skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
I feel like this question fundamentally demonstrates a lack of understanding of what arbitrage actually is. The obvious answer is: Because water seeks its own level.

If there is an imbalance in the market, someone will balance it. That's how it works. Let's say you have two different securities, that both represent the same underlying aspect of the economy. This happens all the time; there are multiple ETFs that represent the same basket of stocks, there are options and futures on those ETFs, including different types of futures that represent the same ETF but at different levels of leverage, there are options on those futures, and so on. All of this exists because there is no reason for them not to—people believe they can make money, reduce risk, or whatever by using these derivative instruments, and maybe they can.

But all of these stocks, funds, and derivatives are valued by one thing, and one thing only: their price on the open market. So, what happens when one of these funds get out of whack with the value of its derivatives, or even the underlying stocks themselves? Remember how we had multiple securities representing the same underlying aspect of the economy? Well, one is now worth more than the other, despite the fact that they represent the same thing. There's an imbalance, and if it gets too far out of balance, people are going to realize, wait, I can just buy 500 shares of SPY and short one ES contract, and that's free money! And that's entirely correct, you can. But the result of doing so is a minor market correction; the price of SPY goes up and the price of ES goes down, and boom, we're back in equilibrium.

So, arbitrage is a necessary and unavoidable aspect of the stock market. You can't have a stock market without arbitrage, because the stock market reflects so many different facets and ways to trade ownership and value of companies. Arbitrage is, in essence, the means by which information flows between various aspects of the market, and it connects them together so they effectively move in lockstep. It is nothing less than the market leveling itself, just as water poured into one side of a swimming pool fills every part of the pool.
> Charles V

Funnily he was also King of two different Galicias (the one in Spain and the other one in Ukraine)
I can conceive of the society, yes, I think we both probably live in one. It won't be obvious to everyone that a certain action is horrific, this is also true. Which is why I take a more firm stance on not initiating aggression on peaceful people, it short circuits all tribalism and fervor in favor of a principle which before all other action must be followed. This also isn't readily obvious to everyone necessarily, but it also provides me the latitude to defend myself from the initiation of agression by others, so it doesnt necessirily need to.

That's not really what I am getting at though. You as an individual, I think should consider leaning into the horrific scenarios made possible by an ends justify the means framework and consider whether other moral frameworks are more appropriate. Of course people will always do what people do, it doesn't follow that they are justified in doing so.
The moon mission and ICBMs have almost nothing to do with each other, unlike the first satellite, which was a clear demonstration of the capability to deliver intercontinental payloads and was launched on the rocket literally designed to be able to deliver nuclear payloads to the continental US.

The moon mission had only one goal: to save the face after the US has lost all meaningful milestones to the Soviet Union and to "win" the space race by moving the goalpost. I am quite confident, that if the Soviets has managed to land on the Moon first, the goalpost would've been landing on Mars.
SpaceX’s new Bandwagon program is a big threat to small launch providers
Excuse me? There hasn't been persisting sat based surveillance of Chinese, Russian, French, British, NATO and Comecon, basically all other nation states wargames since .. I mean not to "whataboutery" but all that's shifted here are orbits, not intent, by any nation state with launch capability.

Reading history, post napoleonic armies used to ask each other to send military legates from the official embassy staff to observe troop manoeuvres. This was part of what the Dreyfus affair was about. Information about French field exercises leaked.

Maybe we could ask PLA staff officers to come and join in? Then we wouldn't have to panic about microsats falling out of orbit.
Security through obscurity.

As a matter of public interest, the source code should be open for all.
Do you remember that thing that happened where people started getting sick from a novel disease and then most people were told they needed to stay home for a few months and not consume any services and then that caused a huge number of people to be laid off and then that caused the government to inject a huge amount of fiscal stimulus to recover from all of that and then suppliers underestimated the pace of demand recovery and underinvested in supply and logistics to meet that demand and then that resulted in a bunch of ripple effects in supply chains? No? You missed all that?
Julia compiles JIT to machine code, and I guess JS/TS and ruby too? All of those benefit from a repl for prototyping.

I think the biggest fail with most repls is the transition from the repl when you have that moment of "it worked" to having the working bits minus the stuff around it crammed into an idiomatic reusable thing. It is fairly easy in matlab, but I haven't found a workflow in Julia that does that well, tried dr. Doc strings, pluto, and vscode plugin. I'd welcome a rust repl too.
Fast food worker who never called in sick when they were sick and risked infecting others? Disgusting. You cannot possibly tell me that a human never once got sick
I'm reading again Henry V, by Shakespeare. The first scene starts with some realpolitik where the archbishop of Canterbury (a Catholic bishop then) distracts the king from passing a law that would strip the Church from a large part of its wealth and lands by making him go to war against France to claim the throne.
Fwupd 1.9.4 Released with Linux Firmware Updating for More Devices
Very nice tip, works quite naturaly in many contexts. Although familiar with HSL I've never though a 180deg turn was going to fix colors.
There is a system already there today. People with certain passports/nationalities are afforded certain privileges. These do not apply to other people (which number in billions). The way the system work is that if you are not marked as a belonging individual, then you are not afforded rights.

This system will simply extend to AI. Probably no AI will be afforded any rights.
It sounds like you're talking about two different forms of determinism like they're the same thing. There's a theory of computation determinism, but then there's philosophical determinism as it's understood in the context of discussions in free will. I understand those to be different things. Just like randomness isn't agency, neither is parallelization.

That said, I think I agree with the upshot of your point that artificial conscious systems could process things predictably, and that our own brains appear to be perfectly functional despite whatever elements of uncertainty, (via our own agency or parallelization or whatever else one thinks is the special thing about consciousness).
Have you had a look at othello gpt? https://thegradient.pub/othello/

It's a nice constrained example of a transformer learning a world model, not just looking up responses.

> It's impressive that it knows the difference between "how many are 5 more apples than 10" compared to "how many percent are 5 apples of 10" (I don't know if it does, just assuming). But the first release also tried to reason why the weight of 1 pound of nails depends with the simple prompt "how much do 1 pound of nails weigh". That's most likely a perfect example of it mashing the classic "what weighs more, 1 pound of nails or 1 pound of feathers".

Is there a formulation here that would get to a point where you'd think it's not just mashing things together? Are there elements of a simple question that would be required?

Here's a slightly trickier one for it "Which weighs more, a pound of feathers or balloons made from one pound of rubber then filled with 100g of helium?"

https://chat.openai.com/share/b841c96f-e46c-4adf-8ec3-8778ff...
> has a special ability to reflect pure consciousness giving rise to the mind and the world with it.

It's nondualist in the way that it makes the entire world as insubstantial as souls.
KPIs without judgment are bad because you can’t model everything. Judgment without measurement is also bad because we all have human bias. It’s a matter of where you lean first. (Do you check your model, or check your judgment?)
While I agree with you, I'd like to point out:

> even if we don't act as perfectly as we could/should be.

We don't even treat them anywhere close to perfectly, in fact we treat them in the most horrific way imaginable. To most that is tolerable, but it bears repeating.
Sorry, but I'm not following you.

I'm a bit thirsty right now. I think if I get up and drink a glass of water, I'll stop being thirsty. You can look at the sequence of events after the fact and think "fluoridation was right that drinking water would quench his thirst" or "fluoridation was wrong that drinking water would quench his thirst". Neither statement is consequentialist, because neither passes judgement on the morality of drinking water, on no longer being thirsty, or on using one to achieve the other. You're just making a statement about how my thinking aligns with reality. Changing the goal or the method changes nothing. Replace "drinking water" with "sacrificing infants on the field" and "being thirsty" with "having a poor harvest". You can call me ignorant and superstitious without judging me morally on my actions or my thinking.
“If you have nothing to hide, you have nothing to fear”

Thus standing out from the crowd by using a traditional VPN makes you suspicious. Routing all your traffic through a single IP is also indicative of an obfuscated VPN.

My current setup:
Tun2socksn -> local host socks5 proxy -> multiple outbound xray instances routed through different CDNs (or not) to make traffic look “normal”

Which outbound a specific IP takes is randomized and cached for 1 hour.
So the story here is that the CEO's brother is Autistic, and was one of the major inspirations for the company. Being "out" about my disability, I thought it was really cool at the time and mentioned that I'm Autistic, and seeing her embrace her brother as part of the core mission of the company was inspiring.
And how we know that it is pronounced like the peanut butter!

As a kid in the 80s on compuserve o still remember coming across that document explaining GIF, including the pronunciation
>there's no way we can know what he could have done different to succeed

Not, but we can have some pretty good guesses
My Pebble mood tracker app from 2016
> Respect the company's style guide etc.

Really? I would have said the opposite - journalists have no obligation to parrot what companies' marketing departments feed them, and in fact usually ought to do the opposite.

Russia might name its invasion of Ukraine "Anti-Nazi Operation Freedom Eagle" but you wouldn't expect a war correspondent to repeat such obvious propaganda. In general, journalists have no obligation to follow companies' and governments' naming preferences.
Very similar to the problems traditionally faced by engineered storage solution engineers one to two decades ago. There's a mix of those engineers and newer folks from academia or cloud in general leading the solutions for the cloud.
I wonder if there might be some structural problems in American labor policy that incentivize this kind of behavior
Exactly. Most people I witnessed saying this never even heard of Deming.
The speed limit being a target is how it is treated in driver education and tests in the UK.

You can fail a driving test if you spend too much time driving more than ~5 miles per hour below the speed limit in safe conditions.
It shouldn't. I believe clauses in place to support interoperability of software would cover it.
Nice thanks, that's a really cool graph. It is very promising and I like how windmill farms can probably be constructed to be a little bit more resistant to sabotage than nuclear power plants are, should it ever come to that level of strain.
Wow, I was expecting a bash monstrosity, but at 120 lines it's actually very readable!

Cool project :)
^^^ This.

Buy ingredients. Not ready-to-eat, highly processed foods.

Where possible, buy from local producers (directly from farmer, bakery on the corner) rather than big box store.

Like dried beans: soak overnight, cook, add some veggies & spices, enjoy.

Tastier & cheaper than canned food.
We need the concept of user agents for our media. Like we prevent ads and enhance fonts for the web, remove pauses for podcasts, compress audio so dialog is intelligible, our video players should remove non-speech parts of subtitles and delay punchlines till they are spoken.
I love AHK. I have Ctrl-` pop up Windows Terminal, but only from programs that don't already have an integrated terminal; I have Ctrl-Alt-Space for a window to stay always-on-top; and I have an auto-clicker that's integrated with MouseKeys to use its enabled state and right-click-vs-left-click state and which cancels itself if the mouse is moved at all.
The testing is not open. Selected groups are invited, and it runs for a given length of time. To the point that obviously only so many flaws can be found, as the test environment is not realistic.

There are plenty of examples of flaws in the voting system. Most of them have been corrected, but not all.

Yes, fraud is widespread with paper voting. But it does not scale. One single flaw in an electronic voting system could scale to every single voting machine, thus impacting even presidential elections.
> For consciousness, I think it is necessary for it to continuously process and alter its own knowledge.

Not really. Especially if you consider time as a fourth dimension instead of what we perceive and define as time.
Why are localisation workers regularly left out of game credits?
> ...very serious illnesses where you can't continue to work.

In the US, if possible, carry long term disability insurance to mitigate this risk.
Deep-Sea Mining Could Begin Soon, Regulated or Not
Hydrogen has problems, but at the end of the day it's viable and are the best option for planes/ships if we don't find anything better. On ships fairly easily, on planes with a fair bit of re-engineering. Local pollution aside, renewable hydrocarbons would be a better option, if they're viable at all.
I've got friends who are social workers who solve real problems every day of the week. They aren't generally hated for it, though there are exceptions, like when a parent ends up losing custody due to child abuse.

Did you not think of any social workers because they aren't rich enough for you to notice them, or because you think the problems they solve aren't real enough?
I don't read this statement as hypothetical at all.

And what do you feel when we understand it well enough to realize we're the same type of parlor tricks?

It seems pretty clearly when and not if. Not sure what you're reading there.
These articles are mostly just trying to increase fear to drive clicks or they're orchestrated anti-China propaganda.
The relevant title for that action would be Queen of Australia, but the reality was considerably more complicated.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1975_Australian_constitutional...
Oliver Anthony “Rich Men North of Richmond” Debuts at No. 1 on Billboard Hot 100
Probably, but "factually correct" here is with regard to his inner beliefs, not if he said truth of lies. After all every politician lies.
Not really. While sick days are depressingly few in America, they DO exist. The fact this person took none of them is just nasty.
You are joining a cult which doubles as a long term support group. Since race and shared experience are no longer unifying social pillars, frats and sororities fill the void. Initiates pledge allegiance and loyalty to the cult and its goals and these commitments are verified through psychological tests.
Lessons from Evolution
Not sure who this is, but it reads to me like they are about to commit suicide.

>I want to kill my ego, or at least substantially break it.

So not that they have had an ego death, but rather had a goal of it.

This is very much akin to Echart Tolle in his ego death. He was literally suicidal and then realized his ego is his problem. Thus avoiding an actual suicide.
The application of this is not in energy production or - realistically - CO2 capture on a global scale. This takes huge amounts of energy to do and requires a sophisticated chemical synthesis in the background in order to replenish the catalyst.

Pretty much the only reason to do this would be because you're specifically interested in generating propane. For example, it could be very useful for ISRU on other planets, or to generate propane "for free" from a solar setup.

If your goal is energy production, you'd just use the output of solar panels directly without this costly step in the middle. If you want to store energy locally, electrolyzing water into H and O would be hugely more cost effective. But propane is a more dense fuel that would be useful for mobile applications such as ships and cars, and can also be used as a raw material in chemical synthesis.
Maybe in parts of the ceremony. The footage on replay at london castle has long (20m+) title read.
> KPIs compress away details that stakeholders need to form an understanding.

Comms. It always boils down to comms. Specifically, comms that drive understanding.

KPIs = knowledge.

But what you did, increased understanding.

And what I like to say is: "(Knowledge isn't power.) Understanding Is Power."
Maybe one day some really successful conqueror will be king of both Georgias, the one in North America and the one in Caucasus.
Wouldn't machines being conscious imply that they will advocate for these rights themselves?
Zsh has this out of the box. You just type the name of a directory and it will `pushd` to it. At least I think it's built-in. It could be oh-my-zsh I suppose.
Is this an accurate summary of the current status quo?

1. The universe is expanding

2. The velocity at which the universe is expanding is increasing, since there is non-zero acceleration.

3. The acceleration is actually slowing down, but it is not heading towards zero. It is approaching some steady state acceleration.

----------

In Exploring Black Holes by Edwin Taylor and John Wheeler, published in 2000, I recently read the following passage by Wheeler:

> An article by John Noble Wilford in the Science Times section of the New York Times for Tuesday March 3, 1998, reports observations by two separate groups of investigators which they interpret as showing that today the expansion of the Universe is speeding up rather than undergoing the slowdown expected for any approach to maximum expansion. Later that day I encountered a hard-bitten veteran gravitation physics colleague in the elevator of the Princeton physics building and asked him if he believed the purported evidence of accelerating expansion. "No," he replied. Neither do I. Why not? Two reasons: (1) Because the speed-up argument relies too trustingly on the supernovas being standard candles, (2) Because such an expansion would, it seems to me, contradict a view of cosmology too simple to be wrong. Such clashes between theory and experiment have often triggered decisive advances in physics. We can hope that some decisive advance is in the offing.

Now, Wheeler was one of the most preeminent physicists of the 20th century and spearheaded several fields and was not afraid of wild ideas. I am curious if anyone knows if he had any inklings that further his thoughts here. Was he just wrong here, before new measurements came out? Or is there something missing in these calculations and the theory that we're missing? I'm also not sure what means in (1).
You can use WhatsApp without sharing the address book by using wa.me links instead (e. g. wa.me/+12345556789) to start chats. Still sucks though.
> If the expansion rate is dropping, surely it is headed towards zero?

Expansion rate could be dropping but converging to a non-zero value. That seems unlikely to me, but it's an answer that would fit that description just fine.

The language is a bit imprecise, though, which I expect is the problem. The (to me) obvious technical interpretation of "expansion rate is headed towards zero" is that d size(t)/dt -> 0 as t -> infinity, but the (again, to me) obvious non-technical interpretation is "expansion will completely stop at some point". So "*not* headed towards zero" means "derivative isn't going to zero", or "expansion never quite stops", respectively.

The derivative of ln(t) does go to zero, but it has unbounded growth, so it fails the first test but passes the second. The universe experiencing logarithmic expansion seems reasonable enough.
>"the concept of consciousness will probably be considered no longer useful and replaced with something else".

Yes.
What if, the role of consciousness is reduced for everything, including humans.

If machines are conscious, the other way the logic can go is that 'humans must not be that special'. Humans will be reduced in importance.

Then, as someone else mentioned, pigs are treated pretty badly, humans will be treated worse.

Once machines and humans are equal, it will not 'elevate' machines, it will 'de-value' humans.

Humans are already treated as machines.

This will complete the transformation.
>We’ll still have to deal with traffic all the same.

It's not the same because the time can be productive or used for leisure. Plus far less stressful and tiring than driving.
I’m now questioning how well I remember my id but but yes am pretty sure it was 5,4 structure
An Amazon engineer (also other FAANG engineers) spends an insane amount of time on gaming an adversarial system.

If it were not for the unrealistic anti-competitive moats of these companies, these management practices would have burned them to the ground. Startups that have copied these practices without giving FAANG compensation have faded away in history.
> Newton himself was deep into weird alchemy stuff.

Did Newton get anything resembling an accurate idea of chemistry from studying it? Or was alchemy a horrible distraction for a mind that was entirely capable of making huge advances in chemistry if the well hadn't been poisoned by mysticism?

> A lot hinges here on "suggest" and "obvious"

No, everything hinges on their analysis, which is what they were explicitly referring to. If I tell you that my analysis of my finances suggests that there are no obvious ways for me to buy a new house, I'm not using weasel words.
Bad move. Now it takes one move to dethrone him.
Check out docker-osx. They have instructions on generating a serial number and getting it to work iirc
Found William Gibson.
"At some level" is the crucial point. But all too often metrics are a stand-in for the overall goal, and people forget their reductive nature, thereby allowing the system to optimize for the metrics instead of the underlying goal.

Ultimately, the "some level" you refer to is a very basic level; even more basic than what one would intuitively think.
It certainly makes more sense to have a base on the Moon first instead of trying to go to Mars.

Once we have developed technologies and experience on the Moon then moving on to Mars becomes more sensible and easier.
KPIs encompass more than just team performance; they also encompass the performance of the product itself. Even if you excel at delivering, a poorly performing product resulting from flawed ideas renders delivery insignificant.
I, for one, welcome a boring self driving car experience. Unfortunately they tend to be exciting. And in the case of Tesla lethal. In the case of cruise mostly annoying and mildly terrifying.