skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
People also inexplicably get better for a few days/weeks before they die. This happened with my grandfather who died of cancer and my great-grandmother who died of sepsis.
Well it's no joke, all the money chasing the mirage of D-T fusion for energy production; even if it works it will not be any kind of panacea. Other fusion types might be more realistic.
I believe there are some Nigerian princes who would be willing to help you set up such a fund.
Certainly. English can express the same ideas with less tenses, and having a gender for inanimate objects is absurd.
Only if you don’t know the concept of a bootloader. That which is necessary now will not be in the future.
They claim they are writing the actual kernel code (as in the implementation of a matmul) with it, and it was presented as a "system programming language": this goes far beyond "high-level tasks" it seems.
Thank you for your response. Please just let me say no once and for all. An occasional app banner is fine, but the system notifications is a step too far. That pushiness is what gave me the impression the location permission is more valuable to Tile than it is to me.
I feel like it should include earlier time periods (80's? Depression?), and have some adjustment for different times. I'm not enough of an expert to guess whether to use inflation adjusted dollar amounts (using what inflation metrics?), or as a % of GDP, or a % of the banking system..
You're welcome to try. If you succeed even partially then you'll be a billionaire. But these are complex biological systems and it's a tremendously difficult problem. I guarantee you that within our lifetimes we won't see a safe and effective drug that produces health benefits equivalent to frequent hard exercise. Many of those benefits come from the physical motion which helps to keep blood and lymph circulating normally so I can't see any way to put that in a pill.
Stewart had a condition to agree to do S1, that it explicitly not be a TNG reunion show.
It is! That's the default radius type for the dot mark on Observable Plot. To play with it, add `type: "linear"` to the dict on line 6.
Back then, they wanted to be selling a product, not turning users into the product.
> Making hardware more expensive, directly and negatively harms software developers.

Global solidarity has more benefits than drawbacks. Plus strikes only last so long, then if successful the workers get better pay. But this is unlikely to lead to higher hardware costs - instead it will just be lower profits for the capital owners. The cost of raw materials is not determined by labor costs, but by global markets - owners just collect the difference between costs and prices for themselves.
I didn’t take tooooo many econ classes but it sure seems like there are a lot of monopolies, oligopolies, and potential cartels these days.
Yes, but I am not a robot.
I was surprised by this too. I asked the author about it on Twitter [0]. At the very least it seems like fsync is something you can opt into in their configuration, even if it's not the default.

https://twitter.com/eatonphil/status/1653373246929027075
> OK, I read that.

Not very well.

> It’s telling that he uses MLB games, rather than Presidential elections, which are not covered at all in that article.

All the types of predictions 538 does are covered in the Brier skills chart on the overall summary; there’s detailed analysis covering each type of prediction (with further available breakdowns for subtypes available once you’ve gone into the type) available from the dropdown at the top of the page.
It works fine as long as the money you lose from the people you price out amounts to less than the money you gain by overcharging others who can afford it.

You don't need an environment flush with cash for that to happen, you just need enough people who are well off enough to pay, or (as we saw in the pandemic) desperate enough to go into debit in order to get what they want.

There's likely a rather large segment of the population who can be pushed out of certain goods and services entirely while companies make record amounts of profit exploiting a smaller pool of wealthier folks.

It's not as bad when it's limited to luxury goods, but it's shitty when the goods people have always been able to afford are suddenly out of their reach and it's a real problem when increasing segments of the population are priced out of things like healthy foods, PFAS free cookware, healthcare, or housing.
Anyone can be sued for damn near anything; but can they win a suit? That would be a harder one.
Going by Wikipedia, in 2021 dollars I count:

1980s S&L crisis: $654 Billion (summed 1984-1992 failures) across 23 banks

2008 crisis: $733 Billion (summed 2008-2011 failures) across 61 banks

2023 so far (it's only May): $556 Billion (Signature + SVB + FRC) across 3 banks.

It looks like 2008-2011 is the "winner", although other commenters have mentioned forced mergers etc. may not be counted.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_largest_bank_failures_...
I'll consider us lucky if losing control means something intelligent has taken control. Like most car accidents, it could end up just being a series of dumb mistakes.
"government spending" does not cause companies who are making record profits to increase their prices. That's just greed.

All the free money being printed hasn't stopped Americans from seeing utility disconnections, credit card balances, and bill delinquencies skyrocket. Evictions have also been rising in suburbia, but somehow we're supposed to think that all the price hikes on everything is because the American people just have too much money? That the government was wrong to provide disaster relief to people so they could keep a roof over their heads and food on the table when they weren't able to work?
If your job has a lot of boilerplate this is helpful. If your job is finding/solving complex system wide bugs this doesn't help as much.
Who knew Gritty was a brutalist mascot!
Does everything become a paradox given enough time and/or thought?

I think we often end up at the end of logical thought processes back at the original question - how can we observe and describe a system that we are inherently a part of?
I am also working on a similar solution. How far did you get?
People have different usage patterns. I don't think I've ever sent or received a video.
I don’t think it’s just a matter of curating data sets for accuracy. The model seem to be able to invent falsehoods on its own based on no data whatsoever - e.g. I read that researchers asked an LLM about a made up biochemist and the LLM generated an entire fictional history for it.
We've just discovered that most of the world is made of "dark" matter of unknown origin. Clearly, what we know is just a thin layer of reality. And even about this thin layer we know very little.
How about book deals and overpriced speaking tours after they leave office?

There are so many ways potential bribery is legal.

It seems so few good people want to be politicians. I wouldn't want to do it at all for instance (and not claiming the following necessarily applies to me either), but we need objective, rational, honest, intelligent, visionary, compassionate people to make decisions.

Instead (it seems to me) we get foolish influence peddlers for the most part. Maybe they don't start off like that but it seems to be where the road often leads. Perhaps this is just part of the human condition, but I sure hope for better.
Is this like when the Google self driving car director Chris Urmson said in 2015 his 11 year old son would never need to take a drivers exam?

I have a hunch when they decide who to hire for upper management, they select for whoever promises the moon. The person making the promises may not even believe it.
I don't think that's a limit. If you give me $10M and 5 years, I can tell you a half-dozen ways to train models better than GPT4, primarily by having them do richer tasks than text completion, by having them evaluate themselves in richer ways, by having workflows around them, and by having shared models perform multiple types of tasks (e.g. text, image, controls, etc.).

It's not that I'm especially smart; many others could tell you ways to do the same thing now that there's an initial proof-of-concept. It's that these things are new enough no one has had those five years yet. GPT4 came out two months ago, ChatGPT maybe seven months ago, and GPT3 three years ago.

I can't predict if these things will level off, grow linearly, grow exponentially, Moore's Law style, or explode off into the singularity.

I can say GPT4 is nowhere close to the limit.
It is unfair to not cite sources that are contrary with your claim: https://revistas.ucm.es/index.php/ALHI/article/download/4366...
The value proposition for living in those places isn't very good for high earners, if you make enough money the taxes alone are enough to live in TX, FL and get your fix of NY, CA from traveling.
Total number of FDIC banks over time is listed here: https://banks.data.fdic.gov/explore/historical?displayFields...
And yet despite 15 years of stimulus we have had persistently low inflation for all except the last 2 years or so, the first half of which was very clearly driven by supply chain issues.

It’s almost like even if stimulus has had an impact it’s not the only, or even the primary driver.
If you like absurdity, FTX has recovered 7.3 billion out of the 8.6 billion hole and plans on relaunching the exchange to make the last billions back in fees

Most noteworthy is that this quick 8 month turnaround is partially thanks to the blockchain, and under no new laws being passed
I hate Google and its surveillance capitalism abuses as much as anyone here but they're not in the wrong here. Brazilian politicians and supreme court are threatening hourly fines if they don't remove what's essentially their own opinions on their own sites. LITERAL censorship.

This shit is completely out of control. I'm actually afraid and worried about my own safety. It's gotten to the point my own family -- who lived through the military dictatorship -- advised me to stop posting online for fear it may lead to my arrest. How fucked up is that?
TIL there was a different "First Republic Bank" that failed in 1988. This name carries a curse now.
Modern art is not meant to satisfy men. How dare you.
Are there no small failures this time around because of ongoing consolidation? This seems to be a dominant trend in economics across the board. Does anyone have a good answer why?
The environment in most rich countries, especially in Europe (and especially ex-Warsaw Pact Europe), is in a lot better shape today than eg most of the 20th century.

(Of course, you can argue it's still in a worse shape than two thousand years ago.)

As other countries get richer, they also tend to start cleaning up their act. Have a look at the great strides China made in the last two decades.

> Also, the 99+% of the other species on the planet would probably have a dim view of our 'progress', as would people who respect them.

Most of the life on the rest of the planet are bacteria and archaea etc and the phages that prey on them. They are doing just fine. Of course, exactly how you divide them into species is a bit of a matter of debate. But no matter how you slice them up, they represent the vast majority of biodiversity on the planet.

I respect them a lot.

You might like http://2015phage.org/art.php
Several comments have touched on this, but wouldn't you define an AGI as something that could learn to drive a car? I think every (reasonable ( person understands self driving is >10 years away. So shouldn't AGI be?
In case a stalker is using one to track you.
On the far opposite of the startup post company gobble up side - I've been pleasantly surprised how well our zSeries ran OpenShift k8 images for our inherited mainframes. A simple tune for s390x JDKs, and many of the Java based apps were off to the races. The hardware already was - so the cost of putting it to work ended up being cheaper than using cloud resources. The IO, as one might expect, is very solid. Loving the hardware we had was a less bitter pill than pushing out our own instances.

After noodling out how to make my docker images work on aarch64 and amd64, it was trivial.
I think I agree, and am doing something similar as well. Even the adapters approach does require some amount of consistency across prompts. For example, if you have one prompt that says “you are a very helpful assistant” and one prompt that says “you are a very lazy assistant”, then even if those prompts are otherwise written to be as orthogonal as possible you will still probably see degradation in completion quality.
I am about to release a self hosted GPT that works with OpenAI and Azure OpenAI. It has several enterprise features, mostly around authentication/authorisation. I'll let you know when it drops or you can be a beta tester if you like!
Yeah I investigated a few. The ones I checked were Bluetooth and used your phones GPS to mark their location.

So like, if you left your keys somewhere, you'd know where they were when you walked away, but not where they are afterwards.
Unicorn low mileage Ford OBS F250 ex government top secret spy truck
> I’d like to see what other tools people can offer. Perhaps a tool that promotes ensemble working to share the problem solving and context with a larger group.

> ...what if a tool could helps teams design software before code is written? Right now all guidance and critique happens after, which requires developers to context switch and redo work.

I remember trying to do some visual design work for GNOME to improve the UX, share some prototypes, ideas, and iterate, but I have a hard time to understand how to work on the platform (I think it was GitLab), and people on the project also expect that I should submit code, finally I give up, maybe I was in the wrong, but that was my short experience with that.
There has always been two types of companies: those that are run well and have process to evaluate tools as they fit the business values and needs, and those that are full of grifters, chasing whatever hype is trending at any given moment. Unfortunately, the latter type of companies is far from crashing and burning (or at least not quickly enough).

You are neither arguing in good faith, nor even engaging in my argument at all. Please try not to do that. Your two paragraphs amount to nothing more than "if you are criticizing GPT-like tool, you are an idiot", that's not even an argument.
> conglomeration of the many banks into the few we have today

There are still thousands of banks in the USA. I dont really see why there should be more than 100. Canada has 5 big ones and a few dozen tiny ones. Same in UK and Australia.
> won't even be any solidarity between Indian and African workers. China in particular violently suppresses unions

How are these two points related?

> because they believed it'll result in China outcompeting all other developing countries in manufacturing

Oh dear, no.

In particular English speaking westerners really struggle to assign correct motivations, they. struggle to imagine different thinking processes.

Opressive governments like China and Russia has three properties

One - any act of spontaneous self organisation by the population is dangerous. In Russia the police raaids chess clubs and charities that plant trees. Why? Because fuck em, some weirdos organising by themselves, without approval, how dare they.

two - they are paranoid - what if this organisation X is actually a front, organised by my political enemy? Remember, we are deeppy cynical here, noone organises for a common good, people only organise if someone is concocting a plan for gain or profit

three - any civil motion os percieved as disorder. If you are a governor in a opr3ssive regime, and you dont want to interveine in manufacturing dispute, you will have people above you calling you, asking why do you have a mess in your region. Why cant you do your job.

So if you run a genuine charity in Russia, you get raided by police immediately -you might be seen as a threat. But if you run a fake charity, and in fact just steal all the donations, then police doesn't really care.

The throughts about 'our manufacturing is not competitive if we allow strikes' is not the top concern
I think for me at least it's the "Force" part of the agency name. It sounds very militarized and American to me where something like "Border Control Agency" wouldn't sound as ridiculous
If you have never witnessed the glory of the mentioned "CNC Song", congratulations, you are one of today's lucky 10,000.

Mass Games version:

https://youtu.be/xpupc4zxlTo

Music video version:

https://youtu.be/K6O33icSM3o
Hey, sorry to just randomly reply: but I saw your comment on my post and could not reply.

I want to improve the typography - the current feedback I'm getting so far is that the current design works well with two friends who have dyslexia, but I think that's more to do with the formatting than current typography... I have no good sense of typographical style though.

And now the more relevant comment!

Consensus truth can be far from objective truth as ideas don't compete based on value or truth or usefulness: but merely by how sticky, how replicatable in the brains of others.
Truth About the War
I can see an argument for a warning if your new app is taking over a file type that an old app was handling; but if you have no app to handle it I don't see it matters much.

The reality is nobody makes ad revenue from WinRAR opening .ZIP files so nobody cares.
There are many left-handed fountain pen users. For extensive discussion of pens, inks, and writing techniques, search for left-handed|lefty at site:www.fountainpennetwork.com.
This sounds quite similar to many DMT experiences you see on YouTube and hear about on podcasts. I wonder if there's been any studies monitoring DMT levels in realtime as people pass away to measure if there's a significant spike around the time of death. I recall hearing that measuring DMT levels is difficult because we process it so quickly.
> predict a few different events in a row, add up the errors, and see how off they are.

I'm not seeing a formula there.
That's right, whether we call it almost intelligence or asymptotic intelligence, or just plain artifice.

There are reasons Ray Kurzweil used the term "spiritual" in the Age of Spiritual Machines. Among those reasons is that "spiritual" is much more difficult to define with any consensus among experts.

And indeed, there's an inflection point coming. What this is, is not at all clear. However, I'd predict that the answer lies with the realization that, given the limits of conversing with LLMS and GPT, the implication is that there's a human-computer sensemaking loop:

https://www.efsa.europa.eu/sites/default/files/event/180918-...

The difference with this HCI is that you'd not hire a human collaborator who lied to you with or without being aware of their own lack of veracity. Here, we'll burn fields full of GPUs at massive cost to get an answer, even though the outcome may be advertising the fact that the AI is wrong. There is learning, but it's going to be costly and painful.
> The US House, Senate, and state elections have completely different methodologies

No, they don’t.

> and no bearing on the Presidential election

Even when considering the Presidential general election in isolation, there are currently 56 (51 statewide, including D.C., plus by-district elections for 2 electors in Maine and 3 in Nebraska) elections of presidential electors, which not only “have a bearing on” but strictly determine (absent irregularities that 538 doesn’t purport to address) the Presidential election.
Let’s not pretend Google search is what people mean when they say “cloud.” It’s about running internal processes on external systems.

As to the risks, many companies live and die by their internal secrets. These range from a private keys, customer lists, trading strategies, and similar trade secrets to actual serious R&D efforts.

Sometimes the damage is obvious such as crypto exchanges suddenly finding themselves broke, but corporate espionage can also be kept quite. Losing major government bids because a competitor read some internal memo’s is a serious risk and you may never know.
What Is the Fluidic Telescope?
LLMs have led to significant advancements in brain scanning. [0]

[0]https://www.reddit.com/r/ChatGPT/comments/1354ju1/scientists...
Basic issue isn't excess of money. Basic issue is shortage in supply. Demand hasn't skyrocketed magically.

The world over production levels were lowered to almost zero for couple of years.

Interest rate hikes have wreaked a havoc of their own.
Relying on an TPM to rate-limit an attacker's ability to brute-force a comically short PIN and get the encryption key (Microsoft's promoted way to login to a Windows device), is less secure (once the TPM is exploited) than relying on the attacker to guess a high-entropy password to get the encryption key.
MVS 3.8j contained software developed under US Federal contracts, and that is why it is freely available.
Even if you believe AGI is imminent, I'm not sure this test holds. Driving requires much more than intelligence: blind people cannot drive.

It's possible that we're limited on the hardware / modality front.
Voting has consequences. SF voters elected liberal DA, mayor and other officials who are soft on crime.
You can also map the all reals to the reals between 0 and 1, so the infiniteness of the extend isn't that crucial.
But English pronunciation and spelling can be awful:

"A rough-coated, dough-faced, thoughtful ploughman strode through the streets of Scarborough; after falling into a slough, he coughed and hiccoughed."

See https://emmawilkin.com/blog/2020/2/17/a-rough-coated-dough-f...
how do you get these conversations?
I think we'll have full-blown AGI before fusion and before world-changing levels of quantum computing. Which is to say, we won't be around to see fusion and world-changing quantum :(

But there's still time for robo-taxis!
Translation: “I realize that Google is behind on the AI race (and on our corporate strategy in general), so I’m going to fear monger you, the investment community, with claims of “AGI soon” to attract investments and prevent our stock from plummeting.”
The company refuses to pay employees enough so they can afford what the market will bear for house pricing. Instead of--shocker!--paying employees more, the company is building housing to rent to employees so it can continue paying them peanuts. The entire system is broken and not in favor of the rank and file workers. The free market isn't working.
Even casting off the yoke of a union that no longer represents you is hard in the US:

https://freebeacon.com/policy/labor-leaders-say-illinois-fir...

https://www.nhregister.com/news/article/New-Haven-firefighte...

https://www.shrm.org/resourcesandtools/legal-and-compliance/...

I don't think I'd care to imagine fighting a corrupt union entails.
What makes you say self driving is 10 years away?
There are plenty of efforts at the moment which indicate that you’re right.

I think we’ll learn to compose models for more diverse and capable outputs, validate those outputs better, and do all of it more efficiently. The end result seems like it could be far greater than the sum of its parts.
"too big to fail"
I use Rack Pro, this is great! Well done!
The system wouldn't work without location permission.
I'm surprised you didn't have any Battlefield Earth clips for the Dutch Angle.
> We're going to need a platform for indexing and retrieving content summaries, fragments, and contexts

But, how could this ever be better and/or more accurate as, say, Wikipedia (as a flagship for collective curated content efforts)? A single, reliable source of truth and context is very much a dream. Moreover, a collective long-term memory for LLMs would just ring the bell for a next-generation SEO industry.
How about a version that can keep your coffee or tea warm using the power from the USB-C port?
It's not free, but you can register multiple domains to a single Fastmail account. So I pay Fastmail for my personal email hosting, and any side projects can reuse this same account at no additional cost.