skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
I'm not a fan of strongmen rule or dictatorships, but most don't have death pits, or even widespread assassinations and torture.

This post is clearly aimed at the US, which of course means Trump. Strongmen rule is not just a black/white type of thing; Trump will never have Stalin-like power. Putin today doesn't have that either, and even though some individuals inconvenient to Putin brutally accidentally stabbed themselves in the chest while shaving, this is nothing compared to Stalin's purges and the NKVD activities. Stalinist and Putin Russia are not really comparable. This post paints with far too broad of a brush.

Trump is not going to open death pits, put people in torture camps, or any of that. He's not going to close down public spaces or monitor "everything you say" either. He's just obsessed with showing the world he has very big genitalia. And to be fair, he really is quite good at this because much of the world does think he's a gigantic dick. That pretty much explains 95% of what he does – there is no real plan, ideology, or anything. Just trying be the "tough guy" (or what he perceives that to be anyway). It's almost shockingly simple: just a cunt acting like a cunt on account of being a cunt.

I'm not sating Trump isn't a strongman or potentially dangerous, but I don't think this post really says anything meaningful about Trump. All off this matters because if your understanding of Trump is flawed then your solution is likely to be flawed too.

Trump somehow seems to have more or less accidentally formed a cult of personality around him. I don't quite understand how that happened because I don't think it was a conscious effort on Trump's part. I think the exact reasons for this are the important bit to understand, because Trump is only a player because of the votes, and those votes could easily transfer to another strongman – there have been "Proto-Trump" figures like Sarah Palin, and some of the Trumpdroids in congress now seem to be in a contest to out-Trump Trump. Marjorie Taylor Greene for president 2028? Who knows...
A game with no consistency in the art is probably enabled. We've crossed the threshold where something like Magic the Gathering could be recreated by a tiny team and a low budget.

I don't think the limiting factor here is the software; it looks like we got AI-generated art pretty much as soon as consumer graphics cards could handle it (10 years ago it would have been quite hard). I'd be measuring progress in hardware generations not years and from that perspective Stable Diffusion is young.
> There’s no natural state of money is there?

If you mean there is no specific quantity of money that is "natural", that's true. Any quantity of money can work. But that does not mean that changing the quantity of money as a routine, common operation is a good thing.

> How could there be growth in the economy with a fixed pie of money? It is contradictory.

No, it isn't. Economic growth means producing more goods and services. With a fixed quantity of money, that means either the velocity of money increases (money goes around in a circle faster in order to facilitate an increased number of transactions) or average prices decrease (so less money is required on average per transaction)--or more likely a combination of both. Both of those things are perfectly possible. (And even that leaves out increasing quality of goods and services, which results in more value created even if quantity stays the same, and with a fixed quantity of money means more value for the same money even if nothing else changes.)

> There’d be a tremendously high bar for investment in any enterprise which could generate dollars if I could buy more tomorrow with the dollars I already have today.

If the quantity of money is fixed, what does "enterprise which could generate dollars" mean? It can only mean a productive enterprise, which produces goods or services that people will pay money for. You want to encourage such enterprises, not discourage them.

Indeed, it is only in an environment where the quantity of money is not fixed--where people can scheme to be given the privilege of printing more--that people end up squandering resources on activities which produce no useful goods or services, but do result in more money going into their pockets. Which is the situation we have now, where the government prints money as a way of stealthily transferring wealth to financial institutions without those institutions having to produce useful goods or services.

> Think about how much bitcoin is being put to work in the productive economy versus hodled.

But that is because the quantity of Bitcoin is not fixed. People can mint more. So Bitcoin is irrelevant to analyzing the case where the quantity of money is fixed.
But couldn’t it be stolen just as easily from the thief?
Previously posted here: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=37955264

I guess the November update wasn't discussed on HN though.
Tens of millions of freeloaders too.
This sounds like it’s new though? And maybe is for testing/dev and will go away?
While I write HTML by hand, and see no need for soupault, the chance to raise awareness for pataphysics is rather tempting...
Yes, they're adopting EUV for DRAM processes:

https://semiconductor.samsung.com/news-events/news/samsung-a...

https://www.anandtech.com/show/18866/micron-to-bring-euv-to-...
The year is 2024. Everyone who disagrees with my political views is a confirmed national security threat and a terrorist. I hope they throw the book at these bitcoin boys.
List of games and puzzles I made to teach my kid programming
Thank you for sharing your risk thinking here. I like that you are risk hungry, not prone to hesitation, and you achieved revenue on a shoe string budget.

I'm curious about the idea that your OCR-generated context might give better recall than whatever GPT uses to parse PDFs into context. That would support the idea that it is discoverability, and not feature parity, that is killing the product. Can we discuss benchmarks that show conclusively that your solution does better on QA accuracy with respect to a PDF, as compared to GPT4's own PDF mode?

Also I'm curious about the trajectory of active users after the feature dropped from OAI. Was there an inflection point where new active users per month went negative? How long did it take before that inflection happened? Do you still have enough users to keep the service up and gathering revenue, or do you plan to mothball? Do you have any plans to pivot the offering to other markets?
You should also read the criticisms of that book, of which there are many. It's a good read, but much of it is speculation backed up by unprovable theories and the occasional factual error.
> At first glance (2) seems plausible, no?

Not particularly.

> it seems that that these constants are what they are is a very low probability event.

Pure speculation.

> we would probably say a coin that turns up heads a thousand times... [is] by design

This is just yet another misplaced, unhelpful analogy similar to many others made by creationists of various stripes. It gets you nowhere.

> it seems that the state of affairs could have been other than what they are

Again, pure speculation.

> So it's not obvious that we can reject (2) out of hand.

Given that it is entirely unfounded, I would say that we not only can, but should.

I think that you just want to get to a particular conclusion and will postulate whatever it takes to get there.
Midjourney is the most popular discord channel by far with 19.5M+ members, $200M in revenue in 2023 with 0 external investments and only 40 employees.

The problem has nothing to do with commercializing image gen AI and all to do with Emad/Stability having seemingly 0 sensible business plans.

Seriously this seemed to be the plan:

Step 1: Release SD for free

Step 2: ???

Step 3: Profit

The vast majority of users couldn't be bothered to take the steps necessary to get it running locally so I don't even think the open sourcing philosophy would have been a serious hurdle to wider commercial adoption.

In my opinion, a paid, easy to use, robust UI around Stability's models should have been the number one priority and they waited far too long to even begin.

There's been a lot of amazing augmentations to the stable diffusion models (ControlNet, Dreambooth etc) that have propped up, lots of free research and implementations because the research community has latched onto the stability models and I feel they failed to capitalize on any of it.
Any truly reliable privacy and anonymity tool that isn't created by the government will probably be made illegal by the government. Failing that, using it will make you a target of the government's security apparatus. If you create a cryptocurrency that can't be traced[0] or an anonymous marketplace where people can buy and sell anything they want[1], you're going to end up on the wrong end of US government trade sanctions or US drug laws. Running a Tor exit node gets your IP address blocked by much of the internet and can even get you a visit from the FBI[2]. Tor itself only exists because it was created by the US Navy as a tool for dissidents in dictatorships to be able to access the internet.

The only way to solve the problem would be to elect politicians who would either dismantle most of the surveillance system or address crime and terrorism so decisively that there was no longer any plausible threat to justify continuing to maintain a mass surveillance apparatus in which case it would (hopefully) eventually wither away as part of budget cuts once politicians forget why it was even "necessary" in the first place. There is no solution to political problems without obtaining and using political power to solve them.

The strategy of eliminating the system's justification isn't foolproof though because the bureaucracy that runs the military draft (Selective Service) somehow still exists even though the draft was ended around half a century ago and is almost certainly never coming back. Politicians only noticed it existed a few years ago long enough to debate whether to extend the wrong of registration for it to include women in addition to men. The eventual decision was to leave the status quo intact[3]. The sensible option of abolishing that relic of a past rights violation rather than continuing to waste money on maintaining the bureaucracy was not seriously considered. That means the direct route is almost certainly the better approach.

[0]: https://www.theregister.com/2022/08/10/github_tornado_cookie...

[1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Silk_Road_(marketplace)

[2]: https://www.reddit.com/r/TOR/comments/rjgq8s/ok_so_what_has_...

[3]: https://www.politico.com/news/2021/12/06/ndaa-women-draft-dr...
No other investor has a life story quite as unbelievable as Li Lu (2023)
> You're telling me if I drop something there is no force pulling it down?

Yes. You and the ground are being pushed upwards by a force. You can feel that force--it's your weight. The dropped object falls relative to you precisely because it does not feel any force--it is weightless. This is exactly the same thing that would happen in a rocket whose engine was firing in deep space, far from all gravitating bodies. This is an example of the equivalence principle, which is a central experimental fact that Newtonian gravity just had to accept as being true for no apparent reason, but which GR accounts for naturally as an aspect of spacetime geometry.
> It took them almost 20 years to do a manned flight though.

Given that manned flight occurred in 1903, manned supersonic flight occurred in 1947, and manned spaceflight didn't occur until 1961, it appears that manned spaceflight is considerably more challenging.

At this stage, supersonic flight is 77 years old.
A signal of an increase in stable families. As opposed to more broken homes full of layabouts, drug addicts, and drunkards.
He seems to be quite lazy too. So he barks a lot to get what he wants in the moment but once his side of the transaction is fulfilled he moves on often times leaving others empty handed...
Did you forget the link to Blackstone?
edit big dumb dumb here misread asymmetric as symmetric
what exactly has been debunked?
I agree that it's egregious, but Sir Blackstone was talking about punishment, especially relating to execution, and I think perhaps the ratio can be adjusted significantly downward when the cost to the innocent is much lower. Otherwise, the only reasonable search would be when a government official is already certain of your guilt.
Price increases come in fits and starts. Gold is not entirely arbitrary. It is a commodity with a restricted and steady supply. As such it can be used as a measuring stick to judge how distorted prices are getting. Mind you, (price) inflation is measured by the government as a relative change in a cherry-picked basket of goods that changes over time. It's not honest and does not accurately account for changes in credit conditions.
I love their product, but I was suspect of Emad ever since he said “There will be no programmers in five years.”[0]

That just sounds so simplistic that I don't believe he believes it himself.

[0] https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stability-ai-ceo-no-human-193...
Intel is to blame for this status quo. AMD is fixing it, hopefully Intel will start shipping ECC support for their consumer products soon...
> Look at some of the costs and timeframes involved in one of the big 3's newer engines:

Look at the cost and timeframes involved in spacecraft made by Boeing, Lockmart, Northrop Grumman and all their pals compared to SpaceX.

I'm about 99.99999% sure that there are considerable cost savings to be had in supersonic aircraft as well.
Who Owns What in NYC?
The flight pretty much consisted of taking off, turning around and landing, it would be pretty boring if they just showed that. In particular, this didn't go even close to supersonic, this time.
So called chain of thought can improve output quality ("reasoning ability") to an extent, but I wish for josh sake it were called "intermediate token conditioning" / something explanatory or at least descriptive.
AIUI, I don't think folks will be able to read the ECC values from these chips. They may/should silently fix issues but you won't be able to monitor the chips like you can with regular ECC RAM using tools like ras. So they may help with bit flips but won't help identifying bad sticks, I think.
So the problem might be two-fold. First, there's an oversupply of companies trying to use AI relative to the current technological capabilities. Second, even when value is created, the companies don't capture the value to profit out of it.
We'll see. We're heading into a solar minimum.
> It gets to the degree that getting that extra $40-50k a year requires you to give up a LOT.

And it's still costing the taxpayer ~$45k -- more than that, because the government has its own administrative overhead on top of that.

But people still use it, because they're doing $30k in work to get $45k in benefits, it's just that they were supposed to be getting $45k in benefits. Which the taxpayer is still paying for even though the net benefit is far less.

The people asking how to pay for it haven't understood the math. If you subtract both the government's administrative overhead and the recipient's, we could provide a higher level of true benefits to people and still lower taxes on everyone else, just by splitting the efficiency gains between them.
"recent" is enough of a weasel word that context is still needed.
> Deregulation has not lead to a utopia of competition in free markets, rather virtually every market is a cartel or monopoly with heavy regulatory capture.

You're contradicting yourself. You can't have "regulatory capture" and "deregulation" at the same time.

As a matter of actual fact, we do have lots of regulatory capture, which has resulted in huge swaths of regulation that favors large corporations who can afford lobbyists, and disfavors smaller business that actually are the most productive part of our economy. With what results, we see.

> They are effectively not enforced

Antitrust law enforcement has indeed been irregular since they were passed--but what enforcement has been done has done more harm than good. The classic cases of antitrust enforcement, such as Standard Oil or Alcoa Aluminum, resulted in higher prices and scarcer products for consumers--i.e., a negative impact, not a positive impact.

However, antitrust laws are a very small part of the total body of regulations that affect businesses. It's just that most of those regulations are written by executive branch bureaucrats instead of Congress. The Federal Register is much larger than the United States Code, and includes much more detailed micromanagement of all kinds of business activities. Which, again, favors the large corporations that bought those regulations in order to hamstring their competitors, smaller businesses who are more productive but less able to absorb the costs of compliance with that huge mass of regulations.
> Quality of living is plummeting

Massive citation needed.
I guess you could call what were probably multiday trips over 100km of water "short hops", but it's not the phrase I'd use.
People using those Gillette multi blades are throwing money away. The double edge safety razor is much cheaper even if you throw out the blade every 2 or so shaves.

Strongly recommend buying a cheaper handle and trying the blades for a few weeks. Everyone I’ve recommended them to and has tried them has made a permanent switch.
Palworld
Blackstone: "It is better that ten guilty persons escape than that one innocent suffer"

So not sure where you got the impression he's okay with up to 100 people being disturbed so we can catch one bad guy.

But then, he wasn't really talking about that was he? Better the guilty go free than the innocent suffer what? He was, essentially, talking about the principle of innocent until proven guilty; that innocent people shouldn't suffer by being punished for a crime unjustly.

2999 innocent people, in your formulation, though, are not being punished for a crime. They're not even being accused of a crime.
He explicitly mentions eye tracking and how it doesn't work for him in this interview with him: https://twitter.com/ModdedQuad/status/1771298116719002100
The first is a somewhat clever attempt to unmask someone ann undercover investigator was already talking to. Police should have narrowed scope of the warrant by only asking for data on viewers within a narrow window after they sent the link.

Even better might have been to directly link to some service that they already control on a honeypot URL, and then gone after the ISP for customer details.
Archived: http://web.archive.org/web/20240322150556/https://www.common...

Snowden on this: https://twitter.com/Snowden/status/1770936325996155290
Eh, no. Are you familiar with MUSCULAR? It was in the Snowden leak. Basically Google kept telling the NSA to fuck off, so the NSA dug a hole and tapped some fiber to exfiltrate clear text communications between data centers, which was apparently a lot of important stuff back then. Within weeks of the MUSCULAR leaks, all Google datacenters were communicating with each other with proper SSL termination.

Are you familiar with Aurora? It was that time in 2009 when a Chinese military unit broke into Google and started poking around for information about some known dissidents. They were expunged quickly and the level at which Google stepped up their security game is unparalleled in the history of infosec.

Yes, the NSA or various law enforcement groups can get information from Google if it goes through the proper channels, and there's probably a handful of intelligence community insiders who hand data out of Google from time to time as well, even as part of various intelligence sharing agreements, but the idea that the NSA just has free access to whatever they want there is ridiculous.
>This is false, and they even claim so just a few paragraphs down

? AES-GCM is a symmetric cipher. The claim was that existing asymmetric crypto is not quantum secure.
> SpaceX got lots of funding because of military/government potential.

Boom has raised a lot of money, including an undisclosed (but presumably large) slug of cash from the Saudis last November.

> There's less than zero percent chance Boom will be able to offer cheap "everyday joe" prices on their aircraft.

You do realize that the history of technology is a long list of failed predictions just like this, right?

That doesn't mean they're going to succeed, of course, but one scoffs at new things at one's own peril.
If you're looking for privacy from your current and possibly future employers, you can obtain that by using a pseudonym online and taking basic measures to make yourself hard to dox. If you want privacy from the US government, that's not going to work.

Also, getting doxxed isn't entirely bad because it can open doors as well as closing them. Depends on how you leverage it. You just don't want the US government and/or the government where you live as your adversary.
I made a pocket size device to play Stable Diffusion. 100% offline
I prototyped it with a Pi-4, using only the CPU, and I think I can make it even faster. The e-ink display looks amazing; you really need to experience it in person.
I think a generation time of under 60 seconds is tolerable. It's actually very addictive; I load around 5 or 6 models onto the device and can't stop playing.
A static site generator for Swift developers
You're calling out a correlation, not a cause and effect.

Companies that are growing quickly, money coming, happy investors, don't hire McKinsey to make drastic changes to the company. They don't need to.

Companies who aren't growing, money is a problem, and investors are asking "what the fuck"? Hire consultants to make major changes.

It's similar to companies that go into bankruptcy. They often hire CEOs that are skilled in winding down operations, selling off parts, taking the company through bankruptcy. Someone needs to do that, it's not simple or easy to do well, so they are very well compensated. Then people complain why this CEO go a bonus when the company is filing for bankruptcy.
That’s how some wealthy people fund their lifestyles.

Take a look at SEC filings, and you’ll see a massive amount of stock sales and capital gains taxes getting paid every day.
From what I've read GE spent roughly 10 years and 10 billion dollars to develop their monocrystalline turbine blade manufacturing materials and process.
MMT describes how money already works
> This is false, and they even claim so just a few paragraphs down

It’s not false. The first quote is about asymmetric, and the latter is about symmetric.
Indeed. That said, I do fear a second Trump presidency could potentially be more extreme and dangerous than the first. In the intervening four years Trump has surrounded himself with much more extreme people than he had 8 years ago. These are not lazy, and have had the last four years to prepare to enact their agenda. No one – including Trump himself – expected him to win 8 years ago and everyone was caught flat-footed. Also at this point Trump was still on somewhat speaking terms with reality, whereas now they've become estranged. Never mind his temper has become even more foul since then.

There's been some articles about the people preparing for Trump 2.0, and it's not looking good. So there is definitely potential for danger, especially of the GOP also has the senate. I just don't think this article accurately describes the dangers.
And even a lot of the hentai is fucking worthless for the same reasons! Try generating some kinbaku. It's really hard to get something where all the rope actually connects and interacts sensibly because it doesn't actually know what a knot is. Instead, you end up with M. C. Escher: Fetish Edition.
People are estimating that Meta is buying $8-10B in GPUs this year alone.

https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2024/01/18/mark-zuckerberg-indicate...
Yes, and MJ has no public API either. Same for Ideogram, I imagine they have at least 10m in the bank, and aren't even bothering making an API despite being SoTA for lots of areas.