. Maybe if it was just racism that I was facing, and I knew through work from home I could spend more time around my black community, I would feel like you do. But as a queer person, I have little to no black community, I do not have close family connections. I do not have some strong childhood friendship group because they bullied me for being queer. My university experience was better but fucking destroyed by covid. Most people I knew left the country in 2020 and never came back. I find finding people who understand me near impossible, and so to keep my sanity, I need to just see human beings, just by default, passively at least.

Often, as a queer person, I feel my sense of isolation is only fully allieved by romantic relationships. When my gf broke up with me, I lost my will to live for a few weeks. So I went to the office every single day. I got out of my space, I spoke to some of the nice people there. I went to the pub after work and made some connections with colleagues around my age that helped me. If I was still at my previous more remote job, I think I would've stayed in bed, smoked weed until I was bordering on psychosis and lost my job. I don't know what you want from me.

Please drop your image that the only people that benefit from the office are tyrannical old white male middle managers.
Hilariously the metadata is in JSON, but the actual contents for the QML couldn't use it and "had to" invent a new markup for the purpose.
PKI has been around for, what, 30 years? Image authentication is just not going to happen at this point, because everyone's got too used to post-processing and it's a massive hassle for something that ultimately doesn't matter because real people use other processes to determine whether things are true or not.
Why Tesla? Why not Mercedes, who have shown real self-driving (e.g. https://abcnews.go.com/Business/future-driving-hands-off-eye...) in specific environments, unlike FSD, which cannot self-drive? Or Waymo with their self-driving taxis?

Being the first at claiming you are able to (or will be able to) do something doesn't make you a relevant contender in a space.
The only argument I have is, well not so much an argument, but more an observation of a fundamental. Will we be able to get enough compute power without using too much power into a car to do the task? A few years back I would have said "No", but progress is still stumbling along and I am now in the maybe pile.

If we can get the compute power, I cannot see a reason why it cannot happen but it might still be longer than 10 years away.

I think the issue with FSD and Tesla is just how many bold claims from Musk have not come to pass, it is a boy who cried wolf situation. It is my usual criticism is Musk and most of the companies he runs. They are awesome companies in what they have actually done. Anyone would be proud of even half the things Telsa or Space X have done. So why does he always how to go the snake oil sales man route and way over promise? It kind of drags down the excitement for these things.
Sell a lot of profitable cars, a genius business move
Why would Tesla be the only one with FSD, they are currently behind in abilities compared to (currently hideously expensive) models form tradional manufacturers.
>The UK didn’t have the Terror, but afaik it did have at least a civil war because of the monarchy, a few centuries ago.

Cromwell.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oliver_Cromwell

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/First_English_Civil_War

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Second_English_Civil_War
Mercedes-Benz is actually in some ways the leader: "first automaker to receive government approval in the US for a Level 3 driving feature. "

https://www.theverge.com/2023/1/27/23572942/mercedes-drive-p...

But yes _if_ it's possible and inevitable then it will also soon be a commodity.
Connectors for Robots and Drones (2022)
Hypotheses are not for arguments. They are indeed a seed for discovery.

What are you talking about, Willis?
Hmm solder fumes!!! When I think of the world being shit I also think of all the complexity of everything built by humans that is going on all around me, not just tech but by folks just going to work and doing daily jobs. It’s insane We only see a bit of the complexity the world of humans do every moment of the day and night. It’s kinda kookoo.
Those exploits require a client to connect to a hacked server, but Apex Legends has dedicated servers. You can't just randomly hack a client on the network. So it is not likely an RCE unless EA themselves got hacked.
That doesn't resolve the question. It just describes how to move on while ignoring the obvious elephant in the room
The Timeless Parable of Mr. Market
> It would be illogical to remove options and have less exploitation.

It may be somewhat counterintuitive, but it's certainly not illogical.

> Minimum wage laws are incredibly damaging as well. For example, the unpaid part-time "job" that launched me in the IT field would be illegal now. And I would be much poorer for it. But, hey, I wouldn't have been "exploited".

First of all, are you sure it wouldn't have existed? Just because you're willing to get something for free doesn't mean you're not also willing to pay for it; and minimum wage is a lot cheaper than a properly trained full-time IT person.

Secondly, having skilled workers available is a public good [1] that benefits all companies, so it makes economic sense for the government to invest (on behalf of all companies) in developing those skills. If these sorts of apprenticeships are generally useful, then having the government sponsor or subsidize them also makes sense.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Public_good_(economics)
Ask HN: Is there a need for entity-based RAG?
Would a data store that is capable of doing entity resolution (link and deduplicate all structured data regarding an entity each in its own graph) be useful for RAG and LLMs?

We recently had a bunch of people contact us asking if they could use our solution as a "source of truth" for LLM RAG. We don't know much about LLM or RAG so have been trying to get up to speed quickly, so wanted to ask the question here - if you work on RAG do you see a use case for a fuzzy search engine for structured data (which is effectively what our solution is), where the underlying data is considered a "source of truth"?

Probably should mention the underlying data is deduplicated and linked (and searched) using rules based on various phonetic, similarity and distance algorithms (including Cosine). We don't use vectors or embeddings in our matching, although we plan to later.

We are just now trying to evaluate whether we should double down on the LLM/RAG space and build a Langchain connector for our solution.
It's also applicable for fast changing data where the proportion of polls that gets an update is high too.
Other automakers still have software literally worse than a 2013 Model S. They’re still the blackberries of a newly iPhone automotive world. They can not compete with Tesla’s fleet data, OTA updates and widely deployed uniform self driving hardware. Mobileye provides basic ADAS to automakers but they’re hella behind FSD12 and don’t have the kind of deployment capabilities Tesla has.
just one tab use SSE and others use storage event.
Everytime someone asks "But where's the line?", the answer is "somewhere"

When I push an update that prompts my users to update their software, it's because it fixes a CVE
You could classify any government action that actually benefits people as “buying votes”. This a thought-terminating do-nothing argument.
iOS Photo Management App for NAS Users
EPA isn't run by politicians but by normal workers also known as buerocrates.
I forget who, but in the early 90s a famous SF author was asked by a fan if he thought he was put on earth to write his books. He replied that he was put on earth to play Sid Meier's Civilization, writing books was what he did to pay the bills.
All I see in that highly edited video is a car staying in lane and making a lane change.

While there are many long unedited videos from Tesla owners in which the car does way more.
China's bonds boom as investors face 'asset famine'
Plus a counterweight is a big fat weight hanging in midair, so it's pretty obvious what will happen if you let it fall (and where it will land), whereas with a spring it's much harder to tell whether it's under tension or relaxed, and what it might do when the tension is released...
> Mark begins our call by saying: "I've read your essay responses. You say you didn't go to high school. Generally I only want people who are in the top 5%. You obviously can't prove that applies to you. So tell me why I should believe you were the equivalent to the top 5% of your peers at 16."

Ah, so those education questions are there for precisely the BS reasons it seems like they're there for.
> I don't have to care whether a project is super basic, or a thorny hairball from hell.

That's the biggest problem I see with Docker: nobody has an incentive to make well structured software with a lean dependency chain and a straightforward installation process… These used to be good proxy of the overall software quality of the project, but now Rube Goldberg projects that just happen to work by luck are routinely distributed and the user has no idea of how big of a mess it is internally.
I have never worn shoes at home, that's for sure. Not into barefoot shoes though. I'm not really sure why it is for me. If it's to do with calf muscles, I guess we could attribute it that my mother never learned how to drive and so we used to walk EVERYWHERE. And we lived in a tiny town.
I tried out for a group after the end of the first year of grad school that worked on the CMS detector at the LHC looking for SUSY signatures. The group was a well established group but felt super toxic: I attended a weekly meeting where the advisor demanded some analysis from a grad student and she literally froze up and started talking faster promising to finish it by the end of the week. As a part of the trying out period, they allowed us to skim one of their technical reports and they had I believe ~10+/-5 potential events matching their search for SUSY particles, this over the petabytes of data for a two or three years of the LHC runs at the time. At the time I really liked particle physics but I also liked essentially coding and thought I'd miss it, so I was conflicted. It didn't help this esteemed professor felt like such an jerk AND their search, despite all the sophistication of their search and the related physics chops, basically had a large "no" for an answer. I ended up chosing a smaller group doing computational laser-plasma physics. The CMS professor at the time retorted something along the lines of "someone shouldn't want to do particle physics and then do plasma physics, it's evidence that person isn't serious."

Fast forward 10 years or so and I haven't regretted that decision. Not only is my pay much better doing this sort of thing but I really did nope out at the right time. I mean, I felt so smug about the noble prize being won by the attosecond researchers, one of whom had an office down the hall from our group. The same grad student who decided to bear the brunt of the CMS prof at the time justified the dearth of working in the group (although perhaps not the abuse, I don't know) as it would be potential "noble prize winning research." I feel I made the right bet at the time and don't regret it.
GE had a handheld model that they featured in some feel-good “we are GE” ad in the late 2000s/2010s.
That's why I mentioned that "Capturing even just a very small fraction" is enough.

There is room for multiple trillion dollar companies in this space.
That just leaves the bulk of the metals as toxic waste in water supplies; the metal compounds from: plating and electroplating industry, batteries, pesticides, mining industry, rayon industry, metal rinse processes, tanning industry, fluidized bed bioreactors, textile industry, metal smelting, petrochemicals, paper manufacturing, and electrolysis applications, etc.
I doubt it. How can you image an organ at home when you're not even 100% sure exactly where that organ is? Or what it looks like on an ultrasound? And that's not even getting into knowing whether you're looking at them from the right angle for the images to be diagnostically useful.
If we're really digging into it, the actual value of a company should be the amount of money you need in total to buy it. Including the parts that are not for sale (so not just the public shares)

That also means for instance convincing the US gov to let you have Tesla, and vice versa convincing the Japanese government and all Toyota's debt holders to not intervene in case of a Toyota buyout.

And that becomes a completely different story with undefinable numbers and so much more politics.
How would Waymo with their sensors bolted onto vehicles they gotta purchase and modify (currently costing them over 200k) outcompete Tesla’s extremely lean manufacturing prowess where they make entire vehicles with all the hardware needed for $20-30k?
What do you mean with "modern NN" that differ from the basic FNN?

How do you train a modern NN if not through backpropagation?
My Wikipedia page is being deleted because I'm no longer notable enough
Its not so much that is revolutionary, more that it was finicky and precise in its ways.
I'm not talking about excitement.

I'm talking about valuation.

Tesla is the market leader in a market that will have room for multiple trillion dollar companies.
> Same reason you'd use Docker for anything, why would it matter if it's Python, PHP or Rust?

I would ask the same question if you were using docker for a Rust project btw.

IMHO Docker mostly make sense when you have projects that require globally installed dependencies (like C or Python).
A little surprising that hasn't been shifted into MSRC, but GitHub operates very independently inside Microsoft.
I encourage you to check the rest of his website. I only skimmed for a moment, but I'm deeply impressed.
Things to Know About Converting Coal Plants to Nuclear Power
I’ve used their FSD package for 4+ years. I don’t trust them to deliver level 2 much less 4 or 5.
"Take ownership of Future Self" sounds like something I would look up on Stack Overflow while working with async Rust code...
IT Support L1 Analyst – German Speaker