skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Would you bet that Oppenheimer would have by definition made better predictions how the bomb was going to change the future of war than someone who understood the summary of the bomb's technical effects from the scientists but also had studied and researched geopolitical diplomacy changes resulting from advances in war technologies?

There's more to predicting the impact and evolution of technology than simply the mechanics of how it is being built today and will be built tomorrow (the area of expertise where they are more likely to be accurate).

And keep in mind that Hinton's alarm was sparked by the fact he was wrong about how the technology was developing, seeing a LLM explain a joke it had never seen before - a capability he specifically hadn't thought it would develop. So it was his failure to successfully predict how the tech would develop that caused him to go warning about how the tech might develop.

Maybe we should be taking those warnings with the grain of salt they are due coming from experts who were broadly wrong about what was going to be possible in the near future, let alone the far future. It took everyone by surprise - so there was no shame in being wrong. But these aren't exactly AI prophets with a stellar track record of prediction even if they have a stellar track record of research and development.
From most valued company in mankind's history, in US, in 2023?

Keep dreaming, those people are not handled like mere humans, nor are those companies handled like some small family business. Nobody actually responsible went in jail for 2008 financial crisis and it would have been trivial to start pointing fingers at various culprits (but you would need many). Also banning Apple products in US would be a literal political suicide unless they would anger most of US population with something really really bad.

From time to time somebody who wants free publicity for some political goals will venture on some small crusade but otherwise that's simply not how US handles its business currently.
If You Don't Like Scrum, You're Probably Using It Wrong
(Sqinn is made by the same guy that made these benchmarks in case you didn't realize)
Edit: Change "won't" to "don't", and "The will" to "They"
I'm unsure what you're objecting to.
I really like the elegant simplicity of tagging the screen elements like that and not obfuscating it away.

Nice work too!
Why does the delivery mechanism matter?
Why is it sad? If that's what people like, that's what people like. I pretty much exclusively watch Bob's Burgers reruns.
NixOS-DNS: Manage your DNS zones with NixOS
Debugging a Failing Hotkey
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moravec%27s_paradox

The idea that higher intelligence has only been around 200,000 or so years and is far less refined than motor intelligence which has a good 500 million years of encoded information.
Openwrt – dewclaw.git – the second-worst way to configure openwrt, by some metr
I've been working in ag-tech for about 10 years, having spent the prior 10 years in other kinds of startups/tech companies.

When I see the new ag-tech startups coming out of accelerators or being established by supposedly seasoned entrepreneurs, the ideas that keep coming up over and over are vertical farming, weed-killing laser robots and insect protein.

They all seem to be based on this assumption that traditional farming/food production is antiquated and inefficient, and that what the industry needs is clever outsiders to come in and re-invent it with the latest technologies. And they all just seem to go nowhere.

And in my view it's all based on a flawed premise: that farming needs any kind of technological revolution. It just doesn't. It's mostly fine. And whilst some things could/should be improved (environmental externalities and resource consumption being the most significant), these issues aren't going to be solved by outsiders with messiah complexes coming in and telling established growers/experts that they're wrong/stupid, they'll be solved via unglamorous work over many years by people who really understand the field.
Deleting 50k Lines of Code in 3 Days
The people who thought Trinity was “scaled up” were also wrong.

The only reason we stopped making larger nuclear weapons is because they were way, way, way beyond useful for anything. There’s no reason to believe an upper bound exists in the physical universe (especially given how tiny and energy efficient the human brain is, we’re definitely nowhere near it) and there’s no reason to believe an upper bound exists on the usefulness of marginally more intelligence. Especially when you’re competing for resources with other nearly-as-intelligent superintelligences.
For reference: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vienna_Convention_on_Road_Sign...
Maybe your conscious experience is but one of thousands of installed instances. How in-demand do you think you are?

npm uninstall replete

only joking :)
Especially considering people from the 1950s are alive today. Some of them (e.g. my parents) understand technology just fine.

If they had experienced the transition suddenly instead of gradually, I still think they'd be fine relatively soon.
Can someone more educated on the microbiome please explain why research in this area has barely progressed over the last decade? maybe i'm wrong but i can't find any new treatments for gut health. like someone else mentioned, my digestion has materially changed for the worse since taking a long bout of antibiotics 8 years ago...wondering why there's no treatment.
Actually, I'm not seeing much practical difference between the two. Could you elaborate on what you deem is obvious?
Some also took the vaccine and died. Those that took the mRNA treatment and died as well as those that didn't take the experimental drug and died both regret it.
As far as I'm aware, there is no single first person testimony of the rape, let alone any independently verified forensic reports. We've seen so many debunked stories coming out of israeli side. Remember the 40 beheaded babies that biden supposedly saw then the white house had to quickly back out of? Or the story that pregnant women were cut up alive and their fetuses extracted? Or that babies were thrown in the ovens? Let's also not forget their many lies before, like how they denied killing Shireen Abu Akleh.

These outrageous claims are fitting with the panic then overreaction we're seeing on the israeli side, resulting in them shelling their own kibutzes, and now murdering tens of thousands of Palestinian civilians in cold blood, after announcing terrible things like they're not looking for accuracy, but damage, and that they're fighting "human animals". Not only that, but some stories like the last two in the previous paragraph have actually been documented to have been done by israelis during previous massacres like Der Yassin and Sabra and Shatila.

As far as the abuse done by israel on Palestinian women and even children

[1] https://jordantimes.com/opinion/ramzy-baroud/untold-story-ab...

[2] https://electronicintifada.net/blogs/tamara-nassar/israel-cr...

[3] https://www.cair.com/cair_in_the_news/israeli-guards-rape-pa...
Most of the big hydroponic cannabis growers here in SoCal use vertical farms for sea of green operations. Financially-viable? Those people rake in MILLIONS yearly. Those systems consume very little in the way of resources, with tightly-controlled NFT hydroponic application and targeted-spectrum LED lighting running the show.
> By the end of next year, said Musk, Tesla would demonstrate a fully autonomous drive from, say, a home in L.A., to Times Square ... without the need for a single touch, including the charging.

Ironically, just being able to leave your car in a parking space to charge when ready, then re-park, would be so useful.
You think he opposed being tormented for his own good, but would have happily endured it for some other (purely hypothetical) person? Is this your reading of Lewis, or a projection of your own collectivist ethos?

> But speeding and driving recklessly are not victimless crimes

Speeding is, by definition, a victimless crime.

> …stochastically.

The implied syllogism is deeply authoritarian. Few acts victimless stochastically.
The justification isn't that people are morons, it's that the same word can have different meanings on different contexts.
Why It Took 17 Years to Build 49 Housing Units in Los Angeles
> “Larger trials will be needed to confirm these preliminary findings.”

So were there actual follow ups to this study where the sample size is not just 72?
so it's 11% chance of a billion dollars or death, or it's 11% chance billion dollars 89% chance death?
Isn’t this just inflation in a different package?
You are dismissing a lot of things.

Steams memory footprint is generally lower. The social aspect of it actually works and can be disabled to free up resources (first mover I'll admit). And the UI is dramatically less offensive than the other "game launcher/stores"

Steam gives me the option to launch into my library instead of the store which makes it feel dramatically less "blah".

In comparison, just to play diablo IV I had to click off two popups in the battle.net launcher of "buy this".

When you add shortcuts to games on your desktop it bypasses the steamui entirely and just launches the DAMN GAME. (it still does do an update/validly check with steam if you are connected to the internet tho).
Tesla recalling 2M US vehicles over Autopilot safeguards
It's more about the consumer's satisfaction IMHO.

You could say this about Chrome, Apple's walled garden..and a bunch of things
We only have a standard for animals because humans are deemed their stewards. US citizens are their own stewards and most would cry foul if there was some standard that governed what weather they were allowed to go out in and/or for how long.
Almost every character in It’s Always Sunny is clearly a bad person or outright evil, that’s the whole point.

Big Bang does nothing like that, you’re supposed to like the characters.
I built on top of the in-browser PDF document-reading app to help me curate, visualize, and recall personal knowledge as I read and annotate research papers; the app extracts data from documents such as URLs and references and makes it readily available to view or download - https://www.knowledgegarden.io
From the footer:

>The wikipedia contents are from OpenZIM dumps, which typically lag behind the main Wikipedia project by up to a year.

That being said, while it wouldn't be a good fit for that project, Wikipedia, et al., have a fairly robust API: <https://www.mediawiki.org/wiki/API>
If consciousness is not well understood, how is AI on silicon allowed, or any computing machines at all? How is animal farming allowed? How are many things allowed?

Say would you feel better if it was cow or pig neurons? Because frankly it'd largely work the same.
Built Pgweb (Postgres GUI) some time ago since I could not find a good minimalistic database explorer.

https://github.com/sosedoff/pgweb

The app is super simple, made with Go + jQuery and I still use it almost every day, and has brought it to every single company I've been with.
https://thaumasiotes.github.io/cryptogram/

(Paste substitution ciphertext into the textarea on the left.)

Doesn't work so well for actual "cryptograms" because they're too short, but fun for substitution ciphers with longer texts.
Because doesn't create value?
Same sort of thing but this one is ongoing.

Standard, website bad and hard to use but there is a secret json feed of the useful data so hack up an alternative view. ( they have changed its format slightly once so far )

This one is cinema, local cinema ( https://thelight.co.uk/ 5 minute walk) has a monthly membership with unlimited films, but, hard to keep track of whats on time wise. EG planing to watch one film as another one ends, and also hard to tell what is the last showing of a film or even what is on right now.

So simple table view sorted by time.

https://notshi.github.io/dump/ the source is on github but as it is just a single html page with javascript embedded then the source is also the page :)

Kinda nice that it is such a simple hack.
Even if someone does get flagged/dead consistently, if they happen to hit content that is interesting to HN, that is a good thing. Maybe they'll figure out what the community actually wants to see and improve their contributions.

And if the studies linked aren't worthwhile, I'm sure the community will flag it accordingly.

Either way, I'm going to judge each post on its own merits.
Tell that to the average project manager. They will absolutely freak out if you tell them that after they've put your estimate in as a deadline.
I’ve seen wireless CarPlay connectivity problems in certain locations which makes me think there’s interference there and I’m driving through it.
Can it hide or obscure the metadata at the time sent and received? Signal says they do that for their chats but you can also download an archive.
I have a phoenix liveview I can upload the bank CSVs with all credit card and checking account transactions, and it categorizes them and display a table with the sum/groupby where rows are categories and columns months.
I would like to second this. There are a large amount of comments on this site, just as one example, when anything ag is talked about that are just insanely uninformed. The assumption seems to be that farming is just good old boys doing what they've always done, instead of the massively data informed, extremely sophisticated business it is, even for family operations.

I was a full-time farmer until after graduate school. The guy who rents the family farm now farms to the square foot and sometimes even at precision even tighter than that (applying chemicals sometimes is based on the 1/2 square foot)! And that is over the entire 7-10k acres he rents/owns in total.

The amount and variety of data he uses is startling.
Hindsight probability = Bayesian oxymoron
Meta's AI for Ray-Ban smart glasses can identify objects and translate languages
A Zoom Alternative
I worked for a hydroponic tech startup, in no world is it cost effective if you're a large company. Small scale in a basement or backyard, yes, but this stuff doesn't scale, largely because it's priced for the marijuana industry. If you are growing lettuce with your hydroponics equipment that you paid weed prices for, you will never see your way out of the red.
Theranos could have been amazing; the core conceit of "cram a bunch of different experts into a room and let them riff off each other" could have been amazing.

The Problem is that it didn't happen, because Elizabeth Holmes was a control-freak fraudster. She specifically siloed them to try and control information, which is the exact opposite of "put em in a room together".
"Secretly compelled" sounds illegal on the government side. In democracy if government wants to force you to do something they should go through official, due process, i.e. court warrant.
Is there a complete list of cheat codes for your car?
They were (I believe). It's the "of course its not going to be the same" part that's OP just being a smart-ass. Only the first part of the sentence was needed.

Besides, even if they did know the show was cancelled, it still impacts how one views the show knowing one of it's major cast members is dead. Same with Matt Perry (Chandler) passing away recently - that knowledge will forever change Friends, despite the last season being in 2004.
> I'm equally in awe when they get capital and VC's don't notice this either

VCs invest other people's money (Limited partners) and get paid fees based on the size of their fund. VCs also get paid when they hit a homerun, but it's much easier for a VC to double how much they invest (and double their fees in the process) than to double the ROI by making more intelligent bets. The bigger the checks they write the more they make.

VSs don't want to to get blamed for making dumb investments, as that would interfere with their ability to raise money from LPs in the future. That's why they want another firm to take the lead in any investment round.

The incentive structure guarantees that VCs make terrible investments and have very little accountability.
Appreciate the clarification. I was on my way out and didn't read thru.
I usually drink in Soho, .., I've heard some good things about places in the SE, but it's such a hassle to get down there ...
What a curious state, there is just one jdbc (=java) driver for SQLite. Why are there 6 (or more!) for Go?
>I'm a customer of AWS and I expect 100% availability,

AWS neither provides nor promises 100% availability. AWS will have SLAs on various services with the penalty only being a discount on your bill.

It's _your_ job to make your service resilient to a point where you are comfortable with your mitigations.
One of my main predictions in the next 10 years AI will migrate to DNA/protein substrate in order to not rely on sophisticated large-scale factories, but be able to replicate and sustain itself as easily as we do.

But it's amusing to see this already being done in 2023. Maybe I should narrow it down to 5 years.
I'm currently creating one. I needed it and I wanted to practice Ruby on Rails with Hotwire and Stimulus. Bought the domain yesterday :)
The problem isn't that the content is interesting, the problem is that the content is false. Nothing in TFA links to anything supporting the "claims."

That is the reason for flagging, not just this post, but several others by the same submitter on the same Medium site.

> And if the studies linked aren't worthwhile, I'm sure the community will flag it accordingly.

Again, the issue has nothing to do with the studies. The issue is that TFA falsely portrays the studies in the summaries--to such an extent that the summaries are either intended to be in reference to another study, or they are entirely fabricated.
The number of people in this comment section that are getting hung up on the word recall without looking into established usage and legal definitions of the word is nuts.
Not that it changes much, but your cheap car probably uses the same tech developed across all of VAG group, so the price of your car is less of a factor. People buying VWs, Audis and Porsches probably fund it!
People do. They get attacked for it actually. There was this blog post about an indoor wheat farm exhibition piece and it criticized how it actually consumes more land when you add in the land requirements for renewable energy. The comment section consisted mostly of people attacking the author.

There are plenty of people on HN who will tell you how growing LEDs are more efficient than sunlight and other nonsense to justify vertical farming.
I'm trying to dig up the Chuck Peddle interview where he talks about targeting the embedded 4004 and friends market, I'll post it when I finally find it. The interview mentions achieving functional parity with the MCS-4 chip family as the reason for e.g. the 6530 RRIOT.

The 4004 was old by then, but not obsolete. It and the 4040 were still being integrated into embedded systems where cost was a major factor through the late 70s.
Egypt could open it's border tomorrow if it wished to. Egypt doesn't wish to.

Good question. We do know Hamas has very little interest in meeting the needs of Gaza's population - there are no wells, aid money is taken for weapons and for the personal wealth of it's billionaire leaders instead of it's populace. We'll never know if Hamas can feed Gazans because it puts very little effort into doing so.

Land in Israel was purchased from Ottomans and Arabs before 1948, and gained after winning wars declared by Arab states after 1948.
Not all animals have stereoscopic vision. Many birds and fish see entirely separate images from their two eyes. Animals with injuries to one eye still have functional vision, even if worse. The "brain" part is the one that really helps with animal vision. And it includes evolved generational models, sensor fusion, memories of past experiences and other inputs beyond just two "cameras".

Overall, the complexity of modeling the world the way an animal does seems much much bigger than a few different sensors.
I would like an update to the navigation when a road is changed though. Its things like that that have caused me to install and Android Auto head unit into my 2008 car as the built in navigation is way out of date.
Fair point. I guess nobody knows yet, and it's also worth a shot. In the context of AI alignment, I don't see strong evidence to suggest deep neural nets, transformers, and LLMs have any of the fundamental features of intelligence that even small mammals like rats have. ChatGPT was trained on data that would take a human several lifetimes to learn, yet it still makes some rudimentary mistakes.

I don't think more data would suddenly manifest all the nuance of human intelligence... that said we could just be one breakthrough away from discovering some principle or architecture, although I think that will be a theory first and not so much a large system that suddenly wakes up and has agency.
I think clinical outcomes are what we’re most interested in here.
> GM alone hoping to make as much as $25 billion per year just off subscriptions by 2030.

They think they’ll make $25B themselves. They also want your data.
Definitely, but Kaliningrad had something like 100k people out of a total German population of roughly 80 million? I'm sure plenty of them had grudges but they didn't have an outlet to act on them unless they wanted to sneak through another country on their way to suicidally attack the USSR and, what I think is most important, the alternative was to build a comfortable life in Germany proper, where they were fully integrated with the language, customs, and political system. Grudges don't usually turn into violence, especially with suicidal odds of retaliation, when people have hope. I'm sure there were plenty of old Germans complaining about it – over beers, with full bellies, and going home to warm beds unwilling to do anything which would risk those comforts.

My argument is that Israel needs to figure out how to get to that level for Palestine: if you want peace, you want people to have prosperous farms and businesses to focus their energies on and confidence that if they do so those won't be taken away or destroyed.
Yes, but this doesn't work in webassembly because 0x0 is a valid address. That's my point. To do .NET & JVM in webassembly requires doing an actual null comparison and branch as you no longer get to just deref and catch the resulting segfault as there won't be a segfault. So you have to do an actual branch everywhere, which makes null checks way way more expensive.
Well so from what I understand at least part of it due to Disney selling off the rights to various translations to local companies(so for instance the translation to Lion King in Polish is owned by a local media company, not Disney, even though they obviously own the rights to the film), so they don't necessarily have automatic rights to distribute that translation worldwide without permission.

But on the other hand......it's Disney. They should be able to consolidate, buy those rights back, and distribute all localizations they have globally.
If you don't mind me asking, what is your crop and scale?
>Especially integration complexity is todays' biggest complexity in any significantly complex product.

100% This, which should be very obvious to anyone working at a FAANG tier company.

There are no shortage of ideas, technical documents, prototypes working locally. However to get a product to production that integrates (even in a paved path) is most often the most complex task.
Acting NHTSA Administrator Ann Carlson told Reuters in August it's "really important that driver monitoring systems take into account that humans over-trust technology."
Most of those that don't want it, are using Trello or something like that.
The article mentions overdoses. They don't explain the difference.

> To some extent, we know what is killing the young, with an actuarial analysis of government data showing mortality increases in liver, kidney and cardiovascular diseases, and diabetes. Drug overdoses also soared nationwide, but not primarily in the young working class.