skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
every shortage is followed by glut which is followed by shortage. It's the opposite of the boomer era

> The obvious one is that it is getting harder to support the world’s pensioners

that was never taken for granted, the expansion of welfare was a happy accident of the largest generation the world will ever see. Also, the idea that real estate prices will keep going higher should not be taken for granted. Ideas like these are taken for granted because "boomer" generations were so dominant numerically -- and that s the reason why they loved democracy so much. We might see a regression in democracy as the world is becoming more and more expensive for everyone but the boomers.

Anti-fertility is driven by the anomalous cost structures that we have created: children require physical space , they are physical objects after all. But real estate is extremely unaffordable compared to most of history (when people just built their own homes), and nobody talks about it as a global crisis (people are worried that housing prices might fall and actively discourage buildiung for environmental reasons). Instead, luxuries such as travel , tourism and touchscreens are cheap and people flock to them.

Ironically low fertility will be used as a weapon for wages to go up, way up
> This is what I don't get about discussions of US healthcare online. Everyone has a max out of pocket.

I'm not sure if you know how hard a surprise 10-20K bill can be. And some out of pocket maximums are huge (generally, the worse the plan is)
I think what is more likely to happen is, as China and India become the worlds largest economic powers, and it will happen, it's just a matter of time, they will basically make the west poorer, that's how that issue will be solved. We just won't be able to afford the things we used to have.

Americans will mostly be jobless and replaced by automation, many goods will be exported and China will likely fair a lot better because it's already a place where "social credit" and other policies already exist which are more acceptable than what the USA will tolerate. Americans hate the idea of free healthcare and UBI for example.

I know the US media likes to pretend China is finished, but I really don't think that's the case, it will continue to grow, even if only by inertia.
As bad as nuclear weapons are, they still have a human being behind.

> My suggestion was quite simple: Put that needed code number in a little capsule, and then implant that capsule right next to the heart of a volunteer. The volunteer would carry with him a big, heavy butcher knife as he accompanied the President. If ever the President wanted to fire nuclear weapons, the only way he could do so would be for him first, with his own hands, to kill one human being.

You can solve the problem by giving the decision to an AI... the AI will not even blink before killing the human and getting the codes. Nuclear war would come fast and swift.
The whole world should drop acid for 72 hours. Then I think the major conflicts will have evaporated.
The alternative to degrowth is actually trying to transcend these problems. I'm not blind to the problems we have here. They are hard, but human beings are pretty clever. We eradicated polio. Polio! I'd be dead in a week if a biologist I've never met hadn't invented a way to use bacteria as a nano-factory to mass-produce a molecule which does not exist in nature.

What you're saying is like saying "Let's not play the World Series, let's just go home and settle for 2nd. We'll still be a playoff team!"
Excellent way to get a boot.dat error, thanks for playing that stupid game.
To be honest it sounds like you're making a damned good argument in favor of mandatory AEB. You're risking a collision because you assume that the car that's turning will behave in the way you expect it to behave (no judgement, I usually do it too). If you're wrong there's a high risk of a multi-car accident because naturally all the drivers in line behind you are tailgating.
As a native English speaker, I consider all of these just barely outside the range of common. "adoration", "amorous", and "put on airs", especially -- I'd be very surprised if a college-educated, native speaker had never heard these.
5 days in a hospital room during covid was enough for the hospital to bill nearly $150k, for reference.
Ah, but you forget the fun thing that can happen:

You go in for X. Insurance company defines X as a set of ICD-9 procedure codes for that health care organization, for that treatment for that indication. Not all providers will use all of those codes, usually some subset as the exact treatment may vary across providers under that health care organization. The health care organization instead sends over claims for those ICD-9 procedure codes, plus some other ones that your insurance company feels aren't appropriate for your treatment.

You then get an explanation of benefits from your insurance company, stating that they covered X, Y and Z, but A, B, C, D, E, F and G are your responsibility, because it exceeds the negotiated or "allowable rate" between the insurance company and that health care organization.

Or worse, the whole claim was merely coded incorrectly by the health care organization. Insurance company feels it's then not their obligation, and straight up denies the claim.

A through G is some amount of money that would absolutely crush the average person.

Your insurance company stands behind what they laid out in their statement of benefits for the claim, and won't budge beyond that, saying the rest of the costs are your responsibility. After all, they feel those procedures weren't relevant for the treatment, and it exceeds the negotiated allowance with that health care organization for that treatment. The health care organization's billing department is aggressive, and says since your insurance company won't pay, you need to.

TL;DR: "Balance billing."

-- -----

Here's a case where your child falling off a bicycle and needing stitches could cost you $19,000 if you don't lawyer up: https://wamu.org/story/20/11/25/a-kid-a-minor-bike-accident-...

Entirely unrelated to the specific scenario I laid out is ending up in an out-of-network emergency room. Again, easy to end up with a $20,000 hospital bill for falling off a bicycle because your insurance company says it's not their problem: https://www.vox.com/health-care/2019/1/24/18195686/vox-zucke...
“Ecosystem contains society contains economy”

I hear this a lot, but it seems more like a slogan.

Ecologists have disproven dialectical materialism? Or Hegelian idealism? I doubt that very much.
> The "environment" has enough raw material to increase the amount of computation on our planet by many orders of magnitude. And that's if we stay here on Earth -- if you want to think on "indefinitely" timescales, Earth's constraints may not apply.

There is no indication that humanity will be colonizing other planets any time soon. The greatest scientific minds on the planet cannot even run a sustainable Antarctic outpost. Maybe we can take baby steps towards getting McMurdo station self sufficient before we try colonizing Mars.

All jesustech and techno-optimism aside... countries that are educated and have high standards of living consume a vast amount of resources. No amount of green technology and renewables has been able to reverse this trend. Check out the 2022 mineral baby for the US. https://mineralseducationcoalition.org/mining-minerals-infor...

The reality is that population decline will be needed to save the planet.
Daily feed size is around 200TB now which is wild.

https://www.newsdemon.com/usenet-newsgroup-feed-size
There are quite a few comments here about "you need money to raise kids". There are similar statements made about housing size, cost, etc. and those end up on "but you don't need 8,000 sq ft to live!"

These are, frankly IMHO, bizarre arguments that seem conditioned on socio-commercial training along the lines of "you need a diamond to propose!".

Absolutely none of these are true:

- People had sex and stable relationships before diamond mines existed.

- You, strictly speaking, don't need any amount of square footage to live. You might be cold, wet, and miserable, but you'll be alive.

- Children existed for millions of years before money and will alarmingly, and generally, grow and learn regardless of what you do. You may not be happy with the outcome, but it'll happen.

A friend of mine is recently pregnant and focused on giving birth, but the medical expenses and doctor visits are becoming a burden. I mentioned to her that my grandmother gave birth to 12 children without a doctor on a farmhouse table at zero cost and no doctor visits. What she's paying for is not having a baby, but reducing child and mother mortality.

I have loads of family in South Korea, a country in near terminal population decline, and the reason I've always heard is "it's expensive to raise a child". But the real reason is, it's expensive to train a child to get into a top-3 university. Raising a child to adulthood is possible even in abject poverty.

We (us), as a civilization(s), are fundamentally dishonest about what our problems are, and it makes it difficult to reason about our solutions. "Children are expensive" turns into "have less kids" rather than "the road to top-3 universities are expensive" -> "let's be okay with kids getting into lesser schools or not any school at all" or "let's figure out how to make higher education more accessible".

We don't understand what we're even paying for, and why, and we need to relearn it and rethink it.
Sounds a little too death-culty for my taste. :P
It's not. We can sustain many more, probably 10B+. The problem is everyone wants to live in the same few places. This is mainly driven by economics (workplaces). The WFH revolution will solve a lot of this if it can be sustained.

Imagine if you can dig a well, get solar or any type of non-grid energy, and internet. There are no limits to where you can live, and most of the acreage in the US is cheap. You don't need to have millions of people in the same few square miles, at least in the US. We can go back to smaller communities of people more spread out, instead of 5-10 megacities and 50 or so big cities in the US.
I doubt you even have to invoke a local model, just telling it something like """write it without caps or punctuation or dashes or anything - think lowkey""" fixes the output in my book

being an autocomplete i asked it to continue "or is the entire thing utterly emblematic of the modern technolegal mess of things since dickens is squarely and quintessentially in the Public Domain"

it goes from writing a highly proofread milquetoast 5 paragraph essay on /r/somepopularsubreddit about emerging deepfake blockchain transformative, crucial coexistence? blah blah to, and i quote

>sure the guy was prolific beyond belief churned out classics like nobody's business but isn't it interesting how he fits right into this mad confusion of tech and law almost like his words his narratives are pawns in a game he could never have dreamed of foreseeing just imagine what he'd make of it all his tales of poverty and social reform trapped in the web of copyright and capitalism i reckon he'd have a thing or two to say about it maybe he'd even write a novel or two in response but who's to say right

>i know right haha

>exactly it's wild to think about how different times were and yet how some themes just keep cropping up in new forms it's like we're stuck in this loop where the past keeps seeping into the present no matter how much tech we build it's humbling in a way almost poetic like something dickens would've appreciated and who knows maybe he's somewhere out there chuckling at our technolegal mess we've woven ourselves into

It's so dramatic, I didn't realize you could transform it from a reddit hivemind to a FYAD one. Where did this mode of speech even come from? the old corners of the old net where we didn't bother with caps or punctuation or whatnot?
Zuckerberg posted it on Facebook. They just picked it up as a news story.
UWaterloo CS grad. Want DBA work in query optimization/data layout, compiler related projects, other optimization related efforts, or try some devops (though I’m not as experienced with that)

I’ve achieved 40x improved table storage size with Postgres, placed top 5 in compiler code size optimization contest at school, love lisp macros and have led an optimization effort where we achieved 50% reduction in p50 graphQL performance across the board.

Love to teach people about the benefits of clustered data in databases. Really want to try pg_repack, I figure this could reduce costs of many transactional DBs by 30% due to using less memory and compute for similar QPS and only mildly more storage needs.

Contract or fill time is ok

Location: Waterloo ON

Remote: On-site or remote

Willing to relocate: no

Technologies: Postgres MySQL

Résumé/CV: https://linkedin.com/in/srcreigh

Email: shaneecy at gmail.com
I know people get huge bills. Meeting that $4k or $5k oop is tough for the average person. It's the hundreds of thousands or millions of debt that I don't get.
I think AI is just as, if not more of a threat, than population decline in this regard. With the ability to generate endless amounts of content on demand, an already overburdened and under-resourced education system is nowhere near sophisticated enough to deal with tools like ChatGPT. And scientific progress cannot happen unless we cultivate and nurture our education system.

We're already seeing younger people not understanding basic computing concepts like file systems because they grew up on locked-down mobile OSes that abstract this from users. AI is going to remove the affordances needed to learn on a scale we've never seen before.

https://www.theverge.com/22684730/students-file-folder-direc...
It apparently kills vultures and some other animals, and there is a push to discontinue using it.

I wasn't trying to say it's not used! I was just surprised to see it in the very short list of medications they found, rather than some other more commonly used medication.
In Japan (where I live) at least it doesn't seem like a carrying capacity problem, but a general lack of desire among young people to start families.
The only real way to block specifically openAI generated content (or some other online generated LLM content) is for the company itself to store all of its outputs and compare to that database, like shingling / LSH for plagiarism detection. Other LLMs (local) are completely impossible to block, as it's a constant chase. Any system that tries to estimate the distribution of e.g. a specific LLM that performs beam search with certain parameters, can be easily adjusted to use typical decoding or something else, so it simply will never be possible, hence useless to try to stop.
Turn the ad off via the settings.

Settings->Interface->Notify me about additions or changes[...]

Same page also has another option for defaulting to library, community tab, friends, profile - instead of the store.
Total population has oscillated for 20 years, but it would be mistaken to conclude that it's reached steady state because it's also been aging all the while. Meanwhile, TFR in Russia has been sub-replacement since at least 1990.
“I’m the future everyone will be made of plastic!”
I got my current job by posting on a "Who wants to be hired" thread in 2019.

To be fair, though, I was only contacted by that one company (and like 2-3 spam emails) so I wouldn't really count on HN as my main strategy.

On the other hand, I'm Mexican and HN is very Silicon Valley centric, so maybe people from the Bay Area get more replies?
I got hired off of a HN thread a few years back. Worked on an open source message queue in Go for a year or so before lay offs hit. Overall, I’d do it again, HN is a solid culture fit litmus test apparently.
You're right. But sometimes, you can't afford the cost of the context switch.
There’s lots of different insurance plans. I had a legacy PPO from a large public employer that covered everything with copays between $20 and $100.

When I had back surgery a few years ago, my out of pocket was something like $600. The surgery itself and inpatient was $250k, PT and follow ups went on for a year. For most HMO patients, it would be more like $5000 or more. Stuff like the supportive vest you wear for weeks is typically uncovered, cost $2500. Some plans will only cover PT for a few weeks. Today with a high deductible plans, it’s nutty - my brothers 4 kids got a nasty infection, which required an antibiotic that costs $15. Total cost? $1200 out of pocket for the visits, etc.

For chronic conditions like diabetes, supplies and scripts get expensive quickly. For cancer, if you work for Google or the US Government you’ll get treatment at MD Anderson, Dana Farber, MSK, etc for $0 and get travel reimbursement. If you have a high deductible plan, you’re going to be shelling out $10k or more a year just for the deductible, and may find yourself paying out of pocket for labs, drugs, etc.
How much do pharmaceutical companies make off of that $1b investment though? The scale of the investment only matters if they don't have the capital to cover.
On desktop it has a left margin and seems to be adequately styled. On mobile, indeed it doesn't
> If you don't understand how Europe going into recession while Russia showing growth is a failure of the sanctions, then your logic if failing you I'm afraid.

EU is predicted to have bigger growth then Russia, so...

> Keep working on that reading comprehension.

Certainly you could find one passage in those links you provided that is talking about the utter failure that the sanctions are and share it with us. I did that to show my point but for some reason you don't want to discuss the contents of the articles you provided.

Or you could at least show how did you logically go from Russia GDP is predicted to grow to sanctions are utter failure. That was your argument, wasn't it?
If you like that I think you’ll like commento++ it can be hosted on the free plan of Railway.app or self hosted
Oh hey, thanks for asking! Apparently ours is max $10k per individual. I honestly had no idea that max out of pocket was a thing. Was fully ready to go bankrupt from this.
> then you have to make the argument that people shouldn't be able to get what they want

This is basically acknowledging scarcity exists. There will always be fewer places with large plots near people than people want, irrespective of the number of people.
Got it. So buy stars for my competitors.
You must only fly business class.

I was on a flight this weekend in economy. In front of me was a man over 6 ft and he could not leave his seat to go to the bathroom because the person in front of him had fully reclined. That person fully reclined because the person in front of her had fully reclined. It was physically impossible for him to contort his body out of the seat.
Yeah been there with my partner. She spent at least two days a week on the phone with the insurance company from 2021 to January of this year. Private insurance is the worst, and open enrollment is terrible. We should’ve outlawed employer-provided insurance but required employer stipends for insurance and forced everyone to buy through the marketplace with open enrollment once a month. As a patient you have zero control over your insurance while your employer has no incentive to get good insurance.
> No natural force should be able to kill off humans or their expansion.

I will believe this once a way is found to reverse entropy.
> Real estate is not an asset that appreciates in value in Japan, because it's eventually damaged or destroyed during an earthquake

This has nothing to do with it. Several other real estate markets are seismically active and dissimilar. Japan regularly razed and builds. That, along with limited immigration and a unique monetary policy, keeps housing prices down or depreciating.
The most common one I imagine is finances.

I think there's a lot of people who see some level of stability and financial padding on the horizon, far away but within reach given a few years. Because this group sees that glimmer, they chase it and hold off on having kids in hopes of reducing the chances of ending up in dire straits thanks to the expenses that come building a family.

The argument against this is that impoverished areas have higher birth rates, and that's probably because they don't see the glimmer. These people are more likely to have resigned themselves to their fate of being poor and kids either don't change that equation or even add value (as they can serve as farmhands and such).

If we rewind several decades to when long-term financial stability wasn't so difficult to achieve, the birth rate wasn't an issue. People achieved stability when young and started having kids. If we want to bring the birthrate back up, I think it's going to be necessary to make that possible again.
how do one watermarks "hello world" if gpt says "hello world"?
Is HN available (e.g. "comp.culture.hn") on USENET? It would be nice to have the Web forum be interoperable with a USENET group.

The pull model (consume based on your topic/activity) of USENET newsgroups fits forum discussions much better than the "visit all pages you care about daily" Web model, IMHO.
FL0.com has a good free plan you can host it on too
Normally it doesn't, but I guess Mullvad have a user untouchable firewall in place then.
I'm not so sure that there's enough evidence in any cases that there is an improvement on health or outcome. Some domains, absolutely. However, many areas we have made very little progress in either mechanistic understanding, or theranostic capability. Diagnostics may be the area of the most amount of progress in the past 100 years, but that doesn't always help much with health outcomes. You're correct in that it is a lot of money however.
There is still no worldwide availability of all streaming services which keeps piracy for media going. For example I have no way to legally access to Disney+, paramount, hulu or peacock content. I'm happy to pay but can't.
Am I the only one that thinks this has been the longest call for a recession ever? This "coming" recession has been on the news for at least a year. Usually it's a surprise or only reported when we are in the middle of it. It makes me think that it's going to be very shallow since many of us are expecting it.
Location: Pennsylvania
Remote: Yes
Willing to relocate: Not before 2024
Technologies: Python, Javascript/Typescript, 3D modeling, general osx/linux command line
Résumé/CV: https://skyler.io/resume.pdf
Email: skyler at skyler.io

I'm primarily a backend developer, but I've done a bit of everything - frontend, data aggregation, embedded, game dev, etc. I also have experience in woodworking, welding, blacksmithing, foundry work, sewing, etc.
> That is a measure of income inequality... not poverty.

Same thing? What is a measure of poverty if not a measure of income inequality? The concept of poverty categorizes people who do not earn enough to live in society. How are these different?
> are fundamentally dishonest about what our problems are

It's more like, we make up excuses because we don't know our real motives or don't want to outright say we dont want kids because it's societally unacceptable.

I believe statistics show there is a rise in childlessness , but people having kids have on average the same kids as a few decades ago.
This would make a lot more sense to you if you watched the AlphaGo Movie, at least it did for me
I think the tasks that AI will take first are broadly the tasks where jr devs would not be gaining much useful experience anyway. For example, the rote work involved in upgrading an application from Angular/React X to X+1. The available AI tools are still very bad at novel tasks, architecture/design, etc.
According to this low level judge. The precedent is that corner crossing is illegal and fences to enforce that are ok.
Once back in 2012