skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Early in my career, I once worked with someone who estimated 40 hours for anything and everything, every single time.

Need to change some text here? "Well, it's a complex system and we'll have to think about translations and if the same text is used anywhere else, whether it will affect the layout, etc., etc. - 40 hours."

Need to build a whole new system from scratch? "Well, we have experience in that and it's a small enough data set and we have tools to help us - 40 hours."

If it was a trivial change, then they had most of the week free to do whatever.

If it was a huge project, then they'd go back and say "We need to reduce scope. They said they wanted X, but that actually wouldn't be good for them because of Y. We shouldn't do that, and they'll be glad we didn't."

Somehow, this one person always managed hit their estimates spot-on, every time. This was a model employee.

Depending on the company and your management, and how well you can BS, you can simply walk into Mordor whenever you feel like it.
If you have a partner (any kind), talk to them regularly about these things, especially finances. I'm now of an age where people passing is normal and regular, and I can't tell you how many times I've heard things like "[my partner] pays all the bills...I have no idea what bills we have" and "[my partner] takes care of that...I have no idea what I need to do". Even if you have a spreadsheet for them to stumble upon that lists accounts, that might not tell them things like "what's a normal payment and what's weird" or "this creditor is squirrelly so make sure you pay close attention to them". Or one I had recently: "I didn't know we got a discount on the lawn service because my partner gave the guy a case of beer when he came".

Don't just leave this to a folder full of documents on a computer for them to try and interpret post mortem. Make sure everyone understands what the real situation is and what needs to be taken care of.
i think Rust is actually encouraging programmers to make extra copies of objects, because that's the most simple path to get things done.

Did I miss anything?
Personally I'm pretty distrustful of documentaries. To be entertaining, they usually have to do some amount of narrative manipulation or propagandizing. There are many out there that open a small window into someone's life to make them look extremely evil or heroic while the reality is much more mundane. Some even manipulate interviews with credible people to prove the earth is flat or other nonsense. I love the book Blood Sweat and Pixels and find it very entertaining and inspiring, but I don't trust that it's a nuanced objective look on the 5 stories it covers or that the characters within are as perfect irl as they come off.
From one conspiracy to another; but at least he gets they got manipulated by powerful political forces.
You misread me. I said that no one said a p-value is the chance the result is erroneous. They said nothing about errors whatsoever in the quoted statement.

Apologies for the double negative in my last comment.
It's even the same journalist as the previous sensationalist story: Jordan Robertson.

- https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2018-10-04/the-big-h...

- https://siliconangle.com/2018/10/22/apple-amazon-super-micro...

Something smells fishy.
Lest anyone think this means a return to sanity: "Couey now believes the illusion of a coronavirus pandemic has been spun almost entirely through the recoding of ordinary all-cause mortality as “COVID deaths” through manipulative death coding and the widespread abuse of faulty PCR tests that would register positive due to the presence of just about any coronavirus; essentially, the entire response to COVID has been one giant fraud."
Discord uses websockets on all clients/platforms.
I put the second puzzle into ChatGPT. It makes an extremely stupid mistake but gets lucky.

GPT gets JavaScript numerical semantics utterly wrong but the only non-integer operation is a red herring: "the result [of 14/3] is approximately 4.6667, but JavaScript will store it as 4 since we are not using floating-point numbers"
I thought we were talking about the European Union
I suspect that's not the Wikipedia article you'd meant to link.
> If you only have seven good hours a day in you, does that mean the rest of the day that you spend with your family, reading, exercising at the gym, or whatever other virtuous activity you would be spending your time on, are all done poorly?

Yes.
Thank you, misunderstood completely!
The biggest latency in any large software project is... other people.
For California, the bulk of the water is sprayed on plants and evaporates. A solid 80% of the water used by humans goes to agriculture. The plants are shipped all over the world. In a very real sense, California agriculture is about mining water and then shipping it elsewhere.

For the remaining 20%, it gets used by industry (10%) and residences (10%), where some of it goes back into the ground because it's watering the grass, but the bulk of it gets sent down the drain, in some cases to be reclaimed and reused (toilet to tap sewage systems) or sent to drain the the ocean.

For other states the ratios are different, but California in particular is egregious in agriculture's abuse of the aquifers.
Academic reading is not light reading if you’re doing it right though. It’s much harder than programming for me.
Utopia is upon us
I was clear that I understand that both options have the same expected value. I said so twice in the post.
Reasonable, his intelligence also comes across in his tech talks too - similar to Andrej Karpathy in clarity and bandwidth for talks.

There’s also a lot of other commentary on his capabilities outside of that one account, so it seems likely to be true imo.
Mining and trapping groundwater in billions of tonnes in sugary soft drinks which then sits in supermarkets maybe?
You have conveniently avoided invasions, bombings etc.
heh, I didn't expect to see poop on the front page of hacker news.

If you're curious about the poop-making process, I created it and released it all on one 6 hour twitch stream [1].

[1]: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/1845437356
Those compressed tanks are still expensive, comparable to a battery in cost. Right now power return is like 38% given electricity - hydrogen - compression - convert back to electricity costs.

Sure it can get better, so can BEVs. I don’t see hydrogen winning though, electricity is just so pervasive while the infrastructure for hydrogen would have to be built out, and people might not want to go back to the gas station model after they are used to just charging at home.

They might work out for truck transport given the weight savings, and easier deployment of hydrogen infrastructure at truck stops.
Shouldn’t those accounts be in your trust, not natural, name?
Neural networks need data to learn, even if it’s fake
Thanks for linking this course, it's great!
> Google Inactivity Manager

Interesting, did not know about this. I think there’s no good solution yet on how to be notified if an acquaintance (not close friend or family member) dies. It used to be death notices in the local newspaper, but that’s out because my acquaintances live in so many different places. Does anyone have experience with Google Inactivity Manager?
He's saying you are required by law to buy insurance for your house because of government regulation. There's no way of saying no.
Although none of them are for onions, because we were so annoyed at two guys cornering the market we banned that and then forgot to ever undo it.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Onion_Futures_Act
The Lounge works pretty well in iOS Safari.
Also--they keep talking about "we can't give our API away for ML training"... But couldn't they just say "If you're using this for ML you must pay us more" in their API contract?

To me, this reason doesn't add up.
Woah, the macOS version looks extremely pretty/native. How is this possible in Rust?
For me, a startup is a business first, technology second.

So my first question are always:

1) What does it cost to aquire a customer (CAC)?

2) How much does a customer pay (REVENUE)?

3) How many customers are there (TAM)?

4) How much does it cost to service a customer (GROSS MARGIN)?

Let's answer these:

1) No information provided, but it's probably not cheap given there is plenty of competition. You can try to rely on word of mouth/focus on the FSBO niche... but this is a critical question to answer. (High CAC?)

2) This is easy, you charge $995/listing. Is this less or more than 1? No idea. (Low REVENUE!)

3) We can estimate this - you mention 500k FSBO happen each year. Let's say you're really successful, and capture 50k sales a year. (Low TAM!)

That's a $50M/year revenue stream. As an induvidual that sounds large... but as a business that sounds pretty small - for context redfin spent $158M in marketing alone in 2022.

4) Cost to service customer... I imagine overtime and scale this could be reduced, but to what level? (Possibly okay GROSS MARGIN).

As presented, and filling in the blanks, I think this is a currently a weak business model - high CAC, low Revenue and small TAM... this is going to make everything you do harder than it should be.

----

Notes on the website:

The website doesn't really sell the value of using your service.

The headline says 'Zero commissions'. This doesn't actually add any value to the seller.

Your bullet points for 'sellers' are questionable:

Set your home apart? Really? Who will see these listings? How will they know it's easy?

Deal directly with buyers? This sounds like work. Why do I as a seller want more work?

Close and Save? How does this help me close? What am I saving?

----

A different approach. Keep in mind I don't know your target customers, but here are some idea's:

1) Charge 10x as much - $9,995. Maybe on a success only model.

This instantly 10x's your possible revenue and TAM... and focusses your time on early adopters who see value in your service, not cheapskates who are not going to do the work and leave bad feedback. Use the extra funds to market and hire!

Alt: Keep cheap, but go deep into viral + addons. More complex, so not my preferred route.

2) Work on understanding the customer and figuring out thier pain points. Adjust marketing to fit:

E.g. Save $X0,000 and be in control with PropBox!

E.g. All the control of FSBO, but none of the paperwork!

E.g. Sell your home faster, on your own terms, with PropBox.

3) Serve customers via concierge model until marketing/CAC is dialled in. Then focus on automation.
These models cost millions to train. The only reason open-source LLMs have a heartbeat is they’re standing on Meta’s weights. The only third path is a public option.
What language is HN written in ?
Look at what happened to Digg. Digg "won" in the end, but people moved elsewhere (actually, mostly to Reddit).
"Please delete my browser history."
Do you get extra karma for ad hominem?
Thanks for your questions they are good questions. Here are the answers: 1. We debated your question. There are several factors that influenced it but the major factor is the seller is paying $995 + a photographer and a home inspection so depending on where you live and the size of your home another $800 to $1500 say $2000. On a $500k home the seller saves $28,000! The other reason is the seller wants to make the home easy to buy. The low friction homes sell faster and for more money. We are hopeful buyers will recognize this and gravitate to PropBox. 2. good point. We can fix it. Were you in the process of signing up? send me an email and let me learn more - maybe we can add a state. no promise but I'd like to know more.3.The seller will have little stress, they are safer, they are far less likely to be litigated against, it is easy. Thanks for your comments and questions
> the distance from the ground to the surface is around 5 millionths

The water from aquifers is not just lifted a short distance up to the surface. It is used, ends up in rivers, and spreads around the world's oceans. And the places where we are pumping groundwater are not uniformly distributed around the Earth. We are essentially moving mass to the Pacific.
The best self hosted alternative of Notion I have found is Outline[1]

The link describing the infra[2] is an example of how it looks.

[1] github.com/outline/outline
[2] https://docs.getoutline.com/s/hosting/doc/requirements-ULdYn...
You might consider looking into one of those UPS mailboxes or something similar. They have normal-looking addresses unlike PO boxes.

As an aside, your terms pages both don't allow selecting text, which feels odd and is quite annoying. (I frequently select text as I'm reading it to help keep my place. It's also just annoying when pages block selecting text in the first place.)

You also can't print either of them beyond the first page due to how the pages are structured.

Apart from the legal pages, you filters on home type are currently too broad, IMO. (In particular multi-family homes should be a category -- I personally would be hard-pressed to consider a duplex as it's important to my that I don't share walls with people.) If you're modeling off of Zillow's tools, make sure to note that Zillow's filters change quite a bit when you indicate you're looking to buy rather than rent. (In rental view it doesn't disambiguate house vs duplex but in buy view it does.)

In general the filters are lacking (lot size is another big one) but I imagine that can wait.

A proper gallery view of all the images of the house that I can scroll through would be important to me. Clicking through images one by one is quite annoying.

Rambling aside, best of luck with PropBox! Seems like a tough business to get going but I've always though something like this should exist.
See https://ghuntley.com/death
Outline – the best self hosted alternative to Notion
Not on chrome. You have to zoom and scroll sideways constantly.
Yes trt is the primary treatment for hypogonadism and the subject of these comments. If your over 40, sit in front of a computer all day for work and live in a city. i highly recommend getting your testosterone levels checked or better yet getting a full panel including vitamin d, hormones, etc.
> Yes,that is my home address we all work remotely.

Consider getting a virtual office (e.g. regus) for mail. You don't wnat random people rocking up at your door, and you don't want to have to change every address if you ever move.
1. Keep teams small. Down to the smallest you can. E.g. 2 devs on a project, one is more front-end-y, the other is more db-y, but both can fix code top to bottom. If a lot of sync up are necessary with stakeholders, add a third person for that, a doco guru.

I've had this period where I worked with another contractor and we just blended in like one. We spoke twice a week and we got so much done because we both knew what needed to be done and got the ability to do it.

The key is that *the sum of the people should be worth more than the individual output of each*. The larger the team, the harder this is to achieve.

2. This classic from xkcd really makes a difference https://xkcd.com/1205/ - Automate, eliminate, speed up. The sum adds up to massive savings.

3. Minimise cross-teams interruption. No sync up between teams, or having repeat meetings about the same thing; have clear meeting agendas. Divide the work in asynchronous output. For this you need good documentation and standards. Don't let other teams set your standards.

4. Have clear priorities. I've seen teams waste huge amount of time because priorities weren't clear. Flat-orgs are a thing, sure, but you better be able to justify how you spend your time. Consider every hour as a billable, not as a lifestyle.

5. Let people do their job. Because they're quiet doesn't mean they're not working. You might not be busy but they might be. Treat silence as deep work, not stillness.

Many personal hours are wasted because we're waiting on other people. Many team hours are wasted because priorities aren't clear or not well allocated. Finally, we're all slaves to slow systems, builds, deploys: be ruthless about those.

These are the main culprit of waste (imho!).
Are you suggesting that enough redditors moved to HN to change the tilt?
Thanks for your comments and suggestion I'm happy you like it. Never give up.
May vary by country, but we added both of our adult children on our safe deposit box. They should have full access regardless.
Is it possible to see the website without any image from the posts ?
Fun trivia of the day: MS-DOS 1 through 7.0 only reached EOL in 2001, and MS-DOS 7.1 and 8 which were shipped with Windows 9x only reached EOL in 2006.

If we consider the start year to be 1981, the year MS-DOS 1 came out, that is twenty years of official, commercial support, if we count 7.1 and 8 that's twenty five years.

If you need software you can count on to still be there a few decades down the line, if not more de facto, count on Microsoft to deliver.
I'll be making poop part of the CI development process starting Monday.
Classically, Slashdot moderation:

1. Applied only to comments. Stories are selected by (paid staff) editors.

2. Was enacted by a subset of members, who would rotate through the active moderation pool.

3. Each moderator could only moderate a small number of comments, after which they dropped out of the rotation.

4. Each comment could be moderated only within a specific range, I believe -1 to +5. Each moderator's vote moved the comment by one unit up or down. Negative-voted comments were hidden or collapsed.

The second and third aspects were highly effective against moderation brigades or collaboration. It was unlikely that any one group would receive and be able to coordinate moderation activities at any one time, whether to promote or bury comments. The limits may have been too extreme, but the effect was useful.

The fourth aspect meant that a given comment wouldn't converge on some ultimate value (say, as with a five-star rating system, with all the issues involved there), but rather each moderation action shifted score by a full point. The result was ... a fairly uneven ultimate rating of content. Yes, really bad stuff tended to get buried, and really good stuff ... might ... make it to the top of the page. But an awful lot of mediocre-to-good content just sort of languished in the middle. Reading large comment pages felt ... kind of bleh.

(Mind: HN's comments threads can often feel the same way, though they seem somewhat less prone to this.)

I've long felt that averaging weighted ratings of content, on a 3- or 5-point scale, would be better. A comment could approach but not attain a perfect score (3 or 5), and the overall moderation could be "fuzzed" by the uncertainty given the number of votes and points assigned.

(One problem / annoyance of voting systems is the false certainty of perfection in rating items. Reddit adopted fuzzing to address this, though somewhat poorly in my view. Using a voted range + random fuzz factor might do better at placing items at various levels within a displayed ranking, achieving a more fair final result.)

Though I've also come to feel that crowdsourced moderation has its own tremendous limitations. The assessments of a thousand laypeople really shouldn't outweigh that of a domain expert (acting in a well-justified and good-faith manner, of course). And many moderation systems really don't seem to have given deep thought to what they are trying to measure. Something I've written about at length: <https://web.archive.org/web/20200629055317/https://www.reddi...>
Futures and options were born from commercial needs.

Suppose you produce oranges. It'll take a few months for the harvest, and while costs are generally well understood and stable, at what price will you sell those oranges? What if by then the price of oranges tanks and you find out you're not turning a profit? This is where futures come in. The producer can sell a number of futures contract to lock in a future selling price, making cash flows much clearer and predictable.

Conversely, there's the case of a factory that needs to buy oranges for its products. They have the opposite problem and would like to make costs more predictable. Then they'd buy futures to lock in a future buying price.
How did your business fail?
I don't think it is a suicide but a pivot into a new phase of their business. A phase that is focused more on mainstream content, increased monetisation etc. The rushed API change and poor communication appeared to be incompetent but possibly they are happy to endure some negative publicity and subscriber loss to restructure the business around promoting products to granny while she looks at reposts of cat pics.

I don't think I will be returning to reddit. Just deleted a decade and thousands of comments. There are clearly many other ways to build online communities and I think a lot of people are more motivated than ever to develop those alternatives now. Eventually one of those alternatives will possibly kill reddit but I don't think the current exodus and subreddit protests will.
> The only reason open-source LLMs have a heartbeat is they’re standing on Meta’s weights.

Not necessarily.

RWKV, for example, is a different architecture that wasn't based on Facebook's weights whatsoever. I don't know where BlinkDL (the author) got the training data, but they seem to have done everything mostly independently otherwise.

https://github.com/BlinkDL/RWKV-LM

disclaimer: I've been doing a lot of work lately on an implementation of CPU inference for this model, so I'm obviously somewhat biased since this is the model I have the most experience in.
Culture. Gun violence is a function of gun ownership, gun culture, and overall culture.

Nobody who has visited both Switzerland and the US can fail to notice the huge cultural differences, and how they relate to interpersonal violence. In the United States, hyperaggressive encounters between individuals (mostly not involving guns) happen at a rate that would be unimaginable in most European countries.

I'm aware that there are other factors at play (such as most Swiss gunowners having military training, open carry being generally prohibited etc.), but the way people deal with each other is so starkly different that I strongly suspect it to be the main cause.
I don't like that the term "hacking" has become so tightly associated with the act of system penetration. Breaking passwords and finding weaknesses in a network seems like exciting stuff when it is glamourized by Hollywood but the activity itself is actually pretty dull and time-consuming, not to mention possibly criminal. For my part, I'm not terribly excited by the prospect of spending months or years learning how to solve puzzles.

When we talk about doing extraordinary things with computers, why does the conversation have to be about the people who break stuff instead of the people who make stuff?
I read his book, "the creative act" and he comes off pretty arrogant. One of the chapters actually opens with him saying, "I AM art" and how fortunate the reader was that he took time to impart his creative knowledge into a book.

He's a talented artist and producer, no doubt, but the book was very pompous about his creative philosophy and felt like he'd just been surrounded by yes-men and believing his own hype for the past 20 years. He considers himself a modern Zen master/ Jedi of the new millennium and writes his own koans, lots of name-dropping about his model wife and their rich neighbors in Malibu, writing his own fortune cookie phrases etc.

Also the book didn't have much actionable advice on how to actually use creativity in your own life, it was more about how awesome Rick Ruben thinks he is.

All in all I can't recommend.
Stocks in India surge to record as foreigners boost purchases
Are heatguns and solvents not "commercially available tools"?