skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
To be clear: With short-term I meant the mentioned 6 hours of the article. They use those 6 hours to create forecasts for up to 10 days. I would think that the initial predictors for a phenomenon (like a hurricane) are well inside that timespan. With long-term, I meant way beyond a 14-day window.
I know what the historical present is but its use here is confusing. Just use "dropped." If the headline needs the present use "leave".
I think way to many people are simply looking at LLMs as a sort of code completion, and judging it on correctness today, vs the rate of it's improvement and what it very well could be in the future.

All one has to do is look at how the latest LLMs perform against human level benchmarks today, and their rate of improvement from the past to see, if this continues, society is going to change.
Well, about ~150 years ago, someone explained that workers owning the means of production was necessary for technological progress to equate to societal progress. Unfortunately, the only people who really seemed to understand this were people who were in underdeveloped countries, and thus at risk of being exploited by others, and elites in the countries looking to do the exploiting. Predictably, because they were more wealthy and technologically advanced, the latter defeated the former and halted all progress toward the general goal of wedding technological and societal progress, leaving us where we are today.
for comparison over a longer time scale (1973-2018): https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2020/08/27/public-co...

Edit: if I read these correctly, xii.2018 had 44% for "a great deal" of confidence but x.2023 only has 23% for "a great deal" of confidence? If these results are indeed comparable: four legs good two legs bad baaa
Congratulations! You just won NaNoWriMo.
These all sounded like crap to me as well. I've heard earlier models had much higher radio power (that was possibly illegal) and worked better. They were an archaic tech by the time I was buying the adapters off amazon.
Any recommendations from his work for someone who hadn't heard of him before?
How Stone Walls Became a Signature Landform of New England
It's also used, at least for the high resolution precipitation forecast, in the default Android weather app (which is really part of the "Google" app situation).
That makes some sense. I remember thinking I might like Architecture combining aesthetics and engineering, then I met some in the program and thought I'm not weird enough--so not a (cargo) cult :-)
Love seeing the MIR research from CMU recently. Chris Donahue is the man!!
The speaker defines himself as a serial entrepreneur, which matches with your definition.
We need to keep programs small so they fit in the cache.
The same is possible by using Beeper. I’m running the app on my iPad and iPhone, so my WhatsApp messages can be read and replied to on both, as well as Signal, iMessage and other platforms messages.
Does it contain a drill?
Tesla wins by capturing all the demand of early customers exclusively.

Customers “winning” is short term thinking because the precedent set is that the product supply is controlled after they sell it, not before. Presale is not post sale control.

The best we can hope for is that the company doesn’t abuse the situation, but the point is when you sell something and someone has paid you in full you shouldn’t be able to dictate whether someone can exercise ownership rights on what they paid for fair-and-square.

There is a LOT of movement towards this kind of thinking because it creates protections for company profits and allows companies to manipulate the sale and repair ecosystems for their own benefit. That’s… not good.

And then tendency is to look for rent in that controlling contract, by extracting recurring payments in subscription form as well. So now the car company controls the price of what it sells, who can buy and sell it, what you can do with the product you paid for and even what features you paid for can transfer to third parties when you sell it. That’s a broad overreach and approaches a situation where you are licensing the car rather than purchasing it and in my opinion should be deeply resisted.
As the parent of two young kids, this report is both obvious and heartbreaking.

It’s so frustrating to see trucks and SUV’s which look like tanks driven 65mph down a road with a 35mph speed limit which I walk across daily.
Very interesting! Now I have to think how this could be used to make something productive! :D Maybe some sort of special bearing floating on the fludized sand you can turn of and stop/stabilize by turning thr gas pipe off ?
yes, so how does this fit the goal of underhandedly moving the mindshare towards interest in a stronger police state
> As State Farm says, "We know a thing or two because we've seen a thing or two".

That's Farmers, delivered by J.K. Simmons, not State Farm. State Farm is Jake, in his khakis.
> At one point, we wanted a command that would print a hundred random lines from a dictionary file. I thought about the problem for a few minutes, and, when thinking failed, tried Googling. I made some false starts using what I could gather, and while I did my thing—programming—Ben told GPT-4 what he wanted and got code that ran perfectly.

This is pretty basic stuff. It should not even require Googling unless you don't really know the language. This supports my belief that ChatGPT is simply going to replace the very bad programmers. But we never really needed them to begin with. I have no faith that GPT-4's code actually "ran perfectly"; this programmer clearly does not have the chops to tell whether or not the code was correct. And we're talking about, like, 100-level CS homework here.
REK can also handle most jets if necessary.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reykjav%C3%ADk_Airport
A library of open-source LLM prompts
Nobody's targeting you. You posted a hardwalled article, which is against HN's rules; that's all.
Grab Python 3.12, install IPython.

Install PyCharm

Forget everything you know and work through https://www.dabeaz.com/python-distilled/
Let's cross that bridge should we get to it :)
They look goofy next to German wagons.
I think this is true of all places, people just tend not to recognize it where they live.

One of my favorite ways to travel is by train or motorcycle over long distances, and just watch how architecture, clothing, styles, layouts, etc change or surprisingly don't change in response to geographical changes.

Both are possible, and both tell you a lot about the people there.
Thank you! That explains it in detail that I'd never been able to find before. Especially the part that immediately follows:

> Some graphic designers toyed with these specificities and mastered the 0.5 dot technique... “It’s a technique where by slightly changing the color of surrounding pixels, to the human eye it looks like the pixels move by around 0.5 pixels.” explains Kazuhiro Tanaka, graphic designer on Metal Slug (1996). His colleague Yasuyuki Oda adds that “Back in the old days, we’d say [to our artists] "add 0.5 of a pixel”, and have them draw in the pixels by taking scanlines into account. But with the modern Full HD monitor, the pixels comes out too clearly and too perfectly that you can’t have that same taste.“

That's a clear example, then, of something that looks worse in full-res. I hadn't been able to find an example like that before.

Thanks again -- this finally explains something I really didn't understand for the longest time.
No shit sherlock. After the decades of creating safety for the people inside the vehicle it's time to care for the others. You have airbags, belts, what not ... But that only makes you more careless, because you are safe in case of an accident.
Now do the same for the cyclists or pedestrians you might hit. Don't tell me that can't be done. Make the car slow when pedestrians are around you (20mph) and brake automatically before hitting someone and if it can't be avoided give them a soft cushion hit. If it can't be done that vehicle better stays out of any city.
Basically what I mean is - if it can do what it's meant to do - go to Mars - then it's also an easy space station replacement.

You can argue if it will get to Mars of you want. But silly to argue that anything that can get to Mars with human occupants won't be able to also orbit the earth with human occupants
ConvincerGPT helps you in crafting convincing messages
ConvincerGPT is an expert in crafting compelling, emotionally resonant messages. Try and give your feedback on this. I will continuously improve this.
Thank you for your response. Are these ML models initialized by gridded initial conditions measurements (such as the GDAS pointed out) or by NWP model forecast results (such as hour-zero forecast from the GFS)? Or are those one and the same?
Taking a lunch break. I used to work through lunch at my desk and then found that my focus and energy would really crash around 2-3. I have found that even taking a 30 minute break away from my desk keeps my energy high for the rest of the day.
I lament the loss of station wagons.
My hypothesis is that the root problem with social media is that it gives the trappings of social interaction without the real meat of social interaction. It's a bit like candy vs food in that sense, and you can't live happily on candy.
A more sensible approach for that use-case would be IMO to have well-defined specialized prefixes for padding, instead of relying on the case-by-case behavior of redundant prefixes. (However I understand that there's almost certainly a good historical reason why this was not the way it was done)
Ah, … interesting.

Firefox doesn't do such silliness.
My most charitable interpretation is that the astronaut thought the bag was attached to a tether given that it had a clip - which sadly wasn't attached to anything.
Some x86 instructions can have prefixes that modify their behavior in a meaningful way. Such a prefix can be applied generally to any instruction, but it's expected to have no effect when applied to an instruction it doesn't make sense with. But it turns out the CPU actually misbehaves in some cases when this is done. Intel released a CPU firmware update to fix it.
No but it is in 14 eyes.
Ask HN: Does Microsoft use saboteurs to undermine Google's products?
idk just a thought i had today. bing hires people to get hired at google to make googles product shittier like the search results for example
I’d rather have auto manufacturers figure out creative solutions to this problem rather than screw up auto designs for generations because of some broad-sweeping regulation.
Goldman Keeps Getting More Boring
I know I know but then there's a cable from where the phone is to the middle console where the aux port is. But true, it'd for sure be better sound quality.
I find it hard to take any mention of "preference" at face value in these sort of conversation.

People arguing for suburbs never, ever, ever acknowledge that the only reason that costs are cheaper outside of cities is because huge amounts of money are taken from those cities to fund the suburbs.

Much of this money shifting is done at the federal level (subsidized HUD/USDA loans, huge grants, regulations that massively favor cars) so there is no escaping it by moving around in the US. Some states are better about the balance, but there is no getting away from it.
maybe do it in another base rather than base 10. Just because we have 10 fingers does not mean a god does.
Find the "just right" packaging system will get someone nerdsniped, you can do that. Or you can do the commands below and get something running in 20 seconds using the built in tools. Nerdsnipe yourself later as an exercise.

python -m venv myenv.env
source myenv.env/bin/activate
pip install -U pip setuptools wheel
pip install ipython
ipython<return> now repl away!
Unless I'm making a "project" that I want to eventually package into an application or library, I prefer to just use pyenv with venv. Pyenv lets me pick my Python interpreter which I then use in conjunction with venv to create a virtual environment. For example, creating a venv with Python 3.9:

pyenv local 3.9
python -m venv my-env
source my-env/bin/activate
pip install [whatever I need]
This won't work because the people with the greatest need also have the least ability to pay. It would only make sense if you include a measure of how urban the area is.
Sounds like the real story should be that Google solved the halting problem. :-P
Micron (Mu) Sued by China's YMTC for Patent Infringement
I'm kinda surprised that this government science website doesn't seem to link sources. I'd like to read the research to understand how they're measuring the accuracy.
IIRC, they also used the remaining solid lava flow for district heating for a while so that it cooled down faster and could be trucked out of the way where necessary.
https://archive.ph/SOKJi
The burden of proof of negligence is problematic. Until we surrender additional privacy to a "more objective" monitoring system, it's too easy to murder someone with your vehicle and claim innocence.

When I'm riding my bicycle in a perfectly legal way on a roadway, and a driver gets irritated and tries to clip me, it's very difficult for me to prove that they acted in malice. If they clip me and I die hitting a guardrail, it's incredibly easy for them to claim it was an accident.

But that's an edge case and this type of culpability problem is common across many facets of humanity. The bigger issue may be that driving isn't treated with the seriousness it should warrant. In conditions where "sudden glare" is possible, one should drive their 4000lb vehicle at a speed that allows them to mitigate all but the most rare (freak) accident, like a 200lb alligator popping out of a manhole cover right in front of them. The human failure rate is real, but there's more we can do with process + tech + practice to mitigate it even smaller.

This level of care as a driver is directly counter to what the automobile industry wants as the image of their product: an easy, convenient and essential tool to be used every day.
Last I heard this is illegal -- yet here in SoCal it's pretty much fallen into the "unenforced" bin, along with unmuffled exhausts.
Nope, this implies there are feelings and care involved with the employees and that they gave a respectful layoff. We both know this didn't happen here. This isn't some happy parent cheering their kid on to do their best, nor even a sad partner breaking off a relationship. Just a business cutting corners. .

And again, "if we are to succeed", yeah, as if Amazon is going to fail if they don't make all the profits in every sector.

The weasel words here are the point. I'm tired of them.
You forgot Dogecoin.
There's evidence that having super high LDL cholesterol on keto may be fine (do your own research, obviously). Check out https://cholesterolcode.com/ and look up Dave Feldman. Some really interesting research will be coming out soon.
You seem to be inventing legal terms and ideas like an improvisational poet ("authority of agency over the comatose"????).

How could that possibly help?
So is maxing out your credit card and going on an epic Spring Break, but we don't pretend that those kinds of vacations should be subsidized by the state and given special tax privileges like Colleges.
If you discover a major processor vulnerability and wanna name it Shredder/Krang/Bebop/Rocksteady, I feel like you will have earned that right!
Actually it's the Federal Government who is ultimately backing these student loans, and it is the Federal Government that made student debt non-dischargeable in bankruptcy.
The best way to deal with it would put colleges on the hook for it. If a student declares bankruptcy their student debt is gone, and the college using their massive endowments can eat it.
Jinx you owe me a coke.
Think about what it means in terms of the justice system. If people really don't have free will, should be they really be punished for the crimes they commit?

OTOH, if it's really true that none of us have free will, then all of this is moot, because everything that is going to happen is what's going to happen, no more, no less. Of course I had no choice but to say that...
a random walk over the 10th roots of unity
Super stoked for a few things.

List expressions I'm overly excited about. Can't wait to use and of course dictionary expressions will be amazing in the future.

EF Core complex types. Also it'll be fantastic when these can be used to model composite keys.

The using enhancements. Hopefully I don't end up overusing tuples.

If Orleans had secretly been working on reminders v2 it'd be early Christmas.
Hey, thanks to everyone who responded to this comment with interesting and educational tidbits. That's the sort of stuff I very much appreciate about HackerNews. Can always count on finding new and interesting knowledge to explore here.
Normally this place gives me anxiety (so many things to learn) but people's dismissiveness of LLMs here gives me hope for a change.

I feel like if LLMs make writing software significantly easier (and that's a big if) , they are going to make it easier for everyone and everything. That will bring its own problems. Stuff that is barely achievable today may be the norm. The website of the mom and pop shop next door may need the graphics of an AAA title to stay in business. Securing things will be difficult because malicious actors will have their own LLMs. People will have new gadgets that do things that we didn't know we needed. Maybe I will be programming drones that can fetch beer from the fridge. I can really use one right now. There's so many things that can still be improved, imo it is hard to think that a potential jump in productivity will make software development less important. It might result in same people undertaking bigger tasks.
Where I live, Deliveroo riders ride like they are immortal. I'm amazed I don't see a few dead per day. Run through red lights, zigzag through traffic, ride on the wrong side of the road.

And I'd imagine it's driven by the incentives/constraints of the job. I never see anyone ride that crazy.

I'd say a 17-yo doesn't have the maturity to understand that this is not worth a daily dose of a milimort.

Further complicating things, Deliveroo riders aren't even employees (maybe that's changed recently). They are contractors and so the risks of doing a dangerous job are offloaded onto them by the company. An employer would be liable for eg setting delivery times that necessitate reckless riding, a B2B contractor is expected to do their own risk assessment.

So I think it's fair to treat these 17-yo as children in this context, and certainly as exploited.
This is how I invest on the stock market as well. I look for upward trajectories, then I extrapolate them to the amount of money I want to make. I invest and wait for the trajectory to keep going up and reach that point.

It's just simple physics of course. Do we doubt that an artilleryman won't hit his target? Of course not!
Half of the .Net ecosystem doesn't work with AOT either.
I don't think that's a given, the software pie itself could get much, much bigger than it is today and necessitate more SWEs in absolute numbers (Even if the % of SWEs at companies declines).
https://archive.ph/GYs1L
I live in Detroit so what you’re saying does not surprise me in the least bit. I have some friends in automotive at some of the big 3, and suppliers, and I’ve heard some really terrible stories.
Also some volcanic gases that might be released are quite poisonous & can be blown by wind around the place.
Yes! If I can not use traffic light I will do that. Because green traffic light is just a signal and not ten feet thick concrete wall.
How? It isn't exactly easy to re-produce these examples. I'd have to write a few pages to document and explain it. And scrub it to remove anything too internal, so create a vanilla example of the bug. And then it would be too long to go into a post, so what then, I'd have to go sign up to blog it somewhere and link to it.

I'm not arguing that GPT is bad. Just that it is as susceptible to rabbit wholes as any human.

I'm actually having a hard time narrowing down where your frustration is aimed.

At naysayers? At those that don't put effort into documenting? At GPT itself? Or that a news site on the internet dares have repetition ?
If I take your picture and record your voice in public and make a blockbuster movie staring you using this technology, you wouldn’t think that would be an issue? Presuming you are not a member of SAG-AFTRA.
Define "accident". There are very few circumstances where correct attentive driving technique ends up as an "accident". Most so called accidents are not "accidental". It had a predictable causation chain caused by the driver's behavior. Personally, I hate that word, much prefer "incident".

Driving too close is not an accident. Driving too fast for the conditions is not an accident. Weaving around in traffic to gain a spot. Not looking at who is in the crosswalk before driving through it. Not yielding at a merge. Racing the lights to get there before it is red/or just after. Not having your brakes, tires, lights, suspension, etc in correct working condition. Driving too tired, or under the influence. Sure, most of the time nothing happens, so people get used to thinking these are how driving is done (and it is in the US). But just because one normally gets away with it does not mean these are not dangerous behaviors, and they're absolutely under the drivers control.

Not accident, incident.

Read up on "normalization of deviance" (wiki page is pretty light but it is a start: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Normalization_of_deviance). Aviation has long recognized this and training emphasizes not getting caught in that behavioral trap.
It's really at the point where you need a bunch of cameras to get a 360° view of what's around your car.

I'd never realized how bad the visibility was before having a car with that feature. I'm surprised I haven't run over anything important in all of the years I've been driving.
I love 10mm wrenches so much I bought a Japanese motorcycle :P I do so much better with whole numbers than fractions.
Not sure what other errata you're referring to, but this looks like an off-by-one in the microcode. I would expect the fix to have zero or minimal penalty.
ModRM and SIB are not a prefix, they're part of the opcode (second and third byte after all the prefixes and the 0Fh/0F38h/0F3Ah opcode map selectors)
https://archive.ph/ygKuJ