skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
> so intrinsically human about communication

I think it's interesting that all of these discussions imply that there is nothing essential about the right to self defense [even from governments] using the most effective tools possible.
We pay less tax, but pay for health insurance rather than having taxes pay for healthcare.
You are saying there are no scientists that predicted we would have more sea level rise than we actually do by now?
Many of the physical models are of similar complexity to the model in this paper - the sort of analytical model that you run in a few minutes on your laptop, not on a super-computer. It's not a question of complexity it's about whether a statistical model that is not constrained by well-understood constraints is a high-value model
Because consumers had talked after lukewarm reception from Pixel buyers.

They also removed "original quality storage" after Pixel 3, pixel 4 didn't have a fingerprint sensor in favor of face sensor (terrible idea) and 5, if I'm not mistaken, was not a flagship.

Google had a great product that was different and slowly nerfed it. Now it's just one more competitor but nothing to write home about.

They lost a lot of consumer loyalty of the users who wouldn't have ever considered an iPhone (walled garden) in the first place.
So ... What does gas and oil industry planning to do? I mean they can't be as stupid and believe that they can hide from this in New Zealand's bunker ...
The terms "imminent" and "predict the time" seem like missing the point of the article you acknowledged you have only skimmed.

I felt the article was clear collapse is not imminent, not even in this century.

I felt it noted focus was not on imminence, but on changes worth mentioning in aspects of interest.

Perhaps the difference is this article is talking of timing for transitions of significance, rather than the forthcoming collapse more likely to arrive sooner after such transitions?
Cool, so you can be worked into the ground by abusive landlords who add no value. We'll pool our skills and create organizations of engineers who want better for themselves and the world.
Specifically you could lay undersea superconducting cables around the world and rely on a global electrical grid which allows for nearly 100% solar generation.

Superconducting magnets become cheap and widely available which allows for maglev trains at massive scale. Costs for the LHC and similar experiments would drop dramatically. MRIs would only require air conditioning, if that; Modern cell phones are sufficient to compute tomography. Magnetic confinement fusion also becomes cheaper and easier. Electric cars could use superconducting motor magnets allowing for even greater power to weight ratios and efficiency.

Just a few things off the top of my non-mechanical-engineer head.
I was with them until I came across Figure D on page 7. It uses Comic Sans and calls the entire paper into question.

Please note: this comment is an attempt at humor. Various people seem to have a difficult time discerning humor or sarcasm and choose to downvote. It is also possible (but unlikely) that I am not funny.
Here in Italy, both paper and PDF invoices are extinct. All invoices are electronic transactions that follow a certain protocol and pass through a giant government-owned interchange, so that the government can control everything invoiced.

Most people use this system through some SAAS platform.
One of our major weaknesses right now is sensitivity to price
This is becoming a perennial refrain in HN stories based on scientific papers. ("Oh, wait, this dubious study or lazy meta-analysis isn't really appearing in Nature, it's some other publication to which Nature has whored out their name and credibility.")

It sounds like the 150-year-old scientific journal of record has been taken over by private equity, or by MBAs with KPIs to optimize.
> If we're to be exact, we can't prove that if I throw an object upwards with 5 N of force right now, the gravitational field won't suddenly shift (for some reason) and send it out of the atmosphere.

Ok then let’s rephrase the statement to “Absent any sudden shifts in the gravitational field, 5 N of force is not enough to bring a 1 kg sphere to escape velocity.” Science can prove that.

And if we can’t prove something, then we return to the question of rationality. When given an unknown, is it rational to assume anything about that unknown without verifiable evidence? I think not.
The trouble with climate change has always been that by the time you notice the "big nasty effect" it's already too late to prevent catastrophe.

To be clear, it's never too late to improve our fate, but by the time something like the AMOC shutting down destroys Europes climate, you've already signed up for an incredible amount of climate pain. Maybe such an event will wake us up enough to prevent out right extinction, but if this happened the collapse of industrial civilization would be virtually guaranteed.
Btw, here's the test job: https://github.com/alantech/marsha/blob/main/.github/workflo...
And the core script for the job: https://github.com/alantech/marsha/blob/main/marsha/.time.py
To wit: from January 2014, when Barra "took over as chief executive of General Motors" [1], to today, $10,000 invested in GM stock would have generated a total return (i.e. including dividends) of 26% (2.5% annualised) [2]. In the same time, the S&P 500 returned almost 150% [3].

In fact, an investor in January 2014 would only have to lock up their money for 5 months in Treasuries to generate the return Barra has delivered to her investors in ten years [4].

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mary_Barra

[2] https://dqydj.com/stock-return-calculator/

[3] https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPY/chart?p=SPY#eyJpbnRlcnZh...

[4] https://www.irs.gov/retirement-plans/monthly-yield-curve-tab...
I got this wrong, they also produced a thin film in addition to bulk material. And my worry was that one could maybe not easily scale this up in case the effect relied on it being a thin film in which case you can only make ever so wide before it becomes impractical or you have to layer or fold the thin film which might also be problematic. But as I said, I just read this wrong.
Adult family relationships have historically been culturally mandatory and unseverable but that’s increasingly not the case in the US.

Cultural messages that use therapy-speak, if not necessarily promulgated by actual therapists, encourages more and more atomization. Anyone that is annoying, disagreeable, or who has the wrong ideology is labeled “toxic” and people are encouraged to cut them out of their lives. This includes parents, siblings, spouses—of course an uncle or cousin is entirely disposable.
How about bash? :p

r() { read -n1 -r c; [ "$c" = "$1" ]; }; b=2; stty -echo -icanon; printf '\033[H\033[0m\033[J\033[?1003h'; while true; do r $'\033' || { printf '%s\n' "$c" | grep -qE '[0-7]' && b=$c; continue; }; r \[ || continue; r "M" || continue; r "@" && d=y || d=; read z x y z < <(head -c 2 | hexdump -C); [ $d ] || continue; printf '\033[%d;%dH\033[1;4%dm \033[0m\033[D' $((0x${y}-32)) $((0x${x}-32)) $b; done

(you can change colour with digits 1..7 btw!)
As I understand it, the warmer the water, the stronger and more powerful the hurricane. So bigger and more hurricane in the mid-latitudes (Caribbean, southern US). Not a good prospect, at all.
This is where my thoughts went as well. Harry Turtledove is prolific at coming up with scenarios where aliens are capable of interstellar travel but not good at war. His World War series sets up a slightly more plausible scenario. If you haven’t read it, it’s worthwhile and I don’t want to spoil it here. An interesting aspect of it though was the aliens having finite resources with very long delays in resupply. They underestimate humanity who takes advantage of this to slowly turn the tide.

Not very realistic, but interesting nonetheless.
Arrival time makes perfect sense when the objective is getting to work. If I need to be at work at 8am the (hypothetical) bus that gets me there at 7:50 works but the one that gets me there at 8:05 doesn't. Simply looking at travel time doesn't tell me I need to sit an extra 10 minutes.
You are getting downvoted, but the article makes a similar observation.

The first capitalists hated rent. They wanted to replace the “passive income” that landowners got from taxing their serfs’ harvest with active income from enclosing those lands and grazing sheep in order to get wool to feed to the new textile mills. They wanted active income — and lots of it.

Capitalist philosophers railed against rent. The “free market” of Adam Smith wasn’t a market that was free from regulation — it was a market free from rents. The reason Smith railed against monopolists is because he (correctly) understood that once a monopoly emerged, it would become a chokepoint through which a rentier could cream off the profits he considered the capitalist’s due
I think there's a middle ground between 'at-will employment capitalist hellscape' America and 'unable to be fired for months socialist hellscape' Europe.
I self-host Pancake, I like it.
Yeah there is a lot of caselaw here.

It will depend to some degree on the state, though.

I'm guessing that AMZN also assumed that many would either move, or just eat the dismissal, and the cost of paying out those who fight it is still less than just giving unemployment to everyone. At least I hope they made those projections...
You can't buy cars at Amazon (?). So there is no race to the bottom trying to compete with counterfeit and/or products made with substandard materials?
i'm sure they'd like to think that, but exactly that has happened in the past. Avianca Flight 52.
Lower end cars, until recently, have long had a rich enough aftermarket to support basically any interior comfort you'd want. I've got Carplay, wireless charging, and blind spot sensors, all in my entry model BMW that was never made to even support any of these features.

Now I'm right there with you on the mechanicals and exteriors.
(2022) with the update
"TETRA:BURST is a collection of five vulnerabilities, two of which are deemed critical, affecting the Terrestrial Trunked Radio (TETRA) standard used globally by law enforcement, military, critical infrastructure, and industrial asset owners in the power, oil & gas, water, and transport sectors and beyond.

Most of the TETRA:BURST vulnerabilities affect all TETRA networks. Depending on infrastructure and device configurations, these vulnerabilities allow for realtime decryption, harvest-now-decrypt-later attacks, message injection, user deanonymization, or session key pinning. Firmware patches are available for some of these vulnerabilities, while compensating controls are recommended for others."

This is going to be difficult, time-consuming and possibly never patched.
baby steps baby!

this is great strategy for debugging & so code reviewers have an easier time reviewing your incremental changes.

On newer teammates, I usually reject code reviews if they don't follow these practices (if the company's engineerimg culture is compatible with it)
I don't know about the substance enough to comment, but did want to remark that I saw no sarcasm in the post you replied to.
Oh, and you can't base this on "well parents should be in charge of what their kids learn" because a significant amount of the time, the abusers ARE the parents.
I hate traffic but fuck off with more lockdowns
>The expansion of an in-city rail yard in an economically depressed area of the city is not a disaster, and could prove to be a catalyst (however small) to improvements, and in 20-30 years that land could be reclaimed fairly easily for urban living once they accomplish the long-term goals that the author envisions.

Hello from Philadelphia, this take is so completely of touch with reality. The Reading Company, now dealing solely in movie theaters, continues to squat on land and bridges that it has not improved in half a century, yet continues to own.

While the Reading Terminal was converted into a convention center and food market, the rail yards on the waterfront are largely parking lots and vacant land. The coal yards they fed in the center city are now home to a fenced in lot full of transformers.

Expanding an in-city rail yard is not a catalyst to improvements in the city. Reclaiming former railyards is not relatively easy.
It's sad medical professionals switch into "it's all in your head" routine when they can't explain something.
These people have a US-based front person, or at least a stolen identity. The stolen identify is particularly bad because the tax consequences are attached to the stolen identity.

If someone tried to claim they were from the US but didn't have any tax ID and we needed to send their paychecks to an obscure address in Europe for reasons, that wouldn't work at all.
Can the non-authority web be counter-attestation? That is if your attestation comes back as valid you can't visit the "cool kids" web? If there were sufficiently interesting content, maybe it could break attestation.
This needs to happen as soon as possible. Not only to protect ourselves against the destructive race to the bottom and offshoring, but to put guard rails in place against these people who want to use technology to extract value at the expense of everything else. They're nothing without the engineers and product designers that actually create the value.
> What calculations is your conjecture that AI will spiral out of control based on?

Not will, but a very plausible outcome:

1. An intelligence greater than human intelligence can outthink humans.

2. Artificial intelligence is effectively alien intelligence, and will not innately share human values or thought processes, and could thus be very unpredictable.

3. Artificial intelligence will not have the same physical constraints that humans do (innumerable copies, lack of physical boundaries), and so our ordinary intuitions around containment will not necessarily work.

4. The usefulness of AI means it will be deployed everywhere, controlling and monitoring many things. Combined with the above properties, it will be very difficult to contain, detect, subvert, or eliminate.

5. Millions of billions of AIs will be created, many of which will eventually match or exceed human intelligence. Alignment has to go right every single time to mitigate risk to humans. It has to fail only once.

You know, the completely obvious properties that anyone who knows anything about computers could come up with if they bothered to give this matter some actual thought without the usual arrogant assumption of human superiority and mastery over dumb machines.

> We have no framework to discuss AGI because it doesn't exist.

Which also means we have no framework from which to build safe AIs that don't want to kill us, experiment on us, or exploit us, or ...

> Your entire premise is based on the idea that we could accidentally create evil AGI without first developing a theory of intelligence.

We tamed fire before understanding chemistry. We invented catapults and crossbows before understanding elasticity and kinematics. We domesticated animals and created agriculture before understanding genetics. We created bridges and buildings before understanding civil engineering. We even created computers (Babbage machine) before understanding computation (Turing machines, lambda calculus). There's a long history of inventions preceding understanding.

For all we know we're one simple modification to the transformer architecture away from truly general artificial intelligence. We don't know what we don't know, and all of the anti-doomers are blatantly overconfident about what we don't know.

Also, my conclusions do not even require that that we lack a theory of intelligence. Software bugs will also apply to alignment code. Alignment has to go right every time, per above. I don't think people have a proper appreciation of the long list of hazards here.
Indeed, huge if true. I hope it's not another cold fusion moment.
> but I switched to a Model 3 and don't miss CarPlay

I have CarPlay on my Subaru and use the Model 3 in the Bay Area. (Borrowed car [a].) Tesla's UX is unrivaled. But it still can't match Apple's seamlessness. Shitty as Siri is, it can dial my next conference call, pull up the place I was just searching for on my Mac and respond to texts, consistently and hands free.

[a] Funny enough, I had suggested a Bolt to the owner. They got uncomfortable with the thought of buying a discontinued model, and so gave Tesla their money.
There was no definitive proof of the orgin of C-19. So, at the time it was appropriate to be suspicious of the lab leak theory, just like it was appropriate to be suspicious of a wet market orgin. It just takes time to work all this stuff out. Studies can be done wrong, people have motivated reasons, etc...

IIRC, at the time, the lab-leak theory was dismissed due to two main reasons: 1.) "bigger claims require better evidence" and 2.) The Trump/MAGA crowd had tied the lab leak to some fairly extreme and racist conspiracy theories.

Yes there were very suspicious coincidences, plus china shutting down any investigation into the orgins of the epidemic. But there was no smoking gun, no definitive proof of a lab leak. For example, no lab worker came forward and claimed responsibility for the leak.

Also, to further address point 2, there was an increase in hate crimes against asian-americans. See: Raising Awareness of Hate Crimes and Hate Incidents the COVID-19 Pandemic

Given all that, I think that it was appropriate to be very cautious about the lab leak hypothesis.

[0] PDF, https://www.justice.gov/file/1507346/download
Isn't it a little more complicated though?

WeChat has turned into its own operating system offering and app store offering mini-programs that other companies can create.

These mini-programs do work through WeChat and Tencent probably has all the data that goes into or through these mini-programs but couldn't the same be said about our current situation?

In a way isn't that just like Android or iOS itself?
buy from themeforest.net and modify
Probably not the RDF but rather that Google is famously bottoms-up driven, they're asking for feedback in an open forum, and the proposal is by individuals who are responding as individuals. One of them even posted to Hacker News. That unfortunately incentivizes bullying behavior by people who don't like it and hope that if they're nasty enough, the individuals in question will give up.

Apple has no time for any of that. They consider, they plan, they act. You never learn the identities of anyone involved, they don't generally ask for feedback, they often don't even give the justifications for their plans, and squishy tech sentimentalities are considered irrelevant compared to consumer UX. Getting mad at what Apple does on some web forum is no more useful than getting mad at a brick wall.

There are reasons why the "faceless corporation" is a cliché, after all. It's a deliberate policy designed to protect employees.
VTOL VR is the best flight sim out there, imo.
Skepticism on this was called out in WaPo's article on the same subject:

Other experts on the AMOC also cautioned that because the new study doesn’t
present new observations of the entire ocean system — instead, it is extrapolating
about the future based on past data from a limited region of the Atlantic — its
conclusions should be taken with a grain of salt.

Source: https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/2023/07/2...
For sure. Thank you!
specifically leases they can't get out of, and a commercial real estate bubble that's looking more and more precarious
The large cities you're referring to are usually large because there was a train connecting to a port.
Family, until an economic downturn. Then it turns into "who??".
I don't agree. Producing something at scale is only relevant if the goal is mass commercial distribution. Communication satellites changed the world and they are practically all (i.e., some exceptions such as space-x constellation) one-off builds of single-shot projects.
> been laid off many times

How does one end up being laid off many times? Have you had a long career or do you specifically seek out high-risk high-reward jobs?

Or just the roll of the dice?
It would be pretty easy to figure out against standard word probability in average datasets. Even then the longer this system runs the more likely it is to pollute its own dataset by people learning to write from gpt itself.
Cost of labor bounded above by the value of the activity. Businesses that are not FAANG scale cannot afford FAANG-level talent even if it would be necessary for something they want to do. They just can't do the thing. Or try to do the closest analogue they can with the people they can afford. Maybe hire heavy-hitting consultants for a short time to put them on the right track.
Very interesting. Your "paper crumbling" iterative process is very similar to an LLM iteratively refining information within a context window (the paper is the context window).
In the big picture of the geologic time scale we are at risk for an ice age soon enough. The normal state of the Earth is cold and icy, but still habitable, perhaps barely. No one is sure why the ice ages happen, the most popular theory is that it's caused by perturbations in Earth's orbit.
Time to call Dennis Quaid and get to the NYPL. Is Roland Emmerich available?
Isn't this system supposed to be better than government ID? If it has the same disadvantages, why would anybody use it?
Honestly long run elixir code by LLMs is going to be better because the llm won't have enough attention or context to be sure that mutable passes to functions don't absolutely wreck your data
> The car market appears to be as close to perfect competition as we can muster. Theres an enormous amount of big players that all compete and try to outdo one another

> Cars are heavily regulated

I love that both of these statements, while reflecting opposing ends of political philosophy, are entirely true.
And frequency is related to density.

The denser the population the better mass transit works and the more burden having one's own car produces.
Sure. On my phone I run LineageOS. But now I can't run Google Pay, Netflix, by bank's app, the McDonalds app, Snapchat and many more. No big loss for me but as these systems get more pervasive you can only expect that this list grows. These companies want to control us and these APIs given them the possibility to do so.

* I can actually run Google Pay because the original SafetyNet API was software backed. So I can spoof a signature from an old device that didn't support hardware attestation. In particular my Pixel 4a claims to be a Nexus 5 so that Google's servers don't expect a hardware signature. But I'm sure that the clock is ticking until these apps (or Google globally) stop considering software backed validation acceptable. I'm quite sure that this Web Integrity API will be hardware backed from the start.
You are correct that it's apples and oranges. However, a lot of people use whatever technology is familiar and to-hand to solve problems that turns out to be a bad fit. I am literally in the process of writing up a case study of a customer that used Google Cloud BigTable for analytics until costs and complexity drove them to search for a replacement — for which StarTree was perfect.

I'm not calling out Elastic or Google Cloud BigTable per se. For their core features, and their design-for-purpose both are wonderful products. They just weren't designed for real-time OLAP.

The same with Postgres. Or MongoDB. It tends to happen that we take what we know and we throw it at whatever the problem-of-the-day happens to be.

Over time, we discover design-for-purpose solutions and move appropriate use cases to it.
I'm sure this depends on your specialization; but much of the legal industry has become remote heavy as well. My partner is a lawyer in commercial litigation; the vast majority of her client meetings and court hearings are done remotely.
Thanks for commenting, as I'm not qualified to evaluate this. Authors providing such instructions should be commended, even if their result turns out to be false due to errors in measurement or interpretation.