skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
I'm sorry this is incredibly misleading. " Load following" ?

Nuclear power is the most reliable and consistent energy source in the world. It's not even close! If you are going to spew garage, please cite it. This isn't reddit.

According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), the average capacity factor (which measures the actual electricity output of a power plant compared to its maximum potential output) for nuclear power plants around the world was 81% in 2019.

This is higher than most other types of power plants, including coal-fired power plants (which had an average capacity factor of 53% in 2019) and natural gas-fired power plants (which had an average capacity factor of 46% in 2019).

The reason why there were "massive shutdowns" was because they didn't do maintenance during COVID as well as noticed abnormal corrosion.

Regarding uptime, heres some data.

Nuclear Reactor Up Time.

User
What is the average up time of a nuclear reactor in France?

ChatGPT
As of my knowledge cutoff date of September 2021, the average up time of a nuclear reactor in France was about 75%, according to data from the French electricity company EDF. This means that, on average, the reactors were operational and producing electricity for about 75% of the time. However, it's important to note that this figure can vary from year to year and from reactor to reactor, depending on factors such as maintenance schedules, unexpected shutdowns, and other issues

User
Can you cite your sources for uptime of nuclear power in France?
chatGPT
Sure, here are some sources for the uptime of nuclear power in France:

According to the French electricity company EDF, the average availability rate for its nuclear fleet in 2020 was 75.9%. Source: https://www.edf.fr/en/the-edf-group/edf-in-france/the-nuclea...

The World Nuclear Association also reports an average capacity factor (uptime) for nuclear power plants in France of 73.3% in 2019. Source: https://www.world-nuclear.org/information-library/country-pr...

The French government's Ministry of Ecological Transition provides a quarterly report on the performance of the country's electricity generation sources, including nuclear power. The latest report, covering Q4 2020, states that the availability rate for the nuclear fleet during that period was 71.2%. Source: https://www.ecologie.gouv.fr/sites/default/files/Performance...

Sources for other statements.
https://www.france24.com/en/france/20220825-france-prolongs-...

https://www.economist.com/europe/2022/10/13/frances-nuclear-...
Kia's and hyundais recently had a simple flaw allowing theft of the vehicle

https://www.thedrive.com/news/hyundai-kia-say-theyll-fix-mil...
> Is it that you just think P(AGI) is really low, so worrying about an unlikely future outcome bothers you when there is actual harm now?

Having now gotten a few opportunities to really use GPT-4 in-depth, I am much more bearish about the intelligence potential of LLMs than many other people are. This is not something I lose sleep over. But I don't like to focus on that because I'm not sure it matters.

I commented the same elsewhere, but there is no world where AI alignment is solved if prompt injection isn't. If you can't get an AI to reliably avoid swearing, how on earth can it be aligned?

So if you want to look though a long-term perspective and you're really worried about existential risks, the attitude towards prompt injection -- the willingness of the entire tech sector to say "we can't control it but we're going to deploy it anyway" -- should terrify you. Because how prompt injection gets handled is how general alignment will get handled.

The companies will display the same exact attitudes in both cases. They won't move carefully. They are proving to you right now that they will not be responsible. And at every step of the process there will be a bunch of people on HN saying, "okay, the AI goes a little rogue sometimes, but the problem is exaggerated, stop making such a big deal of it."

There is no point in talking about the long-term consequences of unaligned AI if we can't solve short-term alignment and short-term task derailing, because if threats like prompt injection are not taken seriously, long-term alignment is not going to happen.
Location: Canberra, Australia (planning on moving to Melbourne soon)

Remote: Sure!

Willing to relocate: Maybe

Technologies: React, TypeScript, JavaScript, Go, C, Docker, Linux, Svelte(Kit).

Resume: I'm a full-stack software engineer who likes building impactful products and solving hard problems. Currently I am near the end of a contract with a startup, helping a technical co-founder build out a full-stack MVP of a structured code editor (React/TypeScript/MobX, AWS, Python, Django). I'm content working on the frontend or backend of software, I love talking to users (have a HCI background), but also diving into deep technical topics (I've built games, programming languages, embedded operating systems). Happy to provide a full resume if you email me :)

Outside of work you can catch me cooking, cycling, making computer music, or thinking about computing education.

Email: `harrison (DOT) shoebridge @ the big g email provider`
Convince Eliezer Yudkowsky to sell you a GPU cluster
Empirically, most people weren’t willing to do this stuff (the kind of education you’re talking about was common in early recycling programs) and recycling only became widespread with the advent of single stream. Maybe advocates just need to try harder, though.
Simple, straight to the point, and super useful.

One place I used these was on a toy AI assistant. I recorded myself saying a trigger word thousands of times, cut the audio in pieces and converted each to a spectrogram image. I then feed those to a training model to help recognize the trigger word.

Before the spectrogram, i was feeding the wav file directly, it was incredibly intensive on my laptop. But the image files were easier to process in real time. This tool can be used for debugging.
It's quite easy to conclude that the "sorts of people" who don't share your beliefs are fundamentally deluded or so narcissistic, naïve, and simplistic that they think they should be planning everything.

However, if you'll notice, here on HN a lot of people calling themselves socialists don't believe in the idea of central planning, so maybe there's more to it than socialists are just a sort of person.
Sure — abstractions elide details.

But “this portion of the network appears to recognize faces” is still a useful abstraction. In the same way it is for neurology. Even if both NNs and brains sometimes see faces that aren’t there because the network isn’t “recognizing faces” but a system which signals on a complex set of heuristics that mostly detects faces.

How does the answer change if I only want 99% confidence and accept the existence of illusions? — can we describe the bulk of the behavior in a summary?
Letting employees cling to jobs where they are no longer needed is unhealthy for everyone, and deprives resources for new people to join the company with new talents that may be in demand.
Very neat! May I suggest adding a button to switch to log scale for frequency? I love the ability to select and play back just a particular set of frequencies. But voice uses only about ~15% of the screen height [1], so it's hard to play with.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Voice_frequency
If you don't like it, don't read it. It's on-topic and worth discussing -- maybe not for you, but this story is absolutely not within the criteria of flagging, which is why despite people flagging it, the link remains and will continue to be present on the site.
You can look around or call local park services, I'm seeing that Mont-Megantic, an observatory with federally peotected sky, isn't on their map. I'll look for a canadian ressource (for myself too!)

Edit: I'm wrong, Mont-Megantic is the first International Dark Sky Reserve - they worked to get it protected federally because they research telescope design. Dang - I think they are quite rare.

Maybe you can send an email to your local university's Astronomy department? I'm sure they'll be able to direct you to a good spot!
Good point. Germans are good at marketing I guess. But very poor engineers.
Right, there is an intrinsic ceiling to how much an employer will decide to pay for that. My point is you can unlock that ceiling by choosing to pursue other business transactions, by increasing the value of your time. What employer would pay you $100k per month? Is that enough to be considered enough? You could do that with your own business but unlikely to get that from employer.
I'm just paying a lawyer out of pocket that came recommended through a trusted contact.
Yes, the point you’re making is valid and I generally speaking agree with it. The issue isn’t necessarily that it was published in a quack journal, it’s that now this idea has been published in a quack journal it’s “tainted” and suggesting that it be looked at again for any other reason than some significant new evidence discovered completely by accident (because you’re a quack too if you believed the idea in this paper) and it has to be pretty significant evidence too (otherwise it might look like you are cherry picking evidence for your quack belief) and only then can you consider the idea worth properly studying… all because by originally being published in a quack journal, the idea has the taint of quackery.

Now most quack research is not particularly useful… but it can be made more useful to society if it’s used properly, we should be more willing to publish reproductions and failures to reproduce existing research, and we should be encouraging early career scientists in all disciplines to take this kind of quack research and to prove it wrong, it’s all there to disprove, easy done. We would get more critical thinking in our research students we would get more evidence to disprove other quack research and every now and then we might even stumble onto something good that would have gone ignored as just quackery for an unknown period of time.

If we want to fix the reproduction crisis we can’t ignore the shit research papers and only reproduce the good ones we think might work, we need to be willing to look at research like this, which involves a pretty/relatively harmless high dose vitamin regimen that can be easily monitored by a clinician performing the research work (double blinds of course) and then we go from “idea that won’t be touched again and quacks try to convince people with flimsy research” to “idea conclusively proven or disproven and scientifically have settled the question without leaving reasonable doubts that can be used by quackery peddlers or others mis-using the scientific method for their own gain.
It is also useful for the establishment to be able to discredit anti-establishment viewpoints as Russian propaganda. The enemy who is trying to hurt you but doesn’t realise they are actually helping you instead
Why do Canadian YouTubers have a lot to lose? Why are their livelihoods under threat? Why specifically excluding LTT? In your linked article there's a lot of emotion but not a lot of reasons.
> I can't think of an example of AI creating jobs...only taking them.

future jobs which doesn't exist today will not be in your vocabulary or thoughts, which is why you cannot think of them. Does not mean such jobs will not exist.

The play today for the concerned, is to start owning capital as well as selling their labour. People who only rely solely on labour as their source of income will be disadvantaged, as labour is increasingly less useful.
Sony could pull that off due to their licensing model allowing hardware sold at a loss, being a massive conglomerate sitting in many different industry also helped. There was no pathway for Amiga to do this, they had vertical integration but not the control over developers Apple had nor the licensing income console manufacturers had.

Commodore had it's fans (well, not of Commodore so much as the Amiga itself) and a bunch of niche use cases in the video production industry, but that wouldn't have been enough to sustain the R&D required to be competitive with the rest of the industry. By 1993 a lot of the industry was working on consumer targeted 3D acceleration and here's Commodore making some 2D chip.
A lot of people don't understand energy markets. They are not basic commodity markets. They use weird pricing mechanisms and they are tied up with national security concerns on both sides of the border. They rely on a weird kind of distribution infrastructure. The product is consumed immediately, with no (realistic) way to store a ton of it.

Most likely there is a treaty setting a floor price on the power or a demand ceiling, and they have hit one of those. Those limits are negotiated based on all of these considerations.
This is a pretty good introductory primer. https://medium.com/analytics-vidhya/understanding-the-mel-sp...

1. STFT (get frequencies from the audio signal)

2. Log scale/ decibel scale (since we hear on the log scale)

3. Optionally convert to the Mel scale (filters to how humans hear)

Happy to answer any questions
Fukushima power plant started construction in 1967, no one would consider that a modern design.

If it was actually possible to build a new nuclear power plant I'm sure the old ones would be replaced. If it wasn't for chernobyl plus three mile island (which released a comically low amount of radiation) maybe the west would have completed its conversion to nuclear instead of essentially pausing all construction for 30 years. But right now the options are essentially shut it down and replace with fossil fuels (wind and solar are not great providers of base loads for obvious reasons) or extend the license.
In general, you can discuss such ideas but agreeing to perform them brings you up against the line of committing crime. In the US, you have to commit some material act in furtherance of the conspiracy, but that can be almost anything.

For example, if you and your friends agree to rob a bank and decide you'll need gloves, ski masks, and some kind of weapon, buying 6 pairs of rubber gloves at the store the next day would qualify as a material act. You don't need to acquire all the expected tools or go anywhere near the bank you discussed robbing.
Implying that "free time" is the luxury which should be coveted and is rare, rather than prioritizing "free time" as number one and deciding on a survival pathway that fits into that framework.
One thing that would be fun to know is, e.g., "If the LLM answers question X correctly, then what's a minimal-sized set of things we could remove from the training set and cause it to get that question wrong?" I think with current methods this would be pretty expensive to find out, but, in principle I'm guessing it would be pretty illuminating.
Don’t, twitter is not secure by protocol design, if you want to make an anonymous one -as in it doesn’t have your name/pic- sure, but going against state sponsored targets will easily get you exposed, DMs aren’t encrypted yet, APIs can be reversed and exploited to reveal more info, spies/insider threats can be paid to access your data with certain privileges, still relies on a broken protocol for verification (sms) that can be targeted with sim swap attacks, or exposing more info even with a burner such as how/when you bought it, etc. and all of these happened when twitter was relatively at a better state than it’s now, so I assume things are even more chaotic, but last part is just my personal opinion.

Bottom line, don’t do it, and if you do, assume you are already exposed and act upon it.
Regurgitators can't have internal representations? Sometimes the best way to regurgitate is to learn an internal representation. That doesn't mean it suddenly stopped being a statistical model.
The idea is that if you can’t see the cameras you’ll obey the speed limit everywhere just in case.
I think it depends a lot on what you think of as "left wing". They were also known for "a top-down ethos of male entitlement at Vice, where women said they felt like just another party favor at an organization where partying often was an extension of the job": https://techcrunch.com/2017/12/24/vice-founders-apologize-fo...
Is this the same bad statistic as https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=33219302 ?
Unlike nuclear waste which takes up space in barrels, coal-fired radiation and pollution isn't a problem, because it goes into the air where everyone can breathe it. This is clearly better for the environment and also human health: just ask any German environmentalist.
I agree, but to be fair, the vast majority of this stuff is very high level window manager and UI framework features.
I think there are two distinct points here that need to be clearly separated.

When Hinton gives an estimate on how fast things are going to move and how far they can go, that is the part where his background gives his estimates much higher credibility than any random person on the Internet.

But how dangerous that level is to humanity as a whole is a separate question, and one that he is not an expert on.
I made the argument earlier[1] that if climate change was a global institution friendly way to talk about oil production failing to grow any more and possibly falling causing catastrophic effects on human civilization that all sectors of society would need to prepare for, that carbon capture efforts would be token only and coal would be the big mega winner.

Now we see that India and China seem to be increasing their coal production as fast as they can [2] and now Germany is doing likewise.

[1]https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35702201&p=2#35703919

[2]https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/coal-production-by-countr...
The intermediate solutions last for many decades. It's completely sufficient, especially if the alternative is coal plants.
Any papers on the topic?
no unfortunately... someone on reddit has access via azure it seems? https://www.reddit.com/r/OpenAI/comments/12ffumq/does_anyone...
It's not the engineers, it's the consumer demand for things other than depreciation and longevity.
in CA, new cars are issued permanent plates when they are registered. once they're registered, they're considered used cars, so dealers don't register them while they sit on the lot (they also don't own them before they're sold, usually a bank or the OEM does). the temp plate system that was just introduced worked fine in states with lower car sales but probably took a while to roll out here.

it's a combination of outdated laws, outdated technology, and massive amount of car sales. it's finally catching up.
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Learn more about our work in this CBC News article (https://www.cbc.ca/news/health/supercomputer-virus-study-dis...).

See Also:

* Serratus Website (https://serratus.io)

* Nature Paper: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-021-04332-2

* GitHub Repo: https://github.com/ababaian/serratus
The parent didn't say the hypothetical employee objected to transgenderism on religious grounds. Plenty of atheists object to transgenderism too.

As a broader point, there seems to be this strange argumentative move I see where contemporary Western progressives assume that their particular ethical stances are universal, or that only Abrahamic religionists disagree with them.
MacOS is actually pretty good about this. It restores applications on restart, and it’s provided applications pick up where they left off.

I don’t use the workspace feature on the Mac, I assume they’re recovered as well.

Obviously applications need to be restart aware as well. I really like how the provided Mac apps (Pages, Numbers, etc. ) work with the first class document model in the system. I have dozens of Untitled documents across apps, some are years old. Never “saved” them. They just exist. Across reboots, app upgrades, and OS upgrades.

I wish more apps embraced my lazy house keeping.

I don’t know how the documents sync across devices, if at all.

I wanted to mimic the OS document model in Java with my own app, but that’s easier said than done.
Yeah because prohibition has an excellent historical track record.
Bhutan is a constitutional monarchy that regularly holds elections. The people absolutely should have a say in how their tax money is invested.
I don’t care about AGI. I care about who owns this AGI, whom does it serve. That’s the fundamental question. And it is the difference between a distopy where most humans become “useless eaters” or a world where humans have been freed of toil.
Are you trying to sound uninformed and unworthy of respect? Those 8 reactors were retrofitted to prevent another Chernobyl. Yes not at first due to the corrupt nature of the Soviet Union, but it did occur.

Also right now there is exactly 1 confirmed death from exposure to radiation from Fukushima, and a few dozen cases of cancer, radiation burns and injury. Pretty sure coal kills more directly and indirectly in any given month.
Paraphrasing Ford: "A customer can have clean energy from any source he wants as long as it’s gas from Russia."
In NYC the cops are pioneers in making their license plates unreadable, at times just straight up bending them.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Texas_sharpshooter_fallacy

Of course, your ability to hit a target in reality has nothing to do with the number of other people aiming at it - in this case, Bruce Springsteen's ability to write great songs is not constrained by the existence of many other brilliant songwriters.

This sort of free-association discourse seems very popular in marketing/ entrepreneurial/ motivational blogging but sadly it's not that informative or educational.
Most arguments I've had about this take on a totally different tone when you ask the person if they believe there is more to human consciousness than what is inside the brain. I.e, is there some spiritual element animating our consciousness.

Often, people say yes. Those people almost universally cannot be convinced that a machine is intelligent. But, if they agree the brain is an organ, its not hard to convince them that the functions of that organ can be simulated, like any other.
Bhutan is effectively an Indian dependency, but it's also a small country with a long border with China and has to dance on an awkward tightrope to keep both sides happy.
> Individual humans can still easily beat it when it comes to knowledge of individual subjects.

What does a phrase like "GPT-4 scores 90th percentile on the Uniform Bar Exam" mean to you, regarding whether humans can easily surpass its knowledge and reasoning?

https://www.forbes.com/sites/johnkoetsier/2023/03/14/gpt-4-b...
> Eventually everyone decides to play the arms race

If everyone plays the arms race, and its hard to commit crime anywhere, we win? This is fundamentally a good thing. "We" here being the hard working members of society that don't turn to crime, and would rather not be victims to it.

It is very fashionable and woke to wax poetically about services, and yea, we have serious gaps there, but if someone is going to commit a crime, they should face the consequences.