skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Thanks, so it's clear from the article that Krugman didn't endorse any bubbles here.

The sentence you quote is obviously sarcastic in context; particularly the second to last paragraph, which blames the stock market bubble that had just popped partially on Alan Greenspan (chairman of the Fed):

Mr. Greenspan needs one to avoid awkward questions about his own role in creating the stock market bubble.

Just 2 weeks later, Krugman wrote:

https://web.archive.org/web/20230607222048/http://www.nytime...

Back when I first got professionally obsessed with Japan's problems, around four years ago, I made myself a mental checklist of reasons that Japan's decade of stagnation could not happen to the United States. It went like this:

...

4. We may have a stock bubble, but we don't have a real estate bubble.

I've now had to strike the first three items off my list, and I'm getting worried about the fourth.

More and more people are using the B-word about the housing market. A recent analysis by Dean Baker, of the Center for Economic Policy Research, makes a particularly compelling case for a housing bubble. House prices have run well ahead of rents, suggesting that people are now buying houses for speculation rather than merely for shelter. And the explanations one hears for those high prices sound more and more like the rationalizations one heard for Nasdaq 5,000.

If we do have a housing bubble, and it bursts, we'll be looking a lot too Japanese for comfort.

This does not sound like an endorsement to me; quite the opposite.

The Baker analysis is here:

https://web.archive.org/web/20150703032256/http://cepr.net/d...

The important point to note here is that the housing bubble already existed in 2002, it was not created during the period of 2002-2004 when the Fed set low interest rates.

See also "Understanding Recent Trends in House Prices and Homeownership", Robert J. Shiller, from 2007:

https://web.archive.org/web/20101125115655/http://www.kansas...

While home price booms have been known for centuries, the recent
boom is unique in its pervasiveness. Dramatic home price booms
since the late 1990s have been in evidence in Australia, Canada,
China, France, India, Ireland, Italy, Korea, Russia, Spain, the United
Kingdom, and the United States, among other countries.1 There ap-
pears to be no prior example of such dramatic booms occurring in so
many places at the same time.

...

Conclusion

The view developed here of the boom in home prices since the late
1990s has it operating as a classic speculative bubble, driven largely by
extravagant expectations for future price increases. As such, the situation
may well result in substantial declines in real home prices eventually.

...

Monetary policy does not come out as central in the case studies
examined here. Monetary policy is in an important sense concen-
trated on the extreme short-term. The fundamental target variable
in the U.S. is the federal funds rate, an overnight rate. And yet, eco-
nomic decision makers are focused on a lifetime decision problem.
vaporware; Space Karen just wants to stir the pot.
Apple is trying to tighten the noose on its ecosystem, but everyone is fighting back..Antitrust case in the US ramping up too.

Landmine ahead for Apple?
> Noone thought self-driving cars would actually work.

Many people thought self driving WOULD work and that we'd be further along than we are now. We have vastly overestimated how far we'd be, and vastly underestimated how much time and effort it would actually take.

Self driving cars as they exist today are still mere toys compared to where the industry thought they were going to be. Look at Cruise, Waymo, Zoox, Uber's ex-self driving car division and others.

We are not anywhere near the self-driving autonomous cars we had hoped for.
On die memory increases costs significantly. It would be premium only to put any large on die memory sets
That's dodging the question not a rebuttal.
Interesting approach. But for me the main disadvantage of SQL code embedded in other language is lack of syntax highlighting/checking.

I've had the best experience with embrace-sql which translates sql-files with magic comment-delimited parametrized queries to python-callable modules: https://pypi.org/project/embrace/
It was a few years back, I don't recall the version of windows.

I was just noting that I've had it happen, it hasn't been recent though.
> then trains would have a monopoly on these journeys and consumers would suffer.

Trains should be public, that's all.
it's bad practice but it's more common than you think especially with older accounts (pre-organization)
How so?

You'd have the know the name of the (development) bucket first, right?
"I'm not going to disparage human religion, but when push comes to shove I'm going to look to science, technology and a better understanding of our world as a whole, particular how evolution led to species interacting with one another as the route to maximize our "greatness"."

We are on the same page here. I fully believe that no matter what happens we will be able to figure it out. I have essentially zero concern for global warming because of that. We will adapt. I am very optimistic on our future as a species.

We cannot stop fossil fuels currently as the third world has not yet reaped the benefits of cheap fuel that the first world has. We would be asking them to cripple their potential. Technology will eventually make renewables as cheap as coal / oil and then globally we will switch. Just a matter of time.
I’m not saying I am confident in my own hypothesis, but regarding your second paragraph, I don’t think that’s valid reasoning.

I think the social dynamics are different between het/hom groups
A Quantum Trick Implied Eternal Stability. Now It's Falling Apart
If we had done enough to mitigate EMPs, the nuclear powers of the world wouldn't have space-based nuclear EMPs as the first step of their attack plan. We still do, and so does Russia.

Geomagnetically-induced current is different from the plain-vanilla EMPs anyway—GIC can last for hours.
> a beefy NT4-based Citrix server

This was also when I learned about the pitfalls of multithreading...

I had started trying to use multithreading, and had implemented it in my raytracer. It worked like a charm on my machine.

During that project they brought a 4-socket server in the lab for testing, so after hours I fired up my raytracer on it, excited to see the promised 4x speedup... only to be met by an immediate access violation.

I had of course missed a lock, but it worked fine on my computer because it only had a single CPU (core) so even if I spawned multiple threads, the chances of them tripping over each other at that point was very low. Not so when they could actually run simultaneously.
The semantic search actually works really well - https://aboutideasnow.com/?q=data+journalism ?q=data+journalism gave me a bunch of interesting people thinking about data journalism and related ideas.
When I was teaching programming my go-to was the JavaScript canvas api. It’s 2d only, and very simple. And being on the web once a student has made something we can host it for them and they can show their friends.

I have a ~20 line html harness which sets up a page with a full screen canvas element and gives you global window width & height variables. That’s all you need to get started. And it’s real JavaScript - so students learn a useful programming language as a result, and the advanced students can go nuts and add sprites, sound and networking if they really want to.
How do you store the individual paper over time?

e.g. do you have a special binder with clear sleeves etc?
Because Apple products are just so much easier to use than anything else...I just have to tap here and then there, then swipe left, no right, no hold and then swipe left, and tap and hold and...wait, no that's not right, let me just go back to home screen using my home button...where is the home button...that's right I just have to hold and wait...no swipe down, no, up, swipe up...but not at the bottom, in the middle and here we are, all the apps...you could ever want and all so easy to use.
>Took me a while figure out how to embed it into my app using Superset Embedded SDK.

Superset Embedded SDK - "Embedded SDK allows you to embed dashboards from Superset into your own app, using your app's authentication. Embedding is done by inserting an iframe, containing a Superset page, into the host application."
The original quote sounds like it's saying

> The richest 10 people are so rich that they have more than...

When, in reality,

> The poorest 40% are so poor that they have less than a normal poor person that only has $1 to their name

The fact that the richest 10 people ALSO have more than those 40% doesn't really add anything to it.
The initial text was ambiguous but the author has now clarified their answer in this thread. Do you really think they were happy with this? I actually think this might open other attack vectors.

I agree that the account number just by itself is not a secret, but there is a reason why all AWS demo videos mask the account number.
I only use apache on one server: as an dav server, since i could not find a simple dav server(nextcloud is for that already too much) and nginx as an frontend for that, since i use some servers with unix sockets which apache still doesn't support.
Or, in the case of Texas, where there are no regulators that have done so…
I'm not sure there was any special tuning or binning involved. I think Asus just bought special branding without having any influence on AMD's silicon roadmap.
MSFT offered to sell Bing to Apple in 2018 but search quality got in the way
RAG for Real – Gotchas to consider before building your app
Even if LLMs are a local maxima, given that we're even asking that question implies that we are closer to AGI than caveman who didn't have GPUs, even if we don't know exactly how much closer. Unless it takes us 12,000 years to get to AGI, which, it could, since we don't have it yet, but assuming we get AGI before 12,000 years are up, which is when the end of the Paleolithic era was, then yes, we can say we are closer to AGI than cavemen, regardless of if LLM or GPUs are how it comes about. If it never does, then this comment will age poorly in 12,000 years, but I'm okay with that.
True, I removed it there without Louis noticing :)

Why do you want to filter posts by type?
Have multiple explicit ones. One liberal, one conservative, one progressive...
Precisely the right question to ask! Profit vs. loss has no relevance when one is providing a public service. The relevant question is cost: capital investment / creation cost & operating cost.
Nate Silver, in another tweet, labeled it “the politics of the median member of the San Francisco Board of Supervisors.”

That has to be the quote of the year and it is IMO a very accurate description of the people making too many decisions at Google.
Haha at least there’s a “jump to recipe” link usually. I wish New Yorker had a “jump to the point” button.
The evidence here is actually very slim. There are some studies that show a mildly positive effect on drug survival, but of these, the longest studies have typically been only a year or less.

A recent Dutch single-blind RCT (van der Kraaij et al. 2023 [1]) on adalilumab on psoriasis with/without methotrexate reported very favorable results after one year. However, when they their third-year update basically concluded that the effect was not real. As a counterpoint, many of their patients exited the study by the end of the third year (sometimes due to adverse events), and so at the end they had just 8 patients left in total. They use some statistical techniques to account for this, but I'm not a statistician and don't know if they make sense. Some commentary here [2].

As an aside, it's interesting that most studies typically look at ADA (anti-drug antibody) serum levels and not actually at clinical efficacy. A few studies do look at both.

I'm inclined to think that it's better to be safe than sorry, but that's in spite of the evidence.

Regarding MTX horror stories, there are some things one can do to prevent/alleviate side effects [3]. One thing that's not known by most doctors is that a lot of people (maybe as many as 40% of the U.S. population) have a genetic mutation that impacts the body's ability to activate folate. The MTHFR 667CT genotype reduces folate activity by about 35-40%, while having two copies of the mutation (677TT) reduces it by about 70-80%. Since MTX is a folate antagonist and folic acid is taken to counteract this, it means that for many people, the folic acid doesn't do its job. There are two alternatives (folinic acid and L-methylfolate), both widely available by prescription, that don't have this problem, and some rheumatologists swear by them. A formulation called Rheumate (L-methylfolate plus curcumin) was developed specifically for use with methotrexate.

[1] https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/37014287/

[2] https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/jdv.19282

[3] https://rheumnow.com/content/dsb-managing-methotrexate-toxic...
I would even say it is necessary. And we need to do much more than that. With the end of fossil fuels, aviation will look completely different. We need to start (re)building train infrastructure yesterday.
De-Googlify the Internet
That's only for Apple products, which is fine because I don't have to use Apple products. I'm not objecting to machines that have "AI hardware" in them. There are people who want that. I'm objecting to the idea that all machines will have such hardware in them.

To be clear, I don't think that's going to be the case, which is why I started my comment with "Dell wishes".
Go post this to https://discourse.nixos.org/ and see what sort of reaction you get.

> nixpkgs - the software collection built by Nix is the largest software repository on the planet, containing around 80 000 packages. You can use any of those packages via geospatial-nix

You sound like you should be working in the marketing department rather than dev.
Every library in JSTOR's network of more than 10000 institutions is authorized to provide free access to walk-in users.

It is probably a good idea to first check to see if there are any such libraries in your area that offer such success before turning to prison.
If the same $20bn was spent on fixing a bridge, people would spend those wages to boost economic activity AND have a fixed bridge that will improve output even more. Horizon Worlds isn't a productive use of capital in that regard.

It'd be one thing if they open-sourced their VR tech, some of that could lead to productive tech down the line, but as a private company, they're not obliged to do any of that.
Apacge still can't work as an reverse proxy for servers that utilize unix sockets.
>At this point pretty much everyone knows what’s going on in these horrible farms...

>Yet people still seem to get viscerally offended if you suggest that eating meat is an inherently evil act...

If you are eating meat that you raise yourself or where you are buying directly from small-scale producers, do you have this same view of meat? If so, why?
The shady companies helping governments hack citizens' phones
Eventually we shall reach a point where

EV(deal with EU's bullshit) < EV(tell EU fuck off)

Then, EU will enter the new dark ages. Most of the tech products and services that we consider necessary for modern life are products of USA. The more EU keeps trying to grab more and more money from these USA companies via fines and fees carefully engineered to only ensnare USA companies, the sooner this will be.
Yes, that was poorly worded. It has a very neat accounting system! Its just a little more complex to setup and keep in sync.
‘Guys, let’s play both sides, beat those war drums, and then the line will go up! Hehe’
Greedy idiots. They should be prosecuted.
Despite what jerf said, which I whole heartedly agree with, there are plenty of interesting billing problems for a good engineer to sink their teeth into.

But there is also a long, long tail of boring problems that you won’t have time to do properly.

To put it a different way: even after you’ve solved the “mathematical” problems of billing, you still need to solve the operational stuff. Like payments integration, GL integration, invoice formatting, tax, reports, etc etc.

I think most engineers underestimate both the difficulty of the “mathematical” problems, and the length of the long, relatively boring tail.
Not at all.

In fact, when delegating IAM access (where security is top of mind), account IDs are shared liberally.

Account IDs are as secret as phone numbers. That bit of info could be tangentially useful to an attack, but really shouldn't be assumed to be secret in any meaningful way.
It doesn't make a difference what causes Monty to reveal a goat.

A goat behind a door the contestant did not choose is eliminated. That is all that matters. It could have been done by a Heath-Robinson machine, or a passing lonely shrubber, or elves.

Monty isn't a floating variable in the puzzle who makes choices. His choice is fixed. Which I imagine is why vos Savant adds the actually extraneous information that Monty is fully aware what is going on behind the scenes -- to underscore the concept that Monty isn't a variable.

The fact that a goat behind an unchosen door was revealed is what is crucial to the setup of the entire puzzle.

And that -- despite jncfhnb's protestations -- is information that makes the puzzle determinate.
The end is Gemi-nigh
Thank you for the information!

> Circuit switched analog POTS has been dead for a long time, but delays were limited to amplifier delays (almost nothing) and speed of light in wires or radio.

Two questions about this: it sounds like there are still a fair amount of landlines around if this article is accurate: https://www.cnn.com/2024/02/05/tech/landline-phone-service-p... Do you mean that people still have landlines, but they're no longer circuit switched analog? And would that only be for long distance, with local landline calls still using circuit switched analog, or would it be for both?

Also, as to your latter point about old school POTS having almost no delays other than speed of light: does that hold for long distance calls as well? I get the impression that there could be added latency for long distance POTS calls (but have had trouble finding sourced numbers on anything yet).
This story is heavily censored on hacker news

https://github.com/vitoplantamura/HackerNewsRemovals?tab=rea... (scroll down to bottom)

39465301 #25 3 points 0 comments -> Google Gemini leaked its woke prompt injection process

39465255 #1 78 points 1 comments -> Google to Pause Gemini Image Generation of People After Issues

39506022 #30 -> Gemini: Who negatively impacted society more, Elon Musk or Hitler?

39508833 #17 30 points 24 comments -> Losing Trust in Google

39516032 #15 8 points 6 comments -> Gemini and Google's Culture
What did happen when you split the question into subtasks? What were those questions?
On the other hand, if censorship is a bad idea, why is it winning in the marketplace of ideas? It kinda seems like free speech is losing, so why keep rooting for a failing idea? The rational answer is to look a step forward and update your position to match the winner, as it's empirically winning.
Handwritten notes can be very useful in the short term. But there is often this impulse to implement some kind of digitization/archival system for them as well. I wonder how many people who have done this have found real value in the digitized notes?
What good quality pen do you recommend ?
I Was a Heretic at the New York Times
Do you know of any open source project which does support the extra functionality around the different approaches to embedding / queries?
Safety order of Boeing equipment (safest first):

- 737-[1-5]xx "Classic"

- 757

- 777

- 787

- 767

--- Threshold of stupidity

- 737-[6-9]xx "NG" *

- 737 MAX 9

- 737 MAX 8 / MAX 200

- 737 MAX 10

- 737 MAX 7 ??

* Manufacturing inconsistency since the late '90's led to variance in bear strap and structural component quality (e.g., handmade parts out of tolerance yet marked "airworthy") and installation technique (e.g., beating parts to fit).

** 7[0124]7 are no longer widely flown (passenger) commercially but some are seen in small airlines in remote areas. 717 has 0 hull losses.
I’ve been interested vaguely in these sort of computer war games (seen too many complaints about the unrealism of total war lately). But co-op against AI’s seem to be very rare in the genre, which is essentially table stakes for me.
Why the age rating for 'Mary Poppins' just changed
Sure, but people were saying that 20 years ago when I made my Steam account and so far the sky hasn’t fallen.

Meanwhile there are plenty of games I have the CDROM for that won’t work because of hardcoded compatibility requirements, key authentication servers being offline, or multiplayer being tied to a defunct service like MSN zone or GameSpy.
Not a wild thought. The China, Russia, and the US (if not the other nuclear powers) have made known their plans to use a nuclear electromagnetic pulse as the first phase of any attack.

(https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_electromagnetic_pulse#...)
Different one - see my link above
I think the reason is you can leverage yourself a lot more than you can with other consumer investments. A bank won't loan you a mortgage to put into QQQ but they will to put into a property.
Especially considering there's no air for a helicopter's blades to act on.
The Supreme Court Will Set an Important Precedent for Free Speech Online
There seems to be a large discussion of whether account IDs are "secret" or "private" or "confidential" or whatever.

From my point of view, that entirely misses the point. The problem here is that what's revealed here is the relationship between buckets and account IDs, which allows discovery of shared ownership of buckets (unless you use a micro-account approach).

I probably don't care if you can discover that 2343242365 is the account number associated with "coolbuttplugs.com" but I probably do care if the same account hosts a bucket for "michaeljfoobar.name" and my buttplug thing is a sideshow from my white shoe law practice.
Develop LLM Apps in Natural Language
My martial arts training was more gentle (Aikido, which did involve a lot of tapping out, but the sensei was very conscientious about safety, and BJJ would've been too rough for me personally).

So one of my personal baselines for physical danger... I've had guns pointed at me a couple times on dark streets, including once by a crazy-overconfident young teen saying he was going to shoot me when I told him I didn't have a wallet (and I had to maneuver as he was saying this, to put a parked car between us, before I sprinted away and hopefully didn't get shot in the back once he could line me up). The other time, as soon as I realized what was happening, I went to an old script for handing over my wallet, suddenly very clear-headed and focused and calm, so much so that the mugger pointing a gun at me started getting nervous and shouting at me.

I was wired after both those times, but humans evolved for brief life-threatening stress like that.

Job stress is different, and can be worse for humans:

* It can be something you can neither fight nor flee.

* It can happen over a long period, which we aren't built for.

* It can threaten more than just you (your family, your colleagues, strong values).

I've had desk-job crisis situations in which the company might rest upon me pulling off something not necessarily possible, when I have to invoke calm, sharp, in-command Astronaut Mode, for days at a time. But IME that only works when you can take some command, which isn't all bad corporate situations.

If one has the perspective that the job can't be worse than what they've survived, I suspect that's great, in that it will help them avoid stress adverse impact on their health.

Unfortunately, I don't think everyone can have that perspective, and it's also not always an accurate perspective.