skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
> debt holders get pissed

To understand what this actually looks like, read Hank Paulson's Dealing with China where he describes speaking with Chinese leaders during the 2008 crisis. The Chinese are massive holders of US dollars and did not find TARP or quantitative easing amusing.

https://www.amazon.com/Dealing-China-Insider-Economic-Superp...
All the stuff I use in my daily workflow
> if you download pirate torrents you frequently get corrupted files that don't play quite right

Doesn't that sound like you're doing it very wrongly?
Maybe read up on the recent BRICS summits.
I suppose it happens, but I suspect the set of people who distrust github/MS enough to not use them for git hosting but still use copilot is quite small.
HTTP/3 is not vulnerable to this specific attack (Rapid Reset), because there it has an extra confirmation step before the sender can create a new stream.

HTTP/2 and HTTP/3 both have a limit on the number of simultaneous streams (requests) the sender may create. In HTTP/2, the sender may create a new stream immediately after sending a reset for an existing one. In HTTP/3, the receiver is responsible for extending the stream limit after a stream closes, so there is backpressure limiting how quickly the sender may create streams.
If that's the case, then that's my point made exactly, it's public debt as much as any other.
> That said, the debt will be at an "unsustainable level" when people stop buying it.

Treasury auctions can’t fail. I don’t mean failure is highly unlikely. I mean as the system is structured it’s operationally impossible for them to fail. There is no case where the primary dealers in aggregate can ever lack the reserves to make a market.

Of course, nothing lasts forever. The US government’s currency issuance (a much clearer way to think of it than “debt”) depends on demand for that currency. Sure, oil is a part of it, but a much larger part is tax burden. It’s not an accident that the USA claims and has the authority to tax its citizens worldwide. That and there is a large highly diversified economy that does business in dollars, so you can get pretty much anything from computer chips to F-35s with USD so they’re generally useful to have.

In fact, it would be operationally impossible for any other fiat currency to effectively replace the USD unless its issuer were willing to run sufficient deficits (“print money”/“issue debt”) in amounts sufficient to meet global demand for both payment clearing and holding financial reserves.
This sounds like an IP spoofing issue, it is an IP/layer3 problem where ISPs don't filter spoofed addresses from their users. There sre technical solutions but should also happen is cutting off these ISPs from the internet as a whole when there is a large scale ddos affecting global scale network performance.
That's a weird argument. The M1 is quite capable and can keep or or even outperform many current gaming value builds. And eSports titles generally do not change their minimum requirements too much to keep their entire audience engaged and FPS high. Not to speak of Intel rarely to never reusing the same socket anymore and the switch to AM5/DDR5 specifically making incremental updates unavailable to most people.
If you came of age around 1999 you may have unusually high standards. Besides Fight Club that year also had Magnolia, Being John Malkovich, Boys Don't Cry, Three Kings, Go, and American Beauty.

On top of that were big name sequels Star Wars: The Phantom Menace Austin Powers: The Spy Who Shagged Me, Toy Story 2, the TV adaption South Park: Bigger, Longer & Uncut, and the well marketed low-budget horror The Blair Witch Project.

[edit]

Somehow didn't manage to fit Office Space in that list. It would probably be near to the top of many other years lists, but 1999 was just silly.
I subscribe to just about every streaming service there is and the problem I encounter is the movie I want to watch isn’t on any platform. Hell a few of the movies I’ve wanted to watch recently weren’t even available to rent or purchase on any platform.
I'm still looking for an intuitive or ELI5 explanation of the mechanism for this bias.

The original paper says:

The standard model of coin flipping was extended by Persi Diaconis who proposed that when people flip a ordinary coin, they introduce a small degree of precession’ or wobble—a change in the direction of the axis of rotation throughout the coin’s trajectory. According to the Diaconis model, precession causes the coin to spend more time in the air with the initial side facing up. Consequently, the coin has a higher chance of landing on the same side as it started.

Another coin toss experiment[1] site says this:

The basic reason is that, instead of rotating around a horizontal axis as one might imagine, a typical tossed coin is rotating around a tilted axis which is precessing in 3-space, and this entails a certain degree of "memory" of the initial parameters.

The Diaconis paper[2] has the definitive explanation but it's hardly intuitive. I got a feel for why it is, but I can't do an ELI5. The best I'm able to write is this: A human being is likely to introduce some precession in the coin toss. If there is precession, then the angular momentum vector is going to spend more time in the heads direction if starting from heads, and that accounts for the bias.

What I think would work well for an ELI5 is an animation of a coin toss showing the angular momentum vector sweeping out a region during its flight, and showing it spends slightly more time pointing toward heads.

[1] https://www.stat.berkeley.edu/~aldous/Real-World/coin_tosses...

[2] http://epubs.siam.org/doi/10.1137/S0036144504446436
The USA is probably too large to invest it into stuff, but Canada does invest its public pension money into stocks, bonds, airports, etc. The Canada Pension Plan is a full fledged investment firm.
It only needs to be bought with dollars until it doesn’t.
Well, neither vi nor Vim existed before I was born so, there.

> I have never read the manual for vim, nor for most software that I use.

Good for you, bad for your employers/clients/teammates.

> optimal methods of learning vary and is subjective

No. _Prefered_ methods do.

> There are plenty of people who because of ADHD or another reason simply don't learn best from manuals.

Picking up bits here and bits there, is not learning. It is just being lazy and clumsy.
Honest status page are a really really hard problem.

If your connector between your status monitor and the service breaks you'll have some subset of users panicking and causing problems (or asking for refunds for outages) when the service was up the entire time.

3rd party services are the only ones that you'll get a "more honest" but not always correct view of what the actual status is.
Well, Japan (which is mentioned) has debt-to-GDP ratio that is currently at 263%:

* https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_debt_of_Japan

The UK has been over 150% a number of times, as well as over 200% (nearly 250%):

* https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:UK_debt_as_GDP_percent.pn...

With interst-as-GDP getting close to 10%:

* https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Kingdom_national_debt#/...

* https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Kingdom_national_debt

For the US (#5, towards bottom):

> Debt service as a share of federal outlays peaked at more than 15% in the mid-1990s, but generally falling interest rates have helped hold down payments even as the dollar amount continues to grow.

* https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2023/02/14/facts-abo...
Socialize the design: "Find people who you think will be contrarian, and have them poke holes in the design"

Happy to see this mentioned! By involving everyone, the experienced engineers will usually ask the harder questions and test the assumption of your design and the juniors to learn and re-evaluate assumptions they have about building software. Almost a win-win for everyone.

Even though in these discussions there may be a social aspect where certain individuals are trying that much harder to find disadvantages of a proposed design (many reasons which readers are probably familiar with). However, I think this becomes a net positive to the overall engineering as everyone tries to bring their A-game to these discussions.

Anyhow, my experience has been that collectively reasoning about a design (assuming the team feels comfortable with criticism) will always get results quicker.
Reproducible dev-env with Nix on WSL
You're off a little. From Dec 2022

https://www.wsj.com/articles/how-much-washington-really-owes...

"That brings us to the alarming milestone. Add the net position of $29.9 trillion to the social insurance net expenditures of $71 trillion, and you find that they topped $100 trillion—the first time they have ever done so."

Our unfunded social security tab is crazy.
If they're in your Google/iCloud, you're already in a game over scenario. The point of all this is to prevent that from happening.

You can try to recover by revoking all your passkeys and starting over with hardware tokens, but that's likely what a sophisticated attacker is going to try as well, and they're probably faster than you.

Still way way better than passwords.
It’s worse than that. ???’s law states that, over time, well-factored, easily replaceable modules will be replaced by software that is not.

For example, compare systemd-resolved to bind or unbound.

Here’s a 2018 article explaining all the ways to configure and talk to it (back then—-it is probably more complicated now):

https://moss.sh/name-resolution-issue-systemd-resolved/

Among other things, it allocates an IP address to listen on, and both depends on and is a dependency of a decades-old standardized file that other stuff relies on.

That means it has a circular dependency with network interface bring up, and with external DNS server configuration. The article goes on for a dozen more pages explaining other issues like this.
Yeah, I remember having my mind blown when I first discovered Duff's Device.

My mental picture of what C-compilers are up to turned out to be a lot more sophisticated than reality.

But having written a few Forth-interpreters, it makes total sense to me. Treating the input as a mostly unstructured stream of tokens is very convenient.
Microsoft Fabric: Should Databricks Be Worried?
In practice, it happens because people die. So they mostly can't get interest-only loans, as passing that loan down to another generation is way too risky.

Also, that kind of loan is usually seen as predatory by finance regulators (for good reason). So people are usually required to jump through some hoops to get one.

That said, as a sibling already pointed, some times it happens. And companies have a much easier time getting them.
What percentage of papers in your average, reputable journal have been replicated?

And how can one easily determine, while looking at a particular paper, whether it has been replicated? And whether those doing the replication have any undisclosed ties to the original?

At an epistemological level, the idea of a knowledge source like a journal where the information is only deemed reliable if personally verified seems problematic. Why even have it if all of its uncountable claims are indistinguishable from very clever lies, and attempts to quantify the extent of those lies indicate that they are pervasive?
Nobody should be using a remembered password anymore. Most people are likely using the phone for both the password and the MFA code.
> It works for the website you're using right now

It doesn't, you can regularly see people getting their accounts stolen here. This wouldn't be possible (or at least this trivial) with any competent implementation of 2fa.
Yes. I don't need to hear people popping gum on the subway. I don't need to hear the guy outside my window horking up phlegm for 20 solid minutes (you can guess where I'm currently located by those cultural associations).

That's unnatural and antisocial. Blocking these sounds out isn't.
> What should be mentioned is that Social Security could easily be well in the black with even higher payments to retirees by simply raising the income limit on the social security tax.

Obviously. It could also be in the black if you raised the rate 2x...

> I especially don't like ignoring it like this because it implies the US government simply needs to ignore that obligation to the public, let millions retire with no safety net, and just default on trillions of debt.

The US government might technically default - i.e. miss payments - but the payments will likely be delayed (due to political BS) rather than not paid in full w/ accrued interest.

They've missed payments before. They'll probably miss them again. But they can literally print money. There's zero reason to truly default - and ENORMOUS consequences if they do.

AFAIK, The Treasury at least claimed to be able to pay SS benefits in full even if the US "defaulted" (delayed) Treasury payments.

It's hard for me to imagine a world in which the government just doesn't pay SS Treasuries. With enough political will, anything is possible. But even if political winds change dramatically - there's no way around how enormous the financial consequences would be to everyone in the country.

I guess you can never underestimate how much politicians are willing to destroy this country to get a very small soundbite on TV - but I'm skeptical this is worth worrying about.

Is it possible COLA for SS will be nerfed? That seems within the realm of possibility.

Is it possible the Federal Government just decides to stop paying Treasuries SPECIFICALLY to SS? Super-dooper highly unlikely.
But that is how it has always worked. Movies in the past just seem better because you only remember the good ones. I would argue it was even more egregious in the past because under the studio system they used to quickly crank out huge numbers of formulaic movies that no one really though about after they had a theatrical run.
Retries, Backoff and Jitter
And if I loose for some reason access to my phone number, termination of current number to create a new line with a new phone, I loose access to Gmail forever ?
How come when the results are the same you have to go to 1 and flip twice again? Can you just toss another one and use the last two results?
this is easy:

Israel has basically never been hit. There was no expectation for there to be a ground assault from Gaza. Occasionally missiles from Gaza reach the ground, and a UN observer on the Israeli side would not be able to help with that.

Gaza is dense and all the UN observers would routinely get killed in Israeli retaliations. The modus operandi from Israel is precision missile strikes on specific buildings, but all buildings are targets because Hamas uses human shields, not like there is any military specific area they could go in Gaza as its too dense and would also get bombed immediately if there was. So, this 'human shield' observation has no limits and there is no appeals process. There is generally no ground operation from Israel.

you're speaking from the future because that's all changed now.

edit: and as others pointed out, there are UN operations in other areas not related to the Gaza conflict. because there are other conflicts
The passkeys are encrypted before leaving your machine and Google/iCloud are only storing the encrypted passkeys and can't decrypt them.
I think this is making the mistake of conflating piracy with lost sales; there is only so much money to go around, and saying that a pirated view is lost revenue is missing the point that that person was never going to pay for that particular content anyway.

From a music perspective we have too much music; we have decades of history to stream, and each year more and more is released - ultimately only a few people will be able to sustain themselves with streaming revenue, and indipendent acts will need to survive with live acts and merch until they break through (or accept that they arne't going to become superstars).

Because the potential upside is so huge, many people are willing to gamble on that, much as people buy lottery tickets. Most people will be disapointed.
That depends entirely on how rigorous the recovery process is.
UI reboots are so sexy though -- if this is like any company I've been involved with, they hire/promote a new design boss every couple years, and that person spends 6 months making a sexy Illustrator/Sketch/Figma (in that order over the years) document showing how hott things would look if we changed all the fonts and aped whatever widgets had been redone in last year's iOS. Instant greenlight. Try getting that kind of C-suite buy-in for a boring under-the-hood fix!
I left on day 4 of 6 combatting a MRSA infection. I left on 12/31 because the hospital could not tell me if my current insurance (COBRA) would cover the bills for days 5/6. Absurd. Turns out I was right in my estimations that the course of IV would suffice and also that the remaining days would not be covered. I feel like I 'survived' the hospital system, not MRSA.
And it has very little to do with "hackers", too.
I recently cancelled my GitHub CoPilot license. I prefer learning and co-developing with GPT-4.
You have two kind of concurrent GCs, the ones where the marking phase in concurrent with the application and the ones where the evacuation phase is also concurrent with the application.

G1 only does the marking concurrently, the evacuation is done in small pauses.
A decade ago, there was only one concurrent evacuation GC available in Java, C4 from Azul. Now, we have Shenandoah and ZGC.
My Google account is set up such that account recovery requires me to actually travel to Mountain View and present several forms of ID, and that's just how I want it to be.
Browsers with their own browser engines and bytecode runtimes are apps. These are the exact things Microsoft got in trouble for in the 90s -- because they enable competition.

A translation layer between a generic API and Apple's isn't the same thing. It can't add things Apple's doesn't already have. For example, how do you run CUDA or OpenCL code on Apple's devices? Can a cross-platform framework provide a payments implementation so your cross-platform app can use a cross-platform payments system for in-app purchases? No, because they make you use theirs and apps that compete with theirs aren't allowed.

Visual Studio Code is clearly an app. Apple doesn't allow it on iOS. Apple makes a competing app -- for which they want you to buy a Mac.

You can't just use a definition of "app" that means "whatever is in their app store" and then claim that whatever they don't allow in their app store isn't an app.
Thanks for the feedback!

There is a full interactive sandbox example on the front/landing page https://openapistack.co

But point taken, will make sure code examples are visible on the overview page
If you already have a password manager it might already or might soon natively support passkeys as well (1Password already does as an example)
> On my personal projects, I will usually go with whatever sparks joy.

I think this is the right thing for personal projects. I think throwaway toy projects should be free to go that route too.
GitHub Copilot is not using GPT-4 (yet)! I'm seeing a lot of people under the wrong impression.

For code completions it uses an improved version of Codex[1], and for chat beta (part of Copilot X), it uses 3.5-Turbo[2].

However, they're claiming to have "early adoption of OpenAI's GPT-4" for Copilot X on their marketing page[3], which is confusing/deceptive. To be fair, it's still in beta, but they should state outright what model you currently get if you sign up for it.

[1]: https://github.blog/2023-07-28-smarter-more-efficient-coding...

[2]: https://github.com/orgs/community/discussions/56975#discussi...

[3]: https://github.com/features/preview/copilot-x
Quick note:

At https://quiver.dev/upgrade/ the section "Why should I purchase a Quiver+ subscription?" the following text needs copy editing:

You shouldn't -- well not right away at least. Start by trying out our free tutorials and game templates to see what game development with Godot is like. If you want to hacking a small project for a few weeks is enough for you, our free offering might be all that you need.

As this is likely a critical path for many conversions to paying customers having language that can be parsed easily is probably critical.
You get a new device, load your keys from the cloud and use the same screen lock key to decrypt the downloaded keys.

Even if it's passwordless by default doesn't mean there is no passwords for recovery.
I wonder if the US is going in the same direction as Greece/Italy on this front?
Make the penalties very harsh, and allow whistleblowers to collect a percentage of the fines.
Real feedback via proprioception and hand-eye coordination are so much more powerful that closed control movement planning.
Very cool stuff, thank you for the new information
Genuinely curious; could you be more specific in what you're looking for in an international observer? There is UNRWA, which has been there for a long time. Not sure how effective they've been in reducing civilian casualties. There is also the UNDOF in the Golan Heights.
Not necessarily? The difference is that the people flipping the coins are not just experimental subjects, they're actually implementing the experimental protocol.

The kinds of participants you're talking about are not just left off the paper out of lack of interest. It's often the ethically preferable option. They often have a vested interest in remaining unnamed for privacy reasons, and derive no tangible benefit from being listed as authors.

A big author list isn't totally unheard of. The paper where they announced the discovery of the Higgs boson had an author list that spanned 8 densely-packaged pages.
KeenWrite is my free, cross-platform desktop Markdown editor, which leverages Kroki to create diagrams based on textual descriptions. I developed the software to help write a sci-fi novel. The novel has speech bubbles, simultaneous conversations, raster images, vector illustrations, R plots, and fancy chapters. I wrote KeenWrite because I wanted a way to reference a character sheet from within the document by way of variables.

KeenWrite is compatible with pandoc and knitr. In effect, it's a replacement for the shell scripts I wrote about in my Typesetting Markdown series. The series describes using pandoc and ConTeXt to typeset Markdown documents.

Typesetting to PDF is accomplished using ConTeXt, which is a typesetting system with a strong focus on separating content from presentation.

* https://dave.autonoma.ca/blog/2019/05/22/typesetting-markdow...

* https://keenwrite.com/screenshots.html

* https://keenwrite.com/

* https://kroki.io/
They have raised the social security income tax limit dramatically over the last 5 years.
I was waiting for the article to eventually get around to discussing the current distribution of $US in central banks around the world and the role that global trade plays in backing up US debt - they never got there, so I don't think the article has any explanatory value.
Care for a wager? I'm up for any amount up to $20K, on a timeframe of up to 2030. You can pick terms, I don't want to end up with a measure that you feel is unfair or talking down to you.
For those who haven't seen, Crossover 23.5[0] has integrated (some of) Apple's Game Porting Tool Kit (GPTK), in particular D3DMetal.

This only works on macOS Sonoma currently, unlike Whiskey[1], but it's a good sign for the future and support for Windows games not ending at D3D11.

[0] https://www.codeweavers.com/about/news/press/20230927
[1] https://github.com/Whisky-App/Whisky
If the system is not catching "I am a language model", I have zero confidence in its ability to detect crackpottery, much less more insidious things like P-hacking.