skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
he made many bad predictions, and continued to double down on them:

dollar collapse, $5k+ gold, emerging markets boom, bitcoin crash, hyperinflation, bear market, recession, etc. every year

He never deviated from his predictions or view even when shown to be wrong. He never stopped to consider maybe he was wrong, not that the economy is wrong.
I'd credit biology, culture... the usual authors of our thinking.
Do you want to ask why we use caching instead of main db in RAM? Or why we use redis instead of postgres for caching?
Well Russia was welcome to put up a candidate to run for office in Ukraine to make that argument to the Ukrainian people.

In fact, they did! He lost in a landslide which the loser himself acknowledged as fair.

Russia declaring that Ukraine is a vassal state doesn’t make it so.
My library lends epubs through OverDrive, which puts Adobe's DRM on them. It works quite well with my Kobo Libra H2O. Checkouts of ebooks spiked during the pandemic, with 3 million in 2019, for a county with a total population of ~800K
I knew they were in trouble when I was catching up on Planet Money recently and they were giving multiple ad slots to a company selling dog treats to help dogs that get anxious during thunderstorms.
Visualization technique to drive scientific discoveries and customer analytics
Docker Hub has little to offer, and yet everyone was up in arms when what little they offered for free gets taken away. Don't you see the contradiction here?
I miss him. He really did his best to live up the the hacker ethos. Information wants to be free.
Breeching Boys
Probably because they knew about hallucinations and didn’t think the tech was ready for public consumption. TBH it really isn’t quite ready yet, but OpenAI forced them to release something.
> Schiff didn’t account for the economic ignorance of the masses in his prediction.

Literally every economic misprediction can be blamed on not accounting for the way people actually behave in real-world economies, but…that’s not something that adds credibility for the next prediction by the same predictor.
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35287733
One time at a company hackathon, a team did a project with computer vision using a parking lot security camera to identify open vs filled parking spaces and provide company employees with a real-time count of available parking spaces left in the lot. It was a great project, but never went further than the hackathon to my knowledge. I'm sure there are lots of variations possible on this theme.
Not copyright, but I'm pretty sure both Uber and AirBnB were out breaking laws willy-nilly. They called it "disruption".
> The point is that realistically speaking 150 years ago people were eating apples, bananas, pineapples, potatoes.

You weren't eating bananas and pineapples if you lived in Britain or anywhere else in Europe.

In fact, you weren't eating fresh fruits or vegetables of any kind in the winter if you lived in temperate regions.
I would personally get rid of 501(c)(3).

Anyway, a more relevant “how many NPR contributors itemize their donations.” But of course it’s roughly in line other such charity’s, because when your talking about such a wide selection of the population it tends to look like the general population. Aka, when you start talking millions there aren’t enough billionaires for the group to mostly consist of billionaires.

I had an aunt who got a 7 figure refund after an IRS audit because she wasn’t bothering with minor donations. No idea how representative that is, but people are strange especially when you look at large numbers of them.
There's an easy iOS trick that worked wonders for me - set your phone display to grayscale. Open Settings, then Accessibility, Display & Text Size, Color Filters, tap the switch and select "Grayscale". You will still be able to enjoy functional use cases for your phone without the inexplicable psychological addiction.
When did Ukraine join NATO?
So Moore's Law is literally dead?

RIP, we will continue to break your law.
> Over a shorter time scale that would be called "bait and switch" and it would be illegal.

No, it wouldn't. It would be "bait and switch" if you had committed to use Docker Hub for the next year, and they announced after two months that now you have to pay for it and you can't back out. If I offer you a piece of gum for free today, and tomorrow you come back and I say either pay $1 or you don't get my gum, have I committed any kind of fraud or whatever?

> Over a longer time scale it's still a massive dick move and destroys customer trust.

"Customers" on a free plan?
Correct, but you can only live in one part of the world at the same time.

There weren't any weekend jets to Cancun 150 years ago.
What irked me was that a lot of major corporations got together to subvert the law out of self-interest. If the people wanted to change the law, fine. Call a referendum.
Thanks for raising this. Totally.
I think most of the user base here is US centric but from what I can see from the side of the pond is that the biggest worry is that increasing interest rates will do shit all because the deep root of the problem is energy, brexit and all kinds of terrible policies that the Torry governement has been inflicting on the country to become ‘self sufficient’ which had such deep and brand new ramifications our economy that we are actually just making shit up hoping it works. Economists can’t rely on previous data anymore as we’re basically starting ‘brand new’.
<< If libraries were distributing copies of their existing books they would be sued for copyright infringement.

There may be a question of definition here. Do you mean that they have to lend it, but they cannot give it away?
Or, you know, just turn it off and put it in your pocket?
They can lend the book, they just can't make a copy of it and lend the copy instead.
Thank you for your contributions Mr. Moore. The world appreciates it. Rest on.
> American geopolitics like to gloss over that Russia has been saying for at least a decade that Ukraine acceptance to NATO would incite a military response.

No, American geopolitics actually cites those threats which disrespect Ukraine’s sovereignty as part of the pattern of Russian aggression, though less significant than its actually launching various aggressive wars.

Also, Ukraine was not, at any point, accepted into NATO, so even if such a threat was somehow not a threat to engage in unwarranted aggression and deserved respect…it really wouldn’t be relevant.
Schiff didn't account for the economic ignorance of the masses in his prediction.

If he is as smart or knowledgeable as he claims or held up to be, then he should have factored that into his forecast and advice. IF the fed is going to do everything in its power to save the economy, why fight it?
> avoiding to fund the organizations responsible is a moral imperative

I never thought about it that way. I avoided getty and other stock media publishers out of principle. In their deranged quest to subjugate google, they made image search worse for me. I think it's about time I started applying this logic to other publishers as well. Copyright is completely out of control. There has to be accountability, even if it's insignificant and only on a personal level.

For any authors reading this: I intend to continue paying for books and will gladly do so but only if it's to you directly. Either self-publish or put a donation link on your site. If I'm interested in your book, I will search for your personal website prior to taking any action.

It's sad that it has to come down to this.
The ex-Meta recruiter who says she made $190K a year ‘to do nothing’ speaks out
So Moore's Law is officially dead.

RIP and we will continue to kill the law. Hope the humor reaches you. Rest well.
Do You ever use awk's "system" command?

I run stuff like You mentioned (piping to a shell) and also system() frequently. It depends on many factors which one I'll choose.

(FWIW, I'm also quite decent in many shell flavors on many Unix/Linux variants, so that is another determinant)

Eg, the Busybox ash(1) that I frequently work with does not support arrays, but its awk(1) does...
Sad to say, I think his law died with him.
If anyone wondered whether it was a test by YC, then I guess one question would be which test:

* People who hand over their phones are perceived by YC as team players, or willing to engage fully with others, or savvy about some new tech-fashionable mindfulness practice (that the person is alarmed they haven't yet heard of).

* People who hand over their phones are perceived by YC as being followers rather than leaders, or having bad InfoSec sense, or not being connected and accessible at all times.
What drives are the slots compatible with?
Can we get a black bar, please?
Thanks for pointing that out.

It makes me so sad -- it reminds me of Aereo, when the Supreme Court ruled against it in 2014 that it wasn't allowed to stream public broadcast TV over the internet, despite having a separate radio receiver for each viewer.

I can understand why Congress hasn't changed law to allow digital 1-for-1 reuse of previous physical/analog sources -- because there will be too much lobbying against it from corporations.

But it really seems like the Supreme Court had a chance to set new precedent in an area that hadn't been foreseen in law so really was undefined. And they chose corporations over consumers back in 2014, just like a federal judge did again now.

I can only imagine how much better if the Supreme Court had sided with consumers here. Congress could have overturned it through law, of course, but only in the face of massive voter dissatisfaction, and so I'm not sure they would have.
Yes, so the SEC guidance is irrelevant, and is just fear mongering to get people to pay fines they don’t actually need to pay.
It's astounding how few people know that this already exists, and has for years and years, in the from of user-mode QEMU.

https://qemu-project.gitlab.io/qemu/user/index.html

This is, by the way, how Hangover is supposed to work.
> We at Intel remain inspired by Moore’s Law, and intend to pursue it until the periodic table is exhausted.

Interesting way for them to put it, i think I like it.
It's in regular use, with a round of newsletters a few times per year inbetween.
Alright then: The National Popular Vote Interstate Compact (hereafter "the Compact") would reduce democracy by reducing and eventually destroying the sovereignty of each individual State.

The United States of America is exactly what it says on the tin: A Union of States. Each State is equal to all the others, united somewhat loosely as a Federal Republic.

With regards to the consequences of the Compact, it would destroy the democratic right of the people of each State to decide, for themselves, who will represent their State in the Executive Branch of the Federal government. The President of the United States represents the States in the Union and is elected by the States, the States in turn determine who they elect as President by respectively asking for their people to vote who their State should vote for.

You might ask who in the Executive Branch of government represents the peoples of each State directly, that role falls upon the Governor of each respective State.

The Compact would reduce the voice of the people and the sovereignties of States by removing their right to decide, for themselves, who to elect for President of the United States. People from one State would be able to overrule the people of another State, and vice versa. You're in California and voted for Bob? Tough shit, someone in North Dakota voted for Alex and your vote quite literally does not matter.

Citing and supporting the Compact indicates you have no understanding of who, and more accurately what, the President of the United States represents. It indicates you have no understanding what powers and rights each State and their respective peoples hold. If you are in a larger State, it indicates you have no care for what your fellow Americans and Statesmen think; if you are in a smaller State, it indicates you are fine with forfeiting your right to vote in deference to the nationwide majority.

If you sincerely think the Compact would improve democracy in the United States of America, at best you are misguided and were misled, and at worst you are disingenuous with ulterior motives.
This was going to be my next question with basic assumption that the entire gathered information will either vanish, get moved to torrents or splintered across various believers of the cause.
There is a 1 year old autoclosed issue which is very similar to OpenAI's issue: https://github.com/redis/redis-py/issues/2028
By "banks", I mean 90% of the other banks in the country that would've failed, absent the SVB depositor bailout.

If the FED didn't step in, every regional bank in the country would experience a bank run as people would withdraw everything and deposit in the "too big to fail" banks for safety.

Why I think the depositors should've suffered a haircut:
What the FED did, was implicitly guarantee the deposits, this incentivize banks to become even riskier with deposits as they get to keep the profits if their risky bets payoff and get bailed out if they fail. This is like a real life cheat code for bankers and unfair to the rest of us regular folks who has to suffer the consequences of our actions.
everybody knows theyve got the best standards no one has better standards than npr

https://twitter.com/NPRpubliceditor/status/13192811012239400...

maybe these clowns can learn to code
> Peter Schiff predicted this

if Peter Schiff was any good at predicting this type of stuff, Peter Schiff wouldn't have to work for a living.
I guess Google really isn't the company it used to be.
I said it before on this very forum. Wikipedia does not really need your donations these days. IA just might.
I mean, not yet. Right now in tech, we are subject to 38 year olds careening through life, dying in their mid 50s

Whatever legacy and mature rebranding they attempt wont be apparent until 2070
+1 for Marriott. Almost always have a good experience and I'm on the road at least once a month. Airbnb is OK in a pinch, but there's a level of professionalism and security that only a corporate hotel can provide.
The market considerations for fair use concern the market for the work of authorship as a whole, not a specific format of it.

I'm not convinced fair use is the strongest argument in IA's case. But the idea that lending ebook copies can't be fair use simply because it competes with publishers' ebook licensing schemes seems like a misreading of how fair use is typically applied.

Of course other fair use considerations factor in, but the market impact for a specific format isn't a death blow against reproductions of a work, generally speaking.
The word "assign" doesn't appear at all
dang is not permitted to sleep and it can't be reasoned with. It doesn't feel pity, or remorse, or fear. And it absolutely will not stop... ever, until you are dead!
India opposition leader loses Parliament seat after conviction for defamation
There is no need for coding competitions anymore. The competition is Leetcode. The prize: a high paying job.
Framework previews modular gaming laptop with upgradeable GPU
If youre doomed by a fancy markov chain chatbot, you were never gonna make it in the first place.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_withdrawn_drugs

Plenty of European examples on that list.
Probably its doing a google search then passing it to bard in the prompt
The only two truths that are certain and clear are that:

1) ChatGPT is software built by programmers, and

2) all software requires maintenance.
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> GPT-4 had been shown to outperform humans on the coding competition tasks

citation?
Have never heard of a groundwater well? The ground collects water! It's orders of magnitude cheaper than desalination!!

https://media.istockphoto.com/photos/modern-water-well-diagr...
A friend was at a show recently (big comedian, I'm thinking Dave Chappelle?) and they did exactly this to each and every person.
Banks don’t have nearly as many worthless assets today as they did in 2008, which completely changes the underlying economics.

As long as they aren’t offering higher returns than their existing investments can support, the only thing they have to fear is bank runs.
ChatGPT is a downgrade to Siri?

I'm not really sure how to respond to that assertion. I audibly giggled, so there's that.
Compared to his contemporaries? He is possibly the most influential sculptor of the Renaissance. Michelangelo wasn't even born yet when Donatello died.
Total assets seized per year, including valid seizures, is under $3b [1].

Total retail theft alone is well over $60b [2]. Adding in other crimes like employee theft, fraud, property crimes, and so on puts total US cost from crime well into hundreds of billions.

So no, police don't steal more than traditional criminals.

[1] https://www.justice.gov/afp/reports-0

[2] https://www.rila.org/focus-areas/public-policy/study-retail-...
I cannot imagine even remotely engaging in a culture where either of those are possibilities, let alone speculating about which is likely. But then again, I'm not a fan of incestual SV culture.
For me I don't really care if they are better or worse, I'm just tired of Chinese companies milking the open the market while being protected in their own. If these companies want to participate in the other markets then they should lobby their government to open up more.
<< except restaurants, attractions, hospitality and essential services

Does cohesion of those families matter less?
thats not true, honesty is valued, but what PR does is attempt to lie and spin things in a way that misleads a stupid audience into thinking that something else is happening, and this can be beneficial.

this is why lying exists, because the ones doing the lying thinks it benefits them over telling the truth.

PR is lies, spindoctors are liars and scammers
how dare he not be on hacker news on a friday evening
suppressing truth is the primary function of media.
Yeah won't happen.

I have a suggestion so people who are security freaks don't panic about it.

You can always have them turn the phone off for you. In a non transparent plastic bag you seal after they turn it off.

When they come to show you that they hadn't broken the seal you provide them with the badge.
> put in a bottle, and reselling

Isn't is the actual business they do? What's wrong with it?
1. Build an AI that beats all humans in leetcode

2. Take all high paying jobs

3. Profit
The thing is, that's a capability which is likely to get added into AI harnesses very soon in the future. Look at the difference between Bing Chat and ChatGPT. Now consider when we have not a 32k context length model, but a 1m CL model, or even 1g CL, and that model can search the web for information, act on it, compile and test the code, diagnose the errors by again searching the web for information, etc. ChatGPT is the simplest possible use of the model, with nothing but user input -> model output. The thing is, tests have already been done with having these models act as agents, and they perform exceedingly well when appropriately instructed. It's not about right now. It's about 1 year from now, or maybe even merely 6 months from now.
It's incredible how in those few paragraphs he envisioned so many things that could be enabled by cramming more transistors in, that a half century later are still somewhat novel.
Gordon E. Moore, the Intel Co-Founder Behind Moore’s Law, Dies at 94
Here, enlighten yourself

https://www.pbs.org/newshour/world/what-drives-high-profile-...

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/huawei-helped-create-tech...
> America will rule in favour of private property and against the common good every single time

Thankfully that's the best outcome. Unless you mean you support eminent domain.

I'd pay hell to the country that even plans on using it against me, and I'll follow and protect others who this happens to as well. Anyone who decides they can steal my resources will have to fight for it.

You do not own me.
I liked the quiet day. I guess a lot of people didn't. Still, I would have preferred the question to have been put to a vote.
>the side advantaged by the current system has zero incentive to agree to it

You are absolutely right that the States, particularly the smaller and weaker States, would have zero incentive to agree to surrender their sovereignties in deference to the other States.

The United States of America is a Union of States, and the first step to further democracy in this country is respecting the sacred fact that each State and the people within them each have the right to decide their own path. Violating their sovereignties is destructive for democracy.
Judge has a bad history on the internet.
Chess already has that problem and is still thriving. Something else is going on here.
why isnt that fair though? this is the same for everyone?
I was almost with you, because much as I love the 6502, it is kind of weird by modern "standards". But then: the Apple II? Like, wtf man. C'mon. The Apple II is shit. Is it just because you like that sweet double density disk throughput? Well, fair enough, but then why not go for the BBC Micro. 2 MHz, plus 80 columns. OK, so it only has 32 KB RAM... meanwhile, you are still American.

In summary, please tell us how many shades of mucky greyish brown you get with the Apple II. Because with the C64, you get 13.
>banks to become even riskier with deposits as they get to keep the profits if their risky bets payoff and get bailed out if they fail

This isn't true, is it? While they do get to keep profits, if the bets don't pay off, the bankers - shareholders, bondholders, employees, executives - all get wiped out (as happened with SI, Signature and SVB). The depositors get bailed out.

They get to keep profits if they win, but lose everything if they don't. No moral hazard, right?
Saying that a democratic country shouldn't do something or else you'll invade is about as bad as invading for no reason.
Well, leaving my phone at home is my version of self control... I know myself well. What you're saying reminds me of minimalist phones though. Devices that are not powerful enough to do more than messaging etc. I should get one.
Private investment is the cause of having many things we value in abundance like food.
And how sustainable is making chips bigger or packing transistors more densely without making them smaller as a solution to getting chips with more transistors?
Most are okay, except a few. Taking on investors, with or without equity, is marriage to them nonetheless.

Avoid:

- Thiel and Tiger (Coleman III) - Political meddlers

- Khosla - beach-hoarder and waster of taxpayer dollars

- Social Discovery Group - Russia
It's better to be wrong until you're right than right until you're wrong...because you will get the last laugh.

The fundamental problem is that price controls never work and the interest rate is the price of money. If you understand this, then it's easy to predict the endgame, whether it takes 10 or 20 yrs to fail, you will still be right once you position yourself for the windfall.
The internet seems to think he has a net worth in the ballpark of 70 million dollars — I don't think he does.
Hints of The Nine Billion Names of God for sure.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Nine_Billion_Names_of_God
In related news, all chess and Go competitions have been shutdown permanently.