skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Not everything has to be AI. You can run a small business infra for MUCH less than you did back then, especially if you adjust for inflation (!).

Training AI models costs a fortune, but so far it's been just front-loading costs in hopes of a windfall. We'll see what actually happens.
I see a particular problem with this kind of prediction which maybe someone else can explain. If you are predicting one off events like China invading Taiwan, or London being hit by a nuclear weapon, as a percentage, how can you ever know if the prediction was accurate? Whether the event happens or not does not validate or invalidate the percent chance of it happening. Is there some kind of aggregate that happens to all the predictions to validate them? If you give invasion an 8% chance and invasion happens it doesn't mean you're wrong, just that the world fell into that 8%.
I want to use TikTok as it exists today. Why should that right be taken away from me by the US government? This is going to have major political backlash from the millions of people happy with TikTok if they manage to pass it.
The flaw was fixed with MCAS. The problem that caused the two crashes was that pilots weren't trained on the new system because Boeing wanted to act like it was the same plane. The pilots didn't know what was going on or how to disable MCAS when it started misbehaving because of bad sensor.

With training, improved systems, and redundant sensors, MCAS should be safe. There are other planes that have similar systems. And there procedures for disabling bad sensors or misbehaving sensors.

I'm not sure if MCAS is necessary, there is some indication it is only there to mimic older 737 and plane would be safe without it and with training.
Sounds similar to me.

I get migraines without the aura that are painful, but the ones with an aura never hurt but are very distracting.

The auras always start the same way - at first I think I just have an afterimage from looking out a bright window or lamp. But after a few minutes I realize that’s it’s not going away and moving into the periphery so I decide to go sit in the dark.
> What makes you think morality is arbitrary?

I never said it is; my point was that to someone hubristic it is. That's why I said 'seems to'. An AGI wouldn't have a superego, so
by your definition, it could never understand morals, and it wouldn't be surprising if it discarded them or tried to argue its way out of being subject to them. That's what the snake did in the story of the garden of Eden.
In Hamiltonian Chaos you draw Poincaré sections of systems like this one

https://mathworld.wolfram.com/Henon-HeilesEquation.html

and see these chaos zones that look like a field of random dots that probably miss a lot of the structure. The reason why we know those areas are dense with unstable periodic orbits is because they are also dense with periodic orbits. It doesn’t seem feasible to accurately track a system for long enough to believe those.
>so that's another reason not to do it.

Unless one doesn't care about downvotes, because, you know, one is not a slave to convention.
It could be an onFocus as well, I presume.
Effective Engineer by Edmond Lau and Game Programming Patterns by Robert were great reads
CEO and co-founder of Rootly here - ask me anything about our on-call solution! Here's a bit about how we got here: We began this journey in early 2023 after hearing how frustrated you were with products like PagerDuty that were clunky, overpriced, and did nothing more than call you. Our teams have put in thousands of hours making sure we got it right.

One of the most challenging areas I am so proud we nailed is rock solid reliability. Building schedules, overrides, and escalation policies is not difficult. But making sure alerts get delivered successfully no matter what is.

We re-examined our infrastructure and invested heavily into being the only multi-cloud on-call solution on the market. Even in the very rare scenario of AWS with a 99.99% SLA going down, we still won’t. We’ll wake you up in the middle of the night no matter what (big thank you to our investors at Google here too)!

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Funny how "sunsetting" became a politically correct newspeak for "failed"
For me its like ripples of water on brightly lit glass.
You look across unrelated events that you scored similarly. In aggregate, across all things you predict as having an 8% chance to happen, 8% should actually happen.
You mean the place where people park their dream Ferraris next to some rich person’s beat up Honda Civic from the 90s?
I wish this were the case. The amount of time I spend trying to talk principal engineers out of massive refractors because we want to get this out soon is near criminal.
Ah yes, coordinating intelligence half way across the planet with the same country that legalises its IT companies selling illegal tracking of political and ethnic targets.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pegasus_Project_(investigati...
Wouldn't this easily break your file in subtle ways when someone tries to edit it in their editor and the zero width character is not visible?

How could you make the difference with a standard CSV file if it looks like a standard CSV file?

They explain why they don't use control characters. Editors are not consistent in how they show control/zero-length characters:

https://github.com/SixArm/usv/tree/main/doc/faq#why-use-cont...
get real, they'll be vindictive if you file too many 311 complaints
Because they're both shit in different ways.

If there were 1-2-3 more options, that would give them incentives to be less shit overall.
I've never seen screen space reflection use ray tracing. That seams to defeat the purpose of doing screen space reflections!

At least in games, they usually just take the rendered image, invert it, and then show it on the reflective surface, with some optional blurring added depending on the surface. It's extremely quick, though certainly has shortcomings.
The only thing that bothers me about Altstore is that it require you to enter your Apple ID and password. I know the app is open source and only sends the credentials to Apple, but the risk of a supply chain vulnerability is terrifying.
Airlines Colluded to Ensure Onboard Food Would Be Awful
Any idea where they’re based? Are they global? They do my reviews at weird times.
The brake dust argument is something I’ve noticed coming more from the “ban all cars” crowd more than the “anti-EV/pro-ICE” crowd.

I assume the objective is that these people want to see things go from ICE cars to public transportation instead of EVs.
The point is that the forecasts are often not built from real-time weather station data, but models using various initial conditions.
As someone who never got into the Apple ecosystem, the title is really amusing --- they're announcing it like it's a new feature and it actually comes with a lot of gotchas, when "download apps directly from websites" with absolute freedom has been the norm for just about every other computer in widespread use, for the past few decades.
> I'm not quite certain what data couldn't be represented.

What do you do if you receive data already containing a unit separator, or a group separator, and you need to put it into a field? The whole value proposition of ASV over, say, TSV is that you should never need to escape anything, but that's only possible by rejecting some input data.
Go find some wooded parks or walking trails. You want some place with lots of trees. In my experience old growth suburbs have the most cicadas.
they still emit tire particulate emissions. moreso than ICE vehicles due to the increased weight
One of the startups I worked for took 6 months to introduce procedures rules meetings and a management veneer before approaching a client about merging. I dont know that is what is going on here but my gut is telling me that a potential funder wants to see more structure before investing in or acquiring them
That sounds reasonable. The article doesn't dig into it. Does this group actually make enough predictions to have this kind of validation?
It is meaningless to put any number on an event like this. Unless you can find the very large number of universes where that same situation arises, you can never know if you were right.

Maybe a prediction market-based approach can weigh the beliefs of people about the event, but that doesn't mean it's a real probability.

Probability theory has given people the mistaken belief that everything is like a card or dice game. It isn't.
Our group works on some of this stuff at Meta, and we have a pretty good diversity of backgrounds - high performance computing (the bulk), computer systems, compilers, ML engineers, etc. We are hiring.

Feel free to DM me to learn more.
Oh the horror, it must be so hard for Apple to cave to an open system for these people. What will they ever do without their unbelievable tax on app profits simply for existing on their nearly unlimited real estate, that is, the web?!

I have no sympathy for their concerns. I can download apps on my MacBook machines all day from many different sources, and it harms no one. While I understand the associated risks, computers have been this way long enough that the free and fair use of software on my devices is far more valuable than the brittle safety a marketplace offers.

Apple's greed knows no bounds, and while I'm no big fan of the EU, there are some regulations like these that ensure these big bears in the industry can't abuse their positions for profit, at such unreasonable expense to consumers (not always monetarily, but be it fair access, availability, and choice), and developers especially.

If commercial real estate charged XX% cuts of all sales from a business, every business would crumble with enough time, and only the big hitters would succeed with great resentment towards their gracious corporate overlords.
I am very confused. The author provides "assistive accessibility software to people with vision/cognition/mobility impairments", but these character symbols are indistinguishable for folks with impaired vision.
Change this to Russia and what is your first thought? Another mysterious death...

In a way it's better to indirectly choke a whistleblower to the point of death than to have to make them shoot themseleves twice in the back of the head on throw themselves off a skyscraper. That sort of thing.
Increasing AAVE Token Holder Participation through Dspyt Initiative
1. Challenges of Low Participation Rates in DAO Governance:
- Low participation rates, currently at 2.4% among AAVE token holders, pose a significant hurdle to achieving robust and representative governance.
- Most DAOs struggle to attain meaningful voter engagement, with ghost delegates composing an average of 53% of all delegates.

2. Objective of the Dspyt Initiative:
- Dspyt aims to increase participation rates in on-chain voting and enhance the legitimacy of AAVE's decision-making processes through targeted interventions, incentives, and proactive engagement with delegates within the AAVE community.
- The initiative also focuses on creating educational content to inform and encourage token holders to actively participate in governance.

3. Comprehensive Plan of the Dspyt Project:
- The project includes data collection on AAVE Protocol token holders' participation, comprehensive analytics on on-chain voting participation rates, and delegate outreach and encouragement.
- It also aims to analyze participation patterns and the impact of different platforms on voting, aiming to attract more users to take part in governance.

4. Conclusion and Future Outlook:
- The Dspyt initiative seeks to usher in a new era of dynamic, inclusive, and effective governance in the AAVE ecosystem through data-driven insights, proactive outreach, and educational initiatives.
- Despite existing online resources, AAVE currently faces challenges in community participation, but the initiative remains hopeful in realizing a truly decentralized and powerful financial ecosystem.
Mixtral?
Role of Covid-19 vaccines in preventing post-Covid-19 complications
Unabbreviated title: The role of COVID-19 vaccines in preventing post-COVID-19 thromboembolic and cardiovascular complications
Just like Coca-Cola isn't competing with Pepsi, but with water; most B2B SaaS companies aren't competing with other SaaSes, but with Excel. Many of them don't even realize it. Excel seems to have a kind of "hacker repulsion field" that makes programmers consistently underestimate its capabilities.

Did you know that nowadays it has lexical scoping, dynamically sized spill arrays, first class lambdas, map/filter/reduce in formulae? Plus an entire separate purely functional query language + a relational database-like thing for ETL work? Normies are flinging closures around!
this is about as perfect an example of the problem as you can have.
Agreed on the lack of value for 13.86% correctness — I noticed that too. This reminds me a little of last year's hype around AutoGPT et al (at around the same time of year, oddly enough); it's very promising as a measure of how far we've come since just a few years ago when that metric would be 0%, but it doesn't seem super usable at the moment.

That being said, something is definitely coming. 50% correctness would probably be well worth using — simple copy/paste between my editor and GPT4 has been useful for me, and that's much less likely to completely solve an issue in one shot — and not only will small startups doing finetunes be grinding towards better results... The big labs will be too, and releasing improved foundation models that the startups can then continue finetuning. I don't think a new AI winter is on the horizon yet; Meta has plenty of reason to keep pushing out better stuff, both from a product perspective (glasses) and from an efficiency perspective (internal codegen), and OpenAI doesn't seem particularly at risk of stopping since Microsoft is using them both to batter Google on search (by having more people use ChatGPT for general question answering than using Google search), and to claw marketshare from Amazon in their cloud offerings. Similarly, some AI products have already found product/market fit; Midjourney bootstrapped from 0 to $200MM ARR (!) for example, purely on the basis of monthly subscriptions, by disrupting the stock image industry pretty convincingly.
If they'd use static typing, the IDE could easily rename it with one command, though. /S
Humans share 96 - 99% of our genome with chimpanzees. Presumably the difference between human sub-species would be even less.
That is what I wondered too after it happened to me, if what I saw was a glimpse into the inner working of how the final image gets to our consciousness, like it was missing some steps / processing.
Developers are fully used to this ambiguity and "spirit of the law" when interpreting standards. Search for WeirdNIX (popularly known as Windows NT and other names too).
If you want to see one then just keep reading that black text on a white background of that page.
Hah. As somebody who first experienced this a few months ago, I was quite relieved to discover this sort of art. None of it looks quite like mine, but after seeing enough of the variety in others' experience, I feel comfortable positively identifying that symptom.
The spreadsheet is like an automated abacus
No, but one-sided trade agreements are generally not the norm in international trade. Country A agrees not to put tariffs on Country B's cars if it doesn't put tariffs on Country A's cars. Reciprocal treatment is the norm. If country C outright bans country A's cars why should country A allow country C's cars in it's market?
I have been doing it for almost 10 years and I will still never remember everything.

I am calling full-stack devs BS. If fs devs remember everything they are probably hyper fixated on one particular design model.
Working at various companies the whole time or contracting / freelancing?
> participating online with other humans

There is a more significant case of "the end of anonymity", that of doing any kind of sale or purchase. The more sophisticated the possibilities for fraud become, the harder the authorities that be will (need to) push for public non-falsifiable identification (e.g. linked to your biometrics somehow, as I don't suppose a transplant ("chip") is politically feasible). If you need to trade, that is.

Consider that the past few years the use of cash is increasingly being phased out, or even outlawed (for amounts over a certain size) in various Western countries. With digital money comes digital fraud.

As a spooky aside, the Christian horror story "Mark of The Beast" is remarkably accurate in that respect, even if perhaps a bit too specific in the details (on hand or forehead) - but then magic glasses and -watches are here already.
> so that you should show an indicator in the password field

So I take it none of the OS/browser vendors besides Apple are doing this natively yet?
> …that doesn't rule out that the poorest in the country (minorities and whites) are not the most exposed.

Setting aside race, to me it seems like "economically disadvantaged populations share a disproportionate burden of traffic-related air pollution exposure" makes this pretty clear. <shrug>
I’ve been hoping to see someone eventually build a protobuf style serialisation solution on some of the emerging IETF standards like CBOR and it’s corresponding data definition language.

I’m not really in the market for another proprietary binary data format that doesn’t integrate with anything outside its immediate ecosystem.
I doubt it. "Walled" and "Safety" are getting confused here.

I think you like the App Store for its safety. You trust it, enough to be happy with it.

What does that have to do with wanting others to be denied alternatives? That deliver however much safety and different benefits that other people want?

If safety is one of Apple store's selling points, then competitive app stores will push Apple to deliver even more safety. Perhaps new forms of safety others pioneer. Apple didn't invent security or sandboxes. While also encouraging it to loosen non-safety driven (and therefore quietly non-customer friendly) restrictions on innovation.

That can only benefit you.
Did it really fail though?
> It's an extremely new idea to argue that restricting or stopping the imports of some good is "unfair", only becoming part of the dialog once the idea of a global economy in perpetual harmony supplants the idea of national sovereinty and strategic interest.

And the irony is that China outright bans most (all?) American social media companies. It's not just a new idea, it's a hypocritical one too.
It is not political nor failure.

It is corporate speak for we cashed out and the new owners bought us to strip us to parts so they can get what they want out of us (i.e: talent, patent/intellectual propety) while dominating the market and reducing (potential) competition.

It is a feature, not a bug for the shareholders.

Capitalism working as intended.
Those who like AppStore actually benefit from it being the only store. It means that almost all developers will bend under Apple rules and users will get their apps.
We've been saying this for decade[s] now haven't we?

The question is no longer is it dying, its how do we change it or even replace it.
Here's a quick demo of making a functional SwiftUI app: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rrJdVZnnZ94

And code generation on Apple Vision Pro without internet: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BO0qJf-Gugg

Additionally, you can chat about your project with Glowby: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wqfLtk2t-T8

The chat works offline as well running a Mistral-like model on device. I tried different LLMs including TinyLlama. The best results were from using OpenHermes-2.5-Mistral-7B. Happy to answer any questions.
IMO it's that final point that makes the difference - the fact it was a ROM. If your system has BASIC built-in, you have the version of BASIC that was built into it. If your system has DOS built-in, you can run whatever version of BASIC suits you best, and as time goes by you can even upgrade to newer versions; maybe you can't upgrade DOS itself, but it's so basic that there's not really anything to upgrade (the only parts you might want to are things like drivers, and those are tied to your hardware anyway). Time and again systems that move more into "userspace" have won out over systems that implement complex functionality in "system space".
Others have reproduced it, see others comments. Perhaps for them the ranking changed slightly but the fact is a scam app is ranked as high as serious companies.

Gmail / Google are open, the App Store is closed and supposedly vetted and guarded. Apple sells to its customers security, quality, and trust. It’s one of the reasons one pays 2x for an iPhone. All of these promises of a better ecosystem have been broken through this experience.

One of the supposed advantages of the closed App Store is to absolve (to some extent) the user of having to do said due diligence.

Also, it’s not like it’s impossible. Google are doing it well - show me a scam app that’s in the top 10 of the play store for bitcoin, banking, finance etc. Hardly any to be found.
Probabilities turn out to be surprisingly meaningless sometimes. Especially for rare unrepeatable events.

A good way to make them a bit more concrete to put some money on it, but even then it's hard to be sure. You can however use this to measure how good someone is in predicting. Take sports for example, by betting according to someone's prediction you can see how much money you earn (if their probabilities are 'true' you are almost guaranteed to earn money, eventually). But really in that case you're hoping that someone's ability to predict one sports match is indicative of their ability to predict the next, which is a good bet, but obviously doesn't hold for these kinds of miscellaneous rare events.

In this case you can imagine a betting system, and you can imagine some people might turn out to be better at it than others (though the relevant measure is not the one used in this article), so I suppose you can talk about someone's ability to predict these events. Though in the end the bookie always wins, so make of that what you will.

Of course this being probability theory all of these methods only work with high probability, so they may not work at all.
I fought with this so much today.

Our robots can be driven remotely via a web app. But there’s ways to accidentally get buttons stuck down because keyup is never guaranteed and you can’t get key state. Two cases: holding down forward key and blur the tab, or open contextmenu.

There’s workarounds of course. But it’s comical spending so much time on something so simplistic.
So Copilot uses GPT-4 under the hood, and about half the time I use it to generate anything bigger than a couple of lines it doesn't even compile, let alone be correct. It hallucinates constantly.
Started 1982 on Tandy Color Computer. Still at it.

#1 Advice - Focus on getting things done (as many will not) and Lego build interconnected/isolated simplicity as much as possible.
I'd also be curious about brake pad composites.

In car brakes you can have slightly different designs/materials for pads which cause the balance of noise<->dust<->temperature performance to differ. For instance if you want to reduce dust emission, generally you get brakes that are much louder in my experience until they warm up but they are much "cleaner".
Translation: you have no coherent response to what I said, and don't like that, so you figured a bit of snark might recover some dignity. It's better to simply not reply.