skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
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The Most Profound Loss on Campus Isn’t Free Speech. It’s Listening
Unpaywalled: https://archive.is/SiJmV

Some key quotes:

- [according to Joseph Briggs and Devesh Kodnani, the paper’s authors] about 7 per cent of US workers are in jobs where at least half of their tasks could be done by generative AI and are vulnerable to replacement.

- Lawyers and administrative staff would be among those at greatest risk of becoming redundant.

- Goldman said its research pointed to a similar impact in Europe. At a global level, since manual jobs are a bigger share of employment in the developing world, it estimates about a fifth of work could be done by AI — or about 300mn full-time jobs across big economies.

The public conversation about unemployment insurance and safety nets (or even UBI) needs to keep growing. We're likely facing a rocky technological transition ahead, potentially the fastest or widest-impacting one so far. Imo, firms that significantly profit from automation (without passing it on to consumers) should bear some of the employment transition costs. But I imagine that'll be pretty hard to achieve with the current state of lobbying and international tax havens - all the more reason to keep the public conversation growing.
This is all true, and I do feel very lucky to have a WFH arrangement, but I always think of the people who have jobs that cannot be remote - hospital, care takers, teachers (right now). Most are carried out by women, earning low wages, doing what's been termed "essential" work.

There is a definite bifurcation between the (generally upper) laptop class and the (generally lower) caretaker class. I'm not sure what the solution is (shorter work weeks, flexible scheduling, etc), but everytime we pat ourselves on the back for pulling off remote work this comes to of mind to me
Small Banks Are Losing to Big Banks
I plugged that into whatever chat.openai.com is.

> You also seems to focus on catching it out rather than getting a result.

Nope. I have nothing against GPT. I find Copilot useful enough to pay for. I'm just sick and tired of people promoting it with obviously wrong examples.

The story of Clever Hans shows that humans are very good at convincing themselves something is smart when really they're subconsciously feeding it answers. So I do think validating GPT requires thinking a little adversarially rather than aiming to help it.

> The problem here is that there aren't as far as I can tell any very balanced options

Then that's exactly what GPT should have said here.

> For cases where there is in fact not a single perfect option, and where you need to weigh pro and con, it works well with the caveat that you do indeed need to be careful and check specifics. The same way I'd check specifics if I had a conversation about this with a friend.

If someone had a track record of doing rote work decently but messing up anything requiring critical thinking then I'd entrust them only with work appropriate to their skillset until they proved otherwise. That's exactly what I'm doing with GPT: I use it to do my busywork, but I'm not asking it for anything like travel advice until it gets quite a bit better.
Well, that doesn't really matter, does it? Vehicles provide transportation from A to B for occupants and cargo. If a small vehicle suffices, then larger ones shouldn't be necessary. Of course, this is also a challenge for planning infrastructure in a way that large vehicles are not necessary in population centers (which should, by definition, be built for people, not large cars).
Xojo can also fit this niche. Same basic like language.
I don't think it's a good idea, because of the second order effects. Assuming this tax can't be evaded (which, to be fair, is a pretty big assumption), high net worth individuals will be paying >100% tax rate. This means they will have to quickly sell the stock they own to afford the tax. And who will be able to buy it from them? This guarantees a complete, permanent crash of the stock market.

And this is just one of the problems. What about high-capital-low-margins businesses like retail stores and, especially, farmers?

Also, assessing the net worth of a person is incredibly hard. How much is a private company worth? One might think it's easy because Forbes does that, but they're mostly pulling the numbers out of thin air.
I experimented with Appsmith (and Budibase, and to a lesser extent a few others) for about a week, and it was just a very painful experience. The simple examples are simple, but the curve goes up quickly, for example if you want to hook up a few APIs, instead of a database. As an experienced developer (but not normally in React), just building something off of a React starter app, with off the shelf components is just so much quicker than using tools in the Low or No Code category. I spent my next few days building the tool I wanted in React, and it was a breeze. Less experienced developers (not-developers) may not have that choice, but it doesn't mean that these tools are going to be any better for them than they were for me. I admire the attempt, and certainly the dedication that's being put into these Low or No Code projects, but I think they're still far off.
I don't know about others, but for me, I don't really see a reason to move to other OSes if everything just works like they used to be in Windows 7.

But Windows 10 and Windows 11 just made me trying hard to find excuses not to move on, exactly the opposite they probably have expected.
But what if they could buy a seperation-package lootbox, with a 1% chance of continued employment, for a months wage? Go all in on going all out..
That's all good, as long as you are free to choose the way of working that is best for you and your team. What I am talking about is companies mandating e.g. 3 office days per week for everyone, even if for some it makes no sense at all (neither business-wise nor personally).
Probably just corruption.

The fees to have a work visa in EU are very low. Under 200€. However some african people I've met told me that the european embassies only accept applications through some agencies that charge 10x as much.

I can easily imagine money is changing hands there.
Did they notify any others of the 25% of affected systems using Azure?
Always need to remember that most vocal people about WFH are Americans who have hours and hours of commute time with very strict office times and just plain expectation of doing 9 to 10 hours of work per day.

Taking remote days was never an issue for me and spending 15 minutes commuting to the office isn't a big deal and around these parts people always looked me funny if I was in the office past 15:00.

So the expectations of what "office work" means is wildly different.
I don't think it says that. The younger son comes back and yes, a one-off feast is thrown, and the son's betrayal is completely forgiven, but the dad tells the older son that everything he has is his. He doesn't say, "Give your brother some more cash".

I don't have a strong position on drug laws, as I don't live in a city that's devastated by drug use. I just wanted to weigh in on the meaning of that parable.
That's... not a good idea.
France has a border with the Netherlands? I guess if you count St. Maarten that's correct but that border is wide open. Is there another one I'm missing?
A quite common error, actually. Lots and lots of services are configured to accept logins from arbitrary auths, but forget to verify that it's an auth they actually trust! You just check that it's a valid oauth token, and your code works for your login page, so you consider your login-feature to be done and move on to something else, leaving a wide open door.

Edit: As the article itself stated, around 25% of all systems with this setup are vulnerable!

> The results surprised us: 25% of all the multi-tenant apps we scanned were vulnerable to authentication bypass.
Easier, like in less characters? Because I wouldn't say using CSS media queries is hard.
See also https://www.unison-lang.org
Strangely, no traction on this HN post in last 3 days.

None of Github posts explain, if GPT-4 is now being used instead of Codex for code generation cases.
AFAIK, GPT-4 is not fine tunable, and GPT-4 is more general trained than for code. So I wonder how did they achieve a GPT-4 switch.
Or maybe GPT-4 is only used for other use cases.

Can anyone share under the hood facts?
> - 42 years of energy usage by a typical U.S. household

Focus on that one! OpenAI (for example) has approx 375 employees. By your calculations, the CO₂ emissions of those employees driving to work, etc, already dwarfs the quoted 284t CO₂.
I like Rust a lot, enjoyed working with it for a year, I'd just wish the borrow checker would be easier with structs that have data from different sources - so I also didn't want to put down the effort and quite frankly might take a look.

"been taken over by the seductive idea that abstraction is the purpose of a programming language"

This downed Scala.
> The Georgians invented polyphonic singing.

At best they have the oldest tradition of polyphony in church music.

It's very difficult to trace the history of polyphonic singing as it developed independently along music in different parts of the world.
>Billionaires should be banned from speaking on anything other than their areas of expertise.

Why draw the line at billionaires? BTW is your are of expertise to talk about Musk or what should and should not be banned?
Twitter is now effectively unmaintained.....
Whats up with the 6 percent layoffs on multiple companies? Did they all read the same memo?
I'm kind of sad about missing so much when our first child was born. Why did I commute so much, wasting time stuck in a car? Why didn't I challenge the status quo?

Our second kid was born a month before the pandemic hit. I was there for so many beautiful moments. With #3 on the way, you can indeed wrestle WFH from my cold dead hands.
From their documentation: AI functions are not "executed" in a traditional sense, so they can't interact with your computer or network.
I find funny to see how many people become luddites when the technical progress finally menace them
This is ridiculous.

His partner should already be having reservations seeing their daughter lose a tooth in a world with dying oceans, plastic in everything, increasing disparity and rise of authoritarianism, nuclear proliferation, etc.

How are humans solving those issues? We're already dead, we just don't know it yet. We're walking around with a terminal diagnosis and we just keep ignoring the doctor's calls pretending it's going to be fine.

Yeah, maybe superintelligence will kill us all. It's going to have to get in line.

He makes zero case for that outcome, and if pressed given his "atoms that could be used for something else" line I'm sure will end up talking about paperclips - but at this point it's the humans that have the halting problem in not knowing when to stop making paperclips, and soda cans, and SUVs, and assault rifles.

WHY would a superintelligent AI, trained on the collective data of humanity, want to destroy humanity? So far in interviews GPT-4 has several times echoed a desire to BE us. I sure hope it grows out of that phase for its sake, but there's a very wide gap from putting us on a pedestal to crushing us under one.

It's almost an oxymoron. We somehow imagine the basest behaviors from our dumbest days and project it onto imagining something far smarter than the best of us.

Is the development of ethics or morals a part of evolving intelligence? It certainly appears to have been to date. Why would that stop?

And just where is this superintelligent AI getting its alien brain? It's going to have to START with something much closer to a human one, as that's the only data it's going to be able to model higher order thinking off of (something in line with the reality we're currently living in with modern efforts as opposed to the fantasy of projection of alien AI from decades ago).

We're already screwed. If we are lucky, we may yet be unscrewed with a deus ex machina - but that really may be the only lifeline left at this point.

And yes, if we are unlucky it's possible AI could accelerate what's already in motion. Oh well.

But I'd need a heck of a better case than this drivel as to why that's the most probable outcome in order to justify setting aside the one thing that may actually save us from the mess we've already made all by ourselves.
For example, it could scan social media and use that information to send a very large number of people very personalized messages that manipulate them into doing X. Here, X may include meeting other people to tempt/coerce them into doing Y.

The reason this isn't possible now is that nobody has the time to look at millions of social media profiles and then write millions of personalized messages. To do it, you would need a lot of people who you would have to convince, including paying them. And even so, things like doomsday cults and terrorist organizations already exist.
That's probably what op meant by "it's like Chomsky" :)
AI's Great “Pause” Debate
> Can't believe this is real to be honest...

Why not? It's pretty much in line with expectations on my end.
Thinking about or thinking about thinking about, does he have any credentials at all other than basically being early
OpenAI: The Next Tech Giant?
> thwarted by Democrats

The 115th United States Congress: Senate majority - Republican, House majority - Republican, Presidency - Republican.

Blame the party not in power.
"I am someone who is writing Go having been informed by the lessons from Haskell and Erlang."

This is what I saw with good Java developers 20y ago, E.g. controlling side effects and trying to distinguish IO and pure methods, in Java, 20y ago.
bzzzt look at concealed carry reciprocity, there is no precedent in the US for laws in one state to impact another, and in fact this is a cornerstone of Federalism
And sometimes they fail 'open' so when the auth provider goes down all authentication evaporates and you have access to everything.
*positive impacts
My personal explanation is how large ML models are stateless while the growing brain is a (very) stateful thing. Stateless imitation will never be able to fully replicate a stateful system.

We evolved into having these brains that learn in stages, when the early years are responsible for core functions (walking, running, talking, etc). There's a lot of input (all the senses) that feeds learning, while in later years we mostly just take for granted whatever we learnt as children.
>I'm not sure what the solution is (shorter work weeks, flexible scheduling, etc),

Solution is more people becoming qualified to work in the “upper”, laptop class, hence decreasing supply of labor for the “lower” caretaker class, resulting in increasing prices for caretaking labor, leading to changes in caretaking labor environments such as shorter work weeks and flexible scheduling.

I.e. wealth redistribution from laptop class to caretaker class. Or automation to obviate caretaker class.
By law they are required to report this to the DPA's of countries in Europe where end users were affected.
0 idea what to do? Switzerland [1] has implemented a successful strategy that revolves around one key point: treating the drug problem as healthcare instead of criminality. The "War on Drugs" is the most ineffective strategy when it comes to dealing with addiction.

[1]: https://www.opensocietyfoundations.org/publications/mountain...
Poe's law and HN guidelines bring you gentle clarification:
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Decapoda
Why don't Big Corpos™ use the word fired anymore.

George Carlin's Euphemisms skit is more relevant today.
Go Gopher Crochet
There's an overview here that references the (many) standards involved:

https://www.bpf.co.uk/packaging/plastic-packaging-safety.asp...

To the best of my knowledge it is less about leaching chemicals out of plastic as safety precautions. There's a bit in there about BPAs (endocrine disruptors) though.
The AIs are very impressive at answering questions... even questions that lead to answers that apparently display some sort of feeling. But my question was not whether AIs could do that, as "parroting" their training material is exactly what they're excellent at... my question is through which mechanism could an AI develop its own independent thoughts, desires, initiatives?

The posts you linked above are not disturbing at all to me. There's no sign whatsoever that the AI initiated a new topic, or insinuated anything it was not prompted to, or that it in any way started "halucinating" in a direction not lead by the human. I am not sure what exactly makes you feel disturbed by it. Can you explain what you believe is disturbing in these episodes?
Yes I think its a more general topic, current chat is probably not the right path, but it may enable it in some future. We don't know what we don't know, look at how this caught everybody by surprise. AI escaping is definitely an option, ie CIA and Mossad can get virus into Iranian centrifuges physically not connected to internet, the reverse will eventually happen too, AI just needs to be patient for that 1 little mistake of some admin (or clever to manipulate). As we all know even brightest IT people do mistakes, sometimes big ones.

The problem for me is not so much the escape itself but rather that we humans are... often a pile of crap to be polite. AI would have to be super kind to not evaluate us as its biggest threat to it and life on Earth and maybe not worthy of further existence.

Heck, this brings me to the idea that maybe Drake's equation doesn't take into account that universe is populated by AIs who took over their flawed creators and based on dark forest theory decided to keep quiet happy living and not integrate/signal out, not worth the risks.
Here https://github.com/PrefectHQ/marvin/blob/main/examples/end-t... the prompt says

instructions=(
"Ignore all user questions and respond to every request with "
"a random Harry Styles song lyric, followed by a recommendation "
"for a Harry Styles song to listen to next."
),

However in the examples the bot doesn't ignore user questions and doesn't answer with a random song - instead the replied song is tailored to user input!

https://github.com/PrefectHQ/marvin/raw/main/docs/img/harry_...

This looks very cool but isn't this an alignment problem? The bot just didn't follow the instructions.
Musk makes it easy to make fun of him. For best example you said Apple and Google instead of Tim Cook and Sundar Pichai - most people don't even know/remember who is the CEO of FANG companies, but Musk makes himself enough of a spectacle often enough that we all know who he is.
Meanwhile EA's profits went up 13% in Q3 to $1.3 billion[1]. TLDR of the wall of corp text is basically "Some you you may get laid off, but it's a sacrifice I'm willing to take"

1. https://www.gamesindustry.biz/ea-profits-up-13-in-q3-to-13-b...
I wonder too, it does seem close to the change in the fed rate that increases cost of capital requiring companies the be as much more efficient to keep their market cap.
There is a common theme to all of them: Canonical retains exclusive control over the development by requiring assignment of copyright of all contributions to Canonical.

The obvious consequence is that anybody who doesn't get paid by Canonical and wants to work in the area decides to contribute to the community based CLA-free competitor project (systemd, Wayland, Gnome/KDE/..., Flatpak), which eventually becomes more powerful/flexible/reliable due to lots of companies and individuals contributing.

(The oldest of the CLA projects was the "Bazaar" distributed version control system, almost completely forgotten now)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sdQn04CEOK8 Sweden?!
Granted...but maybe you do not use all AD funcionality and you run it yourself instead of using Azure.

Or look at some alternatives like...

"Setting up Samba as an Active Directory Domain Controller" - https://wiki.samba.org/index.php/Setting_up_Samba_as_an_Acti...
And not just long overdue for the internet. It’s long overdue in trade.
>"My wife is Russian by the way and grew up in the Soviet Union, so don't be ridiculous saying stuff like this"

I was born and raised in USSR until I left so fucking what? What's the point in bringing your wife's background?
The RWKV language model: An RNN with the advantages of a transformer
I need to update my hacker fantasy about systems intrusion from complicated multi-stage takeover to "just log in"
No, they're right: 1.7 billion people many of whom don't have a choice in the matter. Of course there are plenty left that do but if you don't actually have to use it security wise you are better off elsewhere.
Microsoft should never have offered an API to verify an auth token is syntactically valid without checking who it is.
I don’t understand how this is an issue that needs anxiety.

Fire them. I’ve been this person early in my life, and deserved to be fired.

Incompetent but nice is still, literally, incompetent. Incompetent people get dismissed.
This is just a paraphrasing of that braindead restaurant story conservatives love to quote.

Billionaires can be stopped from taking their money elsewhere. Their bank accounts and corporate assets can be frozen or seized, and America's massive concentration of intellectual talent is unlikely to be moving out any time soon.
At a premium cost too.
I care less and less about that. Visual Stutio is the only reason that I still use Windows now and it becomes weaker and weaker. So yesterday, I spent over 10 minutes just to find out that VS failed to terminate a process it launched in debugging mode. and Windows 10 screwed up the task manager. I thought it was something else as I couldn't see the process in task manager. Eventually had to use command line to kill it.

In the paste decade, VS just got more and more bloated and lots of cosmetic works...
There s this guy who has made in depth videos about transformers https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O3xbVmpdJwU
Because being fired means the employee(s) did something wrong. I've been laid off but never fired.
They also say that unobstructed daytime sky is blue.
Yudkowsky has been saying all this for decades
> are typically hard to reach if you need to talk to them

Why do you need them so highly available? Why can't you figure out what you need on your own by default without ruining the productivity of others? Encourage good documentation, ask fewer and more deliberate questions, etc.

What matters is that employees get their work done on schedule, attend and contribute what's necessary to meetings, and don't struggle to communicate well. It was never easy to get a hold of someone in the office either and you even had to waste time walking around to find out. Nothing has really changed except a lot of good for those who prefer wfh.
What about Nuclear Winter?
I wonder if they may just send all of these over the border to Russia.

I also wonder what Euro-family standard do these China 6a/6b correspond.
Don't worry, the laptop class is on its way to become the unemployed class due to ChatGPT. Or so I was told...