skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Disney and WB Discovery seem to have totally lost any vision for their future.

538 has a very clear value proposition outside of exposing nerdy polling and forecasting breakdowns for a small group of wonks. It's the place a lot of other folks source for rigorous tracking+forecasting of elections, sports, etc. It's good.

Disney, however, seems to be putting out a lot of crappy content on their Disney+ platform that rates poorly and is expensive to produce. The Mandalorian + Andor are great but the other recent Star Wars IP is horrible and cost them a fortune.
I question this view. Why? He forecast, and whats more provided the error bounds which gave Trump a chance to win. Outside of a crystal ball, what else could be expected?
1% isn’t a chance?
A melancholic development. But in a way, kind of relieving.

I think Nate Silver and his team did an amazing job making statistical analysis interesting and transparent and trustworthy.

On the other hand, 538 was a weirdly sterile website to actually read. On the rest of the internet you have raging and bombastic news designed to elicit feelings and (most importantly) clicks. 538 tried their best to fit in this world, but you were still just reading data analysis about other news or topics.
Too late, what's new? Already got Trumpers and woke mind virus from the social (neural) network.
It would too suspicious if Google directly buys Fakespot (a control on which allows to manipulate any review autencity). So Mozilla, which is totally funded from Google money, buys them.

A cookie consent on fakespot page states mainly Fakespot and Google cookies in a surprising manner. They give two options, but none to refuse any cookies:

- ok

- do not sell or share my personal information

How are they different? From reading details, I assume no difference.

There's no way to turn off any non-necessary cookies group (shared with Meta/Facebook (!) and Google).

It will be sad to stop using FF because of this integration.
Yes, there are altruistic reasons too. I'd like to say the same for myself, but it's not like I've put in the effort to find out how to actually help such people--and presumably those ways exist.

But it even makes sense according to a colder, less human logic (which, regrettably, is often what matters). Like maybe I want to pressure the makers of a VR headset into letting me root it so that I can prevent it from streaming biometrics to the vendor. If I can delay the release of the latest headset versionin a way that causes the news about the delay to focus on how poorly certain workers are treated, I can later threaten to do it again if they don't give me what I want.
I found it rather strange that the new AndrewNG course about prompting, that features an OpenAI employee, says nothing about templated output.

To me this is a killer feature of GPT, being able to turn a document into a json or any other template.

The kind of prompt is just amazing for GPT (try it with a blog post, document or any other thing):
"Analyze this document and transform it into the following format:

<title>

<summary (text conciseness: 5/10)>

<content bullet points (text conciseness 3/10)>

<content_item 1>

<content_item 2>

<content_item N>"

Also you can ask the same prompt in a json and GPT will gladly transform a PDF into a JSON.
"owning an Android actually makes it more difficult to interact with friends"

I'd get new friends before switching to an apple product. Actually if my friends switched to apple products, I might get new friends.
This is more of an average person/mainstream media reading complaint. But they weren't paying attention in 2016 or else they would notice /he was the only person saying Hillary might not win/.
The Foul Chartreuse Sea
And what I said is banks used to be allowed to fail (and FDIC wasn't directed to make depositors in excess of the insurance limit whole). Ok so the last time reserves didn't cover depositors was 2008 not more recent.

My remark is that alloeing banks to fail is no longer happening, and that's setting a really bad moral hazard. Some even suggested during SVB there should be infinite FDIC coverage for 2 years, which would have destructive side-effects towards the end of that period. It's strange to hear people (esp. libertarians) complain about the politicization of the IRS (Taibbi/Twitter Files), but not the FDIC.
Soon the elite will have amassed enough power through technology that they could put down any revolution. This terrifies me tbh.

The most dangerous innovation in this regard is advances in brain scanning is it could make it trivially easy to find the resistance. But robots and AI are factors too. If the rich don't need the labor of the poor it will certainly shift the balance of power.
PyTorch supports fusion and CPU/GPU codegen, https://towardsdatascience.com/how-pytorch-2-0-accelerates-d...

Taichi already allows for amazing speedups and supports all the backends (including Metal) https://www.taichi-lang.org/ the fact that they didn't mention Taichi is a glaring omission.

JAX is that next version of TensorFlow, https://jax.readthedocs.io/en/latest/notebooks/quickstart.ht...

This looks like a reboot of Numba with more resources devoted to it. Or a juiced up Shedskin. https://shedskin.github.io/

I think Mojo is a minor mistake, I would caution adoption, it is a superset fork of Python instead of a being a performance subset. Subsets always decay back to the host language. Supersets fork the base language. I would rather see Mojo integrated into Python rather than adopting the language and extending.

I have a theory why Mojo exists. The team was reading a lot of PyTorch and Tensorflow, getting frustrated with what a PIA working with C++ and MLIR is for their model-backend retargeting codegen, so they created their perfect C++/Python mashup rather than use TVM. They nerd sniped themselves and rather than just use Python3.12+mypy, they made a whole new language based off of Python.
Found the developer.

This isn't a real estate problem.

It's absolutely a collusion and corrupt business practices problem followed by enforcement.

You see the same corruption in the pharmaceuticals where maximizing profits is antisocial. Wealth inequality allows profiting of a minority individual.

Since this is hacker news, let's explain it in APP profit terms: companies are incetivized to make their products addictive, easy to get and then once you have reached the largest audience, you jack up fees till you have the most whales at their spending limit.

In none of these examples is supply a limit or driver of prices.
They updated it but as soon as you click it the old icon and UX is there?
Tracker Detect only scans for AirTags when the user manually requests a scan. Car thieves and other users who do not want to be tracked by AirTags would be better off using the AirGuard app on Android, which scans for AirTags and other Bluetooth tracking devices in the background automatically:

https://github.com/seemoo-lab/AirGuard

AirGuard is a FOSS project developed by the Technical University of Darmstadt.
Then you have never tried to join a group chat where the other members of the group all have iPhones and use iMessage.
This must be new. Last year the compiler believed vectors of bools were both N bytes wide and N bits wide for different purposes and we ended up needing

@ptrCast(*const u64, &my_bool_vec).*
somebody of the public profile of Nate Silver presumably can hire IT/network people who know how to securely run authoritative DNS (or hire it out to a highly trusted third party as a service), so they can point the MX anywhere they want, and either do email in-house or hire it out to an email service specialist or big cloud service provider.

The risk of having the gsuite paid services shut off are about the same as any other high dollar value paying customer using gsuite or office365 as an email service.
As a US Android user, I don't feel very disadvantaged. I have an iPad, an M1 Mac, and a couple Airtags. If I lose something I probably won't be able to locate it until I get back home. I haven't had much trouble with getting group messages on android but maybe my use-case isn't representative.

I think the Android perks still outweigh the cost. Not that any of this isn't possible on iPhone but it's a smoother Android experience: Google Fi for phone plans when traveling internationally, some open-source apps aren't available in Apple's app store, and some apps in both stores are more expensive for iPhone (e.g. Anki). I feel like iCloud has some bad incentives as well. I think that's why live photos is a pain to turn off (I also like Google Photos).
So Microsoft gets to use their monopoly powers to play the standards judge, jury and executioner?
> Your two paragraphs have no relationship. How it could possibly "turn out" that there's a 5% chance of Trump winning? Was the election run 100 times?

You can calibrate it by looking at their other election predictions and seeing how generally on target it is.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/checking-our-work/
I mean, this is a company that has operated and expanded in this area for a long time. They are well established. Obviously nobody can predict the future but it's a pretty good bet that they will be there for another three years. That's a bet I'd take if I worked there. This is not an SV software company, it's a company that makes physical products, has a huge investment in the facility to do that, and have been operating in the area for decades.
A line segment is also made up of an infinite set of points, but it's not endless.
"We do not use Content that you provide to or receive from our API ("API Content") to develop or improve our Services."

That sentence does not claim OpenAI does not use such Content for other purposes besides "developing and improving the Services". For example, using the Content in a manner that potentially harms Samsung's business.

What does "develop or improve our Services" even mean? There is no definition.

Third, how would anyone outside of OpenAI know how OpenAI uses the Content. For example, what if OpenAI was using Content from Services other than the API for purposes other than "to develop and improve our Services" (assuming anyone could prove what thet even means). How would anyone outside of OpenAI discover this was happening?

If we search these "ToS" for phrases like "You will" or "You will not", we see that users make promises to OpenAI. However if we search for phrases like "We will" or "We wil not", we see that there are no instances where OpenAI promises anything. IMHO, these "ToS" are better characterised as "ToU". Not to mention being found at "/policies/".

As a ChatGPT user, OpenAI does not owe you anything, unless perhaps you are Microsoft. For you, the "terms" can change at any time, for any reason, without any prior notice.

Let's imagine some far-fetched scenario where someone inside the company leaks information that suggests OpenAI is using Content from Services other than the API for purposes other than "improving or developing the Services". Then what?

OpenAI has not promised to refrain from using Content for certain purposes. There is no breach of these ToS if OpenAI uses the Content for whatever purposes it desires.

Maybe Samsung could claim something like (a) OpenAI misrepesented facts in their ToS, (b) that induced Samsung into using OpenAI, and (c) as a result Samsung suffered harm. Needless to say, claims like that are difficult to prove and any recovery is limited. Whatever creative legal claims Samsung could could up with, none of them would fix damage already done to Samsung from its employees having used OpenAI.
We've seen demonstrations of models being tricked into sharing details about their setup or training data. If they are to be trained on what is shared with them then that data could be procured by an attacker.

I would have concerns about Google using my data but I wouldn't be concerned that the data I enter could easily appear in someone else's spreadsheet.
Eric Adams is an ass.
I find it a bit sad that most comments here focus on the Apple/Android war rather than the boring dystopia fact that the police department of the most populous city in the US idea to fight increase in crime is to encourage people to use surveillance devices.

Must be the same people that say "just don't go out at night" when you point out the streets full of drug addicts and petty crime, as if it was a normal thing to say in a developed country.
> Was 538 journalism?

Yes, it was, and still "is" until they take the website down:
https://fivethirtyeight.com/
Because your status is temporary. As long as you have to work for a living, you're vulnerable to whatever 'the market' does.

Additionally, regardless of how overpaid you are, you cannot isolate yourself (to the extent of how billionaires can) from the effects of extreme wealth inequality. These are too many to list in a hn comment, but to give you an example, if a mob turns violent, you'll not have a security detail to evacuate you and your family.
The Deseret Alphabet was a phonetically correct alphabet for English.

In case you are unfamiliar, in many languages, the language is written exactly as it is spoken. For example, in Spanish and Italian, words are written exactly as they are pronounced. If you can read the word, you can pronounce it though you might not know the meaning.

Children in English-speaking places will usually have to study "spelling" where they learn how to correctly spell words.

Deseret alphabet was pronounced exactly as it was written which shows which spoken accents the speakers had.

English to Deseret translator: https://www.2deseret.com/

Learning to read Deseret primer book: https://archive.org/details/deseretfirstbook00univ/page/n3/m...
The issue is more with ERISA, which came about in the 70s. It requires all employment-connected retirement plans to act “solely in the interest of participants and beneficiaries” for the “exclusive purpose of providing benefits” to them. In that context, the fiduciaries do have an obligation to maximize risk-adjusted returns for the benefit of the plan participants as a whole. While the fiduciaries have latitude in selecting investments, intentionally investing in something they know won't maximize returns to the plan participants would not be allowed. The "benefit" of a below-market-rate affordable housing project doesn't count because those benefits would go to the housing occupants and not all plan participants.
Why would anyone trust Harari's opnion? He's basically a pop-sci author presenting classical cyberpunk ideas and themes as imminent future technologies (in the future we will have chips in people's brain / AI will control the world etc.).

There is absolutely no substance and he's no different from a tech bro saying plane tickets will be NFTs in the near future.
How does this work? I guess its different from something like fine-tuning because that wouldn't 100% guarantee the right schema?
He is the face of election prediction in America. All the other guys at NYT, WaPo, etc aren't as famous. Of course he's going to be the face you punch for them not predicting the election remotely right. (And don't give me this shit about 75% or whatever odds he gave being the rightest or whatever weasel nonsense, it was still plenty wrong and he still want to lmao "spike the football" really? Get out of here.).
It sounds like it was a really heartfelt experience.
Or they could do their job...
That was really neat and impressive in Wasm
Link plz?
I found this so weird I had to learn more, this [0] link has more details and more links.

FTA:
"AS/400 handled the verification and distribution of every order... [of a N64]"

This is a link to an Italian ad for Nintendo+AS/400 Advanced series[1]
and the English one [2]

[0] https://www.reddit.com/r/lostmedia/comments/12m6yru/found_19...

[1] https://archive.org/details/lastampa_1997-05-08/page/n3/mode...

[2] https://bashify.io/images/LOIpU7
> Strictly speaking, we’re not naming a table, we’re naming a relation.

If that's the case, the SQL command would be "CREATE RELATION", not "CREATE TABLE". This seems like an attempt to torture the truth to get the argument the author wanted.
The email standard never specified or guaranteed access to the majority of inboxes (or any inboxes in fact). It's literally just a technical standard to conform to or not. Successfully transmitting emails to another inbox is completely orthogonal and based on the personal, or corporate, decisions of the sender, receiver, and anyone else in the chain.

There is no provision for a fair shake, special categories for new entrants, or anything similar.
Exactly. Who is VWWHFSfQ and why do I care about one random out of billions? What’s a run of the mill office worker done for me lately I can’t do for myself having grown up on farms fixing machines, growing food, later earning a masters in elastic structures and working on hardware products.

Imma make chips with AI built in; why not make the machine assemble whatever state I ask for without some useless middleman?
I agree completely. I wasn't thinking of addressing my comment to stars like that but more towards mere mortals like me.

Given that we're on HN, I probably should have thought that thru a bit more.

Either way, very glad that Nate was smart enough to license everything. Kudos to him for being a shrewd negotiator.
> As someone who has written a lot of regexen

There are at least \d of us!
You can only think this if you ignored all of the protests in 2008. What America has is a population that doesn't get a say in American policy, unless there's some indirect sales risk for some powerful person who supports the policy (i.e. somebody is afraid that if the policy is passed, than sales at e.g. Kia or AB InBev will drop because of their association with it.) Even this can be completely thwarted by industry collusion.
BlackBerry exploring potential breakup of company
Did it get operating system and security updates for four years?
Step 1: Point news.ycombinator.com to 127.0.0.1 in /etc/hosts
Yeah, this is what stood out to me also. It’s likely a lot more than other people in his position could say.
> a concensus now that mmap should be avoided specially for databases

Maybe, but table 1 in Andy Pavlo's paper shows 7 of 10 databases surveyed do still use mmap.

Furthermore, that paper clearly demonstrating the issues with mmap came out in 2022 and most databases have been around longer than that.

That mmap isn't the future is maybe more certain than that mmap isn't common practice today (because it does sorta seem to be).
Webb telescope detects mysterious water vapor in a nearby star system
> Why not just sell these houses with no restriction even at a market profit?

Because they will be bought up by property management companies, headquartered in another state probably, who will turn them into rentals that the people there can just barely afford. Cook is trying to come up with an alternative to that.
>when you cannot

It's more of a "you might not be able to". Even with all the archival things that target Reddit currently, plenty of accounts who purge their comments squeeze through just fine.

If you post on the internet, yes, you do need to understand it's not sitting in one database table somewhere. It doesn't mean it's futile to try and clean up though.
Your attitude exactly highlights why I'm considering switching. I'm pissed at Apple, but it's not like I have any particularly affinity to Google. In the end, life is short. So I can stomp my feet and say "this sucks" and live alone in my basement (yes, I'm exaggerating), or, if I go on vacation with a group of friends and I want to share in their experiences, photos, etc., then I can get an iPhone.
It turns out that translations only enhance the mystery and wonder.
Reminiscent of the Open Group, or don’t be evil.
Literally the Vegas line?

Nate put 2021/22 warriors at 0.5% to win, Vegas was +900.

Nate put 2020/21 bucks at 10% to win, Vegas was +550.

If you can’t even come close to beating the line, you’re not a good model. He’s just transparent about his variables.

> EDIT: (cause I can't reply to the below comment) my question was what model beats 538, not which betting market beats 538. yeah, duh, the Vegas line beats 538, because it beats literally all publicly available models. It'd take a really disastrous gambling

Lines aren’t built that way. They’re set by books to offset their risk. They’re based on a bunch of (usually drunk) wetware computers with huge biases (don’t believe me, look at any Dodgers line when they have an obviously bad pitcher matchup).

If your model is worse than that, then what’s the point of a model?

To the point of bookie models, those are based on how they think people will bet, not on who they think they will win. The point of books is to be outcome neutral.
Historically, anything that can't be easily comprehended has been attributed to a higher power.
Horserace election coverage is the larger problem. But FiveThirtyEight is clearly a participant in that.
So the largest Android phone manufacturer is “trash”? Who do you recommend?
Excellent troll, good sir, 10/10
On the other hand, no they won't. People with nothing to write about talked about games and movies converging for years and they never even came close.

The closest you could say was games have a narrative woven in. Movies are passive and everything is intentional. Games are fundamentally about interactivity. They are practically opposite forms of entertainment.

I don't even know what you mean by 'social will converge'.
Philosopher ( me ) urges corporation known as United States of America, and it’s sworn so called “peace officers”, to implement the following pilot program for car thieves and catalytic converter thieves:
When apprehended and proven guilty, drop them off 20 miles out in the ocean with an ankle gps bracelet, food rations, $100 usd, a raft, and life-jacket.
IMO this would have a profound impact on the criminal, and would be an effective deterrent.
He regularly underperforms the Vegas line.

He makes bad models.

Nate put 2021/22 warriors at 0.5% to win, Vegas was +900.
Nate put 2020/21 bucks at 10% to win, Vegas was +550.
If you can’t even come close to beating the line, you’re not a good model. He’s just transparent about his variables.

Edit: To be clear I don’t gamble, I just follow sports and like data analysis, so this isn’t a bank account thing.
Why are AirPods "surveillance devices"? Without being cynical or anecdotal I haven't seen any mention of how govt surveils citizens using them.
Thank you. It's a non repeatable single event. Percentage probabilities is basically cover for the predictor and cope for the people buying their bs.
I think the major parties and other interested organizations will always have forecasts like these available internally, and will leak them (or lies about them) when it's to their advantage. Having a high-quality forecast directly available to the public can't hurt more than that.

> I sometimes think they may be harmful, decreasing voter turnout by convincing people (correctly or incorrectly) that the result is preordained.

This is an old tactic that is used to the hilt by both sides whenever it serves them, and media outlets already make forecasts, often without 538's scrupulous emphasis on how often they're wrong. I don't think 538 makes this worse.
It would not be hard to generate a lot of false statements from structured data. Like if I know Michael Jackson was born on Aug 29, I can generate “Michael Jackson was born on July 5”. And you could also pair them with true examples which have similar characteristics. Can we use examples like this in the training process to teach the model not to hallucinate?
I always mess up some mundane detail...
> Really it just depends on the situation, plenty of New Yorkers would be game.

You kiddin me? Hell no. There are a lot of guns out there and we know it.