skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
There was no internet when I was 11 and we still managed to think of stupid and dangerous things to do.
There seems to be some collective amnesia as to how SpaceX operates. The pedantry over the meaning of "failure", toward the negative, is disappointing.
Except SpaceX’s failure rates are similar with every other successful launch system. Rather than looking at failure as a constant rate you need to consider these numbers change with every flight. Initially major design flaws are identified and workers become more skilled at a process, eventually new errors creep in etc etc.

They have greatly benefited from being able to use modern tools and seen where other systems failed. Many rocket companies have failed when trying to go fast and break things because it isn’t an easy shortcut. Instead SpaceX has used the normal approach used by other successful organizations and simply executed it well.
I have been a user of Proton since shortly after crowdfunding. I kick myself regularly for not buying a lifetime subscription.

I’m a Proton fan mainly for one reason - assuming that they aren’t a CIA company with back doors, my government must get a warrant to access my data there. This is my right and is recognized in the fourth amendment but increasingly my government chooses to ignore it. I am simply reasserting my rights.

Before I used Proton I used Hushmail for the same reason but they gave up years ago on innovation, and Canada is practically a totalitarian state nowadays anyway so I don’t trust them anymore.
Did any of the hyped anti-aging things pan out / show reproducible effect? Specifically the telomere research, blood transfusions, and extensive fasting?

Was low-calorie diet -> lower mortality ever proven when accounting for likely resulting lower muscle mass/fitness?
> At some point that money needs to be converted to fiat which means I still need a commercial account.
I was laid off in early Feb.

But I'm doing great!

Without asking, I received a few job offers from friends-of-friends in my network.

Instead of jumping back into the workforce, I'm building my own startup. Almost finished with my MVP, and then going to pursue funding :)
There is justification before God and justification before men. To be justified before God requires faith alone, to be justified before men requires faith and works. Justification before God = entrance into heaven, however, so works don't matter for salvation.

If we want Christians fellowship on this Earth, and rewards in heaven, it is good to do work.
dupe: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35640002
They're required to file a flight plan with the FAA or they can't launch.

If the plan says they'll go all the way into orbit and they abort early, that's ok.

If the plan says they'll get 100m off the ground and go no further, and they instead manage to make it all the way into orbit, they'd be in a huge amount of trouble.

Given the above, what sort of flight plan would you recommend they file?
The US government is working on it by giving themselves sweeping new powers to throw you in jail for using apps that are not approved.

This answers your question: the harm banning it does is the laws that will be pushed to make it happen. Meanwhile, as you said, Instagram stands ready to show the same kind of content to teenagers if TikTok goes away. I suspect the actual harm reduction will be minimal.
Thanks for sharing! That's really cool and helpful, I've noticed my own linear algebra is shaky and what you described seems like one of the better ways to use ChatGPT.
No doubt, but operational tempo is a different issue than system reliability.
I kind of meant the kind of failure that results in the engines going off like a bundle of dynamite sticks when their neighbors get frisky. But yeah, 8 is a bit much. Any idea what the debris was?
But the apples to oranges here is >1 launches (SpaceX, some successful and some unsuccessful) vs 1 successful launch (traditional modern aerospace).

From an outcome perspective, it's hard to ever see the lower launch rate dominating from any perspective.

You don't have economies of manufacturing scale, because your assembly rate is so low it doesn't make sense not to treat each as exquisite.

You don't have rapid iteration on manufacturing improvements, because the tyranny of safety checks on manufacturing time balloons {time from fix to flight}, after a proposed fix is identified.

And most importantly, you leave yourselves extremely vulnerable to unknown-unknowns, that you can't imagine in the design phase.

For example, if NASA had been launching the shuttle more rapidly, with the bulk of those being uncrewed launches, they probably would have picked an uncrewed launch to test expanding the temperature bounds at Cape Canaveral, and Challenger would have exploded without a crew.

As was, NASA's shuttle launches were so rare that there wasn't acceptable launch rate and weren't low-impact launch opportunities to do so. So they tested it on a crewed mission with disastrous results.

Point being: they backed themselves into a low-volume/high-risk corner of their own strategic design

SpaceX's most brilliant achievement was using Starlink to artificially boost launch demand and give them a minimally-profitable/break-even place to sink higher-risk launches.
Same! I had a directory of info coded horribly by some CRM into HTML DIVs (not a table) and copy/pasting it into a text file resulted in a single column of names, contact info, kids, grades, etc.

I asked ChatGPT to reformat it into a CSV, noted the useful breaks, requested some transformations and filtering, and specified a delimiter. After 5 minutes of experimentation, it worked like a charm. Absolutely amazing.
> Can bet 99.99% that Mullvad throws the envelope in the trash and just forgets about it.

Storage is cheap - really cheap. I bet automatically capturing images of all mail during sorting and archiving that for years is not only viable, but a vital investigation/intelligence tool. One would ask Mullvad for the cash payment dates[1], and cross-reference with all mail sent to a Mullvad postal address. One city-level datapoint on where user was, cross-checked with the latest IP address, where stamps were bought[2], and you've massively trimmed the list of suspects, especially if they are behind a NAT and sharing the IP.

1. They have to keep track of payment dates, which is a side channel.

2. Where and when stamps were bought. I'm certain GCHQ can keep track of individual stamp IDs, the batches they belonged to, when they were procured by the retailer and have a reasonable guess when that specific stamp was bought by mail-sender.
Sure - but the way to get a reliable system is to test it, learn from your failures, and iterate.
> Whoever loves Makefile has never had to debug the compilation process of any non-trivial build system, with three dozen ways to define variables, rules and targets, spread over multiple files.

I dunno. I've done that many times over the years, and I still love make. It certainly has its flaws, but it also has benefits. For me, the cost/benefit of make is better than any other such system that I've tried.
Yes, the same as before: subscriptions and ads. There’s just less direct competition within the industry for those still standing and a lot more competition from outside of the industry for the time and money that would have gone to journalism.
Its trying to get to the moon one way or another
Absolutely right. The fact that it even got a full trial shows there are legal questions here.
Well they need a plan in case the thing takes off. If you look at the objective:

"SpaceX intends to collect as much data as possible during flight to quantify entry dynamics
and better understand what the vehicle experiences in a flight regime that is extremely difficult
to accurately predict or replicate computationally. This data will anchor any changes in vehicle
design or CONOPs after the first flight and build better models for us to use in our internal
simulations."

From https://apps.fcc.gov/els/GetAtt.html?id=273481

It doesn't say the objective is "fly across earth".
I'm an American (keep that in mind) but I have been to Sweden many many times throughout my entire life (my dad worked there). It's a great place and somewhat famously the "Swedish Subway Cops"[0] highlighted the difference between US and Swedish policing seven years ago.

All of that said I find it highly, highly implausible that law enforcement anywhere in the world would show up with a warrant and just walk out with nothing saying "Oh ok, sorry for the confusion!" because a subject of the warrant told them "Oh we don't have that. Here's my logging configuration file - see line 45 where logs go /dev/null?" (or whatever).

Sweden is not the US and maybe I can't picture this because of our issues here but still - this narrative and explanation really strains credibility to me.

[0] - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=izdfnHBMwSs
The False Promise of Dbt Contracts
Silk definitely had(has) the immediate day to day use case of a comfortable fabric to wear, I can imagine that alone drove up demand. I'm sure it being difficult to produce increased it's value.

Sure gold and bitcoin are stores of value and currency, but we don't usually make our boxers out of them.
But the homicide rate is still significantly higher where there is lax gun control right?
I think the problem with parallel states is the combinatorial explosion of the number of transitions - instead of having O(n) transitions, now you have O(n_1*n_2*...*n_k) transitions between all possible k-tuples of parallel states.
Not op but this isn’t hard: they couldn’t test the thing. They could only test parts. Also, engines were single use, couldn’t be tested at all.
> Commodore produced a great many Amiga models, but for several years the gold standard was an Amiga 500 expanded with half a meg of RAM (bringing the total to a full megabyte) and an external floppy drive (bringing the total number to two)

Indeed, I had that very setup, but with a little twist... I still have my very weird oddity which is an external, non-official, 5"1/4 (not 3"1/2, like most people had) floppy drive. Among our group of friends we'd all do that because, at that time and in the EU at least, 5"1/4 floppies were so much cheaper than the 3"1/2 ones that for the price of about 3 boxes of 3"1/2 floppies we could buy 3 boxes of 5"1/4 floppies and the external 5"1/4 floppy disk drive reader (which I take it were assembled by amateur/hobbyist: they didn't look anything like official drives and were very raw, bought through friends-of-friends-of-friends).

Now that Amiga Internet forums are flourishing people have accepted that this was a thing (there are even rare pictures of the thing) but in the past I've had Amiga users explain me that this didn't exist and that I was seeing things (!).

To make the matter even more confusing Commodore did sell official 5"1/4 drives for the Amiga too, but these were different.

The "bootleg" 5"1/4 were, for all matter and purpose, identical to the 3"1/2 ones and we'd install a switch on the Amiga to decide if we were booting from the 3"1/2 or 5"1/4 and the OS had zero way to tell the difference.
That might explain this constant commentary I see from our European friends describing America with exaggerated stereotypes that bear little resemblance to reality.
That is even worse.

Journalists still replaced and offshored to AI generated articles and clickbait. What would take 15 journalists would now take one manager to generate these articles and quizzes. It doesn't really help them at all.

Out goes investigative journalists, in comes AI generated click bait at scale.
> minutes after launch

But not seconds! :)
That's an interesting point about the flight plan - if the intention of the flight was to test the vehicle at max Q, then the rest of the plan is almost a contingency.

SpaceX: We expect the vehicle to reach 40km at which point it will probably blow up.

FAA: Ok but what if it doesn't blow up?

SpaceX: Well I suppose we could separate the stages.

FAA: And then what happens?

SpaceX: Well I suppose we could try to land the first stage and launch the second stage into the ocean...

etc etc.
You want to use VPN in places like United Arab Emirates and China where there are issues with Internet traffic

- WhatsApp calls and such are blocked, you force to use the local crappy app by the local ruler’s cousin otherwise

- They will outright send a re-educator to visit you if you browser the web about the sensitive topics
It’s the first time this rocket has had all 33 engines attempt to light and fully throttle up.

SpaceX has no test facility capable of withstanding a full thrust booster test on the ground.

Also SpaceX has more boosters and ships complete and in various stages of assembly. A complete loss of the pad would have been much more damaging to the program.
figure out which other states and transitions are available from there

I think I see what you mean (for me this is just another manifestation of 'reasoning about state is hard - like possibly the hardest thing in programming), and in a case like the example shown you start by looking that up by looking at the definition; it's bascially also why I left the newline between the Idle and Foo states: want to know what states are available from Idle? Look at all lines starting with In(State.Idle). Now, I assume you also figured that out so perhaps the state machines I've used have never been big enough (largest would be like 100 of these lines) to really see the problem you're facing. Or maybe you've been often looking at machines where states aren't very well defined meaning a state isn't 'small' enough making it really hard to figure out where to go from there (state machine inside another one could potentially be a solution there)? Or perhaps a state machine wasn't the right solution after all?
In what way would that help? At the end of the day the company will need to pay taxes and employees will need to be paid (who in turn also need to pay taxes on that). That basically forces conversion to fiat via a bank account that they cannot obtain.

All crypto has done is add an extra layer of complexity on top of the fundamental problem.
Silk has unique characteristics as a material, and in a pre-plastic pre-industrial world with relatively few viable fabric materials (and all of them profoundly labor-intensive by modern standards) it would have been valuable regardless.

Obviously its rarity, social connotations, and mysterious origins had a huge effect on its value. But like gold, its characteristics alone are enough to cause people to go through the trouble to acquire it initially, enough for those other factors to take over.
> Finally

This comment is 20
Years too late, SpaceX was founded in 2002.
You might have a pretty good clue of who did what but today's winning strategy is to never admit any fault and form coalitions of protection. I suspect that is the winning strategy always, just stonewall, its not particularly honorable but what has that ever won anybody, an honor trophy? You can get trophys by cheating too, and much more!
Transcribe with Whisper 70x Faster
Never underestimate a hype bubble ;) The crypto one lasted for many years with far fewer use cases than LLMs, even accounting for hallucinations.
UK and EU are laying a lot of stones to become authoritarian in the near future.
Some like Facebook still manage to claw their way back into a happy mediocrity.

Instagram is victim to this trying to follow every trend and turning themselves into another WeChat that has every feature ever.
that is a big shame, it was a good and serious news organisation for years.

I was going to link to some of their good stories, but hilariously they have their own listicle of some: "17 Explosive BuzzFeed News Investigations That Made Waves In 2019" [0]

[0]: https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/heidiblake/17-explosive...
SpaceX approach when it comes to safety is to make sure everything that can go wrong goes wrong during testing and lesser value launches, so that when it is time to put people onboard, the issues will have been fixed.

NASA is about making doing right the first time though careful design.

For SpaceX approach to work, they need to test a lot, with a lot of explosions, so they need to make a lot of rockets, they also need repeatability. That's why they are using assembly lines and mass production techniques.

Which approach is the best, I don't know. The traditionally designed Delta IV never failed, but on the other hand, we lost two Space Shuttles and their crews. As for the Falcon 9, it had a couple of failed missions, but it has proven very reliable over time.
There's the added wrinkle that sola scriptura is, ah, kinda difficult to support using only the Bible. It's easier to argue against it, using the Bible as your only source, than to argue for it. Which is a bit awkward.
I guess from my point of view, I do not care much if someone born a male now identifies as a women if it isn't affecting me. They have the freedom to do so. There are segments who have taken to misgendering them on purpose as a form of harassment and I think that is wrong.

I view this argument as analogous to someone is trying to justify slurring other minorities. Why slur them? Just treat them as people who are just trying to get through life and all its challenges.

Also all this focus on slurring a specific minority makes those doing the slurring seem mean, non-credible and non-compassionate to their fellow human beings. If someone starts slurring another minority, I will immediate dismiss anything they say next because they are showing they harbor hate - it isn't a rational discussion anymore, all facts are going to be distorted, things that lead to cognitive dissonance are going to be dismissed, and my motivations will be questioned. Who has time for that?
optimizations always have to be data-driven, from profiles, starting at the slowest stuff and working your way down, until you satisfy your latency requirements

unless your slow function materially impacts your performance metrics in a way that you can reproducibly demonstrate, it's a mistake to optimize that code to shave off a few microseconds
It’s sort of difficult to call it moving the goal post when that goal post was set well before the test attempt. That’s maintaining the goal post.
I have an 1/8 mile long driveway with a curve on a slope. I have sworn by an FF compact car with good snow tires (Used to be Hakka R's, but now Blizzak)

Snow tires are essential. I went out one day on Dec 31 without snows and made it about 300 feet from my driveway before I went in the ditch and rolled my car.

Circa 2008 I drove a FR Buick for a few weeks that had traction control and I was impressed with how it handled in the snow.
Haha yeah.

Don't trust Andrew Lee aka rasengan, a cartel operator and a lying sack of shit.

Verify https://twitter.com/grvgr

[bull] https://www.privateinternetaccess.com/blog/dont-trust-verify...
Or

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BYD_Seagull
That's the point. The "data science" enshittening won the battle over real journalism.
I couldn't ask for a better opponent, so thank you for that.
Everything you just listed is very probably all from a single root cause (the pad not being able to handle the force) and the fix could be as simple as using a bigger water deluge system / having a pad that isn't just a flat block of concrete / etc.
BuzzFeed News Shuts Down
A long time ago, the main three sites I visited daily were Slashdot, Digg, and Reddit. Reddit only had (I believe) a few thousand users at the time and /hot was mostly populated in roughly equal parts with links to content about obscure programming languages/techniques, news articles, and links to content about illicit drugs/weed. I was only semi-interested in the first and not at all in the last two, so I dropped it from my rotation thinking, "man, this is never going to take off."
Why are they pushing suicide videos to find out which kids are interested in them in the first place?
But you still need to do it for something like a rocket that is supposed to carry people in the future. In to long term, it's better to evaluate reliability of every component at the beginning, than do it after if fails.
>That pre-launch "tolerance" is basically zero

I don't think that is accurate. There is a difference between 9%, 99%, and 99.999% confidence of success going into a launch.

You can almost always delay builds and launces to run more simulations, tests, and studies and increase confidence.

A simple example is SpaceX could have chosen to wait until they had a booster test with 100% engine ignition before moving on a full launch. Instead they choose move forward anyways without more stationary booster testing.
Destin is a national treasure.
That's a fair point. I took the premise to be that there was already a higher trauma rate in the US based on the fact that there is so apparently so much medication given out for trauma related issues compared to other countries. This had been suggested above but I didn't look into it further.

> How many lives are saved and traumas avoided through people's ability to defend themselves with guns

Self defence with guns sounds pretty traumatising for all involved to be fair.
This is part of the culture distinction. On one hand SpaceX is attacking problems, but IMO they often don't go towards attacking the root causal understanding. That means there's a possibility of unknown latent risk.

As an example, they had issues with failures related to their COPVs rupturing. On the one hand, they addressed the problem by redesigning their system. On the other, they never really investigated fully why the COPVs were failing in the first place. Instead, NASA decided to fund that investigation on their own. One possible consequence is that their redesign didn't fully address the risk because they never fully investigated the root cause.
I continue to think that this is cool stuff, while being very, very dismayed by what he's doing with Twitter. I don't understand what the attraction of the latter is for someone with the wherewithal to work on spaceships.
Isn't this such a low bar that almost anything could clear it (e.g. Goodhart's law)?

To me, more interesting than how the company itself defines success would be how domain experts outside the company perceive it.
and who are you ?
What's really dreading for me, is that the first launch showed, that the problem of synchronous work of many engines, which doomed N1[0], was not solved. SpaceX knew about it from the start and placed it's bet on 50 years of technological advances. I don't want to think about the scenario where that bet is lost.

[0] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/N1_(rocket)
One thing I've found challenging about the Whisper APIs is that it performs quite poorly when trying to do "realtime transcription" - I played around with some of the whisper.cpp stuff to get it running, and with the tiny model, I was almost able to get reliable transcriptions, but it seems like other than static mp3 files, it is a Hard Problem [tm] that will need further work to get really good.

My use case was to try to make an AI assistant that would transcribe my audio requests and then turn that into a payload for one of the GPT-X APIs
Back when machines could be fully understood, happy memories for me too, getting the first hard drive (some kind of side caddy thing from a computer show in London) and the speed of it! especially loading DevPac up for some 68000 possibly 68020 by then? I think my 2 player pacman with level editor is still sat on that disk, whatever happened to that I wonder...
The history of the relationship with Japan in the late 80s would show us ally or not is not relevant. Japan was constantly demonized before it’s economy collapsed after the plaza accord…
One of the foundational concepts in an autotools builds is mixing generated files with source files.
https://twitter.com/pwang_szn/status/1647902577760116737?s=6...
It’s a pretty scathing omen for the ad run internet that this is the part that shuts down while their flaming dumpsterfire of a content mill lives on.