skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Philosophy is so hard that most people don’t ever start

In fact in my experience people who can push past this “epistemological learned helplessness” also tend to have significant problems with day to day living

In a manner of speaking, I boil this down to how often you spend in different levels of thinking. I’m gonna go ahead and share a back-and-forth chat I had with ChatGPT on this precise topic the other day:

https://chat.openai.com/share/03302643-5efc-41e0-a681-6d1699...

To me it boils down to an intersection of raw IQ and experience. If you’re generally “thinking fast” in Kahneman-language then that would be “type1” thinking that most people do most of the day.

Much beyond that and thinking becomes exponentially harder with every level of “simulation” your brain has to do with more complex, multi variable simulations walking up the abstraction stack.

The downside to that, however, is that if you don’t have accurate perceptions, or there are flaws in reasoning, then you come to conclusions that don’t fit because your perceptions are off. This is the other side of genius, which is typically some kind of very iconoclastic position on something political social or personal.

I think it fits with what the author said to conclude:

“ It seems to me that although these people are more likely to become terrorists or Velikovskians or homeopaths, they’re also the only people who can figure out if something basic and unquestionable is wrong, and make this possibility well-known enough that normal people start becoming willing to consider it.”

Most people however have neither the IQ nor the experience to actually have coherence for almost anything at the 4th or 5th order.

Usually only in one area of their life like work or a hobby do anyone actually have the attention and focus to get to that level of coherency - and worldwide that’s extremely rare as most people aren’t secure enough to have the time and resources to gain the experience needed.
Exactly what I was thinking, a pleb filter filter. Which points to what this snobbery actually boils down to. It’s all a big fat ‘no u’.
I would really love to see the Los Angeles basin get its primary water needs met from desalination. This would lessen the need for the LA dept. of Water and Power taking water from the Owens Valley north of the LA area which subsequently turned the valley into a desert.
So that Chase can earn more money from the 80% of people who can’t be bothered or have insignificant funds to move around.
Also, I'm guessing by time you go down that road, you wind up re-implementing Radicle.
Having to use a third-party app that by default shares your information publicly, and is also used to trade on the blockchain seems a bit odd. Over here in the UK I just use my bank's app to send money to people.
So you're aware of a drill site that is much less than 5 acres, but you were comfortable stating:

"Every oil rig scrapes everything off five acres of land"

?
It really would not work with 14 plus?
Yes, we know. That is what the entire discussion has been about...
I think this is just plain Helvetica, with weight at 300 rather than 400.

Apple used to use Helvetica, and even an ultra thin version of it, but I wouldn't say they started the trend of using Helvetica.
I've been using a 1980s-style digital watch for this.

It's good enough for cooking, which is the only time I care about not touching my phone.
I run this too on k8s, but there's no benefit of running on k8s because the app doesn't benefit from multiple pod / clustering. Unless I'm missing something, there's no real advantage to running on k8s compared to docker. It would be cool if each camera stream could be spawned off to a pod so that it could leverage clustering.
Agreed. It's well translated, and the annotations help a lot.
Following recent news from Boeing, it’s not really surprising, I by far prefer to be on an airbus than a Boeing these days, since 747 days really
I find it interesting that 'through the flow of information' I spent years on the Greeks, only after 8 years of philosophy I found modern stuff that was relevant to my interests. Nietzsche and Existentialism.

Really makes me wonder if those in Power, have an interest in teaching Virtue based philosophy to intellectuals, and de-emphasizing modern stuff.
Trilinear point splatting for real-time radiance field rendering
> As an employee I think every time you do that you are burning some credibility (assuming you are honest about your work history)

You are, but like you said, only if you are honest. But why are you being honest in a game where the rules are "business as usual"?
I'm using LLMs to help build dbt-flavored Great Expectations tests. Pretty low-hanging fruit, but it's a start.
it's not complete, but I've been thinking about this problem for years and have been thinking about how to solve it.

I am working on it here: https://github.com/jdx/usage

It's mostly just a README right now, and I'm still iterating on it, talking to friends, but I think I'm getting close. It's definitely not yet written for the average developer to consume yet either. My hope is within the next month or two I might have a usable alpha release of it. I have a use-case for it now so I think it’s finally ready to happen.

If you have any thoughts on my design lmk.
Surely they could have checked the accounting and then verified what products and services were sold and what the total owed should have been.

If there were duplicated entries, they would have stuck out like a sore thumb.

So even before the system came into question, basic accounting should have been used.
The ASRock DeskMini X600 was presented one week ago. ASRock blamed AMD for the lack of affordable mainboards delaying it.
https://www.asrock.com/news/index.asp?iD=5353
> “We are trying out opening Copilot automatically when Windows starts on widescreen devices with some Windows Insiders in the Dev Channel,” says Microsoft in a blog post.

(referenced blog post: https://blogs.windows.com/windows-insider/2024/01/11/announc...)

> The company doesn’t make it clear what exactly a “widescreen” device is, but the Windows 11 setting itself says Copilot will automatically open “when you’re using a wider screen.” So I’m assuming this is limited to ultrawide monitors and less traditional desktop resolutions, but I’ve asked Microsoft to clarify and will update you accordingly.
Ridiculous argument. Why on earth would people care about the birds in the context of natural processes compared to unnatural processes?

This is a monumentally stupid apples and oranges “gotcha”.
> So people aren't necessarily being shoddy or doing bad work, they're just not using good systems.

Agreed. I think there isn’t an incentive to do this because reproducibility takes a back seat to so many other concerns. Unless PIs are told that their publication chances depend on reproducibility, this isn’t going to change.
The degree to which SpaceX/Elon musk's humor is ripped from 2012 and has made zero attempt to stay current tells a story.

I'm not sure what that story is, maybe it's that millennials are hitting that age where they are culturally calcifying? But even as a 40 year old, I know doge memes are ancient.
Ok, then I misunderstood, and we can only agree to disagree. I think there need to be people caring about organizational stuff which you cannot fully formulate as engineering problem: setting deadlines, putting teams together, determining team leads, determining how much budget is spent on which branch or discipline or even which part development. In addition, even more technical problems like calculating and comparing costs resulting from parts-Design over the full product lifecycle (design, manufacturing, usability, maintenance, repair, disposal) is not feasible today. And using approximations amounts to making assumption and thereby decisions up-front, where you usually cannot oversee all their implications. Designing complex machinery and shaping the organization which builds them is hellishly complex.
>I don’t think I’m overselling myself too much to expect that I could argue circles around the average uneducated person. Like I mean that on most topics, I could demolish their position and make them look like an idiot. Reduce them to some form of “Look, everything you say fits together and I can’t explain why you’re wrong, I just know you are!” Or, more plausibly, “Shut up I don’t want to talk about this!”

> And there are people who can argue circles around me. Maybe not on every topic, but on topics where they are experts and have spent their whole lives honing their arguments.

He is admitting he might lose an argument against experts with decades worth of experience in their topic (most humble rationalist.)
The point that a study's strength of evidence should not be reduced to a singe statistic or parameter is a very very important one.
The article claims that the plan described could produce 5MAF / year (the entire allocation of Colorado River water for California). There's no explanation I could find of where this water will come from. The Salton Sea itself only holds 1.5MAF.

The title also seems a bit grandiose. "The US Southwest" for most people I think extends at least as far as the I25 corridor up through NM and CO, and for some it might even reach into western TX. The plan described would really have very little impact on the overall water situation here, even if it did actually live up to its claim of effectively freeing up CA's Colorado allocation.
I think that distinction will shrink over time as Microsoft sees ads as the future of their revenue growth.
Search Engine for Expired Domains
Your framing implies that the answer must be a single source, which is nonsense. The best answer is almost certainly a portfolio of multiple sources that allows for dramatically more innovation.
Even if distilled, 1.5 gigs is still pretty reasonable. Certainly not worthy of a dismissive "lol".
> What it sounds like to me is how a certain segment of the employee population is already behaving

It is time for a larger share of the employee population doing this. Just keep hopping without producing much of value.
Basically, I think you could take the Brine and just put it somewhere else. Like, into mine shafts, or into evaporation pools for mining purposes.
> The overall architecture defines the limit of the solution's scope.

Agreed, but the micro-level decisions will impact how much effort is required to work within that scope. Just because your architecture supports something doesn't mean that it will be easy to implement it.
Of course it matters. That’s the “end effect” portion of any proper risk management process. The severity and likelihood of various end effects drives improvement in the design, creation, and usage of the item.
> they've only been "off ramp" for a month.

> did some quick stats and didn't set limits on when people were hired when doing the stats

> manager fckd up and didn't tell the individual they were performing badly

This is even more likely when you account for Nov 20 - Jan 2 being the most likely time of the year for extended vacations (for manager, analytics, and buyers), corporate distractions (holiday parties and team building, next year planning), and a slowdown in all sales cycles.
> It seems to me that the disappeared funds could have gone to people with access to the system

How could that happen outside of the Post Office? ICL/Fujitsu had remote access to all the remote boxes and could add/amend records without any audit trail and without knowledge of the sub postmasters, but I can't see how they could get money to go into their own pockets unless they entered into a deal with the sub postmaster operating the branch. Hypothetically, they could delete some transactions and then the sub postmaster would have more money in their till than accounted for and could split the proceeds. (I don't think this ever happened).
Apart from the bizarre parts of classic stoicism, what do you find is worth objecting to?
Everything they say deserves scrutiny too. So if they say for instance "we are the cheapest form of energy" of course people should question it. But we are not talking about them here, it's simply a fact the fossil fuel industry is deploying the same tactic of sowing doubt for decades now. From birds to "we don't know definitely if climate change exists" to again "there is climate change but who says people can't adapt" and so on. Their talking points have been debunked and you won't change that by saying others are bad.
OP claimed "nothing solid", not "not backed by invincible firepower", but keep shifting the goal posts if it makes your bitcoin losses feel better!
It is not quite 70 years since this proposal was written:

http://www-formal.stanford.edu/jmc/history/dartmouth/dartmou...
My AI timelines says next AI winter will come in 10 years, when people find it's a vaporware ... again.
Rick Roderick has a good lecture series on Nietzsche.

https://m.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLA20B690583E9931C
This is an article that heavily mentions the BBC, the broadcaster of Panorama, being threatened by the Post Office. Other than the Panorama production company, whom chose to be interviewed by the BBC, in this instance where else would you go for a direct source?

If I were to hazard a guess, you haven't chosen to read the article, and have no motivation to actually substantiate your distrust for them past a vague "it's bullshit".
Hahaha the only specific example you have is a single prop? Kathleen hasn’t even directed any Star Wars movies, she’s a producer. She was one of, what, 14 producers on Boba Fett? Whatever creative credit you’re giving her credit for, if it’s even true, was executed, directed, acted, filmed, and approved by many other people. This feels like some kind of bogus internet meme talking point. (Edit: aha! I see that it really is https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Star_Wars:_The_Force_Awakens#F...)

George Lucas did many orders of magnitude more damage with the Phantom Menace and stretched out and trashed Star Wars with the prequel trilogy 15 years before Kathleen was even hired.
If we have intelligent AI that can automate programming, then making really good robots will not be a problem. While not trivial, actuators and power systems are not the reason why we don’t have robots that can do all manual labor for us. Software is the reason, and the same kind of software that’s learning to code (machine learning) can also be adapted to washing dishes, folding clothing, doing craft labor or previously human manufacturing jobs.

Accelerating programming and information jobs also means accelerating the creation of robots that can do these trade jobs
The jobs that use Fortran will be more concerned that you know things like crystal plasticity and molecular dynamics at the Ph.D. level.
There is no recession, enterprises are struggling to obtain profits from zero interest rate macro that is unattainable in the current macro. Unemployment will remain low due to structural demographics (10k Boomers retiring per day, 3.65M/year, 1.8M people over the age of 55 die every year, ~1/2 of which are in the labor participation rate). A healthy economy creates ~1-3M jobs/year.

So there will be churn as long as the labor arrangement in the US continues to be tenuous and management struggles to achieve shareholder demands. Labor market might become even more favorable if the death rate or retirement exit rate picks up for whatever reason. Workers 65+ on Medicare and a bit older than that on Social Security have a stronger position to operate from in the labor market.

ok123456 is correct [1] that labor is not super fungible (white collar->Flying J clerk), but importantly, while there is uncertainty, this is not early 2000s or 2007-2008 financial crises from a labor market softening perspective.

[1] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=38970052

(about 7M people work in finance and insurance in the US as of 2023, these cuts are ~0.003% of the industry)
> Why would anyone put lots of people on a product that is mature and doesn't need a lot of work?

Nobody is suggesting anyone put 'lots of people' on a mature product. However, there are always things that need to be done.

Apps need to be updated for new devices, OS/library/security updates, and general bug reports to name a few. That's just on the app side, the same is true for any build pipelines/hosting infrastructure.

These apps don't run themselves regardless of how mature they are.

You're right in that fewer people are needed and I'm all for optimizing but what I feel like you're missing is that it's quite easy to over-optimize for cost at the expense of users.
I was and still am impressed by the size of the engines of those things. Last time I flew one I was looking down on one thinking it looked more like a small house than a jet tube.

(see https://www.reddit.com/r/aviation/comments/x7jges/777_engine...)
Perfect opportunity for Embraer or the like to start designing bigger twin jet aircraft. We can’t be strangled by two manufacturers, one with a quality problem, the other with a back order problem.
I am more concerned about people abusing AI technology to generate spam, fake, and trick people, resulting in an almost entirely useless internet and polluted information space.

Maybe it's for the best that we start meeting each other in meatspace.
I didn't mean that as a criticism. Those were just my thoughts as I read the book. I lack deep knowledge on the subject, and I'll leave meaningful debate to the experts. However, if "Meditations" were the root source of stoicism, I think I'd take issue with it as described here alone.

I do disagree with your specific reasoning, though. Humans have an enormous capacity for adapting to horrid conditions by convincing themselves that it's not that bad. That's true in big society-level situations, and small personal ones: "Cut off my arm? I can survive with just one!" "This cancer isn't going to beat me!" "One day we'll rise up!" I'm not talking about Epictetus specifically. It's likely you know more about him than I do. I'm certain his condition as a slave was far different than that of a stolen African person in the Civil War-era American south, or people today in current places around the world. However, in general, I don't think "Epictetus is a former slave" is by itself strong evidence that his philosophy didn't allow for resignation to slavery.
It means HN is full of sea lions.
I agree that it doesn't account for blue collar workers, but it wouldn't surprise me if the balance, purely in terms of financials, was actually that unbalanced.

I'm not saying it's correct or fair that a trader sat at his desk can contribute £20 million to a country's "output", while a builder, working his backside off could maybe add £100k, but that's the world we live in...
Looks like it comes from the Gulf of California in one of the drawings
Show HN: FoldMation – An Interactive Origami Learning and Creation Application
Hi, I've created an application where you can follow step by step origami fold instructions, and a Creator where you can make these interactive folds.

On comparing to video instructions, you have the ability to quickly skip/rewind steps and replay a complicated step many times.

On the creation side, there have been one or two attempts at this before, but those solutions rely on mouse drags as the user interface. This greatly limited the kinds of folds possible. The foldMation Creator uses commands, keywords and values to compose a domain specific language/step and provides a (relatively speaking) easy to use user interface to compose the steps.

For those interested in using the Creator, please go through the tutorial at the top of the create page.

Btw, the DSL for foldMation uses https://github.com/mationai/mation-spec. I created it since I couldn't find anything out there that is similar, allowing me to specify a well structured data with English-like readable syntax.

Let me know what you think?
NYT daily had a relevant podcast episode on this (https://www.nytimes.com/2023/09/01/podcasts/the-daily/water-...?). Discussion centered around using the water for Arizona, not California. (I'm unable to speak of the relative merits of pumping the water from one state to another).

General takeaways:

Proponents of the solution seemed to understate challenges and risks associated with:

1. The pipeline itself (i.e., where to build it)
2. The disposal of brine solution into the Gulf of California.
3. Cooperation with Mexico.

That's not to say the challenges couldn't be addressed, but discussion of such challenges is noticeably absent from the original article.
I think it's because the enormous costs of plant construction are not well understood. Or maybe, we think these costs can be reduced greatly.
Shipping a Project in 24 Hours
I have not conceded anything. Many crimes would be perfectly unsolvable if everyone did everything perfectly, and yet.. You are again using "logically impossible" while insisting on a very specific condition, "not knowing all inputs into the laundry", which is very much solvable to a high degree of certainty - CM mixes so hard that their addresses are all connected to each other - I just need to send them a single transfer, watch it tumble, then connect the dots, and then list all transactions leading into that giant hairball of connections. Just read the Justice Dept complaint against CM - it has an extensive inventory of specific customers and crime proceeds, using "Company A [..] tracking approximately 118,500 bitcoin addresses associated with ChipMixer". Now how would they do that if it was so logically impossible?

And why would having a private key to an output address that no one else has touched be an evidence to a crime? They probably only delete them after the user has transferred the funds out, if they even bother.

I don't know why you are so bought into Bitcoin privacy specifically, but it holds as much water as the privacy statements in the App Store - anyone with sufficient motivation and data analysis skills can poke right through it. Monero is likely stronger, but if it can't be cracked, then as soon as it becomes big enough it will get blocked.
Replace Anything - High Quality Image Replacement
AIGC techniques have attracted lots of attention recently. They have demonstrated strong capabilities in the areas of image editing, image generation and so on. We find that generating new contents while strictly keeping the identity of use-specified object unchanged is of great demand, yet challenging. To this end, we propose ReplaceAnything framework. It can be used in many scenes, such as human replacement, clothing replacement, background replacement, and so on.
Take a shot anytime a “rationalist” invokes Bayes.

Long article for him to basically say nothing insightful.

Crazy people will say seemingly true things that attract more crazy people.

OK. Thanks I guess.

The two paragraphs about how good at arguments he is and how other educated people might be able to out argue him in topics if they’re specialists _maybe_ was so stupid I closed the tab, but then I decided to be adult and read the rest to see if there was anything redeeming.

There wasn’t. Don’t bother.

Why do people read this guy’s crap? Did he not bother to share this with a trusted friend first to see if he sounded like an idiot?
Why Use Process Stories for Agile Software Requirements
Citi has been the gang who can't shoot straight since the 80s.
Being happy often requires tons of sacrifice though.

Atheletes winning championships are happy, they sacrificed to get there.

Watching my kids have fun at disney land makes me happy, I sacrifice my time and own interest to make it happen
Show HN: 36 Nights, roguelite tower defense and bullet heaven
A little tower defense game I've been working on in my free time. Can you beat my record of 52 nights?
If you honestly believe installing any number of wind turbines is going to stop our "atmosphere from boiling" I've got a couple of bridges to sell you.
Isn't severance basically said notice? If you still receive pay and benefits for a period of time, it's almost like you're still employed while the company minimizes potential damage from laid off employees. It's also considered rude for companies to not provide severance in these sorts of jobs.