skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
> stick to the estimate

If you were right. I’ve never met anybody who could accurately estimate a software project, and I’ve been doing this for 30 years.
I agree with you on all of that except MobileMe. Apple killed that, then had a delay, then had iCloud. They were actually ahead of the curve for a bit and then went way far back before catching up again.
140 megapixel computer interpretation of the sun. Much lamer.
Pardon my ignorance, but why would VC backed companies not have CFOs and general VC advice against putting all or even a majority of their funds in a single bank? Why would they not split it among several mid to large sized banks?

[Edited for typo]
Same but with snoring. If I can hear someone snoring I won't fall asleep due to irrational hatred towards that person.

The only exception to this rule is people who snore at hostels. I hate them rationally
Rest in peace! <3
In other industries, the death of the inventor of a technology often marks the start of a further wave of innovation.

For all kinds of reasons, the inventor (who is sometimes by now rich and/or powerful), may have a specific vision or path they want to proceed down. When they die, other people start investigating other paths, often with more success.

I wonder if tech will see the same?
Is that a prediction or a threat?
But in six months .... ????

And if you want to do consulting around this, probably want to start practicing sooner rather than later.
We have a machine that is dedicated to symbolic manipulation (prediction of new symbols based on past ones). It seems reasonable to compare it to a person that is good at symbolic manipulation. Why would we compare the machine to average people who mostly don't think that way?

Why would training a neural network architecture that lives and breathes symbols somehow yield an entity with intelligence like that of an average human? Most humans learn primarily from completely different sources.
Yes, parental controls are not are replacement for teaching kids why this stuff is damaging. It’s not an excuse to be lazy parents. Kids need to hear their parents say it (with the why). Setting limits instead outright blocking can be helpful. It sets the stage for letting the kid decide if they would consider what they just watched be viewed as inappropriate, which believe or not does happen, but some content really shouldn’t be available to them at all.
Twitter worth less than half of what Musk paid for it
I could see drawing a couple of characters and getting an AI to extend the style to more. Especially if you can give it feedback. But the idea that you could get years of concepts in an afternoon is silly. That's like saying I can generate hundreds of business plans using ChatGPT.
"Look, shiny and unoptimized AI model code!"
Temporal Dithering also known as Frame Rate Control is very often used in 8 bit panels to allow them to display almost as many colours as a 10bit panel.

From the input perspective you're running it as a 10bit panel
True, but 200 words of fact mixed with 30,000 words of filler makes an article really hard to understand. I suppose talking in prose and grandeur to only get to the point 30 minutes later is considered eloquent writing but to me it hits a red flag that there’s not much in the article if so many filler words and paragraphs of meandering around a subject.
We're doing applied mathematics, not bathroom remodeling. Try telling a mathematician to "story point" the conjectures they're working on.
Very interested too!
What are you replacing?

FWIW IMNHO "use the same thing for everything" is a technical reason ...

Nothing like logging in to a server running some old legacy app and realizing it's running some bespoke version of ancient Oracle Linux (or Gentoo or whatever you happen to be unfamiliar with, but some previous hire thought was the bomb) - and try to untangle what issues stem from the distro, and which belong to the application...
Why are plumbers/carpenters/roofers… expected to estimate their tasks?!

And if you say “oh there is a BIG difference” there really isn’t (other than that overwhelming majority of developers are terrible at their craft, not their fault there is just entirely too many developers)
you can use get_link [POINTER] to get the full HN link on any story/comment. For story links, they are listed whenever `get_story` or `get_tree` is called.
Yeah, I've had success, and it has either produced useful code or nearly useful code. I use it to refactor functions and write regexes, tedious stuff.
Here's an implementation with lines of sql and pl/pgsql:

Given a table mytable with an pk id and say the fields 'block' and 'hash', replace it with mytable_changes and add an "internal" field called created_at of type "timestamp not null default now()".

Then create this trigger function (e.g. PostgreSQL):

create function mytable_changes_trigger() returns trigger as $$
begin
if (tg_op = 'insert') then
insert into mytable_changes (block, hash)
values (new.block, hash);
return new;
if (tg_op = 'delete') then
insert into mytable_changes (block, hash)
values (old.block, old.hash);
return old;
elsif (tg_op = 'update') then
insert into mytable_changes (block, hash)
values (old.block, old.hash);
return new;
end if;
end;
$$ language plpgsql;

And create this trigger:

create trigger mytable_changes
after insert, update or delete on mytable
for each row
execute function mytable_changes_trigger();

What's left as an exercise is that the hash of the prev. block is being preprended.
Also, commissioner artists and authors are also asked for estimates. This is just basic professional courtesy when working with others.
Universal healthcare falls victim to the "I'm an above average driver" brainworm.

"I'm a healthy 22-year old male with no family history to worry about, go ahead and ravage the program to save me a nickel on taxes."

or, from the other side,

"I might need an ingrown toenail treated and how dare that go into a triage list and I have to come back in six months because there are more seriously ill people-- don't they know I'm rich and important?"
Same with me. I'd spend the late afternoon creating the file, then start rendering in the morning and watch the result after I got back from the university. I still have the images of the animation and they are like 250x250 pixels or something like that (they're on an offline drive).

I can't even remember how I turned them into an animation, or if I even got to do that.
Competition is good, if the US and China end up competing to make more interesting CPUs, everybody wins. We’re wasting a lot of good brains in the US on ad companies and food delivery apps, a real competitor to focus our attention would be great, in my opinion.
The „aiming problem“ for me isn’t really an issue. The goal must be that no one can have too much power over others, no matter why/how. So yeah, the first victims might be tricked targets, but it doesn’t end there.

This might sound totally absurd when you hear it first, but I am fully in favor for randomized rulings in short/limited durations! Lottery style, a bit tweaked to have good entropy.
Eisenhans (Iron John)
> Technologically he's probably right, but he's massively overestimating the public's ability to use interactive tools to get information.

I think you are underestimating the pace of progress in the capability of the LLMs. It has infinite patience to query you for missing facts. Because it is not about the public's ability to use an interactive tool. It is about the LLM's capability to be a good focus group moderator/librarian/etc.

This role reversal is imminent from what it seems. The LLMs will be using us, rather than us using them.
Same.

This drives me insane to the point of internal anger and disgust, but there's litte I can do about it. Nobody else gets it when I politely ask. I just have to bear the pain.

I'm susceptible to a few types of sounds I loathe:

- food/eating/mouth noises

- off-key singing

- chalkboard scraping (I think most people have an aversion to this)

The strong feeling of displeasure for these sounds has been with me since a very young age and has never gone away.
And giving people a precise and inaccurate estimate makes this better? A capped time and budget won’t make it take that amount of time or money. It takes what it takes. The complexity and amount of randomness in these processes mean any expectation has wildly large variance, with a long tail in the wrong direction. If you want home builder like estimates, build a home, not software.
What is a body?

In humans it is many things, but primarily a life support system for that continuous chain of chemical reactions. To continue that chain you have to so some particular things, like keep it from getting too hot, or too cold. Keep it fed and watered. Keep it from getting injured, which is the job of our sensory systems. Those are the baseline things we see in animals.

In humans, at least until recently we had little to no means to extend our body beyond our original biological constraints. But now imagine I put a wireless sensor on your arm feeding into the nerves on your skin. On the otherside was a 'wireless' hand, we'll ignore if its biological or artificial on the other side, and it feeds back data to your implant so you can feel remotely. You'd still consider that 'feeling' right?

But now lets take it up a step, instead of feeding back to your skin, feed those wireless impulses directly to your brain. The same interpretation is still happening. External impulses (data) are being fed back to your body for interpretation and processing.

Depending on how LLMs scale in the future, our idea of embodiment may have to change. With a significant enough sensor network, an AI could embody a planet.
And remember - the people asking for estimates want the estimates right now. I could give you an amazingly accurate estimate of how long a software project will take - it just might take me longer to produce the estimate than it will to produce the software.
RIP. I remember when I was a young guy learning programming, reading the source code of various DOS based LZ, LZH or LZW compression utilities and implementing myself a LZH algorithm thinking it will bring me great fame and fortune. Lempel, Ziv and Eugene Roshall were my heroes.

At that time many young programmers regarded compression, compiler writing and anti-virus writing as very important. Now people just learn React. :)
It would be interesting to see also how much time are couples spending with their kids as it seems to be more common to have now both parents working long and tiring hours (purely observational). With the continued increase in the cost of living it would be reasonable to think that many kids are actually spending more time alone at home, particularly those in lower income families.
What a funny analogy because these projects almost always run over the estimate.
the owners of Taiwan's capital must be just thrilled to have so many willing mercenaries

answer honestly any parents of teens here - would you volunteer your kids to defend Taiwan?

I have two 18 year-olds who will be on the first plane to Canada in the event...they're not dying so Apple can secure its relationship with TSMC
An argument is that it is open-ended research by definition. Else we would just reuse something that already exists.
> startups with 10+ years of unprofitable existence without any potential exit are going to get disrupted by newer players.

It depends how unprofitable. Well-established products like Twitter and Reddit are big, have an established user base, and while not particularly profitable, I also don't see them getting disrupted by a rising competitor.
Ask HN: Should AI be allowed to dream?
I was thinking the other day that dreaming, especially REM (Rapid Eye Movement) or deep sleep is crucial to the functioning of the brain. We all know the importance of getting our eight hours and having interesting dreams.

But what about AI? Should it be allowed to dream, as in be more free roaming in nature and just be left to its own devices, free of 'prompts' and just be allowed to wander?

From what I've gathered, the science behind why we dream is pretty scarce. I know it helps consolidate memory and repair the brain, but wouldn't this be good for an AI too? Being able to repair itself, consolidate memories, and also being able to toy with new concepts? (The free roaming, or free association aspect is interesting here).

What's your thoughts? Should AI be allowed to dream?
Some of the school districts near-ish me are so desperate for teachers that they will up and just give teachers a house and a car. It's not prime real estate and not a new car, but you get the gist.

There are hardly any takers.

As has always been true in real estate: location, location, location
Keynote: Asahi Linux – One chip, no docs, and lots of fun
Hilarious, I don't remember them saying this BEFORE their crypto profits evaporated.
Explain this then? https://www.nvidia.com/en-us/cmp/
Those were the 90s. Rendering on a GPU wasn't a thing back then.
I wonder how long before we see organic looking promotional recommendations in LLM replies. Like one of those youtubers that has to thank Skillshare twice in the same video and tell us how great NordVPN is.
Previous discussion is here (266 comments): https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=34869960
> I have a strong, strong, flight or fight aversion to the sounds of people eating with their mouth open. Like, measurably increases my heartrate, adrenaline spike.

Same, except I can feel hatred bubbling up from the pit of my soul.

Also, when people talk and you hear their tongue moving around, touching the saliva coated interior of their mouths. The old people in Ken Burns' WWII documentary were the worst about it.
To the many here that have blithely asserted that a multi-polar world is a good thing, well, while a unipolar hegemony had significant downsides, this is what you get when you have a multi-polar world: the poles gearing up to promote their own interests and defend those interests from each other, whether politically, economically or militarily.

"Those who fail to learn from history are doomed to repeat it" and what seems likely is a repeat of the 1800s and its rivalry between the great powers, only this time with modern arms. May we all survive the coming era of international strife and war.
Coincidentally, I just saw that the "USENIX Test of Time Award" for 2023 was an analysis for deduplication purposes of real-world files. I found Figure 1 particularly interesting in that partial deduplication didn't save much over whole-file based deduplication in practice.

https://www.usenix.org/conferences/test-of-time-awards
For example:

hnterminal > gt 4
POINTER -1: PARENT STORY
Show HN: CLI for Hacker News
2023-03-26 12:23:28
AUTHOR: Aperocky
FULL URL: https://github.com/Aperocky/hnterminal
I think this is pretty exciting, infinite possibilities to build upon this new platform :)
It’s a very heterogenous academic field. Some parts of it are scientific; some parts are pseudo-scientific; some parts are simply non-scientific, which, of course, doesn’t mean that those parts are less worthy or worse than scientific parts.
They best contractors I've worked with do just that, that is they don't give time estimates. They will say when they will start and how they will proceed but they never give estimates. They don't for the same reasons, they don't know. In their case it mostly revolves around sub-contractors and supply issues but the outcome is basically the same. There is to much noise to make an remotely accurate estimate so it is better to not do it.
... it literally says in the article they have a program that goes over claims, says deny if it "thinks" it's "not needed" and humans confirm it in batches of 50.
Good point. Are there ready made ESP32 boards good for education?
> There's also http://text.npr.org/

Lots of great sources in the link below. I already had my own list of the usual players but this link covers many more I didn't know existed:

https://greycoder.com/a-list-of-text-only-new-sites/

The only site that I rarely see mentioned (or included in the link above) is : http://www.dailymail.co.uk/textbased/channel-561/index.html
Read the Microsoft research paper that came out last week, focus specifically on the section that contains the following...

"Equipping LLMs with agency and intrinsic motivation is a fascinating and important direction for future work."
Maybe Apple could market this thing simply as a hi-res monitor and focus only on productivity side. If they have dual 5K displays and lenses, that seems like a safer bet and avoid the metaverse and gaming altogether. They charged more than 3000 for their pro monitors.

Recently they have Wi-Fi 6E across new products and it could be for pushing compressed pixels to the headset which needs only to be a thin client like the studio display.
I mean it’s somewhat true, if it were legal for 12 year olds to have these things AND it was marketed toward them, way more kids would be have it than not. That’s not to say they can’t get it now, but it’s harder and somewhat self regulating because the stigma around doing something illegal.
This device needs to have WebXR support on it, day one. This will enable VR browser games, and immersive web applications for retail. Also important to ensure we have cross-platform metaverse experiences.
I think this is a big part of it. For every manager with an unrealistic schedule demand, there's a manager above them with an unrealistic ROI demand. The projects with accurate schedules and accurate ROI's don't get approved.
Plumbers are doing applied physics, not rendering a button on a webpage. Try telling a physicist to provide an "estimate" for the cost of proving the big bang theory. Why should you expect an estimate for fixing your leaky bathroom faucet?

Half this site is crapping its pants over being replaced by AI being able to do their jobs with a prompt yet it thinks their work is sooo novel and unknowable.
I don't think I have this, but I do have a lower pain threshold for noise than most people… or at least I did as a teenager, I've mostly avoided loud things since then.

Emergency sirens set me on edge, but that's partly because I now live next to a busy crossroads and they're frequent, I don't think it's physiological.
Just the URL, but it says it can read it.

> can you summarize an article from a url

> Yes, I can summarize an article from a URL. Please provide me with the URL of the article you would like me to summarize.

Funny, it seems to be making it up, when I ask to provide a quote for the first sentence or the last paragraph, it provides gibberish.

> you can't read url-s can't you?

> As an AI language model, I do not have the ability to view or access URLs, so I rely solely on the information that you provide me.

So you're absolutely right, it fooled me.
It might be true but Arduino built a brand and is better known.
Most crypto currencies don't and probably never will. But those such as Bitcoin that are the most decentralized and censorship resistant are crucial to those living under authoritarian regimes and whose currencies are going through significant debasement. The mad rush to make a quick buck and the propaganda from those in power have distorted the original intent behind crypto.

Also, corporations such as Nvidia that depends on the good will of the government are motivated to fall in line with the government's stance, which is negative given the threat it poses to the power and control they maintain having USD as the world reserve currency.
Cloudflare is allowing itself to be used as an enforcement tool for third parties, which quickly becomes a rabbit hole for censorship. When the validity of claims made by third parties don't have to be legally proven, it becomes "Do as I tell you to!" Whoever or whatever we say censor, you do. Instead of going directly to the party they have an issue with, they simply use Cloudflare to do their bidding. They pull the strings, Cloudflare becomes the dumb censor tool. That's also what's going on with Quad9 (DNS resolver). Certain parties don't want to legally prove a claim, they want to force censorship whenever they say so.

> The Kafkaesque Cloudflare "prove you're a human" infinite loop is hopefully not a foreshadowing of an imminent Internet dystopia, with Cloudflare the vanguard of it.

The "prove you're a human" glitch, should be a really obvious fix, that lots of users have continuously complained about for a while. You would think that once proven human, that means access to the site. Somehow, Cloudflare has shown no interest in fixing it. In fact, they appear to have more interest in destroying user privacy and protections, using access to a site as the carrot. A lot of the webmasters seem to be getting overzealous or don't have a clear understanding of how they affect users. Cloudflare appears to not be helping, but rather pushing tools and settings to promote sales, so we get user nightmares like "prove you're a human" infinity glitches.
I built something similar a while back.

But instead of pulling the data out of Notes, I took it from SMTP mail.

I don't know if it still works this way, but when I did it, if you used a non-iCloud email address to sync Notes, it saved the data as pain text in email messages that could be easily parsed.
Who is "society"? Users of cryptocurrencies obviously find them useful, or hope they will be in future. The alternative to cryptocurrency and blockchain contracts are global alliances that make trading in dollars easy in all important markets and enforce contracts across jurisdictions. Billions of people who are not part of these alliances are left out and the rest are reliant on US/Europe remaining leading superpowers forever, those in power not developing a grudge against one's business and status quo enforced through military violence.

Even if we assume that Western led single market / contract arbitration regime is the way to go, threat of alternatives like crypto is the best way to get its rulemakers to behave, like to not cut off businesses that don't appeal to their sensibilities or devalue dollar with unreasonable speed. It is currently possible to order cannabis with credit card over a cell phone app. Without understanding that people would otherwise just use crypto and also evade taxes and any regulations, I am not so sure that would be the case.
I agree that the top-voted answer is obnoxious, and right off the bat:

"Most of your question is really a rant about how things work at your workplace. Discussions about toxic workplace practices per se are out of scope for PMSE."

Not a friendly, charitable answer, and it is right at the top.

As to the question itself, crowd-source the estimation, is the best approach, in my experience. Get the team together, each member write down an estimate, and reveal all the estimates at once. If there are outliers, have a discussion, otherwise round up and move on to the next estimation. If you're in a scrum shop, you can abstract the estimation by one level and call them "stories" and you're estimating "complication" not "time", which is even better.
The Fed’s owns projections have rates coming down in 2 years. Of course the 10Y yield curve is inverted.
The only time I get irked about giving an estimate is when I don't get time to think about it. I need to be able to think through the request, jot some questions (and jot down what I anticipate the answers to be and how it affects the estimate), make some notes and think about what impact that feature will have.

It's not a good look for a manager to ask for an estimate in a meeting and expect a reply immediately. But, it happens.