skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Agreed, More clarification about the first part:

What I want to convey is that the growth function will be somewhat similar to
y= c + ax^n (ignoring/collapsing into c the linear and higher order terms) rather than just y= ax^n.

The c here is robots produced via humans. I predict c will easily touch a million in 5 years with or without human help.

Even if the later bots can do only 50% the work of humans, we will still exponentially grow the robots until the humans become a bottleneck. And that 50% capability is also expected to grow exponentially.

Gemini 1.5 pro already beats most humans in most benchmarks, combine it with Sora which has a great visual world model, add some logical reasoning(architecture or scale), memory and embodiment(so it can experiment and test) and you pretty much have the seeds for an agi.

My optimistic/most probable prediction about the growth rate say it's

Regarding the last part:

My bad, I speed read your comment and didn't focus on the exponential calculations. An exponential growth is just x^n. Both x(multiplication rate(?)) and n(units of time) can be manipulated.
Egypt Reportedly Building Walled Area on Border as Contingency for Mass Exodus
Almost free means that the 12.5% extra cost for memory chips may mean 10% extra manufacturing cost for the memory modules and that may mean less than 5% of the total cost of a computer with 64 GB DRAM (not counting monitor, SSDs and other peripherals, which would drive the percentage to be much lower) and even less for computers having less memory.
It sounds like the software didn't work out when you tried it. What issues did you have? Or were you using this chance to dunk on M$ without actually giving it a shot? I think Microsoft has its issues, but this response was boring.
Interesting - didn't play it long but never realised
While the resolution is high, the PPD is very low (pixels per degree of vision). It's lower density than a classic monitor, and nowhere close to a modern high density 4k or retina display.

Also your eyes can't really focus the same, anything within about 12 ft causes you to struggle to focus leading to eye strain. This is an unfortunate reality of the lenses
The incentives are obviously pointing towards this. And that it is so common should make you rethink your stance of "they're just incompetent".
You can still have sheep grazing under solar panels! They keep the grass down and they're happy about the shade.

It's a win for all sides and I've seen it used extensively here in Germany.
I think that's the optimal EM career path TBH. It's a shame many companies don't have an official middle-to- manager switch mechanism.
yuddites. its about yuddites.
> It is not legal to operate a remote transmitter site without full telemetry coming back to a human

Have you ever worked for a smaller company? Compliance is a thing you do on paper, that has very little to do with the real world.
I don't like his phrasing, but what I think he was referring to was how overcoming some sort of substantial adversity together often creates a strong bond among people, even from entirely different ideologies/backgrounds/etc. When everybody has to go through this it would create a common shared bond. Those in your family who were in the military might not be particularly able to relate to you, but are probably quite capable of relating to themselves or other vets. I am vehemently against hegemony, and how politicians use the military in modern times, but I'd also actually support compulsory military service.

Not only do I think the bonds and training would be exceptionally beneficial for society, but it might even help us get back on the right track in terms of this hegemony nonsense. So many people seem somewhere between apathetic and thrilled about endlessly escalating military conflicts around the globe, probably because they never envision themselves being affected by it. Same reason our old enfeebled politicians act like much bigger hard asses than it's like that even warrior kings of times past did. Because it's not like they'll suffer for these wars - the only "hard decision" they have to make is to send people that they couldn't care less about, off to kill and die. War's a lot different when you're not just 'spending' other peoples' lives.
You have to ramp up your recruiting if your recruiting pool has shrunk (birth rate drop, BMI issues, substance use increase, etc). That's been happening for decades.
application /= software. You're moving the (extremely ill-defined) goalposts. Next you'll be arguing that device drivers or the Linux VFS layer aren't "software".
In some markets, they are still operating off of NTSC tape formats and equipment. They have a device to upres the content to HD right before going to the transmitter. All because they are in such a small market, and there's not enough money to justify buying HD equipment.

Everyone seems to think that TV stations are all on the same level of the flagships for each network. Some of them still are less than what you'd see in the movie UHF.
the military tracks how people are becoming more fragile? how are they measuring this?
This is great! Used to hack something like that together whenever working with embeddings, clustering, semantic search etc., using umap and plotly. This looks a lot more polished!
Please post your citation for your claim.
I find it tough to describe something not really even living in some ways as "working".
When pricing a good with inelastic or not very elastic demand (like, say, healthcare or medical products), the threshold for predatory is very low because people can't just choose most of their healthcare needs or replace them with alternatives (arguably some parts can be vastly diminished with better lifestyle choices over the long term, but that's not solving the current and very inelastic demand).

So, margins in the hundreds of percents is definitely predatory. I'd personally argue anything higher than 10-20% is morally bankrupt and I wouldn't be able to sleep at night if I were in the shoes of those responsible. If there is a hell, there's certainly a circle dedicated to people praying on the sick.
Just give them iPads!
On one hand computer and information science degrees have experienced the highest growth among undergrad degrees [1], so lots of people are joining in, but on the other I'm curious to hear from the people who have left.

Is anyone who has exited the tech world still reading HN? What's it like on the outside?

[1] https://www.visualcapitalist.com/cp/charted-most-popular-u-s...
> Just because you have a license doesn't mean you have to use it.

Um, what? Please, show me where the license agreement says this.
Note, almost happened to me. My team's EM left, I said I would take his place even though I had no real desire to become EM. I'd rather just do it than bring in someone from the outside because our team was great.

Well, as soon as HRBP found out I would become a EM, suddenly there were 2 other areas that needed EMs much more than our team. (As we were very functional).

I made a condition that I would become EM only for our team and did not desire to lead others I didn't know.
A tiny operation like this? I doubt they had anything close to telemetry. Rather, they probably had a tech who visited the site ever couple months. Nothing in the shack/tower would have required daily maintenance. Their only realtime "telemetry" might have been when the power bill for the site was lower than normal.
how the hell do they get to a quadrillion? even multiplying the two factors of 100,000 that are mentioned with no regard for coherence doesn't get you that high
The longer we work, the more of these experiences we can have.

It's never nice to have, and sorry that it occurred, but bad experiences at work can teach you a lot about yourself, about others, and you'll pull more threads of wisdom out of it the more life experience you get.

There are always times where things go off the rails, the key is to keep things in perspective. Burnout is a rough beast, but we can learn a lot through it.

I've been working in IT > 30 years and there are many situations I've been through that I don't like to recall, but I also learn from them and when I see repetitions in behaviors (from anyone) then I'm one step ahead of any potential disaster.

It's experience, hard won experience.

You'll be fine in your next role, and wiser.
>Why do we want to abolish or automate something that most people enjoy?

How does it preclude people from continuing to enjoy these things?
You try every trick in the book to not let your anger control your actions in the moment - taking deep breaths; counting to 10/20/50; asking for 'time out', etc. Depending on a whole bunch of variables, some of which are completely out of your control, you may or may not be successful.

On those occasions where you're not successful, you come back to your child later and share that you're sorry you behaved the way you did, that you wished you'd handled it differently, and that you commit to trying to do better in the future.

Of course this assumes the child is of an age where this conversation makes some semblance of sense to them. I'd argue that age is younger than most people give kids credit for.
Oh forgot about that one. "AA Online" or something.

As I remember it was a kinda boring and ugly game? Compared to say Counter Strike.
I used Zed for a while. The biggest performance improvements I noticed, compared to VS Code, were in start-up times and the opening of files. Sure, Zed feels snappy in those areas, but I feel VS Code is simply not that bad speed-wise when it comes to everyday coding. Especially, in the era of M1 Macs. Zed may win the battle in the longer term, but I feel slow performance has to truly annoy the fuck out of the user to convince them to make the switch. Right now, I am sticking with VS Code.
There’s only one reason (and only one) I would want to move from the coder/IC role to managerial track — and that is the white-boarding interview rounds that is needed every single time I want to switch jobs which needs (almost) excruciating preparation afresh - from scratch. (Yes yes, there are roles without that and that’s incredibly rare). Often, I just stay in the same job thinking of that preparation and saying, “oh god, not again!”.
There are a lot of subreddits, and they vary wildly. Something trained on r/askhistorians could spew out a lot of very plausible sounding bullshit.
Ask HN: If AGI is achieved – what happens next?
This week I learned the term AGI. I found a video online speculating why Sam Altman may be looking to raise trillions $.

If AGI is really achieved, what do you think would happen next. How would the stock market react, winners, losers?

What would happen with the value of money and human society in general.

Interesting to hear what people think, it can't be all doom and gloom. How would we control this thing?
Intel accused of inflating CPU benchmark results
I can't think of a nice way to express what I think of vim, but I think your general point is apt.

Some pretty full-featured editors already exist that people are happy with or, perhaps, have at least gotten used to. Where does a new editor fit in?

It's neat that it's "multiplayer" but that's an edge case.

I'm also not convinced by the business model. Do people really want channels, calls and chat integrated with their code editor? Personally, I have an almost visceral negative reaction to the idea but maybe that's just me.
Show HN: macOS-cross-compiler – Compile binaries for macOS on Linux
I guess they'd measure injury rates of new recruits.
AppCode was more or less Android Studio for iOS. Both are based on IntelliJ. It’s a shame AppCode was recently discontinued.
Whoops, deleted part of my response before submitting.

My optimistic/most probable predictions about the growth rate say it's wild. Like within 5-10 years with the multiple exponentials among different fields you can easily do away with most jobs unless there is a major bottleneck (I don't think there is, there is so much low hanging fruit). I guess that's what the singularity is all about. I don't think this will take multiple decades or centuries in any scenario other than the equivalent of ww3
Lots of people will be leaving tech, not by choice. Unlike longterm Googlers, not everyone can afford to not get paid for six months.

Also, this isn't a "downturn"...the companies are mostly doing better than ever. This is a permanent restructuring in resource allocation. Companies are going to shrink headcount even as their businesses flourish.
Yeah - I was going to keep my existing stuff up, but I think I'll clear out my account's previous posts and comments.
DataSpell: IDE for data analysts and analytics engineers
> But the goal I've always had is a lightweight editor that is minimal that I love using that feels like a text editor, but has the power of an IDE when needed, without all of the slowness in the experience and kind of heaviness in the UI, but still powerful. That was very early on what I wanted. And for it to be extensible.

Sorry for being that guy, but vim. Nvim specifically.
Thanks, take care too and have an awesome day :)
>You can come up with a well-reasoned critique of Agile and there's always some Agile evangelist that pops up to tell you that you're not doing "real agile" and, therefore, your experience is invalid.

Just the typical "No True Scotsman" fallacy [1], happens all the time when there is no good defense of the position.

1. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/No_true_Scotsman
I'm not sure it's the downturn, necessarily. I used to be enthralled with tech, full of energy to explore new tools, programming languages, etc. I think I slowly awoke to the fact that it's not the tech but the people that make it interesting and rewarding. For me (and I'm not trying to project on anybody else), interactions and activities with people who were doing things that are not tech seemed deeper and more genuine -- almost as if it was easier for me to get to know them and enjoy their company in a non-tech context. As a result, my hobbies and interests have pivoted to activities that don't involve computers much at all. My career remains in tech and I try to put my best efforts into the work that I do, but it's becoming more difficult as I continue to realize that life, for me, is better when most of it is spent away from screens.
Chet's book on the early days of Android is super interesting. Lots of crazy OS building stories. He must have interviewed 50 people who worked on the first couple releases of Android. I had him share parts of that story on the podcast and result is one of my favorite episodes.

I always thought of Android as, of course it succeeded, it was a big google project. But the story is far more interesting. They were somewhat of a small group, part of an acquisition and didn't actually merge with the prevailing google culture. Kind of kept to themselves and worked insane hours and were really into coffee.

Also, most of them had previous worked on similar projects. They had done the T-Mobile Sidekick and some of them came from WebTV, I think and BeOS.

https://www.goodreads.com/en/book/show/61431659

https://corecursive.com/android-with-chet-haase/
The idea that another multi-millionaire tech worker would think that leaving their job is something people would be interested in is… strange. He’s letting the world know that in the second worst tech downturn in history, he’s going to retire and pursue comedy writing. Feels more appropriate for a Facebook post to this friends rather than a medium post.
Yeah, from my understanding ADHD is something you have from the moment you're born to the moment you die.
Anger gives you drive. Cold fury is the most powerful. If well placed it allows to keep the drive past the adrenaline.
The if part is the critical one.
Negative emotions are often poisonous and after a while a person realizes it is kind of a bad fuel. I realised that toning them down allows better directing.
To finish: anger is an effective driver.
I mean having a bunch of overweight recruits doesn't sound like a big issue to me? Maybe you need to put them on a diet/exercise regime for a couple of months before they're physically fit enough but that doesn't sound like a huge issue if you're expecting them to serve for years or decades.

Obviously physical and mental health problems are a lot more significant but I would imagine that weight is by far the factor that impacts the most people here.
What's the advantage of doing this instead of just taxing everyone and paying a salary to soldiers?
Is the log in that equation using a 10 or maybe the natural number e?
Ok, but that’s not a reason to mandate it by law. Or are you suggesting we should mandate file checksums too?
My point is that if you write a native app and can't make it smaller than 100s of MB, then you're maybe not a really good mobile dev.

Are you implying that web developers are better than mobile developers? Because let me tell you that there are plenty of bad apps on both sides. It's not like PWAs are solving the problem that most software is extremely bad.

On the contrary, cross-platform frameworks often lower the bar.
Store your app's signing keys in AWS Secrets Manager
For those wanting a text editor/light IDE for Linux, Kate is surprisingly good.
I believe even truly magic numbers don’t need to be extracted in many cases.

Say in some UI code called FooBarItem you suddenly have some call to set padding to 12. People will take this number, put it in constant and name it FOO_BAR_ITEM_PADDING = 12.

This is not better. It’s just jumping more through the code, and whatever is in the name of the constant is easily deductible from the usage pattern.

I learnt that pattern from others and nowadays I see it as useless. If you can add interesting info in the name or comments of the number, don’t bother extracting a constant.
Orson Scott Card has entered the chat.
This is my first time hearing about it, despite daily driving MacBooks for 10 years. Does it have any advantages over other compression software? I've been using Keka for a long time and it has yet to disappoint me.
Because if you click down there where it says Guidelines you'll see that your title went against them.

> Please don't do things to make titles stand out [...]

> [...] please use the original title, unless it is misleading or linkbait; don't editorialize.

Also:

> my original title that was actually funny and to the point

Clearly HN is not the audience for your humour, and "iPissed" isn't "to the point".
What's the reasoning in this? Why wouldn't they just allow you to drop the coverage percentage?
you should not generalize

cherry picking examples does not mean the web MUST be slow, maybe the web apps were programmed badly... I can write even worse native apps than these web apps and it will not prove anything

did you ever try compile c++ code to webassembly and check out the performance "degradation"?

it still can be true that for this special task, a native app is the better choice and people would buy it from the App Store even if 30% more expensive

I mean nobody will and wants to take away the choice of using native tech. The degradation is on sooo many levels is not a necessity or consequense.

Web apps are not replacements, they are a choice, an addition. I really do not understan these kinds of comments that frame web apps as a compulsory security nightmare or replacing superior native with inferior web...

Safari stays, native stays, you and every developer can choose.

It may move better developers towards the web stack but then faster and better web apps follow. They will make use of web capabilities and technologies (like better js, multi core, web assemly, optimizations etc).

Chill! No self respecting company will publish inferior web apps if native is so much better in their special use case!
Such facilities do exist, dirty and/or wet material recovery facility is the search term you'd want. Most material recovery facilities want a clean input stream though.

It's not particularly lucrative, but it often makes sense for a landfill operator to do material separation, because the combination of selling the separated material and not using the landfill space makes financial sense.

Given that my county landfill is the beneficiary and will either need more tax money or close down and increase my disposal costs, separating the saleable stuff into a clean stream doesn't bother me too much.
Obesity was always treatable via methods the military already had available (beating the shit out of people via PT), but they could even add on modern weigh-loss drugs now. Compared to the rest of the cost of the military-industrial complex, it would be a rounding error.
It does if you dig a little deeper. You have a pool of jobs that require some level of all the mentioned skills/attributes. That pool contains some for civilian positions and for the military. If the candidate pool is shrinking for both, you have increased competition. Civilian positions will pay more because they can, and they generally require less recruiting due to the better conditions. The military needs to ramp up recruiting, increase waivers, etc to meet the same force requirements.

It's all inter-related. The main cause is a lower eligible pool of candidates, due to many different issues.
good luck on actually "deleting" your data
I've been working on deleting my reddit posts over the past year. The site now feels like it's almost 100% bots, which I find more than a little sad.
This is an issue journalists have raised in the past. With military populations becoming smaller and more isolated over time they are slowly becoming population bubbles outside their local communities. Military populations tend to be a tiny bit more intelligent, better educated, and higher wage earners than the average non-military population in localized areas and amongst the average population of the country as a whole. If the military is selective about who joins and those people do not interface with communities outside the military they are forming isolated more elite populations. So far the difference is statistically negligible both in terms of performance differences and degree of isolation that the subject remains limited to magazine articles.
So just like their human counterparts then.
I’m more interested on why he is posting it on medium when he has a blog.
I pay ~50 Euro cents per kWh. Even if you gifted me a GPU server it would be cheaper for me to use the cloud.
During installation the guide tells you to run a program, which generates an fstab based on current mounts. So by default it will configure /tmp the same way it’s configured in the live cd.
As an aside, the top ten seems to be mostly island states in the Pacific. Why is that? Smaller populations? They seem to be paradise places yet people are obese.

Or is it a cultural thing? Obesity doesn't need to have the same cultural stigma seen globally.
> there should either be mandatory military service (or physically intensive alternatives for conscientous objectors) or a life long military tax for people who don't volunteer to join the military before 25

Served in a country with conscription. It is deeply unpopular here, at least amongst the men. Only men need serve which holds them back as women start university and their careers two years earlier. The pay sucks, and there are many less well-off men who have to moonlight, at risk of being court-martialled and set to military prison. The commitment doesn't end there: men can and will be called back annually for ten years after leaving full-time conscription for two to three weeks of reservist training, which disrupts their civilian work. There are negligible benefits for reservists, and conscripts don't get the respect that American veterans and servicemen seem to.

Conscript armies work very differently to volunteer armies; you should be wary of what you're asking for.
Or that the US military should stock up on that new (impossible to get) weight loss drug. Offer it as an incentive for joining up.