skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Fertility rates do indeed have that effect, but it's buffeted most places by immigration that will continue to soften the effect for decades to come, so I think it'll be hard to predict how that exactly will play out.

We can already see some differences quite starkly.

E.g. Italy's fertility rate hasn't been above replacement since ca. 1975, and started seeing population decline a few years ago and is already back at the population level it was at around 2007, because it struggles to attract (and want to attract) enough immigration.

Meanwhile, the UK dropped below replacement in 1972, and yet UN projections suggest the population is unlikely to decline until the 2050's at the earliest, and isn't projected to drop down to present-day levels at any point this century, largely buffeted by a far more aggressive immigration policy (including by politicians claiming to want the opposite - neither of the major party in the UK believes in reducing immigration, but some of their voters do, and that is likely to become a rising conflict).

So while I agree some nations probably will see rapid falls, it really comes down to in part to what extent they are able to open their doors and find means of becoming attractive to immigrants fast enough while finding ways of integrating them in a working way.

And this will reshape the political and cultural landscapes both within countries, and international influence.

(one minor example, since we've discussed the UK and Africa: The UK is likely to soon drop from the 2nd to 3rd largest native English-speaking population worldwide - both India and Nigeria already have far more people speaking English as their 2nd or 3rd language, but Nigeria seems to be more rapidly closing the gap to have more people who speak English as their 1st...)

> And this is also likely a vicious cycle because as age ratios and demographics get all screwed up, economies will start to collapse, which will make it even more uncomfortable to have children.

Well, we may unfortunately in that case get to test whether fertility is inexorably linked to poverty or whether once it's declined it won't rise again.

The other option is that as fertility becomes even more of an issue, we'll see a significant escalation in measures like the Hungarian (ramping up grants and subsidised house loans for families that get more children), but of course we don't yet know whether - or at what level - that will work... But I suspect many desperate attempts.

Also, expect reproductive rights to become an issue, with more countries seeming movements to push back on abortion rights etc. using fertility rates as a reason.
AFAIK no. Dex only seem to act as a federated IdP.
spot on. plus using a lot of js because they don't know html and css (or just very superficially). :-)
In the history of human civilization, before that kind of setup most people didn't worry about having a house, because they lived in villages, so they lived next to their extended family, and either stayed together under one roof or eventually moved couple hundred meters to the side and built their own.

Expectations for quality of life were lower, sure, but the problem of not being able to find a place to live anywhere near your family or job, that is relatively new and getting worse.

> in a handful of countries, for a few skin colours, for a couple of decades. fueled by burning cheap fossil fuels taken from poorer countries

Also: I know it's trendy to make everything about skin colours these days, but that's a distinct USA-ian bias. The rest of the world doesn't work that way.

I won't argue against exploitation of poorer countries as that, indeed, was a big theme in the last century or two. However, note that whatever many hard problems people in those poorer countries have, affordable housing isn't one of them.
You can view your skills as an asset, and balance your investments accordingly.

"Lose everything" is a wild stretch. They have 30% in a moderately broad fund. They have a chunk in companies that are still doing non-ai things, then their first part is chip manufacturers. AI could disappear and people would still need computers.
Well, someone will have to take care of him. If it's not his children then probably some nurse in a nursing home. And guess what? That nurse is also someone's child. No children today equals labor shortage tomorrow.
An Engineering Leader's Job Search Algorithm
> Probably the biggest issues I could imagine are maintenance and wildlife. They might be minor issues though.

Might, yes, but I think it’s unlikely all problems will be minor. Salt water isn’t kind to metal, no matter how well painted. Also, I expect barnacles will start growing on it. If you’re a filter feeder, this may be even better than sitting on the sea bed or on a whale.

Question will be how much that effects their $/MWh calculation. The only real way to find out is to try, I guess.
I was really surprised when I found out how late-added and immature encryption in ZFS is. I had presumed it would have been table stakes for "enterprise" deployments. Were people just using it on top of block encryption like GELI or LUKS or was I just wrong to assume that most servers are encrypted?
I don't believe that the artist's wishes should always win out. We would have lost Kafka if his wishes were followed.

I don't believe copyright should always win out. We nearly lost Nosferatu.

As for ownership? We lost a wonderful portrait of Churchill because it displeased his wife.

There are countless lost works - late Sibelius, a ton of Brahms, Bacon and Monet paintings. History judges such things severely.

Unless you believe in a specific variant of life-after-death then an artist's wishes only carry moral weight whilst they are still around. Destruction has effects that last forever.
Go and foster some kids. Maybe start with one.

Foster parent relationships are somewhere between zero and one of your own kids. They can be close or distant, depends on the relationship.
JSNice – rename, deobfuscate, or infer types
This article is just a stealth extension of the so called 'open source sustainability crisis' argument.

Basically, it's just a bunch of people wanting to work on open source software and demanding to be paid for it. Like literally demanding you pay them for using their software!

I'll repeat here what I always say to them. If you demand to be paid for creating open source software, then maybe it's not for you because you don't seem to understand the license you added.
Check the Spitfire Symphony Orchestra Grand Piano[1], which is free and honestly I find it way superior to a lot of commercial samplebanks.

Can't remember if is there any piano available in the free version of NI Komplete[2] but it's still worth checking out.

[1]https://www.spitfireaudio.com/bbc-symphony-orchestra-discove...

[2]https://www.native-instruments.com/en/products/komplete/bund...
Transatlantic exchange shaped Italy's illustrious coffee culture
How would you send encrypted emails without an encryption library?
That's a troubling policy signal, with impact beyond encryption.
You don't “calculate” orders of magnitude, that the point of manipulating them in the first place. And an order of magnitude colloquially means “one more digit”, hence the original remark.

I appreciate the irony of nitpicking about a concept that merely exist to allow for low precision napkin math.
Isn't it even more selfish to not have kids, and still expect someone else's kids to look after you when you're old?
HN.... I have an app on my phone that's called "Hews". It's morning and everything is confusing :(
How would you send encrypted email without an encryption library?
It gets expensive too when you have > 2 monitors.
That Severn project has on-again, off-again cycles that are typical of so many UK infrastructure projects. It's a little depressing.
Wondering if anyone has an idea on their (listennotes.com) business model?

- Is it primarily ads driven vs API usage?
- How did it evolve over time? (I'm guessing the enterprise API was not there at the beginning?)
Well technically those who seek to gain from people having children would want to generate som marketing/propaganda that encourages having kids. Families want big safe cars and would pay a premium for that, singles would be more enclined to drive in old used cars, so theres the car industry. Families usually wants big houses so there that, diaper industry etc.
>How did André do this, with no tool but a pencil?

When I was 14 and went to highschool, for programming classes I did most of my code on paper. I was a poor kid in a poor country, so not only I did not have a PC at home, but the few "computers" we had in the computer lab at school were ZX Spectrum clones which didn't run Turbo Pascal, the programming language we used at that time.
Which is a shame, since zero-trust zfs send is a pretty nice feature, if it could be relied upon
Yes, you gave one example. I get it sucks that your pet use case isn't as well supported yet as you want but the situation is really pretty good. Unless you're specifically working on software for keyboard/mouse sharing, the libei thing isn't gonna be an issue.
I was responding to a comment, not the article
My net worth is north of 5 or 6 million now, on a good day. My salary is mid 5 figures with TC. You just happened to hit a proverbial jackpot, in another sense. You don't think I haven't had my share of exes? You don't think I've ever tried to settle down? You had blind luck in your romantic endeavors. But please don't wear that as some sort of weird badge of honor, it cheapens the whole thing, in my honest opinion.
> (or full purchase price is refunded

With inflation that is not enough - the minimum acceptable refund should be the price to buy the same product at the time of the refund.

> In terms of a minimum time duration, there are even physical analogies here -- books can yellow and their bindings crack and glue fail, vinyl wears out, floppy disks become unreadable after a decade or two -- I've even had CDs experience some kind of green growth in humid climates rendering them unreadable. So we already have a kind of pre-existing expectation of media purchases only lasting so long, on average.

That's why copyright law in many countries allows you to make backups for personal use. This isn't possible with streaming services so the service must provide the equivalent.
https://www.google.co.in/books/edition/Management_Lessons_fr...

https://www.amazon.in/Never-Ending-Challenge-Engineering-Adm...
The only economic metric that has a strong correlation to declining birthrates is hours women work for a salary.
Gmail bulk email senders policy – Roll out started Sunday afternoon?
Anyone else notice significantly less emails in their Gmail inboxes yesterday? It could just be the Super Bowl but we are seeing a notable drop in Gmail clicks even with SPF/DKIM/DMARC and under 1 in 1000 spam rate.

If everyone else now has SPF/DKIM/DMARC does BIMI now make sense to stay ahead of the crowd, even at $1,500 a year/domain for the cert.
steam-punky!
It’s awesome if you can afford it. I wouldn’t mind having 3 kids if each one of them could have their own space in the house, if I could help them develop life skills, and give them all the love and time they need. With large families it feels like many of the children are neglected. In a modern world either you don’t have the money or you don’t have the time.
The same thing is happening in all western countries, and some other developed countries too.. Even those with free university level education, free health services, etc. Here in the UK we have the free healthcare (and maternity provision is still good), we do have university fees in most the UK, but the costs are far lower than in the US (fees are an order of magnitude lower than at some US universities, and there are cheap loans to cover fees and living costs). We have government subsidies for childcare.

We still have falling birth rates.

I actually think daycare is part of the problem - what is the point of having kids if you do not spend lots of time with them? The biggest advance would be more family friendly working hours.

i have earned a lot less to spend time with my kids, and i am so happy I did. The best thing that happened to me was to lose my job the day my oldest was born. Otherwise I would have been very well paid (I worked for an investment bank) but have hardly known my kids.
Encryption was (and in some countries, still legally is) considered dual use technology. You needed to go through paperwork and licensing to export cryptography across the border. Symmetric keys longer than 64 bits were considered too strong.

This led to all kinds of stupidity. Internet Explorer shipped with nerfed TLS capabilities, limiting key sizes to 40 bits or 56 bits depending on the version.

When the encryption laws changed in 2000, Microsoft allowed users to download an update to improve SSL encryption: https://learn.microsoft.com/en-us/previous-versions/tn-archi...

You could legally encrypt emails, of course, as long as you kept the key sizes small and didn't export the encryption software to another country.

If you sell and export encryption products from the USA (and a bunch of other countries, see the Wassenaar Accords) to certain places (including China and Russia), you're still obligated to register your product if you use modern key sizes. I'm not sure if governments still care now that OpenSSL and PGP are freely available to anyone, but if your proprietary email encryption program is found on North Korean computers, your government may ask you some uncomfortable questions.
Societal expectation on the care for children grew immensely over the past few generations. When I was a child, parents largely just covered the physical needs and the kids were otherwise left alone to do their own thing. I remember being bored a lot, sitting in a room or roaming the streets.

Nowadays there's a widespread expectation that parents should organize activities, drive their kids' education, just be way more involved in their lives.
> The tubes of a traditional bike essentially form two diamond shapes.

Huh? I only see one diamond shape. There are two triangle shapes; one from the steering column to the seat post, and one from the seat post to the rear-wheel axle. They make up one diamond, not two.

What am I missing?
Yes, this is what I thought and exactly what I am experiencing right now.

It is somewhat frustrating to see the engineering/platform team spending time on this kind of abstraction that is essentially useless for doing the work we need to do.
Ah, maybe. Thanks
> You can get a BGP enabled VPS for $5/month

Honestly, where do I get that ?
You're not responsible for a bowl of noodles for the rest of your life.
Link to unpaywalled article?
Sure you can. The parent was describing a heuristic they apply. If I don't know you, but need to quickly judge whether or not you're likely to care about future over immediate-term, you being a parent is... not the worst proxy I could use.

FWIW, I don't exactly agree with the poster on this. I feel that parents are biased towards near-term almost by definition: caring and nurturing children is an immediate job. Whether or not a typical non-parent is likely to be a "fuck you, got mine" kind of person, I find that parents tend to become more of a "fuck you, my kids got theirs" kind of people. Not out of ill intent - just more of "concrete needs of my kids today trump abstract speculative needs of their generation a few decades from now".
https://duckduckgo.com/?va=c&t=ha&q=site%3Awww.apple.com+sma...

Lots of results there, especially press releases.
> Ironically, this is evolution in action. The folks that "remember" how to have a family and raise kids have an uncontested claim to the future. The "it's too hard to have kids" crew is selecting against themselves, evolutionary speaking. That won't last.

You're only thinking about the "nature" part of "nature & nurture" though. Playing genetic pot-luck with your partner isn't the only way to have a legacy.

For example, think about all the spare time and energy that a non-child-rearing adult has to shape the cultural & technological future, and the impact that might have on the critical "nurture" element of your own child's life.
Yesterday's divorce thread quickly disappeared off the front page but it's the taboo topic you must understand if you want to understand why family formation in the western aligned world has declined so rapidly. As long as we have certain truths that cannot be questioned and blackhole any attempts to discuss them, confusion will prevail.
https://archive.is/BWzmk
Please think about it before judging other people's judgement. People have opinions, its fine.

[edit] benefits of having kids: you stop taking yourself so seriously like being oversensitive about other people's opinions
Long ago in high school, I entered a LEGO robot competition with some friends. Tests were line following, collision detection, etc. One of the tests involved the bot being sent on a collision course with a wall. It had to detect running into it and turn around. This was one of the easiest ones to complete, but shortly before the test started we realized that our pressure sensor was malfunctioning and didn't send any more signals. There was no more time to swap it out, I don't even think we had a spare to be honest.

Not wanting to give up points on an easy test, we gauged the distance the bot had to cover in the test, and quickly uploaded some new software. At the start of the test, our bot moved forward for 4 seconds, stopped, then turned around. Full points on that one!

Some times things just need to work and we can worry about them working _correctly_ later...
Yup, it is not perfect but I will take dbt every day against the old way as some random DDL files in git.
I could absolutely afford to have children, but have chosen not to. The main reason is that I just don't feel "called" to be a parent. When I think about (and see, from others I know who have kids) the amount of work, and complete shift in lifestyle, it takes to raise a child, I get completely turned off by the idea.

If I had a kid, I'm sure I'd love them, and derive joy from them, but I don't believe the trade off is worth it. Maybe I'll end up being wrong about that, but I'd rather grow old and regret not having kids than regret having them. I think people shouldn't have kids unless they are really sure they want to be a parent. Anything less sounds like a big mistake.

Anyhow, have you actually talked to your childless peers about this? Hopefully there are at least some with whom you feel comfortable bringing up this kind of topic, with people who will give you a thoughtful, non-judgmental answer. I think you might find that they all have a variety of reasons for not having kids, and money may not be a big factor.
Building a macOS remote control engine
I'm just always wondering why the ratio is not more close 50% / 50% between males and woman?

On birth male/female ratio is pretty much 50/50. So at any stage (except older >70 because woman usually lives longer) ratio should be similar. LGBT are just 10% of population and distribution between gays/lesbians seems also 50/50.

Based on that if there is a single male there is another single female somewhere. The only reason that comes to my mind that more female migrated from Finland somewhere else or there is a big immigration of males into Finland.
Previous discussions:

* https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=20985875 (2010 points | Sept 16, 2019 | 451 comments)

* https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29093264 (214 points | Nov 3, 2021 | 56 comments)
> It supports native applications written in languages such as C, C++, Rust, or Go.

Seeing it supports Go, I wonder if it supports other AoT compiled languages with garbage collectors, like .NET.
6000rpm cannot be silent, it causes the air to move and it's perceived as noise.
People in this thread like you should have to declare how many kids they actually have.
Ehh, they tried that in the US with major housing projects like Pruitt Igoe, and we all saw how that turned out.
We have curated the top software testing companies' 2024 list to meet your customized requirements.
Actually: wouldn't it be great if most people thought we actually have a level of responsibility for other for the rest of our lives?
It depends on the film. George Lucas was reworking dialogue and scenes daily while filming the original Star Wars but the overall movie should mostly be set in stone by that time. But big changes can happen. For example, Ben Kenobi was initially supposed to survive the battle with Vader. It wasn’t until filming was already underway that Lucas, at Marcia Lucas’s suggestion, decided to kill him off.
Those M-Blocks are really clever, the way they move the reaction wheel around to allow it to simulate having three wheels when it has only one. But that limits the 'balancing' capability, though that's - for a cube - mostly a gimmick as far as I can tell, the locomotion capabilities are far more useful and they seem to do that just fine.

There was a popular mechanics article a many years ago about a box that moved without any outward visible means of locomotion. Inside it were a slide with a little tin can and some metal balls, going one way up the slide was easy and nearly friction free, the other way it released and fell, then bumped into a stop at the bottom which was enough to cause the box to slide a bit. That was mighty impressive when I was a kid, this is like an SF version of that.
Actually I meant a three room apartment (three rooms + bathroom), so I guess that's really a two bedroom apartment using US definition. Anyway, here's an example of a three room apartment packed into 41.5 square meters excluding balcony.

https://www.etuovi.com/kohde/38837797?haku=M2075336606

Another typical example with 4 rooms + bathroom packed into 65.5 squares:

https://www.etuovi.com/kohde/u24978?haku=M2075340353
I think that's true only if one uses a compasses for circle. And that circle does not start with pen at centre. In easylang, it does.

In my opinion, the easylang positioning shoud not be based on any off-computer drawing process specific to the shape type, but on the result, consistently for all shape types. Only this meets e.g. the expectation that change to shape type retains position.

I wish your project every success.
I raise an eyebrow at the idea that any of the job losses this year are due to a pivot to AI. It will happen, but the workflow integrations and context limitations for AI are not there yet to make it a viable replacement for anyone, and certainly not at the scale of the job losses seen this year. The job losses this year are due to 1. the harsher funding environment, 2. perceived overhiring that went on during the pandemic boom in online services, 3. caution over the state of the global economy.
If you really want to get technical about it, in the vast majority of legal jurisdictions it is not possible to sell a house in isolation. You sell the land that the house is sitting on, and the house just comes along for the ride as an "improvement". So whatever legal abstraction you could sell before you tore the house down you can also sell after.
Why do we allow someone non technical, manipulative and a glorified salesman to run a deeply technological initiative like AI! The stupid media has made him the God of AI. He has no background in AI , no success stories to beat his chest other than being Paul’s protege.
You have to expect users will click everthing, any time, while holding any key and if only by accident. If your UI cannot handle it, your states were not clearly defined.
Seconded. I made some Anki cards out of the table of the "Well-known ports" table and it has proven surprisingly helpful fingertip knowledge for my kind of work (Linux systems and small scale networks in odd places).