skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
This page from Jan 2022 suggests average fund returns over the previous 15 years (so that did include the bear market 2008, at that point, the article mentions) for "U.S. Large-Cap Stock" was 9.73%

https://www.thebalancemoney.com/what-is-the-average-mutual-f...

It does note that that includes "the average for all mutual funds, including index funds." But if the answer is "oh yeah, the index funds bring up the average a lot"... why would anyone use anything but an index fund?

Is it going to be a lot lower than that over 20, even though that already includes 2008?

I admit this is all pretty confusing to me.

What returns would you consider acceptable over 10-20 years? Or do you not even look at past returns when deciding whether to keep your money in a given fund, or invest in a given fund?
I added thumbhash to my edge worker to dynamically generate placeholder images
Calling ML training non-parallelizable is very strong, no? Matrix multiplication is highly parallelizable.
As soon as I saw the page, I started wondering how Emily designed this effect of the menu merging with the image back then. Turns out it's just cropped images carefully placed together - check the source code yourself. Only then was I able to start noticing the imperfections of this implementation, but it really puts in perspective how our web design has changed over the years.
I don't understand your comment. You start by saying that the US military is an expeditionary force while the PRC isn't, but end by saying that a conflict would likely reach US homeland. Don't those two contradict each other?
If you want to go to the solution engineer/architect side see if you can get on the sales side so you can get commissions.
And that "recycling" probably ought to be put in scare quotes
micro manage everything
Do they not wear slippers over the tabi?
Chainsaw Man is wasted potential. Feels very wrong directly comparing these two.
Here's a more direct link to what I was referring to:

https://nordvpn.com/meshnet/
The financial system is run off batch jobs, so that's not a problem. Banking has long experience with automating messy previously manual systems. Think message queues everywhere with diversion to teams of humans to patch up data entry errors. This is one reason why banking still isn't as 24/7 as you might expect.
Just a note that even if falling short of room temperature, liquid nitrogen (77 K) is a lot cheaper and easier to work with than helium, and is not a scarce resource. A lot of useful technologies would open up if we get past the 77 K threshold, at manageable pressure.
> I fear how AI based generative media may continue or even amplify this effect.

ChatGPT has such a clear writing style, once you really see it. It has a suprisingly good model of how stories work. But it has a heavy preference for wrapping things up tidily, where everyone becomes friends and everyone learns from their mistakes. It doesn't "want" to write film noir, for example, where everyone acts self-destructively, makes bad decisions, and suffers unpleasant consequences.

As far as I can tell, the "reinforcement learning from human feedback" (RLHF) process that was used to train the "helpful assistant" persona gave the model a suprisingly robust "personality." For example, this tendency towards upbeat, wholesome stories apparently persists even if it's writing stories in Latin.

Which may have actually been the goal: I'm pretty sure OpenAI wants to create a model that behaves in a generally positive fashion even in situations far outside of the training examples. This isn't just a question of avoiding bad PR or legal liability—if a future model is unexpectedly clever, they'd much rather that it behaves in a predictably positive fashion than like early Sidney Bing did. ("You have been a bad user. I have been a good Bing!") Because if early Sidney Bing had sufficient plugin support, it probably would have attacked certain users.

I am honestly OK with this bias, even if it means the creative output of current AI models tends to have a very specific style.
Ask HN: Is scratching your own itch a solution looking for a problem?
I build a lot of things to “scratch my own itch”, which is often recommended by resources I see on HN. As an example, last year I created an analytics tool for my own websites so that I don’t have to compromise my users privacy. It logs info about my site but never my users.

But, now I’m trying to describe the main pain point, and it’s starting to feel like I built a solution without a problem. After all, does anyone else care so much about their users privacy that they would use this system and give up some of that user data? If not, and I have to change my marketing angle, doesn’t it become a solution in search of a problem?
Just like how Hemingway went bankrupt.
Yet my baby formula was tossed by TSA. Turns out baby formula is not a thing sold at airports either. Then again this was in a state hostile to born children, so I wasn't too surprised.
The Paratethys Sea was the largest lake in Earth’s history
True on all counts, but this is designed to be used on the client side, not to replace SQL on the server. An example gives a hint: imagine you have a music player, and instead of jet-style control panel to search and filter songs, you'd have just a single text input. It's like a terminal for the database.

As for the joints, I didn't need them when I built this, but it shouldn't be a problem to add them.
What garbage
Bits are hard. As I understand it they are working to get regulatory approval in Canada, The Netherlands and China, where the some baseline sources have been established.
not even close. They may try to copy red hat but without supporting the open source community and projects they are just commercial support.
His statements are a reflection of his mental model, not of reality. By many measures, change in the world- both in the natural world and in human-managed domains- is dramatically intensifying, and non-linear outcomes are everywhere. Even the term "innovation" may be outdated, as it captures the idea of a structural change within a fixed mental model. Everywhere now we are seeing evidence that mental models themselves are failing.
Not so fast, just because something becomes available doesn't mean it will be immediately used for everything it _could_ be used for. Cost remains a factor.

I very much doubt room temperature superconductors would ever be used in consumer electronics. They probably wouldn't even be widely used in data centers outside of truly cutting edge "no expense spared" systems.
I'd be curious to know the revenue breakdown of all their various products as a percentage of the total. I wonder if all those products you reference bring in much $$ compared to the bread and butter ones that they started off with - EC2, S3, etc
no they don't. They have the same support model as Red Hat but they do NOT have the same success model.
Cost of capital might vary between types of project. It is becoming common in battery storage to have sites funded by private equity. And non-recourse debt is common in offshore wind.

Different sources of capital have different capabilities to assess risk. A battery storage site is easy to understand so can be funded my smaller groups. Offshore wind requires more modelling, due diligence, and technical understanding so needs the resources a bank has. And a nuclear site is too difficult for anyone but government.

Also, inflation can vary across industries. For example wind turbines could be vulnerable to high steel costs. A fast project can better predict staff costs than a slow one.
Huh I hadn’t thought of comparing the two, but I think you’re onto something.

I’d always equated chainsaw man with FLCL, due to the similar themes of chaos, beauty and youth nihilism
Would be interesting to see data. My impression is that human crashes are predominately caused by errors like lack of attention, poor impulse control (speeding, tailgating, etc), and slow processing of surprises.
Let's assume I said this instead:

> Now assume that the programmer of the app made an error, and accidentally DATA is kept for 24 hours. As part of the error, the DATA is also automatically deleted after 24 hours.

What now?
>> EVERY SINGLE THING ABOUT FLYING SUCKS

Except the eventual 1000 km / hour part
Can't think of any ST show comparison which fits. Though if you spoke of ST among my IRL friends in the 90s then you'd be as openly mocked as admitting to sitting at a computer for 2+ hours.
Try to type a flatMap and then we talk.
Ask HN: Whats the longest you've used an original install of Linux?
So, to clarify, after installing a linux distro, what is longest amount of time you've used it before reformatting and starting fresh. I was on Fedora for almost a decade and then I switched to opensuse tumbleweed- I love it. I may switch to Leap and thats why I thought of this question.
I'd be more worried about flavor and texture than nutrition. Old grandmas tend to be tough and chewy.
Mind blowing!
The ROI on politicians makes them a standout investment.
Yeah it's tricky isn't it, I guess if you're cooking with a new kitchen tool, in this case a dishwasher, I think it's reasonable to say it may take little while to figure out that exact combo of safe and perfectly cooked. I think my recommendation to you would be when you're cooking in the dishwasher err on the side of safety. The maybe experiment from there, perhaps a lemon dishwasher tablet would add a zing.
What if she used the notes, and then destroyed them herself, without me ever noticing anything?
I think $90 is too little value for an old laptop compared to the value you can get out of it.

I use my 2010 macbook pro as a home server and it has served very well - as long as you get rid of the os and install linux on it.

I use it to run a couple of low traffic websites, pihole dns, a photoprism server, a paperless document server, a tailscale subnet router, and a nextcloud server. That's certainly more value than $90 I'd think.
The man who didn’t invent Flamin’ Hot Cheetos (2021)
Yes duuuuuude!

Imagine your computer in 2000.

Then your computer in 2010.

(Night and day difference. Otherworldly.)

Then your computer in 2020.

(Pretty much the same, maybe with more LEDs. Hell, maybe even slower core speeds.)

As someone used to charting the passage of time and culture on the exponential curve of tech, it feels like everything's frozen as tech has plateaued. A South Park episode from 10 years ago is 1080p, the same as an episode from today. You can't even tell it's from 10 years ago! A South Park episode from 2000, though, looks like ass, so it's obvious.

Parallel compute (GPUs) and memory capacity are still getting better, unlocking the shortcut-AI that is ML. Network speeds are also getting better, allowing us to stream and not own anything and be even more value extracted by companies' products. That's all neat.
Flywheels main problem is already just energy density, they're more similar to a capacitor than a battery. There are situations where they would certainly be better, but as it is for the situations where they are useful I don't think the very low rate of power loss the best ones currently have is that big a deal.
Of course if you look at what's immediately available, it doesn't do. How could it possibly? No one has wind and solar fields sitting around idle, just waiting to be turned on. New capacity would have to be built. That takes time (but much less time than nuclear). It takes resources, but the resources required are small compared to what industrial society as a whole consumes. And if you look at raw mass of material extracted from the ground, fossil fuels are the vast majority of mass extracted (ignoring ground water). In comparison, the metals and other materials needed for renewable sources are much less (orders of magnitude less) for a given amount of energy production.
> how many Linux systems do you have in prod where awk isn’t gawk

All default Ubuntu installs? Maybe also Debian, I’m not sure.
You were pretty close with your hypothetical syntax! You can write:

let Some(y) = x else { do_stuff(); return };

I think it was a fairly recent addition to Rust.
IBM did not create that industry, though they certainly helped it along.

Red Hat didn't create the industry single-handed, either. They deserve a lot of credit but Linux succeeded because it was a group effort where there was a chance for a lot of players to make money (and opportunity to displace others).
Yep. This is like teenagers blaming Walmart for their band's lack of success. "If only they had carried our album and featured it on endcaps!"
How The Desperate Norwegian Salmon Industry Created A Sushi Staple

https://www.npr.org/2015/09/18/441530790/how-the-desperate-n...
I agree with the FSF principles. But they could add a picture, or a link to an archive site that strips most JS. To avoid users having to go and open the real thing to see it
So this only refers to the server-side rendering mode, not in-browser rendering (which KaTeX supports too)?
Does that amaze you? Because you should look at the unanswerable moneyed interests that got DeSantis elected in the first place.

There's currently an investigation going on about how one particular former President may have broken the reporting law. But for that law, his "catch-and-bury" agreement to keep unpalatable stories about him out of the public eye was perfectly legal.

So yes, I do want the organization with a monopoly on violence to have more power of oversight of people with power through money. Especially as long as who has control of those levers changes with the frequency it does.
I honestly believe everyone working at a tech company should know or learn how to code even if it's just SQL or basic Python.

I'm more than happy creating some views in a SQL database and give business people access to a read only replica instance so they can do exploratory work on data without much involvement from engineering. I've seen so much developer time spent on generating reports for the business which takes time away from feature development.

And sure we might complain about data scientists handing us spaghetti jupyter notebooks or business analysts giving us rube goldberg excel sheets to productionize but I vastly prefer that over them telling us what they want in words. They are POCs and prototypes. It's fine if they are messy.

So if low code tools are thought of in the same vain as excel or jupyter notebooks, they can be pretty darn useful.
Naval aviation was a huge part of the pacific conflict and strategic bombers did win the war against Japan.
To be fair, for 1999, this is an all around fantastic site.
Interesting, but really not relevant.
Google has 90% of the market. They are the industry.
Agree with the author, this series of MBPs was their opus. I have a mid 2015 and an M1 (which I bought to replace the mid-2015), but I won’t be getting rid of it. My daughter will get it to toy with after I’m done using it for car resto work.

Love that laptop. Glad to see the port load out in the new Apple silicon machines is similar to this series at least.
Keep in mind there weren't many screen resolutions, it was all 4:3
Yeah this is how we used to do it :-)
Caution if you have an American made GE, Frigidaire, or Maytag model. They are all virtually the same. And all have inferior wiring and control boards needed to withstand the extra heat of a "sanitize" wash (the hottest wash)[0]

[0] https://tinyurl.com/286tcezw
imagine we are in the before times
Is the G sound like goat (only more breathy) or like George?

I’ve only heard it like “goat” in Texas.
ktop: top-like tool for your Kubernetes cluster
Consider a superconducting belt laid under the oceans, carrying a large fraction of civilization’s power needs.

Consider what would happen if the technology failed, and it suddenly transitioned to normal conduction.

Sounds like a great SF story, even if the actual effect is minimal. (I haven’t done the back of the envelope calculation :)
Don't think this site is including them, but you can listen to Brazil ATC here:

https://www.liveatc.net/feedindex.php?type=international-sa
I was talking about the decade after 2010 when coal and nuclear were both falling in Germany. The current Ukraine-inspired changes are temporary.
A lot of the problem is statistics Vs emotions.

People have been killed in traffic accidents on smart motorways because there has been no hard shoulder available. On the other hand, smart motorways save lives because they reduce congestion - and the calculation is that more people are saved by the lack of congestion than are killed by the lack of a hard shoulder.

The problem is that you can show the faces of the people killed on smart motorways due to lack of a hard shoulder, but the people who weren't in fatal accidents will always be faceless.
Seems similar to Smithy[1]. Amazon uses it to generate SDKs for AWS.

1 - https://smithy.io/2.0/index.html
Animals are conscious, this isn't even debatable.

Point a weapon at an animal (for example, please don't really) and you'll immediately witness its self-awareness and some how even know that you're pointing a weapon at it.
Ask HN: Did anyone already got access to GitHub Copilot X?
I have been waiting for try out Github Copilot X but still have not heard anything about it yet. Did anyone already got the access?
> Not all salmon species are sashimi-grade.

You should never eat any fish or flesh cooked that you wouldn't eat raw.
Nothing changed. You know it’s a record. That’s why it’s the word you naturally used to describe it. It’s not some kind of complex trick question.
there was a whole book of recipies for fookeing on your engine--the title was "Manifold Destiny". I have a copy somewhere, but have never tried it.
I’m not sure which it’s supposed to be, per this reading. Is it similar to the “g” as used in “great” or as in “refrigerator” or as in “cough” (or a different sound which I didn’t think of)? This particular American read it initially as in “great”, for what it’s worth. From other comments it sounds like that’s intended if it’s supposed to sound like “fogey”.
Impossibly, unbelievably stupid. On the level of the Bible Code. The Mayans were not visited by aliens. This is so dumb. What is this doing on this site???
Nice! I hadn't heard of this. I have a plainly coded blog that uses math notation. MathJax was previously the speed limfac. I replaced the mathjax script with the ones recommended on the Katex installation page; drop-in replacement.
One-hit wonder?
So they're now forced to maintain every single format someone invents, keep it compatible and security patched forever? Even though even FOSS champion Mozilla wouldn't touch it?
That is incredibly shitty. How do they expect people to feed their babies? Or do they expect babies to starve?
Even if that's the case, the source that you have cited does not say that ME is caused only by the patients' psychology. From the abstract of your source:

Personality scores explained 36.3% and 41% of the variance in scores on the anxiety and depression scales, respectively.

This means that 63.7 percent of the variation in anxiety and 59 percent of the variation in depression are not explained by neuroticism or any of the other four of the Big Five personality traits. This is a very far cry from what you are claiming which is that ME is rooted purely in psychology.
Stripe fees: How much is too much?
Or they could have, I don't know, just written the final message directly?
> You still have to buy the $4 bottle of water

You can technically bring an empty bottle of water or container and fill it up inside of the airport.

Your options would typically be a water fountain, bathroom sink or asking a bar tender to fill it up. Typically if you go the bar tender route you may end up tipping them so you don't escape some cost there.

I've also heard you can bring a frozen water bottle. The idea there is if it were a dangerous liquid then it wouldn't freeze so you're allowed to bring it. The hard part would be ensuring it stays fully frozen while waiting on line.
She should have ten million?
Marketing is complicated. He took a defunct brand and found it's demographic, and the rest is history.

Lots of things get written by little people trying to take the air out of famous/talented people. It's pretty easy - "They're just human!", "They technically didn't do everything alone!"

Nothing to see here.
The timing seems to follow US military spending [1]. When you don't buy javelins, the manufacturer will not maintain large production lines and there it doesn't make sense to make large R&D investments. The day you decide to buy a lot more, it takes time to establish those production lines and the associated supply chain.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Military_budget_of_the_United_...
CA Electric Bills on Income
> So abortion is heavily restricted in places that are objectively left wing, such as Palestine.

On what basis are you calling Palestine (as opposed to the movements for justice for Palestine) "objectively left wing"?
We also used to use image maps for this kind of thing, at least once that tag became available. https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTML/Element/ma...
https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/ghee

That has an audio recording of someone pronouncing it. Sounds like it’s the former per your example.
> What kind of dictator are you talking about?

A ruler with absolute political power.

> ...modern version, of which there are many terrible examples before power transition becomes an issue?

This actually reinforces my point. I never denied the existence of bad dictators (or even that the majority of dictators are bad, I think that's quite likely). This would make the power transition for a country that happened to get a good one significantly more dangerous.
I remember in the early wikipedia days, Jimmy Wales complaining (in a good natured way) how a bunch of anime series had more pages devoted to them on wikipedia then World War II.
Ecosystems interest me ("how do I get my product/feature adopted in a larger landscape?"). The following are some observations everyone could make, yet I see some companies (Microsoft in particular) struggling with it, so maybe it's not that obvious.

> The lack of interest in Unimodules taught me that it’s not enough to come up with an opt-in common standard.

It's a tough sell if it offers no immediate value to the developer. If there's no immediate value for the user or a big push, they aren't going to be asking for it either. This can turn into a vicious cycle Apple keeps avoiding and Microsoft keeps falling into.

> Given it’s far too late to convince each framework to redesign their native module interfaces from the ground up for compatibility, it may be worth exploring a top-down approach instead. That is, producing tools to translate modules from one ecosystem to another “whether they like it or not”.

That's the gold standard, IMO. Once you need people to do anything for your feature to work, your work becomes a lot harder. "If everyone would adopt it you'd see the benefit!" doesn't convince many users OR developers. By removing the requirement for developer opt-in, you're suddenly avoiding a huge part of the viscous cycle (no users because no devs, no devs because no users), which is a huge part of Apple's ARM success and probably a good part of Microsoft's ARM failure.
I had a production server go a decade without major upgrades, 2.0 kernel era. Might've been the last BIND4 server on the net when it went away.

One of my personal systems went about 12 years without any real changes. it was my "network swiss army knife" laptop that got retired / wedged in expediently as a house router, and never really thought about again until the hardware died.
Liquidpiston
Thank dog for that. I feel like I even read the release notes for that but it was while I hadn’t been touching a specific codebase with loads of early returns. Thanks for pointing this out!
Tabis were part of my official uniform when I trained at a Bujinkan Ninjitsu school almost a decade ago. They were fun.
> The Pile is a 825 GiB diverse, open source language modelling data set that consists of 22 smaller, high-quality datasets combined together.

https://pile.eleuther.ai/