skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Only if the failure points are arranged in series - A AND B AND C must happen to have a successful outcome.

If the failure points are arranged in parallel - X OR Y OR Z must happen to have a successful outcome, with multiple redundant paths to success, your total failure rate is the chance that ALL of X, Y, and Z fail. This is a much lower number than when they are in series.

To use concrete math - say that Starship has 33 raptor engines with a failure rate of 0.01%, 3 grid fins with a failure rate of 0.05%, and a fuel tank with a failure rate of 0.001%. If it's engineered so that all 33 raptor engines, all 3 grid fins, and the fuel tank all need to work for a successful launch, the success rate of the whole system = 0.9999^33 * 0.9995^3 * 0.99999 = 0.9952 = ~0.5% chance of failure. If it's engineered so that it can get to orbit on 28 out of the 33 raptor engines, 2 out of the 3 grid fins, and there is a double-hull to the fuel tank with a failure rate of 0.005%, then the chance of failure for each subsystem is 0.0001^5 = 10^-20, 0.0005^2 = 2.5 * 10^-7, and 0.00001 * 0.00005 = 5 * 10^-10, and when you multiply out those subsystem failure rates you get 1 - (1 - 10^-20) * (1 - 2.510^-7) * (1 - 510^-10) = 0.9999997495 = ~0.000025% chance of failure.

Moreover, lets look what happens if you take the multiply-redundant design above and then increase the chance of failure of each component 100x. Raptor engines are now 99% reliable, grid fins are now 95% reliable, and fuel tanks are now 99.9% reliable. The overall failure rate for each subsystem becomes 0.01^5 = 10^-10, 0.05^2 = 2.5 * 10^-3 and 0.001 * 0.005 = 0.000005. When you multiply out those subsystem failure rates you get 1 - (1 - 10^-10) * (1 - 2.510^-3) * (1 - 510^-6) = 0.00250498759 = ~0.2% chance of failure. The multiply-redundant system, even with component failure rates 100x higher, still has better reliability than the perfectly-engineered system where every component must perform exactly to spec.

This principle is used all the time in practical engineering. It's why Google builds server farms out of thousands of commodity PCs, hooked up in primary/replica clusters with replication and transparent failover. It's why ships have watertight compartments and double-hulls. It's why passenger jets have multiple engines, multiple hydraulic control systems, and multiple flight computers. Any engineer worth their salt is going to avoid SPOFs and assume that components will fail, then build redundancies into the design so that a partial failure does not endanger overall mission success.
It's depressing, but here's the cure.

https://i.ytimg.com/vi/e57bGfHEHy4/hqdefault.jpg
That's the benefit of setting expectations at zero. "We only guaranteed excitement!"

I sure hope the engineering team is more honest about the results.
Because Facebook and Instagram are not controlled by the CCP.
I was shocked to see a butterfly above the cloud level
I had never heard of the Sierra Nevada Corp. and was confused when I thought about the beer company working on a rocket :)

Stranger things have happened though I suppose.
Probably commercial satellite imagery. The protections would have to be legal, IE suing the logging companies for trespassing on your land and "vandalizing" it.

It would be way too dangerous to do something like claiming that the company was dumping all of that perfectly good logging equipment on your land and helpfully "cleaning it up" by loading them on trailers and driving off.
Starbucks sell 4 Billion of them, so they aren't impractical to set the benchmark price.
> “He [the software developer] proved the data Lindell LLC provided, and represented reflected information from the November 2020 election, unequivocally did not reflect November 2020 election data. Failure to pay Mr. Zeidman the $5 million prized was a breach of the contract, entitling him to recover.”
China is sort of doing the same thing with its contemplation of export controls of rare earths and the like.

The British empire tried to enforce no home-grown industries in certain industries among its colonies by law and by dumping or taxes. Didn't work out so well for either the UK or the colonies. This sort of forced competition through export controls may be for the best all around in the long-term.
Keeping the Starship intact wasn't a primary goal it seems.

They also seems to have been up front about it to both internal and external audiences.
It works well for a surprisingly large set. My tests involved Turkish and Azerbaijani and I'd assume it is distant enough that I was impressed.
Interesting thoughts, will have to think about that.
"Text" is a verb.
Alphabet’s Google Combines AI Research Units Brain and DeepMind
Lots of boring yet lucrative work out there.
I think you have misconceptions about what continuity means and I’m not even sure what you mean with holes.

As a simpler example: The map that multiplies each rational number by -1 and keeps irrational numbers as they are is bijective (it’s its own inverse), however it is nowhere continuous.
“loan it to a million people”

Yes but you’re not allowed to copy and distribute so you’re never going to actually do that. Also you’ll pass away with the knowledge you gained unlike the AI you’re training it on which will contain remnants of the work in all copies of itself, however abstracted away you consider it.
Like survivor bias.
> Journalism is expensive

Is it? Why? Journalists don't make a lot of money. A lot of them are trust fund babies because you can't write for the New York Times and live in NY without outside help.
actually, I think the guy knows exactly what it means: automate stuff with AI and replace jobs
Can you list those specific features? Would be interested to see if anybody is working on them.
Would you be open to making this logic open source? I'd LOVE to do this as well. (I use LunchMoney.app for all spend tracking, but don't have my receipts logged)
>the author asserts that stretching does nothing for you

I'm struggling to find a response to this. My personal results from daily stretching are so profound but could be written off as "anecdotal". I'd find it very hard to take this person seriously unless there was some caveat or qualifying information.
> That continent continues to deforest

"In 2020, the EU had an estimated 159 million hectares of forests. Their area has increased by almost 10% since 1990 (145 million hectares)"

https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/products-eurostat-news/-/e...
It's not so bad to miss a hundred signs if you have a reliable test to try.
"Pristine lands" lied far north of there, and were used as pastures and hunting grounds.

Agriculture was practiced in more southern lands, where the yields are higher. Corn comes from the south of North America, and potatoes, from north of South America. I think nobody had a delusion, even back in 1500s, that these were wild plants.
important and amazing research.

The Subak system demonstrates the Vedic way [0] of life in which the divinity (pure consciousness) is seen in everything – mountains, lakes, rivers, plants, animals – in all species. Temples and regional deities bind together and nourishes the whole ecosystem, preserving the environment and wildlife.

Unfortunately, as evident in the article, blindfolded by the supremacy of material science, the modern society has mostly destroyed this ecosystem without understanding its benefits, and it now wants to prevent climate catastrophe by carbon credits and other commercially driven policies rather than learning the natural and inclusive (spiritual) ways of the olden times.

0: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tnNoB8YxMIo
https://openai.com/policies/api-data-usage-policies

OpenAI will not use data submitted by customers via our API to train or improve our models, unless you explicitly decide to share your data with us for this purpose. You can opt-in to share data.

Any data sent through the API will be retained for abuse and misuse monitoring purposes for a maximum of 30 days, after which it will be deleted (unless otherwise required by law).
The OpenAI API processes user prompts and completions, as well as training data submitted
this has been really entertaining. there are lots of text to speech chats so I bet they are going to turn a profit
I really don't know why they kept the BuzzFeed branding. I intentionally _ignored_ anything that came from BuzzFeed News as likely tabloid-esque news because of the branding, and I honestly do not think that's the wrong perspective to take.

We have to filter out noise in some ways, and BuzzFeed has made no considerable effort to position themselves as a platform worth listening to.
I guess "Largest rocket test in history successfully launched" doesn't generate enough traffic compared to the pessimistic "explodes minutes after launch."
Commodity parts are going to run the future. Soon we'll have commodity rocket engines and it's going to be plug and play with software accomodating X% failure per launch.

The Soviets only dreamed of such when they came up with the disaster that is the N1.
There is a strange trend of downplaying Byzantine heritage.. for instance modern Greek society seems to uphold the ancient Greeks much more, when in fact there are much closer ties to the Byzantine... a few hundred years ago it wouldn't have occurred to any Greek that they are connected to the ancients, and this trend has started with European Romantics.

But they did produce significant art and science, and especially architecture:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hagia_Sophia
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Byzantine_science

There would have been no transmission of the classics without the Byzantine, and possibly no Renaissance in Europe.
Typically in mice. Testing in humans takes a very long time and has ethical concerns so if you wait until it gets "proven" to trust anything you'll be long dead already.
Well, I'd consider the damage to Lindel's credibility a win.
I don't see how this will help ADHD-I. This technique is already possible and done with temporary use of benzodiazepines, beta-blockers, or anti-depressants.

Therapy isn't very effective because you can't focus on the techniques when you need them.
SpaceX launches Starship Off Launchpad in Stunning Success, Giant Leap for Humanity
There are also Syrian nationals who worked in the field in Syria already, and this is what they know. Besides, if it was "consult the list of lucrative jobs Syrians can't work first", I don't think it would be any less frustrating for them. Do you like your job/field?
Great, another password manager called "pass".
starship will always be a failure built on lies. just youtube 'starship debunked'.
You understand that Google doesn't rank search results based on how objectively factually true they are, right?
vim is also pretty slow these days.

Even after I did the usual toil of analyzing startup times and trimming my vimrc, its speed/responsiveness correlates inversely with the size of the text file that's open. And we're not talking about some artifically-constructed benchmark — just an extra-long ordinary text file (or log file, or code file) sitting around will be enough to make vim start to feel slow.

Maybe we're all just getting old, and the dream of "one text editor for everything" is becoming one of those quaint old notions of yesteryear.
I speak a Slavic language spoken by ~2 million people, and I asked GPT-4 to tell me an old fable in my language. It did so fantastically, with no grammatical errors. I tried some more things -- it speaks it fluently, though admittedly not always idiomatically.
Well, its like people who describe Ketamine therapy. The process itself can be deeply traumatizing, even if the after-effects make up for it. I've heard it described as deep hallucinations, often touching on dark places in your psyche, while you can't get up or do much or get away from it. On the plus side, it can make you face some difficult internal issues, but on the downside, not everyone actually responds well to that. Some people this can cause a psychological break.

Anyone who has been in the hallucinogens scene long enough knows someone who either did too much over the years and is a basket case or just had one really bad trip and never recovered or were the same after.

It's certainly not as dangerous as other drugs, but I'm fairly tired of people acting like it is inert or can only produce positive experiences.
cool.

another question.

What about someone in EU or africa or india. who should in your opinion spy on them? usa or china?
What are some of the other ways? (honestly asking).

Premium features and such are a possibility, but I don't really see the value for people to pay for this beyond maybe a tiny community, and they would surely need some premium features in return (like maybe private torrents or something).
Online communities should cultivate some discipline around those crowd-sourced background checks. Is the issue relevant to the project or topic? Where is the explanation and evidence? Can only people with a perfect record do anything now?

Maybe the intention is to make half of HN go search for "<name> and <accusation>" to try and get the accusation auto-complete in future searches for <name>?
By applying the map from I^d to R^d (using the tan-arctan-construction above in each coordinate) after the map from R to R^d, you get a map from R to R^d.
Well, we either have to raise taxes or keep increasing the debt, paying even more interest. That doesn’t sound like an efficient use of capital.
It's not just dust it's pollution and it's going to cause long-term health problems.
> I believe everyone is right in their own interpretations.

“Everything can mean anything. Words have no meaning.”

> I don't care to argue.

No wonder. Who would?
Ask HN: Seeking Advice on Next Career Move
Hi HN community,

I've been working as as senior web developer for about 10 years now, a lot of that time has been with a company in the fashion ecommerce industry on and off throughout those 10 years. Recently the hostile and arrogant attitude of the new CTO/SVP/VP/Directors/Engineers who were rapidly hired in the last few years is definitely contributing to my discomfort as they are replatforming and I don't agree with the new platform.

The company has a strong fashion presence and has been around for a long time, but it's currently going through a lot of changes. The previous CTO left and a bunch of new people were hired, leading to a lot of rewrites that I personally think are a disaster. The new solutions are unscalable and take a very narrow focus on a complex problem. I feel like the new developers are disrespectful of the actual problem and think it's an easy thing to solve that the previous developers couldn't handle.

The new codebase is "clean and modern", but it doesn't solve the problem in an elegant way. It's like if you asked a high schooler to solve a problem and they got it done with a hammer. It works, but it's not ideal. The business is happy because it's faster due to the new tech, but that's only because the old tech was handicapped, not upgraded, and the people who did their best under impossible standards are now being treated like punching bags.

I'm upset because I've given a lot of years to this company and learned a lot in the world of fashion ecommerce, but I'm not sure where to go from here. I don't know how to take my knowledge and transfer it elsewhere or what my future career looks like. I feel like I played my hand wrong and missed an opportunity.

I'm seeking advice from the HN community on what to do next. Should I stay and try to work with the new team, or should I take my opinions and start a company where I solve this company's needs in my own way and offer it to other companies as a SaaS? Any advice or suggestions would be greatly appreciated.

Thank you.
But sed, awk etc.results are predictable and reproducible.

That's not guaranteed with ChatGPT.
Is the affecting THT (Thigh High Thursday)?
I’m just asking…for a friend.
Anyone who gives Lindell a shred of credibility is doing so explicitly against all available evidence, and any new credibility destroying evidence will not change their opinion...unfortunately.

The horse is dead. This new revelation just further beats that dead horse. And the Lindell fans will continue to act as though the horse is alive because they operate in an alternate reality in which the events of this reality do have no effect.
Mercury user here, very happy with them for their banking. Mercury debit cards don't seem good though, the limit is much lower than what is useful for me. Haven't used Brex or SVB.
Is it useful in other legal cases? If you can reference this case in your own case and evidence of patterns of behavior? IANAL
Simple addition to corn bran could boost grain's nutritional value 15-35 percent
2023 is finally the year of the Emacs operating system on the desktop.
My mother had her first heart attack within 2 weeks of getting the last booster. I'll remind her to pass on this one. The emergency is over anyway.
> it doesn't do so by producing cheap or less reliable rockets

I saw in another comment that each SLS launch costs $2B. Do you think SpaceX spent $2B on this launch? I find it hard to believe.
I agree with you and take it one leg further: I didn't even know there was a difference between "BuzzFeed News" and the rest of Buzzfeed. As in, my first reaction to the article was "What else do they do?"

I thought Buzzfeed was online "tabloid journalism" like The National Inquirer.
Makes sense, thank you! I initially thought having the 'get ready for the next exercise' would help people understand that it's a break but given the feedback I definitely need the descriptions there too. Any idea on how to still make it clear that it's a break?

Re: the beeps, couldn't agree more. While building it I also found them annoying but I deprioritised that for the first launch.
Implement a deadman switch over X10.
Not a link, reposting the content.
Google DeepMind
Did you notice how they didn't actually quote the text that had been changed?

Almost as if printing the n-word in The Telegraph would offend its sensitive readers.
This is not a total success.

Partial success OK.

Calling it a huge success feels super weird for me, but I am not American so maybe this is a cultural thing.
> Snow tires makes more of a difference than being FWD or RWD in heavy conditions is the real truth here.

A FWD with snow tires or chains will almost certainly have better snow/ice handling than a RWD with snow tires or chains, by the simple virtue of the drive axle being steerable.

If you've played Kerbal Space Program or a similar spaceflight simulator + rocket designer, then the reasoning here should be pretty intuitive: if you can only apply thrust to the reverse, and don't have reaction wheels, then in space you have no ability to steer under your own control. You need to be able to point thrust to the sides if you want to be able to turn (or stop turning).

Same deal on an icy road. RWD means all your thrust is pointed backwards; FWD means you can point your thrust to the sides and control your car's orientation. Having both FWD and RWD (i.e. AWD or 4WD) is even better; sure, it constrains the overall thrust angles, but you also get more of it - which means better control when you're driving on a surface that ain't flat.

This ain't just theoretical; it's something I've repeatedly observed every winter here in the Reno/Tahoe area.
I think our operating systems are going to have this stuff installed one day. It might replace most uses of the CLI.
ADHD is primarily a hardware problem. Unless MDMA can fundamentally change how nerves handle neurotransmitters, the effect is going to be temporary at best.
BuzzFeed Moves to Close BuzzFeed News, Lays Off 15% of Staff
Or worse, they've found they can point an AI bot at other news organizations articles and plagiarize them without any effort.
The internet then was an elite group of people that had 1. Disposable income for computers (or access at University) 2. Disposable income for Internet (or access at University) 3. The ability to put together the skills to create the things you listed. The more I reflect on the changes the more classist I realize this statement/argument is (not making a moral judgement just highlighting the reality).
> It even shows us why generals and senior civil servants were eunuchs

That was the case for "only" around a third to a half of the empire's existence. But by the 1000 ADs appointing eunuchs to high posts fell out of fashion with emperors appointing family members or leading in the field directly (unlike in Justinians day when emperors spent almost their entire reign being cloistered in the palace).

Somewhere between the first and third crusades there was a non-insignificant chance of the empire becoming much more integrated with Latin/Catholic west. Later Komnenian emperors started adopting Western customs, had fairly good relations with most Crusader and Western States and were attempting to reunite the both churches officially.

Of course this process culminated when a French princess became an effective ruler of the empire as a regent for her underage son, she surrounded herself with Latins and parceled off pretty much everything she could off to Italian Merchants. This was met with an extremely violent backlash culminating in her and her son being murdered and a literal genocide (or at least a massive pogrom) of all the westerns living in Constantinople (10-20% of all the people living in the city). And the split was made permanent by the even more violent sack during the 4th crusade by the westerners.
Well they managed to kill two astronauts in a rocket without even launching it.
Artificial Intelligence: the work of an AI satirist
What would even be the basis for a lawsuit? It's just content on a forum site.
I could only find one manufacturer actually making whips specifically for horse buggies.

https://uswhip.com/our-products/buggy-whip/

You don't actually need a whip to drive a buggy. You use the reins, and some voice commands. If you use a whip, you're probably bad at it. This whip is specific for racing, where you do need to communicate with more than just the reins. But if you're Amish, or driving tourists around Central Park, you almost certainly do not want a whip.

There are still many other whips for equine sports, and for herding. But buggy whips are perhaps an even narrower niche than you might expect. They were always rare, even when buggies were a practical way to get around.
Talk to the processor, ask them which bank to use. ;). The client bank is rarely the problem, often it's the underwriting bank of processors.
Interesting article. He doesn't really speak of a large hole in the ground and huge chunks of debris flying around though. More of the effects of the heat and sound energy on wildlife which is not quite as obvious.

He raises some good points indeed, not sure why it was flagged at all.
"Appears" or not, but their offered prices and especially the cadence of launching stuff to LEO are currently unmatched, AFAICT. They'd run out of money if they did not make profit on most launches
I hate to see this get so little attention. We need to keep working on searchability and persistence of information online.
Strange - I'm pretty sure I used to be able to directly link to an image, and that would be the only thing that loaded (had to 'open image in new tab' after uploading to find the direct link)

Possibly they did different things for different IP blocks?
https://archive.is/imnEY
> if API users would cost more than having those people use reddits own api on their website

Well, yes? 3rd party app users don’t allow monetisation or ads.
you realise floats are far easier because in any case you are limited to 64 bits and you know that?
I prefer this but if you ever have some post that triggers keywords then your whole domain may be shadow banned and you will never know.
They literally have another booster/starship ready to go. The project cost may be 2-10B but the individual launch vehicles will cost less than 200M$ each.

The design targets 10$/kg to orbit.