skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Birthrate by income levels is approaching a dumbbell distribution in industrialized nations. Lower income people have kids due to the lack of options, while ultra-high income people have kids due to the need for heirs (and they can afford to completely offload childcare to dedicated high-quality staff). Those in the middle are stuck because having children is a net negative to the continuation of career advancement, especially women due the unavoidable need for parental leave. The commitmments required to raising children, especially newborns, will disrupt travel plans which is a significant component of the typical middle class lifestyle. Childcare will also cost a significant sum of money, sometimes as much as mortgage payments in high CoL areas, without completely relieving the parents of their duties.
It can be done no doubt (with some training as any other skill). And probably not by everyone (in the same way as not everyone has the will, motivation and means to, say, completely master a musical instrument or certain sport).

The issue is that this way of working would be even less acceptable in 2024 than in 2003.

That being said, even now there are places where you can work the way you like but the irony is those places won't be on the radar and of much interest to your run-of-the-mill career developer.
Makes a lot of sense, future will solve it someday.
MS growth has been driven by multiple factors.

Lost me at why OpenAI not being floated makes any difference to my analysis?
Were the "stale" / timed-out bugs due to user or developer attrition?
Envio – A modern and secure CLI tool for managing environment variables
Here in Finland apparently 50% of 35yo males, and 35% of 35yo females have no children. Fertility rate in 2023 was 1.26. In comparison, 2015 saw fertility rate of 1.65, and it has been below replacement level since 1969. 61% of under 40yo people live in rental apartments, this share having risen about 10% from 2010. Also, apartments built today are about 9 square meters smaller on average compares to 10 years ago. I live in a two bedroom apartment of about 55 squares, and today this would be a typical three bedroom apartment size.

Housing has certainly become more expensive and lower quality in larger cities where most jobs are, and working life has become more unstable. Still, in my opinion cultural factors are a more significant reason for falling birth rates.
>Lost me at why OpenAI not being floated makes any difference to my analysis?

Nothing really. I just wanted to point out that it's not a stock. It's a private company still.

Doesn't change your analysis.
I wonder if this changes how insurance companies will view driverless cars
That's different, then, if it's a thoughtful project carried out in the cause of culture. But then why disenfranchise all the creative and science types, just because their only offspring are the ideas that they nurture? They're doing basically the same thing, they're still investing in the future, and less randomly as well (since you can't ethically control the ideas of your actual flesh and blood children by any means beyond suggestions).

Also, instincts are nothing to be proud of, they're just dumped on us by nature.
Why so aggressive? Like my girlfriend who each time listens music with earphones while learning things for her exams with exactly the same arguments like you - like "it's your problem, not my", "I can't learn without music", "I learn faster with music" ... It's ok. It's her choice. I see her switching each few tenth seconds, sometimes also a "not that song again" can be heard. She's distracted every now and then and - that - she don't realize, because it's against "her experiences" that are based on "her experiences" which has listening to music as basis.

She might be productive in her eyes, but I see her distracted every few seconds for a few seconds to a few mins searching for the right song to learn. She might say "I learned much more while listening to music", but I see she learns more faster, when she learns with some other in a quiet environment.

It's a fact. No matter what you do or what you feel like, our brains are the same. We only can keep up 10mins of pure concentration without distractions, then we need a short pause. The same applies to learning things effectively, especially if you try to understand smthg. The biggest brainer here: to recognize this and being able to see, that pure concentration can't be achieved in a soundy/loud environment because our brain is always working and filtering the visual/background noise information around us for danger. This costs attention and we get lightly distracted by some unfamiliar sound, like some one swirling the tea spoon in the teacup. This applies if some brain doesn't have the Attention Deficit Syndrome, where you can't keep your attention to one thing for a few seconds. This brains have a problem to concentrate anyway and never experience nor have the need for a quiet surrounding. But this can't be compared then, as it's a special case and the majority do not have this condition. So with a smile face, you either have a lack of self reflection on that topic and talk out of experiences, which you made and which happens to be "typically in a cafe" or you have some sort of concentration problems anyway.
I can tell you - when I was a student, my best study friend and me, we prepared our exams in loud environments and in quiet ones. We learned at a busy McDonald's from 10 am 'til 6pm. While it was very cool and productive - self reflection tells me it wasn't. It was all the light stuff we did in noisy environments. But the heavy stuff has been lifted in the night time like 1 am in the university - where it happened to be quit. Of course, also the noisy environments yielded good results - but I don't lie to myself, they could've been better with me doing quiet learning instead doing enjoyable learning.

So take it like you want, you can't talk away science. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6901841/#:~:tex....

It's a kind of a "religion talk" talking that kind of topics - because it's hard for us to reflect the bad things and to admit one's wrongs. Its difficult to look at it unbiased :) with a smily face sliding out of the discussion.
What's the best way to catch up on those historical events?

Web search yielded https://papers.freebsd.org/2019/BSDCan/jude-The_Future_of_Op...
Residuals feel analogous to copyright in some way.
The problem is that other companies were able to rapidly replicate and sometimes surpass most of what OpenAI have. It costs millions of dollars to do it, but that’s less than the billions of OpenAIs market cap. In terms of product / ecosystem / IP moat, I would argue the incumbent tech companies are in a better place to deploy these models. Will you use OpenAI when AWS can serve a model that’s good enough and they have already gone through procurement and billing? Will you visit the OpenAI page if Apple are able to integrate chat into your OS?

The tech is real but OpenAI wins as part of Microsoft IMO.
IIRC in that particular example--found an HN entry but the link is dead--the applicant affirmed that they'd worked with walnut, but couldn't put a year-number to it.
When studying electrical engineering (during all the advanced control theory math and stuff) we were told that this is the official way to do it. If your PID controller doesn't work at first, second or third attempt, you don't run for your math books, you tweak it and try again until it works.
> Cryptography was considered a war weapon

It still is.

e.g in France:

https://cyber.gouv.fr/en/protection-sensitive-and-restricted...

This legal framework has been introduced in 2011 in order to protect facilities, knowledge, savoir-faire, information which, if intercepted, could:

- Affect French economic interests (risk 1);
- Reinforce military capacities of other country or weaken French military capacities (risk 2);
- Lead to the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction in nuclear, ballistic, chemical or biological fields;
- Lead to the development of terrorist activities on French territory or abroad.

It's just that import/export constraints have been relaxed.

See Annexe 1 here: https://www.legifrance.gouv.fr/loda/id/JORFTEXT000000646995?...

This is one of the reasons why MobiusSync is not available in the French iOS App Store since it doesn't use iOS crypt which already has approval plus it doesn't fit into some of the exceptions to the restrictions, so they'd have to fill in paperwork which is only available in French and submit via snail mail (go figure, although they do accept answers written in English as a courtesy).

https://github.com/MobiusSync/MobiusSync/issues/27

Similar concerns, processes, and exceptions are effective for other countries, e.g for the U.S. you need Encryption Registration (ERN) approval from the U.S. Bureau of Industry (BIS). Exceptions are described in Category 5, Part 2 of the U.S. Export Administration Regulations.
Some of those things I agree with, however the issue was primarily sparked during COVID like in many countries. Houses prices were relatively affordable prior to COVID and increases in inflation.

Australia kept its record low interest rates in place during COVID, then we had runaway inflation to record high’s like many countries did and our reserve bank failed to increase interest rates even slightly to help with the increases to inflation. We increased overseas migration significantly to help drive growth in the economy which has created an enormous shortage of housing supply. As a result, interest rates have soar’d coupled with record high inflation our cost of living has skyrocketed including housing prices. As I said since 2019-2020 house prices have increased 30%+

Our country has always been centralised to the coast and isn’t necessarily the reason for these costs
Why? Anyone paying taxes to the state has fully earned their right to exist, especially if the state has a welfare system.

Not having children isn't even a new concept. People have done it since time immemorial. What if they had multiple children and then lost them all to the statistically high child mortality rates? Were they being selfish by not furthering their lineage due to external circumstances?
How do you say "world" and leave out 77% of the World's population and cities.
Good point - I'll research and create a more recent list.
I get your viewpoint. However, in terms of numbers, I suspect >90% of the populace (even research populace) will care that it is free-as-in-beer and that's all. So from the VC's point of view...
It's wild that, not too long ago, you could afford a house and a car on a single income as a mailman. That is unthinkable today. We understand there are ways to be successful, but it's like that saying: anyone can be successful, but everyone can't.

I know a lot of people who spend their money on experiences because they genuinely believe they won't get a retirement, so they might as well enjoy their life while they can. I'm part of this group. I don't think the world will literally be over by then, but the future looks bleak. We've also been drilled from birth that you should never have a child if you can't afford it, and people are taking that advice to heart. And because you can't afford your home on a single income anymore, more and more parents are having to rely on childcare, which is itself expensive.

The issues are just compounding. If you just want to believe that everyone is too enamored by their phones to procreate... that's your prerogative, but yikes.
What a great comment! LMAO
I am slightly confused by your reply. Can you elaborate a bit, was it good or bad?
I agree. There are a lot of unknowns in OpenAI. I don't own any private OpenAI shares.

My investment strategy is linked in my original post.
That one and the Arnold Schwarzenegger one were pretty good. But I'm no more likely to buy either of their products as a result...
Americans pronounce a lot of foreign words wrongly.

Making up something 20 years after the fact is not compelling :-/
These frames have to be exceptionally well engineered and built not to be death traps. Some people will be dumb enough to use these for touring, commuting and whatnot. Imagine you're coming down a long mountain road, hit some crack in the road, and the frame goes crack.
How would this make sense if the market is a bubble? Bubbles pop by definition and you end up losing everything? Not sure what it has to do with your employment.
> It's their own fault they decided to let their culture be driven by such hateful and divisive music.

So “they” are all guilty?
I hate that I can't tell what kind of processor a merchant is using when I go to make a payment. I also hate how Square sends receipts for all my purchases to my wife's email, since we have the same card number. Great way to ruin a surprise gift!
Brain Has Tricked You into Thinking Everything Is Worse
Side tangent: does Apple itself even use the term "smartphone" anywhere? The term has been dated for like 10 years, and I'm not sure they used it even before then to refer to their phones. Just curious.

But for whatever it's worth, Ericsson was the first to market something called a "smartphone" with the R380 released in November 2000.
All us over-30s with kids probaly random-walked into jobs that are family-friendly and are staying there. In my current team, almost half the people - and importantly, the previous and current manager - have kids, usually more than one. Can't speak for the corporation we merged into, but before the merger, the whole mid-sized company cleraly leaned for average age closer to 35-40, and a good chunk of employees at every level were parents.

Once you land in a job like that, and the pay is adequate, you really don't want to leave - jumping ship would be gambling with life of several people, and you're already above average with combined pay + work environment, and regression to the mean is a thing.

(And I say "random-walked" because how supportive the job is of parents is not something apparent on the outside - you'd have to know someone on the inside who's also a parent to get an accurate indication beforehand.)
A little bit of clickbait is what you need to get interest at all. That's just a fact of life.

As for this specific claim, it was coupled with a blog post that actually demonstrated the speedup on a specific problem. Getting several orders of magnitude speedup over plain python is often quite easy. That's why we have numpy and pandas after all!
I'm in the EU and it seems plenty applicable but perhaps UK and EU are more similar than UK and US.

I have read maybe 50% of the book only (there's no point in reading these things cover to cover) and haven't noticed many things specific to any particular laws or regulations. Performance management faces the same challenges in all markets. Knowledge management has the same principles everywhere. And so on.
I feel like woodworking is almost an exact opposite of programming. I can run the code to see if it works and it costs me nothing. In woodworking however, "let's cut that off to see how it looks" is not an option most of the time. In general, trial and error is quite limited (notably due to budget and time reasons) in woodworking while the opposite is true in programming and that fundamentally changes the way you work.
Also, everbody is invested in the same stocks. With ETF this has accelerated and I decided to find some stocks that are underrepresented in ETFs for various reasons and still have a solid, old-fashioned business model.
In your system of morality some guy who's condom broke or a rapist are more moral than someone who is infertile, and you are so sure of it you propose taxation to pile on top. Maybe you should reconsider if it makes perfect sense.
There are also people who pretend like problems highlighted in the Bay Area and other metropolitan cities are unique to them. Yet every time it looks like those are just the first wave of the changes that are heading to other regions first. Like the wave of homelessness. People made fun of SF, then it spread to the broader Bay Area, then LA, then other parts of the country. Turns out the effects of income inequality and how it impacts housing are rippling through the US.

While it may be too doomer, it’s worthwhile to listen and understand the struggles of people who aren’t you to understand what’s coming. Certainly home ownership is rarer even for millennials and Genz is likely going to have even lower rates (its a little too early to compare since they’re too young for it)
Depends on expectations and contractual agreements on how someone gets paid for their work. Entertainment can be a wildly different beast to that which us regular paycheck folks deal with.
The other designs were ground away by cost, law, scaling, or practicality.

These issues are less of a concern when someone is shooting at you.
The FizzBuzz guy with 3.3 on Glassdoor?
I think Copilot makes me 2x productive at rote stuff like writing tests and - wait for it - less productive at writing complex code. It’s just not very helpful having incorrect suggestions flash across the screen. It’s actually quite distracting. I have turned Copilot off for now.
I imagine the main reason he could do that is because he had a very clearly defined set of requirements. Most of what makes software buggy and slow today is that no one actually knows what they're building, and even if they do it keeps changing because "agile". Give a dev a clear API and a well defined set of criteria, and most will write code that works very well.
I like the mapy.cz app (and website) a whole lot.
TBH that sounds like a heap of buzzwords not useful for anyone (but maybe an architect promoting his career).
Home ownership rate is a poor statistic to make the point you are attempting to make, particularly because homes are "bought" with debt. Saying someone can "afford" a home because they are in one doesn't speak to being able to afford a home or not. Government programs to promote home ownership by taking riskier debt is an even more complicating factor. That was at the core of the 2008 financial crisis, IIRC.

https://www.longtermtrends.net/home-price-median-annual-inco...

Here is a statistic that is a better measurement of affordability: "Home Price to Median Household Income Ratio."' It shows homes are less affordable. If we could see the 25th percentile it would likely even paint a bleaker picture, at least if you believe those stats.
"Zoozve" is its original name "2002VE" read as a word because an illustrator for a poster wrote his 2s looking like Zs.
This is a bit of a specific idiosyncrasy

I just can't plan things on paper. Sure, I can try to plan then, but then I see I have no idea how things can/should work or how to best arrange things unless I'm actually typing code

Also the planning on paper usually looks nice but doesn't consider all the real-world imperfections, so your beautiful planning becomes "ugly" quickly
[dupe]

More discussion: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=39333081
As well as a bit of genius the key here is being able to understand every layer of the stack from the chip upwards which was probably more achievable then.
https://github.com/openzfs/zfs/issues/10769

I wasn't a fan of that change, it serves no purpose other than to sweep issues under the carpet (which can be said of any project that uses one).

Which is funny because they have just as many open issues now as they did when it was implemented.

Had they had better user/developer relations and documentation, it's possible that a lot of open issues would have never been opened. (edit: or remained open otherwise)
Totally true. I have definitely popped in my AirPods before dealing with a screaming little one. You can still hear them loud and clear, they don't take offense, and it's easier to remain calm in the face of their screaming.
I don't even smoke, and think that photo is amazing.
It will be a viable strategy for decades, you're right, in as much as UN population projections don't show an actual global population decline until around 2100 or so.

The challenges that will bring, though, is policy, and which countries are attractive enough to "sit back" vs. being forced to offer increasingly attractive incentives, and where it will cause substantial political complications.

E.g. China is notorious for it being near impossible to permanently settle as an immigrant. I expect that aside from increasingly drastic measures to try to bring the fertility rate back up you'll see their first attempts be to entice the diaspora back to China, secondly an increase in rhetoric about One China towards Taiwan, and only well after those attempts to loosen up visa requirements for foreigners with no ancestral ties to China.

We'll see the return of diasporas increasingly becoming a problem for countries that has come to rely on certain immigrant flows.

A lot of countries will find political tension between forces wanting to more actively court immigrants vs. anti-immigrant groups becoming increasingly challenging and a major economic issue.
Riddle me this: why does this blog list a long set of rules as a justification instead of a single one "because a machine can process it to draw something coherent"? Could that be due to the fact that your definition is irrelevant for this conversation?
Or the fricken e-Sata port back in the day.
https://a.aliexpress.com/_EzMRNIv €250 for one axis (edge) and €500 for a 3-axis (single point). There are a couple sellers / designs.
> the introduction of the PASV command which allowed the client to set a non-well known port for the data channel

PASV instructs the server to specify another ip:port that it’s listening on to enable the client to connect.

PORT expects there to be an open port on the client for the server to connect to.