skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Whoa, watch out for a very common statistical error. For any particular property with a 10 billion to 1 chance, the probability that it applies to someone living is quite high. If you have a group of properties, each with an independent 10 billion to 1 chance, the probability that someone living has one of these properties is very high indeed.

The fallacy of thinking that winning a lottery is rare is common and has horrible effects like sending innocent people to jail on a regularly basis. For example, if you search Clearview AI for someone who is a 99.99% match for a surveillance picture of someone committing a crime, you should expect tens of thousands of matches. If the AI really did its job, it would return many hits along with a prominent warning that, with very high probability, any given one of these people did not commit a crime!

And, of course, someone always wins the lottery, since that’s the whole point.
I don't think there's been research done on generational wealth of funded founders, but there's plenty that shows highly skewed investment patterns:

https://techcrunch.com/2021/08/29/diversifying-startups-and-...
Fair point, although it was a private company with 8 investors, so it wouldn't be that crazy to file 8 lawsuits.
Given what it does, and to avoid confusion with perl, "transform url" seems more reasonable. Though I probably would have gone with "turl" so it's easier to pronounce.
Doing what to us?

The current US lifestyle has CO2 emissions per person 2x that of the current Chinese lifestyle, and over 8x that of the current Indian lifestyle.

Total emissions from India is 1/2 US emissions and total from China is 2x US emissions, but switching to per country instead of per person doesn't really help because the US is the #2 emitter by country (we are #16 per capita).
Donald Trump Under Arrest
That's it, you create an email provider that purports to be the place where young people go to get email, lining up your next sale.
Nah that's pretty unlikely. No leveraged trades/options/derivatives without some kind of accredition + a max order limit based on proof of funds/ income could happen, though.
I'm just imagining having to turn over my google photos or emails to a government archivist, and I would for sure tell someone to sanitize it before giving it over.
For sure! I'm not a native speaker and didn't know that toot was another word for fart, guess we both learned something new :D
Moral of the story: don't gamble with money you can't afford to lose.
I guess you're lucky enough to be in a large company where the majority of people actually read and properly understand what has been written. I've had plenty of experience with supposedly senior people fundamentally misunderstanding core concepts of the technical work.
If I was faced with the prospect of losing my job as a software engineer and instead becoming a prompt "engineer", I would simply opt to drop out of the labor market entirely, or at least out of tech. At that point, there are no more interesting problems worth spending your time on. Just become a yak farmer or something and leave
> Then demand to see all the "real" data and select a random sample of 50 emails and track them all down to real people (or not), and ask the people at those endpoints what is going on

Apart from the privacy/compliance/legal reasons that make this very difficult. A very low proportion of 50 real paying corporate customers are likely to respond to an email from a seemingly random source, change that to 50 students you’d hardly get any.
The whole notion of incarceration is kind of weird. It doesn't give anybody their money back. It failed to scare this guy off from doing it. In a lot of cases it'll cost more than the criminal actually stole.

There isn't any way to be "fair" in sentencing, because it's hard to compare harms. This guy stole a lot of money, and therefore "deserves" a lot of prison time -- to the degree that that means anything at all, and I'm not sure it does.

Much of it seems to be inspired by some sort of karmic sense of balancing the books. People want to see punishment, and have decided that "keeping him living in an unpleasant, lonely place" is a retribution that is cruel enough but not too cruel.

We could completely reconsider the idea of what "punishment" is all about, but I don't know if any of the alternatives are really all that much better. There's no way this guy could ever really make restitution. I doubt there's a decent way to put him to "work", if his main life skill is about ripping people off. Nobody should ever trust him again, even if we put a bunch of effort into instilling some kind of moral code.

So... I don't like any of the alternatives. The crime is done and no good thing is going to come of it. Following the law is probably the least-worst option. And there's no way to change the law that would be widely agreed to be less-worse.
stonk investing is imaginary anyway unless you direct register them. You're just getting an IOU, not actual shares, and so they manipulate the market by lending those shares with IOUs attached to hedgies for shorting. Not to mention the front running happening in dark pools that you don't get to know about.

at least the blockchain provides transparency and you actually get to self custody your assets.
They are not really competing for the same material. Fission smashes neutrons into big atoms to make them smaller, fusion smashes small atoms into each other to make them bigger. Both work by making atoms of the more stable medium-sized variety, and extracting the energy of that process.

But yeah, looks like commercial fusion reactors are getting closer.
Yes since 2015.

Did not lose weight but didn’t gain any either.
Tillitis: The open source USB security key alternative
You think in a small town if someone's mom died and they started pretending to be her and pretending their dad is their husband people wouldn't think that was weird and talk about it?
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Interesting. I had no idea this was a thing. There is a lot of grey area in this dynamic. The article notes that they tend to just delay, not outright block. This signals it’s not actually in their interest to bar operations in China and makes me think there is at least some opportunity to ignore them.

It also mentions other countries, which, with maybe a few exceptions, inevitably have far less leverage than China. Seems like its really just a rubber stamp in such cases.
$10m Seed Round?
Can you really trust Oracle to keep it free and not upsell you when you hit limits?
Thanks, can you explain what you mean by “vouched”? I’ve noticed that my comments have been getting much less engagement recently and sometimes they don’t show up.
PrettyGoodPing [Beta]
PrettyGoodPing is a configurable dashboard for web developers. It's a single location to monitor and configure alerts for your public SSL certs.

Made with Perl, Mojolicious, Minion, and SQLite
Hallucination is a huge problem for statistical language models. (I avoid the term “LLM” because it isn’t clear what “large” is, and the problem isn’t limited to large models anyways.)

The question is whether it is a fundamental issue of the architecture (in the same way that jets can fly but they can’t fly to the moon), or one that will be solved with sufficient engineering patches. RLHF is just one “plugin” on top of the transformer, but maybe others like some kind of expert system can add further improvement.

There are a lot of people in both camps and a lot of money to be made selling one vision or another. GOFAI folks like Stuart Russell would argue that it’s fundamental and can’t be done. I think it’s an empirical question with a lot of VC money riding on yes.
Taken another way, imagine a future where dramatically longer human lifespans are possible. Assuming there was fraud here, normal-lifespan individuals could pretend to be a single individual for an even greater period of time.

Even with current technology, foundations can carry on a person’s wishes far into the future. Imagine if a personalized large language model were developed to reliably predict an individual’s future verbal utterances. Could a large language model trained on a large enough corpus of data predict the next thing a living person would do or say? If so, could there be an option to transfer personhood to the language model after that person’s death?

Before judging this as impossible, think of how well our voices can be replicated by AI. As Stephen Wolfram has pointed out, this process must necessarily entail modeling the part of the cerebral cortex that produces speech.
Are you actually suggesting that people want to drink coffee at near boiling temperatures
Homeless shelters need to not exist in post scarcity western world. Point noted tho :)
> to the anti-intellectualism in our society today, or to a culture of elitism.

It wasn't meant to be an absolute, it is just a rule of thumb, and for me. I expressed it that way for rhetorical purposes.

I don't think retreating to real language is anti-intellectual; but you may be right that it's elitist to mistrust stories told in pictures. Anti-intellectuals mistrust stories told in words.
I said "power law" not "power of law", meaning winner take all.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Power_law
Show HN: A readable macroassembler for .NET that no one asked for
If anybody is interested, maybe this should be considered along with the core inflation rates - which is high in the US (peaked at 7% within the last 12 months and currently at 5.5%) and possibly still rising in the EU (12-month peak [now] at 5.7%).

If the central banks are going to stick to their declared purpose of keeping this around 2% we're still in for further rate hikes, I would imagine.

* https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/core-inflation-ra...

* https://tradingeconomics.com/euro-area/core-inflation-rate

I know it's not within the desired behaviour on HN to simply write "thank you!", and I hope I did provide a bit more than just that. That being said: Thank you! Also to ed_balls and madcaptenor for collecting data in the other thread.
I absolutely love this channel even though I find the guy's delivery excruciatingly slow and his style very annoying. I watch it on 2x to solve the first problem and just cringe through the dorkiness.
Turkey has developed a pattern of opportunistic behavior.

Is there seriously big terrorism issues in Turkey or is this more a case of the right wheels not being greased?
It really shouldn't use the word NaN in any case, since 1/0 would be +Inf. Meanwhile, here's what GPT-4 had to say (after refusing to talk about percentages at all at first because it is "impossible to calculate"):

>> ... suppose you're describing this to a technical audience - software engineers, specifically. There might be some way to talk about percentages concisely in that particular context.

> In that case, you could describe the situation to a technical audience by saying, "The company's profit margin is effectively -∞% due to offering the product for free while incurring expenses."
Am I so out of touch?

No, it’s the car buyers who are wrong.
I think this is still an open problem even for everyday software: Asking a piece of code whether it's malicious by looking at the disassembly (or even the source code).

Current day solutions revolve around architecture that separate the "Admin Control" from the "code", whether it's the CPU interrupts on OS memory violations up until dockers... making conclusion from looking at the code at hand was not successful even in the very small software scale.

This is probably rooted even deeper in the Halting problem (and the Rice's theorem for "emerging properties") but my explanation will be hand wavy and probably best left for others.
I just tried both gat and bat to see if they could really replace cat (spoiler: they cannot — unlike cat they soak up all input before outputting anything, and crash with out of memory very quickly).

A cat alternative would have to handle this correctly:

$ </dev/zero cat >/dev/null

or it's not really a cat alternative. (Yes, variations on this theme are very useful in scripts and daily shell hacking).
You don't get an error message, you get a badge. The difference is that the it acts as a reminder and doesn't pretend that there's something wrong.
The only 10X engineers I have ever worked with were the ones that helped get 2X out of the five normally 1X engineers they worked with.
We need to quit thinking trade the car for a bike and start thinking use the bike for a few trips.

I live near a major bike path. Every bar along it has a lot of bike parking ,but none of the other stores and restaurants have any at all, not even the bike shop. Many people drive their bike to the bike trail instead of riding.

How do we get people to ride their bikes to get groceries? They could also ride to church on Sunday, or other similar activities. These little trips need to be tackled before we think about getting rid of cars.
> If it's a production outage that's costing $N million a microsecond, yes, I want status updates multiple times daily.

That's what one has sev/incident response procedures for. Put everyone in the entire management chain on a conference call with execs/comms/legal for as long as it takes - and make damn sure the line manager is shielding the actual engineers from this process so they have time to fix the bug.
The vast majority of historically lower life expectancies is due to changes in death rates in the first few years. People who made it to adulthood weren't all keeling over at 35.
Some news reports on this: https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stock-market-news-today-04-...

https://www.engadget.com/twitter-is-covered-in-doge-for-no-d...
You're reading an assertion where non exists. I didnt say everything was fine, nor that NT4 was for consumers.

My point was that in contrast to today, where consumers have windows, and pro users are turning to non-windows alternatives, in the late 90s Microsoft themselves provided the pro user alternative.

Perhaps Microsoft intend LTSC to be that pro alternative, but as you say, thats not available to everyone.
>I also don't agree about ChatGpt being the inflection point. The capabilities of Gpts were known for years, but chatGpt popularized them because it made it so easy to use

You mean LLMs not GPTs. chatGPT was an inflection point in terms of publicity but also in terms of additional Reinforcement training that made the model highly highly usable. chatGPT was the first model that was incredibally usable (and I don't mean usable in terms of like a GUI or UI, usable in the sense that the AI was actively trying to assist you).

>That is not evidence that AI will destroy humanity. The fact that Ai is increasing in capabilities also means that it is increasing its capability to align with humans, no? I don't get why the reverse is considered as the sole and inevitable conclusion

The article didn't say humanity will be destroyed by AI. It's more saying society will dramatically shift and it implies that a lot of humans will suffer as a result. The shift is dramatic enough that while maybe apocalyptic is a bit too extreme of a word it's not entirely unfitting.
Indeed, the team has done momentum, community and probably other things well, congrats to them!
Significant numbers of dogs are feral, or of uncertain age and origin when adopted.
Thank you for sharing a glimpse of the ecosystem in Poland!

By the way, Parcel lockers do exist in the US (at least for Amazon package deliveries) https://www.amazon.com/gp/help/customer/display.html?nodeId=.... The US also has Post Office (PO) boxes that you can rent for a nominal fee a month (these are basically lockers for all types of mail including parcels).
>temporary regression

...

>China will reduce their fossil fuel usage even if global warming was not a concern

Pretty much, security enviroment has changed. So indigenous energy security = short/medium term coal is back until electrification proliferates.
It doesn't fit your requirements, but I love Reeder on iOS.

[1] https://reederapp.com/
Maybe I haven't been patient enough but I use chat gpt 4 all the time for code.

But to write real quality articles is quite hard to get right.

It uses a lot of words, but a lot of fluffy filler sentences.

With code it just seems to get me, especially V4. But with writing it's always off.

Maybe it's me or maybe they've just put a lot of time in training it on coding feedback, or maybe writing is harder because it's much more interpretable what a good article is.

In some cases I actually got better results writing with 3.5.
I hate it. I always set up my Windows PCs with an offline admin account and normal user accounts for day-to-day work. Some of those I log in with my Microsoft account(s). Some I don’t. It depends on what my needs are.

Encouraging everyone to use one administrator, do everything account just because it makes it easier for Microsoft to push their services seems pretty pathetic to me. Toss in the per-profile licensing and activation for Office, etc. and it’s obvious Microsoft doesn’t care about security if it gets in the way of sales.
I guess Microsoft didn't learn anything from Internet Explorer. When the thought leaders dump your product, no one else will want it either.
From the screenshot, it doesn't even look like there's a way to get rid of the "error message"... short of doing what Microsoft wants.

Anyone who works at Microsoft brave enough to comment...?
In Yugoslavia , there was literally a civil war happening along ethnic lines on the European continent. Not to mention genocide.
> I've been to Eastern Europe and my experience with it makes me feel like this is a European chauvinism mentality bit and a patting thyselves on the back.

Eastern european anti-Russian stance is chauvinism, but Russian imperialism worth defending? Niiice.

> I always chuckle when Europeans try to do some historical moral grandstanding. Yo, man, Europe is the source of the most of genocides and is the birthplace of fascism and nazism.

Really?

You may want to look into Golden Horde, Mongolians, Khmers, Chinese commies, Japanese empire, all sorts of shit in subsaharan Africa.. Not to mention pre-european Americas history.

> The people that had lived on the ground under your feet had been doing the same to everyone around, including Russians, all while being awfully proud of themselves.

If you want to play this game... Muscovites are a wee of a special crowd around here. Yes, people here are no saints. But some people take it a wee further. Everybody did wage war here and there. But not everybody went this far with „rape & pillage“ part.

And, despite victimhood card they love to play, modern Russia is mostly just a cruel expansion of duchy of Moscow. Rather than trying to defend from surrounding people. Unfortunately their tactics seem to work pretty well.

> Even more so when spoken of Baltic states

Alright, bring it on :) What are you going to throw at us? Nazi or Soviet war crimes where our local collaborators gave them a helping hand?
I 100% agree with the sentiment and I have suffered a lot because of that. But I will say things seem to be slowly progressing.

Webkit is releasing more often and closer to the standards now than they used to. I'm guessing Apple knows they will be forced to allow other engines on iOS and are finally making Safari a good product.
I have two advantage 1s and two advantage twos. All are modified with either the blue-wizard board or the tint (or predecessor) boards as well as other mods (sound dampening, switch swaps). All but the blue-wizard runs QMK. I've been using this line of keyboards for over 20 years at this point.

The 360 is quite nice with a few caveats.

1) the split is excellent, the extra buttons are great.

2) the backlight is kinda pointless, I have it off, why waste the battery. I don't understand why they didn't put it in the non-pro... BOM price i'd guess.

3) I got the palm rests, they are comfortable and kinda a little leatherette material so they won't get gooped up as badly as the old advantage 2 cloth pads.

4) the keycaps that come with it are SHIT. Buy the PBT caps with it, or do like i did and buy them two days after you get your keyboard.. Even the the home row is shit if you are used the adv1/2. I took the homerow off of one of my original advantages and put it on the pro. You might be able to swap all the caps over, but there are a few extra keys on the 360 series that it won't cover, and some of the legends will be wrong.

5) The adjustable tenting is nice but somewhat limited, it has essentially three settings.

6) It certainly sounds better, not the hollow of the adv1/2 (which i stuffed with foam to suppress).

7) You might want to buy from upgrade keyboards unless you are ok with browns. I haven't opened it up to see how hard it would be to do a desolder/switch swap. Brown are ok for me, but I do enjoy my adv2 with silent reds.
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I'm starting to wear a helmet in Amsterdam, too many fatbikers chillin' around at 30 km/h on the bike lane for my taste.
I propose an alternate thought experiment.

Let's suppose we build the Cosine room. The room is full of 10 year olds that haven't yet taken trig. Each performs the function of a transistor, and has no idea of what they're doing, other than blindly executing the instructions they were given. None of the participants has the slightest clue about what a cosine is. Yet, the output of the room will still be cos(x). Thus I think it's fair to say that the room as a whole implements cos(x).

In the same way, I don't see why wouldn't we conclude the room is speaking Chinese. It doesn't matter how it manages to do so and what it's made of. If it quacks like a Chinese duck, then it's a Chinese duck.
I was referring to __SIZE_TYPE__, but that isn't in the standard either. Whoops.
The docs are lacking but the underlying code is so simple that it's just a few clicks/rg searches away from figuring out what you need. It's all mostly ways to do string templating. IMO the ergonomics of LangChain need an overhaul; there's too many ways to do the same thing and there's too much type erasure that makes it hard to use strengths in a particular LLM. For example, it's still a pain to distinguish between using a Chat oriented LLM vs a regular completion one.

There also seems to be really poor observability in the code and performance seems to be an afterthought. I tell friends who ask about LangChain that it's great to experiment with but not something I'd put into production. Hopefully this funding helps them shore things up.
Mobile phone inventor made first call 50 years ago
In a few years, none of this is going to matter anyway since it is likely we will be able to automatically translate everything cheaply.