skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
They didn't have to call up their peer. I feel like I'm going crazy everytime I read, "but that not how macroeconomics works!!!"

WE LITERALLY WATCHED IT IN REAL TIME. Covid caused supply chain issues, unaffected supply chains independently raised prices because people were willing to pay it. Trump was dumping $8T into the economy, business leaders also knew that. The supply chains started to clear up, but demand wasn't waning despite high prices. Throughout the entire thing anyone sitting on investor calls was hearing "highest profits in company history" over and over again.

Almost as if all that sociology about people behaving coherently without direct communication might have been on to something.
An interesting perspective on this I’ve heard discussed is whether hallucinations ought to be solved at all, or whether they are core to the way human intelligence works as well, in the sense that that is what is needed to produce narratives.

I believe it is Hinton that prefers “confabulation” to “hallucination” because it’s more accurate. The example in the discussion about hallucination/confabulation was that of someone who had been present in the room during Nixon’s Watergate conversations. Interviewed about what he heard, he provided a narrative that got many facts wrong (who said what, and what exactly was said). Later, when audio tapes surfaced, the inaccuracies in his testimony became known. However, he had “confabulated truthfully”. That is, he had made up a narrative that fit his recall as best as he was able, and the gist of it was true.

Without the ability to confabulate, he would have been unable to tell his story.

(Incidentally, because I did not check the facts of what I just recounted, I just did the same thing…)
> There's going to be a lot of hype around a couple of drama and comedy films shot on a small budget. There is every year...

I'm talking about like $500k and under. Tangerine would be a great example of a drama film that made a splash at Sundance on a $100k budget. But, there are many films made on that kind of budget and few of them turn a profit. Tangerine's from 2015, Clerks is from 1994, Super Troopers was 2001 (also well above the budget level I'm talking about). The plucky microbudget hits are notable exceptions, not the norm.

I wasn't familiar with Jack Frost, I watched a couple of clips on Youtube and yeah, that probably is the sort of thing I mean tbh. It does look entertaining, but my point is if a movie in another genre had comparable production standards, it's much less likely it would've found an audience. The "so bad it's good" market is much more of a thing in horror than elsewhere, to the point people do it deliberately (eg. The Asylum).

This isn't meant to be a dismissal of horror or horror fans at all, lots of great film makers have arrived via low budget horror. It's great there's still a genre where self-funded films aren't entirely a money pit.
Not CVE – vulnerability disclosure for issues that vendors don't acknowledge
Under current CVE rules, vendors are "are left to their own discretion to determine whether something is a vulnerability". The !CVE program provides a space to report vulnerabilities that vendors do not acknowledge, but that are nonetheless important to the security community.
Same, I almost always default to Sinatra. Love me some Rails for all the powerful stuff though.
But a smart player would slightly undercut the competition and gobble up the market share. If each player acted independently, that is what would happen. There does indeed need to be some sort of collusion to prevent one player from playing the optimal strategy.

The factor that the greedflation proponents seem to ignore is that people were spending in record numbers after the lockdowns ended, and people spent the money that was saved in record numbers. This is reflected in GDP figures. There was a huge drop in 2020, followed by a massive spike in 2021.

There are indeed significant issues with the greeflation narrative: https://www.economist.com/leaders/2023/07/06/greedflation-is...
Hey all, we all building a product to make it hassle-free to monitor the LLM API usage of each user, so that businesses can adapt their pricing models and enforce user limits. Any feedback is greatly appreciated!
I assume if you didn’t live from those zaps you wouldn’t be here making this comment.
The metal shell is ridged though, so the volume maintains the same with the vacuum. A rubber duck collapses with a vacuum inside of it, thus losing the shape of a duck and reducing the volume of the object =). That's why I said it's just a piece of rubber with eyes.
I wish the article had more info too. But I appreciate the author acknowledging the limit of their work and not trying to bullshit or skip over it.

I read Electrek daily and find it very useful. They cover a broad range of topic with more insight and voice than the usual crappy blogs that just rewrite press releases or someone else's articles. I particularly like the articles (like this one) that have "Electrek's Take". The Weird Alibaba EV articles are good fun too: https://electrek.co/guides/alibaba/
Nope their CEO is really opinionated and not often right.
But sowbug has 10 dollar wireless charging pads all over his house. How can we use a cable?
This is so strange, this is exactly how you don't handle problems like this.

Write a blog post, explain what happened, explain who's affected and to what extent, explain if it can be fixed and what you're doing, and explain what you'll do to make sure it doesn't happen again.

Putting out a supposed hidden fix in the Drive for Desktop client, to see if it can recover files locally (?!) when the entire issue is files disappearing from the cloud, doesn't seem like it makes any sense.

Or if the problem really is solely with files that should have been uploaded but weren't, and nothing from the cloud ever actually got deleted, then explain and justify that as well -- because that's not what people are saying.

I don't understand what's going on at Google. If actual data loss occurred, trying to pretend it didn't happen is never the answer. As the saying goes, "the cover-up is worse than the crime". Why Google is not fully and transparently acknowledging this issue baffles me. The corporate playbook for these types of situations is well known, and it involves being transparent and accountable.
> Are you claiming China and Japan are individualistic, or that people are hiding all the babies somewhere

No? A -> B doesn’t mean that B -> A. In the case of East Asia, it’s nearly a century of deliberate anti-natal government policy. China’s one-child policy is the most brutal, but pretty much all East Asian countries had softer forms of encouraging people not to have kids.
I get that. But I don’t get why journalists who cover the industry and are expected to get it would call this “jaw dropping”. Maybe I am reading too much into it. It was likely added to increase the shock factor.
This is great news. Increased discussion means that the truth can rise to the top.
Eventmodeling.org
> the true competition to take place in the corporate finance marketplace rather than the retail one.

This hits the nail on the head. There is no secret cabal of colluding business owners, but for any company that is public, they are necessarily “colluding” to keep share prices high. Since they are all optimizing for the same thing, it makes sense that they would take similar approaches.
That's actually pretty smart marketing, thanks for that.
Convert thick provisioned disk to thin on VMware ESXi
Maybe y'all weren't paying attention when your economics 101 professor said that basic macroeconomics describes general economic behavior, and there can be a lot of other factors?

And how about the fact that at least in the US, we don't have a free market system?
Sharing our work on model quantization.

- Blog: https://mobiusml.github.io/hqq_blog/
- Code: https://github.com/mobiusml/hqq
- Models: https://huggingface.co/mobiuslabsgmbh/

No data calibration needed, extremely fast , works on both language and vision models!

* Why does it matter?
Quantization significantly reduces GPU memory requirements but degrades the quality of the models. Having faster and more accurate quantization methods is extremely valuable for the ML community.

* Approach:
Sparsity-based error formulation between the original weights and their dequantized version. We used a Half-Quadratic solver to derive a closed-form solution that is 100x faster than backprop via Pytorch's Autograd.

* Quantization speed:
~ 1 minute for Llama2-13B
~ 4 minutes for LLama2-70B (over 50x faster than GPTQ)

* Findings:
- Larger models quantized to 3/2-bit outperform smaller full-precision models with similar or lower memory requirements.
- Successful 2-bit quantization requires a lower group-size (e.g., 32 or 16) and compression of both the zero-point and the scaling factor for lower memory usage.

While we acknowledge our view might be slightly biased, we genuinely believe that our work will significantly benefit the open-source software (OSS) machine learning community. Code and model are in Apache permissive license.
>potentially improves overall electrical efficiency

Looks like he understood it the entire time :)
Ok that’s fun. My home network is 10.3.x.x … can I somehow script to get my tailnet onto 100.103.x.x ?

Now I need to investigate!
Risk-aversion is probably a big reason.

Drop your prices and maybe you capture more of the market. Works best if your product is a perfect substitute and consumers will both (a) immediately know about the drop and (b) be able to switch immediately. And then you can capture some of the lost per-unit profit in volume... but just how much market share would you have to capture to come out ahead of just cruising along with higher per-unit pricing and being more profitable as-is thanks to your costs dropping again? How much would you need to spend on advertising to get the message out, and how does that effect how much you need to capture?

And if it doesn't work, and you lost your margin without gaining enough to make it worth it, do you want to have been the guy in marketing who was pushing for the price cut? At this point yo-yo'ing the prices back up is gonna piss off the customers you do have once again, so you might be a bit stuck for a while.

Add in things like customer loyalty, stickiness, and habits, and "let's try to send the trend in the opposite direction" only looks riskier and riskier. For instance, if Walmart dropped their prices 10% how many Target shoppers do they convert who wouldn't already be going to the usually-cheaper Walmart?

There doesn't have to be anything nefarious going on to explain how markets can result in the consumer losing out, especially after shocks to the system. Let's say everyone was worried that customers wouldn't stand for 10-20% price hikes, but now that they've learned that they can, in fact, get away with it, they independently think it's easier to stay where they are then to try to get into a race to the bottom. No collusion, no "evil" cartoony-levels of greed, but no effective market pressure to fix it immediately either.
no phone manufacturer is infallible.

my iPhone 4 battery went up in smoke after owning it for 1.5 years.

my iPhone 6 plus developed touch disease after 2 years, the replacement developed touch disease after a week, and the second replacement began exhibiting mild symptoms after a couple months, the nand failed after another 2 years. (applecare replacements mind you.) plus I wasn't a huge fan of apple trying to sweep the issue under the rug until it gained nationwide attention.
The other PG hyperbolic comment about Sam that springs to mind is when he said that meeting Sam felt like what it must have been like meeting young Bill Gates. That's a throwaway comparison from a journalist, but from a bloke who barely interviews anyone who isn't a self-confident workaholic nerd convinced he'll change the world and get rich doing so.. its a bit more of a extravagant comparison.

But then, considering the reputation of young Bill and the one Sam seems to be acquiring, maybe the "powered" traits that apparently set him apart from other YC candidates weren't so positive after all...
And what happens when they read the articles and come to realize that you could give an average college freshman any of those subjects and they could produce a comparable paper in a few weeks' time with a full course load and a part time job? Seriously, I've never seen a more underwhelming set of articles on google scholar from a supposed "leading" expert in a field... and what's worse is that she wasn't even the lead writer on most of them.
I’d like to hear more about this. How were unlined aluminum cans contributing to botulism deaths?
There simply isn't a case in which you need to eat there unless the nuclear missiles are on their way and you happen to be out front and want a bite to eat before the end.

You have identified an aspect of the person with yourself and even though you yourself presumably don't walk acting like a jerk feel like you need to justify their misbehavior as if you were defending yourself. You don't need to keep defending them.
My 7 y.o. can explain a motor but we haven't tried building one, I was eyeing him sets online and was between a few.
I built him a loop in MineCraft redstone to power his randomly-timed spooky lights in his "the backrooms" (SCP), but I don't know how to use the newer redstone stuff and haven't found a (educational) use-case to built him anything with the redstone torch/NOT logic gate etc.
I've mentioned in past posts that the terms "safety" when applied to the AI discussion are never quantified or qualified in any way.

It's more of a smear. If you're the one arguing from an AI safety standpoint, it means your opponent is not being safe and is dangerous.

You should be expected to articulate why your position is "safer" and how "safe" is defined.

In my opinion most AI safety arguments are about vaguely defined variables like speed: "it's going too fast" - to who? who defines what fast is? do you slow down 2x or 10x? do competitors and/or rival nations less concerned zip by and the end result is still the same?

There is some validity to the discussion if AI is being "racist" or "biased" (again however you define these) but again competitors and/or rival nations may be less concerned and the end result may still be the same.

If anything the "safest" option is to define what your concerns are, then race ahead to try to be the canonical solution or defined standard in order to set standards for the rest to follow or be bound by.
It doesn't receive enough power on Android for some reason, you'll find the max volume it can push out much lower than other dongles. It also doesn't support volume buttons on Android. Can't fault the sound quality though.
At the very least for the engine there is now llama.cpp which is an open source port. Admittedly the real magic is in the weights however.
A few years ago I decided to get my own ASN. I have a couple of VPSes running BGP with my upstreams at geographically diverse but relatively close locations (10 to 15 ms ping.) I have Wireguard tunnels between the VPSes and also from each VPS to my home network, forming a mesh w/OSPF. Originally, I was only injecting default routes into OSPF so I'd have basic redundancy if things failed, treating one provider as a secondary, not caring much about outgoing load balancing. I recently switched to internal BGP though, and am doing some load balancing w/partial tables. Pretty cool stuff. I used BIRD for OSPF and BGP.
Islington’s trilogy that starts with “The Shadow of What was Lost” is very much in Sandersen’s style and does its own thing.
I'm not aware of any experts who like individual certificate authorities. Are there some that I'm missing?

I think perhaps what you mean to say is that experts like the x509 PKI. Which again, isn't quite true. You'll find plenty of experts pointing out that major parts of x509 and the PKI ecosystem, and of TLS and HTTPS, are garbage: ASN.1 parsing is a trashfire, protocol/cipher negotiation has had numerous critical flaws, things like compression have allowed traffic to be decrypted.

What I think is more accurate to say is that experts have invested heavily in finding ways to augment web infrastructure to remove broad categories of these, and the result is a generally recommendable system. This includes things like moving to TLS 1.3, enforcing that CAs participate in Cert Transparency logs, delisting CAs that misbehave, and adjusting browser behavior to avoid security pitfalls like mixed content that compromise users.

The problem with doing that for GPG is partly that its fundamental nature is not well aligned with making those kinds of changes, and partly that (as we see in the original post) GnuPG is resistant to making changes that would leave behind users of insecure codepaths and cryptography.
My PHEV has a two year service interval for oil, and doesn't consume anything else really. I don't have to plug it in, but if there's free electricity somewhere, I can. 500-600 miles per tank up if I don't ever plug it in, although it got closer to 700 miles per tank when I drove it from California to Washington when I moved.

I drive a lot less than before, I just replaced the tires due to age, not to wear, so filling up the gas tank every so often isn't really a big deal.
That routine is robberr baron extravagant.
Eggs have come way back down.
Wow, really? Different here in Australia, petrol is $5.50/gallon ($2.2 per litre converted), batteries I don't know, but EVs are crazy expensive. And housing is absolute madness, Eg Sydney median house price is something like $1.125M AUD ($740k USD). So the price drops seem to be delayed here I guess..
That’s what any normal company who is used to dealing with customers would do, but google isn’t that. Google is entirely unacquainted with the concept of “customer relations”. I’m half convinced that google-the-business sees customers as convenient peasants that purchase whatever it deigns to sell. The idea of supporting customers is basically antithetical to them: look at all the stories of people trying to get support for GCP as a great case in point.
And who made the decision to go big on podcasts? And audio books? How are those efforts paying off? Obviously, the CFO has responsibilities, but they also don't act alone.
What mobile phone has those?

Personally, I've never met anyone who had a need for reading floppy disks or connecting their computer printer to their phone, but I know many people who like to listen to music with their wired headphones on the go.
> build something right and right the first time

It sounds like you expect everyone to share your definition of right.
It’s about culture, not economic conditions. A number of American sub-cultures that are more educated and wealthy than average (Mormons, Muslims) also have above-replacement fertility rates.
Sad. What is it with these people? Why do they spread terrible rumors while knowing they don't have any proof of them. And if they don't have proof it is clear it is just malice to spread such rumors. The world's richest man should know better but seems to be drunk with Twitter-followers
Your nickname seems appropriate to me.
We do care about interoperability, indeed that's the point of using OpenPGP.

I've addressed the points in the blog post in https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=36643124.
I am not surprised by this news at all. The fact is Google can't innovate nearly as quickly as OpenAI, despite their endless amounts of money. They are bogged down by self-imposed bureaucracy and non-productive chair warmers. So they have to try to make up for it with fake promotional videos.
I lean toward (2), and I think we have strong evidence for this in the form of 'shrinkflation', where firms redesigned their packaging to provide less product while maintaining prices or brand identity (eg making the packaging appear to be the same size while having lower product weight/volume). The fact that changing product packaging requires a significant investment in adjusting production lines says to me that it was a proactive decision rather a simple reaction to market conditions.

By contrast, eggs went up quite a bit a couple of years back due to a combination of increased demand and a coinciding outbreak of avian flu. But while one could feed chickens less or selectively breed for smaller eggs, the actual manufacturing of the egg is basically up to the animals rather than the accountants. If you crack open a fresh egg you pretty much know what you're getting and it isn't easy to change. It's not feasible to sell cartons with only 5 or 10 eggs rather than the more common amounts of 6 or 12 (or 30 if you have an insatiable appetite for them as I do). So there normal forces of supply and demand have reasserted themselves and prices have (somewhat) returned to where they were a few years ago. It's been easier to observe changes than for items like beef which I buy more intermittently.
This doesn't sound biased at all
> If a buffet consistently runs out of items they wont be popular for long.

All items? Sure. But enforced scarcity on the more expensive items is almost a given.
The March North by Graydon Saunders
How about neither? CISC and RISC are extremes (look up the VAX instruction set for CISC, how about the "index" instruction for example). There's plenty of room in the middle.
I think it was Adam Savage who put it this way (talking about the importance of talent): Getting 90% of the way to mastery of a thing is just a matter of practice. Talent is what gets you that last 10%.
I'm typing this from my Fairphone 4, which I started using Sunday after almost reaching the six-year mark of my FP2. One reason that obedience managed to last as long is that a friend stopped using his FP2, and I could use his old phone for spare parts.
> Covid caused supply chain issues, unaffected supply chains independently raised prices because people were willing to pay it.

But that's not "greedflation". That's literally a normally functioning market. If Company A and Company B produce a largely interchangeable product, and 50% of Company A's output is lost due to shortages both companies are going to sell their products at a higher price point. The fact that Company B's output was unaffected doesn't change the fact that their product is now in more demand due to Company A's production shortfall.

After the supply chain issues eased, people had loads of savings from the lockdowns. This is a big reason why companies were seeing record profits in the post pandemic period: because people were spending in record numbers. Is it surprising to see record profits in a period of record spending?
You bring up fumbles, but they still have the more products with more than a billion users than any company in the world.

This is what Google has always cared about. Bring application to the billions of users.

People are forgetting Google is the most profitable AI company in the world right now. All of their products use ML and AI.

So who is losing?

The goal of Gemini isn't to build a chatbot like ChatGPT despite Google having Bard.

The goal for Gemini is to integrate it into those 10 products they have with a billion users.
My kids still take a beat up, Rockbox loaded, Sansa Fuze upstairs with them when they go to bed.

We (them or I) aren't ready for them (6 and 9) to have anything smarter, and it still does the job.
I mean, they did get Sam off the board, right?