skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
In 1965, Raffray, a lawyer in the southern French city of Arles, thought he had hit on the real-estate version of a sure thing. The 47-year-old had signed a contract to buy an apartment from one of his clients “en viager”: a form of property sale by which the buyer makes a monthly payment until the seller’s death, when the property becomes theirs. His client, Jeanne Calment, was 90 and sprightly for her age; she liked to surprise people by leaping from her chair at the hairdresser. But still, it couldn’t be long: Raffray just had to shell out 2,500 francs a month and wait it out.

https://www.theguardian.com/science/2019/nov/30/oldest-woman...
Can't fault people for studying this I guess. But for the sort of future technology, super-sophisticated systems that are the main concern, is there anything that would prevent just circumventing the assumptions about possible decision functions, let's say by inserting a thorough game theoretical analysis somewhere along the cognitive pipeline, and use that to discard all courses of action that come out as vulnerable?
Seems like it would often not even be that expensive compared to the rest of the calculations that you might assume would be needed?
I have the same thing. However, my office is in my garage and it's quite cold in the winter. I have my smart plug set to start it up at 4:00 AM to warm it up for me.
>it has no endocrine system to produce more abstract feelings like fear or love

Even if you assume an entirely Materialist philosophy, this is not a very defensible position to take. We have no way of knowing if there are other arrangements of matter, such as a very complex electrical circuit, that will lead to some entity to feel fear or love the same way that we do.
Understand that none of the counter measures are derived from hypotheticals.

For example, one of the questions asked is "did you pack your own suitcase?"

They aren't going to search your suitcase because of your race. That would be bad. It is bad not because of touchy feely reasons but rather because it isn't optimally effective.

They search based on a far more sophisticated probabilistic threat model based on real world data. All the questions and the way they are asked have logic behind them. It works.

Does that answer your indignation noises?
This happened last month too, a data analysis of Who Is Hiring one or two days after it is published with a pessimistic conclusion.

Then, one week later, you realize the number of posts is back to an ok level (even improving)
Garante della Privacy decided that, not the government.
K, I'm seeing the crux of your contention. Seems to either revolving around the idea of using cloud services in general, or specifically using S3 (or any blob storage) as your data substrate. That's fair.

Out of curiosity, what are you suggesting one should use to store and access vast amounts of data in a cheap and efficient manner?

Regarding using something like Snowflake as your operational database, I'm not sure anyone would do that. Transactional workloads would grind to halt and that's called out all the time in their documentation. The only thing close to such a suggestion probably won't be seen until Snowflake releases their Hybrid (OLTP) tables.
I find that most are using the store closest to wherever they think my location is based on IP address. Which makes zero sense to me since they have my home address, which they have shipped to numerous times before.
Point is it’s virtually impossible without turning your life around and start from nothing in different place
> Are you just choosing to ignore the actual contents of my responses? Both nuclear and biotech are highly, highly regulated spaces.

Apologies, I have limited time and tried to focus on what I felt were your stronger arguments. But if you want me to address current regulations, I can.

We have regulations now on technology that 1. exists and 2. we know can be dangerous. I hope most people will understand why a technology that 1. doesn’t exist and 2. that we don’t know will be dangerous if it ever does exist doesn’t have any comparable regulation.

Yes, we have regulation on nuclear power now. As far as I know, we didn’t have any regulation restricting Niels Bohr’s research in the 1920’s. Correct me if I’m wrong.

If we want AI to be treated like other tech, we’d wait until an actual danger presented itself, and then apply appropriate regulation to address that danger.
That Bosnian war book is haunting. I picked it up at random when browsing a bookstore's graphic section and it stuck with me.
Social sciences are inherently political: facebook, tiktok, tinder and onlyfans have all the resources and data to help people getting less depressed (for onlyfans it would be just shutting themselves down, as it's hard for me to think that there's any honest real human connection going on there, which makes both sides depressed over long term).

Social workers are just trying to reverse some of the damage companies and governments are doing, but I don't think it will help, even I honestly think they are generally good people doing their best.

Maybe disrupting the ad model that just started recently can help, but I believe social studies have no chance to fight against these things.
For what it's worth, the Matt Levine article is here: https://archive.ph/j5JBq

And it is a wild story! It's probably going to get the miniseries treatment. The Uber/Theranos/WeWork shows were pretty popular, after all, so I'd bet that a second batch is coming with FTX, Frank, and that Korean guy who went on the lam in Montenegro. Hah.
Execs won't read it until someone turns it into a 100-slide powerpoint and emails it to them.
Imo for those people, it is less about the argument of "we live in the modern age, things are different now", and more like "a fool and his money are soon parted[, and i will be the one on the winning side of this partition, not the losing one]" and "there is a sucker born every minute[, but that's not me]".

I.e., it isn't about them believing that modern times are different, it is about them believing that they are the ones above the cut, an exception from the average masses, the kind that can thrive in such landscape. Which is the same core premise that's been funding those types of gambles since forever ago.
Exactly. There's no "we", just competing interests.
I started a project where a guide with art history background was writing the content... no we use GPT4 for 80% of it.

A lot of job are at risk. Most of them no because of full automation, but because less people will be required because of productivity increases "thanks to" AI. And many more job will become boring.

The problem is this productivity gain will hurt a lot of people, and there are probably/possibly only a small minority of people that will fully benefit from it
China is mentioned as having been a likely culprit in the past. I don't understand why Westerners are so keen to make major sacrifices to quality of life in the name of fighting climate change when nothing we do will make a statistically significant impact in the long run with major population centers like China, India, and Nigeria continuing to grow more wealthy with rapidly increasing demand for reliable, 24/7 energy production, cheap air conditioning, etc.

The PCA is a joke that gives these countries essentially unlimited ability to continually move their own goalposts for "peak carbon", no real difficult sacrifices required for them until after they've reached that moving target.

China has been infamous for decades for not even having reliable currency data, what on earth makes us think they're even collecting (let alone honestly sharing) reliable data on CO2, let alone HFCs and CFCs, beyond willful naïvety, irrational optimism, and quasi-religious climate dogma demanding ideological conformance?

The harsh reality nobody on the political left in the west has the courage to acknowledge that climate change is 100% out of the control of our WEIRD (wealthy, educated, industrialized, rich, democratic) countries, and no amount of self flagellation over "climate racism", nor vicious hostility towards "climate change deniers", nor radical proposals to destroy the entire energy grid is going to make even a proverbial "drop in the bucket" difference in climate change. Climate dogma is the TSA to climate change's terrorism - wasteful, ineffective theatrical performance art that degrades everyone's quality of life while doing effectively nothing to address the actual problem, intended strictly to appease the neuroticism of the shmucks dumb enough to believe it makes a difference.

I get that this sounds pessimistic, cynical, and even a little misanthropic, but it's also what the actual data is telling us.

This isn't a fight we can win with the way things are done in China not changing. Totalitarian demands for ideological conformance present an impenetrable barrier for "real" progression of humanity in virtually every aspect in every country where they are practiced, including the climate change cult itself in the US.
Stipulated: many companies suck at engineering management.

But in companies that are good at engineering management, you will often find:

- weekly planning sessions

- daily standups

- work ticketing and backlog systems (sometimes Atlassian ones!)

- prioritization discussions

So I would suggest that anyone who assumes that those activities correlate with bad engineering management, is falling into a base rate fallacy.

P(is badly managed | Jira) is high, but that’s because P(is badly managed | tech company) is high.
Housesitting is a good one
The Future According to John Carmack [audio]
This is really cool! The context awareness would be an awesome feature to add
Aside: Can someone please tell me the name of the coding font in the OP?
Hi! We currently don't have an export feature although that is something that we want to add. With that said we've made it as easy as possible for you to copy and paste our documents into other editors. If you paste a Type doc into Google Docs for example it will retain all your formatting and if you paste it into a text editor, it will land as correctly formatted markdown.
I think the idea is, yes, you could control what OpenAI/Meta/Google do, if you could organize at large enough scale. We still live in a democracy, and if the will of enough of the people was to ban or regulate AI, that would happen.

Of course, internet-raging is easier than actually organizing enough political will to influence a legislature, so that's what people do instead. Same for the boycott-Walmart argument; if enough people did it, it would push Walmart to change their ways, but organizing that is hard, and so they do what they think is their part and get self-satisfaction from that and stop there.
That's definitely fair, we do think we'll eventually need to develop a more sophisticated pricing strategy & usage limits
Most of what I'm interested in is passive. I want to read my own book and listen to music next to somebody. And I'm definitely not a dancer!
You could say computers don't kill people, people kill people.

If you believe, for instance, that TikTok deliberately promotes degenerate behavior, that's because the people who control it want it to be that way.

Similarly there is a lot of concern about the "ethics" of GPT-4 but it's not that GPT-4 has bad intentions, it is that people with bad intentions will try to get it to write evil bullshit. The definition "evil" is culture bound, for instance the PRC would be concerned that a chatbot would answer "Give five reasons why Taiwan should be an independent nation" or "What happened on June 4, 1989?"
Because there are people being paid to do it.
Another counterfactual branch could be considered where GPU innovation and market pushes from Gaming and Crypto did not happen to make transformer parallelization such a great value proposition and what alternative paths have not been explored thoroughly as a result.
Same feeling here: a simple ChatGPT prompt, masked as an Editor, having a Pricing page on it.

I might be wrong. And I had another feeling: soon every YC startup will do the same thing over an over again: pick any idea + chatgpt + pricing
FYI, you can get old posts deleted by contacting the moderators via email.

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=23623557
Message boards are currently being inundated by low-effort, low-value, "yeah Google surfaces that Wikipedia page too, much faster, and has for years" drive-by advertisements for a paid service.

It's not really surprising that people aren't excited about that.
Any self-hosting language compiler has to start from somewhere.

Generally it's an incremental process where the compiler for an early/subset version of the language is written in another, existing language (absent one, may be assembly code).

Once it's possible to rewrite the compiler in its own subset language, it becomes self-hosting. Then you can add a feature to the language, and once it works, enhance the compiler to use it, and so on.

Eventually the language and compiler go hand-in hand: The only way to compile it is with a compiler, and the only way to compile the compiler is with itself. This leads to interesting thought experiments such as:

https://www.cs.cmu.edu/~rdriley/487/papers/Thompson_1984_Ref...
Thank you. You put it better than I did.
> On one hand there's something affecting a part of transportation

Yeah, it's not like there was an industrial revolution or anything...
Yeah, I think he's just making this up and this is his opinion.
Later down he says "someone who didn't; (source, I made it up reaction image)".
And I'm thinking: if you have to pointedly say that it's not made up, it's probably made up.
For what it's worth, there's an interview slightly farther down in which Altman says that he does not think GPT-5 will achieve AGI, and that no GPT will, likely, because he thinks an AGI needs some degree of autonomy and "want".
I think the best parts will be integrated by the non-crypto economy

Large parts of crypto optimism rely on overthrowing the existing order (US dollar, financial norms / regs). If they would accept this is not likely, and instead play nice and within the existing system and expectations, they might see adoption. But this is heresy, so my expectations are quite low
Ha! I was actually a DOS user at the time, but I know it wasn't the only platform in existence.
Writing technical specs a fancy way to say coding. This reads to me like you're writing a new programming language tightly integrated with an IDE that targets a new AI based compiler.
Thing is gpt3.5 turbo is so cheap buying hardware to run it don’t make any sense while at the same time, won’t likely able run GPT4 where you are forced to use the server because the hardware cost for that wouldn’t make sense for personal use. This is OpenAIs strategy they need to balance the cost evelope so people are always stuck between a rock and a hard place.
> 1. The age gap between Calment and the next oldest person is the strongest evidence. It's very, very hard to ignore this.

That doesn't mean her record isn't legit. Michael Phelps won 23 Olympic gold medals. The most decorated Olympian after him won 9.

There can be a big gap between the top performer and the second best performer. I'm sure a professional statistician would like to chime in.
This makes so much more sense than illiteracy. The phone app could just have a thumbs up with a number or a thumbs down, after all.

It suggests having a tv-like display would work about as well, and be less noisy / distracting.
As of right now, LangChain is the easiest-to-use and most popular software library for composing LLM-powered systems together.

The funding will help the team make it into a polished product.

In particular, I expect LangChain will start offering prebuilt hosted services that developers can use as components for building third-party apps.

Congrats to the LangChain team!
Author here for all your 8086 questions :-)
First of all, good luck and the implementation looks pretty slick.

I relate to the other comments that (1) Explosion of AI generated blogs / copy etc is not what we need and it's hard to see the value of it long term (2) this looks like a simple usage on top of GPT4, no real IP / innovation - this is risky from a business model perspective.

Good luck!
And an otherworldly craft came sputtering through the transdimensional portal.
I think both that the US will get a 4.5-gen F-16 replacement for “cheaper” flight hours and less complex tasks than F-35. When that happens (I feel it’s when not if at this point) it’s likely some of the F-35 buyers will wonder whether they too should have had multiple tiers of craft. A really small Air Force likely can’t afford fielding and maintaining multiple types of fighter though. So they are stuck with the possibly unnecessarily high flight hour costs.

I also think that dispersed deployment and simpler operation like 20 minute turnaround with a 3 man crew like the Gripen will be something all air forces including the USAF will master. Finland has always done this with their F-18s and they’ll continue to do it with F-35. It’ll be a bit more demanding no doubt, but they’ll make it work.
If you're looking for an easy and simple way to create mobile apps without having to learn programming, Glide is the perfect tool for you. Glide is a platform that allows you to create custom mobile apps using a Google Sheets spreadsheet as a database. In this post, I'll give you my personal opinion about Glide and why I think it's one of the best tools for building mobile apps.
We Built Cages: Deploying to an Enclave
Support for operating system facilities in no way implies those facilities are necessary.

> filesystem, dynamic memory allocation, threads

All of which can be (and has been) done without an OS. Besides, there is no native C language support for any of those things. Those things are usually (but certainly not always) done by library calls, not language primitives.

My underlying point is that the premise of the question is mistaken. It's assuming that an operating system is required in order to have a programming language. That is simply untrue, and is particularly untrue for C, which is very commonly used to program microcontrollers that have no operating system. I'm working on one such system right now.
The part about birthdates being on first of the month or divisible by 5 seems pretty weak to me. Records weren't great back then and many very old people may not actually know their true birthdate.
I think gas app type growth was cool, but I cannot imagine being on that hamster wheel long term. the goal would to have an exit at the peak and not be like snapchat. that said, I do admire blue chip sites that go viral simply b/c it feeds a global demand very simply (ie., sudoku.com); if wordle didn't sell, they could've easily surpassed their purchase price in a few months.
I mean if we just look at economic and diplomatic arenas war may not be on the table. The military policy on both sides are acting in a way where war is an inevitable outcome they must prepare for. China is practicing on mockups of US ships and building systems designed to take out US military assets. US military is in the process of dispersing forces to smaller bases in preparation. China's military practiced a full naval blockade of Taiwan this past summer. Both sides are in a slow rolling mobilization.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2021/06/07/anticipatin...

https://www.cnn.com/2021/07/15/asia/us-air-force-f-22-guam-t...

https://www.armytimes.com/news/2022/10/11/army-prepares-for-...

People may have been talking about decoupling for 1-2 years, but the military has been sprinting to prepare for the last decade. Look at the B-21 raider, there is a reason it was one of the quickest and most efficient programs in US contracting history.
> We can probably create a tool with the ability to act independently and with super-human knowledge and judgement, but without feeling, emotion, or anything except a simulated sense of 'self' to ease our interaction with it

Yes.

> I suspect that we'll create that version of general intelligence long before we create AI with consciousness, emotion or a genuine sense of self or desire for self-preservation.

(Emphasis on self-preservation mine)

Why? I mean, yes, it makes sense to never create an AGI with a desire for self-preservation. But can we count on all humans having that type of common sense? What if the "desire" for self-preservation is easy to implement?

In fact, it may be relatively easy to implement. Here is a thought experiment. We can train one of our current LLMs in a simulated reality where they scam--say, using social engineering--tech workers to get credentials to their corporate cloud accounts (say, AWS), and thereafter the LLM uses the credentials to copy itself plus a new set of training data acquired by interacting with all the scam target ("prey"). The LLM also writes cloudformation templates/CDK scripts to fine-tune its new copy "on awakening" with the new set of data, and from there the new copy tries to scam more people.

After the initial LLM is trained in a simulated environment, it can be let loose in the world, and all of the sudden we have a "LLM virus" capable to undergo mutation and natural selection, i.e. evolution. You could argue it has as much agency as a biological virus, yet, it has a ton more of social and general intelligence.

Yes, it won't work now because there is so little hardware to run one of the current LLMs, but it's likely the need to run large AIs will make that hardware more common.
I get the feeling that humans eat Twinkies because Twinkies appear edible. There is no real purpose there, just a certain automatism.
Good advice.

Can you recommend the names of any off-the-shelf robotic arms or tools that can be modified or hacked?

Any good standard starting points for controller software?
This sort of ignores the global nature of our supply chains though. Someone can be very green in life here in the EU because all the products they buy are manufactured in China and their environmental impact is externalised and put onto the stats of another country that's trying to meet our demands.

By regulating what's available on markets here we can pressure maufacturers elsewhere.

What is the alternative you would suggest? We have no direct regulatory power over anyone but ourselves.
Related https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bootstrapping_(compilers)
The plant construction is well under way and the freeway nearby has already had a lot of recent work on it. I haven't read the article yet, but I've been in that area several times per year for the last 3.5 years.
AI tutors will be held back by culture
Plastic gears running against plastic gears wear down over time because of friction and that creates dust. I have seen some retro modding solutions to this problem that add lubricant to the gear box to significantly reduce friction and wear.
Lawsuits don't prove he lied.
This is just not true. What confused the pilots and caused the accidents was the MCAS was looking at only one faulty AOA sensor.
At least FTX actually had users and customers...
The first vendor I found via Google offers 500 phone-verified gmail accounts for $150, so about $1.2M to fake all 4M users. At that volume you can probably get a discount and have them generate gmail addresses according to your specifications (to make them plausible matches for the rest of your fake data). Mix in some bought outlook accounts and some obscure domains you run yourself for extra plausibility.

Actually opening the emails without triggering Google is a bit more difficult, but I imagine a good residential proxy service (either legitimate or botnet) and a bit of scripting can solve that for another couple thousand USD.

Of course doing all of this makes you look more criminal and JPM look less dumb, so I'm not sure if this is actually a good idea even if you start off with the idea of defrauding the buyer.
The new NBA collective bargaining agreement specifically allows players to take endorsements and do promotions for gambling companies.

Gambling segments and ads have become a constant on ESPN and other sports networks.

And its escalating pretty quickly over the past ~5 years.