skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
I've never actually heard it called the "prosecutor's fallacy" before, but it should be obvious why. The sort of thing often being looked for is something like "is planning an insurrection against the government," "is a terrorist," "is a murderer." We don't know the true base rates for any of these things, but we do know the base rate is very low. Almost nobody is a terrorist or a murderer.

Also, it becomes easier to understand some types of frustrating or often wrong processes when we take into accounts not just rates of different error types, but the relative costs of them. A whole lot of criminals never see justice or get off on technicalities because the social cost in terms of destroying trust in the legal system is much higher for putting innocent people in prison than it is for failing to catch or failing to punish the guilty. Why do we seem to go so overboard with cancer screenings when the false positive rate is so high? Because the worst that can happen is mostly annoyance, wasted time, and wasted money. The worst that can happen with false negatives is you die. Why do our dragnets for terrorists seem to be so much more sensitive than dragnets for murder, rape, and property crime? Because even though the false positive rate here is even higher, the damage done by a successful terrorist attack is far greater. Why are FAANG hiring processes so jacked up? Because, right or wrong, the cost of hiring a bad engineer is perceived to be far higher than the cost of failing to hire a good one, especially when you get so many applicants that you're guaranteed to staff to the level you need virtually no matter how high a rate you reject at.
> I have a product with an addressable market of something like 300 to 500 units per year. That puts me in the Defense/Aerospace/Medical area, where unit economics are completely insane.

I have manufactured in that area and while you are not going to be in the mass volume pricing levels, you don't have to be in the defense level either. You just have to build the product with the right trade-offs and design the appropriate manufacturing processes. Few seem to know how to do this.

Edit: let me expand. Don't injection mold if you can avoid it. Do resin castings or thermo-forming, neither require as expensive of tooling. 3D print parts with a good material like PC CF. Metal fabrication is easy and cheap these days. You can get a shop to laser cut, form, insert PEMs and powder coat for very reasonable prices. We are starting to get a lot of machined parts from China. You can source wire harnesses from China also. Do assembly with a small team. Use as much off-the-shelf electronics as possible, but don't be afraid to make small and simple PCBs if it makes your product cheaper and simpler. Leave the complex boards to a vendor initially because while they might seem simple to design, they can be complex to debug and production test properly.
you know that's exactly what they said in 2017 about crypto and now Blackrock is pushing an ETF. what a tulip that was pushed by biggest financial org. isn't it. 0 handsight about future
I think we addressed this specifically when I spoke about Bloom's taxonomy.
Even the library producers are library consumers much more often.
Hey y'all, recently started a blog on AI <> cybersecurity. This post goes through some very hypothetical attack scenarios beyond the basics of asking ChatGPT to write spam/etc.
I substantially regret using Prisma in production for this and very many other reasons.

At least the underlying data is well modeled, just need to rip out the JS library and replace it… but with what?
The thing is that they themselves are tech influencers. So it's not surprising this article is the way it is. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J2j1XwZRi30
Because home servers tend to be bursty on demand workloads.

If you doing something that is hammering a CPU at 100% 24/7, then you’d get a faster CPI to get the workload completed faster and you’d be back to having idle CPU cycles…

Now RAM on the other hand!

Free RAM is wasted RAM!
I miss thick laptops and phones. I'd gladly pay for just "a higher tier phone but twice as thick/bigger battery". There are few more rugged phones but mostly bottom end specs...
I'm surprised plate-to-VIN information is publicly available for Washington state, at least. The DOL here will let you renew tabs online[1] using just the plate number and last four digits of the associated VIN.[2] I'm sure there must be some interesting fraud and/or harassment potential for being able to access someone else's account.

Edit: just to be clear, I'm not saying there's anything wrong with building an app that uses the data. I'm surprised the data is available from the DOL, given that they use it for authentication.

[1] And update one's mailing address information, AFAIK.

[2] https://fortress.wa.gov/dol/extdriveses/NoLogon/
Maybe it's an X-rated variant?
nothing. there are robot and low intell. brains here saying still it's a scam. that's all.
> Not sure why that is a "no."

Just consider how much live action content an unskilled teen can produce vs how much CG content they can produce. The labor differential is massive. Making movies is hard but making immersive CG is on a different level.

As far as democratizing 3d content creation, I think live action depth aware capture on the iPhone is the immediate path forward.
The auction code was worse than a Google-only black box, when I was in Ads. The code itself was in a "high intellectual property" subdirectory that most engineers could not access.

There's an elaborate economic rationale for second-price auctions, including that they avoid "winner's remorse." Leave it to the late-stage "improvers" to say, "hey, we can capture some of that gap between first and second place!"
I just realized you're an Ardour developer, so thank you for the awesome piece of free software, and I hope my comment didn't sound too whiny. I love Ardour and still recommend it to other podcasters at every chance I have, especially when I see people using Audacity for that task while Ardour is clearly the better option given its non-destructiveness.
But why does Sam Altman have a beard and a hat? I don't think he'd be caught dead in those.
There are no good games that reflect your taste, or good games that reflect your taste are hard to find?

On my end, there are so many options that I tend to look at qualities that I would not even consider twenty years ago, like tone and setting. (Why would I want to play a grim game? Do I really want to play another game set in space?) Quite often, nothing will get past my personal taste filters, even when they are good games.
This just flat-out isn’t representative of what I’d expect a home server workload to be.
To be fair, the vi input mode (or modal input modes) in Contour are way more than simply doing `set -o vi` in bash. You cannot compare those two.

The reason why I implemented modal input modes (vi mode) in Contour is, that I noticed Tilix [1] is having vi input modes and people seemed to like it, I wonder if it might be useful to me personally as well, especially since I'm a heavy VIM user, I asked myself if it might make sense to have in a terminal. So let's get it in.

I was surprised how much it became part of my daily live, in fact, there's no need to grab the mouse at all when using Contour. You press Ctrl+Shift+Space (configurable) to enter normal mode and move the cursor just like in vim (way beyond the basic support that Alacritty implemented).

Especially paired with the indicator statusline support, when showing this one permanently (you can also change the color of that statusline), it became one of the first-class features for me on why I like Contour (not just because I am developing it).

Fun things to do (especially when shell integration is enabled):

- `yim`: to yank the text in between two markers (that is your command output)
- `%`: jump to matching bracket, good when having cat'ed a long json file and you want to quickly browse around
- you can also rectangular select like in vim, and then press either p (includes LF) or <S-p> which joins the multiline clipboard text into a single line (removing LF's), that payed off a lot for output like `git status` and wanting to operate on parts of the output (files e.g.)

Have a look at the still young website's documentation here: https://contour-terminal.org/input-modes/#supported-text-obj...

for a more complete look of what you can do with the keyboard (normal mode) :)

[1] https://github.com/thestinger/termite/
Some people like having house names as well as a numbers. We live at no.69 and I once entertained the idea of calling it "No. 47", but the idea was quickly vetoed.

(In case you're wondering "why 47?", for some reason our street doesn't have a no.47, so it would have been a fairly benign joke)
I’m the same way. Different strokes for different folks, I suppose.

I need to write down my thoughts for everything on paper, sticky notes or drawing boards if I want to be sure that Ive thought about it well enough. I find most people don’t have this immediate drive for quality, though. Most developers just want to splash words on the keyboard and see an initial result to see if it works. I work the opposite way, I need to see it work in my mind or on paper before coding it. But neither of us is right or wrong, we just work differently.
Yes the "self" is an illusion, but at least for me, there's an emergent illusion/whatever of "hey im inside this head looking out", which we claim arises from a physical brain structure. if this structure were divided in some way, does my current "self" vanish and two new consciousnesses arise? do those new consciousnesses have memory, so one is on one side of the room, the other is on the other ? at what point is my current "self" no longer viable such that it vanishes?

edit: looks like HN is throttling me again. hmm but not edits. well that's fun
Not just this. Gpt-V could violate social conventions massively. Imagine giving teenagers AI which would judge them and each other.

"How old does this person look?"

How about this couple, how do they match?

How is this person's style? What mistakes are they making?

How healthy does this person look?

Do you think this person drinks a lot?

It's not just high level politics. There are huge local social conflicts going on all the time between colleagues, lovers and potential ones, neighbors, friends, towns. AI can work as a social weapon in those battles too.

We leak a huge amount of info all the time, and AI Vision will try to pick up on it, rightly or wrongly. And talking about what one notices is very socially uncomfortable.
We need to let go of the "Ship full of brave men" meme of space exploration.

It'll have to be robots, probably very small robots, some kind of solar sail / exogenous energy source (or maaaaaybe fusion?), and probably either a copy of some human's consciousness in a machine, or a bunch of fertilized frozen embryos, or both.

And even then only after a lot of gene / tree bombing of the target planet to have any hope of making it liveable.
Wow, those watercolors are astonishing.
It says my 2018 tesla is 2023 years old
If you were expecting a 1:1 comparison, you will be disappointed. But if the only counter-argument is that interest rates aren't as high (and give it time, rates didn't hit 18% in the 80s right away), we're just talking about magnitude. The underlying environment today sure has a bouquet similar to the 80s, with slight hints of recession, and a stagnant-housing-market finish.
Thank you for getting back to us.

Did the Permission Slip team say anything about why they think it's okay for an app of this nature to itself allow/perform what appears to be pretty egregious harvesting and selling of user data?
How are they preventing the competition to create something better than CUDA? And how does it hurt the consumers that they are providing a fantastic product that others refuse to provide?
Blackmagic was essentially started by a hacker in Grant Petty, and you can tell. RED took the existing ethos of the industry that says everything must be expensive and reserved for the elites. Sony is just Sony, and Alexa came from Arri which doubles the price of anything to put its name on it. BMD is the ultimate in "disruptor" category to me. Fuck your Uber or Musk examples, Grant Petty is a gawd! /s Really, though, he's pretty damn cool. Urban legend says that he even wrote the first drivers of his competitor AJA boards.

When BMD bought Da Vinci, they got a huge acquihire leg up on color science. Recording RAW at the sizes cinema cameras do requires fast storage that just wasn't cheap when RED/Alexa came about. Even with cheap storage, neither of those companies are going to debase themselves by lowering prices. There's a lot of technical reasons why BMD cameras can be cheaper, but the main reason is corporate ethos at BMD is totally different than other players.
"I mean c'mon, how difficult can it be to write technically ?"
Another older source for this sort of prediction is Samuel Butler's 1863 essay *Darwin among the Machines* in which Butler predicted that improvements in technology (which he compared to Darwin's then new idea of natural selection) would mean that machines would eventually surpass humanity. Butler later expanded this idea in his 1872 novel *Erewhon* in which a seemingly primitive culture is discovered by Westerners who later discover that the culture at one point had technology vastly superior to the West but abandoned it out of fear of where it was leading. Butler is the reason why Herbert named the "Butlerian Jihad" in Dune (although later an in-universe character was created)
This is akin to the idea that a compiler will eventually solve performance problems.

We're still waiting on that to happen.

There's a difference between a developer who understands manual memory management choosing to use a tech that does it for you and a developer choosing to use a tech that does it for you so they don't have to learn manual memory management.

manual memory management is table stakes for any halfway competent developer.
"Censorship is telling a man he can't have a steak just because a baby can't chew it." ― Mark Twain
I don't see why. Electron's based off of Chromium, which should be able to speak http/2, no?
You realise that C had labeled types long before Rust was conceived?
Show HN: I LLMd a userscript to give you all girlfriend avatars
Ironically, this is reported on Yahoo!, which invented the practice of ad squashing that ~their journalist~ (edit: a Bloomberg journalist) accuses Google of: https://web.archive.org/web/20080827230455/http://research.y...

The formula is interesting: ad selection uses bid ⨯ relevance^q, where q is the squashing value, which is lowered when the second-highest bidder is likely to bid low, creating a tradeoff:

> [David Pennock] adds that squashing can significantly improve revenue, at the expense of advertiser and user satisfaction. As a result, it is necessary to set acceptable thresholds for loss of relevance, and then optimize revenue based on those thresholds.
The Lenovo Thinkcentre M720Q and M920Q have both an m.2 M key and an internal PCIe x8 slot you can stuff a GPU, quad gigabit or dual 10GbE into. No ECC though. Sells for about $100 on eBay for a decent one with PSU that is the same PSU as their laptops (Bonus if you're a Thinkpad user). You need a riser and rear bracket for the PCIe slot that can be found on eBay for like $25. I have a 6 core i5, 32GB RAM, a dual Intel 10Gb adapter and 2TB NVMe in mine. Idles at 19W which is 2W less than the rectangular trash can 10Gb Verizon router's 21W. Total build cost was around $200 for all used hardware.
Re-Rend: Real-Time Rendering of NeRFs Across Devices
It's not a two-way market really, so no real market making. One seller auctioning things of.
What's the point of the `k` prefix?
I am surprised that Apple allows such control of the camera (or anything). Is this all exposed via APIs or do developers of camera apps have direct access to the hardware?
Please give us feedback in the issue tracker. We know we're not perfect, but certainly very much appreciate positive constructive feedback as well as bug reports.

p.s.: I did not submit this link here, I intentionally try to avoid that, but I am surprised by the amount of people talking about terminals generally speaking here in this thread, even though a lot of comments (didn't finish yet) seem to be non-Contour related :)
IRC v3 supports feature extension standardization via message tagging, so these features aren't client-specific. Anyone who --wants to see pictures in their feeds will be able to do so by using a client that supports the feature, without a single proprietary client being forced onto everyone. That's a win-win.
Had a couple like that, the relief from not ever having to work with those people lasted longer than the trauma from the interview. Look on the bright side, at least you didn't get the job!
Hmm... This is the second link posted today asking me to input my license plate #.
If you buy a BMD camera, you get a free license for the full version of Resolve.
> How else is a parent's question to be taken?

Process of elimination is a very poor strategy for explaining other's behavior. Worse, much worse, than chance in my experience. I find even random selection to be better at behavior explanation over process of elimination.

Among all of the behavioral explaination tactics, I've found asking people to have the best predictive power. To that effect, you would have to ask those parents.
> I don’t really consider an extra room a waste.

By waste I simply mean it’s consumptive. It’s obvious when you’re spending well above the norm on rent, but it doesn’t slap you in the face in the same way when buying a larger house.
Very beautifully said. It drew me in and then into a wikipedia rabbit hole through Fritz Schloß Park
Agreed. Thing is we can still have our cowboys in space. The solar system is insanely huge and can be traversed in human time scales with technology based on known physics. The baseline world of The Expanse (minus the alien stuff) is entirely feasible.

Interstellar travel is entirely possible too as long as you are okay with it being effectively a one way trip. Suspended animation is probably possible; we can do it to some animals and individual organs. So you go to sleep for a very long time and wake up in another star system. It would make the most sense to send a bunch of robots to build yourself a settlement first. Or alternatively send sentient AI which would find it much easier than humans to simply turn itself off for the duration of the trip.
There's an entirely web-native replacement for upload/downloading tracks now https://stefano.brilli.me/webminidisc/ It's based off the reverse engineer minidisc python libraries and, imho, is super impressive. The author even figured out how to dump atrac data off any netMD capable deck (not just the MZ-RH1).
> Like, using u8 or i32 instead of the standard uint8_t or int32_t might save a few keystrokes [...]

It is not about saving keystrokes, it is about reducing sensory load when reading it.

Sorry, I know it may sound like I'm splitting hairs, but every single time when the argument of verbosity vs conciseness in programing languages comes around, this "keystrokes" argument is thrown and it is extremely flawed. The core belief that conciseness is only better for faster typing but that verbosity is somehow always better than conciseness for reading is just plain wrong and we should stop using it. And yes, verbosity has some advantages for reading comprehension, but so does conciseness, no side is a clear winner, it is all about the different compromises.
am i still paranoid about the news that supermicro motherboards were modified by chinese manufacturers to add spying hardware? I don’t want to buy hardware anymore.

oh, and for the record, fuck the People’s Republic of China.
But they most likely won't, just like they didn't in the 80s. What will collapse will be home sales, but not prices (as so stated in TFA). Houses will just sit on the market for months. I see that happening now in the Seattle suburb of Redmond. I go for a lengthy run six days a week, so I see the real estate signs. And I see the same signs (in some cases) going on months now. Whereas not that long ago I'd see a sign, and in a couple of weekends it would be gone.
My degree is in "Computer Science", NOT "Software engineering" and for that and other reasons I am against calling myself a "Software engineer"

I'm not an engineer. I am a subject matter expert employed as a generalist.
Nice article! The statement of idempotence is a little nonstandard, I think -- I'm used to it being stated as `merge(a, a) = a`. The form in the article makes more sense if you have set of operations acting on a state, so that `apply(apply(st, a), a) = apply(st, a)` -- but this follows from the more usual merge law above, since `apply(apply(st, a), a) = apply(st, merge(a, a)` by the laws of monoid actions, then `apply(st, merge(a, a)) = apply(st, a)` by (standard) idempotence.
Maybe it's too early, but that article was not clear to me. Is it alleged that Google incorrectly stated the value of the second place bidder in order to make it look higher, in order to pressure the first place bidder to bid higher? Even that doesn't make much sense, so I'm missing something.

> The shift sought “to raise the prices against the highest bidder,” Whinston told Judge Amit Mehta in federal court in Washington... To help eliminate that 20% between the runner-up and what the winner was willing to pay, Google gave the second-place bidder a built-in handicap to make their offer more competitive, Whinston said... Whinston’s comments Friday described Google’s technique, called “squashing,” that seeks to make the runner-up’s bid more competitive.

If they're inflating the second-place bid to be higher than the first-place bid, I'd wonder why that wouldn't backfire for them and result in the second highest bid winning a lot of the time. And if they didn't inflate it above the first-place bid, why would the winning bidder feel any pressure to increase their bid?

I'm sure it all makes sense, it's just not clear to me from this explanation.
As a data scientist, no, I think that’s a dumb take. Without bothering to debate the definition of “AI”,

One is a synthesis of general knowledge that can be used to generate new ideas.

The other is a multi arm bandit and some collaborative filtering. Maybe there’s some AI there to classify what things are to begin with, but the decision of what to show is a very different kind of thing.
PGmetrics: Easily collect and report PostgreSQL metrics
I'll add a percentage control to the VS dialog.

Then you can upgrade to 8.1 and get the benefit of interview mode ripple editing.
In the original broken timeline it was sent back two-thousand some-odd years to lead humanity to a better timeline.
I see what you mean now. Not sure what's more infuriating, the weird hardcoded font size that doesn't get overridden by zooming, or the two methods of zooming in a browser view that seem to work entirely independent of each other.
Speaking as a US resident, it's not uncommon for me to hop on an HN thread and realize after a second that it's about a different country—India is very common, but also the UK and Canada and occasionally Germany. Sometimes it even takes a few minutes before that's clear. When that happens, sometimes I keep reading, sometimes I move on. What I don't do is leave comments about how irritated I am that someone had the temerity to start a conversation without making it clear in the title that it didn't apply to me.
There are absolutely fashion trends in design and, for logos specifically, the simplification trend does tend to align with works well at a variety of scales. (Somewhat ironically other design fashions like lots of whitespace, small fonts, etc. often don't work well on smaller displays.)