skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
It's the exact same for code tasks. The AI is actually quite a waste of time…

You need to check every word of the AI for truth anyway, so you need to research all the stuff it tells you, as it could be made up, everything it tells you is very shallow, so you need to dig into the topics anyway, and making even small changed by the AI requires ridiculous amounts of explaining details in prose, instead of just changing a few lines by hand.

All in all it's much easier to come up with some more reasonable solution in a shorter time by just doing it the "classical" way: Read the docs and copy-paste code snippets from proper curated examples some human actually tested.

I don't say that an AI could not program at some point in the future. But I guess it would require AGI to be competitive with people who actually know what they're doing. But at the time we have AGI we have anyway much larger "problems" than how to write code, as more or less all human intellectual work would be superfluous.
There has to be a chain reaction for the proposed exponential growth.

Chatgpt3.5 would have had to be capable of creating chatgpt4, which itself is capable of creating a better chatgpt5.

So, no, (1) has not occurred yet.

We’re talking about igniting the atmosphere when no one has invented gunpowder yet.
If I'm spending <$8,000 (picking $8K as 10% of your initial number) on a car I know I'm compromising on everything and buying the car for a very specific reason. There's no room for negotiation - you take what you get at that price point.

If I'm spending $80,000 on a car it better be perfect in every way, and every little bit of it matters because I don't want to be disappointed in any part of it. I would hate getting into my $80,000 car every day and knowing that I wasn't getting what I wanted from it.
Since we can't predict what's going to happen, is there a chance GPT and similar models are reaching diminishing returns, and we'll just see further refinements but no huge leaps?
I would wager you will be surprised how much you use it. Sleep and resume are very seamless which makes casual gaming a lot easier. I'm a dad of three, and I have been able to game again somewhat casually because if somebody needs something, I can easily hit the power button, take care of things, and power back on and keep going whenever I'm freed up again.
Advertising people are just the worst. I have an old TV/console setup I sometimes use, and sometimes use YouTube on it. the amount of advertising (with no blocker) is horrific, way worse than broadcast or cable television used to be. On music performance videos they will sometimes put ads in the middle of a song.

The whole industry is trash, and as far as I'm concerned Madison Avenue and everyone connected with it are fair game for any military power on earth to take potshots at.
Hey, PM at Sourcegraph here, we recently launched a new app. It's free and easier to set up, and it lets you sync both local code and remote repos. https://docs.sourcegraph.com/app
chicken scheme comes to mind

anyone around knows how does it compare to Chicken?
Perhaps finding your way into a niche that is least likely to employ AI for safety concerns would be helpful. Medicine for example may introduce AI to help with differential diagnosis or detecting pathologies in imaging, but it's unlikely to replace actual doctors or (in our case) technical resources at the hospital or vendor. When something breaks and lives are on the line, an AI will probably be the last thing FDA approved to step in and solve things.
(Neat views.) Under what license(s) are you using these photos?

(When I browse random photos on jetphotos.com, I see a lot of instructions to contact the individual photographer about using the photo.)
And you have to remember you have the coupon and make the effort to actually use it.

I suspect there are a number of Internet businesses--this, eBay (in its initial flea market incarnation), Kickstarter, etc.--that in their heyday were something sort of novel and trendy. But, over time, a lot of people probably discovered they were buying things they didn't really need and it was no longer fun as sort of a game.
And is it there yet? Does ChatGPT have its finger on the trigger?

I think everyone in the danger community is crying wolf before we've even left the house. That's just as dangerous. It's desensitizing everyone to the more plausible and immediate dangers.

The response to "AI will turn the world to paperclips" is "LOL"

The response to "AI could threaten jobs and may cause systems they're integrated into to behave unpredictably" is "yeah, we should be careful"
4. A cloud engineer.

This one seems more and more common, even though CI/CD has no inherent relationship with development or deployment in any public cloud.
Observing from the outside, the lip service is successful because it offers the illusion of righteousness to the weak-minded and stupid. The extremely online crowd love feeling being a part of a "cause" and not thinking about what the "cause" actually means. Until they're left out in the cold when the corporation shifts to another newsworthy cause to trumpet.

Some of the rabble go quiet, the rest double-down. They try to convince themselves and everyone else they weren't fooled. They want to believe they're still a voice in a worthy social cause, and not a pawn in a game that they don't even know how to play.
Those companies don't own the buildings, they bought them on credit, just like everyone else.
Quick Google search tells me there are currently 65 million GM vehicles on the roads in US. Let's say that can add 25 million new ones till 2030 which sounds very optimistic for them. To have their forecast of the subscription revenue materialize they would need to charge 1000$ per car per year or about 80$/month.

That seems crazy to me. People might be coming to terms with subscription but 80$/month is an expensive one and you also need to convince them to pay that for a car - not excatly a natural market for it.

Aren't they way too optimistic on this one?
It might be interesting to argue whether taking public office as the president counts towards residency requirements. I don't know if it counts for statute of limitations, but for instance military members are still considered resident of their state when on duty elsewhere.
Its a matter of time until connecting widely different AI tools will be super seamless, very exciting. The examples in the paper are pretty cool. I predict within the next year or so will see an sort of A.I assistant that is hooked up to dozens of LLMs and similar tools, and the end user will just ask their assistant to do things for them. That sci fi moment is almost here.
Any sufficiently complicated C or Fortran program contains an ad hoc, informally-specified, bug-ridden, slow implementation of half of Common Lisp [1] . Maybe Janet is a human version of C, and that half of Lisp which is implemented here is the part of Lisp which is relatively easy to learn.

[1] Greenspoon's tenth rule
Italian phone number had to get there somehow, probably sold by X, an Italian company?
Thanks! That would be an amazing idea.

I get the feeling though that the scales are starting to tip in their favor where we are going to be needing them more then they are going to be needing us soon haha.

Kudos to valve though, it feels like they have been driving toward this dream for a while and they're finally starting to hit the sweet spot with the steamdeck.
What issue do you have that makes you incapable of searching for references and yet still able to whine about that incapability online? And what are you actually looking for a reference for? That there are drug encampments? That some cities have literally made it legal to buy and sell Fentanyl?

You have been told something exists, that's 95% of the way there. Now go to a search engine and type 'vancouver drug decriminalization' and 'Portugal drug treatment' and read about the issue.

You're trying so very hard to use me to justify your ignorance and to be insulting in the process.
Yeah, one of the major perks of the EUV is the wireless Carplay.
Same. I was worried about my job at first - a chatbot being even occasionally factually correct was shocking - but the limitations became much clearer when its proffered solutions relied entirely on hallucinations.

Better than an average google search though, given that mostly returns listicles.
Before 2016/2017, I could tolerate Republican voters. Maybe we didn't agree on politics, but there was nothing personally distasteful about they themselves.

2017-2019, I found myself distancing myself from Republicans, it was like walking on eggshells trying to not say anything that would tangentially launch them into a political tirade or give them an opportunity to parrot the fox news talking point of the day.

2019, the pandemic happened. The loud screaming masses of Republicans went off the deep end due to their intolerable outrage over the personal inconvenience of trying to spare random "other people" from dying, even while they themselves were dying in droves.

2020, Jan 6. Republicans cheered as a shoddily assembled coup attempt dashed itself to pieces in Congress. A month later my texas republican trump loving dad died of covid because he refused to wear a mask or believe that the "china-virus" was anything other than a hoax.

He didn't even call me to tell me he had covid because he didn't want me to have even a moment of being proven right. He wanted to beat it and then laugh it off, show my liberal ass that there was no reason to be as cautious and concerned as I was.

So, yeah, when I find out someone is a republican today I can only assume that either you have immense hatred for anyone or anything that might show you the cracks in your preferred version of reality or at the very least that you are some combination of abominably stupid and heartless, and either way you look at it I want nothing to do with you.
yeah, I've been very tempted to get one, but what's holding me back is that I don't play games all that much, and when I do it's usually 4x games. I tried playing civ6 on a borrowed steam deck and it technically ran fine but the screen felt a bit too small for it.
It used to be much, much worse here. The CRTC has done some work to address that, it seems like it helped. [0]

[0] https://www.cbc.ca/news/business/crtc-telecom-call-authentif...
Vector graphics designed for a desktop display or a printed page generally do not work well on small displays unless scaling to fit or scrolling is acceptable. I can hardly imagine what one would do to make something like SVG reflow in a sensible way. Line of business (web) applications often have the same problem, i.e. there is often a display size below which they simply are not usable, and that should be no surprise to anyone.
Not true in the slightest, it's extremely easy to smuggle guns out of the United States. Glocks, AR-15s, AKs, Barrett .50 cal rifles, etc. [1] 60% of firearms trafficked are bought without a background check from gun shows in border states. Cartels continue to purchase weapons this way because it's so easy.

[1] - Pages 11-14 https://www.atf.gov/firearms/docs/report/nfcta-volume-ii-par...
You might be able to find some of those, but you probably don't want to work with incubators or accelerators that consider anybody -- let alone such a large absolute number of people as "ex-FAANG" -- a "shoo-in". Just think about the second order consequences of that.

And yes, when it comes to startups (i.e. business) and funding, word of mouth is very powerful and not to be underestimated.
We apparently have misaligned understandings of what we mean by "how they work." I agree, we don't know how to interpret the weight structure that the model learns during training.

But we do know exactly what happens mechanically during training and inference; what gets multiplied by what, what the inputs and outputs are, how data moves around the system. These are not some mysterious agents that could theoretically do or be anything, much less be secretly conscious (as a lot of alarmists are saying.)

They are functions that multiply billions of numbers to generate output tokens. Their ability to output the "right" output tokens is not well understood, and nearly magical. That's what makes them so exciting.
Being terrified doesn’t serve much purpose at this point.

We are going too fast. Have been for years. This is just the first clear indication.

Braking is fatal, but some seem pretty hell-bent.

Deceleration is complicated, and it seems highly unlikely that there would be sufficient consensus for true deceleration. Local deceleration is simply waiting for the acceleration occurring somewhere else to overcome your efforts.

The math hasn’t really changed for most individuals. At some point something big will happen.

Singularity.

Be excited and put your efforts towards what you value. One way or another, there is very little time left for wasting.
I plan to phase GM out of my consideration set for all new purchases, with GM's help.
This is not true. If the bonds are held to maturity, there are no losses.
I've seen a lot of Toyotas and Kias for rentals. Not a lot of American cars.
Wow, actually sad.

She doesn't believe that er kids would outperform regardless of that?
Not Groupon specifically, the whole concept died off. Here's why I stopped using the genre:

1) Deals are not good. That is, the price reduction is not real or comes with reduced service.

2) Problems with honouring the purchase. The experience is not as purchasing something at reduced price from the shop, you need to go through separate process and the vendors act as if you forced them to sell you the deal. Some try to upsell a bit too hard, degrading the experience if you refuse. Some claim that your coupon is not valid and you need to deal with customer service to resolve issues.

3) Social stigma. It's uncool to take someone somewhere with a coupon, so all the deals for two are not good.
I mount '/' as a tmpfs which seems saner than manually deleting. IMO.
A few comments on this

1. Yes it's true that INR has depreciated vs $. But all of that depreciation has been coming in the zero interest regime we have been in the last decade. If you see the previous decade, INR was flat vs $ and NIFTY also grew more than S&P500. Point here is to say that there are financial cycles and the next cycle is likely going to be different (because of higher interest rates at least in the medium term) than the last one. Additionally, higher interest rates also makes US equities less attractive than what they were in the last decade, and India is likely to be among the fastest growing economies in the next decade so a good bet for diversification for 5-10% of your wealth.

2. Can you elaborate on tax laws becoming more onerous for NRIs? The Feb law change doesnt affect NRIs remitting money outside, so dont think is relevant in this case.
The ones that stayed in business did. Discounting for businesses is like a drug, easy to get addicted and rarely ends well.
And there is no problem finding 3d-dicks in public in Rome (in the form of statues). But the article doesn't mention sexuality at all, my guess is that's more the potential for the dark stuff, especially when it can come in a very personal conversational form.
They do in my area as well, I just refused and some are starting to use other means again.
Tesla Cybertruck paint jobs are confusing people
> sleep time counts toward the 'hours played' in the steam profile

That's surprising; when I exit a game, it briefly shows the wrong total and immediately recalculates the value.
Zero of my friends laid off from google are even looking for a new job.

My wife was always asking me to retire, but after a year or so she’d say “it would be good for you to have a job”. Then repeat. Retiring isn’t that fun when you’re in your 30s.

So I suspect a bunch of them will be back in the job market eventually.
Yes, that's what I'm describing. Except sometimes the cars get behind. So to catch up they blow intersections without lights.

However I'm quite uninformed about it. Just raising the topic :)
No small company is going to suddenly build a gigafactory. But 5GWh, if they manage it, is not that small. One of Tesla's gigafactories is 37GWh.
Providing an API abstracting over the complexity of payment processing is the technology.

Google's search engine is technology but you would probably say "isn't that just a researching documents"?

A bit weird how you only deem companies technological if they have released popular OSS or Apple because they produce libraries/frameworks they use internally. Pretty sure all software companies use internal libraries.
The bottom line is that developers experience higher cognitive load (and therefore more stress) when writing code in untested/undertested code bases. This is where burnout starts. Unit tests and testing suites ideally will lighten cognitive load and stress, while increasing confidence.

Instead of fretting about the unknown sides effects of the code you are writing, you can be confident the unit tests will flag it if something goes wrong.

Arguably any "hotfix" (other than 3rd party zero day security patches) required is a testing escape, and ideally those should be rare. And usually there's a subset of tests that can give you 95% to 99% confidence the hotfix will work.
Is that an insult now? "Hey, Lizard Lips!"
Great write-up. Hate that I gotta press semicolon to drop the preceding selection that's a side-effect of my intent to merely navigate somewhere.

Neovim, though, if it wanted to distinguish itself to novices, should integrate which-key.nvim as well as the behavior in the annotation plugins you listed in the article to make things more obvious.

Vim's big fail is discoverability, not the editing model. You can run through past (Neo)vim threads on HN and consistently find 10+ year vets discovering some new behavior from the TFA of the thread. Perhaps some sort of predictive ChatGPT-based solution would expedite that effort since Vim has a lot of behavior to surface from its manuals. There's :helpgrep yes, but a novice still needs to know what to do ask.

This is why I'm a big fan of efforts like Fish, cause it does a great job surfacing CLI tooling behavior OOB just by pressing tab and navigating for what you want, with descriptions, in place
Microsoft Graph Developer Proxy v0.6 with rate limiting and paging guide
> tamper-proof recording device in the vehicle

Physical access dominates, every single time.
I worked in Infotainment for an Automotive OEM for 7 years. There were two major concepts behind the resistance to CarPlay and Android Auto. The first was branding. Not being able to control the experience that the user, especially because it was so visible of a component in the cab.

The second was (and this is anecdotal, I was not directly involved in the conversations) the way that Apple and especially Google were behaving about data. Google wanted all of the data off the Infotainment system, and a bunch of the data from the car, and they were not willing to share any of that data back with us. They wanted it all for themselves.

Over the years, my company moved because it was a customer demand. My boss when I was hired said that a person would never buy a vehicle because of the infotainment system, but it might push them over the edge.
Only 3 left...12 people looking!
Zoom became the de-facto screen sharing app and it sucks, so so bad.

Wish I hadn’t missed Coscreen during the lockdown, and now I don’t really have any need for it, but going to keep the link in my back pocket in case it is ever needed. Looks slick. Sort of like x2x but with a thought out interface…
Not sure if it will work out that way. Even God needs tons of advertising.
Tangentially related to your first point is the phenomenon / heuristic of : https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Interest_rate_parity
I know an AI with a knack for poetry and possibly even some real creativity
GM is probably ignoring that these products exist too. I haven't bought one, but I've been tempted to put one in my 2008 Civic. I'm sure they'll be even better and cheaper in a couple years.

https://www.ebay.com/itm/204267444756?hash=item2f8f49da14:g:...
I'm in a similar stage as your first paragraph. Macbook for work and a dual boot desktop where Windows only handles games.

My linux SSD is on its last legs though, and I've been planning to do a fresh install when I get a new one. I'm using Kubuntu currently but with all the headaches Snap has been giving me I think I'll give Pop!_os a try instead. Everybody that chimed in the other day on the thread about Ubuntu dropping Flatpak was raving about Pop!_os as a sensible alternative.

I just wish it didn't have such a silly name. :P
> People have been claiming everything will fall apart for a long time now, we might just as easily have 10 years of growth and AI bots that help us with everything. Who knows!?

The shift to remote work has enabled replacing most of those effectively virtualized staff with AI agents that never sleep. Their takeover won't put those people back in offices, it obsoletes them to unemployed couch-potatoes. Likely notified of their new employment status via AI agent on a Zoom call....
There's a nix way to read a secret from a file. I'm not sure if it still ends up in the nix store that way but at least it's not in the config file so your VCS is clean.
They were also projecting rates would be low before they suddenly weren't. If the Fed projections were reliable, banks wouldn't be in this situation.
Simplify Service-to-Service Connectivity with Amazon VPC Lattice
Commenter probably means that banks have massive exposure to CRE, primarily through mortgages they lent on.
If so, then audiobooks are a technology I won’t be using.
Even if I take you at face value and say you paid an effective tax rate of 43.92% on an income of USD 650k+ (or USD 279.5k+ which I still contend nobody does, unless you do some kind of shady math including all your property taxes and sales taxes and all kinds of nonsense), can you really say with a straight face that people making USD 650k+ a year, year after year are part of the middle class?

Who is in the upper class? Just the thousand or so billionaires?
Spot on. Listen to the language the Fed uses and this is the clear answer, recently they have been saying things like "we still have a lot of work to do on inflation", "the banking sector is resilient", etc.
> My problem is with the first step: the existence of a super intelligent AI. Why are we sure it can exist?

It's difficult to prove that something that has never been done before is possible, until it has been done. I personally don't see any fundamental limitations that would limit non-biological intelligence to human-level intelligence, for your preferred definition of intelligence.

> And why we are we so sure GPT-x is the path there.

It may or may not be. Regardless, the capabilities of AIs (not just GPTs) are improving exponentially currently.

> To human level intelligence sure, but it's not obvious to me that it will enable superhuman AI

If you think GPTs can get to human-level intelligence, why would the improvement stop at that arbitrary point?
It's the best at abstracting away problems so that developers can focus on their application's functionality.
I have an iphone and appreciate carplay in my car. Tesla doesn't support Apple Car play and is fairly popular.

Most buyers wouldn't notice right away at least during the test drive and the absence of carplay will be noticed later in their ownership experience. By then the loss of payment/friction in changing cars will keep them tied to their purchase.
“We do believe there are subscription revenue opportunities for us," Kummer said. GM Chief Executive Mary Barra is aiming for $20 billion to $25 billion in annual revenue from subscriptions by 2030.”
You are thinking of drop.com and even Kickstarter to some extent. Those serve hobbyist niches, where the margin of the "good stuff" tends to be very high and it makes sense to drop that through a group order.

I wonder if we have optimized away that margin in our amazon and walmartified supply chains and there is less need for bulk ordering.