skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Right. For example I know the area around Temple Church in London really well - for a few years I used to walk through it twice daily on my commute. So when there was all the fuss about the Da Vinci Code I decided to read it for myself to make up my own mind, and terrible as it was the thing that probably annoyed me the most was he gets the geography of those streets wrong. It wasn't changed because the change helped the plot or anything like that - it was just wrong because he didn't care at all about getting details right. It was so _unnecessary_ an error it really drove me nuts.

I love Foucault's Pendulum. I always thought it's a fun sideswipe at the literary Foucault also, who with Derridas is so deliberately impenetrable there are a lot of parallels with the charlatans in the novel.
There's always a plethora of misinformation about trading, so here goes.. Retail and institutional is the difference between playing in a casino and being the casino.

It's important to understand - on the whole - he average probability of guessing the direction of a trade is 50/50. Any obvious (and virtually all non-obvious) edges, arbitrage for instance, are removed by the market participants. That's what a market IS.

In that respect, 'random walk' is correct. However, that does not mean all participants cannot expect profitability over the short or long term. Which are also themselves, very different things.

For retail traders, transaction cost (commissions + bid/ask spread) make it a negative expectancy.

In fact, bid/ask spreads and commissions ARE PRICED right at a level to remove any positive expectancy, but leave the APPEARANCE of a possible positive one.

Getting that up just a couple percentage points to a positive expectancy is difficult in the short term, and VERY difficult over the long term. Not impossible. That's why about 70-80% of active retail traders are losing overall at any given time.

For firms, order flow and much lower transaction costs make for a positive expectancy. The value of order flow alone is responsible for the zero-commission trading industry.

Skill isn't the issue. The trader with skill level at lose a little or break even trading - from his bedroom - would very possibly be winning on the big banks trading desk. Even if executing the SAME trades they were at retail. More so, the more frequent the trading activity.

So if big institutions have a built in edge why do they sometimes fail? Easy, they still sometimes make stupid bets (ie.. Silicon Valley Bank's bond bet which killed it).
Disruption, synergy, blue ocean thinking, vertical integration, blockchain, leveraged buyouts, stock buybacks, tax advantages, bunkers
According to the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court [0] and the FBI IG [1].

And an FBI lawyer pleaded guilty to a felony for forging an email used as justification for the wiretapping [2].

[0] - https://www.nationalreview.com/news/fisa-court-confirms-two-...

[1] - https://www.nationalreview.com/news/ig-report-details-signif...

[2] - https://www.reuters.com/legal/government/ex-fbi-lawyer-agree...
It's called a cost+ contract.
Entirely agree. I’ve had trouble distilling this attribute or whatever into a specific quality. Maybe probabilistic thinking? But the bar for acknowledging when u don’t kno something should be pretty low.

> we’re failure machines looking for the right answers because we just can’t know everything.

Yea this is a real problem. I wish stats and probability were more emphasized in high school. And it really doesn’t matter if people understand the math, the primary goal should be to get students at least familiar, and hopefully comfortable, with the concepts of chance and randomness. And having students internalize the concept of a confidence interval could help form a mental model of how to go about making assertions and the danger of overstating things.

The overstating things part is definitely ingrained in the American culture at least but I feel that this could really chip away at that
Something newer happen since this?

What was reason for post?
They are. Especially these days as Republicans lean more heavily into culture wars and less into the economy (eg see DeSantis recent attacks on Disney and Anheuser-Busch), Democrats are becoming the pro business party.
The long haul to electrify heavy trucks [video]
Yeah im a conservative, but the republicans have got some special variety of stupid in congress. Liberals too but its a different variety.
Its unprecedented to fire a FBI director before their 10 year term is up. Only one president has ever done that, can you guess who that was?
> No: it doesn't need to be implemented unless you actually want to do something with USB

Tell it to angry devs even here who lambast Safari and Firefox for not implementing Chrome's hardware APIs
The Daytona: Rolex’s Ultimate Veblen Product (2017)
Put differently, if a fire were to happen and this open air mechanics/tire shop were to ignite and destroy the three neighboring properties

Again, a description like really misrepresents the facts. The guy appears to own 2, possible 3 motor vehicles, and has two sets of 4 tires. It looks as if he had hoped to upgrade one of his vehicles by putting some shiny new wheels on it. O am not a car guy, but this looked to me like some personal property stored in his yard, not a hobby that had spun out of control. If he had stored them in a shed or covered storage area nobody would have said anything (because they wouldn't have seen it) even though the risk would have been identical or greater. There's no particular reason to expect a fire to break out in the middle of a subdivision, tires aren't known for just spontaneously bursting into flame.

By contrast, in my neighborhood there is a tire business of some kind at one end of a residential street, which must have 2-300 tires stacked up, directly adjacent to a bunch of houses and a freeway overpass. They've been there for man¥ years so I assume it's a normal business with normal permits, even though it's a massive fire hazard with a higher risk of a fire breaking out from the unpredictable nature of commercial traffic, industrial equipment, vandalism/arson etc.

The main issue for insurance companies arises from a combination of California's increasingly hot and dry climate and the fact that most uses here are made out of wood and thus extremely susceptible to fire damage. The people rationalizing the insurance company's decision as if this guy somehow had it coming are BSing themselves.
> While you were correct at one time based on trends in the industry, "OMG YOU'LL NEVER GUESS HOW THIS CHILD CELEB TURNED OUT" content never cemented itself. It had a high-water mark and that kind of thing hasn't made good money in years.

The LA Times makes $380,116 per employee. Outbrain, one of the largest click farms makes $841,768 per employee. Taboola makes $784,780 per employee. Combined the latter two bring in enough revenue to equal 1/4 of the entire print media industry. That isn't even counting hybrid companies like media.net that do a combination of clickbait and traditional advertising.

(This is all 2022 data)
Same, it works really well.

Part of what inspired me to give fly.io a shot was that I didn’t love the monorepo deployment story on the app platform. Fly doesn’t have a solution to that, but I suppose I felt less tied to DO at the time because I wasn’t totally content anyways. I’ve discovered since then that I was actually doing it wrong, so I’m way happier. I’m pretty big on monorepos so their whole system fits my workflow remarkably well now.

I’d like to figure out how to prevent deployments when my code doesn’t change in one app, but does in another. At the moment, pushing anything at all will trigger all apps to rebuild and deploy again. Not a huge deal and several orders of magnitude less painful than not being able to deploy at all, haha.
a lot of limitedness currently is artificially generated. such as restaurants/groceries/farmers constantly binning unimaginable amounts of food
There are unlimited resources.
> The idea of Exxon becoming “net zero” is a howler and we can’t let them get away with it.

Get away with what, a talking point?

> We need to price the carbon emissions at the source. If they want to pass on the external carbon costs to their customers, so be it.

What if a power company buys a bunch of natural gas, with emissions already paid, then captures the burned carbon instead of emitting it?
Only the Country Code and Check Digits are standardised by IBAN. The rest of it is country specific.
On top of that, employees are more likely to be in denial and will chase the sunk cost for years.
Potash salts (for Potassium (K)) are relatively adundant in the crust and if pressed can always be recovered from organics in the traditional manner.

High-grade phosphate rock (for Phosphorus (P)) is the declining resource, or perhaps more accurately isn't matched by our ever increasing demand for it in fertilizers as our human population grows. For now at least we're coasting along on increased beneficiation of lower grade ore through washing, flotation and calcining.

It's a fair point - I'm personally in the "let's see fewer humans overall camp", I'm not advocating genocide, just in favour of birth rates continuing to decline until we're back between (say) 4 to 6 billion.

Unlimited growth in a petri dish has obvious issues, even if the dish is the surface of a relatively large sphere.
Odd how dismissive you are of someone noting an imbalance of privilege between genders....

Do you recall the underlying cause for it being ignored when/where it affected women negatively?

That's right, the privileged group was/is in denial as they did not want to lose the privilege, as equality feels like oppression to the privileged.

Now, apply the same century of arguments that have been well hashed out back onto the privilege women have. And don't deny that there are privileges in being a woman, fundamental to the misogynistic norms were explicit privileges well documented alongside the similarly well documented oppression.
Building a whole emulator sounds more error prone than rebuilding the system with a PalmOS skin.
Ah, yes, the famously non-corrupt FBI! No skeletons in its closet!

There are things going wrong now, but to suggest there’s some golden incorruptible past we’ve strayed from is ahistorical. Serving the people? The good old boys network was just how things worked!

Democratic government has always - to a greater or lesser extent - had to fight against the demons of human nature.

This is not to imply we can be complacent, but we shouldn’t collapse into despondency either. There are good people fighting (metaphorically) the good fight just as there always have been. They need our support.
> you have to fork the entire web

That's exactly what we need to do. More specifically, we need to decouple the app web from the document web. Most of the value of the web to society lies in text, images, and video, in that order. We need a version of the web refocused around basic content with a spec simple enough for a small team to implement a browser for. A subset of HTML/CSS is probably the only way to succeed, since sites would need to work with current browsers. I think a few HTML tags + flexbox + fonts + colors would get you pretty far.
> Users don't want to get owned.

I can assure you most people don't think about their tech choices long enough to conclude anything like this.
> then captures the burned carbon instead of emitting it?

Presumably the only reason they would is if they could get paid carbon credits for doing so.
v common in canada, fresh bc it's made locally and often a cheaper menu option than other similar options. it's not popular w the japanese friends i know at least.
A large conglomerate will have to show a return on their investment, a bunch of people owning their place of employment get their salaries and are happy, even if the business runs close to 0.
The 30-year mortgage is an intrinsically toxic product (2018)
Watch out for kids sizes! They mimic adult sizes, but are much smaller. I just can’t verify that. Also, some clothing made overseas has a very different concept of what S/M/L/XL actually mean. I have had no problem with the off-price stores. Sizes actually correspond to reality, or damn close.
This is a very good point, there are multiple ways to look at this. One of the bigger (and harder) questions to answer in the run-up to a DD is whether or not the reason for the seller to sell is the stated one.
Just realized I mailed away my lock pick money a few weeks ago. Still haven't got anything yet.
> The full impact of this incident is much larger than we Initially understood it to be. We believe this event will have long lasting implications on our trust of the cloud and the core components that support it, above all, the identity layer which is the basic fabric of everything we do in cloud. We must learn from it and improve.

How about not putting everything in the cloud for starters. And I think the whole problem is not even the cloud. It's the broken capitalistic economy that in the and always begets monopolies or at least a cartel of a few big companies. Because for the long tail of small businesses it does not make sense to use products and services from the big guys. So, giving more power to the market winners ends up in too-big-to-fail companies. Yet, these big companies only have to make one mistake, one slip up, and the target surface is just too big. It's not a question if, but when such incidents will happen. Only federated services are the answer for the long term survival of society, sacrificing a part of convenience.
In case you're wondering, no they're not borrowing $7k. The $7k is the monthly repayment. What a silly headline.
tho you talk about it like an alien event / debate contest, mismanaged takeovers that end the company are common enough, incl from japan acquisitions and in that industry
Apple's interactive television box: Hacking the set top box System 7.1 in ROM
I’m with you on that I prefer not to use MS tech. That said, you might be creating an unhealthy dynamic for yourself by expecting it all crash and burn down. Objectively, MS tech still gets the job done.
Speaking as a security professional, for the love of God, why?
I would be shocked if this happened unless Amazon’s hand was somehow forced by shareholders. Even if none of the rockets fly when Amazon expects them to, it’s more likely for Amazon to quietly drop the whole project than go to SpaceX. It’s going to take years of delays for Amazon to realize that their launch partners aren’t gonna work out, and by then the market opportunity will be over.

Frankly, the whole satellite deal always smelled like self-dealing to me in the first place.
Arguably the real issue is people wanting products for less than they should cost. Full stop.

We need to recognize just what things would cost if produced exclusively domestically (not including differences in materials costs from geographic availability erc) and recognize that we live in absurd comfort by getting products at 1/10 of what they cost (not the real number just an easy reference).

Eventually either we continue to abuse the world or we end up the abused or, in the absolute best case, the economies of the world reach equilibrium and we pay the Proper price for our products.
Pretty crazy if true, eg https://twitter.com/feliciaday/status/1679582315104829446
Those are good things to know. I’ve been wondering about their managed databases recently, so I’ll keep that in mind.

I’m nowhere near as picky as you are, but maybe I’ll need to be at some point. As it is I mostly just build stuff and send it to the internet. If it builds and it does what I expected, I’m pretty happy! I don’t often need anything too special.
I have a family member who was a speculator for about a decade and worked in a secondary role for investment banks for the rest of their career. Their advice, as a retail investor, was to just build a diverse portfolio so you are profiting from the market averaging above inflation in the long term. Obviously, later in life you want to transition toward more stable investments like bonds so your retirement money isn’t gone if there’s a crash, but that was the core idea. Is that not sound advice? Based on your comment, any investment at retail is a loss on average.
Keys like this should never be used by a team. They should never touch a developer or devops workstation. They exist in prod only inside of an HSM.

High performance HSMs capable of handling 10k+ transactions/second are well within the price range of a well funded startup.
I have no idea how much one of these cost, but I know I won't be able to afford it. It is amazing what can be done with light and computing power alone.
It took a while for the tinfoil-hat stance on privacy to catch on, but it's safe to say that today it has lost its fringe status. Similarly, it might still be years before we see widespread acceptance of the importance of an unrestricted, global value-transfer mechanism.

You miss something only when it's gone.
The telephone man did his job well. Walt's use of common property improved. As for management who chose the locations fifth and twenty third...

“You live and learn. At any rate, you live.”
― Douglas Adams, Mostly Harmless
If I was a gambling person I would say that interpretation of fair use is going to fall in the next 20 years as there is just too much weight put on it currently, and AI is just going to make it untenable in its current form.

In addition, the fair use test contains a pillar about the use not affecting the market for the copyright holder's works[1] which I think in google's case (and probably in the current openAI case too) seems obviously not to have worked out (ie google's use has demonstrably negatively affected the market for the original copyrighted work in cases such as news for example).

[1]: https://fairuse.stanford.edu/overview/fair-use/four-factors/
Astor Wines and Spirits in NYC is a great example on a somewhat smaller scale. Founding family sold the business to the employees (about 75 of them) under an Employee Stock Ownership Plan.
You're wrong. There have been at least three known lab leaks of SARS cov-19 post pandemic. Here is one in Taiwan:

https://thebulletin.org/2022/01/a-lab-assistant-involved-in-...
becoming-infected-at-work/amp/

Covid-19 is very slippery. Analogizing from historical pandemics is begging the question and doesn't match the data.
If you aren't beating a savings account with your business then you shouldn't be in business, that simple.

From that, anyone running a multimillion a dollar a year farm should be doing very well or they should give up and let the market work properly instead of suckling on the teat of government.

And yes, that means higher food prices. Every single person refusing to pay fair prices is the problem, and that's darn near everyone.
Very well said. What’s sad is how hard it is to get people to recognize they’re doing this, and no one thinks they do it heven though everyone is guilty of it. I don’t know what the answer is but it’s destroying society’s trust.
Something new has indeed happened since the last 20 years.

From a company that used to deny this kind of allegations to being one of the largest violators of online privacy of billions of people, all in the span of just 20 years. I find it very interesting to see how companies change over time, and this is an interesting reminder of what facebook was and has now become.
Yeah, Atlas Shrugged was really bad.
It is still survivorship bias though. Phones selling like crack in Beijing means buy APPL and hold for how long? You predicted a new phenomenon but you didn’t know E(X) for that investment for the market in general without a lot of other data.
Have learned the hard way to always set timers for 51 minutes...
One thing I noticed in many North American houses is how the kitchen is "open" directly to the living room/dining room/etc. It seems that most houses do not have doors that you can keep the kitchen closed while cooking and open the windows inside the kitchen to air it out, while preventing contamination into the rest of the house.
Are you suggesting he was even right to die young?
Both of them are among my favorite books. I don't think I can pick one above the other.
"Inhomogeneous Electron Gas" written by Hohenberg and Walter Kohn which discuss how the equilibrium state of interacting electrons can be modeled with just electron density (3 dimension) and doesnt need the full electron state (3xN dimension). This is an extrordinary result that is so simple to follow that its crazy it took almost 6 decades of discovery if quantum theory to identify this.

The work provided an elegant and tractable way to model complex chemisry and a lot of physics. Most of molecular level modeling that cuts across electronics, energy and pharma are based on this work.

[1] https://journals.aps.org/pr/abstract/10.1103/PhysRev.136.B86...
I suspect he is right about the knack of flying, but I have not found the courage to try it. At least not from any reasonable altitude that would qualify as flying.
I mean, it's from the same well-known group in the Laravel community that builds and abandons packages pretty quickly. Based on that track record alone, this should be a hard pass.
Don't forget propane, a historically common refrigerant with a GWP less than 1.
Imagine that the carpenter already gets the wood cut from a far far away land, and has to make due to the way they were prepared.

After nailing a couple of them together, it has to send them to another far far away land, for some glue job.

Afterwards he gets them back, he applies varnish over the wood pieces, and sends them yet again to another far far away land for the paint job.

Those people on the far far away lands don't have any carpentery training and do whatever they feel like to meet the description of what they are supposed to deliver back.

While the carpenter tries to rescue what is possible from each delivery, so that the table and chairs only look half as bad, people can still seat on them without falling, and the tables have four legs about the same size.
Oh cool, thanks for the full dye link. I think it may be that brining in an adequate salt solution is sufficiently different from this kind of surface marination.
That's not how copyright law works at all. It doesn't say "well if you didn't want someone to copy this thing you should have stopped them from doing it". It lays out 4 factors for a court to consider about whether something is fair use and none of them are around how easy it was to rip the work off.[1]

In the LLM space it seems even more clear because many/most of the works in the various corpora used for this training have very clear copyright terms which prevent digital storage and reproduction without the publishers permission (just look at the reverse of the title page of any book for the copyright notice if you don't believe me).

Finally, for LLMs many/most of the works are in corpora[2] that people just download so they aren't looking at a robots.txt file put up by teh original site. If you look at The Pile paper[3] for example they explicitly say that much of the material is under copyright and that they are relying on fair use.

[1]: https://fairuse.stanford.edu/overview/fair-use/four-factors/
[2] https://github.com/Zjh-819/LLMDataHub for example
[3] https://arxiv.org/abs/2101.00027
> Finally, we want to thank the Microsoft team for working closely with us on this blog and helping us ensure it is technically accurate.

How was it decided to release this news on a Friday?
It is extremely disingenuous to claim the only browser to still refuse to block third party cookies by default, because it helps their ad partners, is "more secure".

The only way in which Chrome is more secure at anything appears to be securely forcing you to view ads via this API. And a shocking amount of malware fails to work when you use a running environment that 95% of society are not using.

You are far safer on Firefox than Chrome.
Cold welding can really mess you up when you deal with precision ground stuff.
vast quantities of bullshit