skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
I don't think you understand what you are arguing.

Yes, the average temperature of earth has chaged vastly over its history, giving different levels of habitability.

At this time, we're in a really good spot for habitability, and we are seeing that we are slipping out of it.

There is evidence that some of the temperature change could very well be human made, and thus easy to stop (compared to, say, the emissions of volcanoes).

For some reason you argue that nothing should be done, because nothing was done in past massive climate changes, which resolved in mass extinctions.

Is anything I'm saying wrong?
I worked on a commercial product that did just this, except it also had a "transaction log" component. All access through the server was logged, and the log could be used for replay/recovery. While it worked for them for thousands of simultaneous clients, it was not a general purpose solution. There were no real indexes: the "indexes" (hash tables, really) were built in memory at startup.
> I'd expect college graduates to be able to pull off an income stream sufficient to pay down the student loans.

Based on what?

The way it worked 40 years ago? Or even 20?

Costs—for college, but also for other very essential things like healthcare and housing—have ballooned extravagantly for some time, while pay has remained relatively stagnant.

Or is this just based on some kind of just-world theory? "People who go to college are educated; education deserves better pay; therefore, people who go to college are well-paid"? It's a nice thought, but it's not reality.

The fact is, a huge number of people have staggering amounts of student loan debt, and very little ability to repay that debt—and a legal prohibition on discharging it.

What does this situation gain us that would be lost if we simply cancelled all that student loan debt? Some very wealthy companies that made these loans would be somewhat less wealthy. The horror. How could we ever recover.
Reminds me of Jon Blow’s talk about the collapse of civilization:

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=ZSRHeXYDLko&pp=ygUmam9uYXRoYW4...
If you could try anything different, what would you do to make it more sustainable?

Leadership takes a toll, and there seems to be some psychic overhead to maintaining a "double life" in the Metaverse.

Not a fake life, but having to manage an entirely different persona: digital, different goals (galactic conquest), nonstop communication stream(s).

What opportunities for "executive-level automation" would have been useful?
Have to disagree, concurrent transaction processing is super interesting.
If a LLM chat bot that hallucinates a non-zero percent of the time is useless, then a web search that returns wrong results a non-zero percent of the time is useless, and OP should stop using web search engines.

The same applies to discussion forums like this one.

Or, OP can proof read the output of these tools and decide what to use and what not to use.

Last night GPT 4 gave me a hallucinated SCOTUS precedent. Because I checked it, I did not embarrass myself.

Here is the Recycled Electrons Rule: Assume everything coming from GPT 4 is coming from a Reddit user with a stoner handle. Just because StonerSmurf73 says it, does not mean I believe it without checking. (I made up that stoner user name.)
just zoom out and consider the text box you are typing in part of the system, and then that text box is the state.
People in general have a barely functional understanding of computing devices, let alone their operating systems or hardware components, at an usage level.

Their fabrication process is so far removed that I don't think most people would even be able to know where to look for the information, even if they could access and understand all of it.
Usually there is a defined "flight envelope" and if it deviates from that, they detonate. I'm guessing they simply waited as long as possible, and once it left the designated buffer is when they finally detonated it.
> maintaining the status quo, and focusing on cutting costs over creating new lasting value.

that's how market leaders die, btw.
New Zealand’s Swiss Cheese Approach to Covid
And when gas prices go up, everyone gets all whiny and acts all oppressed.
I think they mean 20 is only an ~ 1order of magnitude more than 1
Data-Centric Parallelism in the Chiplet Age
Agreed that there are better approaches than LLm to solve this problem There are deep learning and sequence models that are focused on this task using extracted structured info. Wouldn't you be better off using llm or any extraction + linking model to identify medical concepts and then a model that only understands medical concepts in order to do predict the next medical concepts.
I love Piketty for bringing the data, but it's clear that r incorrectly lumps together land and capital. R can be decomposed into returns to land (rent) and returns to capital, and the former is much more pernicious.

https://equitablegrowth.org/land-rather-than-capital-the-lon...
They don't commingle inventory. They know exactly which supplier/seller sent in which units. Here is a quote from their seller support article about the topic:

"Used by default for eligible products, manufacturer barcodes use virtual tracking to trace the source of the products throughout the fulfillment process. Identical items from different suppliers are not physically stored together in a fulfillment center. However, Virtual tracking allows Amazon to fulfill orders using identical products from different suppliers. This enables us to process a customer order more efficiently and expedite its delivery from the fulfillment center closest to the customer."

So they will use inventory from different sellers/suppliers to fulfill an order, but they can trace counterfeit/incorrect inventory back to the source if there's an issue.
> Sound like you need to learn to search

Sounds like you need to not be condescending :)

Of course I've searched and tried countless of avenues to pick up this, I'm not saying it's absolutely not possible without GPT, just that I found it the easiest way of learning.

And it's not "Write a function that does X" but more employing the Socratic method to help me further understand a subject, that I can then dive deeper into myself.

But having a rubber duck is infinitive worth, if you happen to a programmer, you probably can see the value in this.

> have you tried using it in an area you're an expert in ? The rate of convincing bullshit vs correct answers is astonishing. It gets better with Phind/Bing but then it's a roulette that it will hit valid answers in the index fast enough.

Yes, programming is my expertise, and I use it daily for programming and it's doing fine for me (GPT4 that is, GPT3.5 and models before are basically trash).

Bing is probably one of the worst implementations of GPT I've seen in the wild, so it seems like our experience already differs quite a bit.

> you won't know when it's bullshiting you and you're missing out on learning how to actually learn.

Yeah, you can tell relatively easy if it's bullshitting and making things up, if you're paying any sort of attention to what it tells you.

> By the time LLMs are reliable enough to teach you, whatever you're learning is probably irrelevant since it can be solved better by LLM.

Disagree, I'm not learning in order to generate more money for myself or whatever, I'm learning because the process of learning is fun, and I want to be able to build games myself. A LLM will never be able to replace that, as part of the fun is that I'm the one doing it.
What's your plan? Wait for someone else lose a bunch of money for the greater good?
I am responding to your comment that oral communication is impossible because of homonyms. I am not covering the difference between oral and written communication.
Proxyman is a fantastic piece of software for this on Max, there’s a free version which can snoop on up to 6 apps at a time (it installs a root certificate)
See Who's Verified on Twitter
I made a tool to see legacy twitter verified users and who's paying for one.
I had an HP laptop provided by work that bent when picked up by the edge, such that four pads on the bottom no longer contacted and it had a tilt. I personally believe this should not happen, even if it costs an ounce.
Interesting. Milliennials are a bit behind but it's essentially rounding errors. Did not expect that. It's another example of narratives the media pushes being different from reality. However I wonder if there's any good data on a milliennial's PPP vs. their parents. That definitely has to be the real difference especially since there's plenty of data on how the average income hasn't scaled with productivity for ~50 years.
Who is the demographic for this? Essentially all of the functionality here is available in the standard library for most languages. If not, you can use a library that's probably pretty small and doesn't rely on some third party system that you have no control over. It's certainly not about trust: if you don't trust your computer's own random number generator, how can you trust a (TLS encrypted???) HTTP connection to some other system?
It’s my belief that in a few generations in the US “owning a home” will no longer be the default dream people have.

You can kind of see a similar shift today in how teens/young adults are losing interest in driving — something their great-grandparents would have thought crazy. “But a car is what makes you free!”
I assume the $200 ones would hold up perfectly decently if treated like that.

But middle/high schoolers are not going to be that nice to it.
what's the news?

on what planet a 300$ toy laptop is going to outperform and/or outlive a proper laptop?
Your comment reminded me of this quote from Howard Zinn (who had his own biases, of course):

But there is no such thing as a pure fact, innocent of interpretation. Behind every fact presented to the world—by a teacher, a writer, anyone—is a judgment. The judgment that has been made is that this fact is important, and that other facts, omitted, are not important.
If you let her break it, and go without it, she’ll probably get it real quick.
A human mind works by cross referencing sensory inputs with internal state, which may result in answering a question through some sort of reasoning, which may resemble the architecture of a neural net.

An LLM is stateless function that answers a question. It constructs a working representation of the question. It cannot be aware of itself because there is nothing to be aware of. It is a process, not a thing.

Intelligence and self aware are fluffy and poorly defined. But you can’t be self aware if you don’t have a self. And a representation of a prompt is not a self. I don’t think we should consider anything that does not exist through continuous time to be intelligent personally.
> Super wealthy, powerful people are upset about paying 8 bucks month for something they use all the time?

They see themselves as the ones creating the value Twitter is able to sell. They’re probably right too.
The overwhelming majority of habitable land in the world is uninhabited. The problem is most people want to live close to cities, where land and housing is expensive.

We need to decentralize.
I’m not sure if you are being intentionally obtuse, but the obvious answer is that rather than being locked out in the middle of the night, people would prefer to be told directly by a human (ideally their manager), and given the opportunity to say goodbye to their colleagues.
>There are still 4 minivans on the US market, and really I don’t think there’s space for any others to sell successfully. The ones that exist are damn competitive for what they are, and they still don’t sell well.

Oh I don't really disagree. The Sienna and Odyssey seem like good vehicles. I'm less familiar with the remaining American(?) models.

I also don't know enough to meaningfully speculate why 3-row SUVs took over from minivans for fairly similar use cases even though they seem less effective in a lot of circumstances. Part of it is probably image--especially for some male drivers--but I lack the data to have a strong opinion.
Professional engineers are typically:

* Regulated by a profession and associated legislation

* Work first to ensure the safety and welfare of the public

* Perform only within their area of competence

* Act as faithful agents or trustees for their clients

* Avoid deception and represent matters in an objective and truthful manner

* Invest in continuous professional development

* Can be subject to penalties for malpractice: removal of licence, fines, or jail

It's hard to see any of these applying to LLM input entry people. It's a even a stretch to consider them non-professional engineers.
Sorry, i really don't care that much about US culture war, you can have role models you want as long as they're not crooks.

I hated that JP brought Psychanalysis to the US (who have real psychologists, unlike in my country) way before he became a culture war hero/vilain.

The number of years psychoanalysts destroy is quite high. In my mother's case, 30, and 4 different psychoanalysts . She changed to a behavioral psychologist with my insistance, the psychologist told her after 20 minutes "I think you are bipolar madam, you can alleviate your symptoms by doing X regularly and being careful of Y, but you should go to a psychiatrist". She got to a hospital, go some lithium, and is finally easy to live with (to bad her relationship with my sister is already destroyed). 40 to 60 euros every two weeks for almost 30 year vs 60 euros once. Psychoanalysts are crooks.

====

My role models are my grandfathers and my father (and one of my uncles, kinda), so i don't need any celebrity, local or global. The advantage of having a mostly good family.
They just have humans accepting the returns from customers. Humans make mistakes. Simple as.
Sure if you have a separate home on your own dedicated land, but what about everyone with HOAs, property taxes, etc. to deal with? For many people they still have to pay "rent" and still can't really do whatever they want with the land and roof, so they don't see much of these benefits either, right?
Okay, that's fair
Leases from the public to the person who wants the public to stay off a chunk of land. The perpetual ownership model is actually pretty weird: the public in 2023 agrees to stay off Bill Barnes' land in transferrable perpetuity in exchange for... a railroad built in 1850 that went defunct 100 years ago. And a dribble of property tax. Lol.

Yes, the USA was founded by english nobility for english nobility. Is it really so surprising they upheld one of the most important institutions for ensuring that rich people can get paid for being rich? They also upheld slavery for similar reasons, though thankfully we sorted that one out 150 years ago.
Here are some laws that partially curtail housing as investment:

- ban anyone non-resident in the country from owning property

- create an exponential property tax. 0% for first home, 2% for second home, 4% for third home, 8% for fourth home etc to discourage mass renting.

- to make the point above easier to enforce, make it illegal for companies to own residential property other than a few exceptions such as developer companies holding newly built property that they’re selling, banks holding repossessions etc. All property must be owned by an individual citizen.

- Mandate that developers build >50% affordable housing. Earmark this housing for first time buyers only. Non compliance means the developer is shut down and loses their license.

- Mandate that developers build on their land or else have it seized by the government to avoid developers land banking and waiting it out for a change of administration which would reverse all the above rules so developers can go back to raking in absurd profits.
They don't commingle. See my response to someone else.
Integer version: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35635491 (520 points | 2 days ago | 156 comments) It (implicitly) shows why the e number is important and why it appears as the limit of your example.

Did you prove that this are all the case? Or this are only the cases you found and the general case is still open?
There are many places in the US where housing is a surplus. The obvious example is Detroit (as well as other "rust-belt" cities), where many functional houses have been demolished because there is no demand. Many rural areas are also losing population.
> I'm talking about daily usage which, even if you assume that every wallet is a unique user, is in the tens of thousands at most.

That's incorrect. The number of daily active addresses for Bitcoin is around 1 million[0].

> The entire point is that crypto adoption is abysmally low for a tech that almost every tech literate person in the world has heard about now, and that this tech falls apart even for this limited user base.

To me, that's super impressive given that many people on HN initially dismissed. I personally never thought it would grow beyond the initial group of cryptography/p2p nerds. I was super shocked when Bitcoin was mentioned on TV for the first time. Has any non-governmental money ever made it that far? I don't think so. It's come a long way, but I understand the numbers are a bit disappointing to those who were expecting Bitcoin to completely displace fiat. And in the end, it's a matter of perspective and there's no right or wrong answer.

[0] https://studio.glassnode.com/metrics?a=BTC&category=Addresse...
That is at best an internal state representation of the text, not of the entity on the other end.
You are conflating "economic value to the educated" with "value to the economy".

In aggregate, having an educated populace is hugely beneficial to society as a whole, which includes economic benefits.

This does not translate to commensurate economic benefits to all the individuals who get that education.

Our society benefits from these people having an education; therefore, our society should pay for it.
They aren't making more land, but in many places, they are making habitable, service-able land - and vice versa.
Nope. I own a truck (mostly because I do some light forestry work a few times a year that a smaller utility vehicle can't handle) and they're generally perfectly fine for driving. American parking lots are a good deal larger than what you'll find in a dense urban European city.

Additionally, the newest models have had 360 degree cameras for a few years now since they're cheap to add and mark up the price by a bit. An inexperienced driver will have an easier time parking one of those than a standard sedan without.

It is profoundly stupid to own a pickup truck if you don't plow snow, need to haul things off road, or regularly tow recreational vehicles.

With that said, the higher trim models are easily the most comfortable vehicles to ride in that you'll find. I'm 6'4", and I can sit in the back seat of a modern crew cab truck without slouching and leg room to spare. Most smaller cars I can't even do that in the driver's seat.
On what time scale? Also, what about production?

It has a GWP of nearly 100 the first year but falls off rapidly.

If the hypothetical Methane Gun happened, there is immense warming potential that could rapidly melt regional ice sheets.
Man, I loved those rear-facing seats as a kid.
There is a reason, but it is not geology. https://www.6sqft.com/the-bedrock-myth-the-evolution-of-the-...
...or maybe it's really Mitchell hiding behind every ChatGPT response? After all he is a machine.
It's unreasonable because the large majority of the research has shown it to be wrong, like mentioned in the article.
Before the CCP existed, Taiwan was part of China, and was occupied for many years by Japan. After the Chinese civil war and the rise of the CCP, the defeated nationalist government moved to Taiwan. It is only then that any US alliance with Taiwan began.
Wealth redistribution and getting money out of politics. I guess not everybody understands this concept?

The media did a pretty good job of depicting people being dragged away by riot police screaming as hippies getting bored and leaving.
Tools of the AI Engineer
Heh, I don't always catch nuance in text communications.

It sounds plausible to me, with the recent trend of some taking 2 jobs because remote enables that behavior. I don't know how widespread this cheating practice is, but I have seen people brag online they are doing it.
I’m not disagreeing. I think you’re putting more work on “non-destructive” than was intended. I mean it in the literal sense of property destruction and the like. I’m not lumping in protest as destructive or legislation that forces a lower gains on housing. I mean destruction born out of pure political frustration of the revolutionary type.
A concept of an AI personal assistant
Investors buy housing because there's not enough of it, making it valuable. It wouldn't be a good investment if we built enough.
Wrote a little concept for an AI assistant. What do you think?
The basic equation:

- Small, nimble, fun, fast, low amount of cash, interesting work, ease to deploy

- Big, fat, tedious, slow, extensive supply of cash, maybe some interesting work at most, pain to get anything deployed
Are you familiar with the concept of ‘markedness?’

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Markedness

Terms like ‘allistic’ counteract the unmarked norm - we have a special word for ‘autistic’ but we don’t say anything about ‘not autistic’ because it’s ‘normal’ - see how that has a judgmental angle?

It’s hard to examine a thing critically when it’s just called ‘normal,’ if it’s called anything at all. It’s much better to be precise in your speech when you’re addressing such deeply entrenched social practices.

It’s far too easy to slip into the “but this is just normal, why do we even need to think about it, let alone make up a word for it” trap and become complacent.
Changing a bunch of bits on a magnetic drive or another media is not like building an airplane that flies or a car that runs! Software engineering is closer to a priest that supposedly can communicate to god than it is to someone that builds a car!

I have a CS degree too and people without it are sometimes much better than me at slinging code

Actually forget people, you should realize how far this is from engineering when ChatGPT can do it better than me :) Ask ChatGPT to build a car though and we will see how far it gets.
You’re right!

I start thinking about my collection of laptops and amended my comment above.
> By the time LLMs are reliable enough to teach you, whatever you're learning is probably irrelevant since it can be solved better by LLM.

For solving the really common problem of working in a new area LLMs being unreliable isn't actually a big deal. If I just need to know what some math is called or understand how to use an equation, it's often very easy to verify an answer, but can be hard to find it through google. I might not know the right terms to search or my options might be hard to locate documentation or SEO spam
There are not nearly enough homes yet.

> These 12 cities alone say they will need a total of more than 250,000 new homes built over the next five or 10 years to meet demand from current residents who are inadequately housed and future residents who will move to Metro Vancouver.

https://vancouversun.com/business/real-estate/many-new-homes...
I love this game.

One thing that bothers me a little is that while the game asks for the player character’s name up front, the first officer keeps addressing the captain as “sir” throughout the game.
From the player’s point of view, it might feel more inclusive to let them choose between “sir” or “ma’am” or just “captain,” or alternatively hard-code the latter.
Hahaha, fair point, yes it is unethical to help people cheat in general, regardless of whether money changes hands.
Well, that could just mean other goods are getting cheaper (in real terms). The actual issue is if returns on house prices outpace wage growth.
Read up on Kodak and the history of digital cameras.
Nice way to capture the current homeowners point of view— and their opposition to affordable housing programs.