skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
I’ve never taken graduate statistics, but I’m generally not impressed with the state of statistics or statistics education. Just because almost every university teaches almost every student this (and most published papers work this way) doesn’t mean it’s good. Intuitive, sure. Wise, not so much.

> Let's look at two questions: (1) Does X have an effect? (2) How large is that effect? If your prior puts a non-zero probability that the answer to the first question is "No", then priors for the second question will have non-zero at point 0, even though the probability of any other point may be zero.

Even ignoring whether it makes sense to have a nonzero prior for X having no effect, it’s generally not useful to learn the answer. An arbitrarily small effect is, for practical purposes, indistinguishable from no effect — an experiment that is intended to be useful should say something about the size of an effect. If a pill helps depression enough to be worth taking the pill, that’s one thing. If it helps in the sense that you could dose literally everyone in the world and one person would feel very slightly better for a day, that’s not helpful. Similarly, the existence of an effect says nothing about the sign of the effect.

So I think hypotheses being tested should be useful. If you want to determine whether something is useful, at least set a threshold for usefulness and test that. Or come up with a quantitative measure. The Bayesian-vs-frequentist debate is IMO somewhat secondary to this except insofar as it seems less common to make worthless but mathematically correct Bayesian tests because thinking about priors at all requires some acknowledgment of whether a prior is remotely plausible.

Also, how exactly can you make a well defined experiment that can confirm the null hypothesis without putting something resembling a prior on the non-null hypothesis if the non-null hypothesis contains distributions that are arbitrarily close to null? I’m sure it’s doable, but it seems likely to be pretty messy if you dig in.

(There are exceptions. For example, the existence of a neutrino mass is very interesting irrespective of what that mass is. But even then, physics results like this generally put bounds on a value that is hypothesized to be zero instead of merely testing for zeroness, because every experiment has finite power to detect small effects, and the readers of an outcome of an experiment should care more about the detection limits than, say, the number of dollars the experiment cost.)
The cost of servers these days, you really shouldn't be playing with NAT hole punching except for your own interest/fun.

The number of simultaneous players on your little indie game are just not going to cause one medium sized server to break a sweat.
It’s off topic, but am I the only one who wanted to press the x button in the top left corner to close the window?
As much as I'd love to have the Transrapid, I think for this specific case the ~100 minutes are already pretty much making Hamburg - Berlin flights obsolete, especially with the airports not being super central. You'd need around 40 minutes just to get to Berlin HBF from BER.

I don't even think there are any direct flights between Hamburg and Berlin since it's really not worth it.
Yes, but it's uncommon to actually want to lump this 4+ operating systems under a single term. People do it by accident, and it causes a lot of confusion about "what's really Linux", as evident by this thread.

There are reasons to want to talk about Linux, but it probably shouldn't be much more common than NT in day to day vocabulary.
As you mention "naval warfare in space", David Webers "Honor Harrington" series is apparently quite well regarded.

Weber himself has described the series as "Horatio Hornblower" in space.
Real names no longer deter on Facebook, not even when it's criminal. If you look on Facebook marketplace you will immediately find dozens of scams from some fabricated accounts and some real. People are out there using their real accounts to sell stolen tech, or not delivering on a purchase when someone uses Venmo, Cash app, etc. People are even so desperate that they think they can get away when facebooks purchase protection or PayPal purchase protection is used - and they're right. They don't care that their account becomes negative when the transaction reverses. By that time they've gotten their money and it will be 5-7 years before the statute of limitations forces the corps to take it to claims. While this may be criminal the scale of it is so large and policing unfit that there is little to no enforcement of what is high dollar theft. The protection system also means that the individual making the purchase isn't "harmed" in that dollar value so there is no civil claim and a criminal one would have to be persued by the corp.

Initially perhaps real names created some self moderation, but as time has moved on people figured out there's no actual consequences to being dishonest, morally bankrupt, or otherwise promoting of poor qualities. This is normalized over time to a point where it has likely reinforced those attributes - not reduced them.
That's the exact reason I just ordered a locally recording doorbell and am finally replaced the last cloud based "smart" device in my home. I found myself actually changing my behavior and not saying certain things to my wife in front of it. The thought that every time I passed my own front door a stranger, that I placed there, was recording me was nauseating.
I can't comment on the quality of Bessel van der Kolk's work, but I can say this explains why I keep seeing certain kinds of ads across various popular social media.
completely agree with this. it's difficult, but the right answer is to ignore all media contexts and criticisms of political candidates AND their actions, and entirely focus on the ground truth of "what" they have achieved in the past, and not the "why". That seems risky, as motives matter, but there simply isn't a way to get an unvarnished assessment of a persons motives from the media (mass or otherwise). even still, there is a risk the only thing you learn they achieved is filtered via the spin factory, or what their achievements were by grift or illegal means, but what's the alternative?
I think it's actually pretty reasonable to have an expectation of relative privacy even while in public. As in I'm obviously expecting to be seen by the people in my immediate vicinity but not by people who aren't nearby. For the entirety of human existence until it very slowly started changing with cameras, but that rate of change has accelerated exponentially in the last ~15 years with ubiquitous camera phones and social media.
I think you’re confusing legal duty with moral duty. I have no reasonable expectation conversational counterparts aren’t lying through their teeth, but I have the moral expectation that they’re telling the truth. Similarly, you have no expectation of privacy when browsing the internet, but I think you would still feel an invasion of your privacy should I post your browsing history, along with your real name, publicly.

Ultimately, moral codes are about creating a functioning society. Having people feel comfortable in public is an important aspect of that.
I work as a software engineer, my daily driver is Macbook Pro (m1, 16gb) and update them every 3 years on average. Do you know how much downtime I’ve had b/c broken package updates (linux), long unapproved software updates (win) malware or hardware failures? exactly zero.

That’s not luxury, thats a good tool to do the job for me.
Unconferences FTW (2008)
Interesting, his description of not being able to choose what he focuses on and struggling in school is typical of ADHD.
Thanks for everything, Bram. Your memory will be a blessing.
I love the idea, but geez that is gaudy. Can't imagine using one without being embarrassed.
iphone users can use

worldwideweb https://apps.apple.com/us/app/worldwideweb-mobile/id16230068...
Whenever this argument comes up I think of what happened to Logan Paul and Justine Sacco. One desecrated what was effectively a burial site and faced few consequences, the other told a dumb joke and had their life destroyed over it. The powerful continue to thrive while the weak suffer.
There's not much of a distinction, multiple people will still be replaced by one because AI exists. I'm not saying it shouldn't exist, but this sounds like word play to hide the impact.
> alcoholic beverages

Alcoholic beverages are bad at any level, according to all the recent studies. Previous studies that found mild positive effects for small doses were confounded by uncontrolled factors that overwhelmed the (mild) negative effects of alcohol.

For coffee, we at least have pretty good data showing that even large quantities don't have seriously bad effects. So lower quantities are probably at least neutral for health.
> Soft science fiction takes scientific concepts and theories and bases itelf on their practical applications. Things such as warp drive, hyperspace / subspace and jump drive are all based in Einstein’s timespace and related concepts. Specifically, warp drive and jump drive are all based around gravitational bending of timespace being used to move the space ship is part of instead of the ship itself – the ship thus travels faster than light without moving faster than light. Hyperspace is based on moving from realspace into theoretical dimension where distances are significantly reduced, and then popping back up.

I don't consider warp drive or hyperspace travel "soft" sci-fi at all. These things are still in the domain of mere speculation, however much "theory" you throw at them. On the other hand, laser weapons can be considered "soft", since we already have working prototypes. Albeit, they still aren't practical in the sense that laser weaponry is portraited in movies.

I believe it's hard to write convincing science fiction. There are many required know-hows to write quality works based on futuristic science. Writers often jump into pit-falls trying to incorporate speculative theories and pseudo-science into their work.
You're coming at it from a legal perspective where the platforms do not have their own rules on what is allowed or not allowed.

In the example I gave in this thread, yes the man was in public, nude, however the platform (reddit) has a rule against posting this type of content. That reddit itself doesn't follow.

> I recently had someone give me a hard time because I had posted a selfie where someone else was in the background smoking a cigarette.

Why didn't you blur/crop/etc. them out, instead?

While you're not legally nor technically in the wrong and you're welcome to argue until you're blue in the face of 'public!', (the royal) you can ask those who are in the picture if you can post it, being a kind, thoughtful, and respectful human being, or you can go "it's in public! the law says I can!". And then the rest of us can make comments about morality and respect.

And if you don't know the people in the picture, ask yourself, do I really need to post this? (hint: no)
RIP Bram. I enjoyed meeting him in Zurich one time. He was good company. A really humble, sweet guy.
Part of me feels like this is revenge for how Imperialists fucked over China in the 1800s with opium.

That is, it’s about more than just profit and there’s some maliciousness at the root.
This argument doesn't hold up in practice, because currently, the powerful are already protected. Look at how many cops got away with abuse, how many high profile celebrities got away with heinous things, so many examples of the powerful (in their respective realm) never facing consequences.

So what actually ends up happening is most of this "public backlash" only affects people already easily accessible. Whether or not they actually did "act badly" which is important to bring up because people too easily buy into narratives online that are very one-sided. These easily accessible people could have been talked to 1 on 1 to solve the problem, that's how accessible they are.

I don't think banning this is the solution, but we absolutely do need to check this behavior and evaluate the incentives in place because right now they're terrible. The fact that people can profit off these kind of videos/posts on social media (two times btw: by the platform itself and if the story picks up by news orgs who pay for rights to display the content), especially during a time when people feel financial unease, is a recipe for disaster. Logically with these incentives in place, it makes far more sense to just be a bystander and film, rather than stepping in and helping or looking for help.
> It is about changing how the program works inside

You can do the same in JavaScript, and it can be very useful. What's your point?
From my study of the issue and of human nature, I've come to the conclusion that we're going to "get our kicks before the whole shithouse goes up in flames", to borrow the words of Jim Morrison.
The worker exploitation part is RTO. This is just another tool in their toolbox so that they can demand employees who live far from the office still return to the office because now they've offered you the "convenience" of a company owned (and presumably surveillanced) hotel room.
any stats on most loved programming languages by people who know many programming languages?

I don't consider all opinions to be equal in this.
HN messes with the title in various ways when you post something. Not sure if this is documented anywhere.
(For additional on the background on this: https://slate.com/human-interest/2014/09/pirate-speech-origi... )

Let me rephrase... the less wealthy parts of England had more rhoticity in their accent than the upper class parts. These poorer parts - either as indentured servants or immigrants to the new world (and Australia) had a stronger influence on what would become the American English accents.

Rhoticity can be understood by the further exaggeration that pirates displayed which was again exaggerated in popular media. Their accent was part of the West Country English which was in the poorer parts of the country - ship builders and young men with little to lose.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/West_Country_English

> not because historical pirates actually spoke like that (although many surely did)

Blackbeard was presumed to have been born in Bristol. Francis Drake was born in Tavistock. These locations are both firmly in the West Country English dialect.
Reasonable telemetry i.e. logging which can be correlated across services, is probably good enough. I think we're hitting 15,000 logs a second so even sampling OT becomes financially infeasible.
Yes, keep trying to make problems for this non-solution. I'm sure you'll find one eventually.
Absolutely. Remember, 7% of all American adults believe that chocolate milk comes from brown cows [1].

[1] https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2017/06/15/seven...
>"Started by a father/con team Larry and Doug Michels..."

Is that a typo, or an intentional play on words? I'm guessing the former, but I will have to remember this one if I ever need to use it!
I know I'm not saying anything new here, but I'm always shocked by just how vicious the Reddit community is, especially from a group who considers themselves highly intelligent (compared to those "other" people). Videos like you describe are there every time I visit, along with fight videos and comments making up a back story as to what the victim did to deserve it, etc.

Sometimes I wonder why things like vigilanteism and other bad behaviors were so prevalent in the past, but then you go to these communities and realize it hasn't gone away, it's just moved online. Which, I guess is progress of a sort (less violence) and a big step backwards when you think about how in the past you could have moved away from a mistake or embarrassing encounter, but not anymore if it becomes viral enough.
The author of this study talks about time of year in a later podcast, iirc. They did control for time of year (maybe in a later study) and found no effect.

source: https://freakonomics.com/podcast/what-happens-to-patients-wh...
They're asking people to RTO, that's the problem. This is just their justification for demanding people who have to travel to the office also RTO.
To be clear: I'm not rejecting the hypothesis, simply asking for supporting data. Ie. data that links the supposedly higher productivity to the higher unemployment at precisely that point in time.
Don’t try and pretend HN takes the moral high ground. This is something - regardless of how big of a problem you think it is - that permeates.

Once a month there will be a link to some GitHub or issue where everyone will pile on about some stupid issue.
Neville Roy Singham is the tech mogul.
To me Space Opera is more about the plot (large scale, the main characters being important movers in the setting) while the Science Fiction vs Science Fantasy debate is more about the setting.

That is, I think it's possible to have Space Opera Science Fiction (imagine if you removed the protomolecule and its tech from the Expanse and just had the Earth/Mars/Belts political story) or Space Opera Science Fantasy (Star Wars of course is the most prominent example).
Of course it's immoral. How can you argue dumping private data isn't?
Also, it's worth noting that American cities demolished good infrastructure (for bikes, pedestrians, and transit) to make way for the veiled promises Big Auto and Big Oil. The transition to car dependence in America was a willful and deliberate act, albeit heavily influenced by lobbying and propaganda by auto and oil industries.
I'm scanning the "Who's Hiring" posts, waiting for the Sinaloa Cartel to post a job for cryptocurrency expert. It seems the technology requirements for dealing drugs are more advanced than many of the Fortune 500.
Nope, that's just UB, so you cannot know what the code will do. Case in point, running it on linux (compiled via clang) doesn't trigger a segvault for me:

main:
.cfi_startproc
.Lfunc_end0:
.size main, .Lfunc_end0-main
.cfi_endproc
> The move, as Nature explained, groups clinical trial data fraud with counterfeiting so that “if the approved drug causes health problems, it can result in a 10-year prison term or the death penalty, in the case of severe or fatal consequences.”

To be fair, according to TFA the death penalty is only for clinical trials where the drug or procedure, due to faked or doctored data, causes severe or fatal consequences.

It actually seems pretty reasonable to me. You develop a drug that actually kills people but fake your data to show it saves lives. Then you make money while people start dying, essentially killing people because your career was more important than reality. I’d call that murder.
This is part of it. We must beat the drum continuously to drown out those making their own music.

We're all going to be bonked on the head with this info literally and figuratively until long after we attempt to implement any solutions.

Yet, if you don't keep the drum beat up then you start hearing the people not playing along, chanting Tonga, fake news, and solar warming.
If you're using vagrant to manage the VM and either use widely-supported or self built base boxes, each developer can use whichever works best on their platform.

So you might have a windows dev using hyperv, another usimg vmware workstation, a mac user with parallels, a linux user with lxc and another with kvm.
I don’t think wasm supports polymorphic code. I’m pretty sure the code section of a wasm module is not modifiable. It might not even be readable by the module itself.

The point of wasm is to allow C code to run unmodified, safely, and with as little performance degradation as possible. Sandboxing will mitigate a huge percentage of security vulnerabilities in wasm modules but C is still C. If you want better memory safety, use wasm with a memory safe language.
Went to his website.
There was an interview of him from 2022.
The answer that really stroke me was not about Vim, but about software craftmanship vs professional programming:

« I have been working for a company where quite a few managers, educated in physics and mechanics, thought the software was just the same as what they knew and they could decide how to make it. That company went downhill and was eventually taken over. The same happens in places where decision-makers can get away with failure, such as in government. The people writing the code probably just make sure they get paid and then run away from the crime scene. On the other end of the scale are people who want to write beautiful code, spend lots of time on it, and don’t care if it actually does what it was intended to do or what the budget was. Somewhere in between, there is a balance. »

I am not so sure about the last sentence. But the rest is SO true!
I still use the Kermit client almost daily. Enterprise network gear still has serial ports (most still defaulted to 9600 baud!) and have an old laptop running MS-DOS and Kermit in my staging room to quickly configure remote access.

Boots in seconds :)
I’m not sure how this is better than WF. The article says they resolved the issue by noon that day, which is pretty fast I would think.
But do these things pass through the blood brain barrier?
It is illegal in places that have rule of law.

This is to create a risk reduction mechanism for investing in capital to make this at scale, which will cost on the order of $100-500M to scale for world use through trial and error.

If IP is ignored, no business will invest in the initial experiments due to first mover disadvantage in game theory.
They appear to be already accounting for that since they are measuring 30-day mortality for acute conditions. They’re saying it’s possible the reduced mortality is due to the high risk procedures actually being unnecessary.
> One of the biggest issue with git is that it uses both the snapshot model and the diff/patch model

Git always uses snapshots. The diff thing is just a question of how this is exposed in the UI.
"Deeper nerd-cut, it's a 40K prequel, if only unofficially."

Yup. Horrors of the warp could hardly be better brought to cinematic form. The actors are surprising high profile as well. An excellent "B" movie that owns itself 100%.
The code running in the WASM VM doesn't have any access to the operating system. That printf, when run in a WASM VM, doesn't do what I think you think it does.
HN/YCombinator does not honor this correctly from a EU law perspective. They don't allow you to delete your content. What they do offer is renaming your account.

I'm salivating for this monster lawsuit once they they have enough EU exposure. It will probably be based in Germany.

@switch007: They are investing in European companies. That's exposure.

@walthamstow: Look up the "Right to erasure" aspect of the GDPR.

(Why am I adding these things as edits? - I was rate-limited by HN/Ycombinator so I can't reply to your individual comments. When trying to post a reply I get the message "please slow down".)
> I don't think any of these are firm categories and many books have aspects of many sub-genres

Agree. Some also vary as they progress. E.g. the Charles Stross 'Merchant Princes' sequence that starts out looking like a portal fantasy (people can jump to parallel worlds by looking at a special pattern) but (mild spoiler) becomes quite hard SF as the mechanisms behind the jumping become understood by the protagonists.
https://photos.app.goo.gl/BtVZMoZjdEmPKCeu9

This photo remembers me a funny discussion at that time.

One of the participants said he use vim to write .emacs file.

"Why don't you use Emacs for that?" I asked.

"Because if I have to edit .emacs, that means emacs isn't configured the way I liked it. So I use vim in that case"
Is there evidence that a CU is less likely to have technical issues?