skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Sopmer of it is theatre but screening people to make sure they don't have a bomb ios not theatre - people will do this as has been shown.
I agree, these predictions are usually just statistical inferences without any believable model. Models expect everything continuing like it is and not having any discontinuities.

I personally predict that we will fuck things up and end up with huge population decline because of raising fossil fuel costs, climate change, ecosystem destabilizaion and wars. Even feedin 8 billion people is a huge ask in this declining world.
RSS publishes report on dealing with uncertainty in medical “murder cases (2022)
Those are the ingredients for factory produced bread. You need to go live in a higher density neighbourhood that can facilitate a local bakery. The bakery I (sometimes) go to sells 3-day fermented artisanal hand-made sourdough baguettes for the same price as a loaf of wonderbread. It's the cars.
I don't think Google/Facebook execs realize to what extent they destroyed themselves when they allowed the meltdown over James Damore. He literally wrote a whole essay warning them of the dangers of allowing rampant left wing purity spirals inside their companies, and they wrecked him for it.

Now years later they have problems like not being able to release something that will make playlists with Kanye in it, or they can't make their AI available at all because given a prompt like "picture of a builder" it draws white men (Google Imagen). If they hadn't ruthlessly purged or suppressed every single conservative years ago they might now have some way to push back against or make peace with this insanity, but instead they have to sit back and watch as OpenAI systematically eat their lunch. Largely by poaching all the researchers who were sick of the crazies being in charge!

There's a management lesson in here for those who choose to look, but somehow it seems unlikely many will.
For those not familiar, the USN has a fair bit of "lessons learned, painfully, eventually" WWII history on this subject:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Typhoon_Cobra

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Typhoon_Connie_(1945)#Typhoon_...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Typhoon_Louise_(1945)#U.S._nav...
No.

(edit - but let me amend my original statement and then I'm leaving it at that: "I may add that I would guess the product probably wouldn't be so harmful if people kept their consumption to under five cigarettes a day.")
The problem with economic contraction is that it is inevitable. You won’t hear this from economists, but ask any physicist about exponential growth.

The question is what terms will the contraction happen on. It can be engineered, or it can be a surprise. I’m convinced most engineered scenarios are overall more desirable than an unexpected collapse.

There’s one scenario where contraction doesn’t have to happen - that’s where exponential growth stops. Maybe stagflation is the best outcome.
Mozilla's midlife crisis has taken it from pioneer to Google's weird neighbor
I feel like this is a true American story. Imagine someone’s car being stolen like this, it would be completely different. In countries where bikes are primary means of transportation this would never happen like this. But somehow, in the US, bikes and people on bikes are distinct from the car driving population and are always seen as a bit of a nuisance. Am I wrong?
> Interesting. What makes work provided computers better suited for coding?

They already have working software development environments. It's a process that can be time-consuming and is done once in a blue moon (basically when you need to reimage the machine). In the meantime, all changes to your software dev environment are gradual, and your work-provided computer ends up being configured like a software development pet instead of cattle.

Moreso if your company adopted/enforces internal development tools.

Ask yourself this: how many times have you went through a complete OS reinstall and subsequently had to setup a working software dev environment? Is this something you have automated? Most people do not.
What really grinds my gears is when people use the words "couple" and "few" in exactly the opposite way they are supposed to be used. How can a couple not be exactly two? Why would you then use few to mean exactly two?

These people are almost always American. At least, I've never encountered someone I know not to be American making this error.

It's part of a wider pattern I've noticed where Americans just say things backwards. Some examples include "let's see if I can't" (meaning let's see if I can), "could care less" (meaning couldn't care less), "me either" (meaning me neither), "irregardlees" (meaning regardless). It's an interesting phenomenon.
> Having a place to wash your hands

Here (Japan) places that need hand-washing but don't have a toilet will just have a small sink.

E.g. a fast food place in a mall where they don't have their own toilets: https://saga-style.jp/images/2573/files/251552529081.JPG

Convenience store: https://blog-imgs-65.fc2.com/d/a/i/daiwariki/20140731_2.jpg https://uttan.net/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/IMG_0332.jpg https://chie-pctr.c.yimg.jp/dk/iwiz-chie/que-1087926330?w=20...
These two questions are at the root of this conundrum, but you're not being completely accurate.

What exactly is your justification for regarding your right to privacy in your communication with your loved ones is more important than the right of the police to fight child abuse?

I believe most people would not agree with this exact proposition, but with a different one: that once the police is given the power to fight child abuse, which can only be given by allowing them to access private communications of anyone suspect of being involved in such crime, then there will be abuse of power and they will use that access to also fight other crimes or even for political gain, as tends to happen in authoritarian states.

I would absolutely be willing to forego my right to privacy under certain circumstances given that there were strong enough guardrails in place to prevent abuse in the future if that would allow child abuse and other hideous crimes to be prevented - it would be immoral to not do so. However, as most other people in tech, I have enough knowledge to understand that it would not be possible at all to prevent abuse with current technology - once the power exists at all to break into communications, anyone with enough motivation and resources available will be able to do it, not just the intended receipients of such power, unfortunately.

If you really want people on the other side of the debate to understand you, you need to stop being so simplistic - there are very good justifications for their positions if you remove the practical limitations of being able to stop abuse - which they do not understand, and I suspect a lot of people in tech even also fail to comprehend.

I would even go as far as to say that future technology may change this: it may be possible to have completely abuse-proof technologies in the future which, if it existed, would make me change my position on this matter.

For example, something that uses blockchain technology to make it cryptographically impossible for the police to access someone's communications without having a warrant?? And making that warrant only usable by the police if it was also approved by a number of different, independent groups, including groups advocating for privacy (something like a "smart contract" could do this?)??

You can say these are stupid ideas, and I would probably agree... but my point is that this may not be impossible, and perhaps people who are really concerned about privacy while also having an understanding of why the police may need this sort of power should be actually trying to find ways to do this properly instea d of just keeping repeating the mantra that no, this is impossible and we'll have to live with child abuse , terrorism etc. forever?!
I tend to separate refugees and migrants, as the process and framing is very different. From a cursory look I'm not the only one [0].

In particular, in many countries refugees and asylum seeker can't do general work or have special conditions attached to it, so it's another whole can of worm.

[0] https://www.unhcr.org/news/stories/refugees-and-migrants-fre...
Also the available resources were to be mere specifications and reference implementations. The idea was that each computer manufacturers would build their own versions to compete on the same ABI. Sure, that's how you do manually fabricate operating systems out of blank floppies. That was among the project's fatal mistakes.
Australian police also raid media outlets.

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-australia-51526607

Decreasing democratic accountability by centralizing control and installing appointees does not improve things, except sometimes in the very short term, if the political establishment is, for example, set on "reforming" an institution.

It's also my experience that the press, though still often fawning over (local) governments in the US, is much more adversarial than it is in other developed Western countries, which sweep a lot under the rug.
All those things you listed do sound like "you're all that matters" to me.

The personal objectives, the lifestyle, or the dislike of children, are all primarily self-referential. What do I want? How do I like living? Who do I want to be around? Those do all die with you.

People who prioritize any of those are highly unlikely to have children, regardless of the availability of artificial wombs.

I would certainly rather people be honest about the situation if they are at the center of their own reality. Better to admit that and not have children than bring children into it to try to fool people.

I don't even judge them for it. Our whole world is geared toward fostering that mentality. It would be hard not to be.

I'm just saying it doesn't lead to parenting a replacement number of children like believing you're contributing to something vastly greater than yourself does.
Threat intel and analysis is just like any other analysis, it is taking a heuristic approach to finding answers.

Can it be bypassed? Yes.

Are the researchers whose entire company hinges on the correctness of their analysis doing their absolute best to attribute the attack to a threat actor? Yes.

So to your point, somebody could indeed reuse malware or attempt to replicate it. However, the researchers are likely analyzing the disassembly and bytecode, and replicating complex malware to perfectly imitate a known family of malware is exceptionally difficult and statistically very unlikely. This is how threat intel is able to make any sort of claim of attribution.
Mandelbrot Commands
Oh my god.

If the original Technique does not work: try this.

That is so much more in depth and works for more people then the original Technique!
I feel like if you want that then you should colocate the files in the same folder.
You can set identities in gmail from which you can send emails. If it weren't gmail but a mail server you hosted, it would be even more trivial. Neither of these have to do with SMTP authentication. Without significant other configuration the mail server does not care what Mail From: address you enter. This is how my classmates were able to get emails from the US president back in the day.
The problem is the ultra-liberal conflation of words with violence. The X-risk folks are mostly concerned about actual, physical violence against humanity by AI - "what if we accidentally make a paperclip maximizer" being the textbook example of AI risk, which is a scary scenario because it involves AI turning us all into goo using unlimited violence.

But then there's the generic left faction inside these companies that has spent years describing words as violence, or even silence as violence, and claiming their "safety" was violated because of words. That should have been shut down right at the start because it's not what the concept of safety means, but they didn't and now their executives lack the vocabulary to separate X-risk physical danger from "our AI didn't capitalize Black" ideological danger.

Given this it's not a surprise that AI safety almost immediately lost its focus on physical risks (the study of which might be quite important once military robots or hacking become involved), and became purely about the risks of non-compliant thought. Now that whole field has become a laughing stock, but I wonder if we'll come to regret that one day.
Still waiting for it to come true for the past decades/centuries when people said that about Irish, Jews, Mexicans, Eastern Europeans, etc.
Yeah he's a right wing activist and publicly holds right wing views and publicly associates with far right extremists.
Over 2 years, I attended once or twice weekly public speaking meetings. Became president of a club, VP of another, member of another (most are biweekly). Mentored and worked with dozens, met hundreds, spoke in front of thousands.

There are some very low resistance social graphs. Just travel them consistently.
The word is distinctive (or perhaps distinguished).
From your description I don’t see why that can’t be implemented as a device driver and a set of ioctl calls. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ioctl:

“In computing, ioctl (an abbreviation of input/output control) is a system call for device-specific input/output operations and other operations which cannot be expressed by regular system calls. It takes a parameter specifying a request code; the effect of a call depends completely on the request code. Request codes are often device-specific. For instance, a CD-ROM device driver which can instruct a physical device to eject a disc would provide an ioctl request code to do so.”
Of course I don’t believe that. Violent video games aren’t real violence in any manner at all. But people do copy and get inspired from all sorts of media. Whether it’s following a recipe on YouTube or replicating a sex act from porn or a taking part in a viral craze on TikTok. Those are all real things normal people do so we should recognise nothing is as straightforward as “videogames cause violence” or “media has no impact on people’s behaviour”. Jumping from videogames with violence in them are positive for society therefore porn can’t be negative is a non-sequitur.

As you’re presenting no evidence you’re also just relying on what you ‘feel’ to be true.

Thankfully the sibling comment to this one shows that porn can and does actually influence behaviour.

And whilst “think of the children” is often used in a pearl clutching manner it doesn’t obviate the need to sometimes think about the impacts of the adult world on kids.
This story is from the UK.
Halfway in, this reads like yet another home run after his last year's video on NFTs. Just exposing fraud, manipulation, and tragedy -- in three-hour monuments.
You folks must be joking. Clever marketing doesn't make extremely processed food healthy.
There's plenty of"public poisoning" going around - sure you haven't profited from some of it yourself?

When will the sanctimonious get off of their high-horse?
Your point about questioning our own assumptions (especially those we may have made early in life) is very fair and reasonable advice.

The way I look at it though, the desire to have children comes from societal and self conditioning too. For the majority of people, building a nuclear family is what they see all around them, and few ever really question whether or not their desire comes from the fact that it seems like the default and it would be too hard to go against the grain.

I don’t have the drive to have children. Maybe I would have if I saw it as more of a possibility earlier on in life, but I think we underestimate how much of that drive actually originates from outside forces for many people.
This is also assuming that those developers would be otherwise able to land 200k-250k jobs in traditional software development. Which is a bit rare today, as the bulk of people working in small games today isn't made of ex-developers, but of newcomers learning from tutorials with limited/niche experience. And maybe that's the reason it's hard to get an 1M investment, and the reason the market is a bit saturated.
So we will finally find out the planets of those alien bastards that are already here? Nice to know
Same in South Africa; I was surprised to hear "a couple" can mean more than two.
> I suspect, though, that memory safety is one of the most important kinds of safety.

I don't agree, at least in the context of safety that Ada is typically mentioned in. Safety in this context is generally about human lives.

Memory safety is by far the most important kind of safety against exploits. Because memory safety bugs lead to arbitrary code execution and a total security breakdown.

However, where Ada is used most often - safety-critical and realtime systems in airplanes or medical equipment and such - most of the code is written for embedded systems. The attack surface is generally miniscule if any. The vast majority of issues that these contexts face I reckon are unit conversion errors, off-by-one errors, type overflows and logic errors.
As a policy it has its origins in improvement of sorts for large sections of the population - definitely it never advocated degrowth in its origins which predate the current financial system.
It has been done before. Diacritics suck, German does not use them thankfully.
While the metaphore is great, it's actually stand on a myth.

That's all the more interesting in such a context to evocate it. We often take for granted what feels like aptly grounded easy to grab information. I think that is where LLM feels the most as a terrible threat to human societies, because they can at large scale provide customized very convincing utter bullshits.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boiling_frog
British Troops Will Be Deployed to Ukraine Under a New Training Program
I commented elsewhere, but my goal is to hide the DAW as completely as i can and give them a midi keyboard, Korg nanoKONTROL2 and some background config or automation that lets them choose synth sounds and record themselves play. As someone who played piano to a decent level up to my teens, I've always felt that throwing up a DAW just gets in the way of making music. Especially when I'm getting back into it after a long break. Complicated interfaces just sap my time and energy and I eventually find that I've wasted a lot of time without striking a key on the piano.
Complete oversight is a pure intention to some people.
I didn't say simply being around it a lot would pick it up automatically, but you're not the only person to read that into my original post.

Within the first week, I'd be paying close attention to everything people around me said, listening for patterns. Within a month, I would at least be trying to talk to them, albeit probably terribly.

A situation like yours where most people will speak to you in your native language is totally different than one where nobody does for 50 years. If you don't make learning the language they are speaking a high priority sometime in that span, that's not all on them.
So for work I consult on email security and every time this article pops up I get texts from everybody asking for my opinion. So here we go.

Disclaimer: opinions are my own.

A DKIM signature does not prove that an individual sent the email, the key is not personal. A DKIM signature proves that the sending service is a delegated sender for the domain. Meaning that a correct DKIM signature proves that the part after the '@' symbol in the sender address is authentic. Not the part before that. If you want to use a personal signature, you can use S/MIME.

If you are a delegated sender for the domain, then you can use any sender name (the part before the '@' in the sender email address). This is how email works. The password that is typically required to authenticate with your outbound SMTP service if only enforced by that host.

So an email with sender address jane@example.com that is DKIM signed only proves that the email was send by a host that is a allowed to send email on behalf of example.com. It does not prove in any way that the email was sent by Jane.

Also, as others have mentioned, none of the email service providers will give you the private keys. I'd like to add that in most cases this won't even be possible, due to the use of HSMs.

So the proposed scheme would only work in a situation where you are owner of the DKIM key (thus in practice where you are the owner of the host sending the email), and where you also own the domain. It is trivial for a prosecutor to prove the owner of the domain, or the owner of the host that used the DKIM key. No amount of publishing keys will help you deny that ownership.

In my opinion it makes no sense in signing your email (whether it is S/MIME or DKIM) to prove that the email is authentic, and then complaining that there is no way to deny that the email is authentic once stuff goes bad.
While it's increasingly clear that Lessig's legacy will be as (to borrow a phrase) the internet's own failson, he is far more famous today for CC than Eldred v. Ashcroft.
Sony Ericsson was Swedish by the way, it was basically the old Ericsson phone division with Sony Walkman and Cybershot branding slapped on top.

The Japan models were the old Sony and they always had completely different (and much better) hardware than the models in any other country. IIRC the W900 was the attempt to merge Japanese hardware with Ericsson software and the UI was way smoother and it was the only SE device for years that would record QVGA video instead of QCIF.
Blackmail and coersion of civilian assets for intelligence work is both possible and a risk.

But it won't happen though an Interpol investigation and leave a formal audit trail.

It is just turning "think of the children!" into "think of the sexual blackmail!".
The main issues are : the control of advertising and the control of payments. The first is monopolized by Google, second is monopolized by VISA/mastercard.

Most people gave up on their forums and communities because they can't monetize effectively, as google favors mobile, large advertisers, and their own content (youtube). Visa will make up arbitrary rules about what content is allowed and in any case microtransactions is an unsolved problem. Things like Patreon make up even more rules and don't help, it soon becomes a festival of rent-seekers.

If you want to see people putting up things on the open web, start by fixing those
> The evidence from Tam Pà Ling has pushed back the timing of H. sapiens’ arrival in Southeast Asia. This suggests the mainland, along with the coastal and island locations, may have also been a viable dispersal route.

I’m curious what is the implication of this paragraph. If the first date was later, why would the route change?
Indeed, it did destroy America in sixteen hundreds.
US is build on immigrants.

Even Musk is an immigrant from South Africa
I'm American and that's what I would say for "a couple". "As few" to me is just a small amount compared what is typical. So a few marshmallows might be 2 because generally people have somewhere between 5 and 10. A few skittles might be 5 because people will take a handful normally which is 20 or so skittles. "Several" to me is "a little less than the average amount" so with our previous example 5 marshmallows, 10 skittles.

I'd bet that most people have this kind of relative meaning for these words