skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
The current short term (5 year) climate thinking is that conditions (land + ocean temps, storms, etc) will worsen for "a few years" and then lighten up a little with a slight reduction and general plateau for a few more years.

The ratcheting upward saw toothing is a feature of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) pattern .. and the world is just now moving into the upturn phase.

Climate dynamics are akin to the tennis racket theorem - the uninterferred long term arc of the centre of gravity (gross parameters) is essentially deterministic, however the short term specific orientations of the tumblings along that arc resist exact prediction.

You can read more via:

https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/enso/what-el-ni%...

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/e...
To me, the results seem interesting regardless of whether they are representative of the population or not. There are questions you can answer without relying on that assumption.

For example: "Can you imagine what your search results would look like if you had access to this tool?"
The author notes Fripp disbanding King Crimson in 1974, but doesn't mention the 80s reformation at all (with Discipline, Beat and Three of a Perfect Pair). Or the 90s ("double trio") reformation, or the 00s ("double duo") reformation, or the 10s ("seven-headed beast") reformation.

Though Tony Levin hints that it's over now in <https://tonylevin.com/road-diaries/king-crimson-2021-tour-pa...>.
After you have waited 20 minutes for CloudFormation to fail and tell you that it can't delete a resource (but won't tell you why), and this is the third time it has happened in a week, you start looking at alternatives.
> Strange you don't believe Jon Hall, but willing to believe some random stranger on social media.

I'm not aware that Jon Hall would claim any particular expertise or interest in legal history, whereas there may well be "some random strangers on social media" who do.

Also, this is a matter which can be established by citing sources which Jon Hall might be unfamiliar with (for the simple reason that the topic might never have interested him sufficiently for him to research it.)
2023 Kai Cenat Riots
> Using the -target option to terraform plan is discouraged (the Terraform documentation says, “this is for exceptional use only”). Anyway, it’s likely to lead to confusing infrastructure states if changes are applied incrementally with ad hoc, situational boundaries.

We've been using -target for years, and while I understand very well the reasons it's discouraged, it is pretty much the only way you can have your cake and eat it too with respect to having "one large terraform project" and not running into terraform refreshes that make your eyes bleed.

You end up having to really understand your module structure to use it, but it let us develop some very elegant workflows around tasks like patching.

We developed a ruby code base that utilizes rake and the hcl2json tool to automate terraform-based infrastructure workflows, using various libraries to handle and validate that applications are happy with what terraform is doing to their servers while it works.

This gives us flexibility to run automations safely against a terraform code base that has been evolving since version 0.3 or so, before most of the mistakes were made often enough to come up with the best practices we have today.
> who are trying to get their employees to sleep at work

I don't see it. It's optional. Google employees don't have to take up on the offer. The knee-jerk on this forum is always "worker exploitation" (not saying you're saying it's that, but speaking more generally to the sentiment here) but nothing about this says you can't exercise your own free will to choose your own hours. Just because you live close to the office doesn't mean you have to stay there. I currently live 15 mins from my office but I keep normal hours. Proximity to work has no bearing on anything except my own convenience.

If anything, I used to live a consultant life where I gave more of my life to my employer -- it was the name of the game. I was away many weeks from Mon-Thurs. I lived in Chicago but was working in a different city every month and had to be a plane several times a month -- that's more soul sucking (I practically lived out of ORD). That I didn't have a choice over. And when I landed, I didn't always get to stay near the office -- I always needed a rental car.

But this -- it sounds like a convenience. If I were a Google employee and moved away during COVID (say to San Luis Obispo) but had to RTO to Mountain View Tues-Thurs, I would appreciate having a place close to the office.

Back in the old days, prior to remote work, many people used to live this kind of life. They would live in a different city but commute in 3 days a week and stay at at rented apartment (they even have a name for it -- a "pied a terre"). This way folks got to work with a company in a less preferred geography but still get to live in a city they can enjoy on weekends.
If it was normal, there wouldn't be special Costco models. All the other retailers would have made the same demands.

I'd love if the market fixed all these product quality issues, but it doesn't.
> This has really shaken my faith in the climate science community

Are you kidding me?

Activist climate scientists (like James Hansen) have warned for decades that IPCC reports are likely too conservative, because they represent broad consensus of climatologists.

Yet climate deniers continued to decry IPCC (also for decades) as too radical, political organization.

And now that the conservativism of IPCC is finally coming to public consciousness, you decide to side with the deniers, as if they were right all along?
Interestingly, the opposite might be true: https://www.pitt.edu/pittwire/accolades-honors/melatonin-alz...
Both email and chat are ephemeral and make things really difficult to find. Who said what when about what in what thread?

People use the same thread to speak about unrelated to the thread topics which makes those communications impossible to find.

I’ve introduced and use basecamp with my team. It’s genius is in collecting things into projects, and in intentionally resisting complexity. Frictionless flowing focused communication - with everything in its right place, providing just enough information in activity feeds etc.

It’s for high trust teams who are trying to find all needed info to get their work done, and delivers.

Truly signal over noise.

I am a total fanboy after trying a bunch of systems trying to be too clever, track time, create Gantt charts etc.
> I would encourage you to apply.

I rescind this comment based on the latest actions (and emails) of White House Chief of Staff Jeff Zients.

https://www.axios.com/2023/08/04/biden-end-remote-work-feder...
Also contributes to ocean acidification which isn't great.
Don’t you keep all your followers and stuff anyway? Can you really be proud of your channel if you’re relying on a handle and not the quality of the content?
I an part of the former. I do miss it. Glad to see there’s more people who are doing this. You shouldn’t be allowed to treat your community this way and get away with it.
I have a routine where I take 1mg dissolved under the tongue only if and when I’m at the point that I’m almost asleep, but it’s not happening. It’s often enough to nudge me over the edge. If I could conveniently find 0.5mg sublingual pills, I’d buy them. But, 15mg pills are easy to find and 1mg are rare…
If, and it’s still quite a big if (although it’s getting smaller and smaller everyday) LK-99 room temperature superconductivity is confirmed Nature reputation should be tarnished forever.
They managed to accept not one, but TWO superconductivity papers with one of the authors that was already known for forging results AND they threw in the bin the LK-99 paper.
Looking at the ongoing LK-99 story what is basically certain now is that they are not a fraud and something is really going on given the multiple confirmations of very important properties that are trickling down every day.
Aside from that I’ve been fascinated with superconductors for decades and, while not a scientist, I think that I’ve a decent knowledge of the current theoretical framework around superconductivity.
Given your pretty scathing post, do you understand 5% of the hypothesis around superconductivity or are you just going to side with Nature because of its authority?
The Enticing Mysteries of UFO Photography
We haven't begun work on the Linux version of the browser yet. We will need to significantly expand our team before undertaking the development of a browser for a new platform.
The models have underpredicted the temperature rise throughout my entire living memory. Even the "pessimistic" scenarios of high-temperature-rise have been blasted right through on a yearly basis. The model is drastically, dramatically understating the natural feedback loops involved and the amount of temperature rise that's going to happen.

Feedback loops like methane release are likely also hugely understated, as another practical example.

A large amount of this is due to political manipulation and pressure. Researchers are afraid of the way the issue has been politicized, and generally don't want to go out on a limb for fear of personal reputational damage or consequences to the field of study as a whole. Even just 15 years ago, in the 2000s, conservative-dominated media was begging for someone to step over the line so they could cancel them Dixie Chicks style and pronounce the entire field of study as discredited.

People spend way too much time on "but what if the models are overstating the problem" and they don't, actually they aren't even centered on the actual rate of increase, we pre-manipulated the model by building in all these stabilizing assumptions and even the pessimistic scenarios are actually quite optimistic. And then people apply additional optimistic "cheater factors" on top of that, and we still can't get to a situation in which the climate is not drastically deteriorated in a hundred years.

As I said, we have blasted through the most pessimistic assumptions on a yearly basis, the models are very clearly not aggressive enough about the temperature rises that are going to happen this century.
This is truly amazing. We are living in the future.

I wonder though, if the brain already has specific regions for control of specific parts of our body, will it be impossible to add new limbs in the future? An extra arm would be helpful.
There are people saying we should not just not stop, but even increase sulfur injection:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stratospheric_aerosol_injectio...

The thing is, this is not a one time solution. We would have to do it continuously, or else the temperature would quickly rise again. And we would have to increase sulphur injection if the CO2 level keeps rising. It could be a temporary solution though, e.g. until all countries switch to nuclear energy eventually and reduce CO2 emissions.
The fact that the loss of particulate matter in the atmosphere increases warming has been known for at least two decades.

This is not surprising to me. It started years ago when scrubbers began to be installed on coal power plants and continued with low sulphur diesel requirements that started 15 years ago.
Sulphur emissions cause acid rain.
Pinball Skills – Aiming and Shooting [video]
I think there is justifiable view here that people these days are getting more and more addicted to making prediction. We predict everything but we forget most of it will be just a coin toss cause for every 1 factor we consider, 100 more are unconsidered.
> I don't believe they have any malicious intent to explicitly go out of their way to ruin image search…

And

> The problem is that their pages exploit a flaw in Google's crawler…

Don’t seem to be statements that really make any consistent sense.

It’s like if you ordered soup and instead got a bowl of human shit, a thousand times, and then felt compelled to explain that nobody wants you to eat shit, it’s just that bowls are a really convenient place to shit in.
Either the world accepts that nuclear energy along with wind and solar is part of the solution to climate change, or we will be forced into geoengineering solutions. We may have already reached that point.
The history is here:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_dimming

Most of the dimming effect was from massively polluting coal burning. I'm sure you understand why we had to stop that. CO2 accumulates in the atmosphere and stays there for thousands of years.. This sulfur that causes dimming stays for a year or two.
Hank Green, whose tweets originated this topic, addressed this on YouTube and less explicitly in the tweets.

His statement was essentially that: right now, were effectively seeding clouds with sulfuric acid. The sulfuric acid is bad but if the cloud seeding is actually good, we could instead seed them by spraying sea water into the air.
Hey look at that, his full audiobook.

https://litter.catbox.moe/w0b3ta.zip
What? How are you equating a misinformation plot that at its core was promoting the lie that the climate wasn’t actually warming, but rather cooling with a web celeb alleging that models underestimated the amount amount of warming?

How are these even in the same galaxy, let alone the same thing?
Neither would the FDA, we can prescribe off-label all we want.
I’ll call it Xitter.
I was in the San Francisco area for the first time recently, and I noticed that people sounded like they were from the Midwest. I'm glad to see this agreeing with me. Does anyone know why this is?
The downgrade is related to US debt not the economy as a whole. Parts of the economy can have trouble without having a recession.
From your original comment:

> Third, some people will probably block domains they shouldn't have blocked, and then have a bad user experience in future searches as the sites with genuinely best results is blocked. And then you're only left with only bad options: ignoring the users' stated preferences which they'll hate, or serving bad results that they'll also hate.

That's a real possibility, but it can be addressed by presenting a block that would say, for example "results from blocked domains" or some such.
pinterest has it's place. It's bad rep is because you have to be logged in to see anything.
He made his fortune with x.com. That was the online bank he founded then merged with Confinity to become PayPal in 2000, and it was the PayPal IPO that allowed him to invest in Tesla and SpaceX. He's fond enough of his old company name that he bought the domain back years ago, and is now repurposing it.
Yeah I just read this, not really sure what the alternatives are now? Looks like the situation is spiraling out of control so...??

Cover Greenland in a reflective blanket?

Sounds like it is time to panic...and actually do what needs to be done.
My comment here goes into more depth about that:
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=37008614
That's my point exactly. The USA is a melting pot of all other nations. We have some of the most genius minds from around the globe, and it's exactly the fact that it's the richest nation in the world that makes it the best at many things.

"Give me your tired, your poor, your huddled masses, and I'll fund all of their research projects."
Unfortunately, "X" in the context of Elon only brings to mind his SUV of the same name.
It gets my farm right.
Well with the "cushion" afforded by high density cells, the replacement standard may come back, or at least make it a reasonable repair.

The point is that to compete with ICE, you need the extreme integration to break the ICE point-of-sale cost advantage. I agree in a perfect world a swap would be so nice to have as an option, if only for a cheap repair or upgrade as you point out.

I think the other problem was economics. You buy an EV, a massive component of the cost is the battery, yet you might get a lemon battery next time you swap, and then the "swap service" refuses to accept it back. Yes the battery could be a service and never explicitly owned...

Also, it is hard to imagine such a massive component being swapped without extreme wear / damage on the swap site. Sure theoretically it should be solvable, but real world? people freak out over microscopic paint chips.

IIRC Teslas were originally designed to be swappable in some manner. But it was never done.

The other thing is that it will likely happen with semis I would guess, which have longer lifespans and invested value in the actual equipment.
Boy do you not understand punk:

“Punk mostly wasn't very good at all, because it was fashion and performance art and social criticism and musically quite conservative and dull in addition to being amateurish”

That is just an objectively wrong worldview—that Punk was just fashion and a mostly dull, amateur genre.

And I agree with everything you say about Prog.

Go listen to Pink Flag by Wire. It basically is Prog, but stripped all the way down to pure elegance and irony, imbued with the attitude of the earliest rock and roll. Still fresh today.

So many great bands and classic albums. Were the beatles and elvis proto-punk, or were the clash and ramones early rock and roll?

The kinks you really got me, the stooges search and destroy. You’re right Led Zeppelin is silly next to that.

But dull and amateurish, no way. That’s the mindset of someone with a narrow palette.

Good thing Punk is the ultimate palette cleanser. The smartest genre of music we’ve created yet.
It also causes acid rain, which while it will never be literally "acid" falling from the sky, a general decrease in the pH of water entering arable lands, estuaries and other areas is not going to be great for any of them (also the generalized increase in maintenance cost for concrete, and particularly limestone, structures).
Edit: correction on the Bootsect command, its bootsect /nt60 x: /force /mbr.

Forgot the 0.
The rebranding was neccessary because Larry & Sergey got their ABC and Zuck went Meta. It's just a d**-measuring contest.
Kagi has another feature that can rewrite search results' URLs based on regexes: https://help.kagi.com/kagi/features/redirects.html. I guess you could use that to make the redirect automatic?
There’s no reason the IPCC can’t report on more conservative models whilst keeping all relevant effects in accurate models. Usually their conservatism is in choosing more realistic assumptions. In this case they ignored a realistic effect.

I’m not siding with anyone. I’m criticising a particular groups models which they have admitted to not contain critical effects and thus don’t match recent observations. I don’t deny climate change, I deny that the IPCC models are good.
Where is the conservatism coming to the public consciousness? I don't think that is the case as such.
I took a closer look and the iOS extension supports entering a “session link” which allows the Kagi redirect to work in private windows. Entering it is a bit cumbersome—you have to first open a private window and then any random page so you can see the extension button in the address bar, at which point you can tap it and then the Kagi icon to get to the session link field—but it appears to stick after that and the redirect works as expected (although you do get a brief flash of Google or whatever — they suggest changing it to DDG which looks a bit smoother).

Agree that it feels hacky, but sometimes you just have to take what you can get.
We’re past the point that nuclear can help.

We broke the planet.

But hey. “Needs more study.” and academics are living large, unlike the poor billionaires.
You can generate a Kagi login link with a token and save that to your favourites. Then, click that link in the new private tab window before searching.
> The problem is that their pages exploit a flaw in Google's crawler

Not sure it's still a flaw when it's so trivial to derank, Google could manage it on the barest of whims.
But it is differentiated on the map.
Re: your last paragraph, I think you’d do well to read up on epistemology and argumentation, because you’ve set up a false dichotomy. I can try to illustrate:

Personally, I have yet to see any evidence that supports your claim that the second type of consciousness actually exists in any way, other than as a concept in purely theoretical philosophical discussions. I am not making the claim that it doesn’t exist; just that right now I don’t believe _your_ claim that it does. I don’t need to provide any evidence to have this position, as I am not the one making the claim.

My default position on any claim, including this one, is one of non-belief, as it is nonsensical in my opinion to hold a belief in some claim until and unless that belief is supported by evidence.

So, I can rightfully say that I don’t believe the latter type of consciousness exists, and I don’t think this position is hubris or folly; rather, it’s the only rational position to take given the evidence presented (at this point, essentially none). I’d genuinely love to see some evidence compelling enough to be convinced otherwise, though.
Yes, this is like my relatives who voted Tory because immigrants are taking their benefits away. Only to enter old-age with the Tories taking their healthcare and their benefits away. These are tragic and self-defeating people. It doesn't mean they aren't stupid or dangerous to the rest of us. Or that they aren't responsible for the consequences of their own actions. But that they do stuff which is illogical, self-harming, or counter-productive shouldn't be surprising.
This is the answer.

Sex scenes are usually bad. The sex scenes of prior movies are often distracting and dumb. Sex scenes in the 80s and 90s weren’t porn, and also they weren’t realistic. They were dramatizations of sexual encounters. They do not hold up.

Craig’s Bond character had a few AWFUL sex scenes and it just does not work for modern audiences. Not because audiences are prudes, but because they’re more savvy.

Slasher horror was built on this premise, although with more of a slant to punishing horny teens. Scream largely stopped it imo. Hell look at the recent Scream VI. Both female leads are clearly horny women. They don’t fuck on screen. They don’t go topless for no reason. And why would you want them to? It’s not shying away from anything. If anything it is WAY more grounded and honest than earlier stuff. The original Scream was super smart on this too.
For a recent family/friends get-together we had some people going routes using ICE trains (where possible) while others used the 49 Euro ticket. 2x slower is pretty spot on.
Does that mean asking who provided your phone number to them? Is there a legal requirement to disclose?
All of the known, confirmed superconductors only work at extreme cryogenic temperatures.
Regardless of what Stripe has or hasn't done, you guys are breaking HN's rules by creating a ring of accounts to post these threads and comment in them. You've done this several times already. That's abusive, and we ban accounts that do it. Please stop now.
My understanding (IANACS) is sulfur interacts with the atmosphere to form SO2 and H2S, which dissolves in water to form sulphuric acid both in water vapor (clouds) and in the ocean directly to acidity both rain and the ocean. I think it also interacts with other green house gases over a longer period increasing warming despite cooling up front.
Defaulting to DuckDuckGo and using a bang for kagi when I don’t immediately get what I want would be nice. Unfortunately there isn’t one. I guess I could use an extension that lets me add personal ones.
> A superconductor instantly changes the calculus and, depending on whom you ask, makes processors 500x more efficient. And that's just the start.

I'm excited too, but "instantly" is not how I'd describe retooling semiconductor fabrication to include a new material. Besides, nobody has claimed that you can dope silicon with it.

But since we're dreaming, I'm hoping it'll make doing plasma physics cheaper (via simpler superconducting magnets) which will then make nuclear fusion power plants feasible.
seems functional. how/why is this front page. i’d buy a few if they work as advertised
Doxing isn't doxing if it's part of a documentary.