skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Eh it never really made sense as a business. The concept was discounts to get new customers. But that's not really a sustainable business. Either it works and the business gets the customers they needed or it doesn't. The first is a problem because there's only so many local businesses and the second is obviously bad. The net result is that they burned through their suppliers and the deals went from steep loss leader discounts to "discounts" that really aren't discounts.
Because rate won’t be 4.75% in 3649 days? If you want a rate guaranteed for 10 years you have to pay for that. Maybe it's not worth it to you today but if the rates drop as expected you might look smart for locking in a good return while the going was good.
> Trump is the definition of a political insider.

right, which is why the 2016 Republican nomination debates had a record number of debaters on stage—they really just wanted to provide maximum contrast against their favored candidate to make him more electable, you see, not because they were doing everything they could to dismantle his candidacy, or anything like that. Trump also got along with every other Republican 100% of the time, and never had beef with any of them, especially the most entrenched ones, like the torchbearers of various entrenched Republican political dynasties, such as the Bushes.

it's really amusing to me that anyone can pretend to objectively view the sequence of events of the past seven years and come away with the conclusion that Donald Trump is "the definition of a political insider", when the opposite is so blatantly, obviously true. you don't need to be a fan of the guy or his politics to see that he is most definitely an outsider compared to the rest of the entrenched political class, and in fact that is most of the source of his appeal.

if Trump is really a political insider, then why did he get indicted for something that is objectively small potatoes compared to crimes of other federally-elected officials? why didn't his entrenched brethren cover for him, as they have for so many others, in both parties? surely if you can get Bush and Obama in the clear for their demonstrable war crimes, covering up for paying off a porn star should be simple and straightforward?

if the Democrats really wanted to take the GOP down a peg, they would've indicted Bush (and much of his cabinet) on war crimes. if the GOP really wanted to take the Democrats down a peg, they would've indicted Obama (and most of the rest of his cabinet, including HRC) on war crimes. but neither of those things happened, because the entrenched political class goes easy on each other when it comes to anything more than spouting rhetoric at the podium, or as a talking head on television. only Trump has been uniquely attacked in this way, not for the scale or impact of his alleged crimes, but simply because he's an unwanted foreign body in the federal government, and antibodies must be deployed to dispose of him.

again: none of this analysis is predicated upon liking Donald Trump, wanting him to be President, finding him to be of strong moral fiber, agreeing with him politically, or anything like that. rather, one must simply look at the manner the entrenched political class reacted to his running for President, and eventual election—the man clearly has few true friends in Washington.
Hey, don't dismiss the mail coupon books. They're great. My family uses them for meal planning and we save about 50% on our food budget.
My point was more that the Fed wants to keep rates as low as possible. The person I was responding to was implying the Fed would choose not to lower rates even if they could to avoid “bailing out” the banks.
Looks great. Super interesting to browse other peoples code.
I'm working on a desktop app for ChatGPT.

https://github.com/EzzatOmar/delegate
I'm surprised by your impression that there are people "currently in the driving seat of how, when and where this tech gets used". I think we are in the grip of a wonderful, highly creative dis-order.

The most comparable moment in my lifetime was the late 90s, where the inevitability and transformative power of the Internet (through the web) became mainstream over a couple of years. This time that transition seems to be taking weeks! And yet, it is FAR more broadly accessible than the Web was in the late 90s. In America at least, where 85% of individuals have smart phones, ChatGPT is instantly accessible to a huge portion of the population. And unlike other advances it doesn't require specialized expertise to begin extracting value.

Meanwhile, LLM owners are being compelled by competition to continue offering services for free and release research into the public domain. The engineering advances that power their platforms face a sideways challenge from research like LORA that makes them less relevant. And because the training data and methods are ubiquitous, public institutions of many kinds can potentially build their own LLMs if rents get too high. Outside the runaway-superintelligence scenario, the current accessibility of LLMs is one of the best ways this could have played out.

I'm afraid those attempting to slow research will be unwitting accomplices for people who use the opportunity to reduce competition and consolidate power over the new technology.
An AI API marketplace is going to be amazing. But each API is going to need parameters that you can run gradient descent on to tune.

This needs to be the foundation
What’s the game theory of rejecting life-changing, never-work-again money?
You've clearly never listened to Fleetwood Mac on a tube stereo. It's not harsh. It's not perfect, but it is warm.
GM ditching CarPlay and Android Auto for Google-built infotainment system
What's with the jab at the Czech Republic?

>Senkypl will run the company… out of the Czech Republic.
Watch out. You might get weird "looks" from Christians among your audience:
Search keyword: "Iesus Nazarenus Rex Iudaeorum".

(I don't think it's offensive or anything that level)
Not even in that price range.

I wouldn't buy a toyota I wanted simply because it didn't have Carplay and their infotainment sucked.
Google Bard is switching to more “capable” language model
It makes more sense when you consider that the market has never believed long-term inflation was a serious issue because frankly the narrative around structurally higher inflation has never made much sense given demographics, technology and debt levels. For the most part where the uncertainty has existed has been in the path of the Fed.

For the last several months (since Jackson Hole) markets haven't been sure how quickly inflation would come down and therefore how high the Fed might risk taking rates. But today we have much more certainty. We now know the Fed really can't raise rates much more near-term given the risks and longer-term the stimulus and supply bottlenecks which created the majority of the inflationary pressures will ease.

Another thing you need to remember is that inflation easing is actually deflationary because real yields are calculated by nominal yields minus inflation. So as inflation comes down you're actually getting paid more to lock your cash up in bonds which continues to tighten financial conditions.

The risk of a larger financial crisis is very low given this isn't a credit event, but a duration event. As long as the Fed doesn't raise rates further we can rule out a financial crisis and so long as you don't believe there is a structural inflationary problem in the economy rates should trend downwards over the coming months.
Most of these CRE holding companies acquire their inventory on leverage- they borrowed money to gobble up properties while money was cheap. Those loans have to come somewhere, and often (mostly?) it was banks.

If the holding company can't rent out the property, at some point they stop being able to service the debt. This leaves the banks with a lot of illiquid assets and bad debt...
Maybe a balancing act would be allowing Linux gamers for casual matches but preventing them from playing competitive matches. Unfortunately, there still might be some cheaters to ruin people's fun, but likely significantly fewer since it wouldn't improve their rank.

Long term, maybe Valve could work with Epic to create a driver to support Easy Anti-cheat on Linux that works with Proton so that devs don't need to create a Linux-specific version of the game. Unfortunately, that'd likely be a considerable amount of work and Epic currently has no incentive to help the Steam Deck be successful.

However, that could change. PC gaming is so much more expensive to get into than when they first created the Epic Games Store. A PS5 is $400 — good luck buying/building a PC remotely as powerful as that for under $1000. A Steam Deck is also only $400, and while weaker, it is portable and can still handle almost all AAA games so far. The Epic Games Store is never going to be allowed on PS5, but it could be on the Steam Deck. Unless PC hardware prices go down, it's easy to imagine a future where PC gaming declines and consoles become more popular, which is not good for Epic (since their store isn't on traditional consoles.) But the Steam Deck, due to its low price, could very well compete with consoles, and Epic could have their store there. Obviously this future of Windows PC gaming declining is extremely far from certain, but it's nice to be prepared in case it does.
Googling "why an <input /> and a <select /> with the same CSS had different heights" and pressing "I'm lucky" would give you the correct answer in seconds.

The AI is just a great waste of time in almost all cases I've tried so far. It's not even good at copy-pasting code…
I wonder, in an alternate timeline where Groupon took the Google offer… Apart from some different fortunes for founders and early investors, would things be much different today? I can easily imagine Google selling the company off again a few years later, leaving it in a similar position to Chicago’s most infamous Google acquisition/divestiture, Motorola.
10 years ago I sold a Chevy Volt and bought a Tesla (I did very well that year). The UI was also terrible, then.

I see nothing has changed despite Tesla existing for over 10 years now.

Even though the Tesla doesn't support CarPlay, it doesn't have to, because its native UI is great (and responsive!)
I think website builders are still overwhelming for some people. I just wanted to give people an easy way to get an online presence rolling. As of now I have a bunch of features in the works. Looking for any and all feedback :)
I've so far found it almost entirely useless for code (mostly Scala, no big surprise there), but for suggesting tools / alternatives, big picture stuff it's come up with some interesting ideas.

If I was hacking Javascript or Python, especially gluing together common components, I'm sure I'd have a different experience.
I think the only way it makes sense to interpret it as them buying the building is if you believe Costco sells large residential buildings.
I was talking to you specifically, not generally to random people. You're right; that would not be good advice to the average random person. But TARP probably wouldn't care. I hope you would and would have that ability.

> Privacy is a human right, not a technologically-advanced-person right

Yeah I suppose it is, but I'm starting to give up on the idea because all the people who whinge here on HN and elsewhere about privacy won't actually do anything about it, like give up exactly the things that they are willing to pour their life's details into. TL;DR people have to put some effort into securing their privacy and >95% of people won't.

Stop blaming the companies for stealing your privacy when you're giving it away willingly.
Tech moves on in one way or another, no surprise here.
This is the kind of user-hostile, maximum-profit-at-all-costs thinking that is absolutely ruining various aspects of our society, economy, etc. Just like streaming services, where it's absolutely clear that people are happy to pay a reasonable monthly subscription for on-demand access to all the shows they like (see: Netflix several years ago), but the content owners are just horrified at the thought that they don't get both every drop of revenue they can possibly squeeze out of every customer, and absolute iron-clad control of the experience from beginning to end.

I don't care if it's "rational" behavior for the business; it's disgusting and shouldn't be allowed. The good of society should always come before increasing profits even higher for already-massive, already-highly-profitable companies.
While annoying, my real gripe is what this says about their development process. If you can’t get these things right, how can I trust that you will get the safety critical software right?
> His success in Brooklyn could possibly be attributed to his connection to the borough, but the Bronx? Adams was the overwhelming choice in the Bronx,

Compared to who - Garcia? Sure, but that's not surprising. The point is that the top four frontrunners were already eliminated, figuratively or literally, by the time the primary happened.

> and from speaking to many Bronxites, they absolutely wanted to see more cops on the streets and cops on the subways

It's easy to find anecdotes, but the facts show how people voted, and with the exception of the mayoral race, they consistently and overwhelming voted for candidates who promised to reign in the NYPD.
Well, you omitted "A person is accountable, an AI isn't (at least not yet)."
On top of obsolescence and consumer choice issues, I also just don't want to configure and manage all this stuff separately in my car.

It's going to support applications like Spotify. I don't want to sit in my car and get Spotify installed, get logged in, and get it configured on my infotainment system. Same with other apps and services. Same with my Google account. I don't want to do any of that.

When I bring my phone, whatever apps I care about are already set up and ready to go. It's just easier.

And I'm someone who can figure out how. Imagine how delightful it will be for people who aren't very tech savvy.
No, because the drugs are only given out in the context of dying in the street. There's absolutely no provision for people who are addicted through accident, for instance, to achieve some safe supply while tapering off to avoid the street.

And the government has decided that drug users are on palliative care, that they're never expected to improve, so they can be given drugs that are likely to end or destroy their life without any concern for recovery. That sounds 'caring' but in areas without this assumption they actually do rescue many people from this death, making the 'caring' cities into uncaring hellholes for the addicted - where they go to die on the streets of a preventable death.

There is no fear of 'famine' because the people who are being given drugs are being given drugs for the rest of their life. There's no fear of running out because even if the government stopped the supply the street drugs are only a few dollars.

What these excess drugs do is 1) increase the amount of drugs the person is taking and/or 2) get sold outside of the drug cities, both of which increase the scope of the problem.

Also, druggies don't need money because they can just take whatever they want from stores and at most will be forced to give the item back. They're given food and shelter and drugs and can steal any luxury under $1000. (Not that they'd be punished above that, but the stores aren't required to sit and accept it - they can apply reasonable force to recover their goods.)
I'm reading your book, and have previously read Ian's adventures on Nix.

I love the writing style in both of them! It may not be for everyone, but I can appreciate works that use language to make topics less intimidating.

Thanks to both you and Ian for your writings.
Laid-off tech worker here. (backend engineer, ruby/rails/javascript). 5 years of experience. I'm working on not ever going back into tech. I've changed careers a number of times in my 34 years of life, and am doing it again.

I'm only a mediocre software developer, have always had strong people/business skills, informed by my pre-software experience of commercial construction, teaching/training at a climbing gym, customer support, customer success, and inside sales at a B2B SaaS company.

Modestly obsessed with mobility networks. (like... roads, streets, bike paths, sidewalks, and the vehicles and people that occupy that space)

Working on going independent here in Denver, acting as a 'broker' between businesses and their staff/customers to convert single-occupancy-vehicle-users to scooters, to increase the functional number of parking spaces in a given parking lot by 10% or more.

Just started recently, partially inspired by spending a few weeks in Bali. (Being a laid-off tech worker has its upsides).

If I can get traction around this business idea, I'll move sideways into guerilla action road network improvements, to make the junctions around the businesses I work with more habitable and safe for scooters, pedestrians, and cars.

Soooo I'm trying to make my job something like "one who improves the functioning of road networks, sponsored by the direct beneficiaries of those improvements."

With a little success, I'll be able to start hiring people to help. Maybe I'll find a few other tech people to help. There's plenty of room for software developers to make meaningful contributions to these projects, but only after spending a lot of time not behind a laptop.
Same here.

I wonder if Blind People could sue, sounds like disability discrimination to me. Printed Books, no ads, Audio Books have ads.

With publishers going after E-books in Libraries, its like publishers want books to go the way of Newspapers. Already reading is declining quite a bit with the young, and I doubt any young people use Audio Books. Good way to destroy another industry.

edit: spelling
Supporting Apple Music isn’t enough. For instance, I use Overcast as my podcast player and it has excellent Carplay support.

I won’t buy a car that doesn’t support CarPlay.
Probably phone numbers follow some numbering scheme etc. so it is relatively easy to spam everyone with automated dialing and handing the numbers that prove out to the scammer. Thus while it is possible sold by X, it is just as possible randomly pulled from limited pool of possible numbers.
What are the odds scaling continues to lead to massive AI improvements? No one is saying 100%, you seem to be arguing that they are. If you're willing to put a confidence interval on the odds with evidence we can have an actual conversation about what the best course of action is, but just talking past each other with "it might continue scaling" "no it won't" doesn't seem particularly helpful.

I think the important thing here though is the difficulty in creating an accurate confidence interval that isn't [0-100]. We are truly in uncharted territory.
> On certain tasks, you will not notice much difference

when would we notice a difference?
Yes, a follow-up question is how much less. If you can get 3-year CDs at 4% now, is it worth about 94% of face? Since you lose about 2% each year?
I just asked ChatGPT to give me an example of a 3d object generation using WebGL, then to make necessary modification in the code to make the object rotate.
> how are they not fined for it or outright banned

Does OpenAI have a legal presence in Europe? If not, there isn't an enforcement channel. I suppose they could block EU IPs, but until enforcement is threatened they have better things to focus on.
Hahaha! That would have never occurred to me (or at least not immediately) - NRI
GPT-3 has a better reading comprehension...
Heat pump sales outpaced gas furnace sales in the US in 2022
I would say from the frying pan into the kitchen bench. It's not perfect but it's not yet being cooked.

Telegram is a good compromise. Yeah it's not e2ee.

Signal isn't even a good compromise for most people. I don't know anyone who has stuck with signal in my circles. They've nearly all reverted back their previous service or find a new one.

Personally I treat everything that is sent over networks as public data. So I would never comm anything that needed e2ee via a message service full stop.
I think Google would have just rebranded it as Google Groupon, let it die on the vine, and it would slump into the Google Graveyard.

I don't think there would be any reason to divest it, it has no manufacturing or anything that stands on its own.
The people who pay for things things that save them time because they value their time are bad advertising targets? Seems like a juicy market.
It's BigVPN pulling the strings in the background. \s
He has, to my knowledge, one self-published paper of any value to the field of AI, and that is more properly classified as philosophy/logic/math on the topic of decision theory.

Yudkowsky is not an AI researcher. He calls himself an AI safety researcher, but he has almost no publications in that area either. He has no formal training or qualifications as such.

Yudkowsky has a cultish online following and has authored a decently good Harry Potter fanfic. That's it.
I'm Christian and that's the first thing I noticed about the Url. "Go INRI? Cool" was my reaction.
Interesting. Author specifically talks about sharp edges of running a SaaS with real customers on real services, and consequences.

Example: each customer/project needs "just one more" project added to the base image.

Also: GitHub goes down, or sends events out of order, or events get lost.
Have you double checked everything it told you as you should do with any AI generated output all the time as it's not reliable in any way?
Good thing we have proton. That's doing for PC gaming what emulators did for console preservation.
what do the owners of production do when the 6 billion workers decide they don't like not being able to eat?
I'm glad to see that I'm not alone in that being an absolute requirement for a car purchase. I guess it's not surprising that GM is making another stupid move though.
Report from Norway.

I used to get perhaps 3-4 calls a week from the same Indian sounding scammers (a man and a woman). They call from UK numbers. However, since I got the pixel, it has a setting to block spam calls, I have not gotten any :)
Shah Jahan also commissioned the Red Fort, still the nominal seat of Indian power - the site of all presidential addresses on Independence Day.
I've definitely found this to be the case with writing. ChatGPT gets you a "valid" output, but usually a bland and lame one. I think it's better for editing and brainstorming, or for simple tweaks. Specialized tools like SudoWrite are actually more useful as part of a writing work flow.

Pardon the plug, but I co-wrote a little blog post about this with concrete examples, if it is of interest: https://open.substack.com/pub/storiesbyai/p/chatgpt-for-crea...
Unlikely. UK GDPR is pretty much identical to EU GDPR.
Would be interesting to see if anyone could beat traditional retail pricing as far as say Costco items go in the US.
Definitely. Everyone was greedy, the customer is trying the pinch a penny and the vendor tries to screw the customer since doesn't expect repeated business.

IMHO it could have been like a trail session, have it been framed correctly. Instead, it was structured as race to the bottom from every side.
We're all already doing this, what benefit does the key provide?