skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
"Nobody tells this to people who are beginners, I wish someone told me. All of us who do creative work, we get into it because we have good taste. But there is this gap. For the first couple years you make stuff, it’s just not that good. It’s trying to be good, it has potential, but it’s not. But your taste, the thing that got you into the game, is still killer. And your taste is why your work disappoints you.

"A lot of people never get past this phase, they quit. Most people I know who do interesting, creative work went through years of this. We know our work doesn’t have this special thing that we want it to have. We all go through this. And if you are just starting out or you are still in this phase, you gotta know its normal and the most important thing you can do is do a lot of work.

"Put yourself on a deadline so that every week you will finish one story. It is only by going through a volume of work that you will close that gap, and your work will be as good as your ambitions. And I took longer to figure out how to do this than anyone I’ve ever met. It’s gonna take awhile. It’s normal to take awhile. You’ve just gotta fight your way through."

- Ira Glass
Unfortunately this bit of illogic is so common that I know it’s a waste of time to argue, so I’ve learned how to figure out what they want the estimates to be, give them that, miss them (just like everybody else does), and then get to work on actually providing the feature.

It gets even worse when you are in a line of work where the estimates are part of some kind of sales pipeline. Then you aren't just estimating based on effort required, but also against a likely number that the customer will ever agree to.
"OOM exception" is a wrong answer. If your code terminates on a space mission because lazy evaluation runs out of memory, it's disastrous.
> It's a little thing called fun.

Nobody thinks it's fun, except the people who wear the red hats.
This whole GPL only symbols thing seems to happen to zfs every kernel release. They will find a way around it eventually, even if that means implementing stuff in zfs or spl.
Concur. The applications are there. However, the dissent still appears justified. The issue is not with cost nor the lack of known applications. It's purely form factor, resolution, and interactivity. From the article, this product will be like "ski goggles" and it's clear that this is a video see-through (vice optical see-through) implementation.

No. Apple should not release this product until the form factor is an optical see-through pair of glasses, the resolution is >35PPD, and user interaction with virtual content is fairly seemless. Anything less and I don't see the product gaining any real traction, which will be a shame after waiting so long for apple to "get this right."
Wouldn't this be the same question for all venture capital?
> I don't think that most consumers of these books will know that modern changes have been made.

Indeed, one never knows what changes have been made without an itemized list, which is rarely provided and certainly not required by law. And I'd argue it shouldn't be.

> And I think that most of them would be less willing to pay for copies with these changes.

The publishers clearly disagree, or at least they disagree they'd make more money without the changes. And maybe they're wrong, but it's entirely their prerogative.

What mechanism do you propose to use to notify a reader of the particular changes in a printing?
While I agree there are some issues with how banks comingle a pretty complex stack of claimants and assets, that's how things have been for a few hundred years, so...the average person/business person...(if you are right about them)...is wrong, and will be wrong for the foreseeable future.

While I generally would support a direct Fed facility to handle the "utility" portions of banking, I think there are some dubious aspects and limitations of non-lending accounts. Namely, almost hydraulically, lending on something like treasuries tends to gracefully track inflation, i.e. consumptive power is maintained over time. This is another meaning for a bank to "keep your money safe" if you account for the money illusion. They aren't called "money markets" for nothing.
If you’re upset that the war crimes of a country A against country B are left unpunished, it is still immoral to condone war crimes perpetrated by a country C against country D.
Except for all the stuff Apple leaves out or decides X is the correct way. No decent window snapping, no package manager, scroll wheel direction, no application level volume control, no HDMI/DP volume control, no decent font rendering on non-Retina displays, no MST support, ancient GNU tools (honestly I'd just prefer they'd leave out 10 year old versions, it just causes problems).

Honestly to me macOS is a bigger pain to deal with.
TBH, I'm pretty sure it had some type of resonator to make it even louder than a straight pipe. It had an extremely obnoxious timbre, and having driven vehicles with no muffler (only temporarily!) I'd say this car was significantly louder.
If you're comfortable with that, that is fine, I respect everyone's decisions for their own health. But what about those who do not recover? No one has the right to coerce another person to receive an irreversible medical treatment. Masks can be taken off - nothing against them personally. But can one "un"-vaccinate themselves? And why are people forced to vaccinate when natural immunity has been proven to be at least, if not more effective, than vaccination (from a peer-reviewed study published in the Lancet)?

The argument is not whether the vaccine is good or bad. It's about respecting people's right to a choice. Japan did not mandate the COVID vaccine and actively discouraged such an approach. Would you claim they are anti-science?

It's also important to consider what the former President of Australia's Medical Association has stated regarding the COVID jab: "the true rate of adverse events is far higher than acknowledged due to underreporting and “threats” from medical regulators"
RT is useful resource for discovering concepts that don't follow the western narrative, but absolutely not in terms of having any sort of reliable coverage of facts around these concepts. Or that the concepts themselves have any legitimacy.

AJ is probably the best English speaking mainstream resource for this. I don't really know what to say about the societal problem of people not caring.
Is that a trend on StackExchange? So obnoxious. I stopped paying attention to that site years ago.
Because the budget is not infinite - there is normally a limit of time or money and it will determine the decision making process.

This doesn't mean the project will finish on time or within budget it just enables that part of the decision making process.
Well, sure, but that’s essentially impossible to define for a product with zero marginal cost. You’d be making it illegal for a small company with x sales/year to sell for the same price as a large company with 2x sales/year.
The challenge then would be to create a test - one that GPT would fail and a hypothetical average Steven Hawking would have passed?
The lab i works had had a rethink robot for research purposes. It seem to be part of a wave of consumer-facing robots that have all since folded. With the exception of Waymo, DJI, and skydio. You have to remember at the time eveyone was searching for the next big computing platform, and it wasn’t that clear the iPhone would be it. After the iPhone succeeded, hardware investors became even more convinced, especially when money was cheap.
> government in your area is highly efficient and you wouldn't change a thing

More strawperson hyberbole. Hyberbole expresses only emotion; it adds nothing and gives us nothing to talk about on the merits.

So, you're feeling frustrated? Angry?
Other banks had less duration risk and some used hedges. No bank is going to profit from this particular environment but it's possible to manage assets such that the entire business doesn't implode.
This one hits home, but I also am not sure if it lines up neatly with the definition. I only have significant physical reaction to certain sounds when I'm at my place of residence (I've had this for the past five years and have moved around plenty).

Particular triggering noises? Kids playing basketball in the neighbor's yard, kids screaming during play, cars playing music with bass loud enough where you can hear the car rattling, and...coughing / clearing one's throat.

For most of these things, I imagine people also get annoyed with these sounds when trying to focus on work, as I do. But even if I'm doing something that I don't consider important (e.g. cooking, watching TV, etc.), my heart rate goes up and I get irritable. This all only irritates me when I'm at home. Maybe it's the feeling of not being able to change the environment around me (i.e. the feeling of being trapped as mentioned in the article)?
I think this is on the last mile, but doesn't apply outside of that. E.g., the length of cord in the exchange is the same, but outside of that it's your infrastructure.
Tom DeMarco expressed the same exact point:

> https://www.computer.org/csdl/magazine/so/2011/06/mso2011060...
We could go back and forth for days on whether cryptocurrencies have done anything for society, but it's already been discussed ad infinitum both here on HN and elsewhere.

I only wanted to point out that this article is inane.
For example, for Argentinians, Ukrainians and Turkish cryptocurrencies are order of more magnitude more useful than Americans. In these societies it is most likely net positive.
Great question. You disagree with them, but you don't expand the scope of your disagreement past the matter in dispute (eg, you don't go from "we disagree" to "this person's worldview is hopelessly flawed"). You don't tell yourselves narratives about why they came to that conclusion. Narratives about how they will always think in a certain way are especially dangerous. In practice, for myself, this means more recognizing that these things are happening & terminating that line of thinking, and reminding myself how little I know about people on the other end of a screen. Oftentimes these can be restated as constructive questions, like instead of saying, "you are a fatalist," you can ask, "this seems fatalistic, this doesn't match my own experience, can you help me understand?" Remember that most strong disagreements are a mild disagreement wrapped in a misunderstanding.

To give a concrete example, maybe you see someone say something you find deeply objectionable, like "I support affirmative action in college admissions" or "I support the right to bear arms." You could say to yourself, here is my political adversary, they're a snowflake or a nut job or a useful idiot, they are buying into this or that media narrative, I can discount them. And that could all be true, but you don't actually know any of that at this point. So you say to yourself, "the world is a big strange place, there are many paths to form this opinion and I don't know which one this person took, but if I ask questions and keep an open mind we both might learn something." That doesn't mean you have to agree with them, you're just not derailing yourself with narratives that only serve to reinforce your biases.

And to be honest a lot of people are nut jobs and a lot of people will bite your head off no matter how politely or open mindedly you disagree with them. Which makes it difficult to maintain this, and I won't pretend that I'm not a hypocrite who regularly fails in this respect. But it's important to maintain a headspace where it is possible to change your mind, as often as you are able.
People don't make decisions based on "onuses."
I’m not a researcher at all but a partitioner with extensive quantitative development experience in an applied industry situation using ML tools.

I’ve been thinking that taking this up a level is more a systems architecture problem. The core LLM model is so incredibly flexible and powerful that what I’m working on is the meta application of that tool and giving it the ability to use itself to solve complex problems in layers.

Hopefully that makes sense. I already have a fairly extensive and detailed systems architecture design.
I think the ones you are referring to are still capitalist as companies are owned by an elite "capitalist" and the workers have no say in their workplace.
Think of it this way: if I said that 0.001 or 0.1% of people had a certain congenital disease; that may seem like not many people at all. Say it as 1 in every 1000 people, or about 330,000 people in America, and it seems like a lot of people.
Why You Should Not Swap {Caps Lock, Control} Keys (2014)
Getting out of Russia.
I'm fairly certain that you aren't accounting for uncertainty properly, especially with long-tail events. Let's say you have a ticket to enable a config flag. That's low risk and relatively small. There's still a risk that there's the flag hits a silicon bug. Does your estimate reflect that risk and is it useful if 95% of tasks don't hit those issues? Consider also that estimates delivered by contractors or even other teammates will not reflect these risks and thus you look correspondingly pessimistic or even lazy.

For context, my team is in exactly this situation with several silicon bugs we found last month.
I wouldn't bet on it, there's no theory that supports this idea (to my knowledge). AGI is poorly-defined, and I feel like anything trained exclusively on text would fail to qualify.

Put another way, what results are you hoping for that you're not getting out of GPT3/4 already?
make me a website that looks like apple's website but for my pizza food cart
I've been using Tumbleweed for the last few months and it's really good as a stable rolling release distribution. However, I made the mistake of buying a laptop with an NVIDIA discrete card and I'm tormented with small bugs, crashes and glitches from times to times. Both on Gnome and KDE Plasma.

If you are willing to migrate over to Linux, stay away from NVIDIA cards.
Quick rant: it was so much fun playing with and testing the ETH ecosystem, it felt like we were really trying to reinvent how finance worked and outsourcing trust to static contracts. It felt like decentralized systems were at least plausible.

Then Elon and the second Doge wave happened... Mutant Ape NFTs getting hyped by people like Paris Hilton and Jimmy Fallon... Sam Bankman's clear deception and FTX buying sports stadiums... the same centralized actors that we were working to get away from completely hijacked the platform, seized the narrative, and basically tarnished all the fun aspects. It felt like when Facebook no longer required .edu emails and a flood of parents and spammers took over the website.
> I just want folks to take anything a corp says with a grain of salt.

Exactly. As soon as Ethereum switched to a more emissions friendly consensus mechanism, there was no need to use wasteful GPUs which already were burning up th e planet.

Of course a shovel maker would now see GPU mining as unprofitable. As long as AI is still inefficient in the way it goes by training neural networks, then Nvidia will always be its shovel maker (until someone finds a cheaper and efficient alternative way that doesn't require GPUs)
This is the memory management technique that many programs, such as GCC, used to very good results.
Fascism being popular doesn't make it not fascism.
> Once you start with STM, you can switch to much more advanced boards with ease, ESP doesn't have the range.

And may be forced to. I still can't get H7s. ESP, nRF and others were barely affected by the shortage.
Musk also has citizenship of Canada and South Africa. It does matter in security clearances, but I don’t know how firm that rule is.
Understood. However I’d still argue there is a reason for the hype and I believe that is the case with the GPT LLMs also.
You'd be surprised.

People who aren't partisans one way or the other could not give less fucks.

But even bona fide leftists have used red hats ironically and in comic sketches ever since they appeared.

If anything, it's probably people who wear the red hats who would be "insulted" ("oh, you're making a mockery of our slogan!")
the original post way back was talking about marketing, they were underwhelmed. I recently generated some slogans. They sucked.

When someone mentioned predictability/accuracy how does that apply to marketing slogans. I know how it applies to writing unit tests. The unit tests writing comes pretty close to the original posters definition of GPT as filling out templates. The sucky slogans I got were also very template like.

Would accuracy be if slogans did not suck?

At any rate there seems to be a lot of things people want to use it for where the terms accuracy / predictability don't make much sense. So making claims based on those qualities naturally causes me to ask how do they apply to all these cases - such as slogan generation where accuracy predictability are not normally metrics that apply.
Let's take a step back to the real question: is the developer upset because

1. they don't know how to estimate,
2. because their estimate is always wrong,
3. they are being held accountable for an estimate that was incorrect, or
4. they feel that it's not their job to estimate the duration of their work?

Most people here assume that the issue is #4.

However, it's not like they teach estimating skills in school. And the abilities of people vary so much that you'd think estimating would be impossible.

But let's go back to the old apprentice/master model for a minute. How much time would it take a master builder to build, say, a classic roll-top desk with a bunch of little drawers out of oak? I think if you surveyed 10 furniture makers their estimates would be within a few days of each other. Then you'd ask them how long would it take for an apprentice to do the same? And I'm sure their answer would balloon tremendously.

What's the point of that exercise? Experience matters. When you've done lots of things, and you've paid attention, it's easier to estimate how long it takes to complete things - even if you've never done those things in your life. How long does it take to build an OS? With the right team, it should take about 4 years to build version .9. How long does it take to build a telemetry back-end that scales to a few million clients? Maybe 3 weeks to a month. For someone new who's never touched any of the technologies before? Maybe 4-6 months at a minimum, and that's assuming they're good at integrating things together.

So let's get to #1. If you don't know how to estimate, well, you estimate by first trying to figure out the amount of work it takes, then looking at how long it took you to do something of the same complexity/work, then adding some extra time because it's new. You can use your bug tracking system to figure out how long it takes you to fix a bug.

What about #2? Well, if your estimate is always wrong you need to find that delta and exploit it. If it took 2 weeks and you said it would take a week, well, try and figure out why. Were you waiting on other teams? Ran into some problem? Couldn't get resources? Or it was harder than you thought? You ran into some unexpected weirdness? Next time, double your estimate.

There's a PM rule of thumb that says take your developer estimate, double it, then move it to the next time unit. It actually sort of works when you move it up to the next level ie: include testing/QA, documentation, training, deployment.

#3. Are you really going to get fired because you gave a bad time estimate? Then you either need to get better at it or leave. The fact is, anything of any complexity is going to require more people to do, and more people = more time = worse estimates. But it's really up to you to keep people up to date. If you estimate 3 months and you're not even close after a month, well, maybe it's time to tell people and reset expectations. But what the heck are you doing that requires 3 months of work?
So you're saying that LLMs are sentient because we can't prove that anything or anyone is sentient?
Chewing with your mouth open is just bad manners. What are the uncivilized cultures that accept that?

Is this like one of those "some people go to Walmart in pyjamas" things? That honestly sounds ridiculous to me.
Bullshit, they existed both before the crypto and before the Internet itself. It's just a bit more convenient, but otherwise it's just the same as it was: give money to one man, take money/goods from other man and how exactly they settle their accounts is none of your business.
Fun fact: If the cop told you "don't worry, you're not breaking the law, let me help you" it still wouldn't be entrapment or unusual if they subsequently went after you.
10x Editor Version 1.0 Released
After 3 years in open Beta, 10x Editor has finally launched. I've worked on this as a solo dev for 6 years now, writing almost everything from scratch. It would be great to have feedback and I'd be happy to take any questions.

10x is mainly aimed at professional C++ programmers working on huge codebases and is currently Windows only. The focus is on performance, productivity and speed of navigation around large projects.

The aim was to have an editor with the speed of a lightweight code editor with some of the productivity features of a full IDE.
In what way do you think your outlook is different?

The Karl Marx makes me kind of skeptical of the other suggestions...
I wonder if we were neighbors.

The dump drunk, every morning... they raise the dumpster, and do a couple of back-and-forths to get everything out. BANG-BANG-BANG. Then they put them down. BANG. Roll it back. BANG. Back up the truck. BEEP-BEEP-BEEP.

The car-honking is also I find so rude. You get 1 pass. If I'm picking you up and you're not outside, you're walking. I am providing you a curtesy, so you better not waste anymore of MY time.

Leafblowers are the absolute worst, and I live in SoCal. You're moving DIRT. You're not REMOVING it, you're just MOVING it to the street.
> To hold people to account, i.e. some people really are low performers and seem to evade being accountable for their performance

Maybe I'm lucky, but in my experience this is quite rare. It is true, however, that if this is the expectation (and you matter, e.g. you're their boss), people will lower their capacity to match.
That makes sense indeed. It's more of juniors or middle programmers who usually underestimate. And the poor folks end up working nights and weekends to try to meet that estimation.

But it's not that they will have more respect, recognition or salary raise if they work more than they would sign for.

If I were a tech or people manager I wouldn't expect my team to overwork, just do a decent job in a decent amount of time, i.e. no slacking. And our current people manager which used to be a programmer does that. When he feels a task is underestimated he asks to raise the estimation. And the PO and the scrum master comply even if they don't like it.
In sense of buying drugs?

Yeah sure still not society relevant.

And look what happens in Germany, it's much better to push for legalization.

People need to stand up for rights
We have been doing finance for centuries and governance for millennial. The internet has been around for a few decades.

If Crypto is going to have meaningful impact on either of those two domains it may take a while.

I agree there are many grifter scammy things in crypto.

Fwiw it seems plausible to me that crypto/blockchain could provide value eventually as a realtime, open, highly available database about economic activity. Reliable economic information is valuable, scarce and seldom realtime.

However this depends on economic entities having an initial reason to make certain transactions on the blockchain and it's unclear what they'd get out of doing that.
only bigger by number of ships. By tonnage i think its less then half the size.