skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Arguably the big trend in recent decades has been the non centrally planned corporation. Google and Facebook are the poster boys for this approach in which managers see themselves primarily as enablers for the workers, in which those workers have a great deal of individual autonomy and there's relatively little central planning except in "wartime". Many other companies have adopted this style to a lesser degree.

You can argue it has downsides, Google's brand dilution for example, but these are very rich and successful companies by any metric.

The core problem with central planning is handling change. If the requirements placed on an institution never change, then central planning eventually takes over because the plan is so stable that it can be managed centrally, and that may even have economies of scale. Businesses like Walmart are basically giant factories. Supermarkets are not a business that experiences great or rapid change. Tech firms in contrast experience and create change at a much faster rate, so central planning is more harmful there.

Economies as a whole are in near constant change. That's why centrally planned economies lose. They're always optimizing for yesterday's goals, like how many tonnes of steel can be produced per day, but can't react to changes like maybe now computers matter more than steel.
> Often, after a long career in the FBI, agents will join the Latter-day Saints’ Security Department

Why does a church have a security department, especially one that staffs so many people? The article states that most of them work desk jobs, which probably means they aren't running physical security at individual churches, so what kind of threats does the church overall face?
All you have shown here is that its arithmetic reasoning is flawed, not that it cannot reason at all.

"Reasoning" is a much broader term than you think it is.
> I'd sooner browse Old Reddit on mobile than use the official app

Yeah, and they know it. They recently disabled i.reddit, I expect it won't be long until old.reddit.com get's disabled too.
what is stopping you from doing this?

Is there a law that says you can't start a company and provide your employees with 6 months paid time off?
People who earn via investing for starters.

And then you have people earning millions, that at least when compared to the numerous workers being underpaid and actually doing the hard work that generates profit, basically do so little work they may as well be sitting on their asses.
I could probably fall into this and get side-tracked for the rest of my workday, but could you explain how update/delete cascades work in a FK like this?
Decades of high-tops and we didn't need them, just goes to show these sneaker companies really have no idea what's best for the customer, as long as they sell.
> freedom from often horrible and incompetent central Russian management.

Russia does just fine without most of those pieces, whereas the pieces struggle to be viable.

The management was not 'Russian', by the way. It came proportionally from all of the Soviet republics, more or less. When the Union collapsed, they mostly stayed in Moscow.
Indeed. The internet and public gatherings are chock full of humans regurgitating rehashed nonsensical statements. Compared against these folks, GPT-4 is more intelligent.
This only works if they can't be instantly reinfected.
Antibiotics are both overused and underused in medicine. We still see antibiotics being prescribed as a prophylactic measure even without a confirmed bacterial infection, or for minor bacterial infections that patients could probably clear on their own. People think of antibiotics as being benign but they come with significant risks and side effects, including disrupting the gut microbiome.

At the same time we lack evidence-based medicine guidelines for treating most low-grade chronic bacterial infections. In many cases there aren't even reliable diagnostic tests for such conditions, so it's not clear what the root cause of a patient's symptoms are and physicians have to try treatments at random in an attempt to find something that works. More basic research is needed in this area.
Tax deductible mortgage interest is a favorite whipping boy, but consider the alternative - It would be more effective for corporations to buy properties and rent them out, because corporations could still charge the mortgage payments as operating loss. I would gladly incorporate a C-Corp and rent my house at market rate to myself.
Well, the country septupled its GDP over the 70 years of Soviet rule. For a time, between the end of the Civil War and the beginning of WWII it was one of the fastest growing economies in world history. While facing terrible famine and hunger before WWII, the Soviet Union largely ended starvation by the mid-late century. The Soviet government managed to extend the benefits of sanitation, healthcare and electrification to tens of millions of the people living under its power.

To me, while we might see many many problems within the Soviet economy and see many ways it could have been better, it is clearly not an economy that "didn't work". And by some measures, we can even say it "worked" better than the post Soviet economy.
Adobe halted development of painting and illustration features in Photoshop a number of years ago. Their goal seems to be to get people to use Illustrator for illustrations and Fresco for painting.
> Three big banks, two big drugstore chains, three cellular providers

Costs associated with banking, drugstore purchases, and cell service make up an tiny proportion of total spending. Compare that to housing, education, and healthcare, which are the main drivers of inflation despite having many more than four players of comparable size.

People say healthcare and housing is expensive because you need it to live. You need food to live too, but food is so cheap as to be basically free in the US. (Food as in rice and beans, not Uber Eats.)

I'm not saying central planning is bad necessarily, but can it be a coincidence that healthcare, housing, and education are so expensive and also hugely "centrally planned"?

The government determines how many apartments get to be in your city (and they usually decide on a laughably small number).

The government decides who gets to practice medicine (and they make sure that the number is not very high [0]). They even decide to not let doctors in countries like India do radiology work in the US, just to boost American radiologist's pay.

As for education, most people go to public colleges where the government literally decides the prices! Not only that, but they generously offer "need-based scholarships" to people, after determining their willingness to pay by getting their family income.

So maybe central planning is the move, but it would be more compelling if the biggest expenses of American life didn't all seem to be caused by at-best incompetent central planning.

[0]: https://www.washingtonian.com/2020/04/13/were-short-on-healt...
Why are the comments getting more flippant, more incredulous, and more unreasonable despite there being lots of discussion already explaining the nuanced and fairly uncontroversial point of view that squirrel girl isn’t the single most appropriate image for a workplace? I’m not alone, and this isn’t the first conversation about Krita’s splash screens being mildly unprofessional. Nobody here is claiming the pictures are generally inappropriate, only that they’re not neutral in the workplace. I don’t mind the art. My kids have similar art. I still wouldn’t hang it on my office wall. If you want to, you should, and see if everyone at your work likes it. I was only trying to add explanation and specificity to my comment precisely because of comments like yours pretending incredulously that there’s absolutely nothing to discuss, and attacking me with ad-hominems.
Try sleeping with earplugs. I started doing it out of necessity, and it was awkward at first, but once I got used to it was really life-changing. Sleeping with plugs in feels like being embraced by silence and darkness, so much so that you can sleep the whole night through and feel more refreshed in the morning.
> I truly wonder sometimes whether antibiotics are actually underused in medicine

Killing gut microbiota is also being increasingly linked to diseases, so it's likely a very complicated balancing act where we need to maintain the correct bacterial flora.
I put my emergency fund + some in betterment with the same savings rate years ago. It does pay off. Smart of apple to do this.
That quote is literally what I wrote about in my OP(root of this thread) :)

It's from Arthur C. Clarke.
What wealth limit are you proposing and why wouldn't companies leave for another country?
Ranking Anything with GPT4
If you don't know what elemental mercury looks like, then playing with it is pretty much the obvious outcome.

Mercury is cool. Metallic, reflective, heavy, liquid, forms balls, and eats into (forms amalgams) other metals in really visually interesting ways. Sure, it'll poison you if you eat it, or if you combine it with some organic chemistry it will really quickly absorb at toxic levels, but it doesn't tell you that. It just sits there, looking really, really fun..
If one has a trail then minimalist hiking shoes or shoes in general are fine. If no trail…boots are my preference. Plus a good set are good for winter hiking to where you can add crampons if you need.
Is it really a "cold wallet" if you can quickly transfer funds out from a smartphone app, and that process is easier than using a banking app?
Seems like you misunderstood, it is not about ethics/justification to wage the war, but only about use of technology in violent conflicts.
Simple Modify Header

Imgur.com
user-agent: Mozilla/5.0 (compatible; Yahoo! Slurp; http://help.yahoo.com/help/us/ysearch/slurp)
Aw, I'm sorry to hear that. AS can absolutely wreck your mobility over time. (And the reason I know is because I also have AS—I should've been more clear and gestured towards my username :P)
This is so refreshing. My hat is off to Fly.io
Idk about Soviet Union, but in Communist Poland, the farmers didn't even get basic health care and pension until 1970s (that was still probably around 40-50% of population by then), not to mention luxuries like state-provided vacations.
ElixirConf EU 2023 Recap
Higher education isn't made for people with a family life. There's no real reason for this, but there's no pressure to change it because there's always someone else in line ready to take your place.
Same, I want to understand why I'm avoiding any of these.
Corporate trains the AI accordingly, optimizing for human happiness ...

https://twitter.com/CogRev_Podcast/status/162767503726737408...

where humans == shareholders && != users
> Objectively speaking the capitalist market has failed in this area

Objectively speaking the non-capitalist systems have failed in this area too. The UK’s NHS is not capitalist and it is surely isn’t succeeding better than the US healthcare system.

You can find countries where “socialist” healthcare works, but you can also find capitalist healthcare that works.
oh that makes sense
I thought this was a rebranding of PrivacyTools, but it's a fork by some of the former members.

https://www.privacyguides.org/en/about/privacytools/
>Fastram support was available since TOS v2, 1988(89?).

Realize how late that is, relative to ST's release.
I loved your username "spondylosaurus", it made me laugh, thank you. I wish you well too. Cheers!
You would effectively ban investment then? No one could earn any money from index funds?
FWIW, Zerodium still values Android zero-days higher[0] than iOS ones. Suffice to say that both parties pay hundreds of thousands to access their respective systems, to the point that companies like Greyshift sell standard-issue exploit hardware[1] for these devices now. Hacking your phone is a commercial field in the year of 202X.

Both platforms are extremely vulnerable and actively exploited. Make of that what you will.

[0] https://zerodium.com/program.html

[1] https://www.grayshift.com/graykey/
> And when was the last time you saw a high-top soccer cleat?

Uh, last night, in our men's league? Just about every vendor of soccer boots has high-top variants of all their major models, it's up to player preference.

EG: https://www.nike.com/w/soccer-high-top-shoes-1gdj0z6lqy0zy7o...

They're more like socks or an elastic collar that merge into the tongue/upper. Some say that the slight compression makes them feel better supported, but like elastic kinesio tape on the skin, it's not a mechanical prohibition, more psychological. Some say they're better at keeping you from getting stripped out of the shoe if someone steps on your foot, can't really deny that. And some say they avoid awkward bounces when the ball hits high on the instep near the sharp cut-off between instead of tapering in, but you already have a malleolus andd shin guard; maybe don't kick the ball there?

It's definitely not a mechanical prevention of ankle flex like ski boot or calf-height hiking boot.
A mail client is partway there, but is probably significantly filtering the html it allows.

An RSS reader would be one of those few apps that might have the full risk.

Messaging platforms have to worry about unicode bugs and image bugs, but almost all html or javascript exploits don't matter to them. If there is a safari-specific problem, it's very likely they don't care about it.
That sounds like a far cry from Carlson being spied on. More like Putin was being spied on, and Carlson walked into Putin's surveillance aura.
Everything I've heard makes it sound like it's for people who don't think Mastodon's onboarding is confusing enough.
>> the human usually did cause it

Blame the human for asking for an accurate source reference?
The raid was almost universally criticized and had 0 long term consequences. Yes it was stupid but a small amount of shaking does not bring down a solid structure. Take a look at what happened to some other countries around the world where similar raids happened: some of them have been stuck in violent meaningless dictatorships for decades.

Don't get me wrong; I'm center-left and democrat-aligned, but with all due respect, if you cannot see how your country has an incredible foundation, you are naive and has a shallow understanding of the world.
Are you excited that an AI could, in the future you describe, spit out correct instructions for creating a more-dangerous virus than COVID to anyone who asks?
> When I go up the mountain to ask the ChatGPT oracle a question, I am met with a blank face. What does this oracle know?

I think if your attitude is that its an oracle, then you already have the wrong attitude for using the tool. Chatgpt is a tool, if you dont know how to use the tool, stop complaining that you don't like it. Imagine telling everyone scalpels are horrible tools because they tried to perform surgery on someone and botched it up.

One day, not too far off, we are going to be able to tell a 'chat bot': make me a cartoon, it takes place in a steam punk fantasy. make it 2 seasons with 22 episodes each season. great, add a cliff hanger at the end of episode 11. add a love story component to it. reduce it back down to 1 season but 44 minute episodes.

content creation is no longer going to be tied back to knowing how to draw cartoons, or have armies of writers. yes, we can get garbage out of the system. but its a tool, plenty of tools produce garbage results if you dont know how to use them.

As an experiment, I asked chatgpt to write a business plan (one my brother started). The business plan was very close to what my brother produced, after working on it for a month. That's powerful, that's worthy of being 'the future'.
A model being able to produce an infringing work doesn't mean the model is an infringing work.

I can produce work myself that is infringing or not infringing as a result of learning.
Jehovah's Witnesses are not more accepted than Mormons as Christians in my experience. Or any other church in Wikipedia's non trinitarian category.[1]

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Category:Nontrinitarian_denomi...
Great way to hide money -- be a church.

They also lobby hard, and track their missionaries closely. I'll give them a pass on some of the missionaries work, they often go to places that can be dicey.
Prospective employers often want to know why there's a gap on your resume. My gap was because at the time I was too sick for a full-time job so I had to rely on Medicaid which meant I couldn't do pretty much any 'real' work at all until my health was straightened out. There's no way to answer without talking about the fact that I'm sick.

Now it's been long enough that most places don't ask but when I did get my health together and looked at getting back into the formal workforce it made it really hard to get a job. "Why haven't you worked since you graduated?" "...weeeell..."
Smallville, the wholesome village populated solely by AIs
There should be a few types of tags, kind of like ACLs and file attributes. Deny tag, Rating tag, Subject tag, Alert tag, Emergency tag, Meta tag, etc...

rate:88/100
subject:spring planting

Then BlueSky can set client defaults to allow Alert tag usage by anyone, but the Emergeny tag only by major news orgs? or governments? These would be effective because people generally accept defaults. Rating tags would help standardize rating systems and allow evaluation of a user by what they recommend or don't recommend. Subject tags would build community concensus on the tag name/tag text because people want their stories or comments to have the popular tags. Abuse of popular tags would also help people judge and filter users and other sources.

Tag types could also help limit downloads by processing Emergency first, then Deny tags, then rating tags, etc...
PROMPT: what is 19192920 * 190101271

RESPONSE: The product of 19192920 and 190101271 is: 3653424693064240

Fail on first try.
One thing on my mind lately is the availability of training data. Rumor has it that a significant amount of the content OpenAI trained with was publicly available, e.g. Reddit. Some people say that by using the training data off of Reddit that GPT-4 can impersonate most of the unique voices one would find on Reddit.

Google has gmail. It has our search history. It has Google Groups. It has Google scholar. Didn't they also digitize every book in the library of congress or something like that? The LLM that is built upon their insanely rich data is truly scary to contemplate.
> it's not really a scientific advancement so much as it's an engineering breakthrough.

Yes, I agree with that. Very little science in LLMs

But what utterly fantastic engineering! Totally breathtakingly fabulous engineering!

I heard Noam say LLMs are "...plagiarism on an industrial scale". I agree.

How incredible that modern engineers can build a machine to do plagiarism. Amazing

Just a "stochastic parrot". Possible. But what are you? What am I?
I'm working on Mayu Live [1,2] which is a server side web framework inspired by React, written in Ruby, but it uses Haml instead of JSX. Recently I've done some experiments with a different approach in RDOM [3] using custom elements.

1. https://mayu.live/

2. https://github.com/mayu-live/framework

3. https://github.com/aalin/rdom
Recommending people to use Monero instead of Paypal? That is ridiculous for several reasons and makes me question their other recommendations.
How doesn't it apply? The adage says the elderly scientist saying something is possible is almost certainly correct.

So by the adage, Hinton is almost certainly correct.
>>radically different and improved designs

That, right there, is the key - radically different and improved; i.e., not an extension of the current stuff.

I fully agree that the enthusiasm generated by the impressive stunts of ALphaGO/GPT/SD, etc. does bring enthusiasm, investment, and activity to the field which will shorten any search.

The catch for me is that these technologies, as impressive as they are, 1) not themselves a direct step towards AGI (beyond generating enthusiasm/investment), 2) tell us nothing about how much further we will need to search.

That radical improvement may be right under our nose, or a millenium away.

This reminds me of Hero's aeolipile, a steam engine invented over 2000 years ago. It could be said that we almost got the industrial revolution right then. Yet it took another 1800+ years for the other breakthroughs and getting back around to it. Plus, Hero's engine was exactly using the correct principles, whereas these AG/GPT/SD are clearly NOT onto the correct principles.

So, how much will this enthusiasm, investment, and activity speed the search? If its just an order of magnitude, we're still 180 years away. If it's three orders of magnitude, it'll be late next year, and if it's five, it'll be here next weekend.

So, I guess, in short, we've both read Bostrom's book, agree on that the AGI runaway scenario is a serious concern, but that these aren't any form of AGI, but might, as an secondary effect of their generated enthusiasm and genuine (albeit flaky) usefulness, accelerate the runaway AGI scenario?

EDIT: considering your "airship/airplane/rocket distances in aircraft-design-space" analogy. It seems we don't even know if what we've got with AG/GPT/SD is an airship, and need a rocket, or if we've got an airplane, but actually need a warp drive.

So, we know we're accelerating the search in the problem/design space. But, how can we answer the question of how big a space we'll need to search, and how big is our investment relative to the search volume?
Spending everywhere rose much faster than inflation, though it's true more in the US. And life expectancy in the US rose very rapidly through the 60's and 70's, the period under discussion. It wasn't until the late 80's that we started to fall off the curve.[1]

Your final sentence is just the same point upthread: you want a simple coincidence[2] to make your argument.

[1] There is a ton of analysis and argument to do there too, but suffice it to say that "because medicare" is just as terrible an explanation.

[2] It's not even a coincidence! Desire for government-guaranteed health care came about precisely because of and simultaneous to the availability of late-life care that actually worked. No one wanted medicare in the 20's because there wasn't anything to pay for even if you had it. But they damn sure wanted their walkers and hip replacements in the 60's.
Digital non-degree credentials may go into a black hole when applying for jobs
no i think you missed my point, they think they are incapable of making decisions with money/negotiations
I am a reasonably successful researcher, and I admit to neglecting my wife sometimes, especially in my early career.

However, I would venture that being successful in any career --- be it research, business, politics, arts --- requires a certain amount of focus and neglect of your family and friends.

But later, if you succeed, you can make it up to them and make it worth it for them as well.
Looks like you got downvoted because you offended someone ;)
Leaders and factions are not a problem in a system that does not allow them to easily hoard power. Which authoritarian socialism isn't, of course, but that's not the only kind.

If you're wondering why we don't see the other kind much - well, the socialist movements that won back in early 20th century were generally the most ruthless ones, whereas the more democratically minded movements (e.g. Luxembourgism or various anarchist groups) were crushed. So you had a kind of artificial selection for brutality to begin with - but then countries controlled by those winners would also subsidize similar movements elsewhere, and of course they demanded ideological conformance in return. This is largely why stuff like Marxism-Leninism and Maoism is still so pervasive on the left.
Those fuckers woild pound on my gutters for hours. Never once on anything other than the aluminum gutters. But they love the loud hammering sound, as it calls out to potential mates. So when they find something loud they will tend to come back to it.
Can you elaborate on your issues with Neon? Interested to know