skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
I wonder if the pastimes in the USA that are most at risk are, on average, ones where you cannot use your phone and get exciting photos or video to post on your social media. After all, people are still meeting in groups to do things like hiking or cosplay, where they can present a glamorous image to other people via social media.
I think some confusion here seems to come from the following interpretations:

-Then what does 3% mean? Surely it means "given the data we have, one in every 33 will hit"
-Given everything you said is true, under those assumptions 3% of those asteroids that we identify as being in said 2km box will hit earth.

Both of these statements are false. The probability density is over our knowledge of the state variables/state space for this asteroid, not over asteroids. The hypothetical sample of asteroids is not drawn from the distribution I'm talking about.

Going back to the simplified example: With the uniform prior on the box, our probability means that 3% of the volume of this box would lead to an impact if an asteroid was centered at a point in that volume at this time of measurement.

It doesn't say anything about hypothetical realizations of this asteroid (it is not clear what this would be sampled from or what it means in a precise sense to repeat a 1 time event) and says even less about the sample of (nearly) independent asteroids observed in the past. The probability measure only describes the measurement uncertainty on properties of this particular asteroid. It is not conditioned on or related to statistics on impacts of "general asteroids".

But "presumably you need multiple measurements to predict a trajectory" and your notes about independence and uniformness being bad assumptions are absolutely correct tho. I agree 100%

My comment above is mostly an attempt to make a simple example to clarify what the probability measure being measured here is. It's not a physically realistic example :) and definitely doesn't make good assumptions about what information is needed and what error distributions that information would have! I don't do space and didn't want to make guesses

Calibration here would have to be over multiple measurements of the same asteroid (which my example doesn't touch on). Likely by predicting trajectories at different intervals and matching the likelihood of later observations.

Verifying multiple observations leading up to a 1 time event is a very different than, say, verification of simulations of an internal combustion engine design where measurements of a real world prototype can be conducted repeatedly and independently to learn/calibrate some fundamental properties or initial conditions like chemical kinetic coefficients and such.

For general interest/lectures/fun, the general field that studies how to push uncertainties forwards/backwards/calibrate a mathematical model and simulation is called "Uncertainty Quantification". Also not an expert lol, I was just surrounded by a bunch in my cohort
I'd put my money on this won't replicate.
You don't need to read the article, just search online a little. It probably took you longer to write that post for me to find this: https://osf.io/fdh4m

They assess belief in god in different ways. Details are found within the 8 preregistered study PDF documents.
Was it that successful? I don't recall having seen many of those in the wild. I mean not more than the beige mac they replaced. Same households, same businesses.

The white ibook G4 was really the one I saw starting making dent at the pc market, especially with students.
China's exports are actually flat at this point, yet their emissions are exploding. They have 1bn people who want to be richer. There is enough internal demand now that will mean emissions will rise without exports to the west.

Have you seen the graph or how emissions have fallen for the US and EU in the last 5 years, yet every year more emissions are added by china than those put together?
I agree.

Happy to be proven wrong, but I don’t believe TaylorAlexander has ever advocated for such, at least here on this forum, and there’s no reading, that I can imagine, of their comments here that would lead to me think they’ve started doing so.
This article would probably be useful for a lot more people if it spent just a couple of sentences introducing the various parameters, rather than just throwing variable names at the reader. Interestingly, a whole paragraph is spent on explaining n_bytes.
Since you mentioned SAFe I assume your company is not small, I have never met a good way to really be Agile in bigger companies (there might be rare counter examples, I know)
MinSDXL: HuggingFace-compatible SDXL Unet implementation that is readily hackab
When I was in high school my art department planned to throw away an original iMac blue, knowing the culutral significance of this machine I told them I'll take it but because it was public property (that was planned to be thrown out but anyway) I had to sneak in the end of the day and pick it up. I took it on my hands for 90 minutes on the way home (don't let the handle fool you this thing is heavy!) but I love it and my friends are always in awe I've got one
> Igor Sikorsky... fled in 1917 because the Soviets threatened to shoot him.

> The US has been working itself up to this for about 20 years now, since the “war on terror” started, and the oligarch weaponization of “woke” politics to keep the left from raising their taxes post Occupy Wall Street. Now it’s a war of terror, and the enemy, as they say, is us.

The "Woke Left" is coming to shoot us! Any day now!

> Conservative family-oriented religious people like Sikorsky and Seversky [...] being the backbone of every functioning civilization for all of human history.

Honestly, nobody is getting "cancelled", harassed, or whatever, for manifesting these adjectives. It's ALWAYS something beyond.
Apple Supplier Foxconn Begins iPhone 15 Production in India
The schoolchildren or the copyleft bros? Either way you must be some kind of sicko to suggest such a thing. Sickos always assume everyone else is as sick as them, so it's never a surprise to see them advocate for things like gun control.
A toxic world. We live in a world where good people being silenced and bad people become creators, influencers... And kids grow up being taught (being influenced) by admiring fake things: fake smiles, fake tears, fake beliefs, fake beauties...

I don't think the words "social skills" are correct. "Dark skills" are more suitable, just like the dark patterns. All come down to the human nature.
Fear of death is not the only kind of terror.
NB, Not noted in "Ted's Notes on Pawpaws": Pawpaw vs papaya.

The fruit that is commonly called "Pawpaw" in South Africa and some other countries is this one:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Papaya "The papaya or pawpaw is the plant species Carica papaya"

From the photos, the author is however talking about

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Asimina_triloba "Asimina triloba, the American papaw, pawpaw, paw paw, or paw-paw"

Which doesn't appear to be closely related at all. They're in different Orders: Magnoliales vs Brassicales
Not to mention the phrase "x times less than" doesn't really make sense the way it's often used. For it to make sense you have to reinterpret it to mean something that it doesn't based on being the opposite of "x times more than" (which is also often misused).
You are correct and it's in fact worse than even you deescribe. Startup SAAS companies have to pay to create and maintain permissions/login/user setup etc, they have to do marketing and pay to build a brand, let's say that's 30% of their work. Well with Cloud Provider most that work and cost is spread over multiple products. So they can develop and do that part cheaper.
Then because the open source version tends ot also be open community, the cloud provider will pitch to your community on your own chat channels: https://ryan-h.com/2023/07/22/the-end-of-open-source-tech-sa...
What’s perplexity?
This!

Our ability to talk about difficult things in a sensible way is so often thwarted by the unwillingness to just follow the simplest explanation first.

As if humans were designed for preferentially seeking extraordinary explanations
Simultaneous debt collapse and global de-dollarization: good luck timing this one.

Knowing that the markets are massively distorted and unsustainable gets you nothing. Knowing the next wave of irrational distortion gets you good long-term returns. Good timing is either pure luck, insider information, or outright manipulation.
How a former inmate became a creative technologist [video]
The hospital itself is primarily funded through the NHS which pays for its core work. The GOSH charitable foundation (which the PP Royalties go to) pays for things like additional research funding, some capital equipment for cutting-edge kit and additional family support.

The one thing that I think it funds that should be coming out of government funding is building work to maintain/replace buildings that are near end-of-life.
There are bad actors, and many of them are lazy/stupid. Their activity imposes a tax / harms on the rest of us. One way to minimise that harm to the good actors includes some mildly covert measures. The sendmail GreetPause is hardly a secret for example: it catches a common deliberate malicious protocol violation and is publicly documented. This is not unique to the Internet nor new; see also banking and personal security and so on.
I thought this was going to just be some sorta custom renderer that did some sort of physical simulation. But it was literally modeling a "pinpoint camera" in Blender, then modeling lens shapes....amazing!
To be honest, the very premise of this list is inherently hostile to trans women as shown by the decision to misgender them directly in the title. While there may be a debate here, this decision also shows that it's not coming from a place of mutual respect.

I think this is clearly intentional as the organizers are explicitly trans-exclusive radical feminists.
Pitfalls to Avoid in Playwright for Node.js
people that want to connect: roaming machines, machines behind nat

i use it to connect a notebook to a machine that sits behind nat, and to circumvent firewall rules

before i had to maintain an open port on the router, and a dyndns like process to connect to the machine behind nat, now not only is that machine no longer exposed on the internet i also don't have to keep the separate configs for the same machine (local and remote)

in regards to circumventing firewall rules it's just git with keys vs git over http, i just proxy jump through the home machine and call it a day
I had really good experience with Scrum in a small product team inside a big company, but the team acted as a startup inside a company, had a lot of freedom, schedules were flexible and budgets were large.

Then I had decent experience with scrumban in a team at one of the giants, but again we were lucky to be delivering utility products and not to end customers so we had a lot less dependencies.
So, gasoline?
How do retail banks issue dollars?
I've been an avid TweetDeck user since 2016, but the "new" TweetDeck that was rolled out this past month is unbelievably slow and unresponsive on my machine—I'd say load and response times are ~20% the speed they used to be (as in, 5x slower).

As a result, I've been on Twitter significantly less because I dread loading up the page (on top of generally feeling embarrassed to be on the platform lately).

I was prepared to fork over whatever monthly fee would let me kept using TweetDeck. But after this massive performance downgrade, chances are slim that I will.
Not sure I understand your post, both spam and threats are speech (at least in the US), so maybe something was lost in translation?

Here are some of the limits of free speech in the US:

> Categories of speech that are given lesser or no protection by the First Amendment (and therefore may be restricted) include obscenity, fraud, child pornography, speech integral to illegal conduct, speech that incites imminent lawless action, speech that violates intellectual property law, true threats, false statements of fact, and commercial speech such as advertising. Defamation that causes harm to reputation is a tort and also an exception to free speech.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_free_speech_ex...

And here some examples from Germany (translated via DeepL):

> the protection of personal honour against insult or defamation, the disclosure of information classified as secret, the limits of morality and the protection of minors, the limits of public safety, unfair competition by discrediting the goods or services of a competitor, the unauthorised disclosure of copyrighted information, racial discrimination

https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Meinungsfreiheit#Grenzen_(Schr...
I also only read the abstract.

The argument seems to be: Belief in God implies a belief in the fallibility of humans, which leads to a reduced reliance on humans and therefore increased willingness to accept AI recommendations.

Most of the logic in that argument checks out. I just don't understand the last step in the logic. How do decreased reliance on humans lead to increased willingness to accept AI?

I'm a religious person myself, and my argument would be to not trust AI all that much. It is a creation by fallible human beings trained on fallible human data.
>I control all the software

A bold statement to make. Even if it would be true, do you control all the inputs for that software or can other people feed it with data?
> Per-capita emissions is the only valid way of looking at it

No. Rate of change is what matters. How does per capita emissions matter when the graph looks like this?
https://twitter.com/GuntramWolff/status/1627029836727459840
If you're trying to argue with Svante Arrhenius you're too late, he passed away a long time ago.
I'm just stating his opinion in reaction to OP, I don't agree with it.
Good stuff. So do I understand it right, that I'd create a job and I can store any photos related to that job in one place? If so, how many jobs can I create?
Lambda calculus is arguably far more abstract because often type theories imply a lot of implrmentation constraints, which makes sense since that's kind of the piount.
Basic funding is through the NHS. The charity mainly funds additional advanced R&D, family support etc.
We had the colorful ones at my first onsite dev job (a design agency) and they were constantly crashing, so my experience was 100% negative. Honestly surprised about people having good memories. OS X was pretty nice when it launched, that would have been the time where I had pinpointed some saving.
ChatGPT for Developer Productivity
8 ways I use ChatGPT to be more productive as a developer
Is God willing to save us from our technodegenerate Sodom and Gomorrah?
And whose fault is it for being aware that you lack skills but refusing to develop them?
You’re looking at this the wrong way.

Violence is inevitable, in some form or another, if the climate effects are ignored to such a degree.

At some point, some people are going to draw a line and say: “We tried to explain it calmly, we tried to be loud, we tried to vote, we did all the things we could but greed has won”.

You’re arguing in terms of what people should do, and many people are doing those things, but if we look at it realistically it’s not enough.

It’s incredibly naive to think that this won’t cause violence down the line.
this is where services like netmaker and tailscale come in, they're supposed to just work™
Yeah, Excel's data munging is a massive problem for a lot of CSV stuff.
My intuition was the same, but they are doing this the way you should: Pre-registered, sufficient N for small effect sizes, comparative across countries. I'm not so sure it does not replicate.
True. Question now is, who has more cash - big pharma or argi giants.
I think that's the point. ;)
China's per capita emissions are about the same as a middle of the road European country, and about 1/2 that of the US.

And yes, per capita is a much more relevant measure than per country as far as determining whether or not a given country is emitting over or under its fair share of the world's total emission budget, because the atmosphere does not care about arbitrary political boundaries.

If you go per country than any country that is emitting more than its share could simply split into 2 or more smaller countries, without any change whatsoever in the total emissions of that set of people, and go from being over their share to under their share. Doing so slightly lowers the fair share of other countries which might cause some of them to be over, but no problem--they can just split too. The end game for that is a huge number of tiny countries which converges to per capita.

Best would be something like per capita with adjustments for trade between countries.
I doubt this is the cause. Certain hobbies just grow and shrink. You could get plenty of social media photos photos of lawn bowls for example, but that’s still an aging audience.
The dataset Z is a collection of facts. The output Y captures the patterns from Z. The LLM can generate novel insights (facts) that satisfy Y without violating the data processing inequality if we consider the patterns to be a part of the information of Z.
Frameworks are your friend; either the one everybody used or the one you invariably end up writing from scratch for yourself for every project.
Hmm, in chrome and edge the tab just crashes for me on the landing page when my cursor goes over the editor. `RESULT_CODE_KILLED_BAD_MESSAGE` is the only error I can find, I know that's probably not very useful though.
If the Citation pilot had the southwest plane in sight when they reached the decision height and kept going, rather than go around, wouldn’t that be an error on their part?
There was a similar effort in 2018 using Indigo Renderer (greetz to all who know it!), which can more efficiently render these kinds of situations using bidirectional path tracing and Metropolis-Hastings sampling: https://youtu.be/y8mKtNCq5CI?t=1712
What Is the Future of VR?
VR is the second largest growing market in the world(after AI) and the greatest application of VR is in training and learnings as of now. What does the future for VR Look like?
Sometimes I just hate it when somone gives away my hard-earned arcane knowledge for free ;) I sure wish this post existed when I learned this stuff. I hope increased accessibility leads to less shit languages though.
Different religions is potentially interesting; though now I'm also wondering if this is cultural "God salience" or serious "God salience" (the way the British do Easter and Christmas even though mostly not taking it seriously).

-

"""Studies 3 and 4 demonstrate that the reduced reliance on humans is driven by a heightened feeling of smallness when God is salient"""

I'd expect this to be less true for pantheons.

"""followed by a recognition of human fallibility."""

In pantheons, I'd expect this to vary by the nature of the god/goddess in question; Greek revivalism probably has different answers when considering Athena vs. Dionysus.

"""Study 5 addresses the similarity in mysteriousness between God and AI as an alternative, but unsupported, explanation."""

Yeah, that feels plausible.

"X and Y are mysterious, perhaps they're the same?" seems common for any {X, Y} — AI, consciousness, quantum mechanics, god, evolution, prime numbers, art, …
I think you should release the Linux version as a Flatpak [1] to Flathub [2]. That way it could be install using a (graphical) software manager on many distros and it would increase the discoveribility of your program.
It shouldn't be too complicated to create a package from the provided tarball.

[1]: https://flatpak.org/
[2]: https://flathub.org/
PayPal is excellent for sending money (buying) for the same reason it is terrible for receiving money (selling).

Essentially, the buyer is always right, and so, as a buyer, it is very easy to get your money back in case of a problem. The seller is the one who gets all the fees, and needs to justify himself if there is a dispute. Sellers offer PayPal because even though it is really bad for them, it gets them customers.
>it's pretty rare that I have been materially adversely affected by the latency of an ACH payment

What about every time you make a credit card payment (and associated fees)?
What was "beyond" in what Brendan Eich did?
I suppose, I'm not sure how far these cases get pursued but it feels like you could track the movement of money between a stolen card and the scammer's account if you really wanted. But maybe they give up after seeing a charge to PayPal
The MacIvory has the option to use a NuBUS color graphics card directly from Lisp: a NuVista board.
Found this for coredumps and minidumps:

https://support.backtrace.io/hc/en-us/articles/360040517131-...

So there are at least some efforts to do it. IMO it can only ever be best effort, but it doesn't mean that it's not worth doing.
While this is grotesque, I actually like it more than in my home country where the death of someone results in a pay-out of <20.000 Euro's.

It is even know there is a table that judges can follow with ranges but the loss of a child could even be <5000 Euro.

While the money won't actually heal your sorrows, the loss of your partner amounting to 5000 Euro's on your bank account feels like putting salt in the wound.
One of the authors provides a nice high-level overview: https://twitter.com/rupspace/status/1691584987148218841

You find more Twitter threads on the paper.

And here some more on Reddit: https://www.reddit.com/r/MachineLearning/comments/15rrljw/ba...

It's the first paper from Alex Graves since quite a while. Also, he is with NNAISENSE now.
As someone that bought a 603e based all in one around that time, I remember the introduction of the G3 being almost comparable to the intel->apple silicon transition.
Reads like Gobbledygook to be honest. Why couldn't they express stuff as functions and s-expressions instead of this un-readable mess?
I'm curious: what field did you work in? One of my reasons for not pursuing math was going to a summer undergrad research mentoring thing by a well-known-enough American algebraic topologist (the field that Eugenia works in), and finding out that even his students were having problem getting positions in higher ed in the US that weren't temporary – that was simply the state in general academia, with an ageing professoriate.

Maybe I should add a 5th point, but I need to phrase it very cautiously.

5. If you're interested in doing mathematics in an institution of higher ed in the US, focus your work on teaching, and be prepared to live in the middle of nowhere.
They claim that "Reddit, Slack, Gmail, Uber, etc" could also be done with a similar level of effort.
loans basically, I think?A deposits $100 you loan $97 of it to B who deposits that in their account. But A still has their $100.
They're European (Deutsche Telekom), which might be part of why they prefer to work that way.
Apple bobs yield just ~0.9% or so kore than 10 year treasuries. You have to go for much riskier companies to get significantly above 5%.

Of course if there is a recession, the stock market tanks and most importantly the Fed starts cutting rates you might do quite well (assuming you’re willing to sell those bonds afterwards).
Counterpoint, the people that strongly oppose agile practices the loudest have never managed a software project in their lives.

In your case, you've CHOSEN to ignore the scrum practices in favor of nose-to-the-grindstone death march. If your company says "we do scrum", that gives you and your team ammunition to say "no". Or in other words, poor planning on management's side does not constitute an emergency on yours.

Scrum practices, if done right, offer predictability. Management loves predictability. You should love predictability as well because it means you won't have to do overtime / stress.