skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Allegedly 240B in assets, but who knows how real any of those are: https://www.reuters.com/business/embattled-china-evergrande-...
A confusing probability question: Red and green balls in an urn
A Twitter post made the rounds yesterday asking the following question in the form of a poll (https://twitter.com/littmath/status/1751648838501224790):

Daniel Litt
@littmath

You are given an urn containing 100 balls; n of them are red, and 100-n are green, where n is chosen uniformly at random in [0, 100]. You take a random ball out of the urn—it’s red—and discard it. The next ball you pick (out of the 99 remaining) is:

More likely to be red
22.6%

More likely to be green
37.1%

Equally likely
20.9%

Don’t know/see results
19.5%

I thought it was interesting (but not surprising) that so many people got this wrong. Basically, Bayesian thinking is really foreign to people. It's essentially similar to the famous Monty Hall problem, where the first bit of information tells you something about the world. In any case, I thought it might be illuminating to give a complete demonstration, using both exact calculations AND simulation, of the "wrong" and "right" approach, which you can see at the Colab link above.
Yeah, I've been hearing and doing that my entire adult life. Has anything gotten better? Nope. We're long past a functional democracy. It's all captured and corrupt.
The same problems, with the same causes, are happening all over the western world. This idea that we all coincidentally face the same issues, but they're completely unrelated, is farcical. Our elites are globalised, so our response cannot be localised.

We have a collapsing healthcare, underfunded police force, rapid increase of homeless. Crime increasing.

Not unique to Scotland.

The police force is spared thin.

Not unique to Scotland.

If your not from the UK get off your armchair, stop reporting he-say-she-says articles from bias tabloids and see for yourself if your going to argue.

The police receive more funding than they used to. The numbers are there.

And again... this is not unique to Scotland.
Same here. Instead of me conforming my thoughts to some document, the chatbot works together with me and my questions. I find them very useful form learning, so much I usually start a learning session first before I ever try to search something on Google.

Back to code solutions, I never ever use them if I don't understand ALL that is happening in that code. I know the bot will ignore many corner cases or that it doesn't know some subtle implications about the context where I'll deploy the code.

I think someone that doesn't care about code quality was already copying and pasting code from StackOverflow and fisting the keyboard until it works then moving to the next ticket. I really don't think AI is making things worse in that regard.
Appreciate that! We'll take another look at this.
>"can we produce two arbitrary new hashes that are similar in this way?"

arbitrary may be the heavy lifter here, we can certainly birthday-paradox two address that look similar (square root, yes)

>(although I think there's an explosion in the required space in that case because you need to store information about all of the values that you've already been able to produce, in order to learn whether new values collide with them!)

bloom hash table a bloom hash table with some nerdy optimizations for backtracking, depending on whether your IO/CPU/GPU or network were the bottleneck. If you got a double-positive, skip the integer/nonce/etc.

Although, realistically, I'd be very surprised if in a quintilion PETAFLOPS you found a single 128bit number that, after being hashed twice, starts with "face" and ends with "book"
The colonists, lacking food and supplies to get by on their own, went over and joined the local Native American tribe, the Croatoan. Their descendants are likely now part of the Lumbee tribe.
You're right, they did a reorganization of a lot of the actions to make things more accessible to new users and that did change/remove a lot of the shortcuts.
The shortcuts have changed, likely to accomodate the new UI structure.

You can pick it up within a few play throughs though.
Great! Now can we ban it for those over 16?
All the “Appleoids” i’ve come across are happy that they can finally use their macbook chargers with their iphones.
What about aluminium?
"No we just need convince the right people to add Type-Ahead-Find back in Nautilus and background transparency officially back in gnome-terminal. Both „back“. There is existing code for both."

Or just make a fork if you want to.
There is one near me, but add $245 for splash guards, $170 for floor mats, and $1115 for "destination fee", so the real price is $17,660. At least they are not adding a dealer markup.
To complete, the youtube link is here: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLSE8ODhjZXjYzlLMbX3cR...
the advanced course is wonderful, it explains how everything is implemented.
>The main question is, why are houses not like every other commodity?

I'm working on a deal right now that could be a 40 house development... or it could be nothing. Why? Because the infrastructure doesn't exist to support the development, and it could be as much as $2MM to put in the infrastructure (think street and sewer), and because of setbacks, etc, it could be down to as few as 20 houses without some kind of variance. And that's before the cost of the land and the cost of the construction, all of which would rest on the shoulders of the developer. Shoes, a car, etc an assembly line can be configured and stamp out near identical products year after year. Even if you intend to build generic tract houses (like this development would be...), you still have tremendous up front costs and "tooling" and the variation of each new development -- location, elevation, access to services, etc.
Thanks for this site, I will visit this weekly along with torrentfreak to get some news on different scenes.

Need TOR to help stop corruption.
Already there, it looks like: https://ollama.ai/library/codellama

(Look at “tags” to see the different quantizations)
> Cars are only a small part of the total energy pie

If 80% of US drivers switched to electric vehicles, the total annual electricity consumption would be approximately 1,013,472,000,000 kWh (or about 1.01 trillion kWh). This calculation is based on the assumptions of an average annual mileage of 13,500 miles per vehicle, an average electric consumption of 0.34 kWh per mile, and a total of approximately 276 million vehicles in the US.

As a contrast, today's total output of power in the US is 4 to 4.5 trillion kWh. So capacity needs to increase 1/4 which is not trivial.

Caveat here is we keep the same efficiency in EVs.
CGNAT is also a thing lately..
I also put up lots of ref pics on it when painting in Photoshop on the main (the Wacom is mapped to main).

http://androidarts.com/ProfileFAQ.htm
If it beaks too fast that sticks in people memory. “I just bought this! What a piece of crap. I’m going back to Dell”. That will kill sales.

I had no idea chromebooks were like that.
> https://huggingface.co/spaces/mike-ravkine/can-ai-code-resul... - Also comprehensive, but primarily assesses Python and JavaScript.

I wonder why they didn't use DeepSeek under the "senior" interview test. I am curious to see how it stacks up there.
steel is real! honestly my favorite bikes have been made of steel. they absorb a lot more of the roughness in the road and don't transmit it into your body as much.
Actually, there's one. Not insisting on using the last profile used to open an external link, which is the reason I'm using Edge myself. In other word, I can't designate a profile as default profile for external links. It seems like Chrome's not interested implementing this.[1]

[1]: https://support.google.com/chrome/thread/110870809/default-p...
CEH then - certified ethical hacker
This is something a number of people do on PredictIt, since that one does have a conservative lean. It takes a lot more than the individual limit to fully price correct, though.

I personally haven't maxed out on it (I think the limit is $800), but I've got a few hundred bet that Biden will be the Dem nominee / that Newsome won't be.

Not sure why we don't have more people picking up the free money, but given that I haven't picked up a much as I possibly can, I'm not one to criticize.
What we never talk about is how we could have avoided this entire mess in the first place.

We should have never put configuration in the same place as presentation.

Presentation is what you are telling the user. Configuration is what the user is telling you.

By mixing the two together, we have muddled the context of both. What is your configuration presentation meant to say?

1. The user has rewritten (present/past tense) your set of declarations. This shall be read as a positive:

[x] volume muted
[x] unsubscribed

2. The user declaring a set of future changes to your set of declarations. This shall be read as a negative:

[x] volume mute
[_] unsubscribe

Neither of these is guaranteed to be unambiguous. Neither of these is even expected to tell you which one it is!

This is why configuration files are so well-regarded. The context they exist in defines the tense of their contents. Somehow, we never invented the GUI-equivalent of a filesystem, and we are all the more confused for it.
I work at a recently IPO'd tech company. Oxide was a strong consideration for us when evaluating on prem. The pitch lands among folks who still think "on prem.... ew".

Looks like a cloud like experience on your own hardware.

If only it were as cheap as dell...
Extra anecdata: I've been fetching with Feedly and, having looked into it, it has all my subscriptions right up to a video released just around the same time as this NewPipe issue was raised [0]. I'd wager it's just caching; the YouTube RSS has been down for at least 4 hours (though as another commenter says, Invidious feeds[1] seems to work!)

[0] https://github.com/TeamNewPipe/NewPipe/issues/10801#issuecom...

[1] https://invidious.io, e.g. https://yewtu.be
I'm sure similar arrests in the Russian Federation also have caveats that are "worth noting".

But in the grand scheme of things, how noteworthy are they?
It might also be that they've fixed so many notorious bugs that you don't end up in a tantrum spiral or catsplosions anymore.

It's just a feeling so far, backed up by other players on the subreddit.
Interesting. It's unclear how you liquidate the parent company without liquidating subsidiaries (who is going to buy Hengda RE?) and it seems like legally the HK decision should be binding:

> Hong Kong and the mainland city of Shenzhen — where Evergrande is based — have a mutual insolvency recognition agreement, but it’s “effectively inoperative”

But China basically ignores HK in this.
>There are a lot of ways to make profit and show good metrics that aren't good for line employees.

Sure, but this is in line with every major (European) tech company I ever worked at. Pay employees peanuts and pay senior mangers amazing, therefore you were incentivized not to do well as an IC, but to put up with bullshit and fight your way to climb the corporate ladder to management, and then exploit the other poor schmucks who come below you with the same perverse incentive structure.

Yes this leads to a huge turnover, unhappy workers, and to a lot of arguments, back-stabbings and fights. But their stocks were always rock solid and managers were always wealthy so I guess they saw that culture as a net win. It seems to be the M.O. with ever major company everywhere, I think it's called the "GE model".

Paying ICs at the bottom great wages and incentivizing them with stock, is mostly unique to US/SV and new-age software start-ups from the Google/Facebook era, but rare everywhere else.
Peble: The Copycat Revolution
I've got 3 kids. They're a bit older now, but I felt that each additional one was a lot less work than the first. The third copied the behaviours of the older ones and became independent that much faster.
In a related note, some canadian passengers found their Air Maroc luggage at a liquidation center in Québec, Canada in even 3 weeks after being lost this month.

https://www.bladi.net/colere-royal-air-maroc-perte-bagages,1...

https://www.tvanouvelles.ca/2024/01/28/saga-des-valises-egar...
So I decided to cut off my quote but the next line has the answer:

> For example, Rust crates are generally dual-licensed as MIT/Apache 2.

We often produce components that we share with the broader open source world. For example, dropshot[1] is our in-house web framework, but we publish it as a standalone package. It is licensed under Apache-2.0 instead of MPL 2.0 because the norm in the Rust ecosystem is Apache and not MPL.

> You're saying that Oxide can then be licensed under BSD/MIT/ISC?

I am saying that we do not have one single license across the company. Some components are probably BSD/MIT/ISC licensed somewhere, and I guarantee that some third party dependencies we use are licensed under those licenses. That's different from "you could choose to take it under BSD," which I didn't mean to imply, sorry about that!

1: https://crates.io/crates/dropshot
The Cult of AI
Yeah, that's kind of the flaw in this argument. The main conclusion is basically correct, but steel rusts and aluminum doesn't. Plus aluminum is light enough to warrant upgrading over steel, and it barely costs anything more.
I would check this out: https://www.latimes.com/entertainment-arts/books/story/2023-... (https://archive.li/KDdls) It links to some deeper dives into issues with his other books.
>My new house in central Austin probably cost $100k in labor + materials to build

I would be very curious to know more about this, as in my area, you can barely build a large barn for that.
The Raspberry Pi fits the bill better - it will run some form of desktop Linux for a long time into the future and it is such a simple cheap design - just 4 IC's with some bits.

The same can't be said of the A1200 - flaky old circuitry that you cannot source new parts for except cannibalize donor boards - and it is huge and slowww.
Same here. With the way the internet is nowadays, its probably best to keep kids off the internet until they are older. One just has to look at whats on places like Youtube 'Kids' to see all the stuff that is not kid friendly and probably detrimental to their mental health.
I knew someone would say this :) But my point is that how can I assign a negative number to an unsigned int in the first place?
Phew! I'm so glad that Microsoft bought them. To think that some people thought that consolidation would be bad for consumers and bad for employees!

> Microsoft was "committed to trying to retain as many of our people as possible.”

Who did they think they were fooling with these statements?
What's the author's call to action: understand prediction market failures better? To what end?
Valley mogul to produce film about 'PayPal Mafia' led by Elon Musk, Peter Thiel
encryption was never there
Nice write-up. I learned something new.. Thank you.
That's a different issue. Presidental succession says who replaces Biden if he dies in office, but the question here is who would stand as the Democratic candidate for the 2024 election if he died.

Harris would be likely, but maybe not a 100% certainty.
Interesting thanks for the insight.

> I will say I am in the minority as a Windows user though, most are on some form of Unix.

Now i'm imagining Helios inside WSI - Windows Subsystem for illumos
By the same reasoning, there's no good reason to buy jewelry, a watch that costs more than $50, nice clothes, sports cars, nice silverware, and lots more things.

Some people who are into cycling have a lot of disposable income, and they want to buy themselves something nice. Then they feel happy for a while.

The author claims that there are only "pro racers" and "everyone else", but that's not true - there are also amateur racers, who benefit from carbon bikes except they're not doing it to earn a living.

Finally, the argument that carbon bikes are ugly and steel bikes are beautiful is completely subjective. I feel that the exact opposite is true, but it's irrelevant because it's a subjective opinion.
I think this market is pretty much the poster child of how bad the consolidation and lack of anti-trust is hurting US economy right now.

You have a whole bunch of Chinese companies fighting it out on the market (as the founding fathers would have wanted for US!), offering better and better products, leaving Roombas in the dust. While iRobot sleeps on their laurels, barely innovates and at best is only capable of solving their flaccid inability to compete by... being sold to a monopolist which can push it via their store. That's what they wanted.

If US would still have this kind of healthy market of multiple (smaller) companies competing on product, not IP lawsuits and patents, the government wouldn't have to enact foreign sanctions to defend the economy.
Ask HN: Is it sustainable to ban musicians/athletes for their countries' deeds?
20USD for 50 kWh of electricity us more expansive than gasoline.

1USD per 10 kWh of gasoline. Efficiency about lets say 33%.
People are interacting through online games quite often though. You can't throw them all in one basket. You can make friends / longer term connections that way (I did) or keep in touch with people you don't live near to.
33% Crypto Job Applicants Have Banking Background, Impact of Blockchain on Banks
I don't mean to turn this into a religious discussion, but adding onto what you are saying here with a personal anecdote: having access to the internet allowed me to see viewpoints besides the religious right-wing perspective I had been conditioned with (for lack of a better term), but the internet did not start the process of leaving religion. I made the decision to seek other perspectives and did so through many avenues. Blocking teens from generally interacting with other people online certainly looks like a hamfisted attempt at ideological preservation. It won't work.
> Lucid - bankrupt. Nobody really needed another LISP startup.

I would think Lucid was quite successful with their Lisp. A bunch of companies based their Lisp on Lucid CL (IBM, SUN, DEC, HP, ...).
My roomba was cleaning much better 4 years ago than last 2 years, their app was slick 4 years ago and clunky in last 2 years. Random Product innovations degraded the core product. They did get complacent.
The below is from my link. These are qualitative, objective metrics. Not anecdotal or qualitative.

> Compared to the 2021 IQS results, the 2022 version say an 11 percent increase in problems per 100 (PP100) vehicles, which is 18 PP100 worse than last year. That moves the needle to an average of 180 PP100 across the industry.
Acoustic guitars are better for convincing potential pelvic affiliates of their peculiar special-ness. That's a whole different study.
Everything you've said lines up with exactly what the author said. Carbon fiber bikes are made for and good for racing. If you're not actually racing you probably want to be on something more durable. It's almost like you just read the (intentionally sensationalised) headline..
Unfortunately that feature of invidious also seems to depend on the upstream RSS URLs and the feeds are just empty at the moment
The Roomba integration works quite well, even with their old models.
Did you read the article? Because he mentions athletes right there in the beginning of the article saying that most of the times they get the bikes for free. His article is about the average Joe.
Roborock seems to be eating iRobot's lunch. Which I find fascinating as the now ex-CEO of iRobot is was so cocky about avoiding using lasers (LIDAR) for navigation and sticking to cameras only (which had a real privacy issue). See this interview with Lex Fridman https://youtu.be/1d9Dj9dT_pw?si=j8CbM7GgRMm6Mu0m&t=1362. Lex pushes him on LIDAR and he doubles down on camera only. "Vision is the future, I can say that without reservation"
Matthias Wandel's YouTube channel got hacked [video]
Great Wikipedia article: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Roanoke_Colony

Being a west coaster, I don't recall ever hearing about it.

Colonial era Europeans observed that many people removed from European society by Native Americans for substantial periods of time – even if captured or enslaved – were reluctant to return; the reverse was seldom true. Therefore, it is reasonable to postulate that, if the colonists were assimilated, they or their descendants would not seek reintegration with subsequent English settlers.
+1 to everything you say here. The store manager track is very much a Corporate vs Retail (hourly) thing at least at the big chains.

I worked retail in high school and college in the same era as you mentioned and even 20 years ago, a store manager at a Best Buy or a Costco was clearing $250k or more, at least in the wealthier-Atlanta area where I lived (I know a lot of HD employees being from Atlanta and my knowledge of corporate and sales manager salaries at HD aligns with yours too), as you said, based in part on bonuses related to store revenue (the Best Buy stores I worked at when I was 16 - 22 were two of the top-ranked stores in the southeast region by sales, with some departments being among the top 10 in the whole company). For some of the chains, I think that has decreased as in-store sales have shifted but places like Costco notoriously pay their store managers extremely well.

Best Buy desperately wanted me to quit college and be fast-tracked into store or sales management (I would spend my summers as a manager of a department and they agreed to keep me at that elevated hourly wage even when I was part-time during the school year), trying to lure me with tales of just how much money the top of the foodchain people make, but I never took it seriously. Given the ebbs and flows of the economy (I graduated from college in 2008) and the collapse of the retail market from its early 2000s high in favor of ecommerce/Amazon, that was almost certainly the right decision -- but it was an instructive lesson for me at a young age about the very disparate differences in compensation between the hourly workers and the people at the top of those stores.
Another thing I don't think the article touched upon - it makes sense to use these markets as a hedge for things you're hoping won't happen, especially as prediction markets become less of a niche thing. For example, it would make sense to put down a bunch of money on Trump winning in 2024. Not because you'd be happy if he won, but rather so that if he does win your earnings can mitigate damage elsewhere in your life. Of course you might not want that contract to be denominated in USD...
Read this book on my way to Europe this past summer. I liked it a lot and thought at the time this would make a great movie. Most people aren't aware that Selby and Sacks have made several movies together before with one getting an Oscar nomination.
For starters, the best Roborock supports improved mopping, including a dock with self-emptying container, self-cleaning mop and proper refills. Together with noticably better obstacle avoidance algorithm.

The new Xiaomi versions now even sport extendible arms to reach corners fully.
[dupe]

News from last week. Wasting our time tb

More: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=39129949
The author is explicitly talking about non-racers/people who aren't racing at the level where it (explicitly does) matters.
Haiku has by now surpassed BeOS in style and substance. It's actually a fairly usable OS at this point, thanks to the addition of some Linux drivers and the porting of WebKit. I'd call it suitable for kids or grandparents. No virus worries there.