skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
This is the St. Petersburg paradox with an extra variable.

In SPP, EV approaches infinity as the bank's resources approach infinity. Put bounds on the bank's resources, and you find that even with trillions of dollars your EV is less than $50.

Here, not only are we assuming that the bank's resources are infinite, we're also assuming that the population is large enough that there are always enough lucky players to compensate for the unlucky ones. Put bounds on the size of the population, and you see that everyone goes bust in all but a tiny fraction of cases. Put bounds on the bank, and even that tiny fraction can't compensate for all the losers, and EV is negative.
This new release seems to continue the trend of new AWS hardware generations increasing performance while also increasing cost, as opposed to the prior trend of increased performance and decreased cost.

The "Flex" variants appear to be pushing the "burstable" machine types (T4,T3,etc) to be positioned for use in production workloads.
It is not comparable. But which one is “better” is completely subjective.
Good high time penalties were applied to people who facilitate this non sense.
The ideal is that companies that cause environmental damage, treat their employees and communities badly, and cheat their shareholders can be boycotted by those who don't want to fund this. Another motivation is those who think bad ESG scores are correlated with worse performance over long period of time. e.g. You think there will eventually be a carbon tax and this will hit coal companies really hard so you don't want to be the bag holder in 2050.

In practice it's just another financial product that first and foremost makes money for the sellers through higher fees. Some ESG funds cheat their customers by failing to perform the specific ESG vetting they promised in writing to do!
It all makes sense because he's going to make a lot more money later with his math degree. Very logical.
I 100% agree with this take, and I say this as someone who has great respect for the use of debt (and, full disclosure, has a pretty fair bit of it to my name).
It seems completely obvious that this strategy is predicated on never having lived through a fully seized-up financial system for longer than 72 hours in March 2020 or the Weekend of SVB in March of ‘23. The use of leverage probably feels pretty great right now, but what happens when there’s another Great Financial Crisis and every credit card issuer cancels accounts or cuts credit limits all at once? Sure, there’s plenty on the asset side of the ledger, but how good is it going to feel liquidating those stocks that were worth $75k a few weeks ago for $35k? It’s gonna hurt, and all those people who were eager to provide cheap liquidity will have turned off the taps.

Even big corporations that have contractually committed credit facilities have had banks shut those down during times of crisis (basically saying “sue us” to the borrower) so no matter how solid the ability to borrow may appear, that kind of thing has a tendency to evaporate in a moment, just when it’s needed most.

I have credit cards with a ridiculous aggregate credit limit, but in another 2008 scenario, anyone want to take bets on how long those credit limits stay high while unemployment is on its way to 14%? I would prefer not to.

And regardless of earning potential or useful skills, the owners and managers of for-profit enterprises are going to be belt-tightening at the same time (out of necessity or caution or simply by never letting a crisis go to waste) and their appetite for bringing on a new entry level employee will be limited - just at the time the rest of the system is grinding to a halt.

Someone in their 20s without significant financial or familial obligations is generally going to be well situated to make it through one of those crunches, but it doesn’t take a whole lot to bring the edifice crashing down.
The EU have effectively implemented 2FA for credit card payments online.

I pointed out a handful of ways the US are lagging far behind in banking.

How can they possibly be leading the way?

They’re stuck with a horribly outdated system that harms small businesses and exposes users to significantly higher levels of fraud.

It’s bizarre that so many people accept credit card fraud as just the way things are.
For his smarts, but not for his wisdom.
I have a 4070. FSR/DLSS on quality looks the same. It’s only noticeable in Forza Horizon. If you notice it in a non racing game then you’re looking for the differences.
Even cheaper than a solenoid to prevent its use would be to simply write the software to drop the window when it is used, like other manufacturers with similar window designs have done with their mechanical door releases for decades... and like Tesla themselves does when you use the electronic button.
Personally, I think we are past the point of this being nothing. There have been multiple confirmations of at least something unexplained going on. Maybe all of them are wrong but honestly, that is more of an extraordinary claim than saying this is something interesting, just not a full on room temp superconductor.
> If you don't want my browser to render content as it sees fit, don't serve the content over a protocol where that dynamic is inherent.

to play the devil's advocate, this is why google proposed the WEI (https://github.com/RupertBenWiser/Web-Environment-Integrity/...). Be careful what you wish for...
What is the etymology of 'slug' in a URL?
What percentage of people will lose money is also very important but does not seem to be written. What percentage?
URL to the answer of note is https://stackoverflow.com/questions/4230846/what-is-the-etym...
Well, yeah, if he’s a corporation.
That's slow corporate thinking. I'm familiar with it but disagree because the efficiency gains are undeniable and it puts a business on a noncompetitive stance if they fail to change with the times.

ChatGPT and Copilot are like intern software devs who can produce code in seconds. They generate code that's usually close, but not always correct, at the savings of a great deal of your time of typing the whole thing vs. verifying correctness.

For critical and complex algorithms, it's not worth using ML coding assistants right now, but they will be in the future. It's obvious that that's where it's headed: massive efficiency gains for non-technical and barely technical people, and the decline in demand for software engineers, and with it, also a decline in software engineering salaries.
Mmm, seems similar to the game of venture capital!
Interesting. It's like tictok without the memes.
Almost every person who plays the game will see their money decay towards zero as time goes to infinity.
Credit card networks are already quasi-governmental agencies who block payments the government doesn't like (see e.g. operation choke point) - but without any of the accountability of an actual government agency. Having the processor be the actual government subject to FOIA, equal protection clause etc. would be a step up.
The people fighting for those recordings at this point have seen reasonable explanations and dismissed them

It's like the Flat Earth documentary where a group crowdfunds an absurd laser and, when it demonstrates the Earth's curvature, reason that they need to "troubleshoot" that 'flawed' result.

There is always a hand to wave.
NCSA Mosaic Adventures (2022)
When you pay with a credit card, your bank is jointly liable for the goods or services delivered.

It’s easy enough to get your money back when something goes wrong while being less open to abuse.
Yes you can. If someone claimed "I can use it because they accidentally published the wrong license and swiftly corrected it", that wouldn't hold in court.
Sorry, but this is bullshit.
Can you be more specific in your criticism wrt disabled people? It's a lot easier for someone to receive feedback when it's specific, especially when discussing something like a README. It can be helpful to others reading who are on the fence about badges and their ilk, too.

What, specifically, is the issue with the badges concerning accessibility? Most badges I see can be reduced to a div containing two spans and some text, which should be usable with a screen reader. Is there missing alt text, aria attributes, etc?

Re: tests, it comes down to developer culture. It may be acceptable for experimental or alpha/beta versions to not pass tests, live on a separate branch, etc. Distros should be live-testing any packages they ship, too; upstream releases aren't guaranteed to be tested, depending on the upstream you're working with. It's nice to know that the latest commit is actually working without having to double check CI locally. However, tests also aren't created equally. The project author(s) could be learning how to refine their tests, and not actually trust the CI's results (yet).

Can we argue that's sloppy, or that they should've never done that before merging and pushing? Sure. Not sure where it gets us. Actionable feedback and cautionary advice is useful, though.
Amit Yoran, right again. He was once head of computer security for Homeland Security, and become unpopular for pointing out that Microsoft was the problem.
Or look for a slight hill
> It’s also a little more than half the price

The Series S is the same price, and estimates put it at around half of units sold.
While this is awful on an individual level for many of the partys involved, the fact that that flimsy wooden box would sell for 1.4 million is the crime affecting the entire population.

I have built many houses in my life. There is obscene money involved in the overpricing of homes. Even with contemporary costs, you can build for $150 a square foot. That house cost max 350k to build, unless the builders are morons.

The housing industry has become like the wedding industry. We need to remember that the people on the other side of the table are human beings. We can prosper without taking an extra year of a family’s salary just because we can. Greed is a poverty and we are all poorer for it.
Most papers are so bad its nearly impossible to replicate the synthesis.
> It's hilarious if room temperature superconductors were always "Put these two things in a lucifer furnace and roll a die" away.

Is it, though? I mean it's hilarious sure but if we were to draw parallels to the mother of all elements, the celestial furnaces in the sky, it seems less wild.

A pretty lucky roll of the die nonetheless.
> You're right that this is the worst case scenario, but each interesting replication or semi-replication, even sloppy replication, or theoretical model erodes at that.

Not really. The ur-example of the worst-case scenario is cold fusion, and as we were reminded by somebody [1] early on, is that the first replications of the Fleischmann–Pons experiment were actually successful to some degree. Those initial replications were later retracted when it was found that there was experimental error that could observe the same phenomenon, and other replication attempts were reporting outright failure instead of partial success.

> Anyways your memory is really short. Don't you remember how when it first came out (not even a week ago) everyone was hollering that it was fake?

Your memory is really short. The first thread was 8 days ago [2], over a week ago. I've just been perusing those comments quickly, and there's very few accusations of it being fake. The dominant sentiment is along the lines of "big, if true" or "please let it be true", and there's only a few top-level comments casting any shade on its plausibility. But the threads since the weekend have largely seemed to cast aside even the limited skepticism once opined.

[1] I'd love to credit them, but sorry, trying to dig out which comment out of several hundred splayed out across the various early threads was the one I remembered is more work than I can devote at the time. Edit: credit is https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=36884183, thanks to segfaultbuserr for finding the link.

[2] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=36864624
My guess would be that it'd be similar to silicon wafer production and just require lots work to industrialize the process and hone production. Graphene is just particularly difficult due to its 2-d nature, but lk-99 looks to a regular crystalline structure.
The expected value of this distribution goes up with every iteration, there is no such Kelly point. You could try this with

heads: double your money
tails: lose all your money

in which case the expected value is always $1, as you have a 1/2^n chance of having $2^n dollars after n rounds, and 0 otherwise.

The point of discussing ergodicity here, however, is whether you can describe the behavior of the iterated distribution deterministically if you exclude a portion of that distribution which has measure zero.
From the other day’s front page post.. a bar where you have windows that are screens from video feeds from other bars
The electrons are always moving in some direction. What a superconductor does is "just" making an electron pull others with it, making a cascade effect that biases the movement permanently.

There is no work or state change, so no reason at all to conflict with the 2nd law of thermodynamics.
> With your understanding of the NC license, would a resort or private beach club be able to play a similar generated music track at their poolside bar or something along those lines?

A resort, probably not, ambiance is, at least arguably, a marketable commercial advantage; a private club in the “mutual benefit organization” sense (rather than a “business selling memberships”, which is just like a resort), probably, because their interest, even indirectly, isn’t making money.
really this should be implemented as a browser extension...
I'm curious about the logistics here, what's preventing OAI from obtaining a copy and invalidating those credentials?
> Why do you think this requires a government mandate?

It's a classic tragedy of the commons situation (inverted, like the economics textbook example of a lighthouse), to which government intervention is the classic solution. Fraud prevention benefits everyone, but any individual actor is better off skipping the fraud checks.
Show bodies or this is a snoozefest.
I mean Debian and Fedora (not an arch user) sign their packages with GPG. It's a higher level up but effectively the same thing.
Great description of a framing I hadn’t considered before, thanks!
I was as surprised as you are but AFAIK he didn't receive any email from Apple and he certainly didn't agree to having his account deleted.

I guess one possibility is the hacker might have accessed my father's email but it seems improbable. AFAIK my father didn't store passwords on the keychain and didn't sync it with iCloud.
It’s really hard to continue reading it after “a lot saved in stocks” as if that value is fixed and won’t just disappear completely in a market crash or downturn.

This text is a pretty good example of the “smooth seas don’t make skillful sailors”.
This so far is saying this stuff isn’t room temp superconductor, but a high temp superconductor which means the paper is mistitled and didn’t deserve all the hype
Does that mean you would get equal(but probably insanely more dangerous) performance with a giant miles long spring instead of the proposed superconducting loops?
The repositories support signing so binaries that are sourced from these repositories are verified by the associated signatures during installation. If you trust the installation, would you include the execution in that same trust? Windows does not include signed repositories (or any that I know of) by default. (I could be wrong about that but if it does exist, the software collection is nowhere as vast as the distro repositories.)

1. Debian - SecureApt - https://wiki.debian.org/SecureApt

2. Arch - pacman/Package signing - https://wiki.archlinux.org/title/Pacman/Package_signing

3. Fedora - RPM - Checking Package Signatures - https://docs.fedoraproject.org/en-US/fedora/latest/system-ad...
Furthermore, pretty much all of these studies avoid any quantification of the benefits. Women employed, the money that they made, the number of people that stayed out of the criminal justice systems, and even satisfied customers.

Of course there will always be questions of induced demand, assuming that that's bad and may increase trafficking. That doesn't mean that there's not tools and policies that can combat trafficking in a legal system. For example, citizenship requirements for prostitutes and a death penalty for traffickers would probably go a long way
That's on your notification settings though. You can make Voicemails have a higher notification priority if you want. If you just turn on reject unknown calls and keep up everything else normally, you may have issues, but if you adjust some and do things like making voicemails more obvious and add more contacts to your phone, it works ok.

For sensitive times where I know I'm expecting a doctor/contractor to call, I'll just turn it off and set a reminder for later on to enable it again.
I was shocked when I discovered that Dart, a programming language, included telemetry.

Of course, since it’s coming from Google, I suppose it shouldn’t have been quite so surprising.
Prior to the scientific age, most theory of mind was religious and/or philosophical, and models typically ran to mind/body duality (Descartes), ideals and essences (Plato & Aristotle, generally), or "spirit" which had numerous associations, many of them textual, which was itself the great technology of the Axial Age in which that concept emerged.

Otherwise, in the scientific and technical era, you have the brain as computer, as AI, as homonculus (which really doesn't explain much), as mechanism or clockwork, as a composed of parts (much as a factory or assembly-line, I suppose), and the like.
that doesn't help. I looked at the modules it makes use of and the first one is "openai" (Edit: whoops, it's in their example, not in their requirements. disregard).

php didn't use openai IIRC

i kind of cannot imagine what this would use openai for unless it's using it to write a web application for you. which is pretty ...not like php.
This is the only reason I’m hesitant to use GPT4. I’m not sure how safe they can keep my credit card details.
This blog post takes a lot of words to say “look at how smart I am! there’s no way this could possibly go wrong!”

Maybe it makes me an asshole but I’m rooting for a rates hike or something to give this guy a dose of reality. But I think we all know mummy and daddy would get him out of it.
Disabling JavaScript also works. I have it disabled by default through uBlock Origin so I didn't come across the block message until I enabled it.
Yes. This is the modern anti-trust loophole. Same thing Google does with "our products are free so we can't be a monopoly".

If every party wins then the only drawback is that the market evaporates and you end up with monoculture. Not a big deal unless the single player turns "bad" and starts abusing their position. Even if customers flee it would take a decade to regrow the free market.

And there's a huge buffer allowance for just being "a little bad". Like, "oops, sorry about that author/candidate that we crushed on accident, we've made a tweak to the algorithm and it won't happen again" but the damage is done.

I think a lot of people know that today it's a win-win but are just afraid what these companies _might_ do.
My completely unqualified outsider perspective is that they're a slightly different phenomenon. The old school Microsoft security issues stemmed from security being more or less an afterthought or with comically bad default options. Many years and many billions of dollars later those systems are largely OK. But of course onprem systems are often not patched - but that's arguably not their fault (although Microsoft have made patching much harder than it needs to be, possibly to drive SCCM sales I'm not sure).

Azure...is a whole other thing. Every single service I look at feels like it's been developed two or three times, and renamed at least once...with varying degrees of backwards compatibility/interoperability/deprecation. The security interactions must be a nightmare to properly test for MS. On top of this it feels like there's multiple strategies being enacted simultaneously which makes it hard as an admin user to know you're doing the right thing in general.

Other cloud providers undoubtedly have some of the same issues with complexity/change but AzureAD (now renamed to Entra ID for whatever reason) is being used to manage core things like user accounts and mailboxes for organisations of all shapes and sizes (often without internal security teams).

There's also an unpleasant feeling that security is an upsell opportunity. It's a bad look.
Agreed, though I don't believe that's the context I first heard it.

I've run across the Vonnegut variant more recently. I don't recall where or when I heard the earlier version for the first time, though I suspect it came up in conversation without attribution. Likely sometime ~1980 -- 1999.

That variant may well trace to Vonnegut, though I suspect it had been passed through numerous mouths and ears by the time I heard it.
Sounds like it wasn’t on openai’s side.
I know plenty of people that would rather own a Miata
I'm excited about this despite not owning any Apple hardware, nor intending to own any in the future.

Just to see what a mature native Linux port does in terms of performance and battery life numbers.

We've had to suffer so much Apple fanboy b.s. ever since Apple Silicon became a thing, touting how special the software optimizations are for making this TSMC node's product so fast and efficient. Let's get a sense of what really happens without Apple's software, with an alternative unix-like OS that has similarly modern compositing desktops.

My money is it's 90% TSMC that made Apple Silicon so much better than the Intel trash Apple was stuck with, they never even tasted the AMD+TSMC glory first.
As with most things human, 'correction' can take a long time. Just one example: we're still constantly reading "Relativity shown to be right again." Baked-in biases and a kind of 'worshipfullness' of big Names like Newton (and misunderstanding what science can 'prove')[0] are all part of the stew.

[0]Excellant discussion here: https://martinsweatman.blogspot.com/2023/07/the-scientific-m...

Aristotle's ideas ruled the roost for millenia, before they were closely inspected. Just the other day I listened to someone complaining that mis-translations of his ideas resulted in some of the big blunders attributed to him (e.g. 'heavier things fall faster).
> Yeah, why prevent anything bad from happening, LOL

This is not the role of the police. Their role is solely punishment and deterrence.

And if drug use leads to other crimes and other crimes leads to punishment then they're already providing that deterrent, to the thing we actually want to deter.

If you want to prevent drug abuse in response to economic woes etc. then try building more housing and otherwise lowering the cost of living. (Sometimes people hate this because it's very "everything is connected" and they don't want to have to solve somebody else's problem in order to solve their problem, but sometimes that's actually the best solution.)

> BTW, if it's a crime to use certain drugs, and you use those drugs and are arrested, and that arrest prevents further crimes, this was NOT an example of "pre-crime". You committed a crime. You used illegal drugs.

Passing a law against drug use is pre-crime when the only real justification for the law is to prevent other crimes.
Not sure where CIRP gets its numbers.

Because the Mac Pro outselling the Mac mini by 10x doesn't seem believable to me.

And especially in 2022 when the Intel Mac Pro was being outperformed by the Mac Studio.
It’s like how there’s literally a whole generation of financial professionals who had never been through a rate hike. Gather round, VPs, time to learn about the real world.
Visualizing Account Sharing