skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
I’m super curious what a backup second factor is for the average user who has only one device: a phone, that sometimes gets lost or is stolen.

Feels like these things are designed by Californians with no idea of how the world is.
> Companies which are able to operate without these fears will move faster

Or the fears are real and companies that operate without them will be exploited, or extinguished for annoying their customers.
The prospect of not having your own LLM would be frightening to any big tech CEO. LLMs might be a massive productivity boost very soon (IMHO GPT4 is already there), and if you don't have one, but your competitor does, you will either have to use their product or perish.
> The fucking name of the screen is "passwords"! I shouldn't have to get farther than "pas" for it to be the first entry on the list, "pass" in the worst-case!

Weird. "pas" and it was top of the list for me.
Pressing charges is a thing, but it is prosecutor's discretion and usually relies on the victim's consent to be effective.
37signals is not like the typical large-scale startup. They have an extremely small team (around 30 people?), and just a couple of products.

Large-scale startups use dynamic-scheduled cloud services in part to reduce coupling between teams. Every service --- and there are dozens --- is scheduled independently, and new teams can get spun up to roll out new services without too much intervention from other teams.

When you've got a couple products that have been in maintenance mode for 10+ years and then 2 just two primary products, both of which are on the same stack, and you can predict your workloads way out into the future (because you charge money for your services, don't do viral go-to-markets, and don't have public services), there simply isn't much of a win to dynamic scheduling. You can, in fact, just have a yaml file somewhere with all your hosts in it, and write some shell-grade tooling to roll new versions of your apps out.

A lot of the reflexive pushback to not using k8s seemed like it came from people that either didn't understand that 37signals was doing something closer to static scheduling, or that don't understand that most of what makes k8s complicated is dynamic scheduling.
Yeah.

For all Google talks about conserving the quality of search, it sure seems to send me tons of SEO garbage these days, much of which is worse/more false than what an LLM could make up.
> If you are 100% Mac then it's a good product. Going outside of the walled Apple garden leaves a lot to be desired.

This has been the Apple way since the 1980's
This is what I hate about it.
Nice one! I made something somewhat related a while back... I still use it.

https://github.com/keyle/mdtimesheet

There is nothing like solving your own problems.
Can anyone give some color on to what extent advancements in AI are limited by the availability of compute, versus the availability of data?

I was under the impression that the size and quality of the training dataset had a much bigger impact on performance versus the sophistication of the model, but I could be mistaken.
In my dating app experience, I noticed I didn’t trust the null matching for filter fields.

Also, when I exhausted my search results in a metro region of 5million+ in a few weeks, I didn’t trust that the filters were working the way I wanted.

Agree that some profiles filled out the absolute minimum, but I quickly noticed that they weren’t active (or matching with me) and wouldn’t have made good dates anyway.
From the admin perspective Teams is a million times better than Slack or WebEx to set up and get going with because it's all built in, works really well.

From a user perspective it sucks mainly due to the bloated nature of the app, I've used other Electron apps that feel snappy but Teams just takes forever to do anything. Hopefully this refresh on WebView2 will make it so it doesn't take multiple seconds to display that I've sent a message.
But Alpaca was possible only after Llama, and Llama is not gonna happen with 600 or 60000 USD.
Yeah... at small to medium scale anyway.
Because even if Ubuntu knows that, users often want conflicting things.

User A may want a weather app preinstalled; user B may not want their computer knowing their location. User A and user B might even be the same person.

And that's assuming Ubuntu knows it, which let's be real, Ubuntu isn't great at knowing what its users want.

And all of that is assuming it's even true that most people do want a weather app.
Devil's advocate:

if somebody was willing to pay more than you as a customer to get said special badge (which caused your kid to get removed from their cheaper seat), isn't Disney in tune with its customers?

request from privileged customer: "we want to pay more for a better, more privileged experience"

offering from disney: exactly what the request wants, for more money/profit

you might not agree with it because you're in the "i don't want to pay the more expensive premium" camp (which, granted, most people would be). it's just... that doesn't matter when you are competing/have those who are willing to pay the premium on top of what you're willing to pay, does it?

they're running an experiences business and they've been able to find customers who are willing to pay more (than you)
They don't need a smokescreen. Binance's CEO instructed his employees to teach American firms how to use a VPN to hide their Americanness, despite the fact that they can't legally offer services to American firms. (This is especially strange because it was for people using their API, and you'd assume programmers who can integrate an API to trade derivatives have heard of VPNs, so I have to assume they were simply unaware that Binance was blocking America.) He even specifically said to not put it in writing! Extra hilarious that he put that message in writing, one wonders had he done that IRL or over the phone where this case would be right now.

I suppose you could argue about whether the CFTC's relevant regulations protect anyone, but they certainly think they do, and if so it's easy to argue that Binance was skirting those protections.
Another simplified quote goes like that:
Socrates, why don't you write any book?
Because it can be used by bad people.
And what if it gets to the hands of good one's?
Good (smart, wise?) people don't need books...
The US is very capitalistic. You may get regulation in France, but not the US.

The Corporate desire for profit will overshadow the livelihood of billions. It's been this way in the US since forever. Look what happened to the corporation that caused the Opioid epidemic. Nothing, they profited.
That was the nice thing about older movies. It wasn't an intense dopamine rush for 90 minutes. It was a story.
If the contract says the code is special, then the code is special.
So. The article starts with "I give it an estimate of 5 per cent chance..." and then explains: what if...

Is this case really worth exploring? Or was the article written by a bored AI?

I find it striking that there are still so many people downplaying the latest developments of AI. We all feel that we are at the verge of a next revolution on par or even greater than the emergence of the www, while some people just can't to seem to let it sink in.
Biden executive order bans federal agencies from using commercial spyware
Sure. A different search controller, which needs a different query view to handle the different fields it filters on, which needs a different result view to surface the different parts of metadata that only apply to this use case...you end up adding significant feature work to the app so that it can use the new search logic you "just" added to the backend, and you have still only solved one narrow aspect of this surprisingly different use case.

As I said before, I've spent a decade trying to solve this problem with the same kinds of approaches you're advocating here - that is, using tooling built for general music. That I haven't succeeded doesn't necessarily mean much, but how likely do you think it is that Apple's product and engineering teams didn't try the same before deciding they needed to ship a whole new app about it?
This works for some languages but not others (some typed languages are particularly ill-suited to the problem of writing CLI tools to dump heterogenous dictionaries and/or objects with many optional fields)
I think a few problems imho:

1)they don’t do cross platform software well so they would never make a windows app, chrome extension, android integration etc. It’s either all or nothing which I would never buy into (even as an iPhone and mbp user)

2) there are actually a ton of use cases here that make the software actually very complex and high stakes. I’d wager the pros don’t outweigh the cons.
Also apple isn’t known for complex software with niche use cases. Honestly their current safari/iphone password manager is trash

They do a few things well and rely on lock-in and ecosystem
News flash: 90% solution not suitable for folks with 10% of problem domains. Full story at 11 o'clock.
To be fair there are way more leftists who think trump is as bad as hitler as there are conservatives who believe in the Q stuff. Most conservatives don't even understand what Qanon even is other than a catchall for "conspiracy theories".
Let’s Go (VS) Code – Red Team Style
The Microsoft signed and hosted Reverse Shell

TL;DR;
MS is offering a signed binary (code.exe), which will establish a Command&Control channel via an official Microsoft domain https://vscode.dev. The C2 communication itself is going to https://global.rel.tunnels.api.visualstudio.com over WebSockets. An attacker only needs an Github account.
Immediate thought: knowing the algorithm, make a flashing light video that it wouldn't detect.

Also reminds me of an epilepsy support forum that got hacked and defaced with flashing animated gifs back in 00s.
Or to put in another way, NASA only had two shuttle disasters.

Two is such a small number, right?

Funny now numbers can be used.

However I can see the glaringly obvious omission in my post that NASA, in its near 70 years of existence has had numerous casualties and explosions. But that's literally my gist: massive checklists, standards, and regulations are a result of that.
I use ActivityWatch which has a browser and vs code plugin and it just tracks what i do by itself in the background. As soon as I spend a second having to do something with the time tracking software that is a second lost. It should be passive and in the background. It's by no means perfect and sometimes buggy.. but works for me.
I'm not sure why you trimmed the beginning of my sentence.

The parent comment says: "(vastly simplified of course - but in languages with automatic memory management - no matter if garbage collection or refcounting - you need to spend so much effort to reduce memory management overhead that it is usually less work to do it all manually in the first place)"

That suggests they are claiming that all users of GC languages will eventually spend more effort dealing with memory than if they'd skipped a GC in the first place.

I am making an existence proof counterargument: I have worked on many many programs in GC languages where at no point in the program's lifecycle did I need to spend much time worrying about memory.

I believe the claim "all programmers will spend more time dealing with memory in GC languages" is false.

I have absolutely not made any claim that "no programmer will spend more time dealing with memory in GC languages". There are certainly programs that are better written with manual memory management. I've written plenty.

My point was only that there are also plenty of programs where that's not true.
i think the industrial revolution happening in the intervening period might have had a little something to do with that

(and don't give me the "bengal was about to industrialize!!!" crap)
I admit I’m not too well versed in the literature but I think I learned in world civilization class that one of their gods came back to life (and opened its own tomb and walked out) after ritual execution by the Romans. That puts reincarnation at the center of the story.
That hasn't really been true. Apple supported iTunes and Safari which were great options on Windows. Not just "I'm already an Apple fan so I have to use it", but actively deciding to use them.

The root of the problem for Apple is that they cannot get away with doing what they used to in the past, they already have a plethora of platforms within their own umbrella to support, adding Windows native to the mix seems to result in maybe a handful of developers taking on enormous burdens by trying to catch up to their expected Mac apps.

If Apple were to seriously put its weight behind a cross-platform toolkit, this might change, especially as they want their services to grow. It's the very reason why their main service competitors can even compete.

But I agree that if they were to suddenly switch to Electron without a care it wouldn't turn out well, but likely have a better end user experience than their current reveals.
The next one will likely end the internet as we know it
I watch basketball clips on YouTube. Sometimes my wife passes by and catches a player doing a windmill dunk, or a no look touch pass. Having no understanding of the game, she doesn't know to be impressed.

We both play WoW, and if we see some skilled players doing PvP, we are impressed.
I’ve been burnt by trying to use FsX as a mount-s3-as-a-readonly-filesystem. Flaky mounts, complicated workarounds for maintenance windows - if this lives up to the promise I can delete a whole module (and the cognitive overhead of reasoning about its state and behaviour) that we’ve written to manage a local disk to mirror an s3 bucket.
> Eden writes, “[Which] areas of the economy can deal with 99% correct solutions? My answer is: ones that don’t create/capture most of the value.”

And

>Take for example the sorting of randomly generated single-digit integer lists.

These seem like very confused statements to me.

For example, lets take banking. It's actually two (well far more) different parts. You have calculating things like interest rates and issues like 'sorting integers' like above. This is very well solved in simple software at extremely low energy costs. If you're having your AI model spend $20 trying to figure out if 45827 is prime, you're doing it wrong. The other half of banking is figuring out where to invest your money for returns. If you're having your AI read all the information you can feed it for consumer sentiment and passing that to other models, you're probably much closer to doing it right.

And guess what, ask SVB about 99% correct correct solutions that do/don't capture value. Solutions that have correct answers are quickly commoditized and have little value in themselves.

Really the most important statement is the last one, mostly the article is telling is the reasons why AI could fail, not that those reasons are very likely.

>I still think an AI winter looks really unlikely. At this point I would put only 5% on an AI winter happening by 2030, where AI winter is operationalised as a drawdown in annual global AI investment of ≥50%. This is unfortunate if you think, as I do, that we as a species are completely unprepared for TAI.
> JSX may remind you of a template language, but it comes with the full power of JavaScript. [0]

That's the difference. I don't want to relearn how to do for and if-statements.

[0] https://legacy.reactjs.org/docs/introducing-jsx.html
I'm not an expert, but I see the main threat to continued improvement as running out of high-quality data. LLM's are a cool thing you can produce only because there is a bunch of freely available high-quality text representing (essentially) the sum of human knowledge. What if GPT-4 (or 5, or 6) is the product of that, and then further improvements are difficult? This seems like the most likely way for improvement to slow or halt; the article cites synthetic data as a fix, but I'm suspicious that that could really work.
A treaty isn't required for extradition. A treaty formalizes the process but countries do routinely extradite suspects even without treaties. This especially applies to fugitive third-country nationals. The US government will sometimes negotiate special quid pro quo deals to apprehend high profile suspects.
Sure, why not? If you could earn more money and produce more value to society with the same amount of labor, and the legal/regulatory environment supported it, I wouldn't see a reason not to.

If you had a solo contracting business, and the technology existed to fully outsource a development project to AI based on carefully documented requirements, using it would be a cheaper alternative to subcontracting. Rather than writing every line of code by hand, you would transition to becoming an architect, project manager, code reviewer, and QA tester. Now you're one person with the resources and earning potential of an entire development shop.

I have my fair share of complaints about AI coding tools, but that isn't one of them. Maybe the increase in supply would result in a lower average software engineering income, but it wouldn't have to if demand kept pace with supply.

Furthermore, code is more fungible than a person's voice. If someone wants a particular celebrity's voice, that celebrity has a monopoly on it. Thus, it's not obvious that increasing the supply of one's voice acting work would decrease its value. (I suspect the opposite to be the case, until a point of diminishing returns.)

Although the voice acting case has a similar concern; will we get an explosion in new and/or higher-quality media, or will we see a consolidation to a smaller number of well known voice actors taking an outsized amount amount of work? Another issue, if we look beyond impersonation specifically, is that human voices may become marginalized over time in favor of entirely synthetic voices. I imagine that this would start with synthetic voices playing minor roles alongside human/human-impersonated voices, but over time certain synthetic voices would organically become recognizable in their own rights.

Again, I see plenty of concerns with AI in general, but more of a mixed bag than strictly negative, and there isn't anything inherently nefarious about this product in particular.

Personally, I'm optimistic about what society looks like in the long run if humanity proves to be a responsible steward of increasingly advanced AI. By the time we're at a point where 90% of people can be effectively automated out of a job, we'll have had to have figured out some alternative way of distributing resources among the population, i.e. a meaningful UBI backed by continued growth of our species' collective wealth and productivity. I can easily imagine a not-too-distant world that is effectively post-scarcity, where it's not frowned upon to spend years (or lifetimes) on non-income-generating pursuits, and where the only jobs performed by humans are entrepreneur, executive, politician, judge, general, teacher, and other things of that must be done by humans for one reason or another.

So am I happy that AI is encroaching on skilled labor? In the short term, not necessarily. But it's not necessarily bad either, it's the reality that we're in, and long-term I'm more optimistic than not.
> Has anything actually gone past the point of no return?

We won't know when we pass points of no return until well after we're past them (and even then, living in denial may be an understandable option). To know if the brakes will work, you have to actually step on the brake first.

But we have lost a lot of biodiversity as a result of global warming, yes. Things like palsa bogs which won't come back for a long time even if climate returns to preindustrial tomorrow.
Indeed, for many people on both sides it was (and is!) quite a shocking revelation that in their surroundings there is a huge number of people who don't just disagree on opinions or facts but have completely contradictory values, one side praising that which the other deems as clearly, obviously evil, and vice versa.

I'd argue that this comes from a change in media - where previously you had a clear consensus either in the small community you lived in earlier times, or country-wide with the advent of mass media, and even if you'd disagree with that, then you still can't avoid knowing what the surrounding reality was; but now with personalized social media, so many people get a false impression of the actual social consensus around them, because they communicate much less with people around them but rather communicate in an "information community" which is larger geographically (often global), and which is different from the actual community where they live and which makes laws for their life; so they perceive that the "community standards" go one way (in the way which their "online information community" thinks) but then reality crashes in with something totally different, and this does "break people's minds" in some way.
Ah, I see. I misunderstood something I read earlier. Silicon Valley Bank had to sell Treasuries at a $1.8B loss which caused them to not meet capital ratio requirements. Their problem was a combination of their bond holdings decreasing in value and a bank run forcing them to sell the bonds at the discounted rate.
This is vital for professional adoption. We cannot live in a world where basically all commercial information, all secrets are being submitted to one company.
AI winter will arrive if we don’t get the models to depend on ‘just’ more training data to get better. There is no more training data. We need models the same or better than gpt-4 but trained on roughly what an 18 year old >100 iq human would digest to get to that point. Which is vastly less than what gpt 4 gets fed.

If advancing means ever larger and more expensive systems and ever more data, we will enter a cold winter soon.
From my point of view, there is nothing good about evading sanctions against russia. It's supposed to be painful, and ideally impossible, for Australians to send money to russians in russia.
> The "terrorist financing" and retail stuff is a smokescreen to seem worthy of the CFTC's attention. Nobody is being protected here. No significant terrorist financing is being stopped.

So enlighten me, what is the actual $$$ threshold where "terrorist financing" can be deemed a legitimate complaint?

Crypto space is chock-full of scammers, hustlers, bad actors, and organized crime. Which of the crimes are worth paying attention to and which aren't? Has the bar slipped that low that some crimes are "small" and aren't worth going after?

Seems like a stones throw away from whataboutism.
If you're in this category, your alternative to Passkeys at all is SMS or no 2FA whatsoever. Enabling Passkeys does at least ensure that you have a minimum of two separate devices so you already do effectively have some form of backup of your second factor.

My comment is targeted at someone who is savvy enough to: a) care about having "real" 2FA, and b) is concerned about lock-in, and c) is extremely sensitive to being locked out. For someone like that, you're already buying YubiKeys or some equivalent. And if you don't already have some, you're never prevented from using them later.
The data that you train your model on is certainly a huge moat...
With implementations in... Swift, Mathematica and MATLAB. I would almost be inclined to complain if I didn't live in an age where I could paste the abstract into ChatGPT and get a version in my conlang of choice.
> you can't just tell people not to use it

Uh, why can't you tell people not to use it...? If security is that important for your company, of course you can tell your employees which tools to use.

A fun fact: in many areas of TSMC, smart phones are banned. No one says "you can't just tell people not to use smart phones."
> while some people just can't to seem to let it sink in.

Just because people may have opinions different from yours doesn't mean they're denying reality. They just have a different opinion.

The hard, cold truth is that nobody knows the future. Everybody is just guessing.