skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Nice. Glad you asked.

From a developer:

“As long as the OS & the HW doesn't crash, the data is safe thanks to the page cache”

This is so strange to me. A database that is non-durable by default. OK…
In a few more years, that mail-order airborne nanotech virus that travels kills everyone in an instant should be available too.
OK, I missed the dropdown at the top. There is not "detailed analysis" for Presidential elections, although I guess you mean that each state is a data point.

All that graph shows is that their "probability" is roughly in the ballpark with huge errors in the middle of the range, which is probably the swing states we care about most.

I'll suggest one concrete case where their probability of a candidate winning a 2-person race has some exact meaning:

*You'll pick a number randomly from 1 to 100. If it's less than or equal to candidate A's "probability" of winning, then you bet $10,000 on A. Otherwise you bet $10,000 on B* (we need to put real skin in the game)

Are you willing to abide by that rule? If not, you don't really believe the probability.
For the individual prediction it's impossible to say, so you reward the people who got it right based on how likely they said it was, and you penalize the people who got it wrong based on how unlikely they said it was. If we apply a proper scoring rule, over time the you score better by giving better calibrated guesses.
If that is the metric you want to go by, users outnumber advertisers by several orders of magnitude, so in this sense, anything that makes online ads easier is optimizing for the few at the expense of the many.
> the qualities you suppress the most—because they make you weird or different from other people. At some point in your life, you were probably shamed for embodying those qualities, so you learned to conceal them.

> But here’s the thing: We notice things because of contrast. Something stands out because it’s different from what surrounds it.

The other thing that happens is that you get so used to your own quirks and traits that they don't seem remarkable whatsoever, like how the fish can't tell it's swimming in water. And then particularly for introverts, if you don't get out and contrast yourself agains the people around you, it's easy to go around life with no concept of what makes you unique.
It is not a number, it is a separate concept, and the current consensus that it is part of the Set of numbers and of a Monoid is just wrong.
How hard would it be to let users tinker with this? Like could I have a set of sliders to go play with (customize) my scoring?

Any chance AI could be used to dedup the stories (like these are identical - only show higher source)?
Kenya is a true bright spot (and really the only one) in the horn of africa region. They have typical internal tensions, but they are a real democracy, I don't think they are interested in civil war given their neighbour's poor examples.

That being said, "Africans from Kenya, for example, that I've talked to, generally blame British imperialism for many of the problems today" is a typical and unimpressive mentality. Tribal conflicts existed way before the British did.

For example, Sudan existed before the British came, and the Arab vs black fights in Sudan is not a British creation. Somalia is mono-ethnic, doesn't stop it from endless wars. Ethiopia was not colonised beyond a short Italian occupation, their current civil war is still the result of ethnic conflicts.

African unity is also a questionable concept. West, Central, East and Southern Africa are four different continents in terms of culture, ethnicities, climate, and size. The only consensus is 'no-changing-borders-by-force', yes, they know that those colonial imposed borders is the only thing keeping africa from falling into a bloodbath free-for-all.

That's why AI is really africa's greatest hope. They have not invested much into white collar knowledge and industries, and AI allows them to leapfrog much of it. It'll be very interesting to see how the african public reacts to AI.
What are you talking about? That paper was released as v1 in March 2023.
Round 2 of the 2023 bank crises might be commercial real estate loans like the 1980s crises. Some downtowns are still 40% vacant. This more a consequence of covid than bad bank behavior.
> Perhaps you don't know how to pick phones

That's part of the problem with Android...
You are correct. Additionally, the size of the bank(s) are not really what matters.

I want to see the scale (sum) of what was actually lost when they went bankrupt, and how much we (the public) have to put up to keep the system from collapsing. Does anyone have an actual visualization of how much we ponied up to keep our banking system from collapsing?

Did the public just provide a reasonable interest rate loan for a few months to a year? Or was it a sweet 0% loan for...ever? The important details are lost in the media reports and it would be nice to get a sense for what really happened.
Surprised it hasn’t been posted yet… but jetpens is worth supporting if you like pens. https://www.jetpens.com/Fountain-Pens/ct/214
First they remove the protocol, then the www subdomain, red lock meant http, now this. Are we going to remove the TLD while we're at it?
It reminds me of Tolkien's "Ainulindalë", in a pleasing way.
Title is a bit redundant;: all religions aim to control humans.
Sorry, it doesn't sound like you have much experience with the topic of needing to not exercise. Can't be much simpler put than that.

It's unfortunate that you've conflated this with what seems to be a passionate relationship with pro-exercise philosophies. Which is really out of scope.

The list of reasons why exercise may not be feasible is a really, really long one. Just because you can't think of it doesn't mean _anybody_ owes you an answer, particularly not when you throw around those accusatory beauty words like "bullshit". Seriously, that's the best you can do here? You are out of your depth and just raging about it, is how that looks.

Focus stealing means you must _always_ focus on the exercise to some degree, so something else loses that focus. Extended focus away from a process that requires energy is de facto energy loss. So, some processes will lose energy when exercise is performed. Simple logic.

Safety as a concern is _never_ bound solely to hours spent exercising--this should be obvious on its face.

Nobody's threatening to take your passion away, you can still feel free to rage against the perceived lazy people, etc. But come on. You owe the whole world better here in lowering the discourse to this my-horse-sense-must-apply level.
> Basic issue is shortage in supply.

What's the supply issue that's impacting normal grocery store items? Is there a ship full of peanut butter ground beef and breakfast cereal stuck in a canal somewhere? Why would we have a shortage of things like cheese and pasta?

For a short time there were real issues with things like toilet paper, but even that has been resolved (unless you're in the EU maybe). What's driving shortages now?
You are really on those ad homs, aren't you?
wth?

you got a good link for this? I stopped paying attention a while ago
What do you want him to tell you? AirTags do not work with Android. Is that much better than cracking a joke? He is giving some general advice that is useful to most people. Should he refrain from giving some helpful advice unless it works universally for everyone?
it's not surprising that so many people have trouble with this. Everyone studies card games, dice, and pulling a red ball out of a jar with N red balls and M white balls, because those are idealized problems.

Real life is harder.
Nest Hub 2nd Gen updates to Google’s Fuchsia operating system
That's in the works! I want to incorporate a search bar into the site that uses a complex array of hand-done (and A.I. categorized) tags. So that you can search (for e.g.) by director, color, time of day, composition, genre, etc. In the works.
You'll also get less rich representatives. Right now the salary is insufficient to support a single person living comfortably reasonably near the workplace. Lots of them have roommates.

And you'll notice the reps who say things like "if we can't work we should voluntarily suspend our salary" are the ones with significant other revenue sources.
> English can express the same ideas with less tenses

This isn't exactly correct. We have all the same tenses, it's just that in English these tenses are more frequently created using separate words, rather than a modification to the infinitive verb. Since modifications to the infinitive verb may not work on all infinitive verbs, this results in more irregularities in Spanish.

For example, the future tense in English takes the infinitive verb ("to pay" or "to eat") and adds "will" before it ("I will pay", "They will eat").

In Spanish the future tense take the infinitive verb ("pagar" or "comer") and modifies the ending--but the endings are different, so they have to be modified differently--the results are similar but different enough to matter. And there are different conjugations for the subject as well. So:

I will pay => Pagaré
They will eat => (Ellas|Ellos) comeran

If you know the future tense for "pay" in English, you can easily construct the future tense of any infinitive verb for any subject ("They will eat", "He will run", "You will go"). But knowing "Pagaré" teaches you nothing about how to conjugate even the same infinitive for a different subject, let alone other infinitives.
Or, more optimistically, AGI will accelerate scientific progress and we will have fusion, quantum computers, and self driving cars shortly after.

If AIs had the tendency to recursively devour worlds you would expect at least one alien AI to have conquered our galaxy by now. But the sky is quiet, so either we are the very first species to get this far, or there’s a natural ceiling to the pace of technological progress.
Oh, and about a year. Started roughly compiling stuff and thinking on this in July of 2022
It depends on what we're trying to visualize. From an investor's perspective, a bank whose assets get sold for pennies on the dollar in a fire sale is essentially a failure. Lehmann Brothers was also a massive (investment) bank failure with huge second order effects on the economy.

This graphic seems to be modeling things from a taxpayer perspective. These banks failed and the government needed to step in to do something to ensure people could get their deposits.
The International Workers of the World beg to differ.
Theory I've heard is CNC mills and the like aren't banned for import into DPRK by UN or others and so it's like the most advanced industrial component they can import there, so it gets a song!
It is absolutely true that China hates unions because it is form a organisation outside of the parties control. It hates organised religion, NGOs, or even apartment strata/bylaw level organisations.

However, they also do hate labour regulations. They only accepted 5 day weeks because of the WTO, and they absolutely no not enforce it. The CCP genenuiely believes that harsh working conditions and hours is critical to China's success.
Vivaldi is really good feature-wise if you don't mind closed source, but I find that it crashes the most of all the Blink browsers I've tried. It really is a spiritual successor to Opera, even in this. ~
The idea of injecting domain knowledge into LLMs can certainly help, but they don't fix the problem entirely. There are still plenty of opportunities to hallucinate - for example, ChatGPT still regards the phrase "LLM" to refer to a law degree, and domain knowledge won't fix that unless it is explicitly spelled out in the prompt. This article is provides a similar overview: https://zilliz.com/blog/ChatGPT-VectorDB-Prompt-as-code (I work at Zilliz).
Just mentioning, this post at the time of my comment, has 856 comments. That's roughly 3 times the next highest post at this moment, and at least 8 times the average, and I'm being generous.

In short, hacker news users have quite a bit to say about porn on the internet, while another "popular" post about Google's DeepMind CEO's belief about impending general artificial intelligence remains at 35 comments. lol

Stay classy HN users. :p
I don't disagree. I think some of the best examples are the originals. Vertigo (1958) for example: https://eycndy.com/dollyzoom?itemId=pwx05dri0q485xyjb7vboa8g...
That's my understanding as well. I have an purification iPhone SE that I used exclusively for bank apps for a couple years. I wanted it to amount to an air gapped device not never could find a way around Apple ID login for even the simplest task like installing an app.
I suspect page size/aligned file holes could be backed by a read-only zero page via PTE as an optimization, but they might not be (I'm not as familiar with Linux mmap/filesystems as with FreeBSD).

It is quite possible the filesystem caches, e.g., the file extent tree (including holiness) separately from the backing inode/on-disk sectors for the tree.
> the ruinous economic consequences of a world where they could only consume goods made by laborers earning $15/hour with health insurance and OSHA oversight

Was economy of 1950's USA ruinous?

US did not import manifactured goods from China / almost anywhere at the time. The rest of the world manufacturing was a bomb crater after WW2.

Western manufacturing isn't uncompetitive because of OSHA and health insurance. There are third world countries that have health insurance.

Western manufacturing is uncompetitive because of insane inflation of real estate has parasitic effect on the rest of the economy. You cant pay a worker less than he has to pay his ladlord
> Software developer Graydon Hoare created Rust as a personal project while working at Mozilla Research in 2006. Mozilla officially sponsored the project in 2009

According to https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rust_(programming_language)
All phones are trash except my unbranded Huawei clone running a custom version of Android I built myself. It's been totally problem-free since I got it 8 days ago (the one before it was also trash).
Deposit banks were banned from crossing state lines and investing in equities markets after the Great Depression. These limitations were removed in the 1990s.
Yes. yes... definitely on purpose
Revolut Enters Latam
Very nice - scarletdme in the browser is brilliant!

The two things I do to start playing in a new MV environment both worked exactly as I hoped they would:

LIST VOC

And

ED BP BLAH
I
PRINT "THIS IS A TEST"

FIBR

The environment feels very normal and reasonable, as far as a multivalue system goes. The only differences I came across are minor, like compiled programs going in BP.OUT instead of BP.O or the debugger being called DEBUG instead of RAID.

I definitely need to set this up and seriously play with it! I periodically download a new copy of UniVerse PE to play with, but this is something I could actually do real work in.

Believe it or not, I actually like working in ED and/or AE.

At one point (back in the UniVerse job), I wrote my own shell. It was basically a REPL that passed whatever you typed to EXEC, except for one nifty trick. The trick was that there were two REPLs in the program - one which worked normally, the other executed within a BEGIN TRANSACTION/END TRANSACTION block and had commands to commit and rollback. Having two REPLs was a concession to get it to even compile because BASIC required that BEGIN TRANSACTION and END TRANSACTION form a block, you couldn't just arbitrarily call those commands. I didn't even bother building a history mechanism, it was literally just a REPL that could work within the context of a transaction. It was incredibly useful.
As Generative AI Gets Hotter, KKR Bets on Keeping Data Centers Cool
>"government spending" does not cause companies who are making record profits to increase their prices. That's just greed.

It absolutely does. If people have "extra" money (e.g. COVID payments), they can bid higher on limited resources (i.e. inflation). If there's more employed (i.e. government jobs), that's again, more people with more money, for limited resources (i.e. inflation).

While I'm sure companies are taking advantage of the fact, they must also realise that there's more demand for their limited resources, which causes them to raise prices.

These companies are making "record profits", but you also need to consider that the purchasing power of your dollar is being debased, and these companies are (at least partially) trying to keep up with inflation.
It was normal, like 10 years ago. But, precisely because some apps would do it silently, the corresponding APIs were removed.

The problem here is that the new APIs - to open the UI to let user manage stuff - as well as that UI itself, keeps changing in various unhelpful ways.
https://archive.is/uAbIN
subtitle: "Investment firm will acquire CoolIT Systems, maker of systems designed to prevent computing hardware from overheating"
It seems like the point being made is that because an LLM lives within the universe and can't store the entire universe, it would need to "reason" to produce coherent output of a significant length. It's possible I misunderstood your post, but it's not clear to me that any "reasoning" isn't just really good hallucination.

Proving that an AI is reasoning and not hallucinating seems super difficult. Even proving that there's a difference would be difficult. I'm more open to the idea that reasoning in general is just statistical hallucination even for humans, but that's almost off topic.

> Any model that trivially depends upon statistics could not do causal reasoning, it would become exponentially less likely over time. At long output lengths, practically impossible.

It's not clear to me that it _doesn't_ fall apart over long output lengths. Our definition of "long output" might just be really different. Statistics can carry you a long way if the possible output is constrained, and it's not like we don't see weird quirks in small amounts of output all the time.

It's also not clear to me that adding more data leads to a generalization that's closer to the "underlying problem". We can train an AI on every sonnet ever written (no extra tagged data or metadata) and it'll be able to produce a statistically coherent sonnet. But I'm not sure it'll be any better at evoking an emotion through text. Same with arithmetic. Can you embed the rules of arithmetic purely in the structure of language? Probably. But I'm not sure the rules can be reliably reversed out enough to claim an AI could be "reasoning" about it.

It does make me wonder what work has gone in to detecting and quantifying reasoning. There must be tons of it. Do we have an accepted rigorous definition of reasoning? We definitely can't take it for granted.
I don't want to carry any phone, among other reasons because I do not want to be tracked 24/7.

Now Apple has made it trivial for anyone to buy persistent, highly accurate dystopian stalker gear that could easily be surreptitiously placed on my person or vehicle. Having no phone, I would have no idea. The AirTag tracking system escalates the technological arms race and dramatically expands my threat model.

All I want is the right to be a human with my human dignity respected, without requiring "techno upgrades" to enforce my rights, and the best response I've seen from the pro-surveillance crowd boils down to, "well you've gotta carry a tracking device if you don't want to get tracked".

Unacceptable.
It is 100% corporate profits, lol.
Is like asking if pi is even or odd
I don't think there's been any progress on AGI, actually. Even though there's a lot of powerful AI programs out there, they're really nothing more than complex tools created to solve problems. A few other commenters mentioned that there's no good definition for what AGI would actually mean, but a good starting point that I think we can all agree on is that an AGI would need to have some level of autonomy. That being said, even if you did make an AI that was autonomous, I still think that it's a leap to call it an AGI. The way I look at it, if you did all the math by hand, you wouldn't call it intelligent, so you shouldn't call it intelligent if the math was done by a computer.
Nestle and others have frequently admitted to literal slave labour

https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2016/mar/02/n...
As someone who has worked in the field of AI/ML for quite awhile now, the problem with current AGI predictions is ML hasn't done anything new since the 80s (or arguably earlier).

At the end of the day all ML is using gradient descent to do some sort of non-linear projection of the data on to a latent space, then doing some relatively simple math in this latent space to perform some task.

Personally I think the limits of this technique are far better than I would have thought 10 years ago.

However we are only near AGI if this is in fact how intelligence works (or can work) and I don't believe we've seen any evidence of this. And there are some very big assumptions baked into this approach.

Essentially all we've done is pushed the basic model proposed by linear regression to it's absolutely limits, but, as impressive as the results are, I'm not entirely convinced this will get is over the limit to AGI.
We have the same guidance at Facebook. Don't put company data into ChatGPT.
That's the trick, it just means it can do various task at human level. I think the original meaning of "general" is a reference to human intelligence kind of general, in other words Artificial Human Intelligence could be a better name for "true AGI".
I am not a stalker, but that agreement is almost certainly unenforceable in civil court. It violates the basic principles of consideration and equity. There is extensive case law on those areas, which you might want to look into before wasting people's time making empty threats and bullshiting about subjects you clearly don't understand.
Iirc someone worked out how to emulate an airtag and use the tiny amount of data they transmit to relay some data back to the owners apple account. It's not really insecure because it doesn't affect anyone but the owner of the device but you are relaying that data over other peoples phones, which is encrypted with your keys.