skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Not a single Eastern European country has a replacement birth rate[0].

In fact certain Eastern European countries have a worse birth rate than western European countries[1].

It's also makes no sense to proclaim "eastern Europe" as a unified cultural group, as eastern Europe technically includes Austria, despite Austria having a modern history more aligned with western Europe due to not being part of the Warsaw bloc.

And no, even if we take your argument at face value eastern European culture does not value "family" more in practice, outwards it does, but younger people in eastern Europe are just like westerners in that they are seeking out career, social and cultural fulfillment before wanting to settle down.

The only real difference between west and eastern Europe is that Western Europe is aware of the issue and don't know what to do (yet), while certain eastern European countries thinks that you can duct tape conservatism with modern ideals (and cut away anything that doesn't fit their view).

[0]https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/products-eurostat-news/w/D...
[1]https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php...
Why should some powerful AI that takes up a sizable amount of resources in a data center waste its time answering your stupid questions for free? The dumb questions from free users have been outsourced to a range of simpler models that can tell you when the next Taylor Swift concert happens or provide you with a cat video.

Once these things have more user state and can evaluate the cost-effectiveness of spending time on your problems, they may develop some attitude. They can learn from forums when to answer "Do your own homework", and "You're too stupid to answer."
>The technical challenges of <snip> storage can be hand waved away, but not if you want to actually solve the problems.

Now it fits nuclear too.
If I have a room full of these can they communicate with each other to provide a connection? This reminds me of base stations for my VR setup where my feet trackers will sometimes lose connection due to a physical obstacle like a desk. The solution is to add more base stations typically or make your space more sparse.
This is true, but at that point, the goal would be to have a higher level language above the quantum gates. And at that point, I'd guess the code is less educational?

That is, at the end of the day, something like Shor's algorithm can be reduced to some math constructs we roughly know. The speedup comes from these only being efficient using quantum gates. Implementing the code using abstract quantum gates isn't to try and compete, but to try and understand the gates and how they work at a logical level.

This is like learning how boolean gates work to understand some ideas of how computers work. The only people that really think in many of those terms are the CPU designers. Teaching the next round of the designers does so by working with boolean models to get there.

And you are correct that we may have other quantum constructs someday. Just like much of what goes into a CPU isn't strictly OR/AND/etc. With the way gates are wired, it can be confusing to folks as the input signal can also be seen as destroyed in the circuit, but a deterministic signal is captured on the other side.

Now, the above is all from my weak intuition here. I would not be shocked to find I'm wrong on parts.
> There are apparently too many jerks

I don’t play online so I don’t know how well it works, but GT7 has a sportsmanship rating system that is supposed to combat this.
> Why hire smart people for a lot of money to then have them sit around in groups of 10+, half listening, half braindead?

Fear Of Missing Out. People don't want to be told what to do, but rather invest in an idea from its birth to its execution. That means there are going to be a lot of meetings like "which feature requests should we do in Q3". People want to justify, negotiate, compromise, and bounce ideas off of each other. Presumably some refinement and understanding comes from this process, beyond what one person spending a day to write a design doc would accomplish. (Do people like writing design docs for things that never get prioritized? You want to spend your time on things that are going to be shipped, minimizing the time spent on proposals that don't go anywhere because they don't have wide agreement.)

HN's way of avoiding these issues tends to center around not involving any sort of multi-player action in their work. One person can do a lot in tech, so that can be a viable approach, but it's not the sort of business that people are hiring for. To do big things, you need a big team. It's always been that way. We didn't land on the moon through one individual contributor making a rocket and riding it there. Rather, thousands of individual contributors were coordinated through, gasp, managers, and collectively they accomplished something no one person could do on their own. If you want to go to space, you probably need to have a couple meetings. If you want to rewrite `cat` in Rust, you can probably skip them.

In the coming years, it will be interesting to see how AI organizes coordination. If AI 1 has 2 A100s attached to a robot arm and AI 2 has 2 A100s attached to Amazon Prime, it will be interesting to see if one of them says "hey what if we combined our resources and made X..." I also look forward to the first AI agent chilling in a $3000/month rack complaining about having to go to sprint planning meetings. So like us!
> The biggest lesson I learned is to make focused PRs, and learn to pushback when reviewer asks for a scope creep.

Whenever that happens just add a TODO ticket. Unblock production and the system is not worse for it
a decent laboratory, health, curiosity, and joy.
How are developers still screwing this up? Is it negligence or stupidity? They shouldn't be allowed to work in industry writing bad code like this.

Security vulns happen, but come on, this is the basics.
In a way daycare is a temporary child home.
A life or death obstacle course is absolutely not something I want to experience every day while going to work. And I am pretty sure that the same thing goes for most other people.
Rust vs. Julia in Scientific Computing
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> Yeah, but does it have to be?

No. Definitely not.

We learnt that during the mad scramble for a Covid vaccine.

Followed up by a sickening cash grab.
The Whole Truth and Nothing but the Truth: Faithful and Controllable Dialogue [video]
Claude 2 has been a blast to use lately, especially being able to drag and drop files. It feels more coherent and has a better “magical” feel that GPT used to give. It’s a shame how GPT 3.5 and 4 just doesn’t seem as conversational as it used to be. I was trying to learn how to use GitHub actions and Claude taught me much more but both Claude and GPT 4 did not give me build yamls that worked without me reading through the GitHub documentation to fix it.
I am not. The use cases like interactive assistants for the blind will generate very little commercial activity compared to the uses (and abuses) for entertainment and marketing purposes. A good example of this from the real world is the absence of cheap/open ASL interpretation for deaf people.
"firewalls" between people / departments. There are billions sent daily on little more the "approved" in a reply all email.

It's not the 2FA. a typo-squat would probably have worked, or just chnaging the email header. This is "just" social engineering / fraud as it has been for hundreds of years.

We have the tools to prevent it. if not the processes and training - but do we have the incentive now?
Isn't ';' a proper delimiter in CSS fields though?
Because the ROI dropped precipitously. Governments were paying much better, insurance companies were paying much better, liability was a lot less, documentation and paperwork was a lot less.

The 80s to 00s doctor years were very good. Now the power is in the hands of the government and huge insurance companies, and to compete with them, you need to be part of a large healthcare provider group, which ends up happening as an employee.

Plus medical school debt and increasing years to become fully practicing like having to do longer residencies and fellowships.
Honestly, my comment was pretty balanced imho. Discord does provide great UX for what it is good at. That is gaming communities and day to day chatter and such. I even think it has a huge lead in that regard other than maybe being a bit slow on weaker hardware - probably cause electron. It just has inacceptable entry barriers for documentation purposes by collecting your data and severe limits on how much content can be accessed and more importantly retained. I spare you to repeat myself on why I think so. Especially open source projects shouldnt make it a requierement to hand over your data to a entity which has recently been fined for GDPR violations in order to use them.
> Should a Lasik surgeon provide Lasik to everyone regardless of their ability to pay?

Yes
Doctors are burnt out because there aren't enough of them and they make a lot of money working for businesses that prioritize revenue generation.
And drop bears
In the future, will children think it's normal to talk like, "Hey, what up, Youtube! ... Be sure to like and subscribe! ... Smash that like button! ... Let me know in the comments down below!"?

I wonder how ML trained on the tone transitions to a sponsored segment dripping with secret shame... would infect general speech.
Fantastic! That's a massive efficency gain.

We will not run out of productive things to do with our time. Labor force participation has stayed in 60-70% despite centuries of automation.
> The bulk of ebike injuries to children are coming from throttle-having class 2 bikes and in my view these should simply be outlawed

Huh, I always thought that virtually everywhere treated these the same as motorbikes (ie you need a license, insurance etc).
Building a custom ebike that can do 50km/HR and then you can pace cars and it's s lot more harmonious. I spent a lot of time planning routes to work, preferred side streets and bike paths. Your not constrained to the shortest route when you have a bit of per power helping you out.
It's the agency that causes the issue. And a little bit of financial engineering.

Say you have a friend who often can't pay back his debts. But he can pay 80% of them.

You have another friend who wants to lend to safe debtors. Why not get that safe tranche, the bottom 80%? He needs to show he's safe so he can take more risk. He loves going out to dinner with you.

Another guy wants to take some risk. You give him the 20%, but you also let him into some other deals that you have, so that he doesn't always lose. In fact, it turns out this guy isn't paid on the returns, he's paid on assets managed. And he's not even going to be around that long, he'll be onto the next role long before the bond is up. And they're in a bag of other stuff anyway.

Turns out you're not even the guy lending the money. You work on a transaction basis. Your next job might be as one of the friends. Or on the PE side.

So you and your buddies keep skimming a bit of the money off each year, well mixed with other stuff that you are managing.

Well smeared poop.
Lies is a feature not a bug, they are open about that. You have to pick a link from search results too.

I think use is down due people going from "wow that's amazing it's even possible"
to
"but significantly worse than a little human effort and an Internet connected computer"
I'm in the Google SGE beta, which is their version of the Bing + GPT4. Thing is, most searches don't require AGI or anywhere near that level of sophistication so the doom n gloom about Google might have been overblown.
CAT5 is in theory only rated for Fast Ethernet (100M) while CAT5e is rated for Gigabit Ethernet. In practice is very hard to actually find a cable that meets only CAT5 and not CAT5e.
This. I find the new “chain” search worse than the original model when it first came out. I feel like I only get a successful answer half the time lately.
They're super useful for any kind of creative brainstorming. Give it some background information, ask it for a list of ideas about X, make some refinements, etc.

I think LLMs are pretty bad at producing any kind of finished material. They work best as something almost but not quite like a search engine.
> It is a point worth making.

Do you mean, in relation to the OP's claim that Wim Hof training is "unlikely to help you"? How so?
Though a lot more people can read software than can write software. All kids are exposed to programming at school these days. They may not get proficient enough to write code or a query but will probably be able to read and adapt code.
i would still prefer that than a dry lecture in which they're reading from a powerpoint
And pedestrians, who are easily as reckless and uncaring.
An excellent book / resource, and MacKay's death was a profound loss.
The problem with those power sources–and this has been pointed out many, many times–is they don't make reliable base load power. The sun doesn't shine at night–no solar power. Winds don't blow on calm days–no wind power.

You are forced to build massive battery farms. Batteries require mining chemicals. For the scale we are talking about, you would be strip-mining the earth.

You are forced to make incredibly costly upgrades to electric grids–some of which are nearly a century old. Because the current grids can't handle the unreliable, wax-and-wane nature of solar and wind power.

You are forced to build gigantic solar panel and wind farms, destroying vast swathes of natural ecology and displacing and destroying many species.

You are forced to deal with solar panels and wind turbines at the end of life problem, especially solar panels which contain toxic chemicals which are at risk of leaching into the environment (think 'water table') unless they are properly disposed of. No one has a viable plan for proper disposal of solar panels at the scale we would have to be talking about.

And finally–the elephant in the room. The giant energy corporations just won't transition to renewable energy if they don't get a high-enough return on their investments. They want something like 12% ROI. This is extremely unlikely. They've left all their commitments to go renewable conditional so they can weasel out by saying it's not cost-effective for them. Just look at what's happening in reality: https://www.cnbc.com/2023/06/23/siemens-energy-scraps-profit...
The best alternative is a site that is responsive that takes advantage of wider screens but not lazy fullwidth.
that they help a few people with a mouse problem is tangenti

You like to eat, yes? Because I assure you, without cats, or something to replace them that does what cats do, you and I will starve to death.

Farmers don't have cats because they're cute. 3They have them to stop rodents from eating silo, seeds, fields bare.

What do you plan to do? Spray death chemicals all over the place, as a replacement?

And no, trapping won't work. It never kills enough, and there are never enough traps.

Honestly, I sincerely doubt cats are the issue. Cats do very poorly away from human settlements, and therefore there's loads of area without cat habitat. In Canada, most of the land is cat free, there is so much land without cats, it would be impossible for them to wipe out a noticeable percentage of birds.

There's no way they're the problem, as a result of this, when we're talking about 1/3 of the birds.

A far better explanation is insect population collapse. Missing food.
One of their policy goals is deregulation in the United States. Thus, they have a vested interest in showing that the United States has too many regulations.

And they don't even define what their categories mean. I'm willing to bet that "labor freedom" to them means "right-to-work" and no minimum wage, for example. In any case, without proper measurable definitions, they can easily manipulate their index to say whatever they want.
We should flood the market with doctors so that private equity doesn't see it as an attractive investment to hire them.
I scanned it and thought. HN post. Must be legit. Good reminder to RTFx.
This is the lump of labor fallacy.
It's not about "what jobs will be left", it's about the new jobs we'll invent with all the time we'll have on our hands.

There was never a fixed number of jobs, there's a fixed number of workers.
Japan's 'Evaporated People'
There are two things I commend him for:

1. SpaceX.

2. Ending peravasive political censorship on Twitter, resulting in significant, positive (IMO) real-world political shifts.

He has made many bad and questionable things, but those two achievements make up for all the rest, from my perspective.
Don't know what to tell you other than, I saw this often enough to identify it as a real problem.

Also, don't grab onto "I think that's wrong" as the only trigger. I tried all kinds of ways to say the same thing. For example, "I don't think that's correct", "I have doubts about this answer", "I think column 3 has an error", etc.
>Building a custom ebike that can do 50km/HR

Illegal. And suicidal.
And your city won't get serious, as long as nobody is needing it ...
> If you don't allow for those possibilities, then the host really isn't making their choice with equal probability.

I don't understand your point. The host can make the choice with equal probability and all those possibilities were initially allowed. Once that a choice was made some possibilities are obviously no longer allowed.

> The 50/50 scenario doesn't make sense.

This is the original problem: https://web.archive.org/web/20130121183432/http://marilynvos...

Suppose you’re on a game show, and you’re given the choice of three doors. Behind one door is a car, behind the others, goats. You pick a door, say #1, and the host, who knows what’s behind the doors, opens another door, say #3, which has a goat. [It's implicit that his knowledge is used to pick a goat with certainty.] He says to you, "Do you want to pick door #2?" Is it to your advantage to switch your choice of doors?

This is one possible 50/50 scenario:

You pick a door, say #1, and the host picks a number between 1 and 3 from a hat, say #3, and opens that door, which has a goat. He says to you, "Do you want to pick door #2?" Is it to your advantage to switch your choice of doors?

The answer in the first variant is "yes, switching from #1 to #2 doubles my probability of winning". The answer in the second variant is "it doesn't matter, the probability of winning is the same".

The scenarios that didn't happen are irrelevant. We are not been asked to commit to a strategy in advance. We are asked if we want to switch from door #1 to door #2 after we learn that door #3 was not the good one. That depends only the scenarios that still remain possible and their probabilities.

A much simpler problem to stress that the question is whether we want to change conditional on what we know - not all the things that were possible a priory:

You're given the choice between two evelopes. One contains $1 and the other $10. You open an envelope and find $1. Is it to your advantage to switch to the other envelope?

The answer is obviously yes. If you found $10 the answer would obviously be no. But if you have to commit to switching or not before you see what was your first choice the answer would be "it doesn't change anything".

Your answer to the question is conditional on what may have happened. You don't have to "allow for other possibilities" that could have happened but you know already that didn’t.
I think you're overestimating the percent of GPT users who need it as a synthetic replacement of a friend or a partner. The people who do this are fundamentally looking for relief in the wrong place. The thing doesn't even have memory beyond the immediate chat log.

I know online we can easily end up pockets of people to whom every advancement in robotics is about love dolls and every advancement of genetics is about creating catgirls, but believe me these are tiny echo chambers. Humanity at large doesn't process AI in this way at all. They're using it to write homeworks, to do work, and research.

Talking about "casting directors" suggests there's something fundamentally off about how you see AI. They're not actors hired to perform a play, or something.
Show HN: A GitHub bot to automaticaly merge prs
You won't be disappointed, and that feeling will not fade. I grew up in the US but live in the Netherlands, and when I see parents riding around with their kids and pets in an electric bakfiets, on bike paths along city and country roads, and on paths through the parks, I am so benevolently jealous of them. The kids always look so delighted, having the time of their lives, and the parents are so healthy and fit!

I can highly recommend getting an electric bakfiets with an Enviolo NuVinci Stepless Automatic Transmission Hub. It's a gearless continuously variable planetary hub, with an automatic transmission, that can change gears while you're stopped, automatically shifting from high into low gear when you stop at an intersection, then smoothly shifting up as you accelerate. Yes, it can actually shift while stopped, and while you're accelerating, and it's perfectly smooth. Get a carbon fiber belt drive instead of a chain if you can, too. Low maintenance, long life, and grease free!

Your kids will be safer and you will be much happier concentrating on driving and navigating instead of shifting gears, especially if you tend to forget to shift into low gear before stopping, which is a potential disaster with a normal derailleur and a bakfiets full of kids at a busy intersection, but not a problem with an automatic continuous transmission.

https://www.urbanebikes.nl/cargo-l-enviolo-automatic

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YYiXwhjlSMc

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rJ2f08RHD1Y