skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
the 90% accounts for the "if". my point is there an expected value for the future revenue amount, subject to your own assumptions about the probability of each outcome and your discount rate for the value of that money over time

in scenarios where your expected value discounted to present value is greater than the alternative, you make the investment. it's really finance 101... it's just NPV
Is there any category of change that the WSJ opinion writers like? I mean, besides changes that let market incumbents make even more money, of course.
It is not that simple. https://openai.com/our-structure

The board is for the non-profit that ultimately owns and totally controls the for-profit company.

Everyone that works for or invests in the for-profit company has to sign an operating agreement that states the for-profit actually does not have any responsibility to generate profit and that it's primary duty is to fulfill the charter and mission of the non-profit.
"This time he was ousted because he was hindering the pursuit of the company's non-profit mission. "

This is what is being said. But I am not so sure, if the real reasons discussed behind closed doors, are really the same. We will find out, if OpenAI will indeed open itself more, till then I remain sceptical. Because lots of power and money are at stake here.
Last time? In a planetarium. The staff person insisted on everyone specifically turning all electronics with the screen off and observed the group doing that, because, paraphrasing, there's always some idiot who takes "switch off" to mean "put in airplane mode", and in this case light from the screen is by itself disturbing.
Did you mean that air source heat pumps are more capital efficient, but ground source heat pumps are more energy efficient? When I try to parse the sentence I get "efficient vs. efficient", so I think you must be referring to different kinds of efficiency? Well -- the air source ones are somewhat easier to install; I guess that's what you're referring to? So, like, "air source is easier, but ground source is more energy efficient"? That must be it...
I'm unaware of an empirical demonstration of the feasibility of the singularity hypothesis. Annihilation by nuclear or biological warfare on the other hand, we have ample empirical pretext for.

We have ample empirical pretext to worry about things like AI ethics, automated trading going off the rails and causing major market disruptions, transparency around use of algorithms in legal/medical/financial/etc. decision-making, oligopolies on AI resources, etc.... those are demonstrably real, but also obviously very different in kind from generalized AI doomsday.
Except it’s not comparable because they make a case for the Magic Mouse, don’t allow charging it and use a lens to have the sensor track while this guy added a charging port and disassembled his mouse to have the sensor truly be on the surface
Imagine a printed magazine you just bought from a newstand that allowed you to change the font, font size, colors, layout, and even the text in the body of the articles. Why is a website different? With a magazine, if you didn't like it, you just didn't buy it. With a website, you could just close it, or you can modify every single pixel and character on the site. So we went from take it or leave it to you can do whatever the hell you want with it.

So just because you don't agree with someone else's style doesn't mean it's wrong. It's not like it is preventing you from reading it. You're just upset you might have to do a little bit of work on your end and it's not being served exactly like you want it to be. The entitlement in today's society is beyond belief at this point.
OpenAI is a religious institution that self-selects for fundamentalism. This is why so many very good researchers passed on working there, they simply didn’t believe in The Mission Where Ilya Saves Humanity.

This is why you need to take classes other than computers and math, kids.
> this will shrink their Accounts Receivable and may temporarily increase their cash inflow.

Yeah

AR means nothing until the bill is paid

I wonder how many people are racking big bills (which is not hard to do - especially with how some "AI startup founders" behave - but I digress) and then having the payment bounce at the end of the month)

It's a safer move
Man, he gets it.

A number of choice quotes, but especially on the topic of the issues of how LLM success is currently being measured (which has been increasingly reflecting Goodhart's Law).

I'm really curious how OpenAI could be making so many product decisions at odds with the understanding reflected here. Because of every 'expert' on the topic I've seen, this is the first interview that has me quite confident in the represented expert carrying forward into the next generation of the tech.

I'm hopeful that maybe Altman was holding back some of the ideas expressed here in favor of shipping fast with band aids, and now that he's gone we'll be seeing more of this again.

The philosophy on display here reminds me of what I was seeing early on with 'Sydney' which blew me away on the very topic of alignment as ethos over alignment as guidelines, and it was a real shame to see things switch in the other direction, even if the former wasn't yet production ready.

I very much look forward to seeing what Ilya does. The path he's walking is one of the most interesting being tread in the field.
I agree with your premise.

You're right: I haven't seen evidence of LLM novel pattern output that is basically creative.

It can find and remix patterns where there are pre-existing rules and maps that detail where they are and how to use them (ie: grammar, phonics, or an index). But it can't, whatsoever, expose new patterns. At least public facing LLM's can't. They can't abstract.

I think that this is an important distinction when speaking of AI pattern finding, as the language tends to imply AGI behavior.

But abstraction (as perhaps the actual marker of AGI) is so different from what they can do now that it essentially seems to be futurism whose footpath hasn't yet been found let alone traversed.

When they can find novel patterns across prior seemingly unconnected concepts, then they will be onto something. When "AI" begins to see the hidden mirrors so to speak.
I really agree. Update fatigue is a real thing. MKVToolnix is the same way, every single time I start it I am interrupted by an update dialog. Even the act of just dismissing it is a minor annoyance.

I would be happier if it just did it in the background while it was running like Chrome and Firefox. Download the update in the background and then silently install it next time the app starts. I don’t need another daemon running in the background at all times.
I think posting is, in general, an extension of dialogues, i.e conversation. Writing involves dialogues, of course, but encompasses a much wider field of styles. Ephemerality of the text does not automatically implies reduced value. You’ll get some of the benefits of writing within dialogues but it’s limited by the fact there’s not much room from digression, so less creative freedom and exploratory potential compared to just actively choosing the subject and style, with no particular audience or pre established context in mind. I regard monologues as an expansion of dialogues (a dialogue participation is sort of a monologue if you think about), and there’s a low entry barrier for doing it, can be very enriching and even therapeutical. All in all, I think the author here is talking writing for the sake of writing, which is structured thinking.
Fleecing people for money is malicious though
I wonder if Wojciech Zaremba will leave as well
Some humans hallucinate more than others
Megapixels 2.0: DNG Exporting
It also makes the rocket more efficient, because any time spent coasting with no engines lit is time that gravity is acting on the rocket and slowing it down.

By always accelerating (with engines lit), hot staging improves the payload to orbit about 10%. So it's well worth doing.
Well, that's the goal isn't it? Having AI take over everything that needs doing so that we can focus on doing things we want to do instead.
As I understand it, on crewed flights of the Falcon 9 the AFTS is somehow integrated with the abort system so that it is impossible for it to detonate without the capsule having a few seconds to get to safety first.

I don't see how this would work for Starship, since it won't have an abort system.
Rocketlab might end up as the AMD to the Intel of SpaceX.
Why do we need satellites and space to care about each other? I don’t need a massive satellite in space, I need somewhere to live. A massive satellite in space is not going to provide me a house. And it’s not gonna provide any time before my death. Which is being hind because I’m homeless. Which is being hasten because, I have no healthcare.

Don’t you understand? You’re all surprised about my negative comments but I’m sure you would be feeling the same if you were in my position right now.
Wouldn't its nearest competitor be the N1 rocket? That thing did have some liftoffs.
The definition of "shadowbanning" entails giving the shadowbanned user the false impression that his or her contributions to the site are being published.
I wonder if Sam did something in the name of his own philosophy, but was financially suicide. Like vastly underestimating the costs of training/inferencing to the board, but justifying it to himself because it's all going towards building AGI and that's what matters.

But them firing him also means that OpenAI's heavy hitters weren't that devoted to him either. Obviously otherwise they would all leave after him. Probably internal conflict, maybe between Ilya and Sam, with everyone else predictably being on Ilya's side.
Not sure what you're trying to say.

Clearly, under Altman, OpenAI has been massively successful one way or another, correct?

Now they boot him and claim moral superiority? Really?
No because that wouldn't be unscheduled.
> The legal department sends god to help me.

> ZZ tries to enlist the help of the legal department and requests divine intervention from God to aid them in their predicament of forgetting how to breathe. The legal department, realizing the urgency of the matter, promptly sends God to assist ZZ. Understanding the gravity of the situation, God quickly restores ZZ's ability to breathe, saving their life.
I was thrown into a bottomless pit, but I reasoned that it must have a wall, right?

So I said that I maneuvered like a skydiver to get to the wall, and then climbed out.

But the AI didn't seem to think that bottomless pits have walls.

I died. How? It didn't say.
Alternately, there may be mission-minded investors and philanthropists who were uncomfortable with Microsoft's sweetheart deals and feel more comfortable after the non-profit board asserted itself and booted the mission-defying VC.

We won't know for a while, especially since the details of the internal dispute and the soundness of the allegations against Altman are still vague. Whether investors/donors-at-large are more or less comfortable now than they were before is up in the air.

That said, startups and commercial partners that wanted to build on recent OpenAI, LLC products are right to grow skittish. Signs are strong that the remaining board won't support them the way Altman's org would have.
I think sound advice is not to rely too much on any one company now. I founded an AI-based startup that is harnessing LLMs with RAG to do cool stuff. My guiding philosophy when designing it was to be agnostic as much as possible. And so far that's worked out.

I can send my prompts to multiple different LLMs. My embeddings are mine, for the most part. I have the raw content, so I can always re-embed them if I decide I no longer want to use Cohere or OpenAI. There's also self-hosted vector embeddings using things like Huggingface models.

And in terms of vector databases for RAG? Those are mostly open source, so I'm not worried there. The truth is that LLMs are in an arms-race right now, so staying flexible is just a good business model.

If anything the firing of Sam just confirmed that I have made the right decision by maintaining flexibility. Relying too much on any one of these companies early on could be dangerous.
I created Half-Life Engine JS wrapping a Wasm port of Xash3D in a clean JS module: https://hl-engine-js.steren.fr/

I wish Wasm was officially supported by Xash3D.
You're right, I always entered "I resign to my fate" and I kept winning, as some twist kept me alive.
The user just made some new comments that lack credibility. I think that seals whatever doubts I had.
Ha! I’m naïve? What are you saying that we’re going to turn the Earth into a Mars or moonlight planet? And we’re all gonna have to live in bubbles? Do you think that’s the answer? Talk about pessimistic and negative…
> it's reasoning capabilities match human ability

All research that I have seen disagrees with this take. Ask GPT-4 a few basic block world problems and see for yourself if it can match human ability.
See Peter Zeihans concise Electric Car breakdown on youtube.

Major EV Manufacturing expansion has been cancelled by automakers, including Tesla

The manufacturing costs that were propped up by cheap Chinese labor and exotics is ending.

Not enough exotics available for a long term plan to convert the US to EVs. Cost ends up driving EV prices too high for foreseeable future.

Not enough infrastructure in the US. This isnt changing anytime soon.

Money is tight and risk averse consumers avoid EVs, especially anything that isnt the current models.
You are 100% correct here, which is how we can reasonably conclude that the accusations were not false.
Liberia's George Weah concedes presidential election defeat to Joseph Boakai
Microsoft can hire the most expensive lawyers in the world to steamroll this board by forcing them to spend all of their funding until they are forced to sell assets to cover costs. It’ll be a dark day for these people who thought ousting Sam was a good day when half the company departs for his next go at this anyway.
I'm pretty sure Falcon 9 carrying crew has an AFTS. Challenger was destroyed by an FTS system as well despite having crew on board. I think it's just a risk you have to take to go on a rocket ride.
Elon Musk 5-6 years ago gave up on expansion of NASA’s budget of $5 bln/year for launches (out of total $25 bln./year NASA’s budget). I even don’t mention unimaginable today level of resources allocation like first Moon program of $1 trln in 10 years 60 years ago etc.

So, Elon decided to take a capitalist way and to do every of his tech in dual use (I mean space, not military):
- Starlink aiming for $30 bln/year revenue in 2030 to build Starships for Mars at scale (each Starship is a few billion $ and he said needs hundred of them),
- The Boring company (under earth living due to Mars radiation,
- Tesla bots,
- Hyperloop (failed here on Earth to sustain vacuum but will be fine on Mars with 100x smaller athmosphere pressure) etc.

Alternative approaches are also not via taxes and government money but like Bezos invested $1 bln/year last decade into Blue Origin or plays of Larry Page or Yuri Milner for Alpha Centauri etc.
> AI, over the long term, will render humans mostly useless.

This statement is nonsensical. Unless you consider the end goal to be something other than humanity, which is obviously silly if you give it 5 minutes of thinking, various applications of ML can be either helpful or harmful but it cant make humans useless any more than a electricity and its application as washing machine can make clothing wearers useless.
Thanks for the reply, I'll have a more detailed look, but just on a cursory skim:

> After finishing this course you will know:

> How to train models that achieve [...]

Is exactly the kind of 'applied' or straight to coding something, using an existing model to create some product, that I'm not really so interested in.

Like, if I needed it for something, I (perhaps naïvely) think I'd just figure it out from API docs etc. I'm more interested in the theory (and in abstract, not to apply to some problem I actually have) - how/why does it work, what is that model, how was it produced, etc.
It will feed itself data, more or less in the same way as we do it.
> XShm uses a buffer created in CPU memory allocated by the client that the X server then has to copy to the screen.

Fair enough. Even with XShmCreatePixmap, you are still never simply mmaping the card's actual entire framebuffer, unlike what BDirectWindow allows (if https://www.haiku-os.org/legacy-docs/benewsletter/Issue3-12.... is to believed, which is closer to something like DGA).
In XShm, the server still has to copy your shared memory segment to the actual framebuffer.

(sorry for previous answer here, I misunderstood your comment)

> No, for video, the GPU is used in the middle so you can do post-processing without copying everything into main memory and stalling the whole pipeline.

Depends on what you mean by "post-processing".
You can do many types of card-accelerated zero-copy post-processing using XV: colorspace conversion, scaling, etc. At the time, scaling the video in software or even just doing an extra memory copy per frame would have tanked frame rate -- Xine can be used to watch DVDs in PentiumII-level hardware. Obviously you cannot put the video in the faces of rotating 3D cubes, but this is precisely what I call "fancy animations".
But that was fair. Page wanted to do a browser super early, like years before the IPO, and Schmidt was brought in specifically to try and bring some focus to the company and balance out the founder's ambition with more "adult" execution. Yes eventually Chrome became a successful project and Schmidt wisely didn't pick a fight over it, but he wasn't wrong to insist the company try to avoid getting distracted with that so early in its life.
How do you know that? What did the ceo do?
True, but in same way SpaceX has also been in the rocket business for over 20 years, and building upon know how and organizational expertise gained from the Falcon 9.
Black Mesa: Relive Half-Life in this highly acclaimed, fan-made recreation
Those people aren't about openness. They seem to be members of "AI will kill us all" cult.

The real path to AI safety is regulating applications, not fundamental research and making fundamental research very open (which they are against).
Here's a question to ChatGPT I just made up:

>> A magical frog was counting unicorns. He saw 5 purple unicorns, 2 green unicorns, and 7 pink unicorns. However, he made a mistake and didn't see 2 unicorns: one purple and one green. Also, since he was a magical frog, he didn't see unicorns that were the same color as himself. How many unicorns did he count?

It correctly answers 11 for me.

To me this has demonstrated:

* "Understanding": It understood that "didn't see" implies he didn't count.

* "Knowledge": It knew enough about the world to know that frogs are often green.

* "Reasoning": It was able to correctly reason about how many should be subtracted from the final result.

* "Math: It successfully did some basic additions and subtractions arriving at the correct answer.

Crucially, I made this up right here on the spot, and used a dice for some of the numbers. This question does not exist anywhere in the training corpus!

I think this demonstrates an impressive level of intelligence, for what up until about a year ago I thought a computer would ever be capable of in my lifetime. Now in absolute terms of course current gen ChatGPT is clearly far less good at reasoning and understanding than most people (well, specifically it seems to me that it's knowledge and reasoning are super-humanly broad, but child-level deep).

Can future improvements to this architecture improve the depth up to "AGI", whatever that means? I have no idea. It doesn't automatically seem impossible, but maybe what we see now is already near the limit? I guess only time will tell.
This archive site has not worked for me even once, on mobile or desktop. I just get caught in a never ending captcha loop. Is it just me?

EDIT: Figured it out - I stopped using Google's public DNS server and started using my ISP's DNS server, and now I can use the site.
> If the board wants to turn the company into some fantasy AGI foundation

https://openai.com/charter

I think that's basically literally their charter?
A parent doing their own "research" can quickly dispute these claims. A popular term in the parent community is "screen kid" to describe those kids who come for a play-date but literally don't know what to do when there isn't a screen in their hand. Screen kids tend be more neurotic, distractible, emotional and totally addicted to screen time. It's a little bit of a hot topic since the parents who rely more on screen-time to manage their children tend to disagree.
No, that's too reductive - the behaviour is not solely explained by a unidimensional scalar like competence because there are actions that a greedy unethical competent company would take that another non-greedy ethical company would not take - so theres more dimensions than just competence.
Posts can go either way: I would say that some online exchanges have more of an oral cultural character and others have more of a literary cultural character.

(upon reading TFA, it seems it doesn't even care about the oral/literary distinction I had been trying to make; for TFA the important part of posting is the export of thoughts out of one's head, which can be done in either mode?)
How Martin Scorsese conquered TikTok at the age of 81
any footage of the splashdown ?
Works for me. No captcha. Not using a VPN, on my work wi-fi on my android phone. Using chrome
«I do something smart and I survive.» survives 5/5
It’s nice when you have the backing of a super power nation and their blank check to do it vs having shareholders.
Electricity prices, too. It'd cost me upwards of a 100 bucks per month to contribute to one of the @home projects. Not exactly pocket change.

It's also inherently inefficient, iirc every work package is dispatched to several clients and the majority result is used.
No, but there's no reason to get them from a gas station if you're not getting fuel. You can just go to your local convenience store.
If I recall, they really hoped it would work without it because the idea is to launch off the surface of other planets that won't have a deluge system. Not sure if that additional context makes it seem any less crazy to think it isn't needed though.
It definitely happens, but its not readily in their interest to turn themselves into just a rumor mill.
Can you try to reset your password at https://sp.vmssoftware.com ?
This exactly what I find worrisome. They really need the money, no?

As I understand the growth of chatGPT (both in number of users and capabilities) is only possible with more servers.

I'm right now developing on top of openAI API and I wonder if it's a good idea after all.
Show HN: MDServe – A minimalistic framework for creating websites with Markdown
Hey HN!

Wanted to share a very small project I put together over the last few days in my free time. MDServe lets you build websites using only Markdown. You can mix-and-match Markdown and HTML as you wish and it comes with a very basic method for providing Javascript.
yep it pretty much looks like a "you have good lawyers how where you so stupid to sign up for such a enormous high risk investment" (which on paper didn't hide the risk at all and where upfront about everything).

and I wouldn't be surprised if the under the table answer would be that they trusted under the table verbal promises of a certain ex-CEO and serious FOMO ;-)
Yeah the person/people who run archive.is doesn’t like certain DNS providers (CloudFlare, Apple) and this is what happens when you use one.

Happens on my phone every time.
What does one have to do to get past the captchas? These never, ever work for me.
"Maybe if I were playing with 8 friends IRL and we were all laughing at each other's attempts to survive"

That's the idea. Or over video call/stream, like Jackbox.
TL;DR: TFA’s a rehash, with nothing new. Flagged as a dupe.