skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
No they are not "surprisingly accurate". I have actually made more money in direct bets AGAINST climate models. From 1970 to present. Indeed, the challenge I make to climate doomsayers is simple: make one prediction in the 5 year out timeframe and stick to it. I'll simply take the opposite. So far, I have won... every time. Let me have a look at my trading accounts: cenovus up, pembina up, taiwan semi up, everything else down. And that is the current recession. Now, I am worried about china, so I may trade the tsm. The only "surprise" for me is that alcoa is down. I'll ride that one.

The "no oil" people may be right; that would make me a horrible person. But, make the prediction -- I'll "convert" if it comes true. Science for the win.
We should be generating more hate speech, not less. The more hate speech people encounter, the less damaging it will be.
Companies exist to work for shareholders, not give charity to workers. If the shareholders wanted extra revenue to be given to workers companies should do it, but there's no reason to believe that's the case here.
I think Hollywood is doing great. I also think Football players are doing pretty well for themselves. Maybe tech can work like that instead?
You could start anew from an OS like TempleOS with a flat memory space and direct access to hardware. But it will be hard to compare until you have real world scenarios with modern apps on both platforms.
A huge amount of money has been made moving companies to Cloud over the past decade. A huge amount of money is going to be made moving many of those companies back over the coming decade.

That being said I think what we will see is a move from propriety tools and products to essentially cloud VMs. No one really wants to run their own hardware but likewise no one wants to pay for SQS, DynamoDB, SES, API Gateway etc (insert your preferred cloud provider’s proprietary product)
Antisemitic tweets soared on Twitter after Musk took over, study finds
Tesla expands its virtual sales presence with remote test drives
Docker's website has this +WASM thing on their logo which is odd.

https://www.docker.com/

WASM, like Docker, has great potential for isolation, and with it privacy, security, and reliability.

However, what kind of stuff do we want to protect our projects from? One thing I would like to avoid is having to cater to every whim of Docker, Inc.
> Python somehow doesn't seem to have that happen nearly as often, for instance.

It really is not a sarcastic comment, but Python is just not that fast to make GC the performance bottleneck in ordinary usage. It uses ref counting, which trades off performance to a more deterministic deallocation (plus there is also the GIL).
Humans can claim processes as intellectual property though. The question in my mind is: if I develop AI that to perform some specific task (like image generation), does that constitute a specific patentable process? And thus, if you use that process without compensation, are you stealing my intellectual property?
What kind of hate speech could you possibly generate with ChatGPT that doesn't already exist in the wild, free to copy and spread?
I don't know about built-in, but such features were possible and offered in third-party apps since... the Windows Mobile (5!) / HTC Wizard days, probably before those.

Being an early adopter of e.g. Gizmo5[0], and messaging using internet connectivity (oh man, GTalk...), rather than carriers' extortionist pay-per-message schemes[1] (before they finally relented and included SMS 'for free' in most plans) many of us abandoned SMS back in the early 2000s.

However for that story, abandoning SMS outright would not have made for a feel-good outcome!

[0] https://www.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gizmo5

[1] https://web.archive.org/web/20070314004039/http://gigaom.com...
Bash is very widely available. If you use bashisms like arrays, just use bash as the first line.
And quieter and better for small shops.
Well I’m not taking it too seriously myself, but I gotta say, it’s been extremely fun. I see it mostly as a technique for learning the real limits of ChatGPT, not in answering prompts accurately so much as interfacing with the real world.

Yeah and super curious how the various efforts will go-are some people way better at prompt-writing and also raw skills and they will pull ahead and build something useful? Or is it so good that nearly anyone can follow its directions and make a functioning small business? Will be interesting to find out.
MBS having too many defaults was the problem in 2008, which I think is making people turn their attention to this issue. However, we are in a different situation today. IMO the tradable securities that SVB held are probably the least of their problems. The MBS certainly has the problem of being worth less due to higher interest rates.

The MBS at least though is tradable and has a market price. Their own book of loans though is much larger and is subject to the same interest rate problems as their MBS and treasuries, and in addition to having lost value due to interest rate issues, it may now have default issues as well. Not a good combination.
By 2055, Japan's population is projected to fall to 90 million, with (medium fertility/medium mortality):

8 million being children aged 0-14

46 million being "working aged" 15-64

36 million being 65 or older

Population Projections for Japan: 2006-2055 Outline of Results, Methods, and Assumptions (PDF) https://www.ipss.go.jp/webj-ad/WebJournal.files/population/2...

Let's ignore the assertion that 15 and 16 year olds are "working aged" no matter how you allocate resources 46 million workers cannot support 36 million retirees.

Today there are around 3 million healthcare workers in Japan out of a working aged population of 80 million. In 30 years the number of retirees will be the same but the working aged population will roughly halve. This is just people working in hospitals, in-home care specialists are not counted. Nor are bureaucrats, only workers in 24 categories of direct-support healthcare fields are counted.

Human Resources for Health Country Profiles: Japan (PDF) https://apps.who.int/iris/rest/bitstreams/1147882/retrieve

There are already critical shortages of healthcare workers and in 30 years the demand will be the just about the same (most healthcare resources are consumed by the elderly) but the labor pool will be smaller.

If there were 0 bureaucrats there still wouldn't be enough people.

Many European nations face the same demographic challenges that Japan does, to a very slightly less severe degree.

Robots are one solution.
Who Does Layoffs Better: AI or Amazon's CEO?
What's easier - managing cloud costs or managing a datacenter or co-located physical hardware and setting up and maintaining all the functionality you need to do proper CI / deployments / monitor uptime / data analytics?
I think they did it to quickly filter their customer base. Get rid of the ones that will objectively never pay.

The ones who will stay, are the ones who will be willing to pay.

Now there is a slight risk, that no one stays, but hey, ceos need to ceo.
I see it from the other side. LLMs are so commoditized that it’s super easy to add GPT to anything you can think of.
Did the shareholders really suffer in 2008? Honest question, no snark. Sure, the SVB shareholders will suffer but this is different from the 2008 bailouts.
> limiting yourself to a single metaverse is antithetical to the very concept.

I want to also dispute this point. The idea of the metaverse from Snow Crash was one that was federated and interoperable, like the internet was historically, and still remains, at a low level. The standardized nature of the metaverse's spacial analogy was key to the concept. It was the internet, but represented and navigable as physical space. I'd say it's "independent metaverses" that are antithetical to the concept of a metaverse.
It stands for "Environmental, Social and Governance" - basically, a for-profit entity incorporating these factors into business decisions. The argument is that since companies exist in societies and have externalities beyond financials, they should take a stand on various non-business topics (e.g. a factory sponsoring environmental cleanup near their factory which they aren't technically liable for)

This is controversial as it cuts to the core of what a company should optimize for, as some argue businesses should leave regulation / societal issues to governments.
How to meet the climate crisis? Redefine ‘abundance.’
The Netherlands at least has functional health service, among other things. Ireland does not.
Not a lot. To a large extent, they are different names for the same concept. But since they are the names used for that concept by specific implementations, they also imply the particularities of those implementations.

The old Java green threads could only use a single core, the new Java virtual threads can use multiple cores. AFAIK, Java green and virtual threads are both cooperatively scheduled, Goroutines are, nowadays, preemptively scheduled. And so on and so forth.
"C++ is to C what lung cancer is to lung".

UNIX haters handboook.
When I'm working on/writing complex bash scripts, it's because the scripts have to run on a variety of different customer machines where Python is not consistently available (let alone being able to count on a particular version) and, if it's not there, cannot be installed.

The main advantage of bash is that it exists on just about every unix machine.
Peoples quality of life globally has been consistently improving due to the "green revolution" transpiring during the 1960's, a revolution that's imperiled by GCC.
Yes, the solution for a distressed bad medium-sized bank is for a larger good bank to buy them before they unwind chaotically have bring down other banks / the economy. That’s been the correct/reasonable approach for centuries.

No one is really getting bailed out here: CS shareholders will lose ~80% vs what they were worth a couple weeks ago, the AT1 shareholders got wiped out, and if you look at UBS’s share price, it’s not like people think they got an extraordinary gift from the regulators. UBS management at will have to suffer an enormous headache to integrate the operations.
No, but someone flagged me and there's that...
> everyone except the taxpayer and a few unlucky scapegoats

Something I did not realize until recently, which I think is very important here, is that the FDIC is not funded by taxpayers. It is funded by fees levied against the banks themselves.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Federal_Deposit_Insurance_Corp...
Agreed, the hardest problems are indeed cache invalidation and cache invalidation.
The point I was making is similar to "the purpose of a system is what it does."

Regardless of or alongside what we say the police do, or what they claim to do, they also beat the shit out of people a lot. We don't prevent them from doing this, or usually impose consequences for them doing it, we don't even seem to generally mind that they do it. We continue to pay them.

So, the job of the police is what they do, and a significant portion of what they do is beating the shit out of people. That makes it their job in a limited but still useful and very real way.
The API is up. Feel free to use https://bearly.ai in in interim! Let me know if you need help :)
Could it be that MailChimp consider this move (copying their HTML template used with your e-mail content) to be copyright infringement ?
I agree. I simplify it as boilerplate coding versus maintenance coding.

I worked at a job where I built out UI templates for a larger system. I could see that job reducing to perhaps more of an QA or automation engineer to manage the pipeline. Too bad, though, as that job was menial but gave me the longer term skills of muscle memory to write out HTML code.
Given how many devs were needlessly getting sent at the shops I worked (think 20% of dev team), yes...
I don't understand why those strange people at hackernews downvoted you. I guess using ChatGPT makes them scared.
https://www.dailymotion.com/video/x39u6p1
This seems overly cynical. It makes a lot of sense to wait until teams have completed their planning. It allows the executives to sift through the proposed projects and decide specifically which ones to cut.

Also, it is pretty easy to confirm with anybody who works at AWS that OP2 planning process did in fact complete recently
I’m sorry, it appears ignoring problems specific to some flyover states in my follow up comment was a bit too subtle.
Sure but building and maintaining those types of tolls internally probably costs more than paying those companies to provide it for you. Paying for a host of proprietary cloud products from AWS of the like vs cloud VMs isn’t the same comparison.
Unrelated to anything, but we might as well get something useful out of this thread - for all the SpaceX-ers, is Mars actually a thing or just an abstract concept that no one is really working on?
You have a camp that keeps saying it will replace jobs (me, and it already does) and another that says it does not. If you want a good future, you don't care about either camps and use this as another tool. I don't like frontend, but now I don't need to ask someone else (and in that way it is replacing people we now mostly no longer need); I can just do it myself with chatgpt. Don't get me wrong, I know how to use html, css, react, vue etc but I hate doing it and find it all pretty much a waste of time; now chatgpt does it so I can do something else. I would say most people can do it with the stuff they don't want to do. Who cares if it's frontend, backend or whatever. Use it as a tool to gain an advantage; you will be ahead in many possible futures.
I'm curious why you're using your key? I want to try this out on my work codebase, but for security reasons it would be better to use my own key, since I don't know if OpenAI might decide to share API search history with whoever owns the key.
I've had very similar thoughts about pessimism. I certainly am one.

The fact that I don't expect a very good outcome doesn't mean I shouldn't try, because what the hell else can I do? At worst, I get useful information out of my (likely) failures.

Also, thinking and preparing for the worst doesn't need to be a gloomy thing. It can even be empowering. When I've thought of all the possible crappy outcomes that might happen, I can be confident that whatever happens, I'll survive. I wish more people were like me; I'm confident that lots of disasters in the world could be avoided if people just took their heads out from the sand and embraced all the horrible possibilities that exist.
Assuming that it doesn't go bankrupt or get fire-sold - both of which are very possible outcomes at this point.

#1 on Peter Lynch's list of mistakes an invester can make : "It can't go any lower." Any stock - including stocks of high-flying blue-chips - can go to zero.

https://www.flowbank.com/en/research/10-sayings-that-will-pu...
Weird. Being stuck for days with a bug is not that bad:

- you learn a lot of stuff otherwise you wouldn’t have learned

- you have material to talk about in your daily standups

- your colleagues recognize your effort and once you fix it you get their admiration

Using GPT to fix the bug for me would only mean: ok bug is fixed… now I’m gonna pick up the next Jira ticket. So boring.
Well, sure Scala is a more "language research-y" PL compared to Java, but I do think that with the recent revamp of Scala 3 they did a very good job. Also, that overly zealous FP trend seems to have died down a bit, and a pragmatic FP approach is probably the most idiomatic (e.g. local mutability, but mostly immutable public APIs), which is probably the best of both worlds.

I also firmly believe that Scala has hands-down the very best collections API out of any single language I have used, so there is that.
I guess Cypto isn't working out atm?
yep, finally all those powerful Linux tools with all their powerful arguments (which no one ever finds in the man pages) become immediately accessible
>cyclists (as motorcyclists) need to change (at each side) and shower etc;

Excuse me? I have literally never done that in my life. I just bike in my normal clothes. It's light exercise, you don't have to shower afterwards.
Show HN: Find words “halfway” between two others
NYC has enough delivery riders that storage and fire risk from overnight charging is significant. I'm sure the same risks apply everywhere but sheer numbers in NYC make it a headline issue. I rode blue bikes while visiting, and I had different observations riding and walking: While walking it seemed like delivery riders where everywhere. While riding, I noticed a lot more leisure and commuting riders, probably because I was riding where they ride, not to some random delivery location.
Ok, i guess in the author’s defence, he is not really hiding it “ Matt Asay runs partner marketing at MongoDB.”
I look at it much in the same way that OSF is open. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Open_Software_Foundation

Trying to legislate what certain words mean and no one can use a particular word as part of their company name unless it checks certain boxes gets into the "you're trying to regulate that?"
With the lever of chatgpt they can spew more hate more quickly. Like write 100k personalised emails advocating whatever per day quickly.

We're all getting ChatGPT approaches from people on Linkedin....

I have a can of gas in the shed, I can burn down a house. No one questions that. If I had a B52 full of incendiary bombs I expect that everyone would be deeply concerned. Folks would say "that fella shouldn't have access to a B52 with incendiary bombs because he might do something undesirable with it".
Though the fact that this ia a CoCo is a red herring. I don't think it was singled out for bailin because it had a CoCo trigger (what Levin goes through at length), I believe it was bailed in because it was the most junior, non-common equity, instrument on the balance sheet (i.e. rank=junior subordinated).

If the swiss authorities needed to do a bigger bailin to generate more equity, they could have also written off the next instruments in the investor hiearchy which are the T2 instruments (i.e. rank=subordinated). And if they needed even more they could have gone after the bailin bonds (i.e. rank=senior unsecured - in theory pari-passu to uninsured deposits but issued out of a different legal entity so they can be singled-out). None of which have CoCo triggers.

The Fed could do the same with preference shares (rank=junior subordinated) issued by US banks that have no CoCo feature (US doesn't care about Basel regulations).
I found this BBC podcast[0] quite insightful about optimism vs pessimism. One interesting thing is that there are far more optimists than pessimists in the population. If I recall it’s a 9:1 ratio.

[0] https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/w3ct1prd
Gambles with customer funds -> looses -> passes losses to be bailed out through opaque means. This is really not that different than FTX, except it was legal. The current argument is they were incompetent and fell into some bad bets, this is the same argument Sam Bankman Fried tried to argue. Its all a facade
AI makes plagiarism harder to detect argue academics–in paper written by chatbot
Robust software solution that simplifies and automates your photo editing workflows
I'm simply looking for a root cause. What I'm saying is that one bank failure is their fault, but 3 bank failures within a week probably has some other root cause. In this case, that root cause is probably the one big fundamental change in the macroeconomic environment over the last year.

By the way, I don't envy the Fed's position, but they did put themselves there with 10 years of free money that they abruptly ended.
This is interesting as for a hackathon i was thinking of ways to identify this behavior too.

The source map requests was a more successful option. Also played around with "snap" resize but it was too agressive.

As for whatever the reason MailChimp would block your up is pretty ridiculous.
Well I can't disagree more. I feel like that's the best value I get for $20 among everything I pay, by at least 3 orders of magnitude. This thing does so much for me, I can't live without it anymore. When it is down I just log in on playground and pay for the API. It got to this point...
Excellent, now I don't have to make similar comments.
I disagree. I think my original post is perfect irony.

Effect X being caused by Y and solved by Z AND X being caused by Z and solved by Y is irony.

Dictionary definition: “ a state of affairs or an event that seems deliberately contrary to what one expects”
Why would you be confused about this? Temperature of a function of energy. We're talking about a global average temperature. Energy is being captured and retained. That raises the global average temperature. The specifics don't matter.
Predicting the weather on the other hand is very complicated because you're asking what specifically will happen in a specific place. The variables going into that are many and even if measured extremely accurately, it's not good enough because weather is chaotic.
An elderly lady just died in the neighborhood at the age of 67 from something diabetes related. It shocked me to see me how well dressed and with which expensive car their kids arrived to clear the rented place. The lady could barely walk, but was living in the 1st floor. She wasn’t able to reach ground floor alone in most days.

What I want to say is I am still shocked from the heartless western society where it is the norm to put one’s parents into ugly understaffed, but very expensive care facility waiting them to die. Even a modern one with a crate on wheels with a display in it.
Also dot-bomb was really nuclear winter for jobs in the tech industry. I was lucky enough to slide into a new job with someone I knew after I was laid off. I didn't have so much as a nibble anywhere else. The new company barely made it through but it did. The pay wasn't great but I mostly enjoyed it, I learned a lot, and it directly led to knowing the person who brought me into my current role.

So far this is nothing like that from what I can tell. People are taking longer to land positions and at least some of the highest compensation will be very hard to come by, but there seem to be lots of positions. They may just be in insurance companies rather than prestigious tech companies.
I think ChatGPT is just the web ui. So you are using ChatGPT no matter what model it is using.

Note that the API docs refer to the chat api as the "OpenAI Chat API" and not the "ChatGPT API".
I watched his chat with SETI in full and it was unprofessional to say the least. I stand by that. Here's an article talking about it:

https://www.forbes.com/sites/startswithabang/2021/02/16/watc...

As to the part on the papers, I was open that it was just hearsay and asked for someone with better background to weigh in. Here's a physicist going into some depth on what I referred to:

https://youtu.be/aY985qzn7oI
I actually don't expect the candidate to know any particular algorithm or design. Instead, I'd ask the candidate to dive deep into their most familiar project or design something that's closely related to what they have done. During the discussion, I'd ask the candidate to explain the algorithm(s) they used or the algorithm they propose.
We had a 20% pay cut for covid in 2020, but they also cut hours 20%.

It was actually pretty nice.
Linux gaming has been developing in the opposite direction for a while, moving away from even x86 Linux native ports and toward running x86 Windows games under emulation.
It's funny to see how half of HN frontpage in the past weeks has been Show HN thin wrappers around an API call to ChatGPT disguised as full startups.

All while HN posters were warning us about a flood of low quality AI generated content, well, here it is in one of its forms.
This uses GPT-3 to find a word "halfway" between two others and it's built with Elixir, Phoenix, and Ash (https://ash-hq.org/) and is deployed on Fly.io.

Some fun ones:

- imagination and vacation -> fantasize

- enthusiasm and zeal -> fervor

- angry and hungry -> famished

- spoon and fork -> spork