skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
To be fair, I wasn't calling you a hypocrite. I was implying that the "journalists" who shovel shit, whose prospects of being replaced by the predictor is almost certain at this point, are hypocrites. I do enjoy a little schadenfreude every now and then. And certainly, other people, including two-faced elected politicians. I apologize if you felt it was directed towards you.

>The idea that mid and late career tech, creative, medical, etc. professional will be able to easily "reskill," or that there will be good jobs for them if they manage to, is magical thinking

The jobs aren't going anywhere. Some will be made redundant, a lot will be augmented, and if we're so lucky, there will be more content shoveled out by the text predictor than ever before (garbage.) There is no medical, tech, or "truly" creative professional that is going to be replaced wholly by an LLM or diffusion model, not anytime soon. I'm assuming you're referencing the "study" done on reddit with /r/AskDoctors, and it's a laughable study. Certainly, docs can augment themselves, and they should, but not wholly rely on the model. Even 70B+ LLMs do not produce consistent facts, they produce plausibility, despite the facts most definitely being in their corpus. They predict. If you read Microsoft/OpenAI's paper around a month ago, it appears that RLHF actually reduces the quality in many aspects, despite it increasing the quality of output for whatever they deem quality elsewhere, so it's a double edged source instead of "add more tokens" + "add more layers."

But more importantly, new jobs will come, more than before.

>without being curious about what the actual human beings involved

I'm back in the rust belt with family after moving around the US for software jobs in the last five years, I see it first hand.

LLMs are like Google on steroids for a (compressed) corpus (the internet.) But you have to know that it's simply predicting. It's plausibilities. Once you know their limitations in that respect, they are useful.
Country Life Butter is the only one I remember. It's the British equivalent to Ireland's Kerrygold and New Zealand's Anchor as the brand was started by a consortium of the Milk Marketing Board and the large dairies.

Though apparently Anchor is now produced in the UK for the UK market.

> In the United Kingdom, Anchor block butter was imported from New Zealand until August 2012 when Arla Foods UK, the British licensee, transferred production to a local factory at Westbury, Wiltshire, using British cream.[6]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anchor_(brand)
Yes, yes it is. And getting people in code review to use that, instead of non-cross-platform methods, is like pulling teeth, IME.
I'm probably not normal. We use it all the time. Probably helps that we have a playset and a trampoline and a garden back there - we were in the yard for several hours today (adults gardening, kids and their friend on trampoline). Of course, we've also eliminated half of the grass that used to be here in favor of more garden + perennial shrub/flower space, and I'd like to eliminate more over time as the kids get older, and we're the weirdos who compost and make our own mulch for the yard, etc.
Imagine there are no celebrities, telling us what to trust. Skepticism in media will have to make a comeback.
I think the extra heat might help over time. A possible path could be ratings -> media -> pressure. On the margin if people avoid your properties it’ll impact you first when there is a downturn. Agree nothing will come of it in the current state, but a lack of reviews definitely won’t help.
What I like about this system is that every time I've ever encountered this it's always been a laughable error. The last time, I weighed a carrot and it reported that I had actually weighed plums, despite the image clearly being orange and longer than most plums in a longest plum competition.
Reflecting on the Founding of Overleaf – Part II
The reverse can also be true, tenants don’t care about landlords.
This story is a bit convoluted, mostly true but incomplete as the Ars article tells it.

From what I can gather, the way the system was originally meant to work is that each Minuteman squadron had five Launch Command Centers (LLCs), each with two men in them who would have to simultaneously turn their keys. In order for the missiles to fly normally, at least two of the five LLCs would have to command a launch. The computers in the LLCs contained launch codes which would be sent to the missiles, and these codes were never set to 00000000.

Disconcertingly, there was a 'backup' system that was meant to enable if the LLC lost electrical power, a single-vote timer. The single-vote timer would allow a single LLC (two men) to launch the missiles after a delay of at least one hour (during which time the order could be countermanded by one of the four other LLCs.) Sounds okay, except according to John H. Rubel these timers could be set to zero. So if the main power went out and the LLCs were running on backup power, a single LLC could have commanded the launch, and if the single-vote timer were set to zero, there would be no countermanding it.

To supplement the above systems, McNamara commanded the installation of another system (perhaps erroneously) called PAL, which would be required to arm the missiles but was itself insufficient to launch the missiles. According to Dr. Bruce Blair, it was this 'PAL' system for which the codes were set to 00000000, rendering it effectively moot.
For me as a kid, there was a huge gap between something that was free and something that was not. The difference between asking my parents for something and just getting (downloading) it.

I now have my own disposable income, but I still think long and hard in case I have to spend money; the actual price being secondary to the fact, that the thing is not free.
> it's way more important for the justice system to minimize false positives (wrongful convictions) than false negatives

True, but only up to a limit. The only way to avoid all false positives is to have no justice system at all, but in that case the criminal gangs essentially become the government and justice system.
Gotta love that globohomo convergence in the age of average.

https://www.alexmurrell.co.uk/articles/the-age-of-average
>most of the OOP programmers I know do not understand covariance and contravariance (whereas just about every functional programmer I know has mastered them)

I very much doubt this and I suspect it is more of a problem of how you framed it. I'm sure you would see more success if you framed it seeing if the following would compile.

List list = new ArrayList<String>;

and for contravariance ,which is something that is not very common in practice

Consumer printHashCode = o -> System.out.println(o.hashCode());
Consumer<String> printStringHashCode = printHashCode;
That's a pretty sanguine point of view. Russia stole emails from a private organization for the explicit intent of disrupting the election and then fed them to WikiLeaks and then Assange had audacity to try to blame Seth Rich. Julian Assange provably lies to further his personal agenda. Any good he has done for the world has been purely coincidental.

Cable news hire experts to give expert opinions. Not to divulge state secrets for personal gain.

Well, except Fox. Fox has Oliver North.
It's interesting how quickly the Chinese Room has moved from thought experiment to reality https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chinese_room
That's the beauty of freedom (which France helped us gain) - I don't really need to justify my yard usage to you.

But I'll give you one anyway - it's a nice buffer between me and my stupid neighbors.
Being unrealistic about the threat models they face?

You mean like thinking if a cop can't manhandle you into unlocking your phone through FaceTime, the incriminating evidence of criminal behavior on it will simply be ignored? Especially since "bad apples" are so rare and often brought to justice?

You mean threat models like that?
> Transgressions in favor of the state are one thing, you'll get a slap on the wrist at most, even personal benefit and promotion in some cases

Simply wistleblowing to report legal breaches by your employer can sometimes ruin your career.
Yes, it was always really lame and silly.
Guess we'll just disagree.

If it's not distinguishable then there's no difference period. Of course that won't stop people from making up differences.

An argument stemming from "well humans could have this special sauce that machines can't have...just because", is not something to take seriously.
In western and more arid states they're a huge waste of water. Really depends on the climate. In other areas they're just a lost opportunity for biodiversity. Mixing in some clover or other small perennial soft small flowers can help a lot with making it both self-fertilizing and more pollinator-friendly.

(We kept part of our grass for exactly that reason but it helps that we don't have to water the lawn here. With added clover I'm quite happy with it.)
Of course, because when seconds count, the police are minutes away.
I don't see why that implies we shouldn't take it seriously. The world #1 didn't want to play, so we got a great match between the world #2 and #3 with some very interesting and complex games. Do you also think that Karpov shouldn't have been taken seriously as world champion?
I think Sydney is worrisome in that it shows that even Microsoft, spending tons of money, can’t (or doesn’t want to) stop LLMs from going “off-script”. If your concern is “will Microsoft et. al be careful with deploying new tech”, Sydney was evidence towards “no”. You could guess that the PR incident will have encouraged them to be more careful in the future, but I’m not confident in that.
The only difference between a leaker and whistleblower is whether you agree with their motives and reasoning. It’s basically the same difference as between a revolutionary and insurgent or terrorist, or a partisan and rebel. The parallel goes even further because it’s essentially a sacrificial asymmetric resistance from within that is impossible to fully prevent.

We definitely need to remember that character assassinations will be used against anybody that threatens those in power, whether they do so rightly or wrongly (and that the truth often lies in between, though of course it could be much more towards one side than the other). There’s also a really difficult balance to strike because being too quick/willing to blow the whistle, or exposing irrelevant information in a massive dump, could end up doing more harm than good.

At risk of going against the HN grain: in a way, you need whistleblowing to be persecuted to provide a check against it being overused. If it weren’t persecuted then people could casually air way too much dirty laundry or weaponize it for personal reasons (like getting passed up for a promotion, or deciding on something an individual doesn’t like but which isn’t objectively bad). By making it have real and severe consequences, you need to have a very strong personal conviction that the truth outweighs the negative personal impact, which biases whistleblowers towards being moralistic (or mentally unwell). That isn’t to excuse the US government’s behavior though, I think the right thing to do would be to excuse the individual cases where it turns out the whistleblowing was necessary post-hoc, which had not often been done.

To give an example of what I’m talking about, consider what happened to Google in the past 10 years. Google for a long time marketed itself as a strongly moralistic company that wanted its employees to be the same. But it grew a lot in terms of headcount and media interest. Many Google projects faced a lot of internal resistance due to the moral implications (eg Dragonfly) but employees took it upon themselves to air the dirty laundry in public earlier than was justified (before it was fully committed and launched) - it’s hard to know if these would have launched without those leaks, but given the strong possibility they may not have, it did a lot of reputational damage just for something that was being considered. And today, you can read many headlines in eg Business Insider like “Google employees shit on Project Y” from people leaking internal e-mail threads and casual discussion groups to media. In that case whistleblowing/leaks are far more damaging and liberally used than they justify, and if people did the same thing to the Us military/intelligence community, it would be completely unable to operate at all.
>[Reddit says] that usage of third party apps is increasing over time, and this is a threat to them. [Reddit] raised the question of what would happen if such apps became the majority, in which case it would be unreasonable to expect the minority of official app users to bear the costs for everyone else.

I mean, let's not look internally and figure out what we (read: Reddit) could do to improve our app. Let's just continue to ignore the negative feedback we've been getting regarding the changes we've made for the last few years, and the fact that people use third-party apps because what we provide is garbage. There's nothing we need to fix, it's the users who need to get used to it.

Reddit's attitude towards users can essentially be summed up as, "The beatings will continue until morale improves".
It looks like Apollo is going to have to go paid only as well:

https://www.reddit.com/r/apolloapp/comments/12ram0f/had_a_fe...

I think the post about RedReader brings up the critical point: Reddit is dependent on its users to create and moderate content for every subreddit.

It would not surprise me moving to only paid access to the API starts a real declining spiral for Reddit. To me this is an implicit admission from the Reddit team that they are incapable of providing a better first party experience than third party clients.
This looks like time to bring back the original reddit: Usenet.

The people make content.

The people post content to groups they're on.

The people are the moderators of those groups.

But reddit profits.

Seems like the old federated solution is better. Capitalizing on people socializing and doing stuff just seems wrong, and I'd say IS wrong.

I wonder what it'd take to rebuild Usenet and get easy access for the masses, like Mastodon has done?
> Could you explain how 2) is controversial?

I didn’t claim it was, I claimed that the article did. (That said, I will now claim it: #2 is controversial.)

> is the amount of immigration not a product of political policy? At least legal immigration, which I believe is significantly larger than illegal.

(1) A thing can be a product of political policy without being a deliberate effect; (E.g., there are unlimited categories in US legal immigration, e.g., close family of US citizens; the quantity that do immigrate in this category is a “product of” that policy, but the specific quantity is not a direct policy choice; rather, a policy choice has been made that it splitting close families of citizens by limiting immigration in that group is undesirable, irrespective of quantity), and

(2) The amount of immigration is not the same thing as the demographic shift, it is only one contributor to it; things like relative birthrates among demographic groups in society, intermarriage rates, and lots of other things play roles.
It's not impossible, but it killed Bombardier. If anything, it proves their point! Airbus now has a nice plane, but Bombardier basically lost everything and has been sold for scraps. Airbus won by not doing anything and letting someone take the massive pain of going with a new design.

Now of course what Boeing did to block Bombardier didn't help* and more or less sealed Bombardier's faith. But that was only because Bombardier at that point was basically on the verge of death and had only a few months left of runway (ha), which is crazy for a formerly massive and diversified player.

* and our government here in Canada is so weak (nothing specific to Trudeau here, the same could be said about Nortel or tons of other high tech that have been squandered in Canadian history ) that it didn't want to support bombardier more than it did.
The old internet was delightfully weird
The biggest thing this explanation would have to accommodate is that the decrease of union membership (in the US) coincides with an increase of outsourcing.

There are better explanations such as implications in trade and finance post Bretton-Woods and the neo-liberalism that followed that incentivized busting unions and outsourcing.
The FAA makes planes?
Heavy compared to Gocycle
They banned people for mass scanning billions of IP addresses then creating bots to automatically grief these small servers.

I don't know how you can justify this. This isn't someone being an asshole on 2b2t... this is someone destroying thousands of small servers just to be destructive.
>To me this is an implicit admission from the Reddit team that they are incapable of providing a better first party experience than third party clients.

They essentially admitted as much in their discussion with RedReader.
Yet to see a definitive statement for my choice of reddit browser, "joey for reddit"

It has a "hold for popover" feature which makes skim reading and image preview much easier. I find myself doing it in browsers, wishing they did the same thing: thumbnail of an image? Just hold to see full size. It's a remarkably useful gui shortcut.
The most recent airliner crash would be PenAir Flight 3296 in 2019. For jet-airliners, Atlas Air Flight 3591 also in 2019.

If we count smaller craft like commercial single engine float planes, then the Puget Sound plane crash in 2022.
>IMHO, the simplest solution is single-term limits. Obviously, there are upside and downside trade-offs to such a policy. However, I think the upsides might be worth the downsides, especially since the system is so clearly being gamed by well-funded adversaries to the public interest.

Do you think the government is less complicated than the average software project? Does the idea of firing all mid-level and senior developers strike you as good practice?
To release us of our ennui, we mow and landscape our lawns. While many disagree, to others it's a status symbol and key part of the American dream. This is just how it's been since victorian times in the US.

I live in upstate NY, where grass grows more or less on its own. You can have a lush lawn here without weeding or watering if that's your choice.
In a way I’m thankful that Reddit has made using their site so inhospitable to mobile browsers. I’ve simply stopped using it. Though it seems they’ve at least brought back old.reddit.com but i.reddit.com still seems to redirect to the incredibly unusable www.reddit.com on mobile.

Now, in its place, I load up a .epub book in the iOS Books app and set it to continuous scroll mode. This way I’m getting the dopamine hit from the continuous scrolling AND I’m actually reading something worth my time, energy, and effort rather than outrage bait, astroturfing posts, or karma farm threads.
Similar for mosquitoes in FL
Brilliant. Thank you. Now get off my beach!
> During the call they said that third party apps like RedReader represent something like an "opportunity cost" for them, as they are unable to gather revenue directly from these users. They say that usage of third party apps is increasing over time, and this is a threat to them. They raised the question of what would happen if such apps became the majority, in which case it would be unreasonable to expect the minority of official app users to bear the costs for everyone else.

Can you imagine the horror if users were allowed to control what and how a website displays on their own device?!

I’m curious the ratio of ad-block users. It’s got to be higher than the average internet user. Probably even more so for the ones that are logged in.

> Because of this, it's best to think of RedReader a bit like a web browser -- even though usage from RedReader as a community is high, it's really just a bunch of individual users accessing Reddit directly as if through a browser. There's no central organization or service responsible for all the usage.

The word is “user agent”. A web browser is just one such program. You can even name it whatever you want because like all web standards from that era, it’s just a line of text with implicit trust of the sender.
https://youtu.be/9kptp9SmM5Y
You probably know this, but for the GP:

It's not clear whether the 1500 hour rule directly improved safety. Both the Colgan captain and the FO had more than 1500 hours at the time of the accident. What the rule did unambiguously is severely restrict the supply of new pilots to regional airlines. This significantly improved quality of life for regional pilots, who prior to Colgan were effectively making minimum wage or worse. (That may have indirectly improved safety, by making pilots more well-rested and fed...)

Another point of comparison is Europe, which has a not-dissimilar safety record, but still allows FOs to have 250 hours. That said, from what I understand, they have a very different training culture where students start in a multi-crew environment very early.
personally Holdsworth is a must, it's some of the most replayable music imo
I know that's your point, but I don't understand why you think that.

Even with your own theoretical additions to what the programs above need, none of the programs above actually need "all" access enabled.

And even when you do need to allow environment variables, subprocesses, and filesystem access, you can specify which ones. E.g. this program can read this specific package.json file and no other files. Or these three specific environment variables, and no others.

Which is still significantly different than "all".
dogs, camping out-at-home, and sledding with kids, baseball/catch. I practice my golf swing in the summer, family fun
>plain written language is much more ambiguous than a formal language like SQL.

This, by the way, is why programmers won't be out of a job due to AI any time soon... using an AI for non trivial generation of code just moves the code-run-debug loop from the computer language to AI prompts in English... which can be much harder to debug than e.g. Python.

Programmers will work hand in hand with large language models, but they're not going to be replaced with AI powered low code solutions any time soon.
I don't intend to lower the bar, but I'm tired of the same bad pushback of "it's not my favorite way."

It's not just strcat-ing paths together. It's … everything. I've seen databases with crap passwords (think "admin"/"admin"), because someone didn't want to take the time to generate one securely. I've seen systems subsist on a shared username/password (despite that being a security policy violation) because the sysadmins on the same security team responsible for Okta a.) can't take the time to get the assignments done and b.) don't understand Okta (or OIDC, or SAML, or …). I've seen people argue for "I need the list of user emails to import into MailChimp" — no, you most certainly don't: you need to write an email within the system's pre-existing mail functionality, since that respects the users' prefs as to whether they get your spam or not — and then escalate because that's not what they want to do, despite what they want clearly being wrong, and at worse, being a violation of anti-spam laws. I've seen people repeatedly fight factoring stuff into a library "well, we're just going need this code this one time, putting it in a library is too much work" — and they're the forth person/use-case to utter this — and then proceed to hit every corner case that such a library could encapsulate nicely. (But even after that: "so, now that you've hit all the bugs and corners, are you going to library-itize it?" "no, we only need it this once, it's not going to be needed ever again".)

I don't know how to raise the bar. HN itself perennially whines about interview processes that deliver any assessment of the candidates technical acumen — or lack thereof. Interviews will be Y/Y/Y/N with the lone dissenter being the only technical interview.

And there's no reward in trying to maintain the bar, AFAICT.