skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
You're a young male off to fight in either of the most brutal wars in history. This might just be the last time you see your wife, so you have nothing to lose in having a child at that point, as you have a much higher chance of never being able to do so later when things are better.

Alternatively you lived in a city reduced to ruins by the war, everything you knew or had is gone and you have no idea when or even if you'll be able to recover. Having a child doesn't involve as much of a concern over whether or not you can give them a better upbringing because things couldn't really get much worse in the first place.

Now, on the other hand, if you're talking about post-war, the world was recovering, there were opportunities everywhere, the future was looking more hopeful. You could just have kids and trust that they'd live a more comfortable life than yourself.

Nowadays, we're at this awkward point where there's just enough uncertainty and instability in the future, yet not bad enough that people have nothing to lose that people would rather wait or just not have any kids at all.
Downside at NVIDIA (and the Nasdaq at large)
Valuations won't keep up with the future, it seems.
Maybe we can explain it by intense TV consumption in the childhood?

Occam's law applies.
It had plenty of risks before too. Doing genealogy, e.g. of one of my great-great grandfather's children, several died young and left behind children, some ran away from responsibilities (one child - my grandmothers first cousin - ended up in care and was adopted because her mother was too poor to care for her and her dad ran off to the US with his brothers, and we didn't learn she existed until a few years after she'd died) or were forced to work abroad for years at a time. Of 12 or so of his children, I think only 4 were in their children's life until they reached adulthood, and at least one of them was a single parent because her husband died young.

The same great-great grandfathers second wife likewise "lost" a brother that was almost certainly taken into care while she and her older brother were left to fend for themselves as teenagers after being orphaned when their father died after having cared for them alone for a few years after their mother died.

My grandmother's mother - married to one of the children of the same great-great grandparents - lost contact with her siblings in her early teens when they were all taken into care when her dad proved unable to deal following her mother's death. While she found a couple of her sisters again later, her dads failure to cope means even now we've not been able to figure out what happened to the rest of her siblings.

While divorce is more common, abandonment, be it intentional due to the difficulty of obtaining a divorce, or unintentional (poverty, disease, death), or absence for noble reasons (e.g. going off to earn money to support the family) still left a lot of people raising children on their own in often awful conditions.

There's a marked increase in the number of situations like that for each generation further back in my family tree among the people I can track.
If they work for money and use it to pay the children to care for them, what difference does it make if they also have kids or not? Why would your kids have to be the ones to care for you for it to “even out”? In that argument, is daycare banned because the child is not cared for by the parents of the child? What if one of the parents dies? Is it ok to pay for help then?
I was pretty active in ZOL when encryption was added. It was handshakes and applause all around... but shortly afterwards the developer started contributing less and less, while several bugs cropped up... some necessitating sending entire hard drive images over ssh to other developers.

Don't get me wrong, I like zfs and use it every day, but that code should have never been merged, and given more scrutiny considering it completely changes how your data is written to disk. Thankfully not many people use encryption.
More of a thing, but it's mostly DevOps.
Police were faced with a choice. They could have kindly waited a few moments for a woman to clothe herself or they could drag her out to the street (in a state of undress that women can be arrested for) like she was.

They chose the most cop-like thing to do. Because they could.

This week alone saw Atlanta-area raids by law enforcement that took a woman out of her house with no shirt left a naked photo of another woman on display after ransacking a room and dragged a man by his hair – while arresting none of them.

Officers led her to a squad car, where she remained for “what seemed like hours” – while officers came in and out of the car, her top uncovered the whole time.

One took photos of her, insisting, “it’s only of your face”.

After some time, she was released.

Please show me the law, manual, protocol, training, regulation or fusion center directive that says dragging a topless woman out of her home - to kept available for hours for male police to observe and photograph - is an appropriate response to anything.
Humans had plenty of children in much worse times. People are not having kids for other reasons: Convenience, infertility, wealth, etc
I guess someone’s mentioned how great ZFS is and this page is here to prove the opposite. Every file system has bugs.
This is why rail systems were/are great. Sure, you had to have a station, but you could service far more small towns, no need to economically support them. If the train didn't have anyone to pick up it simply wouldn't stop, and unlike the bus it could take on many more cars, amortizing the extra costs of emptier stops.

Instead we have networks of roads that are largely unsafe, inefficient, and more costly to replace, and a dated rail system that hardly services major cities any more.
These are not solopreneurs. They’re entrepreneurs.
I think the cost of doing business has increased substantially in the last 60 years. Even respecting inflation, I think services, wages, and just the obligations related to business are more expensive than they used to be.
Had it been 105 year it would have been an order of magnitude. Being only 5 years off an order of magnitude justified the “almost an order of magnitude”.
my dad was the youngest of 7. and he had kids late. so almost all my cousins on my dads side are at least a decade older than me, and we barely had any contact with them growing up. on the other hand, cousins on my mothers side are all my age, and i have the best relationship with at least one of them despite only seeing each other every few years.
1978. In reality the worst months are $300+ and the others are less, so the average isn’t really $300 - probably more like $200 or $250.

But yes, this is another reason I want to move. I’ve done all the insulating I can easily do without tearing everything down and starting again.

70 kWh a day sounds about right. That’s what I calculated for a max load when I was sizing solar systems.
Marathon world record-holder Kelvin Kiptum died in a road traffic accident
From the Hacker News guidelines:

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> Please don't post shallow dismissals, especially of other people's work. A good critical comment teaches us something.

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You can read the full guidelines here: https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html
Yes - but the people you impact in having kids is two - you and your child. Your world is your experience. Everyone impacted by online dry cleaning are never a part of your experience beyond an intellectual experience. But your parenthood extends to the entirety of your world, and the world of another. The magnitudes aren’t orders - they’re infinite, as the life of someone in another city is as far as another universe.

By all means make the world better for all man. But realize for you it’s nothing, literally. For your own world, there is no greater impact than your child.
This. In poorer parts of the world, you might have an extra mouth to feed for the first 15-20 years, but once your child finishes school and finds work they're contributing to your well-being and to helping feed the younger children. You also need not worry too much about your retirement, because you know your family will support you, and you'll play a role raising your grandchildren and great grandchildren.
> Someone buys a cupcake.

In this case someone made a cupcake. Instead of selling it to potential customers, they destroy the cupcake and claim it was a tax-deductible expense

> Also, if the movie sucks, it often reflects badly on all of those people. They try to get work on a new movie, people look at the old movie, see it sucks, don't hire them.

So why are so many bad movies released then?
That table doesn't break things down by age.

Just own it dude. You pulled the "49% of people aged 30-34" thing from this chart https://www.census.gov/housing/hvs/files/qtr423/tab7.xlsx or some variation of it and you misunderstood it.
I'm older and also never wanted kids. There was a brief moment in my 20s where I would have been ok with it, but the relationship I was in didn't workout and that was that. Now I've been married a long time, and we had the no kid conversation on date one. Instead we rescue dogs and are in the process of moving and semi-retiring in a small coastal town in Italy.

My desire for not having kids is rooted in my own childhood. My parents had me at 19, we were poor and struggled for much of my early life. My mom used to say, "don't have kids until after college unless you want to work at McDonalds". And, for better or worse, my drive became for financial security above all else.
Curiously it’s almost exactly half an order of magnitude (30*10^0.5 = 94.9)
Isn't this what Google dubbed as smearing in their Spanner paper?
After all this time I'm not going to trust a decoration.

When I'm connecting an USB cable horizontally I always think "hol up". So I always remember to plug it with the hole up.

When I'm connecting it vertically I think "hold right". So I know that if I want to hold it right, I have to put the hole right.

Has worked for me so far.

EDIT: Though "left" and "right" are more vague compared to "up" and "down", so connecting vertically assumes a specific "mental point of view". I'm just using one that's intuitive for me, but it might not work for everyone.
And even if they were not acting in that intention, knowingly calling emergency when there isn't one is a drain on resources that might be needed elsewhere.
Whilst I don't disagree with you. That doesn't mean those with mortgages aren't struggling to pay.

Also if true, that is insane that the average american lives in a home that they own by the time they're 35. That is so far and wide not the case here in Australia.

Here in Australia, we don't have fixed rate mortgages for the life of the mortgage we have variable and fixed upto around 1-5 years. Our interest rates have gone from around 2-3% to over 5.8% and the value of homes since COVID have gone up enormously, some 30-40% across our cities and nationally combined 27%.

I know we're just talking about the US here I assume, but I earn a chunk above the average salary and I be considered "at risk" in affording the average cost of a home. I know plenty of people who bought their house 3 years ago right when COVID kicked off, of which they would not have been able to afford it today given the increase in just house prices.
I wonder if there are any recent examples.
So what he should have kids who are going to take care of him when he's old? Sure, that's a great reason to have children.
The daycare bit is incoherent.

The true cost of end of life care

1. Is already socialized in many western countries

2. Impacts human capital allocation in countries

3. Requires other people’s children to take care of you. If there are no kids, society stops functioning.

4. Will continue to rise in price as there are fewer young people

When you consider that most old people do not fully fund their retirement even with existing subsidies, you can see that this is an odd proposition.

Some people’s work will be valuable enough to offset their end of life care. It will be an increasingly smaller number over time given trends.
> They really are.

I'm 50 this year. I've been an avid reader all my life, and back in the late 1980s and early 1990s, I'd read the newspapers my grandfather would bring home. I would've still been in highschool (at the latest), so call this 1990 +/- 1 year. Even then I remember the classic newspaper article, claiming how much it'd cost to raise a child to age 18. I think back then they were calling that number $250,000. Now days, I think they set it at $1 million even.

For the longest time, they'd reprint that article every 2-4 years, just changing up one or another factoid. The logic was always specious. Every single thing anyone ever believed anyone needed for a baby/toddler/kid was always priced brand new and name brand. From dressers and chest of drawers, to baby strollers (this was even past the point where most people would ever use the damned thing).

They told the lie so often and from so many direction, ever since you were a child yourself, that you can't help but believe it. You're even telling it for whoever it is that wants that lie told.
I don't know, slumlords charging an exorbitant rent for a shack is a thing.
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The only real perspective I have is that a bunch of today's issues didn't exist in my own childhood, and a bunch of my childhood issues haven't been solved. That means there's been a net increase in issues.

For example the internet is much unfriendlier to children nowadays, social media is far more predatory than it used to be. The housing crisis is worse (the exact same place is nearly twice as expensive as it was when we first moved in about 10 years ago). Also, the AI dystopia and surveillance state bullshit seems to be worsening at an exponentially increasing rate.
The method in the paper definitely seems flawed: if, for example, PostgreSQL would not exist, that doesn't mean every software company would be developing their own RDBMS -- the much more likely effect would be more mega-yachts for Larry Ellison...

I'm not even sure there is a sensible method to quantify the economic impact of Open Source, since it's pretty much an "alternate universe" situation. Without OSS, Linux would most likely not exist, meaning that... everyone would be paying for Unixware per-seat licenses? Which would probably make AWS a nonstarter, etc. etc. On the other hand, there would most likely be a lot more profitable small software companies, but not enough to make up the difference.

So, "Open Source is a good thing, economically" might be a defensible statement, but putting an actual Dollar value on that will always be more fiction than science.
Yeah I mean it makes sense as a story. But it also makes sense not to have a kid if you think you’re going to die at war. Both stories are perfectly believable, I’d say. And likewise it also makes sense not to bring a child into a bombed out hellhole with severely limited food rations.

And in the 50s the future was looking good in some ways, but people also lived under a visceral fear of nuclear annihilation. These are all just feelings people may or may not have.

Ultimately, I think it’s much more complicated than saying that circumstances in the past made it easier for people to decide to have children.
This is likely the stupidest thing I'll read this week, thank you for that. In what way, exactly, are children not expensive? From some research and napkin math, it looks like $300k, not including opportunity cost (so in reality more like $500k), if everything goes right. Hope there's no medical issues, hope there's no car crashes. How many years of salary is that?
Texan here. Your ad hominem attack is BS.

Our house prices, North of Dallas and deep in the suburbs - far from the bay areas and Seattles, have doubled. That includes my home. People in our profession usually have to live by big cities, like Dallas. But the homes are ridiculously priced and it's insane. My juniors have no hope of owning a home that is big enough to raise a family without years of saving. And they're college educated engineers, some of them married with dual incomes.
Sorry, I just updated my links to include the citation for the age breakdown, which is in fact the link you linked to.

Note the title of the chart you linked to (tab7.xlsx): "Homeownership Rates by Age of Householder" (emphasis added). This is percentage of householders who own the home that they are the householder of.

EDIT: Also, while I'm at it, here's "Homeownership Rates by Age of Householder: 1994 to Present" (again, homeownership), which shows a 39% homeownership rate under 35 years old, which is about the same rate as it was throughout the 90s. It broke 40% in the 2000s for a while before coming back down, but was never higher than about 43%.

https://www.census.gov/housing/hvs/data/histtab19.xlsx
In case you missed it, he was replying to me...
I mean, the spreadsheet was to illustrate how many bugs this feature had and how unfixed they are.

Source: it's my document, though I didn't submit it here, and haven't updated it in a while after I gave up trying to convince other people about how bad an idea using it is.
It looks like all the top contributors no longer work on it much, based on github's insights.
Winston sold the app last year, and it's being maintained by new developers now.
https://www.perkins.org/resource/changes-with-voice-dream-ap...
Whenever I encounter this attitude I like to remind that person that they should have no voice, whatsoever, in what happens in government and politics anymore. I don't want people who are self-selecting themselves out of the future having any say in what happens for my children. It's fine that you don't want kids, enjoy the golf course I guess. But in general I will discount your opinions to zero on anything else of consequence.
Cryptography was considered a war weapon and only allowed for military use.

The United States had to be brought to court to finally allow cryptography: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bernstein_v._United_States

> Years before, the government had placed encryption, a method for scrambling messages so they can only be understood by their intended recipients, on the United States Munitions List, alongside bombs and flamethrowers, as a weapon to be regulated for national security purposes. Companies and individuals exporting items on the munitions list, including software with encryption capabilities, had to obtain prior State Department approval.
— Electronic Frontier Foundation: EFF's History

Before that, export rules could be "worked around" by printing cryptography in books.

See also https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Export_of_cryptography_from_...
It certainly got more love than Dart 1.0.
You are probably from the US and not aware how things looked outside of it? https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crypto_Wars
Can you imagine Apple trying to stop people from using the term “iPhone”? Or “smart phone”?
what would you describe the period before middle-aged? why might it be called middle-aged?
Classic reads for anyone loitering in a British school library in the 80s
Yes. Well done. Bad memory, now can't edit. Ed Harris was surprisingly good in this. From memory it was a difficult shoot with a lot of "how do we do this" going on around underwater photography and some for the time good 3D effects (the face made in water at the end of the water tentacle)
Maybe this is the great filter.
You can always install Linux on any Chromebook, or install a Linux VM (but that may not make it trivial to directly attach devices). To the best of my knowledge 100% of Chromebooks are fully supported.
This is looking at trends starting from 1950, which is right in the middle of an event known as the “baby boom.” I guess there’s some usefulness to that analysis, but it seems a little shallow.
Public auction seems appropriate
Google Search as we know it today.

"I'm feeling lucky" will find its way back, somehow, as Google tries to one-up LLM-generated answers. Traditional Google Search is already increasingly aiming to supply as much info as possible—and It feels likely an increasing number of Google Search results will be Gemini neé Bard answers (same for Bing, with GPT).

Teaching an LLM to talk about your product will be the new SEO.

Which, should be bullish for Kagi and DuckDuckGo (not affiliated with or an active user of either), as the utility of real search is still so high if done well, something it's hard to shake the feeling that Google has gotten worse at. Perhaps it's time to take it for a serious spin.
I think it's really hit or miss these days. It feels like the episodes like this that Latif hosts are interesting. But towards the end of last year they had a very long less sciency run that was not very interesting, so much so that I stopped subscribing and listening, I mean not dumbed down, but actually unscientific, like the long series on immigration or broadcasting an anti-trans activist to talk about gender.
Ask HN: Good Resources/Books on building recommender systems?
SF streets aren't exactly safe for cars for a long time. Breakins are extremely routine occurrence. So, this one time somebody decided to take it up a notch. No need to make Butlerian Jihad out of it.
In this case, refusing offers to sell in favor of a strategy that simply wastes the time and effort of everyone involved in the production with no recourse. This should at the very least not allow them to write it off their taxes. Admittedly, a lot of the problems that enable this situation are more about how IP and ownership work as well as the consolidation of the entertainment industry (and every other industry for that matter), but I think the fact that there's a monetary incentive for this kind of thing which directly exhibits the exact kind of anti-productivity incentives at scale that people use to argue against social programs warrants special consideration in its own right