skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
I've read the comments on this thread so far and while there are definitely some good points, I think everyone is ignoring a central issue when it comes to welfare: in the US, anything that even remotely resembles socialism is going to be shut down violently regardless of how well it could work. Free education & free healthcare are staples of most western countries, but not the US. Universal basic income has also been given out in some places in Europe. But in the US, all of these ideas are traditionally rejected by the people, and of course, any kind of wealth distribution is going to be countered with strong resistance from corporations, lobbyists and certain individuals.

Bottom line is, regardless of how well it works, all the pieces need to fit a certain way for this to be implemented, which is very unlikely.
Badly aligned incentives, for sure. I've found past a certain point, quality is not rewarded.
Maybe all we need is universal health care plus housing allowances. Let people live. Let them figure out how to prosper themselves
Falling into the Star Gate of Hidden Microservices Costs
I think you mean 'tacticool'
> where does your "as-needed" idea come from?

“Could we pair on this? I think you may have some insight on this I don’t.”

“I’m taking two weeks of vacation starting in a couple weeks—let’s pair on a story or two so you’re familiar with the state of this code, CI, and deployment system and can step in if needed”

“I could really use a living rubber duck for this—have you got an hour or so later today?”

[edit]

> again, it's lost productivity and energy-draining when done poorly

Done well but frequently, it definitely tends this way. Doubling the people working on the same code (not in close collaboration on different code—that can be crazy-productive) needs to have a pretty huge benefit to justify that immense cost.

I have seen junior-senior pairing sessions increase the junior’s productivity by more than 2x… but not the total productivity of the pair, on a sheer getting-things-done basis. Happily the benefits carry over into non-pairing time, such that it may end up being a good investment.
Warning: Ballpark numbers ahead

The 2022 budget was $1.2T across all welfare programs[0]. This includes programs people don't normally consider welfare such as the Child Tax Credit and parts of the Pell Grant.

There are currently 350M people in the USA [1]. $1.2T / 350M People is $3,428/person/year. Please note that while significantly less, there will still be some overhead in the UBI program so the actual number is lower.

This also doesn't include state budgets for welfare.

[0] https://budget.house.gov/press-release/7582

[1] https://www.worldometers.info/world-population/us-population...
Well if the Soviets fucked up Poland in ways taking multiple pairs of decades to reverse (pollution is an obvious example, among countless others), isn't that "generational", since a generation is supposed to be roughly 20 years?
I'd have to see their argument. A basic "better things aren't possible because where will the money come from?" Isn't possible to engage with seriously. We don't fund our state with gold mines.
I understand, and okay the UI UX is part of it, I just feel that there is usually other factors involved but I don't know enough I guess.
I suggest you study the link I gave. For example, document #30 [0] that gives an answer to the question "who on the Russian side has ever confirmed it?"

"On July 1, the delegationhad a meeting with M. Woerner—NATO Secretary General. ... Woerner stressed that the NATO Council and he are against the expansionof NATO (13 out of 16 NATO members support this point of view). In the near future, at his meeting with L. Walesa and the Romanian leader A. Iliescu, he will oppose Poland and Romania joining NATO, and earlier this was stated to Hungary and Czechoslovakia. We should not allow, stated M. Woerner, the isolation of the USSR from the European community."

"didn't pressure it enough towards becoming a civilized country"

That was rich.

[0] https://nsarchive.gwu.edu/document/16144-document-30-memoran...
All Caitlin's Buckets
I used to do this when bouldering and scrambling because otherwise rocks would scratch the crap out of the bezel and the crystal.

It's nice to know when sunset is happening when you're outside, after all.
One of my favorite ever watches. Waiting on a Pixel Watch to try my hand at making a custom tilted watchface like this just to learn how.
I think we've been spoiled and lulled into trusting too much. While I agree it leads to nihilistic behavior, I think enough people will simply be more careful and companies will have to get better, including the technical part that the top comment mentions. Similarly, I think we've been too willing to believe anything the media or advertisers say. I'm in my 40s now and I look back and feel embarrassed at all the things media and ads told me that I believed.
My comment is ignorant because a large portion of America could care less about defending Europe? I guess I'll try and educate 100 million Americans before commenting again…

Thanks for explaining that every country has motives behind its actions. I'm familiar with realpolitik it has nothing to do with what average Americans feel about Europe.

I'm just relating the feelings a lot of people I know have towards the region. You might not like it or agree with it(I don't) but lecturing Americans on how bad they are probably isn't the best way to bring them around to your side.
I'll bike in a tunnel all day long before risking it on public roads anywhere in America. At least for any kind of commute.
While I agree with many of your points, I feel like blaming item shortages on COVID payments is ignoring the massive impacts that panic buying and shutting down ports and factories had on the situation. Yes there was more money floating around, but people were purchasing items like it was the end of days and we had factories worldwide shuttering randomly due to COVID outbreaks and various government mandates which threw supply chains out of wack.
Look at Poland since 2015. We don't have UBI per se, but we have uncoditional handouts of free money to families with children, which goes to about 4 millions of families (so, like half of them).
What are example simple things you can and must do?
We are actually, right now, "printing money" out of thin air. The process is called "fractional reserve banking" and is a cornerstone of modern economics systems. You can of course read up on it, but, suffice to say, if we did not do it, financial systems would be extremely unergonomic.

Hyperinflation is one of the things that could happen, when you do it badly, I suppose, but there is a lot of ways to get hyperinflation, if you do things badly.
Interesting that a bill is even necessary. Doesn’t the defense already have a right to preview the evidence used against them?
> However what is seemingly _never_ studied is how to finance such an operation

You haven't understood the concept of UBI. It doesn't have to be "financed". It's a different way of assigning tax and benefits.

E.g. imagine a population of only two people, Alice and Bob. Currently Alice pays £100 in tax, and Bob receives £50 in welfare payments because he's unemployed.

You could set up a UBI scheme to be net zero. Under this UBI system, Alice would pay £150 in tax, and receive £50 in UBI. Bob would receive £50 in UBI instead of benefits.

It doesn't have to cost anything (in theory). You could make it redistributive, but it doesn't have to be.

The proponents of UBI would say it's worth it because you wouldn't have the expense and unfairness of means testing for benefits, and Bob would have the incentive to look for work (any work) without any reduction in benefits. In addition people could do things like start companies on a small guaranteed wage with less risk.

Opposers of UBI would say some proportion of people wouldn't work at all if they were guaranteed an income.

There are likely many more advantages and disadvantages that would only become apparent if a country actually tried it.
As the author, I cannot recommend reading this tale. I must say, however, that the reviews are an art form in and of themselves and will reward ten minutes of your time.

That review you cited was clearly written by someone who felt personally attacked. I have theories.
Thanks for reading!

>I'd like to understand the steps leading up to these six years. What motivated you to create that particular product? was it simply something that interested you and that you believed had potential? What was the goal when you created TinyPilot? Thanks!

It was a "scratch my own itch" kind of path. I had a home VM server[0], and any time I messed up its network settings or wanted to install a new OS, it was a huge pain to drag it over to my desk, disconnect my main desktop from my monitor and keyboard, swap everything over to the server, and then put everything back how it was.

I saw an article about how Raspberry Pi could emulate a keyboard, and I tried that out and got it working.[1] And then I felt like there had to be a way to capture video and stream it too, and I finally found a way to do that.

I came in at a lucky time because people had been experimenting with Raspberry Pi as a KVM over IP for years, but there weren't great video capture options. But right as I started looking, these cheap HDMI to USB dongles appeared on the market,[2] which made it cheap and easy to build a v1.

In the beginning, I thought it was too niche to be a real business, but it got a positive response when I launched on HN,[3] and more and more people kept buying, so I stuck with it.

[0] https://mtlynch.io/building-a-vm-homelab/

[1] https://mtlynch.io/key-mime-pi/

[2] https://mtlynch.io/tinypilot/#hdmi-to-usb-dongle

[3] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=23927380
There are a couple of places where ive seen it, but the vast majority of military pers wear watches exactly like everyone else.
To produce 8kg of lithium you would need to mine about 100kg of Spodumene. Spodumene is about 6% of the mined ore in the top ten lithium mines meaning you will need to mine about 1700kg of material. This means that you will need to pump roughly 20x as much oil as raw rock from a lithium mine to run a Honda Fit instead of a Tesla.

However, after the lifespan of a vehicle, you will then start recycling. You will get the lithium back, but the oil will need to be pumped again and again.

This is only automotive too. This isn't including grid scale power generation.
You're saying people are mad about war funding. I'm saying the wars and dod get funded every year no matter what. Both things are true.
>I suspect the article is just an ad. They want to sell a watch for "tough guys" and came up with that story.

Look at this £240 tacticool watch we, the authors happen to sell.
Meanwhile when I was in we all wore the disposable £5 casio you could get from Argos an didn't care if it got smashed up
#2 has seemed an obvious waypoint for a while.

A waypoint, not an end goal, because surely someone will derive sellable business value from combining things in a world where AI is the near-universal front layer.
If you believe in science, you have to also believe that the free market is working. Instead of getting worked up by online talking points spewed by your fellow Bernie Bros, you should look at some stats about the wealth creation and quality-of-life stats over the past 200yrs, 50yrs, 20yrs, etc.
Yeah, and correlation isn't causality. Causal studies under controlled conditions don't back up what you're saying.
Or someone gets the short end, like me a European, who has to be on meetings with the US in the late afternoon. I do have the mornings free of meetings, so that's nice at least.
I'm on my bike to get someplace, not to enjoy the ride. I know my route to work. I know the alternates as well where they exist. There is no longer anything new to see so I'm not looking (except to watch for cars of course)
There are 'nurse watches' that attach to uniforms (lapel clip) and that are design so that the "12" spot is facing the floor so that when one looks down it is at the 'top':

* https://www.amazon.com/Second-Hanging-Stethoscope-Doctors-Si...
It doesn't depend on how it's funded. It's a simple mechanics: once the word gets out that everybody is getting free money then all the companies raise their prices, trying to capture that money, because why wouldn't they?
Haha, same. My wife has always worn it this way, and while she grew up in a military family, only she does this. She just finds it convenient when doing things.
As long as we dont increase housing stock (at least in the United States) if we implement this more universally, the money will just further increase the value of real estate and make homes more expensive.
>> This article is more about someone afraid of new technology

This is a predictable response but just doesn't hold up. The path through abstractions for a modern CPU/GPU is more straightforward and linear than AI, and you don't have to go very deep to be back to 50-yr-old principles.

>> when all that matters is the observed behavior for day to day usage.

The entire point of the post is that observed behaviour is NOT what matters, vs understanding how we get to these outcomes.
Oh, they had UBI then?
Raman Pratasevich / Roman Protasevich.

He was pardoned by Lukashenka last year, since then there was little news, but this week he showed up in a video stream. I found out in Polish media, was very hard to find an English article about it, found just one:

https://www.txtreport.com/life/2024-02-14-%22i-ve-built-the-...

Lukashenka is not better than Putin, many oppositionists are rotting in prisons, but for some reason (young age?) he let Roman go, probably after some devil's deal.
But anything output by your chatbot is no different from something you put onto a billboard, or into a flyer or any other communication. The idea that a discount offered by a chatbot is not valid in the same way as one written on a coupon is nonsensical.

Maybe they were thinking, if we spend a bit more money on lawyers, we can try this crapshoot.
Please try to do some actual math here. What annual UBI are you targeting, and how much could be funded from pillaging existing spending vs. new taxes?
The FreeBSD handbook is wonderful, as always: https://docs.freebsd.org/en/books/handbook/jails/
Computing Power and the Governance of Artificial Intelligenc [pdf]
> and at rest.

What did you mean by this? The data (articles which users save) you store remains encrypted?
I’d go work at McDonalds for a PS5 or whatever, even if I didn’t have to pay for rent and food.
Another America – AI-Generated Photos from the 1940s and 50s
Tinytranslate – A machine translation demo built on tinygrad
Biden warns of 'devastating' consequences for Russia if Navalny dies (2021)
> The USA did this during the COVID era.

Japan has being doing this for decades now and, AFAIK, there hasn't been any terrible consequences. What are they doing differently?

imf.org says Japan's dept to GDP ratio is 214% and the US' is 110%.
More important question is how is it that you don't know that NATO has given Ukraine all of those?

Patriot and NASAMs batteries have been defending Ukraine for a while. ATACMS have been used against Russian air fields. F-16s aren't being used there is a lot of training first, but they have been delivered.
So bitcoin uses about 0.3% of energy production.

That means the 2% claim is an order of magnitude lie.
I'm trying to compare Alexei with some other known political figures. For Americans, I think Alexei is roughly comparable to MLK.

USA was able to gradually turn from some positions to different others. For Russia it seems the current situation is still the fall to the deeper chasms of self-destruction.
Any money given to non-property owners will eventually be extracted by the property owners. UBI given to everyone will eventually lead to the same effective poverty we have now and much wealthier landlords.
> By this metric, we can see that the states where it’s easiest to find housing include Utah (2.83 units per capita), California (2.75), Hawaii (2.57), and Texas (2.57). Overall, in the United States, there are approximately 2.35 housing units available per capita.

I just read the article. I think the article makes a grave error. It is not 2.37 houses per person, which would be absurd. Instead it is 2.37 persons per available house. So instead of being 2nd easiest to find housing, California is 2nd most difficult. This is also borne out by the new construction rates in California, which has faced huge population growth but below national average house construction.
I use unpinterested extension in Chrome to remove pinterest from search results, I was annoyed so much at some point. Maybe they're SEO spam is more under control now, not sure.
> you can vary your intuition depending on whether you want to believe the study

I suspect it is deliberate nonsense.
Ask HN: Buyer Intent Chrome Extension for LinkedIn Sales Nav
I am curious to know how you gather intent about a user. Funding is on Crunchbase, company size is on ZoomInfo, and footprints are on LinkedIn. Plus, there's keywords search volume, job changes, hiring velocity.

What do you think about a Chrome extension for LinkedIn Sales Nav that displays all buyer intent from different internet resources (Crunchbase, LeadIQ, Rocketreach, Apollo, and all LinkedIn data about them, their activities, their company, and company activities such as hiring velocity and job changes) beside each person in the search results? The data would be displayed insightfully with charts, perhaps with a score for each person.

How useful will this extension be? Are there any other ways you'd suggest to find which accounts are looking to buy your product? What key indicators do you look for in them?
Who would've thought that cramming a whole team of developers and expensive cloud resources on top of the notoriously thin margin food business could have failed?

I remember when Silicon Valley made fun of the concept 10 years ago and I have made a point of never installing any such apps on my phone.
Yep, I just experienced it today on work.
Used chat gpt to rephrase my test.
My boss: you used chat gpt right? Next time I'll ask chat gpt to send your weekly.
Huh? A Bradley is more survivable than a modern T-72? It's a light IFV, it's only advantage is to be more versatile and maneuverable. It is not going to be more survivable.

If you're talking about the autoloader - the kind of munition that would detonate the munitions on a modern T-72 would completely eviscerate any IFV.

If it really was more survivable than a modern tank, why would anyone even bother making tanks, when IFVs have about as much firepower when using ATGMs?
Previously it was “welfare queens”. Apparently now it’s “Netflix slackers”?
https://archive.is/eI4Xv
> elevators

How are the elevators any more of a problem than in buildings, where they are commonplace, often for much taller structures (i.e., many more floors), and not considered a major expense?

Edit: Thanks, good points about the volume/throughput.
easier to scale to a distributed TPU cluster I think?
Yep. And the so-called "aid to Ukraine", 80% of it would be spent within the US on current stockpiles and new equipment. It's curious that the US military-industrial complex isn't falling all over itself attempting to send Ukraine lots of expensive gear and supplies it didn't even ask for. I guess there are too many Putin sympathizers in US political circles able to buy, engineer, and install influence.
This Canadian site attempts to lay out a "who pays for it" plan of sorts: https://www.ubiworks.ca/howtopay

A lot of it is pretty hand-wavy and I'm not sure how legit it is. I'm posting it because they claim it won't cause taxes to increase for the majority of people. Instead, it comes from mainly corporate taxes and other sources.

Of course, it seems likely that this just passes on the cost to ordinary people in the form of increased costs for goods and services. As for inflationary effects, I'm not qualified to say.
This is a very HN-eternally-online position. I've not run into any engineer in the real world who doesn't (even begrudgingly) accept that politics are a thing that are going to happen.

Groups of people are politics. At some point you need to get over it.
I have seen some military personnel wearing watches upside down, however, majority of military personnel wears electronic watches on top of the wrist and have it covered with sleeves.

WW1 trench watches had a utility - time of the attacks were timed and they had no radios. With the invent of portable radios and communication equipment, utility of wrist watch to start military operations significantly diminished.

With that said, WW1 trench watches were just pocket watches on the wide wrist band. They aren't comfortable to wear in all positions, so I highly doubt that even during WW1, a lot of soldiers would wear their watches upside down.
Tech giants pledge action against deceptive AI in elections
lmao, so glad to see this comment. I was about to post that not all of us are art snobs but your post captures the idea succinctly.
I was so mad typing I couldn't even get the "xkcd" part right. lol.

Basically what I was getting at, the other end of "don't make fun of someone for not knowing" is "Don't yell at people for saying commonly known facts because there's always someone who is finding out for the first time".
The US has raised the debt ceiling multiple times across multiple administrations. And the debt ceiling isn't raised so that we can pass a specific bill or take a specific action, it's so we can pay for the bills and actions we agreed to months beforehand.
UBI is sold to us as a pipe dream by people who will fight tooth and nail to prevent the minimum wage from being raised.

If there's a UBI, why do you need a minimum wage? A UBI gives people negotiating power to decline unfairly low wages, because they don't have to face homelessness or hunger if they're not working.
Also:

* a moderator, a role that can be held by literally anyone. The goal of the moderator is to keep everyone to the agenda, manage time and handle Q&A.
“America bad” is the opium of the masses.

IMO, if any random country’s government whom we are not allied with through NATO publicly criticizes the USA’s response to helping them out in a war that we have no obligation to help with, I believe we should immediately cease any and all financial aid and let them feel the squeeze. When they publicly apologize and recognize that the United States is truly the only thing keeping any order in the world, then and only then do we consider resuming whatever support we deem appropriate. This should apply to any NATO-allied nation who hasn’t met their 2% defense spending as well. If your country doesn’t keep up their end of the deal, we certainly shouldn’t keep ours.
The seventh most popular easily understood unsolved problem on MathOverflow
The classic middle-thirds Cantor Set being a topologically set is one of the easiest counter examples to the above misconception that the sets need to be continuous themselves.

Being able to define a neighborhood or a concept of closeness is required, but the concept of distance is not required.

If you can define a distance a topological space is a metric space

If it is locally euclidean it may be a manifold.

Really the union and finite intersection of subsets is the formal way of showing something is a topological space. Too har do describe here but that is where the concept of continuity arises.
You're right, the problem in the US was multi-causal. I mention that case because it is probably the best large-scale deployment of a UBI-like program any country has ever done.

While we can't completely untangle the exact contribution magnitude, I think we can deduce that at least some meaningful % of the shortage/inflation situation was caused by the UBI-like program.
https://www.grumpy-economist.com/p/fiscal-narratives-for-us-...

https://www.johnhcochrane.com/s/inflation_PPP.pdf
and it's not even a CSV, not a comma in sight!

I feel lied to and I want a refund.
Thanks!

I'm currently contributing roughly that amount into a SEP IRA.