skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
> I've never heard anyone promote frequentist statistics

I will do it:

1. Computationally easier

2. often analytical theory available for most use cases so interpretability is high

3. more literature available so you can get unstuck faster if you mess up

4. no accusations of subjective bias in your prior (the con is clear, no ability to leverage subjective expertise)

5. In the asymptotic regime, MLE and bayesian MAP often converge anyways

6. king of hypothesis testing

For most people, it doesn't matter. It matters when you are doing treatment for small sample sizes or other situations that would cause low power.
> surrounded by 19 year old girls?

Sure, if those are your priorities.

All great, until you grow up, get married, have children, reach your
intellectual prime and realise that you should probably contribute
something real to the world.

That's when the cloisters of "academia" start looking like prison
bars. You realise you're surrounded by institutionalised infantilism,
involuted bureaucracy, and frighteningly insecure people. Being a
"professor" relishing power over 19 yo girls isn't what a mature life
is about.

But hey, it's not just academia. I know many from the military and
other services who hit their mid 30s and quit, not through lack of
career advancement, or money, or through physical fatigue, but because
they were surrounded by man-childs and stuck in a classist, sexist,
self-serving culture akin to a boys boarding school.

Institutions profoundly arrest self-development and I think they
attract people who are in a sense "stuck in life" but lack the courage
to assert their real, full potential.

Anyway, we keep selling "university" as some Hogwarts themed funfair
ride to young people who can't afford it. That's why I got out. It's
so awfully unethical. I'd rather build pedagogical and research
relations with grown-ups who I can treat as equals and who have some
skin in the game.
I looked at a number of comments, and while I can understand their position, substack seem to actively remove articles by sex workers.

If this is true, how are sex workers considered to be worse than Nazis?
Frequentist statistics is largely based on the maximum likelihood principle, which is a proper Bayesian analysis whenever the prior is a flat distribution. And since inference is mostly done on model parameters in frequentist statistics, the distribution you assume for them will also depend on how you parameterize the model. So it can often be justified as a convenient approximation to a "properly" Bayesian result.
Not many from us can go from "nearly losing the job" to "getting 95% of the employees to demand your return, firing the board that tried to oust him, and then returning with absolute power".

There's something to be said about that, lol. Probably not even Musk has that kind of power.
Stanislaw Lem: The Seventh Sally
Yes, and that's 100% okay for /tmp. For /var/tmp it's a bit more complicated, but it hasn't bitten me yet.
Tools behind the Goodboy Galaxy demo (2022)
It was probably the teaching method. I had an easy time understanding Physics and Trigonometry class but during Algebra it's hard to digest and understand. Then I got older and found that there's a lot of teaching methods and if the teacher is good at adapting the lesson to the students lots of students will understand. Sadly most teachers are not flexible, it's just too hard for them to accommodate all students teaching needs.
Why would it be outdated? I just spent some time browsing the VB .NET docs and there's about everything you could imagine including async functions or iterators.
Real historical data might not cover current market state.

For example, option price among other params depends on the interest rate. For the last decade interest rate was around 0% in Europe and slightly higher in US. If you train on that data only, there is no chance to "learn" option prices in the high-interest-rate environment which we saw for the last few years. Hence, you need synthetic data to learn that region of the market space.
It sounds like the same problem.

I don't see, though, why the article you linked says it was "unfixable" for X11 because "clients relied on memory stored by the Xserver" when it then goes on to describe that Wayland has the same problem (storing state in the compositor) and "we just need to send the right amount of information to bring it in sync". Couldn't X11 be similarly brought into sync on reconnect?

And aren't messages in X11 also mostly async (the other problem the article mentions) and it's just Xlib that (unlike XCB) turns them into synchronous calls?
It’s a very particular style of prose so I can see why you might have a strong negative reaction, but - honestly I have the opposite reaction.

The narrator doesn’t sound like a man whose morals I much respect - but the way the story is written is playful, all the little loops of foreshadowing and callback are fun; it reminds me a bit of Neal Stephenson, on the edge of trying too hard to be smart while also affecting mock humility - but winking at the audience the whole time. “you’re clever enough to be in on the joke,” it reassures you.

I think rather than seeing that style as an obstacle to the point being made, the style is part of the point. It’s a mode of storytelling to be enjoyed. (Or not, in your case.) The point is that the narrator is this wonderful character who is smarter than his surroundings and he gets up to mischief, the consequences of which echo farther than you might expect. Is one man truly responsible for shaping the way an entire generation thinks, by careful manipulation of Wikipedia? Could you well have done the same, if you were the right man, at the right time and place? Would you?
What an absolutely horrible take.

Here's a kid who's found something he's passionate about and loves what he's doing and all you can do is say "get a life".

We rarely get to pick what we're passionate about. We go through life and, if we're lucky, we stumble upon something that piques our interest. We don't pick when that happens either. You could find your passion when you're 7 or when you're 70, or anywhere in between. It could be technology, cooking, baking, art, music, gardening, exercise, a sport, or any other thing on an endless list.

People who are passionate about something, anything, are the most interesting people to talk to.
That seems like a pretty clear cut first amendment violation, no?
Indeed, it is a tragedy that the WSJ now has that level of credibility.
Is tiny LLM an oxymoron? I believe Apple has told us it’s a transformer language model, but not specifically a LLM.
I have a website thats get crawled at least 50 times per second. Is that a real deal? No not really. The site is probably doing 10.000 requests per second. I mean a popular site is indexed a lot. Your webserver should be designed for it. What tech are you using if I may ask?
An Ansible collection containing Ansible plugins that died in the PR phase
Thanks for the link!

> The construction of Rome's third aqueduct, the Aqua Marcia, was at first legally blocked on religious grounds, under advice from the decemviri (an advisory "board of ten"). The new aqueduct was meant to supply water to the highest elevations of the city, including the Capitoline Hill, but the decemviri had consulted Rome's main written oracle, the Sibylline Books, and found there a warning against supplying water to the Capitoline. This brought the project to a standstill.

One can’t help but draw parallels with modern day out of control environmental review process…
Such an own goal by Washington and New York leaders to not get rid of non competes. They were both millimeters away.
Why was this downvoted? It didn't answer the question, but it showed that there is a sort of imprint that GP was asking about.

And it saves everyone a tab's worth of effort.
> It shouldn't make me drive differently - e.g. not be aggressive...

It's quite the opposite... if there's a tiny gap between two cars in the other lane, you usually don't squeeze in between them, becaus the rear driver in that lane could be distracted and wont brake and let you in in time, or might intentionally not widen the gap, to net let you squeeze inbetween. With automated cars, you can slowly swerve into the too-narrow gap, and the safety mechanisms on the self-driving car will automatically make room for you :) There are many dangerous maneuvers that agressive drivers can't do now, because there will be a crash if the other drivers don't notice them and brake in time, and the self-driving cars will always notice and make room for the either bad or intentionally agressive driver.
> People have somehow been convinced a small amount of civilians being killed relative to the whole population

Nearly 7 times the amount of people than died in 9/11, and using illegal tactics such as starvation, along with hateful/genocidal rhetoric ("We are fighting human animals", "put to death men and women, children and infants").

Is it relevant that there are a lot more Palestinians left to suffer; Or does that make it more urgent to end it?

Here's one definition of the term: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Genocide_Convention
It doesn't mention anything about percentages.
I think Apple considers cloud infrastructure a necessary evil and a commodity.

AI isn’t, yet at least, and I don’t think they can afford to treat it as such.
Realistically, it's probably a "yes, and" situation. You don't get to that level without having a lot of natural talent, but... those years were what they were.
They need some good exclusive games. Nobody's buying these headsets because there's no compelling use case. And nobody wants to wear goggles to work in a virtual cubicle either.
> One of the most harmful falsehoods about it is that somehow GOTOs and line numbers would turn you into a bad programmer for life.

In fact GOTOs in BASIC were, I think, a big part of lowering the barrier to programming for the new and the young. It relieves the mental load of structuring the program, allowing you to concentrate on the logic and syntax. Not using GOTOs requires already having a mental picture of what the program should look like before you write it, or at least rewriting it multiple times as you go.

As a Rust programmer, I probably spent 5-10% of my time restructuring branches to deal with Results and Options more elegantly, and it is the least fun part. While not related to program flow, it's an example of a Good Thing that makes coding less fun.
Steve Jobs was the same—here’s a clip of Ive talking about it

https://twitter.com/trungtphan/status/1545415644425752576?s=...
BASIC was easy and I was able to modify some Apple Basic games and learn some techniques from their code, but using PEEK and POKE was such a mistery!
Here is a related but more obscure tool that can be surprisingly useful.

http://hopper.si.edu/wiki/mmti/Starbase

Their tbl format is so trivially close to standard csv that I just convert on the fly back and forth with tiny helper perl scripts.
Link to the first quoted paper:

http://www.stat.columbia.edu/~gelman/research/published/pval...
Do you have any examples? And was being a sex worker the actual reason given, or was it something specific about the content they were posting?
Anyone knows why Blackholecloud shut down?
For some reason there aren’t any news articles published about this sad thing, I was looking forward to use their service .. Its like they shut down and noone noticed..
You anthroprocentric chauvinist. Just because you've firmly categorized everything else as "an inferior being" with a lesser claim to remaining alive doesn't mean that's actually the case.

It just means you're selfishly unconcerned with the consequences of collateral damage up until it might be something that could figure out a way to waltz over and bite back.
It’s not. Statistics is statistics. This controversy is new and contrived.
100% this

The culture this has created and kept going over the last decades is exactly why.

It's not because the laws anymore, it's because the change in the law so many years ago changed the culture, changed the attitude about what was "right" Andover the needle towards favoring innovation and employee talent maximization over their career rather than focus on the profits of individual companies or the output of the company. Its so worker focused, worker aligned - and in an industry that relies heavily on thought leadership type work, that is a very attractive work environment for those types of people.
Housing prices, of course.

It turns out that refusing to build housing to meet demand has serious consequences: homelessness, street crime and filth due to homelessness, inability to hire for any but the highest paid jobs, families leaving because you can’t raise kids, and being passed over for other areas by new talent among others.

I saw a national map recently of places likely to lose congressional representation over the next 5-10 years vs places that will gain. It was almost perfectly a map of places where you can’t build housing vs places where you can.
That's not how s/w or any development work. Even if there is a team working on M4 SuperUltra++ which competes with H100, in meanwhile, s/w team will continue to use what is available which may be Intel/AMD PCs with Nvidia GPUs or GoogleCloud/Azure/AWS.
I've always wondered why Apple is never in the conversation of modern AI, like until now it almost feels like they've been just watching from the sidelines without taking part in all the commotion

Maybe they can just afford to observe before making major decisions on the direction of the company... For a company like Apple, I feel like they won't lose their customer-base just because they are taking the AI race slowly, in fact Apple has often been late to introducing very common feature
> And nothing is competitive with GPT-4 right now.

You mean nothing available? Or you mean nothing that public knows exists? The answers to those two questions are different. There are definitely products that aren't available but the public knows exist and are upcoming that are in GPT-4's ballpark.
> The target is Hamas

"Two Thirds of Gaza War Dead Are Women and Children"

-- https://press.un.org/en/2023/sc15503.doc.htm
Since they got rid of Jony, it's been great. That's all I'm saying.
Payment processors enforce the ban on paying sex workers whereas they do not ban paying Nazis.
I've probably heard 1000 Bayesians rant about the alleged Frequentist consensus and 0 Frequentists complain about Bayesian analysis. I'd need some pretty steep priors to interpret this as anything other than the academic equivalent of "one WEIRD trick THEY don't want you to know" marketing.
This is not at all what is described in the article. They don't have different levels of participation in STEM. Nearly every single country in the world has a majority male STEM participation. Most fall within a relatively tight band between 15 and 35%.
I do plan on having a "flow of a packet on a simple node". Working on an ingress and egress packet flow posts. These are rather large undertakings tho that require a post of their own IMO. Stay tuned for those :)
Animal Photo Art References Search
My understanding is that sex work opens you up to a pretty extreme levels of liability in the USA. That may be the whole of the issue
> However we have the existence proof of thousands of such allegations proven to be false [1]

That's nothing like what is alleged here. A mentally ill mother pressuring a son into giving false testimony is very different from an adult "recovering" a memory.

> Given the age of the victim during the alleged offence, and the delay in recovery, this particular case seems extremely unlikely to be true

Based on what?

> I'm much more familiar with the work of Elizabeth Loftus on the construction of memory than I am with any media facing foundation.

She was recruited as a founding board member of that foundation and makes a lot of money off of the idea of implanting false memories as a expert witness.

> Her lab research shows it's trivially easy to create memories of early childhood experience - although again, she never researched implanting memories of abuse.

Yet she gives expert testimony saying that it is common.

Replication of her work has shown that while yes, some people can have relatively minor memories implanted, like getting lost at a mall, it is much harder or impossible to implant a less plausible memory, such as getting an enema.

If you want to learn more about all this from a different perspective than the one you have now, I recommend this article: https://www.thecut.com/article/false-memory-syndrome-controv...
I believe at least for the design aspect for the form, how it looks could be better done by the form builder software. With GenAI, maybe the personalization of design for each form creator and context becomes more accessible.
Chilling Effect
You should start working for yourself. If you want advice/help on how to start, my contact info is in my bio.

I used to be in that boat, now I'm in this boat.
we don’t have this now but it’s something we should add! Thank you!
I have darn tough hiking socks that are 10y old and look pretty close to new.
Rumble Chris Pavlovski's statement on Brazilian censorship
Yes, any conflict where the aim is not to "destroy, in whole or in part, a national, ethnical, racial or religious group".
> banning 3rd party browsers on iOS completely

That is not true, there are over 100 web browsers on iOS, you can find them all through App store. You probably meant they all need to use the same web rendering engine optimized for iOS - WebKit. But that does not prevent them from achieving their purpose for their makers, if anything, arguably helps them as WebKit is much more performant, integrated and optimised to run on Apple devices (including macOS) than other rendering engines. Plus this is the only thing that is keeping us from a world where we have only one web rendering engine, and it would be one created by the world's largest advertising company. That would be, let's say, suboptimal outcome for the web.
Yeah, they meant a TLM
Same here, not a film buff but "everything looks like a snapchat filter" makes sense to me and I hate it.
I hit reply before I finished typing XD

... Anyways, my point being that Apple will gladly introduce a polished product a couple of years after everyone else has already done it, and their target audience will still applaud their work and give them money. Apple for some reason simply _can_ afford to test the water
I think so too. His courage reminds of Luther's, standing for his pro-human principles whatever the consequences.

"I cannot recant and I will not recant anything, for to go against conscience is neither right nor safe. Here I stand, I cannot do otherwise."
All this is true.

In the case of the Consulting company I worked for before starting my own, they expect you to get the above stuff done above and beyond your 40 hours of billable work.
Yea but it's likely to be better than the current iteration of Siri even in that state.

They can still outsource to a much larger LLMs on their servers for anything that can't be done locally like they do now.
Understanding Sphincs+ PQC, Step by Step
Congrats! Loved the initiative.

There’s a lot of potential in the compounding effect of recording usable biometric data.
There are solutions for literally all these problems, you can find banking relationships where they’ll lend on your outstanding invoices, you pass on interest to the client, and everyone gets paid.

I feel compelled to comment because there are all these people who act like running your own business is some impossible task. it really isn’t. The vast majority of business owners aren’t super geniuses, my 60-year-old mother does it, has no formal education and couldn’t write “hello world” if her life depended on it.
Outside of the basics of analysis, Golden Cheetah is nothing like Strava.

Strava is a social network, map-based ride reviewer, heatmap tool, and basic ride analysis tool. GC is a not-great map viewer and VERY deep ride data dive tool for training.

A venn diagram for the two would only overlap by about 15%.
Thanks for this.
Do you have any thoughts on Evidence Action vs GiveWell?
Looks like GiveWell supports on of EA's charities (Deworm the World), but broadly each org is looking to do similar things.
Been in Tech for 20 years and never encountered a non compete clause
IBM's quantum roadmap[0] also looks... curious. There's some modest scaling until 2028. Then there sudden orders-of-magnitude jumps in the following years. Perhaps that's backed by technology they have in the labs and plan to have ready by then, but without details it looks too good to be true.

[0] https://newsroom.ibm.com/2023-12-04-IBM-Debuts-Next-Generati...
`Win+X I` brings up a PowerShell window. It’s supremely integrated - it can do ANYTHING a compiled .NET language can do, including calling into unmanaged COM, etc.. And it’s super simple - you can get started with simple string processing and file manipulation in just a few characters. It’s just not popular in the same way BASIC was.
I agree with this stance both because shining light on bad ideas is generally the better approach, but also because the alternative (censoring the "bad" stuff) seems to always break down.
Fun! Not sure if the cheesy hold music is a joke or that's just the default...
That’s a very old version of C. The function signature of main uses the old K&R style for function parameters.

I doubt it would compile currently!
Reminder that the military held that 4 hours sleep was plenty for a century, and had data to justify it.
Nazis make them money, sex workers lose them money. ~~Free~~ Monetized speech.
One of the big challenges is being able to frame real world concrete problems in terms that are solvable by quantum algorithms. There are a shocking lack of examples out there.

Even when the hardware is there, it isn’t clear how quantum computing can do useful things. But I suspect this is a solvable problem of good communications. But right now, experts in quantum don’t seem to be able to provide these examples. Or they don’t exist.
The financial sector in NY was never going to let a non-compete ban happen.
I propose a robot lane
I see so many parents just making the consumer computers available to their kids. Ipads and phones.
Because I am a computer nerd i have a few regular desktops at my home. My kids are allowed and stimulated to play with them. Of course games and youtube is what they like. But I see my son 5 years old already downloading mods for a specific game. He asks me to help him with installing him. He is now quite familiar with navigating through folders, coping etc. I cant blame the 'other' parents. They themselves are also just consumers. Whereas my sparetime is programming, hacking, 3d printing and more.
> GOTOs and line numbers would turn you into a bad programmer

And yet no one said this about programming assembly.
It doesn't. Consider the first 10k words in my /usr/dict/words equivalent.

They start:

A
a
aa
aal

and end:

anticonductor
anticonfederationist
anticonformist
anticonscience

How do you want to describe those with a picture?

(ok, these days one could make a long, thin screen shot, but a non-trivial picture, that doesn't factor through a textual representation? Even representing the 8 strings given here via graphics sounds iffy to me...)
Interesting. With EWI and internal insulation the telescopic duct is nearly maxed out as the total wall thickness is close to 500mm, but 50% of that is empty space. I though I might be able to get a secondary heat mass into that in future.
> There aren’t any dyes in oleds. They emit photons directly at the correct wavelength.

I meant the new blue PHOLED material.

> If they yellow, it would be due to different colors dimming at different rates or because there is a plastic protective/anti-glare coating, and it yellowed due to UV exposure.

No it would be because red+green=yellow.