skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
I think you should take into consideration the fact that AI researchers spend much more time analysing errors and studying failure modes, hypothesising about causes, because that is their f job. They might come out as pessimists because of it, but that's only because of so many times they got confirmation before. Laypeople spend a few hours playing with the models and think they already understood their limitations.

At the present moment there is no AI model that can successfully execute critical tasks completely autonomously. That is a limitation that is confirmed over all the fields, modalities and applications. Many articles in the press simply ignore it, and extrapolate absurd timelines over the near future. The problem is that solving that last 1% gets exponentially harder.
> Waymo, Cruise and Zoox all have L4 autonomous cars on the road today

Wonder why you can’t buy these L4 cars. No Level 4 cars are commercially available in the US. [1]

What you are describing are pilot programs propped up with a huge, expensive, unprofitable infrastructure of remote monitoring, support vehicles, and backup drivers. Waymo’s technology might be promising, but today these companies are bleeding money.

In contrast, Mercedes is selling retail cars with Level 3 features to consumers and taking responsibility for them.

[1] https://www.autopilotreview.com/self-driving-cars-sae-levels...
> The United Kingdom, the United States and Canada have had exclusively professional armies for 50 years or more.

One idea would be for the EU, instead of individual member states, to stand up a professional army. Then you don't have to force people and it also just might bind European countries more closely together.
A big issue with MH370 is that they turned off the equipment transmitting their location, so the only way to track it was by traditional radar. GPS and satellite internet isn't going to help with that.
> only at speeds of up to 40 miles per hour.

> on Interstate 15

These two things are not compatible.
So leaks about future products isn't a security threat? I think it is. That could definitely affect the stock price. Depending on the leak, it could definitely be more of an impact than a ip or data security breach. What will people do with digitizer firmware source? Other than bad pr, what affects does a data breach of customer records have on a company?
no. and I don't care at all as long as the highest per capita of carbon producing countries keep pushing other parties to lower their carbon footprint while keeping their wasteful lifestyle.
> There are exceptions (NYC, SF, DC), of course.

The metro areas of those three cities contain almost 10 percent of the US population.

(Edit: And the vast majority of transit users!)
I’ve used ChatGPT to generate value scenarios, possible use cases, and descriptions of use for internal white papers. If another colleague were helping with this, I’d credit them in the acknowledgements at minimum. If I had gotten a list from a published paper, I’d credit it — even if I changed it considerably.

I do this for three reasons: (1) giving credit; (2) letting readers find more details so they can better interrogate the paper; and (3) proving transparency of sources generally.

With that in mind, it seems I should credit ChatGPT, especially to meet the second or third reasons. And that crediting should include my prompts and, in an extended session, multiple prompts.

The hard part is the first reason credit. The way it works today, I can’t give credit to the pieces that help build the response I’m using in a very precise way. I’d love to see a better way of doing that.
It feels like this attitude has become pervasive and it is not always good. Sure supporting people is great, but the unfortunate reality is that most new ideas are bad.

Recently I have been trying to find critical views around topics I am researching, especially in the business world. Weird thing is for every 10-20 positive articles I am lucky if I find 1 negative article. These are not math/programmings topics where there is potentially a definitive answer. It's around business processes, where in theory everything should have pros and cons.

I think we have gone through a phase of supporting every idea and not letting alternate views surface. I for one support a dose of cynicism around any hyped up new idea. Only time will tell who is right or wrong. At that point the winning side can gloat.
> because so many experts ... indicating that LLMs ... are on an exponential ... improvement trajectory.

The experts have consistently and grossly overestimated the progress in AI research since 1955. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dartmouth_workshop
Murderer writes story justifying murder, belittles those who will not.
Sounds like you have the rarest of rare problems, being an immortal Google account that just won't die. ;)
> Nobody wants a federated, slow, difficult to use version of reddit

Nobody wants a first party Reddit app with a terrible user interface, algorithmic timelines, and obnoxious advertising.
Reread “surely you must be joking Mr Feynman”, considering the American thought control program was well underway, and messing with people’s minds, particularly prominent peoples.

- discussion of his adventures in the sensory deprivation tank, where he “crashed into” someone else’s experiences

- when going to sleep one night, a mob of others in his head were interacting with him. They offered to let him experience fully aware sleep, which he “tried” then refused as it didn’t seem natural to him (waking dreams is a skill the mind may master).

- talking to a recruiter, it is subtle, yet the recruiter asks the question about voices not because it means your crazy, rather the voices make people paranoid and unstable, and only a crazy fool would reveal this. Feynman mentions hypnagogia. The government did now want the great scientific mind of Feynman enlisting, no matter how enthusiasm for the noble intention.
RVGL – Cross-platform re-write of Re-Volt game
The obvious question to me is are they arming to defend themselves from Russia or from other European nations rearming? Russia struggled against Ukraine so it seems unlikely that they'd fare well against a country with a similar GDP.

Sardonic congratulations to the fine minds at NATO for manoeuvring us towards this outcome. Anyone who feels optimistic as all these armies limber up is beyond an idiot. As a culture we've missed several decades of opportunities to de-fuse this situation.

I hope all this is a short spark that goes away.
Capabilities will keep rising, and so will demand. Wix has replaced every web developer from 1995, but there aren't any web developers left with only a 1995 skillset.
Paradoxically, wealthy people often feel like they have less time, because their opportunities are so much broader than those without less money. So it’s a factor of rising opportunity costs.
Some Russian operatives weared their "Mangust" boots when they were in Ukraine in 2014, so it was easy to spot them just by looking at their boots.
While SF’s Downtown Flounders, The Outer Sunset Neighborhood Is Thriving
This is one of the great books of my life. I've read it several times, first as a college undergraduate in 1968, when the English translation appeared.

https://archive.org/details/LuriaTheMindOfAMnemonist
> That's the anglocentric part: assuming identifiers and display names should be one and the same (like Discord used to do). You don't fix that by allowing crazy stuff in usernames, you fix it by adding a display name field.
I'm sick of this weird HN trend where readers pick out a single sentence only tangentially related to the rest of the article and then try to prove how smart they are by rebutting it.
> I don't have people from New York paying for my fire department in Seattle.

Fire departments receive federal funding through federal taxes that everyone pays, so yes, you do: https://www.fireandemsfund.com/fire-department-funding-where...
I tried for a long time to have a “better” memory but have eventually come to terms than mine is, at least empirically, worse than most, regarding personal experiences. My behavior has changed as a result. As one example, I collect few pictures. The reason is that they can be a source of frustration to see scenes and people you have no recollection of but are apparently part of. e.g., I spent 12 days in London with a friend a number of years ago but have no memory of the trip. The piles of photos of me there are the only clue. And we apparently did a lot of things with others on that trip, but who are they?

This can be even more upsetting to my wife when she’ll be discussing some special event, or something with the kids, and I’m like, “sorry, I don’t have anything to add bc I don’t remember it at all.” Hell, I barely remember our wedding.

The upside is that I’m one of the most “live in the present” people you’ll meet, without a lot of comparison to how things used to be, this is so much worse, etc. And those cringey things, and painful things, … they fade remarkable quickly. After some mortifying foot-in-mouth event I tell myself, “the edge will be off this by tomorrow, and you’ll probably forget it completely by next week”, and things are better!
Total Compromise of Physical Barracuda ESG Appliances
Don’t give Boeing any leeway to excuse this, it wasn’t then innovating and the FAA moving fast:

> “Boeing has agreed to pay $2.5bn (£1.8bn) to settle US criminal charges that it hid information from safety officials about the design of its 737 Max planes. The US Justice Department said the firm chose "profit over candour"”

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-55582496
Credit Theory of Money
This article matches my own life experience: Rather than what have you changed your mind about in the past decade, I use 'in your whole life'. Speaking personally, there are only two big things I've changed my mind about. I'm working on a third... I wish the article had included something in the vein expressed by Charlie Munger, which is a 'how-to' for intellectual integrity.

"I never allow myself to have an opinion on anything that I don't
know the other side's argument better than they do.”
I used to think that. But we are talking about willfully ignorant hatemongers who are at best pretending that the Holocaust didn't happen. At worst they are trying to start another.

That's one of the most well-documented atrocities in human history. The problem is absolutely not a lack of information.
It’s not a hallucination. It’s simply error correction, just like optical disks or ECC RAM are resistant to scrambled bits thanks to redundant, low-entropy coding – the fact that the bits are correlated.
On the positive side, with gender equality the pool of resources is twice as big
That point is inaccurate. I quoted the stats; they are what they are.
European Union is not a sovereign entity that can have its 'own' military.
That's not true. You can't use 0.0042% because then you don't have enough frames to be statistically significant without running for a very long time. It's also true that a frame pacing issue that is so rare that it isn't even impacting the 0.1% frame time isn't going to be noticeable, really.

These benchmarks are controlled for game bugs and architecture by simply averaging over ~40-50 games, on repeatable loops.
It definitely sounds amazing, though I'm surprised with such a convincing demo they decided to delay the release until who knows when.
Yes. AI research has caused some overreactions.

Wall of shame? What?

Why are we being so petty about a very interesting technology, and criticizing people for trying to understand it?

What crime did these people commit?
This is empirically not true.

To pick just a handful of obvious counter examples: Bill Gates was comfortablely upper middle class, Steve Jobs comfortablely middle class, both with solid family lives.
oh brother. your account is 2 months old. God only knows what disgusting filth was spilling out of your mouth to get your other accounts banned. Please keep sending me patronizing lectures about decorum in hn comment sections. You're literally concern trolling bud.
The one with Peter Daszak who was hand picked by the CCP for the investigation and money trail back to the CCP??
With the companies that don't care about security but require their bugware in ring0? With whole-system memory scans, exfiltration and executing code right off network?

I've for a long time kept my gaming PC in physically separate network. While I've relaxed that for practical reasons, can't imagine ever logging into anything I can't trivially burn or recover into a gaming machine.
> It is a historical fact, that german foreign minister Hans-Dietrich Genscher, assured "NATO will not expand to the east".

East in Germany,

Context is important, how could the German foreign minister ever promise anything about any other country?.
Even if you're dodging ~all the regulations which specify the current Black Boxes by adding a separate, independent system (and you'll still face a lot of regulations)...there still are three obvious impediments - (1) development costs, (2) unit costs, and (3) legal liability. Vs. the incredibly-long-odds theory that something might happen, eventually, where your new & better system would be a substantial benefit.

(BTW, my experience is that "the case could be made for X" is a polite way of saying "a valid technical argument could be made in favor of X...but in the bigger picture X is clearly the wrong theory / engineering choice / business decision".)
Pot kettle?
Archived link- https://archive.ph/dOMbU
Vendor selection in tech companies is quite often not done by Twitter poll, but rather based on things like price, contract terms etc.
That's a problem with release day video games being unfinished buggy messes, not something that's going to change with hardware.
Most of Western Europe is unwilling to fight for their country

https://preview.redd.it/of-europeans-who-would-fight-for-the...
LS Script Hub
A Roblox Serverside that offers web based server execution for developers and users for entertainment and debugging. Lets you execute your own code on supported Roblox games.
> The RISC-V port of Debian was driven by internal Debian contributors, not by external actors.

Yes, but my point is, they weren’t doing that work just because they were Debian contributors; they had their own additional reason for doing it. They were not assigned the work by Debian central command. Therefore, asking Debian why Debian does not do some work or other is usually the wrong way to get something done.
> On the consumer side, open source is inherently for enthusiasts

Consumers care about whether software works for their needs, they don't care whether it's proprietary or open source. And often there's also the factor of price.

The problem with FOSS is that too few developers have the willingness to ask for money directly, like selling binaries instead of sponsorships/donations which have terrible conversion rates. https://piero.dev/2023/02/foss-funding-chapter-2-binaries/

Other monetization methods proposed in the article just don't scale, aside from the running a SaaS business which is 100% a great way to fund work.
CIA is a joke. This stuff isn’t done by 9 to 5’ers.

Thought control is a full on secret society among us. They influence the government as the voices in the backs of their minds.
Today's AI Is Unreasonable
Probably not the angle you were looking for, but because like marketing, propaganda works.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Illusory_truth_effect

If you observe people arguing about conspiracy theories, you may notice a pattern whereby it isn't only the conspiracy theorists that have the same rehashed talking points and thinking styles among them in the argument.
> Aside from ruining intimate, family, professional, and casual relationships by trivially quoting and correcting hypocrisy verbatim, and having an encyclopedia of cringe that keeps me from sleeping in peace and being a wreck when I get to address a crowd or do anything else that can make me the center of attention

The thing that helped me cope and move on with my life was realizing that nobody lives in the past like this with me. They forget and move on, but I'm the only one keeping that little bubble of reality alive inside of me. It's like being the last player in a video game dungeon -- when you exit the game, the dungeon despawns.

It turns out our day-to-day realities with other people are extremely mutable. The vast majority of humanity does not cling to an excruciatingly objective past reality, it's much fuzzier for them. In a way, you can sort of just pretend you belong and join them in that weird fuzzy changeable world they live in. The rules are made up, and the points don't matter, to quote from the popular American/British gameshow "Whose Line is it Anyway?".
Unlike Elm, does Gren allow community packages hosted outside of Microsoft GitHub or is that same lock-in retained?
Stats say nothing of relative severity, why do you think they’re relevant in any way?

Edit: is your argument seriously “uhm actually, event X happens 0.054% of the time, so when you said {more rare version of X} doesn’t happen you’re wrong”
Ok fair, compared to other dynamically typed languages Elixir’s static analysis is better, by virtue of existing at all :-) Something is better than nothing, but getting “function has no local return” when you make a particular kind of typo three modules down the stack is a long way from eg Java or TypeScript just telling you about the typo, instantly, right where you made it. That’s the norm IMO and that’s what I was referring to.

I’m excited to hear that Elixir may be getting a bit closer to that, and I agree with your observation that because typical Elixir code uses dynamic dispatch very little, there’s a lot of room for improvement in ways that eg Ruby will never be able to offer.

I’m sorry about the “terribly, laughably” bit of my comment.
What's the source of this data?
> Both redesigning cities and building transport is a multi year programme.

So for the existing housing stock, we'll just evict people from the low-density ex/suburbs, bulldoze entire neighbourhoods, and rebuild them at higher density?

I'm all for building new in a better way, but there's a lot of legacy out there.
Are you also considering all the negatives of the boom?

* Mass surveillance of populations

* Social media addiction

* Mass scale disinformation campaigns

* Scammers at scale

* Unbelievable and unparalleled wealth inequality with few tech companies having more money than most people on earth,

* A highly centralized web

* Child porn and abuse at scale

Personally I think that yes, people are laughing at the boom and the irony of the internet, because all the promises made to overwhelmingly improve our lives seem to be met with some pretty fucked up, highly unexpected and quite serious negatives.

The boom seems to be benefiting the few rather than the many.
> European Union is not a sovereign entity that can have its 'own' military.

From a cursory read, it doesn't seem like that stands in the way: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_army
My opinion, Scala is a clusterfak for luck of a better term. It was insufferable when i was learning it, so many features, so many ways to write something, some obscure syntax too.

Avoid it, Java is pretty OK I'd say.
How exactly does it show that?
That’s true, but there has been discussions about it for at least twenty years. Will it ever materialize? Dunno.
You can traverse NAT with PCP/NAT-PMP. Libdatachannel doesn’t support it, but I don’t see why it shouldn’t in the future!

——

Yes <100ms is hard, I don’t think most users are looking for that. 400-600ms is what people can expect and I always see that!

—-

You don’t need to negotiate again with NICER
Love this comment… I’m commenting the be able to find it more easily later :)
One of the biggest beliefs I keep struggling with is the need to be perfect. I've been jamming away for many many weekends on a side project that literally was done. I just kept adding tiny tweaks left and right, until I literally just now launched it (https://amee.la).

Nothing ground breaking, and in the end nothing that needed to have so much perfectionism around.

The belief of having to need something perfect is one of the strongest I see among founders here on HN and elsewhere. It's almost always bad. I have zero examples where that ended up being good. Yet, even though the facts are clear, it's extremely hard to overcome.
I work with a few people that you may be referring to and have friends like that too. I use the pronouns that they request. Why? Because I'm not a jerk.

Sure, if I wanted to make a stink, I could. Do I have my own opinions? Yeah, of course.

But making a stink is not going to help anyone. Putting my own opinions aside (whatever they may be) and being kind is the only path forward that keeps communication open and honest.

As to your last question, it's all about the $$$. Deflect attention to culture war problems and pick the pockets. That old LBJ quote, but they've figured out how to do it for the progressives as well as the racists.
Heh Heh Heh, now do Python... ;)
he has written and more importantly narrated two brilliant books: the ark before noah, and the first ghosts.

It is critical that you listen to him reading them, because he has a certain infectious enthusiasm for what he is saying.
Why not? What's preventing the EU from making a law that established a European military force?
I'd be surprised if there wasn't very specific language on the consequences of late payments in their mutual contract (whether standard or custom drafted).
I've always thought of those compulsory military training schemes as a little silly.

You have a bunch of unmotivated people that don't want to be there. You have to house them, feed them, train them for what, 3, 6, 12 months? Seems like a lot of money. How long will that training last for? How soon will you need retraining to be even considered marginally useful? Isn't it better to spend that money on professional soldiers?
The common ones such as EAC, BattlEye and VAC don't prevent you from running the corresponding games in a VM.
Setup of a Telegram bot using OpenAI API to reply to user messages, presented as quite raw bullet points.
What happened to dual licenses?

Free for private and non-commercial use. $$ per seat for commercial use.

This can still be completely open source.
> Which might be ok for the surrounding land, but isn't fine for the inhabitants of the city.

Even when the "surrounding land" is a 15-20 minute bicycle ride away, or a hoping on a train to smaller a little farther away (or perhaps have train stations at Nature preserves)?

Or perhaps green spaces like New York's Central Park or Toronto's Leslie Street Spit:

* https://tommythompsonpark.ca/about/

* https://www.google.com/search?as_q=Leslie+Street+Spit&as_st=...

regularly interspersed between housing. Toronto used to have a number of rivers/ravines that got filled in for housing:

* https://www.blogto.com/city/2014/02/5_lost_rivers_that_run_u...

* https://www.lostrivers.ca
European army might be happening in the future, but entity protesting the European army the most will be USA diplomacy. On one hand US armed forces would like for Europe to be self sufficient so they can concentrate on China. On the other hand US diplomacy would lost leverage on Europe + getting another geopolitical competitor (despite being ideologically aligned with USA) isn't something what USA is looking for.
Security by obscurity very obviously works, in the sense that it raises the bar of effort required by potential attackers. You can't rely on it to be your only security, but there's no reason why it wouldn't help.
Any argument that reduces itself to the credibility of people when the technology is freely available for testing and application is flawed.

You can uze the capabilities today, no need to listen to experts.