skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
There must be oodles of good "chess via text" in the training data. So they're pretty good at chess.

But, without even checking, I know that all the real-world predictions in the training data (written by humans) is utter garbage. And that's without even assuming that 4chan (or 4chan-quality) text slipped into it. Humans are bad at predicting the real world, and convinced thoroughly that they're good and it's just other people who are bad.

If one could prepare a training dataset large enough, with good predictions (which aren't necessarily correct predictions), would an LLM trained on that become good at it?

[edit] This is a (bad?) assumption that humans could be good predictors, and that there's not something that just rules it out entirely. If they could, and if you could prepare the dataset of that. If they can't because physics disallows it or something, then LLMs which crudely mimic how humans predict these things will also find it impossible.

I don't think it's impossible to be good at prediction (should be possible, at least if we narrow the categories a bit), I just think we all suck at it.
There are no fractional reserve requirements anymore. And (almost) all money is debt anyway, even by definition with some definitions.

"As announced on March 15, 2020, the Board reduced reserve requirement ratios to zero percent effective March 26, 2020. This action eliminated reserve requirements for all depository institutions."

https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/reservereq.htm
It was hyperbole. I should have been clearer and stated that They should be embarrassed.
Anecdote: I hade my Revolut account suspended for 24 hours for a reason they refused to disclose yet admitted as their mistake last week
I can see smaller versions of these mounted on the side or back of garbage trucks someday.
Exactly, he lied and eventually got caught lying.
Related: https://www.outsideonline.com/health/wellness/sunscreen-sun-...
The purpose of "driverless cars" and ultimately of any automation is to obscure responsibility and prevent accountability.
The attrition rate was very high. The claim that it's easy was based on a few anecdotes, which aren't representative of the trial participants.
WasmFX: Effect Handlers for WebAssembly
Oldest black hole found, and it may solve a cosmic mystery
Could you elaborate on what you mean by that? To me this looks like a code generation library, an approach I like because of its concreteness and adaptability (for example, if we changed it to emit opcodes then it could be used for dynamic code generation, which has many fun and interesting applications.)

Also this post is aimed at the author's imagined teenage self. Does that change anything?
Good point. I wasn't aware that cinnamon was used as an adulterant to improve cinnamon marketability
> Kind of eye opening and makes me think I should move somewhere like Denmark while I’m still young and working.

No part of the US wants any of us to retire. You are to work until you die and please do so after giving two months notice and please expire at home. If you can leave you should. We all should. Not many of us can leave.
I have an even crazier idea, what if we just voted for straight up expropriation?

But I don't feel like having this discussion with someone who by all likely hood wouldn't be affected by this issue since they don't own any rental properties to begin with, wouldn't be affected by this in any way, and is just making an argument from an ideological reflex

Not every country is a corrupt failed state and plenty of western representative democracies have acted on behalf of their constituents best interests

If you dont make a good faith argument but instead throw your hands up saying "they're all crooks anyway" then what's the point of even trying?
They shouldn't have been doing BSL4 level experiments in a BSL2 lab, and it got out by accident.

The experiments shouldn't have happened in the first place... but that's another issue.

The leaks were inevitable and predictable, which is why it should have been at least a BSL4 lab, that's another issue.

No vast conspiracy, no fringe theories about bioweapons... just trying to get experiments done on the cheap.

If we funded science research properly, the work would have been far better organized and managed.
> Nowadays we’re forced to leave our countries to avoid poverty

Well you're allowed to leave your country for one thing. How many more would have left the USSR et al. if they hadn't had to risk being murdered by border guards?

> Almost everyone older tells us how much worse off we are than they were during socialism

Which country is that?

> But at least the remaining socialist countries are slowly winning.

I'll bite... name a single "socialist" country that's winning.
Lots, but also not much.

Google is still making money, people still need homes.

Was probably always a pipedream.
Pentagon UFO boss to step down next month
Forbes has been reduced to a blogging platform for a long time now.

Exhibit A:

https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidthier/2016/07/09/level-up-...
"How we collect data

We have 11,210,350 torrents which where classified and which are using now for collecting peer sharing facts (up to 200.000.000 daily). We don't guarantee we can show ALL peer sharing facts:

User could download torrent which we don't have"

The other possibility is the user blocks the IP addresses that these folks are using. Thus the user never connects to them as a peer and never appears in the "peer sharing facts".
Makes sense. The approach would then be to inform them that "We'll comply with MISRA, but you'll get poor code quality." It's their choice.

Put yourself in their shoes. As they're not doing the coding, it's riskier for them to sit with you and understand the code and all the exceptions you made to MISRA.
It would atleast show both of you are good in your respective fields. Also the predictions could be mild in nature since everything is based on hunch, we want the guy who gets the best hunches.
My parents were paying 5% of one salary on rent. People younger than me can barely afford rent by pooling together several salaries. The metrics improved for the capitalists that pillaged our countries during the 90s, for sure.

It’s pointless talking when you’re so ideologically blinded. Probably because you profit from the exploitation of others, so it’s in your material interest.
For more trivial use cases, sure, but not for harder stuff like working with US law and precedent.

The US Code is on the order of tens of millions of tokens and I shudder to think how many billions of tokens make up all the judicial opinions that set or interpreted precedent.
So, my client (an HVAC company) is in a more secure position than a government agency. That is disturbing, but not surprising.
Not to anywhere near the same extent. Meaning, not when it matters.
Apple products are also very well known. Readers are likely more interested in scans of familiar products than something from a lesser-known company.
Cute and whimsical, but I was thinking along the lines of context for answering "why?"

"..because it was defined at [....] and used [....] and [...] as a int32 type (thus coerced to int64), but passed in [...] as a"
You're endorsing a social media platform that only allows "positive" posts and comments. Not only is this easily game-able ("I bet you're a great cook!" instead of "get back in the kitchen") but it also raises a bunch of new dilemmas and problems and a bunch of "unintended" (but foreseeable) consequences.
1+ bottle wine?
A good recent paper on implementing message passing over shared memory:

"Message Passing or Shared Memory: Evaluating the Delegation Abstraction for Multicores"

https://cs.brown.edu/~irina/papers/2013-opodis.pdf
My two cents from the perspective of smaller financial institutions - cores do not care about making it easier for you to move off of them. They probably wouldn’t mind making it easier to move on, but core conversions are such a nightmare that they have dedicated onboarding teams for this with lots of tooling and knowledge, and since everyone else’s data structures are different, there’s no point standardizing your own.

Additionally, there are, like, three big players in the space (at our level, at least). When you’re choosing a core, you’re probably going to be more concerned by questions such as “what percentage of our total revenue will go to this one application” and “what features can we use to save us tons of work and money” and “will this make us more money”. You probably won’t be too concerned with whether converting off the core fifteen years down the line is super difficult or “just” pretty difficult. If you do ask, all three will give you the same answer anyways.
Im currently passionate in improving the life of my young nephew. His father left him devoid of a father figure while his mother is a mess who takes her frustrations out on him. Ive only just turned 19 but I’m trying my best to work on myself so I could be a good male role model for him. Myself and my mom (his grandma) are the only ones who care about him, his education, and his growth. I really just want to make sure this lil fella grows up to be a good man and not mimic the paths of his parents.
a problem that a lot of these series run into is that the author runs out of steam before they finish writing them. crenshaw's otherwise excellent series suffers from this, for example

so far the author of this one has only written the first chapter

i've written a few didactic compilers that are complete enough to compile themselves, though not complete enough to compile anything else; these may be of more interest to someone who's looking for how to make writing a compiler surprisingly easy, though they do lack the extensive explanatory text in the linked blog post

- http://canonical.org/~kragen/sw/urscheme (from a subset of scheme to at&t-syntax i386 assembly, 1553 lines of code)

- https://github.com/kragen/stoneknifeforth (from a forth-like language to an i386 linux elf executable, 132 lines of code)

- https://github.com/kragen/peg-bootstrap/blob/master/peg.md (from a peg grammar with semantic actions to javascript, 66 lines of code)

- https://github.com/kragen/peg-bootstrap/blob/master/handaxew... (tangles a literate program in virtually any plain-text format, such as markdown, html, restructuredtext, or tex, into virtually any plain-text programming language, 208 lines of code; used to tangle both itself and the peg compiler compiler above)

- http://canonical.org/~kragen/sw/dev3/meta5ix.m5 (from meta5ix, a language for writing parsers derived from val schorre's meta-ii, to meta5ix assembly, 18 lines of code; it is a top-down parsing language with limited backtracking, like pegs, but less expressive and implementable without heap allocation or the ability to backtrack past the beginning of a line; see http://canonical.org/~kragen/sw/dev3/meta5ixrun.py for an m5asm interpreter)

- http://canonical.org/~kragen/sw/dev3/meta5ix2c2.m5 (from a slightly different variation of meta5ix to c, 133 lines of code)

most of these do take the same ast-free approach as the linked blog post and crenshaw, just emitting code as they finish parsing a production (or, in the case of stoneknifeforth, a token), but ur-scheme in particular does not; it uses scheme s-expressions as its syntax tree, because some kind of syntax tree is necessary to be able to allocate some local variables on the stack while also supporting closures. peg-bootstrap can certainly handle code that builds an ast with its semantic actions, but its implementation of itself just glues together snippets of javascript text

also worth mentioning in this connection:

- darius bacon's work, especially parson (for example, https://github.com/darius/parson/blob/master/eg_calc_compile...)

- the oberon compiler in wirth and gutknecht's oberon book

- the later chapters of sicp
Unfortunately, no one will trust that a work survey is anonymous. They sent it to an email address that includes my name, with a unique link. And it's often possible to just infer who it is.
Promised housing improvements while selling approval for a deal but it turns out you won’t profit after the market changes?

Back out and protect your investors - screw housing.

Sigh. I hate corporations.
Are you for real or just joshin’?
Likely and eventually are doing a lot of work for the US over decades, the hypothetical person is already unable to open a brokerage account since mid last decade in many countries.

First world children accidentally having US citizenship from their parents youthful indiscretions aren't so happy this decade with their inability to use normal financial services in their own country.

There's the possibility that the US gets sidelined in global finance but otherwise there's no reason to assume it won't continue with its current momentum instead of recently developed progressions somehow being steady state.

Going to the US as some kind of fun few year adventure is really no longer something someone should contemplate without first consulting non existent neutral international financial/immigration/legal council. If you aren't sure of a very specific goal/desire consider if somewhere else might work well enough instead.
I run a fibre ISP in Ontario. Where I live and operate we have rocks, hills and trees. WISPs are not a realistic option to service many of the customers we serve.
By far the most pro comment in this thread, should be much higher.
The author provides claims with no evidence of impact on public health. Meanwhile, we have plenty of evidence with regards to sun exposure and skin cancer.
> Or maybe because there wasn't actually a good case to block the merger?

OK, then she shouldn't have taken the case and wasted time!!!! Exactly my point. I am confused as to how she got the job when she seems wildly out of her depth.
Considering you walk around and don’t have a problem with it, I’d wager that putting a more realistic walk model into a game and changing the control scheme to be a bit more natural would lead to a learnable system for control that would achieve both goals. Say ZMP
It's a pretty common position outside of the USofA, one held by political students globally and, if you care to dig back, one held by the founders of the USSR who held (textbook) communism ahead as a worthy eventual goal that made up for the intermediate period od state controlled capitalism.

Ask around, no one who fled the USSR will tell you the actual people at ground level were in control.

Even within the US you can find people that weren't caught up with the McCathy era mislabelling and understood the abuse of terminology:

https://www.umass.edu/pubaffs/chronicle/archives/02/10-11/ec...

Sure, many in the USofA called the USSR state "communist" but that didn't make it an example of what intended when the word came about.

We can at least agree, I trust, that regardless of the naming of the state authoritarianism within the USSR that it sucked as a system to live under.
All the bank knows is that they tried to get to know someone as required and that person gave them bad info. This is either intentional or unintentional.

Now, they could go in for a high-touch customer care process, but that has drawbacks. It's expensive. Every person intentionally providing incorrect information is going to claim it's unintentional, meaning that this high-touch customer care process is going to have to double as a strong anti-fraud screening. From the bank's perspective, this is failure-prone and needlessly risky.

If we're seeing like a customer, this is a shitty experience that they can't understand, negotiate, or do anything about. They're being punished and don't know why. If we're seeing like a bank, it's a way to control a risk for a known price.
With comments GitHub looks like HN except one less click to click.
I just happen to be visiting Barcelona for a few days. Is it possible to visit the BSC?

Any other nerd recommendations that can spare me from yet another Passeig de Gracia walk?
Don't hats protect face reasonably well?

(not talking baseball hats here:)
Teens are a big deal. I don’t have any input.

But for adults, as status seeking individuals we’ve been given a platform that allows us to efficiently vie for status against one another.

The innuendos, humble bragging, etc. how is that any different than driving a Porsche down the freeway? Is social media more pervasive, gamified, and convenient? Is that why it’s bad?

I subscribe to the idea that social media is society holding a mirror up to itself. It is certainly divisive, but if all that had ever prevented that division is this rapid dissemination we have now, is that really the platforms’ faults?

It’s just more raw, real, fake, and everything people are anyway.
Dystopian future
The quantum computer is corruption. They created an spin-off where some management guys have shares on the company. Then launched a procurement. Only the spin-off company went for the procurement and won.

This was paid with European Funds and is illegal.

https://contrataciondelestado.es/wps/poc?uri=deeplink%3Adeta...
Judging by the amount of people that are Vitamin D deficient according to the medical community, makes me really wonder if the medical community would think twice about giving you tips that make you continue being vitamin D deficient. It doesn't seem to be important to them.
Show HN: Javaflame – Simple Flamegraph for your Java application
Javaflame will generate a flamegraph of your application function calls, including the argument values and the return of each function.

Check https://beothorn.github.io/javaflame to see an example.

There are already some tools that render flamegraphs for java, but they are focused on measuring performance or require some other process running along with the application. They also record function calls, but do not record the arguments or return values from those functions.

I needed instead something to help understand and debug my applications that was better than adding breakpoints and slowly step over every call.

This is a simple java agent that renders a flamegraph on a html file, no extra dependencies or other processes involved. All you need is an extra argument passed to the JVM on the command line pointing to the java agent.

It calls toString on every parameter and return value of every function that is included on the filter, so I wouldn't use this outside your dev machine.
The main issue with this riff trial is that it doesn't test the most likely reason the potato diet works: that it's a very restrictive diet. Testing several different hypotheses barely helps at all if you don't test the overwhelmingly most likely one.
You're a fool if you think the EPA is at fault. A 2022 Ford F-series catalytic converter costs $824 at retail, much less in volume. The average car in the USA is 12 years old so that's $70 per year per car to have a catalytic converter. Each year almost 300,000 early deaths (1 in 1100) people are prevented by EPA pollution controls. People tend to die about 10 years early from air pollution deaths (MIT - 2013). The return on investment is estimated to be 30:1.

https://www.epa.gov/clean-air-act-overview/benefits-and-cost...

Air Pollution dropped 77% from 1970 - 2020. Assuming that early deaths scale up and down linearly with air pollution, I calculate (***) that this should result in the average person living at least 3.8 months longer, at a cost of $70/yr, or a rate of $266/yr for a longer life. What rate would YOU pay annually to live a year longer?

A gym membership costs at least $500 annually (including travel and equipment) and yields an average 3.4-year increase in life expectancy, but you spend 150 minutes a week exercising which is 1.6 waking-years engaged in exercising ... so the net is $500 annually for 1.8 net years of extra (free-time) of life, or $277/yr annually to live a year longer?

=== Footnotes ===

(***) - https://news.mit.edu/2013/study-air-pollution-causes-200000-...

According to a 2013 MIT study the death rate from air pollution is 200,000 per year in the USA, and people die about a decade too soon, so 2M years of lifetime are lost per year. 1/70th of our country dies each year which is 4.7m people. So if air pollution were eradicated from 2013 levels, people would get to live about 5.1 months (12 * 2m/4.7m) longer, at a cost of only $70/car/yr over their lifetime as adults. Air pollution is down 77% from peak, so If I take 0.77 of 5.1 months I get 3.9 months. In 2020 air pollution was already less than half of 1970 levels so the savins are actually much, much higher.

https://www.statista.com/statistics/1137375/air-pollution-de....
>> Individual House Representatives usually have high approval ratings from people who voted them in while Congress as a whole has a terrible approval rating.

> Yes, that's true. (And the Senate is no different.) What does it mean?

Red voters tend to live in red seats & states, blue voters tend to live in blue seats and states.
> Did they use a tripod everywhere they go?

Yep, there's a whole world of tools designed to avoid camera shake¹: Tripods, monopods, gimbals, dollies, suction mounts, etc.

¹ Unless that's what you're going for, e.g. Blair Witch Project
There’s a difference between predictions which can be reasonably ascertained from the inputs and those which cannot. No language model can tell you the outcome of a fair coin flip.

If you want a reasonable test, you can test autoregressive models on out of domain tasks like MNIST classification after pasting raw pixel values into the chat. This is a meaningful test because there’s enough information in the input to determine the outputs (any CS undergrad can train a model to do this).

For the cases tested in the article, we can’t tell if there’s just not enough information to make a decision, or if the task is too far out of domain. Given GPT’s performance in other out of domain tasks, it’s likely the issue is both in this case.
Yes, it will only stop when there no longer people to do it. We are in agreement in that.
Pick any two small businesses in the same niche. Grow them for three or four decades. How identical do you think their evolved business practices will be?

My very very naive take is that they will have had to solve similar problems over time and will have practices and systems that work analogously. I would bet they will probably not use identical software packages or data structures and will have had little reason to structure their internal operations around someone else's standards. This is especially likely to be true of standards that came along well after the companies already solved the problems the standards are aimed at.
>> or perhaps another embedded coding standard, like AUTOSAR.

I can deal with MISRA, it's just a safer subset of C. Most people demanding AUTOSAR compliance don't even know what AUTOSAR was created for, or the fact that those use cases never actually happen in practice. It's so fucked up I won't even work for a company producing AUTOSAR code any more. It's just a hard NO from me because it's an absolute waste of time and money.
We're talking about cybersecurity here. Of course I'll open up that PDF without hesitation!

/s

https://www.google.com/search?q=pdf+used+in+cyber+attack
Aka a function tongue-in-cheek :p
That would be cool but doesn't really serve their purpose, which is to promote their technology. Besides, once they start making comparisons between competitors, they run the risk of angering companies and their fans.
> And you're currently telling me the bottleneck is memory.

Not memory, but virtual pages implementation in linux, which is apparently single threaded and doesn't scale to high throughput. There was a patch to fix this, but it didn't make to mainline: https://lore.kernel.org/lkml/20180403133115.GA5501@dhcp22.su...
There's no such threat against almost everybody with clearances.
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