skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
> Because of rising rates the actual market value of the HTM portfolio was about $76bn at the end of 2022, according to someone who has seen the details of the portfolio and shared them with FTAV — an unrealised loss of $15.1bn.

No need to cite someone, it's literally spelled out in the 10-K. Ctrl-F unrealized losses, see the HTM section. Says 15bn right there. This isn't even hidden.

Not sure if the rest of the article is gonna be worth reading....
>Everywhere I've worked there's been significantly more stuff we wanted to do than we could actually do. Speeding that up looks awesome to me.

Does it? Slowing our breakneck anti-human business pace and stopping mindless and environmentally and culturally harmful consumption and production of trinkets is surely better!
I'd wager all your electronics contain a majority if parts from Asia.
My personal website is for my family only - a simple chronological photo albums grouped by year - have been maintaining and using it for last 20+ years and had given immense amount of joy and conversation starters for my family. It’s a static website built using JAlbum. Nothing interactive more than navigating between photos and albums. Very very satisfied and happy that I did it and plan to continue ahead as long as I keep taking photos of family and family gatherings.
Thank you for making this, I think it's a good primer.
> What has your personal website/blog done for you?

Nothing, but it helped many people to get started with something or fix problems for themselves.
I don't think the idea that "the future can influence the past" is the same thing as saying that entropy decreases or that time can move in the opposite direction. I think these are different concerns
Maybe the part where you seem to think you have some sort of authority to tell people what to do and not do?
You can play games you bought in the Epic store, and are usually launched with the Epic launcher, without having the Epic launcher installed??
I have started using it for a few days. Basically asking to write and modify pieces of code, for now small ones where I can easily spot a bullshit. I am very much looking forward for it to improve to the point where I can spend more time thinking about business domain rather then how to translate it to efficient code.
Interesting to see how much the Chrome market share seems to be driven by education -- it drops noticeably every year between June and August, when students are on summer vacation.
I thought technical literacy was down? People are forgetting what filesystems are, aren't them?.

They might be aware of privacy, and less into buying random crap(Although that might be because they spend their money on the food instead of plastic junk, which harms your body AND your wallet), some reason the tech skills seem to be getting left behind.

The trendy thing now seems to be going back to vintage stuff.

I'm almost a bit jealous, if their lives are so amazing that whatever they're doing somehow seems better than focusing 100% on STEM, which was like, the ultimate life goal for a decade.
Indeed -- or the highly related Cockroff Walton generator: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cockcroft%E2%80%93Walton_gener...
Maybe it's different for you, but LibreOffice was significantly slower that Office. Also, the compatibility is not ideal.
It's widely known that USB3 transfers produce crippling RF noise. Try a USB2 port.
Godot and Blender share the same space I feel in regards to getting a tremendous amount done within such a contested space, all without falling prey to the usual open source traps. Exceptional projects
I think the OP was saying the author of the article should get a raise for NOT putting a click bait title. It’s just a boring truthful title, which is great!
Should also note that this in the US. Worldwide it's still about 72% (but also trending down). I'm going to guess there is something to do with US wallets more easily able to afford Apple products.
> Please don't follow the advice of this column. Be patient. Encourage anyone and everyone to ask questions, even if they're "duplicates" or "easy to answer". Use the Socratic Method (ask questions that lead to more questions). Actually teach people things.

That's the thing though, this is advice for people asking questions, not answering them. If you are advising someone on how to ask questions on the internet, telling them how to avoid being called a "luser" is very good advice!

He actually does give advice for people answering questions at the end, and he definitely encourages them to be more gentle and helpful.
But it is important not to waste the time of people who are providing what is essentially complex technical consulting for free.

BTW, this is also good advice for asking questions in a professional setting. Not being someone who needs to be spoon-fed information is always going to make you more respectable.
The ultimate use of slaves (or servants, or employees) is about having power other other people (them) - this goes beyond production needs...

The average person might not care for this, but the psychopaths who crave (and are in) power do...
It's the pop up ads that irk me the most. Pop-up ads on a Windows PC what in the actual fuck? Great way to make someone truly and deeply hate you brand.
He had a change in PSA levels in his blood - it's a good idea to get your bloods checked annually so you can pick up any changes, as PSA levels vary a lot person to person.

Also gan get "the finger" to see if you have an enlarged prostate.

I think as far as cancers go, prostate is one of the better ones to get, not normally aggressive, you'll probably die before it kills you.

Test often if you have family history.
I've been waiting for this...
Ask HN: What happened to the Gatsby ecosystem in the past 1-2 years?
I heard it was recently acquired by Netlify, but I'm wondering why ratings in recent JS surveys went down so much and so suddenly for GatsbyJS? [https://2022.stateofjs.com/en-US/libraries/rendering-frameworks/]

How does it compare to NextJS's static site export (SSG)? Is Gatsby worth learning these days?
Given me great joy over the past 23.5 years (!). Given me a place to say things that matter to me and maybe nobody else. Oh, and kept my mom and dad up-to-date.
maslow's hierarchy of useful professionals for dealing with life's traumas

therapist
d o c t o r
l a w y e r
s t r i p p e r
Are the requests being only replayed, or is there some amount of mutation going on too, to potentially reach buggy states?

If the latter, I'm wondering how it might compare to tooling with a similar intent, e.g. https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/research/publication/restler...?
Some of them most certainly did make stuff up. Ego prevents many people from admitting that they don't know something.

I also interacted with some who wouldn't even admit to being wrong when they were confronted with facts. So I don't know that I would say they catch on either.
I did, but it is not compatible with the docx format, which is used by many clients I work with. I tried installing Office on a Linux Mint PC with CrossOver, but that was unreliable. My main gripe is that software I paid for was stolen by the company I purchased it from (Microsoft).
The OP was too unsophisticated in their analysis(as is TFA), no doubt. But I'm not too interested in what OP said or who was wrong or not, and rather more interested in finding what's right.

As someone very clever once said, welcome to the end of the thought process.

We've established that:

1. It doesn't repeat entire games when the games go long enough

2. It does repeat a lot of opening theory

3. It seems to repeat common, partially position independent tactical sequences even when they're illegal or don't work tactically.
Please no. I use it every do on mac and I do not want to use such bloatware ever again. We need open standards and much better (simpler, faster, less bloated, yes , less features) implementations for pretty much everything in the Office suite.
How America Manufactures Poverty
Honestly I haven’t turned on my windows desktop pc for over a year now I just don’t need the power. I still use the laptop occasionally for websites with a poor mobile experience but mostly mobile has taken over
I suspect that the lack of comments means that most people agree with the sentiment but put off watching the video for later. If true - it says something about the relative ease of consumption of textual content. I follow a political scientist who says she never views videos (of official statements for example) because the transcripts are so much more efficient, and makes sure to post transcripts of her video appearances.

EDIT: and oh yeah, hate the goddam trucks of course.
Archived: https://archive.ph/Lqgk2
No this is Godot publishing on the store because they recently released self publishing tools on the store. EGS already has non-game apps like Spotify and Opera available so they're really open to whatever that isn't adult rated or abusive.

Godot is also available on Itch and Steam.
I'm not at all surprised. Bacteria can produce quite a variety of compounds, the idea that some gut bacteria could produce harmful compounds seems pretty obvious.
> the hardware is just _that_ good!

lol no

Give me OLED, ECC, a touchscreen then we can start talking about the finer details like a physical shutter for the webcam, or a non-soldered NVMe so the drive can be physically destroyed when the machine is EOLed (or just retained when the machine needs to be shipped for warranty stuff)
It sounds like a flavor of singularitarianism, paired with absurdism/nihilism.
I haven't watched the video yet, but I assume it's going to be about how new, giant trucks are more deadly to pedestrians. I've heard it said, but not been able to verify, that the rise in these giant trucks is caused by the EPA having less-strict MPG requirements for heavier vehicles. Does anyone know more about this?
They're already a suspect.
I have also come to this conclusion. I have had experiences that cannot possibly be explained unless at least some future events already exist.

This also explained the "probabilistic" nature of quantum behaviors; it's only probabilistic to us because we are unaware of the influence of future events. I now believe it's extremely likely that the universe is superdetermined, and I gave up the idea of actual free will long ago.

Highly recommend "Time Loops" by Eric Wargo.
What is the evolutionary basis for us being so biased towards negativity?
Just don't let the Pigeon drive the bus!

https://pigeonpresents.com/books/dont-let-the-pigeon-drive-t...
I think the fact they use opentelemetry figures into this. They’ve already done the hard work of intercepting calls to many libraries.
The issue here is not with online platform services allowing politicians more leeway in terms of what they can get away with on their platform.

The actual issue is Midjourney not allowing regular users generate certain type of material solely because it makes fun of a political figure. What you are talking about is entirely tangential to the issue the grandparent comment is talking about.
From the article: “We need not be debt collectors or private prison wardens to play a role in producing poverty in America,” Desmond goes on. “We need only to vote yes on policies that lead to private opulence and public squalor and, with that opulence, build a life behind a wall that we tend and maintain.”
That's kinda what it looks like we'll be able to make these models do, though. The tech is young still. All those erroneous hallucinations and patent lying (which are admittedly very present in the current crop) may well be managed soon enough - then all it takes is getting it to talk (solved), listen (solved), and provide some kind of direction / steering (not quite solved). With all that, you can have a guidance counselor for everyone.

Caveat, of course, this is an extreme power tool vis a vis human development, and as such, can do just as much harm as good depending on it's use. This is why it's so damn important that we keep this stuff open source - if it's behind walled gardens, you end up with _actual, real shadowy cabals effortlessly manipulating all of everybody_, a thing that you may or may not be convinced exists already but guaranteed under those circumstances.
First, that's presuming it's bad.

Second, the parents are mostly buying the tablets anyway.

Thirdly, about this:

> distracting from a failure to perform basic childcare like keeping children physically safe so they can learn

Pretty much the one kind of safety I can guarantee kids have when using a computer is their physically safety.

And learn what, exactly, given the hypothetical scenario you're replying to here is that the only thing left to learn is being sociable which they can ultimately do best by experiencing whatever medium they will be sociable in as adults, and for all other learning you're just being a nerd like me who learns for the fun of it.
GSOC brings up so many emotions in me. 2 years of rejection at the proposal stage made my heart shrivel and weep as much as any ex-lover. The yearly ritual of going through the orgs and projects felt like ruffling through presents under a Christmas tree. My first acceptance in 2015 gave me joy, fame, glory among peers and immeasurable confidence. If only real world jobs could be as joyful.
Check the caps in the wall wart (or a new wall wart). They went bad in mine and needed replacing.
What hardware functionality do you need that OpenWRT doesn't support?
Ironically, there's been a lot of angst because Microsoft keeps hinting that the future of the Outlook Desktop client is just a React Native version of the web app with just enough backward compatibility guts to support a lot of old extensions so that Big Enterprise customers don't filet them for breaking weird old workflows.

Which is to say that even Microsoft seems to be acting and hinting like the web app is better than Outlook Desktop and Outlook Desktop's days are numbered, it mostly exists as a legacy platform for weird Enterprise things.

A switch now might actually be a leg up to the rumored "One Outlook".
The same percentage is listed in the link above. If you flip to show all OS not just desktop the only ones that have almost certainly grown in absolute users are Android/iOS (absent most of the population leaving the internet in the last 10 years which we know to not be true), the rest depends on actual usage not percentage of visitors.

It's good to keep that last bit in mind when looking at these graphs. It's technically possible for users to have increased usage on a platform AND for more users to have started to use the platform but the platforms usage share goes down. This is because more users are present over time and users can browse on more than one device more than once per day.
Disable S0 idle to get true S3 sleep or at least create a script to disable wifi and wakeup timers before entering sleep cf https://csdvrx.github.io/

My battery drops by more or less 0.5%/h so a 10h sleep = 5% drop.
Newly Constituted Technology Advisory Committee
>What they said 10 years ago was correct. It did hit society like a sledge hammer. Machine learning basically took over the AI space and penetrated the consumer space with applications that were all but impossible in the previous decade. There's AI chips in smart phones now.

And still almost all of these applications are not really impactful or that important compared to actually society and life changing developments like the steam engine, electricity, electromagnetic transmission, cars, computers themselves and the internet.

Just more of the same, with added spice.

In the sense that we could revert to 10 years ago, and nothing would be much different or missed. Whereas going back without electricity or cars would be a totally different thing!

I think LLMs can be far more impactful than anything else hyped in machine learning of the past 10 years...
You're actually the lamination of what you typically consider to be yourself, across all time periods in which you exist: a 4-dimensional spacetime worm.
Once someone hooks it up to a city hall, it will be.
Could you link a source on that second bit? Seems like an interesting story, but searching online just returns articles about the pilot that took out a hind by dropping a bomb on it.
The mind is also highly plastic. Its like clay, the more its worked the more dynamic it can be. If it is never worked then it will be very hard to bring the heat back in to make it dynamic again.

People who rely on ChatGPT or any LLM will be outsourcing their mind in a detrimental way. A calculator allows you to build up to bigger ideas. An LLM in the usecase being described is a replacement for critical thought, not an enhancer of it so the user can think bigger. Laborious tasks can frequently be useful if theyre the right ones.

To fully use an LLM as a copilot (sending texts, writing letters, important emails, generate business ideas) is to outsource your own mind. The territory still left for machine to conquer is our own consciousness that is a product of simultaneous multi-sensory input. We can feel a table, see a plane, smell the air, hear music, experience time. These build into understanding the consequences of our actions in a more complex way than an LLM can understand. An LLM is still simply a 1-1.5D being.
Your writing is awesome! I have followed your blog for a while now and have recommended it to my team.
You have twice removed the substance of an argument and responded to an irrelevant nitpick. Here's what the OP said:

> He literally used the same prompt as the article.
> Claim: "ChatGPT's Chess Elo is 1400"

> Reality: ChatGPT gives illegal moves (this happened to article author too),

> something a 1400 ranked player would never do

> Result: ChatGPT's rank is not 1400.

This is a completely fair argument that makes perfect sense to anyone with knowledge of competitive chess. I have never seen a 1400 make an illegal move. He probably hasn't either. Your point is literally correct in the sense that at some point in history a 1400 rated player has made an illegal move, but it completely misses the point of his argument: ChatGPT makes illegal moves at such an astronomically high rate that it wouldn't even be allowed to even play competitively, hence it cannot be accurately assessed at 1400 rating.

Imagine you made a bot that spewed random letters and said "My bot writes English as well as a native speaker, so long as you remove all of the letters that don't make sense." A native English speaker says, "You can't say the bot speaks English as well as a native speaker, since a native speaker would never write all those random letters." You would be correct in pointing out that sometimes native speakers make mistakes, but you would also be entirely missing the point. That's what's happening here.
These can definitely be fun to go through. Recently there was a code dump to `ld64` that contained references to Apple's upcoming RealityOS. [1]

Kind of surprising that they haven't taken it down. It is pretty cool to see these easter eggs in addition to the massively improved ability to debug things by having an open source toolchain, especially in regards to bringing other toolchains to MacOS (eg mold/LLVM (especially LLD)).

1. https://github.com/apple-oss-distributions/ld64/commit/59a99...
> Do you think this is just how we're wired?

I think the way the news is reported says more about us than it does about the organizations that do the reporting. If we didn't want all the negativity, we would reject it, and they'd stop reporting it. But that doesn't happen. So, essentially, we want all the negativity - yes, it's how we're wired. We just don't want to accept it.
Don't hate SUV's. Don't hate trucks. If you're going to have disdain, have it for the people who drive them as status symbols or as compensation for... things. I own one vehicle, and it is an old SUV. I enjoy it because it's borderline a classic vehicle but it's also extremely economical for my use case. My use case does not factor in MPG. Plus, it's cool.

The only thing a video called "These Stupid Trucks are Literally Killing Us" is going to do is get a bunch of people who dislike SUV's to agree with it. And that's fine. Any argument can be true if you want it bad enough, I guess.
We can't trust the police, politicians, or businesses either, but we're still on their hands...
Mathematics applies insofar as it can model the subject under discussion. It's a great tool for, dare I say, 99.999999...% of practical problems. But mathematics is an imperfect model of objective reality that cannot resolve metaphysical problems like Zeno's paradoxes [0]. Any discussion of retro-causality is inherently one of the philosophy of space and time, which is the domain of metaphysics, not mathematics, so we can't necessarily apply familiar mathematical lemmas to resolve the problems it creates.

[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zeno%27s_paradoxes#In_modern_m...

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Philosophy_of_space_and_time#D...
Why do Go still insists no exceptions?
It's also to do with safety equipment: it's basically the same stuff whether you build a sedan or a truck, so it costs the same to put in. But perceptually the consumer gets "more cat" for their money by buying a bigger vehicle since the safety gear is largely a fixed cost.
They're more deadly to anything that encounters them in an accident that is smaller than them.
Yes, you are are right, they are effectively cheaper to sell due to less stringent emission/efficiency regulations (watched the video)
I hope this is a sign that the peak of the hype cycle is near.
Ah yes, Monads it couldn't teach me well but i got it good enough through this old school post https://fsharpforfunandprofit.com/series/computation-express...
Ah there it is. Raw uncooked humanity.
Maybe you'll eventually care about how others use it when your trustworthy sources are flooded with irrelevant, outdated, and downright false information due to the constant generation of "kind of true" content.
I like to know how much incremental disk space I'm using so I have a series of scripts that tell me the files which have been deleted/added and outputs to get the sum (yes, I know there are better ways). The impetus for checking disk usage is a tale in IT stupidity which I don't talk about! But now I use the script for other purposes as well such as verifying that my mirror has the same deltas without doing a full compare. I hope I haven't disappointed you with my usage :-)

I really should rewrite this but it was written many years ago and grew into something more than I originally intended. Plus, it works.
Get a Horse America’s Skepticism Toward the First Automobiles
>And I disagree with the “within a billion or two,” though do think within a few tens of billions is accurate.

It is clear from the statement that we are almost entirely talking about 30 year MBS purchased in 2021.

3% 30yr MBS were about $105 throughout 2021. These were about $89.2 at the end of 2022 (10-k filing), and about $89.4 today.

You might say, "but they may have put it 30yr MBS!". The thing is, you can validate this by the ammount they lost from 2021 to 2022. It also doesnt make much of a difference if they bought slightly different rate MBS at 2.5% or 3.5%, as they track pretty closely. Lastly, MBS value havent changed much since the time of the 10-k filing.

To get "a few tens of billions" difference, they would have had to tripple their losses on MBS in a time when MBS value has been stable.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MORTGAGE30US

https://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/mbs/umbs/30/30
So I think I understand this argument and it makes sense to me (at the moment). To me the (to paraphrase), "increasing as we move away from the big bang" stuff seems to lead right to the idea that the expansion of the universe is what we perceive as the passing of time, but I never hear any one knowledgeable say that. Is there some obvious reason that it's not that succinct?
That's what the machine does, because that's contained in the input you feed it. You get the choice of doing it explicitly or implicitly. You don't get to opt out.