skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
> It's not clear at all that we have an avenue to super intelligence

AI already beats the average human on pretty much any task people have put time into, often by a very wide margin and we are still seeing exponential progress that even the experts can't really explain, but yes, it is possible this is a local maximum and the curve will become much flatter again.

But the absence of any visible fundamental limit on further progress (or can you name one?) coupled with the fact that we have yet barely begun to feel the consequences of the tech we already have (assuming zero breakthroughs from now on) makes we extremely wary to conclude that there is no significant danger and we have nothing to worry about.

Let's set aside the if and when of a super intelligence explosion for now. We are ourselves an existence proof of some lower bound of intelligence, that if amplified by what computers can already do (like perform many of the things we used to take intellectual pride in much better, and many orders of magnitude faster with almost infinitely better replication and coordination ability) seems already plenty dangerous and scary to me.

> The scary doomsday scenarios aren't possible without an AI that's capable of both strategic thinking and long term planning. Those two things also happen to be the biggest limitations of our most powerful language models. We simply don't know how to build a system like that.

Why do you think AI models will be unable to plan or strategize? Last I checked languages models weren't trained or developed to beat humans in strategic decision making, but humans already aren't doing too hot right now in games of adversarial strategy against AIs developed for that domain.
Launch School – An Online School for Software Engineers
I'm guessing that the Onedrive and FIFA examples can be put down to metrics driving -

Onedrive: to onboard more new users ie. increase potential inflows you make the UI simpler on landing. Thus the rest of the essential functionality has to be hidden away.
FIFA: every time a lootbox is opened the player gets a dopamine hit, so make sure they get lots of hits rather than one.

I don't agree with the metric gaming going on here as if everyone does this, you rapidly tire your users to the point of jadedness. It's as-per evolution, an arms race on both user's and UXers sides, and one of the darker sides of capitalism. Should we roll out the obligatory https://xkcd.com/927/ ie. have a single unifying UX/OpenAPI standard across platforms, in order to combat this?

Unfortunately OSes don't really expose an OS-wide event stream to hook UX into, which is another alternative. So... I guess fix the functionality first, then UX?
You added the paragraph about regulation after I had written my comment to your initial post, so I was really only talking about what I initially quoted. The question about regulation is complex and something I personally have yet to make up my mind about.
Based on what? This sounds like you just pulling numbers out of the air, in which case 1% vs. 6.5% means comparatively nothing. And what makes you so sure that if China invades Taiwan they would definitely do it by 2033, and there's a 0% chance it'd happen in 2034?

I'm not trying to be [overly] pedantic but HN is littered with comments basically just making shit up in a language of confidence and precision.
What is your point. Your eyes have no way of detecting the origin of light. When using VR there is no way for your eyes to know that the screen is that close.
> It's idiotic to call it "racist", it's a shitty classifier, and it's incredibly irresponsible (and probably racist) as well as dismissive of actual racism to pretend that's racist.

It might be useful to understand why it's offensive... Likening black people to apes/gorillas/monkeys is a racist trope with a long history. It's part of casting black people as less than human, which has been used to justify their enslavement and denial of human rights.

I think it's very likely the classifier was not constructed to be racist, but once you see that it is producing racist tropes, it is racist to continue to let it do so.
These are dangerous grounds to discuss, but I don't think it's racist (colloquially) at all. If gorillas were like yetis and covered in white fur and it started labeling anglos as gorillas, it's not racist either. Racism (colloquially) comes from bad people's intentions. Who would've thought that a creature that is very similar to us humans and has a color that matches some humans would accidentally classify something poorly.

What would be racist from this outcome is if it kept doing this and no one did anything. Clearly it hurts people's feelings and that is a very valid issue. Googles option to just nuke it is a great start until they can hammer out the kinks.
> Having standardized design and widgets across all UIs makes it harder for a consumer to remember your brand.

Not automatically. Only if you neglect all of the myriad other ways to make your application stand out. Standardized controls and layout do not have to mean that all applications look the same.
I was hoping it was a new game in the Factorio / Satisfactory genre :-)
I'm simply answering the question of how it is racist, not currently trying to tackle the appropriateness of fixing the racism or the technical hurdles involved in that. It's outside my expertise and not particularly relevant to the comment I was responding to.
Show HN: Neverball in the browser
Neverball is a rolling ball game in the vein of Super Monkey Ball. I ported it to the browser via Emscripten with some tweaks to integrate well with the browser. It feels solid on desktop and mobile, to me. That said, I'm just one guy. A question to HN readers: your impressions on what's good, what's bad and what's missing?
That's what the "AI pause" proposed. But the main thing is: they could shut down their current technology themselves, so what they are arguing for must be regulation of future technology. I think this has been pretty clear in the congressional hearings for instance.
Wow, what a great piece, thanks!
feel free to not respond, but... what happened to you?
I'm literally just waking up right now and typing this from bed (ignore what that says about me as a person) so cut me some slack if this makes no sense and I reserve the right to come back and "clarify" what I was saying but: if Chromes see a Sectigo certificate for (say) Facebook.com with no SCTs, Google is going to notice.
"Seperation of concerns, not technology" is the line often brought up in React circles.
Understanding JSONata
Gimp still does that, it's rather useful if you want to play around with images without a loader.
SelfControl for Mac is ridiculously effective. I just leave my mobile phone in another room. TOTP can work with a password manager. I can walk to another room to log into my bank account as needed.
As a person who paid for Google's "Gold" support. They are less than useless.

Don't go into these accounts at all. Not even to try and help/contact them. Laws about this are very vague and no one within the ORG would want to admit that they made a mistake by adding you.
Do you have a slightly more concrete example?

What sort of resolution is the external display, and do you have (just one would be fine) example of an app that messes up?

It's going to be the only way to fix this.
Yes this is the option striking the best balance of function and security which I have been using for over three years. I have tried other custom operating systems and debloated carrier provided devices, but Graphene tops all the options IMO.

The baseband could be exploited for targeted surveillance. First they would need to identify your device. If your device is anonymous and you carefully use your SIM for data only, identification is difficult.

Brave and patient folks are working on Linux handsets such as Librem and Pinephone that have fewer attack vectors. I hope to switch to one of those when my Pixel stops receiving updates.
Translation into products requires a study of humans that most companies are ill-equipped to apply. For example, the Oculus/Meta Quest 2 headset only has 3 "IPD" settings, and the face plate was designed to fit a somewhat particular skeletal structure.

Notably, while it fits comfortably on my Western friends' faces, none of my East Asian friends or family, including any women, found it bearable (too tight on forehead, tilted downward, light leaking from around nose) or were able to focus it cleanly and assumed "VR was not for them".

However, a Japanese headset, often reviewed in English as being too small or uncomfortable, fit me perfectly, and the optics were clearer despite having lower technical specs. How illuminating!

I do wish that companies that designed wearables would either disclose the dimensions of their testers or provide what dimensions matter. I'm larger than 50% of the people on the planet, and I fall within a standard deviation of the mean in the United States. However, no product designed by a US tech company has ever fit me.

The real answer is probably the same as the Alf Landon election prediction by Literary Digest in 1936. Because they only sent out ballots to addresses of registered car owners and people listed in the relatively new telephone directory, the poll results skewed wealthy, urban, and conservative - class bias in action.

Are tech companies in the US making the same mistake?
The comment you are replying to seems to be pointing out that Ed Sheeran himself, i.e. his own brain, is trained on the past work of Ed Sheeran. That's how I read it anyway.
Leaving the current situation aside, it's an interesting philosophical point. In law you have the concept of "mens rea" https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mens_rea
1.2.x Versions not available anymore on PyPI
A Python package was split into free/pro tiers, and the author deleted previous versions of the "free" library that still contained all functionality.
If magic was unnuancedly bad we'd all be using assembly. Rust-style macros are a tradeoff; you get constrained magic, localized to the spot where you said `!`. Presenting using them at all in Rust as 'controversial', with a Reddit thread that says nothing of the sort, is disingenuous; proper Rust usage is littered with macros (and the presentation of said 'mantra' would be news to any Lisp user).
Metaculus puts the odds much higher - around 3%/year.

https://www.metaculus.com/questions/11480/china-launches-inv...

https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5320/chinese-annexation-...
Two things can be true - AI could someday pose a serious risk, and anything the current group of "Thought Leaders" and politicians come up with will produce a net-negative result.
Benedikt owns the Chemosphere in LA; nice spot.
That's what I don't get. What value is there in such an account? The fear that random persons can watch videos without paying until the owner notices they can't stream because someone else is using the account? Are these accounts held for ransom because the owner doesn't want to lose their watchlist? Can you purchase gift subscriptions using the stored payment method perhaps?

It's a nuisance obviously, but for such a tiny fraction of people, honestly not bad if they notice that they got phished or use a password guessable within a handful of tries.
* Roko’s Basilisk taking notes *
Which other hardware manufacturer has profit margins like these?

https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/TSM/taiwan-semicon...
A few months ago I stumbled upon a bug in a state machine that allowed me to obtain stuff without having to pay for it. It was a weird combination of steps and was kind of hard to explain.

I submitted a ticket to the support team advising them in painstaking detail the steps needed to reproduce this vulnerability. They could also look at my account and see that I got stuff without paying.

A couple days later I got a reply from a support manager that my concern wasn’t valid and there was no bug.

The next week I happened to be at a conference where the company in question was a sponsor. So, I visited their booth and spoke with the VP of Eng. He asked me to forward the ticket to security@. Within 8 hours I got a reply from them saying that they had fixed the bug.

I guess I’m saying that even if Google let you submit a support ticket it might get ignored because they aren’t trained to deal with security reports.
For what it's worth, access to user data is what Manifest v3 tried to fix, albeit with limited success (and thus support).
Mozilla Corporation CEO: Mitchell Baker

Mozilla Foundation Chair: Mitchell Baker
Try Unhook. You can hide all but the video player if you want.

On mobile just use the website.
> When I read this I can't help about stellar pieces of usable software that have been produced by one person.

A possible example of this is C. E. Steuart Dewar's DateBk for Palm, a Personal Information Manager (PIM) software title he published through his company Pimlico Software [1].

The sheer density of the UX/UI (he packed an enormous amount of visual indicators and manipulables into very few pixels, and the pinpoint precision of the stylus helped here) is anathema to current Web and smartphone sensibilities, but it was the closest I have felt to the intertwingle-ness [2] of the Emacs Org mode experience on a smartphone. If you had a "power user" mindset, then the software was productivity hacking catnip.

Still looking for the data storage layout of the Apple Newton, the densely-packed yet layered feature set (progressive disclosure UX) of Pimlico DateBk3, hackability of GNU Emacs Org mode, and an LLM-powered index to organize my personal information in an open, introspectable, future-proofed format.

[1] http://www.pimlicosoftware.com/datebk6.htm

[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Intertwingularity
Ha, yes, I've been saying this since long before React (I don't actually use React). We were never doing "separation of concerns" even in the 2000s/2010s, simply separation of languages.
GNAAN - the G is silent
It makes me a bit sad to hear NVidia is that successful. I'm working with their Jetson SoM product line professionally and was suffering from their bad support on several occasions. I hoped that their bad support would translate into them falling back.
because they make so much money so much more than other companies
Their "own" ideas? Let me remind you that OpenAI released a report purposefully suggesting that GPT4 has relatively high IQ, passes a lot of college-level tests, and solves coding problems. Then it was revealed that there was training data contamination that led to good results in such tests [1], but GPT4 marketing received 10000 more attention than truth anyway. The popular belief is that using LLMs will give you a professional competitive advantage. Also, when we talk about the achievements of LLMs, then we anthropomorphize, but when we talk about their failures, then we don't anthropomorphize, i.e., "AI cannot lie"? Don't you see human biases drive AI hype?

In my opinion, people clearly are confused and misled by marketing and this isn't the first time it's happening. For instance, people were confused for 40+ about global warming, among others due to greenwashing campaigns [2]. Is it ok to mislead in ads? Are we supposed to purposefully take advantage of others by keeping them confused to gain a competitive advantage?

[1] https://twitter.com/cHHillee/status/1635790330854526981
[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_Climate_Coalition
The author believes the reasonableness provision of the fourth amendment would cover that.
I have no desire to engage in one of those 50 levels deep nested arguments, so this is my last message, but you literally said:

> or makes it at all easy to achieve

firejail makes this trivial. You won't be able to steal anything of interest. Making an easy to use sandbox for desktop applications is the main goal of the project. You could have tried it out before arguing against it in what feels like bad faith.

$ firejail bash
-- snip --

$ ls ~/.mozilla
ls: cannot open directory '/home/foo/.mozilla': Permission denied

$ ls ~/.ssh
ls: cannot open directory '/home/foo/.ssh': Permission denied

$ ls -lh passwords.kdbx
-r-------- 1 nobody nobody 0 May 29 14:53 passwords.kdbx

And so on. (The last one is my real password database and it definitely isn't 0 bytes in size.)
Perfect-Privacy allows port forwarding as well. Also multihop (up to 4 I believe).
Yawn. The PR campaign continues. If you haven't noticed, the mainstream (read: industrial) stance on generative AI is decidedly negative and there have been an absolutely unending stream of negative opinion pieces on it. None of them are particularly informative of even factual. Few, if any, are balanced in their perspective addressing the things people are using them for that are strongly positive. If I were to guess I'd say Blackrock execs and/or some NSA think tank decided that it was too disruptive of industrial influence and they want it regulated asap.

For example...
https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-65746524
Naive Bayes gives me a heartwarming feeling, remembering the time when machine learning was simpler and more understandable, before big black boxes no one can tell exactly how did they arrive at a given conclusion dominated the field.
Einstein was not hobbled by having to tell the truth. He was capable of joking, playing a prank, doing it as a favour, doing it as a challenge, as an experiment, exploring the scenario, etc.

> "unless we can understand a technological creation to the extend that we can bring it about, nothing else will."

Where did human intelligence come from? Are you a Creationist? Self-improving AI brings itself about. With the right feedback loops and the right software, the fear is that an AI will grow itself - and no humans and no aliens are needed up front to design it. People are trying to make machines behave like people, like pets, like the world, and emerging out of this is machines which behave more and more like people with every passing year.

> "we should be able to predict when this can happen."

Who says we can't? Ray Kurzweil has been predicting it will happen by around 2030 for years and years.
TSMC is capex heavy. They will see margin compression with higher interest rates, at least in perception - their most over intel is only their ability to efficiently deploy capital.
Well NVIDIA depends entirely on TSMC
Pretty cool website and concept, but unfortunately mostly a delusional pipe dream until we develop fusion-based propulsion that makes orbital travel dirt cheap.

Here's a good summary of why it's mostly pipe dreams at the current tech level:

https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/station/expeditions/exped...
And the simple/obvious/trivialest solution is to write an array literal with 4 millions integers in it, while fighting with Microsoft's link.exe is anything but. Even using rc.exe and loading that data from the resource section is a non-trivial amount of additional work.
Yes, that's what I understood and why I said that maybe the author just doesn't like Ed Sheeran's music.
Alternative proposal: the better their output becomes, the more we have to frown about.
It's not. The self-hosted compiler still uses llvm, and it's still slow because of it.
The cause of the fire was thoroughly investigated and found that the child-rapist doomsday death cult brought lit the fires themselves. You know, as death cults tend to do.

It could totally be possible that 1) death cult did not have death-cult level convictions AND 2) FBI felt like burning a bunch of children alive AND 3) no one has offered good evidence of this

Or it's just a really gnarly situation that did indeed need to be handled by someone and came out to a pretty bad outcome still.

Tanks sound ridiculous until you see they had grenade launchers, grenades, several fully automatic rifles, and 200,000 rounds of ammunition for 136 firearms.
Apple factories in India don’t lower their dependency on TSMC
Easier to change your state than your country. Also your vote is much more effective at a state level as opposed to a federal one.
I gave one to my sister, mom, and tech challenged partner. They love them. The area that required help was coaching them on operational security by picking better apps/networks and maintaining their firewall settings properly.
Most bulky and cheap parts are not worth storing, packaging, and shipping. This is especially true if they are not commonly damaged.

The equation for eBay profits might be:

Profit = Sale Price - payment processing fee - eBay commission - shipping - cost of part - packing materials - labor.

Shipping can cost more than the sale price.

Source: I used to run an eBay business.
And for those that find the Vim approach to most things preferable, Doom Emacs sets up Emacs + Evil-mode in a way that makes Emacs+Vim feel smooth, and doesn't require really any effort on your part. Big recommend.
The plan is to switch to R1C1 under the hood.
Seems well established that the death cult lit the fires themselves as death cults tend to when under pressure. From audio recordings inside the compound:

```
6:01 a.m.: A combat engineering vehicle (CEV) hits the building and sprays bursts of liquified CS gas powder. A Hostage Rescue Team sniper sees green tracer rounds fired at the CEV from the compound. FBI commanders shift to their "compromise plan" and gas the entire building.

6:09 a.m.: Davidians discuss pouring something in a hallway. One asks, "David said pour it, right?" Another says, "David said we have to get the fuel on."

6:19 a.m.: Koresh says, "Nobody comes in, huh?" Someone answers, "Nobody comes in." "Allright. They got some fuel around here?" Koresh asks. Schneider says, "Yeah, everybody."

6:29 a.m.: FBI commanders report that a CEV accidentally cut the Davidians' telephone line.

7:08 a.m.: A man says, "Real quickly you can order the fire, yes."

7:21 a.m.: Amid talk of spreading fuel, a man says, "So, we only light it first when they come in with the tank. ...right as they're coming in?" "Right," someone replies. A voice calls, "We should get more hay in here."

```
Not really sure what a CS degree has to do with quality or engineering. Neither is something covered much by that degree and rarely is there much emphasis put on either in most careers. I can't see how we've established any kind of a bar at this point.
I assume searching for "JSX sucks" would do it. I certainly haven't bookmarked any debates from the past 10 years, lol. Incidentally JSX is the only thing I like about React. I find components are much more flexible and cohesive than partials (Rails was my thing for years and I still have a soft spot for it). But to each their own and I no longer enjoy debating it!
I graduated from a HCI program and the problem I continue to see is we turn to UXR in all situations of indecisiveness and not necessarily when it makes sense. UXR is best applied to situations when you have little room to be wrong. It also matters what you are trying to research, not everything lends itself to being researched. In Silicon Valley these past years, companies could be afford to be wrong all the time, whether it was because of overall usefulness or the fact they could afford to throw developer resources.
This proves my point. Google never had any lead in AI. All they have and will have is PR stunts.