skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
The case analysis would drive, what i'd hope to be, "humble abduction" rather than the variety we've become acustomed to.

Ie., rather than say "vaccines cause autism" we'd say: here are some cases where they co-occur; here is an empirical investigation into possible causes in these cases; here's the risk profile across various possible 'abductions'.

Were we to lack any good science of immunology, etc. we'd have to stop there and then start a risk analysis assuming each possible universal conclusion was true, hence giving a kind of "policy ensemble".

Since we have good-enough immunological science, and so on, we can show that the lack of anything other than time-correlated instances makes the likelihood of a causal relationship near zero (in epistemic risk terms, at least).

In otherwords, I expect for most areas we're interested in, there is never going to be anything close even to immunology -- let alone physics. I dont think many of the world's universals are statable.

Namely, i think chaotic non-linear systems preclude it; and systems with power-law like behaviour make collecting enough data practically impossible.

I'm sceptical there will every be anything more than sociology for society; literature for articulating inner psychological experiences; etc.

This is, in part, why stats is doubly harmful in these cases. It isnt a kind of protoscience, it's acutally pseudoscience which gets in the way of 'humble abductions'
OpenWrt has transitioned its default cryptographic library from wolfssl to mbedtls. This shift brings several changes and implications:

* Users should be aware that mbedtls 2.28 no longer supports TLS 1.3.

Am I reading this correctly? They switched to a different tls library that doesn't support TLS 1.3?
I could maybe do 12 months without bringing in a paycheque by digging into savings, for sure.

The problem is that to properly bootstrap does mean there's things you'll need to pay out of pocket for that aren't just your own labour: for me this would be things like UX / graphic design, hosting costs, etc. That stuff can add up.
If you decide it is a red flag, it is a red flag.

That's how red flags work.

Anyway some red flags say "uneven pavement."

Some say "bridge out."

How you treat each of them depends on what you are driving, where you are going, and why you are going there.

Good luck.
From the comments about pivots, there are arguably two forms:

1) after digging a deep hole, or even a mine, deciding no treasure, and starting a new mine

2) checking whether the shovel breaks the surface easily, and moving around till it can dig

It may be true VC want diggers to see how deep the mine can go before giving up, it may also be true VC want diggers to scrabble around surface area at the start until there's at least some sign of purchase. Those aren't exclusive.
Any posts with “Launch HN” are promoted posts from YC startups.
The Cure for [Git] Merge Madness – Kaleidoscope Blog
I believe the author made a simple math error.

Economic returns of VC-backed companies follow a power law distribution. This means that the vast majority of the returns for the VC are at the "fat head" of the distribution. The "long tail" does not impact returns, for the VC.

However, for the founder, those returns in the tail can be life-changing. It takes a $5B exit for YC to care. But a $5M exit can be real money for the founder.

So the correct math, from the perspective of the founder, is not "what % are unicorns" but rather "what % sell for more than capital invested" and that number is likely to be closer to 50% than 1%.
I still do not get an idea about why Starlink has more privacy than 3G.
So how come everyone is praising geothermal energy?
If you reduce the social organizational structure aka the government system of democracy to "mass voting" or "voters opinion" you pretty much end up in an incentive structure where being "irrational" i.e. doesn't cost you or or in the words of Caplan:

>when it is [relatively] cheap to believe something (even when it is wrong) it is rational to believe it.

"Engineering" (manipulation of the environment) is the most intuitive for humans to sort out irrational beliefs.

"Science" is a method of eliminating human bias (preconceived notions) beforehand as much as possible as to maximize the space of possibilities in terms of technology ("knowledge").

"Anarchy" in the realm of social order in its most basic form minimizes the abuse of power of the few by optimizing structures of hierarchical order.

Every single one of the human enterprises is non-telic, a constant work in progress. My sense is that through its accelerated atomized structure and loss of power "the West" has lost itself in delusions and constant anxiety resulting in disproportionate numbers of megalomaniac leaders free of account and apathetic citizens giving up agency.

Everyone wants to live in "interesting times" but no one wants to live through it with one lifeline and a 52.5% chance of belonging to the bottom 1.2% in terms of credit points (wealth) and dependent on highly corrupt structures. I surely wouldn't play that game, so what do I care what my rational beliefs are (no participation) as long as every belief I fancy has an underlying cynicism it is a far effective short-term strategy to avoid being "scammed" which could potentially cost the lifeline.
Ontario securities regulator – artificial intelligence use in capital markets
I'm in batch 7 of this laptop's shipment waves which I expect to actually release mid to late December and it seems like that's a good thing. Still very much looking forward to it, but being super early in the AMD 7040 series releases adds to some stability situations. Overall, I'm not worried about kernel support and compatibility over the next few months, especially as the AMD 7040s release with other manufacturers as well.
Why can't employees sue the US government? That seems absolutely bonkers.

(I'm British, so don't have a huge context for these things)
Getting to $500k comp as an employee isn't exactly a walk in the park either.
"I initially planned to scale but eventually realized the company wouldn't make enough to survive, as happens to most startups. I chose to scale down and make the company profitable instead of killing it." Could the VCs really argue against that in court? It's well-known that most startups fail without any scamming.
You can't leave your desk whenever you want. And when you leave your desk, you've always this social/peer pressure to ensure there aren't any complaints about you being frequently away or for longer, for example.

That's not freedom. What's not freedom isn't richness. The attached price tag doesn't matter.
In all the projects I worked on, the comment disappeared after a few years, or removed thanks to OPs method. And the code became unreadable.

I have never seen code that was self-documented. It’s always a mess because the devs are too lazy to write comments.
It’s possible with hard work and decent luck, but if you look behind the scenes it almost always involves family money. There’s a lot of carefully cultivated imagery around hardworking founders, and it’s true that many of them put in long hours, but that’s not sufficient in most cases unless you can also take advantage of things like free real estate or being able to get your first million in funding from your parent’s friends.

There’s a similar vein of story which repeats frequently in the news where some young couple has a “we bought a house in our 20s!” feel-good story and it’s like “I packed lunch every day, only went out to eat once a week, and we lived in my parent’s investment apartment for 3 years rent free” where the Calvinist tone directs all of the attention to the first part.
> Tech geeks tend to assume everybody wants to live in anarchy.

The tone I get here is that tech geeks assume we want to live in a civil society, where one can plead their case and see Apple unlock the device when one has shown they have legal ownership and possession of it.

But, if the story is telling the whole story, anarchy is what we are living in. Apple just goes off and does its own thing without recourse.
I bet the distribution of outcomes among all YC participants tells a different story - not all or nothing. Getting acquired or acqui-hired, while not as prestigious, often nets the founders as much or more than the opportunity cost of not taking lucrative tech jobs. And surely there are plenty that need to close up shop without any financial outcome at all as well, but again, would love to see the distribution.

Also, even those who do not net any financial outcome, how many of those founders would say they regret going through YC? Guessing they have built a great network, learned a ton more than they would have as an IC at a big company, and are well positioned to do whatever they want to next, even joining a big company after all.
This is not that easy outside the FAANG bubble
There are actually other options. I'm 38 and managed to eke out about 2 years of runway without touching VC money from grants and private donations. No family money or huge savings.

If you're building interesting things in an area where many people are annoyed with the status quo, you can according to my survivorship bias have money thrown at you, which then becomes self-reinforcing, since you can put more time into the project and find more success.

But there's admittedly a chicken and egg problem. I only got to that point by not having much work-life balance.
That wouldn't explain the intentional destruction of the blackberry phones and the deletion of thousands of emails.
GitHub issues. I have a repo called `me` and I create issues in it.

It all revolves around labels, and I store just about everything there, from lists of web design inspiration to random ideas I come up with (each labelled appropriately, in those cases with "list" and "Idea" respectively). It's particularly useful for tracking todos, since I can just close the issue once I finish the todo.
OpenAI has quietly changed its 'core values,' putting greater emphasis on AGI
The title is clickbait - they found a connection between two mathematical objects by using a third mathematical object to translate between the two. The third mathematical object also happens to be useful in physics.
Google only partially started in Susan Wojcicki's parent's garage. The reality is that L&S already did a bunch of the Google work at Stanford.

Same with e.g. Netscape. It started as a fork of Mosaic, already developed and paid for by a team.

Anyways, largely agreeing with you. Rich parents or favourable conditions generally play into it.

The other thing is that these conditions also tend to bias things such that even for the people who "bootstrap", they're young; which means that experienced, "wise" engineers ... who generally have lives and responsibilities ... are on the whole excluded. Which I think has a deleterious effect on the kind of products/projects that can make it to market.
There is a bit of a point here re: maximizing expected values vs individuals only getting one lifetime to walk finite iterations of the path.

So one path you take the startup route where you dedicate 10 years of your life going deep into a single idea in hopes you are one of the 1% to come up with a $1B idea. That dice has a $10M EV.
(actually exaggerated high bc you are unlikely to be a sole founder, unlikely to monetize the full $1B of a unicorn yourself, and 1% success rate is for YC cohorts.. which you have an X% chance of getting into to start with!).

On the other hand you can focus on T-shaped skills in software engineering & domain expertise, possibly some entrepreneurship.. you course correct that career year to year in a 30 year career, possibly changing jobs every 2/3/5 years as appropriate. Let's exaggerate and say you have a 25% chance of making $500K. That dice has an EV of $125K.. peanuts!

The $10M EV dice you get maybe 2-3 rolls in a lifetime versus ~40 rolls annually at the $125K EV dice option.
This still sounds like the first EV is better - $25M vs $5M!

However 97% of EV=$10M dice rollers get $0 over there entire life.
Hypothetically every EV=$125K dice roller will win 7.5 times in their life because they get so many rolls.

It seems to me the fetishizing of youth and 20 something founders whereas the optimal path for an INDIVIDUAL might be to roll the boring $125k dice for a while, building up savings and experience.. and then try a few rolls of the $10M dice later in life when you may actually have realer ideas, a professional network, etc.
Not at all actually. That's half a million dollar compensation we're talking about. That's not the norm or average compensation.
text files + Tasks app on android + Notally

I like to keep it simple and purge what's no longer needed. It probably looks heavy to anyone else than me, but I find it pretty compact.
not just that, but for example my mousewheels sensor is basically unusable (when I scroll either direction its just roulette if it wants to scroll up or down or a mix of both) so I often use the middle mouse click to scroll... ends up not a lot of applications other than browser based ones support this.
I recall reading somewhere that there's a height issue (a keyboard with a trackpoint would need more height than what's available).

(I'm not a trackpoint user, but I like the extra set of three standalone mouse buttons which usually come with a trackpoint; the middle mouse button is particularly useful, since it's not usually available on a trackpad.)
It's strange to see some gamers praise this acquisition as if it will have any positive effect on some of the games they enjoy. In no world will Microsoft decreasing the competition going to be a good thing for consumers.
That was really informative, but it raised a question for me:

It described the browser as single threaded, but then talked about multiple concurrent tasks. Aren't those threads?

One more question: are there any browsers that use multiple threads to lay out the various object models and render the page? If it's been found to be too difficult, what were the issues?
That's true for passwords (where you don't really use raw SHA or something, but rather something like bcrypt which is intentionally slow), not necessarily for all uses of passwords. E.g. computing a SHA sum of some binary doesn't need to be slow, it just has to be practically impossible to create a collision (which is what's required of every good cryptographic hash function).
Can you say what the software is? I do like the model you have laid out.
VC business is reinforcement learning for investors doing the exploitation part whereas founders doing the exploration part.
Ask HN: Where is the best place to learn about ciber security?
I've been a web dev for over 14 years, recently a friend asked me about ciber security and realized I have no clue about it.

Did some research but there are so much info out there that is cofusing.

Do you have any courses or palces to learn that you can recommend?
> What's going on near london?

As others have said, more likely dodgy methodology by gpsjam than anything sinister.

For example:

- As well as being an active airfield, Heathrow also houses a small number of maintenance bases (e.g. BA have one, United are currently upgrading an ex-Virgin one etc.). I'm not familiar with aircraft maintenance, but I suppose there could easily be scope for RF signals related to test procedures to be leaky and be picked up by geeks.

- There is also Farnborough. Whilst Farnborough is predominantly a GA (General Aviation, i.e. private jet) airfield, it is also on of the many homes of QinetiQ in the UK. QinetiQ being a defence contractor. So again, one could speculate about leaky test signals.
Pretty/ugly and usable are very different things. Sometimes they are in conflict, but mostly they are unrelated.
Yeah, I have always wondered, though, how much physics is in the modern theoretical physics.
Feel free to link your product. Self promoting is allowed
Stale dogma. Times change and Smith didn't live in the Information Age. See this paper[1] for a deeper perspective on relevant market dynamics.

[1] https://scholarworks.umass.edu/econ_workingpaper/343/
This article is just bad.

> So, digging in one spot is a dumb strategy for the economy of the individual, but a very wise strategy for the collective economy of all individuals.

First starts with the idea of diversification and why its good. Fair enough. Then an argument how a mining company could "just hire individual miners to do dig in one spot for cheap". While the individual miners are getting poorer you'll get rich! So why don't mining operations operate this way? Because there isn't an unlimited supply of stupid people to do waste away their lives for you to capture all the value.

> This is what happens in a non-ergodic system. We often hear politicians claim that the GDP is growing, but all the gains are going to the 1%. This is the same thing. The wealth of a country could be growing, but almost all the citizens could be getting poorer. There’s nothing inconsistent with this. The average is simply being dragged up by the freak outliers.

I'm fortunate enough to be living in a country with a growing GDP and I can tell you, life is pretty good here, even if you're not 1%. Sure could be better, but certainly great compared to countries with a contracting or stagnant economy. But cool, overstate your claim that the system is rigged.

> One of the bad learnings you get from YC is that there’s a formula for success, and it looks like this: First you do some brainstorming. Then you come up with a good idea that can scale to a billion dollars (otherwise what’s the point of getting out of bed in the morning?)

I was never part of YC but I read a lot of their literature and listened to a lot of their members, and this is opposite of their advice. The gospel is do things that don't scale and solve problems you're familiar with or have felt personally.

I guess my biggest gripe with the post is that the author sees founders as basically dumb diggers, a stupid exploitable resource that places like YC take advantage of. His bar for success is unicorn and only 1.25% of companies funded by YC make it. But would the other 98.75% have been better off working on optimizing ad placement at Google or something similar?

Sure taking VC money doesn't make sense in a lot of cases. If you can build a cash business without it, you probably should. And YC is definitely one of the better VCs from what I understand and have even pioneered the SAFE which was a huge step up from some contracts founders were asked to sign in the past.
Can the AI detect intent, and understand what the customer wanted? Or whether a function properly implements a requirement?

Because that’s what should be in the comments.
Physical games install onto modern Gen consoles, so you don't even need them for booting up!
How familiar are you with Activision?
Can you elaborate on charging for bug reports or feature requests?

Do you charge per report / request? Or is it a subscription (storygraph has this model)?

It seems like a great idea to lessen the workload and focus on people who actually might turn into customers.
Please don’t sell the business, at least not to a larger company. That’s how everything is sliding into enshittification.
It's just what you want. Continuing to misuse the metaphor:

Do you want to try to go to space/the moon or whatever, for reasons like the personal glory and (mild) fame, the satisfaction of building the thing, the importance of being the person at the center of it all, the joy of changing an industry, etc?

That's the rocket: big big plans and you're kinda in it for the work.

Or, do you want a plane to a nice beach where you can relax? Because the fastest route to get enough money to relax is probably not via building a rocket these days.

Some caveats here: the successful (read: very lucky and very good) rocket builders do get the opportunity to relax, and often on a different level than the people who saved up and bought airplane tickets. But the 'great rocket builders' famously rarely "want to relax". And the vast vast majority of rocket builders don't actually directly succeed, but many do parlay it into savings for that plane ticket. But overall it's much easier for a random person to save up for a plane ticket than build a rocket.
If you read the article, it's pretty clear that this abhorrent behavior is coming from management, with the union pushing back. I'd guess it will be an issue during the next contract negotiations.
"Neither snow nor rain nor heat nor gloom of night stays these couriers from the swift completion of their appointed rounds" is a phrase long associated with the American postal worker. Though not an official creed or motto of the United States Postal Service, the Postal Service acknowledges it as an informal motto along with a slightly revised version of Charles W. Eliot's poem "The Letter".

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Postal_Service_c...
I can't tell if you're joking or not.

Utilitarianism has always been more about government policy, so yes it's largely inappropriate as the foundation for a system of personal ethics, at least in its basic forms.

But I'm unaware of any university class that has ever attempted to "build a real system of ethics".

That's not what moral philosophy classes do. The whole point is every moral system encounters major showstopper flaws, and how to reconcile those is one of the great unsolved problems of humanity.
5 million exit in one year is much different than 500k yearly
I use HN search a lot. Thanks for adding search by types - stories, show hn etc...

If you move the search box at the top, that would be great.
Do you find it exhausting always fighting yourself? Always fighting challenges and gamifying life? Or do you thrive on completionism or achievement that requires you to constantly struggle?

I’m all for accomplishments but daily “challenges” sounds exhausting.

How do you balance that with time off and relaxation?
Of which many that don't make it because they've had some early bad experience rather than actually being unable to. And there is a parallel for those with some basic mastery of algebra and calculus and have some mental block towards stats.

To quote pg, many conversations on the Internet:

Person 1: ∃x P(x)

Person 2: -(∀x P(x))!
Making fraud your retirement plan seems unwise, even if there's a chance you'd get away with it.
> as there are no standards today.

This isn't true. Home schoolers in many states still have to pass state standards test - the only check of quality on the public school.

And empirically the standards are higher if you measure performance on ACT/SAT.