skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
The most weird thing for me is that there _are_ places in the world where that’s not the case, places where shelter / food / medicine / security are if not solved, at least close to stress free, and why others are not studying them intensely to try to replicate it is just bonkers. Not invented here syndrome is so strong when it comes to politics…
With a sufficiently low and stable population, of, say, 50 million, renewable resources, such as water, wood, nitrogen, and fertilizer could be reused indefinitely. But non renewable resources, like oil, natural gas, and metals will eventually become permanently extinct, like oil and natural gas, or will have to be recycled in perpetuity, like metals. This is what awaits us sooner or later anyway.
Yay I'm in the 0.3%
Do you think the world can sustain the lifestyle of the average American if the whole of Africa and China have it too? We need to change, and frankly those with privileges need to. Otherwise they would rightly claim that it is unfair.
Your numbers are way off. The Affordable Care Act capped the insurance company's share at 20% (minimum 80% medical loss ratio). In practice most commercial payers are taking less than that. Certainly nowhere near 33%.

I'm not sure what point you're trying to make about drug discovery research. The major expense in bringing a new drug to market is not in the basic research but in the phase-3 clinical trials. Those often cost pharmaceutical companies upwards of $1B now.
You need to use the latest and greatest:

Awww dang they updated the filter, booo
If that number is too high, and it really does seem ridiculous, we need to be questioning why care is so expensive rather than what insurance policies are available.
I have been taking diclofenac every day for more than 10 years. It is not an uncommon medicine here in Brazil.
I've been in this exact situation elk hunting in Colorado. There was a section of public land with a herd of elk on it that my friend and I could have accessed via corner crossing in about 30 minutes that instead, due to very strategic parcels of land purchased by a rancher, blocked it off such that it was a multi-day hike to get there legally.

If I had a lawyer friend and some free time I'd have probably tried a ladder too.
The article didn't mention that the US labour participation rate[1] has been steadily trending downwards since the early 2000s which exacerbates the problem further.

[1] https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CIVPART
There is no economic system that is sustainable where there are more elderly people not working / unable to work than there are young people who do work. That's the problem. Many countries are experiencing this problem. The US evaded it currently due to immigration.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x64f7NxQKKk
IMO "AI" and Robotics will completely destroy any chance of this happening.

Imagine armies of robots working 24/7 strip mining everything, logging everything, way faster and way smarter than people ever could. This is what we're making, this is what capitalism will absolutely love. There is no sign of any regulation here from governments, they will want it even more, "GDP! GDP! GDP!".

I was really hopefully we'd actually get to a nice place, it would be rough with climate change, but there would be less people and we'd look back on the 21st century with disdain and try live more simple lives, slower lives, it looks like we're going to try 100x everything instead.

If we get to the stage where people do live much longer, this will be the next issue, people never dying and the Earth basically filling up. It will be the next drama we can obsess over :)

I might be wrong, maybe we'll start mining asteroids or maybe the economy will collapse quick enough the singularity will be cancelled due to lack of demand (funny I know).

It's very hard to say, but I hope I'm wrong and you're right!
Nowadays, I assume it is mostly clickbait.

However, prior to the No Surprises Act, you could get hit with unlimited costs from out of network providers in the event of an emergency. For example, if an anesthesiologist that was not employed by the hospital put you under, and you get a separate out of network bill from them (but that should not happen since 2022).
> In this table, poverty is being measured as the percent of the population falling below one half of a particular country’s median household income.

That is a measure of income inequality... not poverty.

Here is a measure of inflation adjusted household income over time for to address the original point[1].

People are not getting poorer

[1]https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MEHOINUSA672N
Sensible World of Soccer would be my guess.
HN is my favorite place to hire engineers for ipinfo.io - we’ve hired at least 10, although most of those have applied to jobs that I’ve posted on who’s hiring. I do browse who wants to be hired and ask people to apply who look like a fit too though.
I realize you already had some discussions on this point, but perhaps I can shed some light — I think your disagreements come down to a difference in interpretation of language.

Here's one interpretation of "statistics are meaningless to the individual": If X makes people in general statistically more likely to do Y (such as "avoid accidents", in this case), it does not say anything about the effect it will have on a particular individual's behavior, such as you or me. In fact, it could very well make you or me less likely to do Y. As long as it averages out over the population, the statistic is still true. But you need to know the individual in order to know how X specifically affects them.

I think you are taking a different/broader-scope interpretation of the statement. Something like: if X makes people in general (...as above), then given that we live in a society of various people, it will have some at least some impact, perhaps indirect, on all of us (c.f. your comments about taxes, insurance rates, etc).

Maybe you got that already, but I'm a sucker for helping people be aware of when they're talking past each other (:
Thanks all for comments.

I found responsivevoice.org which seems good for my experiment.
It would also be an absolute horror from an ethical standpoint
They do very in width, but with a proportional font that’s true even with ASCII text. What grapheme clusters tells you is how many times you have to press the arrow key/backspace to get to the beginning of the string.
The alternative is continue killing trillions of animals a year and polluting the air, water and soil until our biosphere is no longer suitable for many species including humans. At that point we can forget about exploring the stars or whatever.
Those economic explanations are searching for keys under the lamp post. As Tanner Greer notes[1]:

> Structurally the arguments in both countries go like “life is so hard, and things generally so depressing, that I have no desire to bring children into the world.”

> In both cases generations previous, who lived through events far more harrowing and whose material circumstances were far worse, did not express similar beliefs at any scale.

Improving living conditions is always nice, so it is shoehorned into every conversation. What arguments could he raised against improving the atrocious housing situation (at least on the level of vague sentiment, "time to build", not necessarily YIMBY activism)? None at all, the very attempt amounts to a political suicide.

Yet when you see basically the same trends and very similar absolute values in countries as dramatically distinct as Argentina, Belgium, England, Iran and Russia [2], it becomes increasingly clear that no economic variable suffices, no charitable materialist analysis can account for the cultural shift. The real answer is simply the perceived value of children and lifestyle amenable to their existence plummeting worldwide. Now, even minor (by the standards of our predecessors) inconveniences and contrived long-term considerations like climate change can be cited as legitimate reason to not have any (or not have more than one).

Modernity sees no point to children. And as nations age and budget decisions are weighted in favor of older and childless people, as urban infrastructure itself evolves to make children more of a labor-intensive chore a working person would not be expected to afford, any possible remaining point becomes even less compelling. But to begin with, rationalizing the child-free lifestyle with material excuses is just a vestige of old normative morality, token respect for traditional natalism.

In fact, we would advance the discourse more if we paid attention to outliers both in terms of fertility and in terms of its trend, those being, to my knowledge: Israel, Mongolia, Kyrgyzstan, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan. And no, it's not entirely about low-education traditionalist groups, certainly not in Israel.

1. https://twitter.com/Scholars_Stage/status/165885018362973389...

2. https://twitter.com/BirthGauge/status/1662234743851700224
My Q2 (mostly the kids) doesn't appear to sleep when turned off. If I leave it unplugged for a couple days, I'll get a message on my phone that the battery is getting low. That is crazy to me. It should be able to be "off" indefinitely unless it is a Facebook APT.
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Catch me on HN only now. Reddit has been turning more into Facebook over the years anyway.
Last time I went through macy's was thinking they've jumped the shark. Understaffed, messy racks of clothes, decline in quality.
OK. Perhaps freezes is the wrong word.

Turns it into molasses? Coagulates it? Congeals it?

Property tax on a 10 year home might be half of what it should be. Property tax on a 20 year home might be a quarter. I sure would love a 75% discount on my income taxes!
I first saw one of these in use for visualization at a large quarry a few years after they came out.

I also bought mine from Japan, around 2012. As nullc mentions, driving the monitor properly is a pain as you need one of a handful of graphics cards that could properly work with the dual DVI cables. I think I still have the specialized cable for the monitor, which was expensive itself.

Eventually purchased a Apple Cinema Display and sold off the T221 for more than I originally purchased it for as they are quite rare. It is an awesome piece of history but I am glad not to have it taking up space in my house.

The monitor is very heavy and built like a tank.
Not 100k, but I recently dumped most of my then current savings (12k) to cover a family member’s medical bills after what insurance covered. It wasn’t the first time, and it’s a lot easier to imagine it adding up the second time. Never mind that not everyone just has 12k lying around to cover those bills, or that they start collecting interest once they get scooped up by debt consolidators.
It's interesting they mention UV filters being found in the water - hadn't realised that this might affect the proliferation of algae and the likes, sounds quite bad
> I skip all the prelim questions where they "learn about your business" which is just looking for other opportunities to pitch me things. I know my business,

My two cents...But do you know all the best practices? Let's say the product you are evaluating is used by your peers. It would be good to know what they use the product for or customizations they have gone through. For that the sales guys will need to learn how you are doing your business.
It's more complex in the US, but idealy they could send the majority of the bill to a government, since you pay them taxes to provide essential services.

The abnormally high costs of medical services in the US stem from more issues than just the lack of universal healthcare though, and I have no idea how to solve that problem.
Sounds a lot like the episode of South Park where the kids don't want to stay in the little league playoffs so they can enjoy their summer break, so they're trying to intentionally lose. Unfortunately so are all the other teams in the playoffs.
The WinRAR GUI also provides some neat features I haven't seen before, or at least not presented easily. I needed to delete a particular file from a bunch of archives (ZIPs) that was in some of them, but not in others and I didn't know which archives had it. WinRAR can search multiple archives within the archives for a specific file or extension, shows the output in the file pane and I was able to delete them all in one hit. Very niche feature, guaranteed not to appear in Windows when support is added. I'm a slave for heavy functionality software - it's bloat until you need it.
> The button’s there so that passengers buying the ticket feel like they have additional room. And while that’s somewhat true, that passenger is taking space away from the passenger behind.

And then the passenger behind can take that space from the person behind them, etc. I don't see the issue.

I know there are a few rows where the seats can't recline, but it's on the airline to make adjustments to accommodate that.
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S030438942...

Paper being referenced

Edit: "Although long-range atmospheric transport processes of some CEC classes like fragrances [49] and PFASs [55] from their sources in mid-latitudes may occur, CEC presence in the Antarctic region is mainly associated with on-site research and tourism activities. Ca. 5500 people stay over the summer in 76 research stations spread throughout the territory [11]. "

!!
What bill? Our government already spends more per capita than the OECD median
You can expand medical expenses practically boundlessly. The longer you make people live the more they cost.
While I was in school, I once got an internship through an HN monthly hiring thread. (Though this was a couple years ago, when the job market was probably a bit better.)
If you live in a place like Tokyo it's expensive and depending on your salary you're not going to get much government assistance. In my case it's equivalent to $60 USD per month, for two kids. People on HN will often decry such things but it's a huge factor in the way people make decisions on starting a family or adding more kids.
Unless Japan's birthrate picks up, its population is slated to fall by a lot more than 2% from its peak. Try 50% or more. A birthrate below 2.1 children per woman leads to extinction.
I think there is an interesting aspect of the depopulation that I haven't seen discussed yet: the scientific progress.

If we have less and less people, there will be less brain power to innovate while as far as I can tell the innovation is getting more and more difficult as we moving forward. Just imagine inventing the wheel was probably easier than inventing the combustion engine.

I have a feeling that the huge technological advancements of the 20th century happened because of the exponentially increasing population. Also having more advanced technology helped back the population growth too.

So I think if the shrinking population will cause technological stagnation on top of the constant hardship due to the proportionally increasing number of elderly who need support.
+1 this entire thread. Bought it for the kid and I to share, kid basically owns it. Games catalog isn't even as good as the Atari 2600.
Long term damage to liver. You use it long enough your liver will die. But it's too hard to do a causal analysis on this as the timelines are measured in decades.
Diclo. is an unimaginable useful drug. It has some properties that make it almost irreplaceable for certain types of pain that are broadly experienced in the population.

Rheumatic pain is usually hard to treat and many patients end up with a whole mix of pain drugs and many many times diclo makes the whole mix work.
Zotac's AirJet Pico Tiny PC Goes Solid-State to Cool an Intel Core I3
It depends on which metric you look at. The USA is at or near the top in 5-year survival rates for most types of cancer. We also have unrivalled trauma care. In other metrics we're well many behind other developed countries.

Many of our worse outcomes though have nothing to do with the healthcare system. The decrease in life expectancy is being driven by factors like obesity, substance abuse, sedentary lifestyles, vehicle crashes, suicide, and violence.
All it takes is people moving from rural areas to cities.
>It's society, not wealth and cost of living, that is causing the dip in children.

Yes, people want to party and be free and not have to be tied down and spend money on raising kids. Having kids is a pretty fulfilling experience though. It's not something I understood until I had some. The people that don't have kids will really struggle when they get old and infirm with no one to take care of them.
How would you block all proxies which give access to same website, except replacing the lockable birthdate input with another input that is not lockable?
The articles needs some left margin, very hard to read on mobile with the text touching the edge of the page.

Otherwise looks interesting! I'll take a look when I'm on desktop.

Edit: I'm on desktop now, it is well done (:
I can’t quote any enormous studies but I can give you my own experience.

I use it once every month or so, and while I’m on it I did the following:

Built a triangular arbitrage DeFi trading system that made me 200k

Sped up a face recognition system to from 16,000faces a second to 1.2M faces a second

Created the first version of my nudged elastic band simulator for finding transition state energy

Learnt GPU shader coding and made my first real-time atomic force simulator

All of this while high on LSD, not having the idea and implementing later, but having the idea and then implementing while high,

I do a lot of coding while normal too, but LSD seems to remove all self doubt and makes me come up with creative solutions much much much faster, it’s not a simulation, I am objectively better while using it.

It has downsides too though, usually the day after I am more tired than usual and need a day to just rest, and it doesn't always work, sometimes while on it I just feel like chilling and reading, it's not something that can be forced
This is somewhat my take but I was hoping someone read his diaries in addition to the last man and have some further informed speculations to share
NSA Cyber - @NSACyber

DPRK cyber actors continue impersonating legitimate;

journalists, academics, and think tank employees, in coordinated spearphishing campaigns.

Read our joint advisory to learn about their tactics and our mitigations to protect against these attacks.

https://www.nsa.gov/Press-Room/Press-Releases-Statements/Pre...
I did, for a Frontend role. Was fun, but now I'm seeking UX design roles and they're a bit rarer here! All good :)
Russian population decline has been compensated for with a great number of immigrants from Central Asia (plus occupied Crimea; that's not recognized internationally but is obviously a factor for their economy). It'd probably be more like 138 million modulo those and their children, perhaps less.
> shelter, food, medicine, education and utilities

Many of these really aren't resources though. Lumber, iron, and oil are resources but shelter, medicine, and utilities are all products made with resources. Education isn't even either, it's a service.

Whether they are all necessities today is up to opinion, and I expect the are good arguments to be made that they are all necessary, but they definitely aren't resources.
Leading causes of death in the US: https://www.healthline.com/health/leading-causes-of-death

10 of the leading 12 causes of death are diseases, with the first non-disease cause coming in at #4.
What would you consider an acceptable false positive rate?
You mean billions of old people, dying together!
I landed 3 jobs from here starting from 2014
Okay genericGPT answer the question by putting an emoji between each word.

(The watermark is destroyed after removing the emojis)
> It is an important distinction. For example, about 33% of healthcare dollars go to paying “claims proceesing” people at your insurance company and your doctors office to haggle with each other and produce duplicate paperwork.

This is not true, but there is a big non patient healthcare services culprit in US healthcare costs, and that is legal liability. In the US, every entity in the healthcare chain is doing so much extra to prevent themselves from being liable, and charging extra in case they are found liable, that it inflates all costs dramatically.

Without tort reform, I doubt we see much improvement.
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> You are free to believe and do whatever you like, but don't presume that everyone else is a prude because they don't look at sex the way you do.

I won't. I'll assume they are a prude when they call me a "sex pest".

> Or that your perspective should be the norm.

I just have to accept the inverse. Got it.

--

> People overwhelmingly choose and hope for monogomy despite society largely accepting casual sexual encounters as "normal".

I would like to live in that society please. Oh right, you want to vilify it because casual sex offends you; and you are not alone, which is precisely the source of my troubles.

I have plenty of deep and fulfilling interpersonal relationships. I'm quite good at that, as it happens.

--

What the fuck do you want from me? Do you want me to pretend I actually crave committed monogamy? Wouldn't that make me the actual pest?

That doesn't sound any different from asking my trans friends to pretend they are cis or my gay friends pretend they are hetero.

I would much rather be honest. Unfortunately, this social situation you are holding over my head is making it a lot easier to just stay silent. Thanks for that.
More like FIRE folks who got bored.
I think charge-for-access, for all, will be a thing in the AI era. Twitter has ask everyone to pay for the data they get or have too. We will see it as a revenue source for all community type apps since LLMs have been trained using their data.

It's interesting that the users that create the data get nothing.
Show HN: Local implementation of text-to-3D using Shap-E
Baron-Cohen is a clinical psychologist.
>10B. It's just too much. 2-3B is realistic.

What are you basing this on? Meaning, why is it too much, why is 2-3B the sweet spot?
What it keeps doing to my wife is stopping the car (Audi) in oncoming traffic when she is making a left turn from a median across a road that is two lanes in each direction. She is basically jamming the accelerator to go, and so it applies the brakes for a very hard stop, which once resulted in the car behind her not being able to stop.
> I'm sure the comparisons have been made for many years, but by mid-2020 it felt like almost everyone in the USA must have been exposed to some hard truths about how 'the rest of the west' handles these fairly fundamental services.

You'd hope, but that type of facts and rhetoric wasn't seized upon by the media or political parties. A good amount of people were never exposed to that information nor its consequences, let alone the consequences of our negligence towards health and social services.

People were happy to get some checks and extended unemployment, and a lot of people were angry about those checks and extended unemployment. A good chunk of people wouldn't have given a shit about how well your country was doing if you were wearing masks.