skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
> To the extent you consider pretrial decision risk assessment software to be "predictive policing" (after all, it's predicting which defendants will skip their court date or commit a crime on bail), then there's plenty of evidence that we have good ones.

I think this is a fundamentally different ballgame than predicting where and when crimes will occur with the intent to prioritize police presence, but I do take your point that simple models can outperform human decision making in these cases. What's absolute classification error of these models?

> Empirical measures of criminal decision making suggests certainty of punishment is highly explanatory. It does not change whether they think they need to steal to eat.

Not really disputing this, my point is "Need to Steal to Eat" - "Certainty of Punishment" = "Decision to Commit Crime". I don't really understand why "Certainy of Punishment" would be expected to impact "Need to Steal to Eat", but I'm not surprised that the empirical studies you refer to didn't find a relationship there. Would you be able to provide a reference on this one?

> As a natural experiment: the USA engaged in historic poverty-reduction measures in its pandemic response.

Not sure the extent to which the results of this are generalizable. The proper counterfactual here is not "crime-rates pre-pandemic" it's "crime rates post-pandemic in a world where we didn't provide anti-poverty measures". The former is a very poor proxy for the latter, IMO. I wonder if anyone has compared across states or countries with different pandemic responses?

> my guess is your safe childhood town was over policed and it’s quite likely petty thieves would be caught

Yes it had a very well-funded police department who did very little day-to-day. I can say with certainty that they were very bad at tracking down the local drug dealers as our drug trade was positively thriving. Possibly they would be more motivated to catch petty thieves, but this wasn't really tested while I was there. The occasional bit of vandalism or other hooliganry did not typically get punished, as I recall.
There used to be many of these, but they became mostly scams that preyed on desperate job seekers. By the time I started job hunting, many years back, this industry was viewed about like nigerian princes. No sensible person would deal with them.

There are career coaches to be found these days, I'm not intending to include them in this rant. I've had a few friends use them, and I've talked to one and he was reasonable.

As an individual, I'd avoid anyone that wants a percentage. Specified fee for helping with resume, linkedin profile, etc., fine.
I used to go to a lot of tech-oriented Meetups pre-pandemic, and even helped organize a few.

But then there was COVID, and I moved many states away, and it doesn't feel like that scene bounced back to pre-pandemic levels in either my old or new cities.
I recently went down the mister route. It's an amazing piece of kit but it cost me a fortune to put together.
One thing I've realised after doing this is that it's not always going to be 100 percent accurate, for example I believe there is a second megadrive core in the works, because the existing one isn't that accurate. I don't fully understand the issue though. I think some cores like neo Geo are exceptionally accurate.
Also worth noting is the n64 core in development, the rate of progress on it is ridiculously fast.
Not if it helps drive a short term rental market, where apartments are taken off for people who come for a few months.
I think that was the point lol
The greenwashing behind "renewable" energy seems to be working! Meanwhile, thorium gets zero attention. We people are always pulled by the nose by those with commercial interest!
You Can't Fake the Core
Here's a study done from 1990 to 2010. It shows a statistically significant increase in cancer.

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4772211/
Ukraine war: Western allies say they are running out of ammunition
also mexico city

Ten of the lines are rubber-tired. Instead of traditional steel wheels, they use pneumatic traction, which is quieter and rides smoother in Mexico City's unstable soils. The system survived the 1985 Mexico City earthquake.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mexico_City_Metro
Victimless and rational.
Also: if the NIST ECC curves actually are backdoored then why would the NSA need to try to push a backdoored random number generator? Just exploit the already-backdoored curves.
Virtual machines perform extremely poorly, so you must take metal instances. These will cost you the same as buying the hardware outright after 3 months of usage.

And you're still stuck on a non-deterministic high-latency network you can't get rid of, and with very limited hardware configurations.

It's more like a grid than a HPC cluster.

There are only two possible advantages:

- you want a lot of hardware very quickly rather than wait for it to be delivered.

- you don't have the desire/capability to be/hire a network engineer.
While this was entertaining to read, it is obviously clickbait and full of contradictions.
If it were for author, electronic guitar should not exist. It is a gimmick, and allows too big concerts. Also, how a concert with couple hundred people is even intimate? Also, all concerts need to be intimate, bot possible to have different ones?

Mostly though, article reads like eternal complaints of old people about young people and their tastes.

Btw, people film concerts on phones because they want to have something to remember. I very rarely film short videos myself, and I value it when I check my Instagram stories archive.
Automating Vault on Kubernetes in Your Local Development Environment
It seems like the author didn’t actually go to the show and is only providing second hand commentary.
Upcoming.org is back, not used or really liked at though, just noticed the other day
I agree with the author but he forgot to mention that being forced to endure U2 in order to enjoy a cool piece of technology is both the nightmare past and future of music.

https://discussions.apple.com/thread/253530823
the brown m&ms are such an interesting story. van halen shows were quite the production requiring a ton of safety measures spelled out in the rider.

the band knew if there were brown m&ms, the rider wasn't fully being adhered to, can cast members lives my be at risk
Thank you for your feedback! I believe it has some value in teaching programming in the spirit of "Structure and Interpretation of Computer Programs." There is a JavaScript edition of the SICP book. I believe Leporello.js would be a nice environment for students to solve problems from this book.
I don't know how loud they are when they're right next to your house, but certainly I wouldn't complain about wind turbines visible from my house. They look cool!

Where I grew up there were some turbines you could see on the way out of town and they always fascinated me as a kid.
are there any substacks that aren't just old men complaining about things?
I'm extraordinarily sensitive to my work environment so I rather just have full control over it at home rather than go into an office where I have to spend half the morning aligning monitors and searching for cables since I no longer have a permanent desk.

But I'm glad you have something that works for you.
I'm stuck on trying to work out what it would mean to de-lattice something. Would that transform a lattice basis into a standard vector space basis in R or something, or, like MOV, would it send the whole lattice to an element of some prime extension field?

In my mind's eye, it's cooler: it's like, you render the ciphertext as a raster image, and then "de-lattice" it to reveal the underlying plaintext, scanline by scanline.
The comma operator also seems forbidden. I guess there's never a need to use it in purely function code, but the code can still qualify as pure even allowing its use?

fib(6), fib(7) // scratch:9:6 - unexpected token
What is the reasonable alternative to shareholder primacy? Removing shareholders as a check on the executives would create an all powerful CEO similar to the structure of tech companies with dual class shares but at all companies. I don't think that's a good thing.

Also, why would investors want to invest in a company where they could not remove a ad CEO that isn't delivering returns? They would probably just reinvent shareholder primacy through investment contracts.
> before the climate storms destroy too much of our modern infrastructure.

That AND the rural landscape.
What’s with people casting aspersions on an entire generation (boomers) based on something some person said?
I like this a lot. It works well alongside setting the compose project name.

However I'd suggest at least specifying a default value so developers don't need to mess with version-controlled .env files to customize their local setups.
Hey im a father a this offends me.
Because otherwise you get headlines like "crime: stolen candy bar, sentence: 10 years in prison", and people vote in a DA that's soft on crime.
trying to ragebait readers

No reason to take the bait and rage. I mean, unless it's against the machine.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fnyCJDYONSU
A New Twist on Rechargeable Battery Performance
Really cool project, reminds me a bit of are.na.

I worked on a similar project https://huntergather.website/. Glad to see other people working on social bookmarking.
Martin: Generate and serve vector tiles on the fly from multiple tile sources
I'm not sure that we boomers are crazier than anyone else, but there are enough of us that our voices carry. Musical snobbery has a long history, I think. As for rock-and-roll, it was a force, but it was far from the only thing going in popular music during the boomers' adolescence. This may have created anxieties for those who knew they were supposed to like the Stones (and did), but who also knew they were not supposed to like the Carpenters (but did). And there were the journalists who seemed to want to rule anything but rock out of the popular music world, so helping to feed the anxiety.
Have you used it post-COVID? Because in my experience the platform more or less died during COVID (although it had a long sickness before that).
Remember people in the 80's carrying big stereos? What we need now are personal music spheres.
We thought germs were "magic" at one point and that bloodletting cured people.
> use illegal substances

victimless crime on it's own

> illegally camp in a city park

rational crime, you want payoff of not sleeping in the rain and probability of being swept out of the area is unlikely depending on where you set up
Here is the best break down of the Sacks/Musk duo that I have seen so far[0]

The alternative is alive and well over at Bluesky.

u/BizzaroLand, if you would like an invite, send a message to my username at google's email service.

[0] https://nitter.net/P_Kallioniemi/status/1674360288445964288
No, that's easy. We had the equivalent of that in GANs many years ago. If you've never seen GAN editing, here's a quick video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z1-3JKDh0nI (Background: https://gwern.net/face#reversing-stylegan-to-control-modify-... ) You just classify the latents and then you can edit it. These days, with pretrained models like CLIP, you don't necessarily even need a latent space: you can take a model which has been trained on sound/text descriptions, like AudioCLIP, prompt it with a text like "vocal fry", and then the generated samples are subtly skewed to try to maximize similarity with "vocal fry". You put a slider on that for how much weight/skewing it does, and now you have a slider control to adjust properties of the voice from the AI. If something like this doesn't exist, it's obvious how to do it. (Even the realtime problem is being solved by figuring out how to train diffusion models to do a GAN-like single pass: https://arxiv.org/abs/2309.06380 )
> opposed to everything that smacks of progress.

Many people oppose anything that was invented after their childhood. It’s quite normal. Eventually they’ll learn wind farms are a good thing, much like the cars that replaced horses.
I read an interview with some aging rock star a few years ago, and the interviewer asked him if he thought that Rock and Roll was dead, and he said yes, because it no longer pisses off your parents when you listen to it.

His response framed rock and roll not as a form of music but as a cultural phenomenon.

(I wish I could remember what youth culture thing kids do to piss off their parents these days but I can’t remember.)
Maybe I'm misunderstanding what exactly a vector db is.

Let's say you have a chatbot and stored in its database is the usual info like session id, timestamp, message etc. To "vectorize" this db then would be to vectorize all the messages. Is this too simple an understanding?

Once the db has been vectorized then we can do semantic search on the messages and create more informative graphs based off the semantic similarity for messages within a given timeframe or other criteria.
> This is "old guy lamenting what the other old guys have done" which is something we need more of in general.

Why do we need more of this? There's literally no shortage of it -- an eternal firehose of this sort of content in all actuality. We could do one of those listicles where someone takes a headline like "no one wants to work anymore" and posts examples of it going back to the invention of the printing press.
I'd say Idoru[1] feels closer somehow.

1: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Idoru
At most professional sports games or concerts, at least in North America, most of the audience is staring at the Jumbotron or their phone anyways.

If there’s a half second break in play or downtime some wacky in-game entertainment like keep your eye on the shell under the hat or guess as many items that do X in 15 seconds to win 0.50$ off 45$ concessions.

I was hugely skeptical of the sphere after its whopping 2+ billion dollar cost but it looks like an incredible, unique experience.

These venues will probably only ever be in destination locations, and this is really already what the modern venue experience is, just on what a couple billion dollars gets you.

If people hate it there is probably a million run down theaters or grass fields patrons can go enjoy instead.
possibly this? https://www.atlasobscura.com/articles/tree-law-is-a-gnarly-t...

....“It’s never about the trees,” Bonapart says. “The trees often serve as lightning rods for other issues that are the psychological underpinning of a dispute that people might have with each other.”
It's true that nothing is 100% safe. And to some degree, that makes the argument problematic; regardless of what happened, one could construct a way for US government to mess with things. If you had competition of the world's leading academic cryptographers with a winner selected by popular vote among peers, how do you know that the US hasn't just influenced enough cryptographers to push a subtly broken algorithm?

But we must also recognize a difference in degree. In a competition where the US has no official influence over the result, there has to be a huge conspiracy to affect which algorithm is chosen. But in the competition which actually happened, they may potentially just need a single plant on one of the strong teams, and if that plant is successful in introducing subtle brokenness into the algorithm without anyone noticing, the NIST can just declare that team's algorithm as the winner.

I think it's perfectly reasonable to dismiss this possibility. I also think it's reasonable to recognize the extreme untrustworthiness of the NIST and decide to not trust them if there's even a conceivable way that they might've messed with the outcome of their competition. I really can't know what the right choice is.
While I agree with a lot of what you have said,

>Still, the idea that he's "the only one who can produce the good algorithms"

The parent post did not, at all, make the claim that Bernstein is the only one.
Gary Numan?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LOeXDKx9eEc
Which cost a lot, so they need to get the product for a lower price before reselling. Also, because they are buying wholesale, they usually have the upper hand in the negotiations. It's quite common for their contracts to be contingent to the manufacturer not selling the product at the same price point
One of the issues I've noticed. I can say from first hand experience that many wealthy people and VC's use drugs fairly frequently. I'm sure most of these arrests involve poor people though. You never hear about the wealthy folks being busted for drugs.
I can't imagine living with a workflow that regularly requires me to remote into servers to get shit done. Life is miserable enough as it is.
In my experience, the office can be even more isolating and mentally taxing. I rather just type out my thought process if I need to talk to a coworker.

Like cool, I can spend an hour getting an overpriced lunch with my coworkers and push the "going home" aspect back another hour.
I had most of my networth in FTX and it all went down with it.

20 yrs of work, savings, and TSLA + NVIDIA winnings gone just like that

It didn’t make any sense what ftx was doing at the time. It’s one thing to steal and embezzle, it’s another to rob the thing wholesale from top to bottom.

Its almost like someone schemed all this out, just to funnel people’s money to politicians

I’m afraid we won’t ever get to the truth of it, kind of like the Epstein case
Another Numan/NIN double feature?
I'm pretty sure closures are available to any function regardless of how they are defined.

https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/JavaScript/Clos...
> If you are (a) not American, or (b) don't actually live near windmills, or (c) not living in rural areas where all windfarms are placed by elites who don't live there, then why would you downvote this comment? Your privilege is showing.

"They are an unsightly blight upon rural landscapes, and if you're within half a mile of them, the low frequency sounds are disruptive and unwelcome." can be verified (or having own opinion on their looks) without being American and without living permanently near windmills.
> Most prisoners have been convicted of a violent crime.

this challenged my conceptions a little bit, while I wasn't blown a way by it, I did expect possession to be a higher percent of the whole. Here are some sources for others who are curious:

At yearend 2019 (the most recent year for which
state prison offense data are available), 58% of all
persons imprisoned by states had been sentenced
for violent offenses (710,800 prisoners) [https://bjs.ojp.gov/content/pub/pdf/p20st.pdf page 28]

For the same year, 46,700 people were in prison with the most serious crime being possession. This represents 3.8% of the prison population.

However; the above are statistics for STATE prisons. The federal system seems to be murkier, with 46% (67,000~) of inmates being their for drug related reasons. Unlike state breakdowns, drug crimes are differentiated here. If we assume the breakdown between possession and other charges is the same as state levels (a VERY shaky assumption) we'd expect 10% of the federal system to be related to possession.

Averaging some of these numbers, it seems that even in a 'worst case scenario' roughly 9% of inmates are in for possession, but more realistically we're looking at around 4%.

I expected this to be in the 10-20% range prior to looking into this more deeply, something that isn't helped by the piss-poor dashboards by BOP https://www.bop.gov/about/statistics/statistics_inmate_offen...

EDIT: started researching this prior to seeing that others had posted :)
> The problem is the externalities of the policy. Not some mode overfitting.

Sure I don't disagree with this. I guess the point is not so much that ML models are bad here in the typical sense (although greedy consultants may, and IMO likely are, happy to pawn off shitty models to jurisdictions which don't know any better), but more that the underlying system isn't one where predictive modeling is truly going to be "effective" (although, as another commenter pointed out, there are cases where predictive modeling works fairly well such as pretrial detention risk assessment). The problem as I see it is that model "efficacy" means one thing to the cops and voters ("effective" in the sense of reducing or preventing crime) and another thing to a data science ("effective" in the sense of able to achieve a high F1 score or w/e). These definitions may be correlated, but are not guaranteed to be, and the strength of the correlation is highly dependent on how the model is ultimately used.
I'm not sure how old Matt Ruby is. He's either an old Gen X or a young Boomer. Boomer-on-Boomer rock criticism seems like it should be valid.
No, not at all; this is about real performers, still performing "live" (i.e. doing a performance each night that people hear as it is performed, with live sound engineering, unscripted elements, etc) — but without the performers and crew having to live together in a tour bus 22 hours a day for months in order to do a tour.

When you think about it, it's pretty weird that there is this expectation of musicians going "on tour" for nearly an entire year at a time, hitting every major city on a continent during each tour, and then doing it all again one or two years later. We don't expect e.g. musical theatre troupes to tour like that. Theatre troupes might sometimes visit select places, sure — but if you live in most parts of the world, if you want to see a stage production, you are going to be the one getting on a flight to go to where that production "lives" (and serves, most of the time, as an attraction for the city the actors live and work in!)
I like Tool's concert aesthetic. They have visuals. The vocalist is often in the back with the instrumentalists. They have sort of an anti-LA vibe while being definitely a very Californian band.

Faith No More seems like another anti-rock-cliches rock band (or: alternative).

As for U2: they just seem like the least interesting rock band to me. Like a Foo Fighters with boring syncopation.
I've seen many clips on social media from the U2 shows, however no instances where the visuals matched, or had any connection to the music. It mostly looked like a giant screensaver. Maybe I missed some highlights?
Is there a way to get unfiltered search? When Im logged in and search for events in my town, I carefully set the filters for 2miles, then onsite events... it doea not show all events. When not logged in, or when accessing those events I can find them. It feels like being stuck in an "algorhitm bubble".