skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
It might be a better explanation but those two are very much not equivalent.

Actually the fact that splitting it into pairs is the same as splitting into two equal sets of equal cardinality is itself non-trivial. The reason why shows up when you try to get the two definitions closer together.

Splitting an ordinal into pairs is essentially splitting it into ordered pairs (a_i, b_i) such that the map i to a_i is monotonic and for no i<j the pair (a_i, b_i) overlaps with (a_j, b_j) in the sense that a_j <= b_j.

Splitting a set into pairs is splitting it into sets {a_i, b_i} such that for no i != j the two sets {a_i, b_i} and {a_j, b_j} overlap.

These two are note the same, you can split pretty much any infinite set into two disjoint sets of equal cardinality.

It's hard to get the definitions general enough to get one definition for both ordinals and sets. Mostly because products of ordinals are a bit weird. For sets (and most other types of mathematical objects) it doesn't matter which way around you pair things up, but for the ordinals you end up with a completely different object if you do it the other way around and this is apparently the more interesting definition of the two.
That's true for Apple's Tracker Detect app, but any thief or other user could simply use the free and open source AirGuard app on Android, which has more functionality than both Tracker Detect and the AirTag anti-tracking features built into iOS:

https://github.com/seemoo-lab/AirGuard

For example, AirGuard lets the user activate the alarm on any AirTag in range immediately without waiting any period of time. iOS and Tracker Detect only let the user do this if they determine that the AirTag is following the user, and Tracker Detect adds another 10 minute waiting period for no good reason.
Nice. A great collection of extraordinary animation.

Especially https://www.sakugabooru.com/post/show/147316

Apparently the animator eschewed keyframes entirely, opting to "just do it correctly" frame by frame. I haven't seen weight conveyed quite like like that.
Well done. How did you select and cut the examples? All by hand?
How is saying "there's a one in three chance that such-and-such an event occurs" classified as "plenty wrong" in your view, if the event occurs?
But what if they discover alcohol/drugs/gambling/etc? They'll fall off the tracks and the loan will never get paid back. Which ofc is incredibly stupid, classist, and racist to boot. And not even a guarantee by someone's credit score. But with a credit score, you have a metric of just how much money to trust them with (not really), which can be plugged into the spreadsheet and you can hire an army of mortgage brokers to plug stuff into the spreadsheet.

Credit score is a moralizing system that hates the poor, so it's unsurprisingly embedded itself into American culture by three corporations that will never be held accountable (see: Equifax leak).

It's as American as the bald eagle. I'll stop now, my cynicism is showing. I just don't see a way to get to a place where we don't have the current trifecta of credit scoring corporations running our lives without a giant pile of money to start a competing credit bureau that makes and underwrites loans based on different computation of a person's score. Because a credit score was initially for rating people on their ability to pay back borrowed money. It's just been perverted since its inception into what we have now.
Those apps appear to share your location data with the company.
No, its saying...

Well, here:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/checking-our-work/
Function composition is the essence of perversity.
Show HN: LLM Oracle, GPT-4 for predicting the future
Hi all!

Sharing a recent side project that uses LLMs to reason, research, and predict future events. It's far from perfect, unbiased, and calibrated, but it's an interesting proof-of-concept.

Demo: https://oracle.sshh.io/
Code: https://github.com/sshh12/llm_oracle
iOS <> MacOS
>If you mean on par with current year then it'll be a long time

Tenstorrent Ascalon, a RISC-V CPU TBA 2024, has performance competitive with projected Zen5 performance, while using less power.

As Zen5 is also TBA 2024, they'll be on par in the same year.

RISC-V is inevitable.
It is not always read-write-modify. There is no evidence of this pattern in Ubuntu when there is no memory pressure. Merge occurs when block is partially updated after kenel had lost state of the block, which can happen under memory pressure.
How do you know this was unique and not picked up in its training set?
Windows ain't done till Chrome won't run!
It may make more sense, but that's not the phrase that people use.

I've never heard anyone say, "to no end". It's always just "no end".

https://english.stackexchange.com/questions/69501/meaning-an...
Lol… geoip has never once gotten the state right for me. Best it does is get the country right.
As a DIS shareholder, I'm livid. Losing the rights to use the best election forecasting models in the business a year before a Presidential election is monumental fuckup.

This is one screwup that can't be placed at the feet of their previous incompetent CEO.
Agree on the Lamy Safari drying out very quickly; I use it about once a week, and it is always dried out at first use. I know Montblanc can be overpriced, but it's the only pen I have that writes immediately without skipping after a time, even if I haven't used it in a month.

My daily drivers are a Lamy 2000 with a TWSBI Eco in different color ink for highlighting/commenting; I also carry a Pilot 823 on me as a backup to the Lamy 2000 but I have never been able to get used to the vacuum mechanism.
Now that Disney owns the FiveThirtyEight trade name I want to see how it's integrated into the Star Wars franchise.
A web browser implements the web standards. The web standards are put together by organizations that do respect all stakeholders. If the web ignores stakeholders then people will migrate off the web. This is how you get into a world where you have to use mobile apps and the web is near barren.
The government is corrupted by its relationships with the private sector. The only other way to pull money out of government is through salaries, and government workers don't get paid that much.
This is why they just recently changed CEOs. You're going to see the ship changing direction over the next 2 years back to a more familiar course.
Looks like a holding pattern. An odd one. Perhaps mechanical failure and waiting on ground resources? One could try to find their radio here comms here [1]. Maybe KBOS Final Vector, Tower and Boston Center / Guard

[1] - https://www.liveatc.net/search/?icao=kbos
IBM has acquired Red Hat, UStream, Alchemy, Cloudant, SoftLayer, Vivisimo, Blekko, and a lot of other companies. They have, in fact, almost everything needed to build anything the FAANG companies are building.

The missing pieces (in my subjective opinion) are: (1) happy AND talented employees and (2) a rapid execution culture.
I always find this to be a baffling thing about the American system. Where I live we never take out a loan (except for houses) and most cards are debit cards. The American system seems to punish the way we act here, like you, you can be perfectly credit worthy but you have not been a good loan-taking rent-paying citizen? It feels dirty to me.
Sure.

I wonder how many sites are still using md5...
This would be fairly easy for Apple to fix as a middle-ground.

Some (presumably not all) MDMs delete the escrowed Activation Lock bypass code when you drop the machine from MDM. Jamf _suggests_ that this is because Apple won’t validate the bypass code unless the machine still exists in the last associated MDM, but I’ve never found crystal clear documentation on the underlying theory.

If Apple already knows the last enrolled MDM server (which isn’t guaranteed), then they could change the implementation so that the last valid bypass code is always preserved and valid. This could then be made available via some channel.

I’ve been long saddened that they don’t want to work with industry more expansively to deal with the waste problem the current implementation creates.

At the same time, it’s my hardware. If it gets lost or stolen, I still feel entitled to control whether it’s useful. On the other hand, I’d rather wipe it and let it be used than a resource sink.
RPG is an abomination. It's a paradigm of the old plugboard tabulators from the 40's.

No indentation. Cryptic op codes. Rigid fixed-column OP1/OP2/operation/result. Assembler without the power.

"Repulsive Programming Garbage".
What was the uBanks/person in the US before the GFC/2008?
Didn't Rust originate as a Mozilla side project? Or maybe I'm misremembering and they were just one of the early adopters of it in Servo.
Human existence is meaningless to the universe so you know; if our existence is to be treated as such I would rather have front row seats to the apocalypse than work a rote office job another 20 years
What kind of calligraphy?

For “pointed pen”, I love my Pilot Falcon. It’s got the most “flex” of any modern fountain pen I own - I own way, way too many fountain pens. I haven’t inventoried them in a couple of years, but I had >200 at the time.
The value is the hype not the journalism.
Weird. I dunno about you, but I own my Macs, and am able to do anything I want with them.
GIGO.

thing is, this should be the final straw for civilized society and the internet propaganda machine.

For anyone ignorant: this was going on at smaller scales for a decade.
Blog spam sites are not expensive to host and they would just pivot to referral links. What it hurts are sites that generate user value and give it away for free by subsidizing it with ads.
No, literally everyone gave Clinton a much higher chance. I think FiveThirtyEight is mostly a clickbait circus, but they were the only serious prediction organization who rated Trump's chances as high as they did.
The whole globe should be Anti-dollar (and anti-government money from any country)! What gives the US the right to the global reserve currency and the power to export inflation?
Yeah, I agree. You can see something like this as a clear signal of a market and regulatory failure and yet recognize it as an ultimately pro-social stop gap.

If this becomes routine, it will mutate. It's an absolute breeding ground for abuses. Thus it should not be seen as a reliable source of relief but as another catalyst for the urgency we need to have regarding the housing crisis which is rising to the level of an emergency. Policy makers are the only ones who can swallow hard and make the decisions which will get us out of this.
No it says it’s not and that it’s not an LLM
for whom?
This seems like a fairly obvious yes since his performance is no longer hypothetical. Donald Trump is a mentally impaired bigot who combines inattention to detail, massive ego, inability to select quality underlings, and failure to manage and performed abominably.

None of them were competent enough to make an informed decision insofar as the leadership of the nation because they relied on faulty analysis, willful ignorance of Donald's many flaws, and self interest in lower taxes.

I'm not sure why this is controversial. The average college educated individual is presumably skilled in their profession but their profession but that is hardly sure to inform their understanding of matters out of scope of that profession.

Do you find it surprising that 30% of any group makes poor decisions?
It claims it isn’t an LLM
That doesn't make sense. A credit card provider may profit more from a customer who carries a balance and maybe makes the odd late payment, but a mortgage provider inherently has a customer who carries a balance, and the ideal is a customer who makes payments on time every time, for the life of the mortgage.
And even before that, you got a popup when https was used. Something along the lines of "Warning: this site is secure".
> The porn industry exploits vulnerable women and ruins their lives, forces them to do stuff they never signed for and much more.

It's absurd disinformation to paint all pornography this way. For only the most obvious example, please explain in detail how porn studios only featuring men do this?
I certainly felt it.
Apart from just disliking JavaScript as a whole, what specifically would you improve to make it acceptable? I think any problems it has on BE would also apply on FE, and should be improved?
> Lines aren’t built that way. They’re set by books to offset their risk.

They're initially set by bookies based on their models, but then pretty quickly evolve to a market-based mechanism.
Grapheneos is pretty solid
I wouldn't presume that most of it is Nate's own work. (I suspect that for most sports he is delegating but "owns" the output, he does seem to directly build most of the political stuff.)

Isn't this what the Skype guys pulled off with Microsoft too?
I think Apple has a better ethical compass, but I have no illusions about it, either. Their business model is selling hardware, and they've found that they do well at that by not compromising the user experience.

Apple isn't an angel, but they don't tend to do shit like this. Macs also don't come with a shitload of goofy ads in the Dock, like every consumer build of Windows. Opening a new Dell is like entering a shitty mall.
How is "provide no predictive power" achieved?
>I think that there is much disagreement about what "improving the ecosystem" would look like.

Sure, but enabling sites to be financially viable to run is almost universally considered good. If something is not viable on the web either it will be built on another ecosystem or it won't be built at all. It ends up making the web a worse place to be and strengthens the competitors to the web.
If you like your VP, consider buying only a “writing unit”. My favorite is a 0.9mm stub, which is somewhat hard to find.

There are also a couple of additional variants of the Vanishing Point out there. The Decimo is identical but thinner.
Joe and Sue also don't pay back their loans to private banks, and those banks get bailed out.
Here's what I'd like. I have an idea for a script. I have a story line, with an arc, and a real compelling story. I have absolutely no skills for camera work, editing, directing, production, lighting, audio, any of that. So basically, without a cast, crew, and skills I can't make my idea for a film happen. This is where I'd like the assistance of tools that can help me make my film idea a reality. I don't want algorithmically generated movies with random and disconnected plot lines. i just want tools to help me achieve my goals when I don't have the tools or skills available. Isn't that what technology should be all about?
You mean GPT4Free.

GPT4All is an unrelated ML model based on GPT-J
Their comment history doesn't seem that trollish, just this chain of comments. I've seen several dozen accounts with sub 100 karma that are definitely more suspcious.
As has been pointed out ad-nauseam, beginner human artists find hands very hard to draw too - and newer models aren't really making hand mistakes often.

I've never seen significant or systematic errors with faces.

It sounds a little bit like you haven't actually tried these tools. The kinds of errors you seem to think they make just aren't there in practice. I'd encourage you to try them out!

> LLMs imo don't understand the rules of language and context they only approximate what a rule compliant system should output.

This is an area I know a lot about.

There are no real universal rules for English grammar. If you look at something like the Penn treebank you can see that English - as used by humans - is more exceptions than rules. The fact that LLMs outscore any rule based system merely means that our grammar rules are mostly things derived from how English is used in practice, not vice-versa.
It's difficult to buy stocks if you don't even have a bank account. Why wouldn't Bitcoin be a "savings account"? I use it as a savings account, it's really great. I put money that I don't need today there so I can have the same or higher buying power in the long term, regardless of inflation.
> Much of FiveThirtyEight’s vital intellectual property — such as the election forecast models — is merely licensed to Disney.

This seems odd that Disney would buy FiveThirtyEight but not its IP. How common is this?

If I were buying a data journalism company known for its models, that seems like something important to purchase. This seems like a curious contract negotiation and seems like a mistake on Disney’s part. Or a future lawsuit if there’s a difference of opinions.
Even if he result appears dead-even there is a cost. Framing the election in terms of who wins instead of which candidate is best increases the tendency of voters to vote for candidates who "have a chance," even though there is no rational reason to vote for candidate that is more likely to win.
Genuinely lol'ed! This is such a perfect child + 1 argument - well played :)
Maybe scanning a high resolution map of the area north of Boston.
Safety and Liability will always be an issue.

Monopolistic and malign practices always creep in. Say you miss and are late on rent, and then walk in to find you've been terminated. They won't say its because you were late on rent, but its not outside the possibility that they'll have some other manufactured excuse.

Maybe the buildings have ongoing recording that isn't disclosed, Wayward Pines style.

The incentives for this only make sense when you factor in the additional malign control the company gets over the employee.

Reminds me of that one TV series "The Colony" (not a post-apocalypse type movie).
As someone who is very optimistic about GPT, you are utterly misunderstanding what content moderation teams deal with if you think GPT can accurately assess a majority of their cases.

The accuracy will not go up significantly if humans are already struggling, and I'm not talking about the mental aspects of the job, I'm talking about being unable to determine if the case is accurately violating TOS or not.

This is going to get even more difficult, for both humans and AI, when content is being generated at alarmingly fast rates by AI. So even with the use of AI to combat AI, there is still going to be a gigantic tidal wave of questionable shit to go through.
Importing from __future__ worked well to make language changes opt-in. It was a mistake to start breaking backward compatibility by default.
I just watched a Ted talk by Sal Kahn (founder of Kahn academy) where he talks about giving their chat bot an internal monologue. It's light on details but might be a starting point.

https://youtu.be/hJP5GqnTrNo?t=735
there's no one left in HR but will reach out to the founder based on the feedback. thanks!
So then isn’t the issue with how the tokens are encoded (embeddings)? It wouldn’t be an issue with tuning the model parameters, because stochastic gradient descent will always find a local maxima or minima.
Borges is one of the few literary authors that the HN readership "Really Likes" (hard to disagree). If you search the site you'll find a few more threads about him.
Well it wouldn't be any old mine, it would be chosen in a way that deferentially impacts the operations of the company that you want to harm. Yeah, it's a negative sum game, but that's how threats usually work. Even though it might hurt their hand, people sometime punch other people if they're convinced that it'll hurt their target more than it hurts them.

Income disparity would also be part of the calculation:

1) If there are V people with W average income each willing to pay X% of their their income to support Y other people while they strike and forgo their income of Z, then maybe you get more disruption for your buck by targeting part of the supply chain in a country where wages are lower.

2) If you're looking to make your target look scummy, targeting a more direct dependency might not be the right thing. You'd want to be funding a strike that should've happened anyway if only the people could afford it, not one that isn't justified.

As for the "China does not look kindly" thing... don't get caught? We're disrupting here, of course we're going to upset people. That's the point.
Fun fact: Steve borrowed my friend's cell phone for this call which became the cover photo.[0]

[0]https://infostory.com/2013/08/18/steve-jobs-thank-you-bill-g...
I'm sorry, I had to. Re-reading your response though, there's something unclear to me. What part was intense and strange? Wouldn't it just be like going under and then waking up? Was there a sensation of going in and out as they performed surgery?
This is the oldest conundrum in Trust & Safety. The target party (Amazon) has pretty much all of the rich data (IPs, cards, addresses) while the interested party (usually a small company) is trying to scrape their way to solve a problem that the first party is half-assed interested in solving because they (1) have an internal "abuse" team to deal with it already and/or (2) are probably making money by keeping the problem alive either directly or indirectly.

As if the above is not already, there's one more complication: the interested small company needs to pitch their solution as a service to the platform because in general that's the only interested party of real business value. i.e. end users would not pay for such protection or won't pay enough.

Apply it to social media impersonation and scams, Adtech scams, etc etc.

Fun stuff.
Where does it say this? In published info or (possibly hallucinated) chatbot interaction?

Because InflectionAI definitely bills LLMs as what they are building, and has a waitlist for a Conversational API based on that work, so it would be odd for their public demo to be unrelated tech.
Yes, actually I remember all the outages. I suppose I was thinking about user-facing improvements.

OK, now they've fixed their scaling issues, what needs to be done?

They certainly haven't made any positive frontend improvements.

Can there be no such thing as a finished product?
I don’t remember NYT. But I recall the other major poll site Real Clear Politics had an election map with a percentage chance for each state and they had Hillary at 99%.

Their mistake was that they treated each state as an independent event. Treating each state as a separate biased coin toss leads you to put Hillary at 99%.

Nate knew that these are not independent events and if republicans are being under polled in one state, it is more likely they’re being under polled in all of the states.
This is a good list but it has a massive jump in levels from $40 to $200+.

I would say that Platinum 3776 belongs in between these levels and not alongside the 2000 and Vanishing Point. Other entries on this level may include:

- Faber Castell Loom: Faber Castell steel nibs are absolutely buttery smooth. My favourite steel nibs and better than most gold nibs. The grip section is a bit slippery.

- Twsbi 580ALR: Beautiful colours, piston filler, good nibs, great value.

- Platinum Curidas: A capless pen like the Vanishing Point but in cheaper materials. Still a great option at a lower price since it's such a unique type.

- Pilot Custom 92: If you can source it from Japan. North American prices are crazy.
My #1 is really attempt to say that OP’s question is a moot point.

As in, there is no way that polling or analysis of polls will ever be stopped, so why even debate its societal value?

It’s like saying “the world would be a better place if everyone started/stopped doing this one thing”. Okay?
Garbage In, Garbage Out (GIGO) refers to the idea of expecting useful results when the data or inputs are useless or "trash."

"These new reporting dashboards are really going to prove that our stuff is the best!"

"Only if we're measuring it right. You know what they say: garbage in, garbage out."