skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
How many presidents have held onto power in the US history?

Monarchies have a history of getting taken down (in terms of power). They held an absolute power and a tight grip.

You could see money as a proxy for power, but that's only true as long as it's scarce and you can buy real power with it.

I've been a follower of your thinking patterns regarding 2) for a long time.

Life will be easier, no questions. But that's different question from the mental health one. Feeling useless is a pretty shitty feeling and a primer for depression.
As of late, there's been a question I've grappled with more than I expected. Parents of small kids knowing about me doing a Master's degree and working in different countries as of late asked me for an opinion: "What would you recommend our children to do professionally or what careers should they follow?"

Pace of change is so rapid that I was simply shocked that nothing came to my mind other than the standard answers like doctors, police, or "skilled trades". Will they become trendy and prestigious again just like they once were (construction, welders, etc.)?

Finance? Will be disrupted. Engineering? Probably will be disrupted but a tad later. Middle management positions will be cut. Everything will be "disrupted" to some degree, but any professions where people spend their day sitting in front of a screen are the first ones to go. It's quite a monumental shift happening, and I'm even asking myself whether human judgment as the quintessential pillar of value will remain truly valuable any longer in the future? The final decisions surely are authorized by humans and their emotional component, but will it be of value in as much as it is touted to never be taken over by machines?

We as humans just live our lives while assuming risks and trying to provide value.

Anyhow, if you're not applying different forms of leverage (media, capital or human labor) in your endeavours, you'll never be "safe" and "well-off" in the long-term. These things are inevitably coming for us as we know it. Thought of positively however, these models and future ML tech are just a yet another huge lever for us to apply towards a variety of problems while being useful to one another...

P.S. We were recently visting a doctor who graduated recently and saw him using Google when looking through different symptoms of my partner. Maybe that's not such a "saint" profession to be safe from impeding automation either? Who knows...
Following up on this, I realized I may have been harsh on the Apple phone supporters (I've been owning macbookpros since they first put a BSD flavor on these devices, so I am not an Apple "hater"), but - for me - having not paid for an app in ages (lots of iOS apps cost, when on Android are free), getting country local stores (for discounts), transportation, info/access and social contact media apps, throughout the world, via third party store (Apple won't allow my wife's phone to do such, as it is "stuck" on the US locale), network and security specialized apps allowing installs via apk files (not avail in Google or Apple stores), etc., etc. are now critical facilities for me.

To each his own, I guess ...
I've got a pair of kai toenail clippers, been using them about half a year. I like them.
Continuing this charade of "the government and banks are competent at monetary control" is more stupid. Inflation is theft.
"good luck paying your mortgage until this gets figured out"
And yet you would discover that most people couldn't assemble the necessary funds at once, certainly not near the beginning of their careers.
Groupchats likely caused the failure of SVB. Allowed for a lightning run.
The explanation is a little more complicated and varies by sector but is far from unsubstantiated.
I once had a bad infected ingrown nail from using clippers, doc told me use scissors, and I haven't looked back since. No infections, no clippings flying all over, and less of a need to file because you do the whole nail, along its natural curve, in one continuous cut.
I absolutely love this kind of data! Helps me understand what a "big city" would look like (population-wise) in various periods of history.
> fewer consumers of your products who are also earning less

This is a consequence of potentially collective, uncoordinated action. It's possible that every individual company says "it makes no sense to be paying this much for labor, i'm getting cheap AI/robots" and fires a ton of people everyone else be damned, and then runs into lower demand later because everyone else is doing it. So everyone acts in their immediate interest to be collectively worse off, not unlike... a bank run!
Well, they didn't, so this thread just ended up polluting the comment section with the very noise it sought to lament. HN comments in my experience are far more reasonable than you're describing, and the entitled "free stuff" attitude only comes up in response to things like big corporations yanking support for a project (see: Docker). Everyone loves curl and nobody is complaining about the amazing software built and maintained primarily by a single developer.
I was curious about modern best practices. Here's what I've learned.

* In rare circumstances, you can bury the whale on site.

* Towing the whale corpse out to sea can be a hazard for boats.

* Selling marine animal remains is often illegal. If it's brought to a composting facility, it can be a legal liability for that company to sell their compost.

* The best option may be to either tow it to a better spot to rot, or to dump it in a landfill.

https://www.livescience.com/63634-how-to-dispose-dead-whale....
Yes, I think that we really don't have a good way of benchmarking these systems.

For example, GPT-3.5-turbo apparently beats davinci on every benchmark that OpenAI has, yet anecdotally most people who try to use them both end up strongly preferring davinci despite the much higher cost.

Presumably, this is what OpenAI is trying resolve with their 'Evals' project, but based on what I have seen so far it won't help much.
Assuming point 1 is achieved and we don't decend into mass unemployment and civil unrest.

Speaking to point 2, I think it's likely that with a large number of people no longer feeling work stressors, we will gravitate towards meatspace small communities not substantially different from tribal communities or villages.

Those models of living were both very successful during periods of human existence when there were fewer hours devoted to labor.

The outputs from those communities will mostly just be self existence and social cohesion.

There will probably be a renewed interest in philosophy, theology, math, chess or other stimulating intellectual pursuits that have no direct economic stimulation. I think it will actually be a fantastic time to be an academic.

Many humans are very good at avoiding boredom through intellectual or artistic pursuit and for the rest there is neighborhood gossip and/or skydiving.
I do understand the sentiment. I think it might be better if it was framed more as a touch-up service, like this: take a headshot of your own, against a neutral background. We will touch it up so that the lighting looks good, the background is good, etc. But it's just a touch up -- we won't fundamentally alter the shot.
Yes, "The Cuckoo's Egg", also left a big impression on me, for my 20ish year old self. It was one of the books that lead me to get a Ph.D. and pursue math and computer science. Thanks!
I mean, come on, you are in the tech hub of India and very likely most of the shops you go to are located in richer areas or areas with a higher number of tech people. I don't know about how popular UPI is in India but your anecdote doesn't really say how it is like in the rest of India.
That’s what nice manicure sets have in them too. That said I still start with decent clippers then switch.

https://www.amazon.com/Wusthof-Stainless-Steel-Piece-Manicur...
For most things, verification is far easier than getting the answer. The same is the case with using stack overflow, where I think that at least half the answer doesn't answer my query, but once I have the potential solution, it is easy to look for the documentation of the key function call etc. Or purely by running it if it is simple and doesn't seem dangerous.
The vast majority of the jobs are at the small end of the scale. Also, companies tend to just use best practices that were established for larger scale operations.

For instance, in its heyday, the vast majority of Hadoop installations had under ten machines. I suspect the same is true of spark and kubernetes.
I've never understood how can people trim their nails with nail clipper compared to manicure scissors, I use one with fairly narrow and sharp tip so I can precisely follow curvature of fingernail which is especially handy for ring where I have almost 90 degree angles between top part and sides. Can you really trim already fairly short nails with clippers especially if they are curved a lot? I can see how they can work for fairly straight and long nails, but the whole mechanism seems too big to come really close to skin.
TLDR: @OP - To me, any logical code that blocks users from doing something and impacts users needs an error message on what happened, why it’s blocked, and how to fix it. If user is engaging in common way of using system you have decided to no longer support and users are already using system in this way, you need to communicate this to the users.

______

As it relates to Doublespeak.chat launch, would it be possible to address the lesson learned related to more operational aspects. I for one lost any interest in engaging you further after you ban accounts for doing something you had not explicitly stated was not allowed without warning or means to adapt to the change; while there was specific event, would not surprise me if in general your approach was to unilaterally make changes that impacted users without any communication prior to or after the changes.

As is, aware of at least two modifications unrelated to the game itself, but related to the system running it, that are not mentioned in the change logs:

https://doublespeak.chat/#/changelog

And twice I have experienced the system generate fail to display an error in a specific context when there’s clearly logic under the hood blocking users path.
From what i've gathered, fine tuning should be used to train the model on a task, such as: "the user asks a question, please provide an answer or follow up with more questions for the user if there are unfamiliar concepts."

Fine tuning should not be used to attempt to impart knowledge that didn't exist in the original training set, as it is just the wrong tool for the job.

Knowledge graphs and vector similarity search seem like the way forward for building a corpus of information that we can search and include within the context window for the specific question a user is asking without changing the model at all. It can also allow keeping only relevant information within the context window when the user wants to change the immediate task/goal.

Edit: You could think of it a little bit like the LLM as an analog to the CPU in a Von Neumann architecture and the external knowledge graph or vector database as RAM/Disk. You don't expect the CPU to be able to hold all the context necessary to complete every task your computer does; it just needs enough to store the complete context of the task it is working on right now.
It's in place for years already :)
This is behind a paywall, can you update the link or provide the text of the article?
Can Tech Recover from Silicon Valley Bank’s Black Eye on Tech’s Reputation?
These remind me of finance people talking about tech. They use the right words but in semantically meaningless sentences.
https://archive.is/cd9v1
"incentives matter" - you're missing Econ 101
This worries me, but I also feel that I don’t have the personal knowledge to really understand how big of a threat this is.

I feel more confident in my belief that Wall Street (as opposed to good banks, like local credit unions who stimulate local economies) are corrupt, and the individuals involved care 100% about their own power and status, and close to 0% about the working public.

I expect that Wall Street banks would love to discredit the safety of local banks, but for my money I choose to do business with a few local credit unions whose board of directors are local and relatively transparent.

The other elephant in the room is the astronomical amount of money in derivatives, and their lack of transparency.
- When the dishwasher was introduced, research showed that "80% of people" would be impacted.

- When email was introduced, research showed that "80% of workers" would be impacted.

- When Gmail introduced predictive sentence completion, "80% of people" were impacted.

So please don't get concerned this will result in job loss.
To end users - sure. To developers and geeks, certainly not. Where would be the fun otherwise.
Sure – but how does this specificially concern GPT like systems? Why not test them for concrete qualifications in the way we test humans, using the tests we already designed to test concrete qualifications in humans?
We can cooperate. In InterSub users can learn words, in Govar they can practice.
During the height of the pandemic, my girlfriend and I bought clippers, nail nippers and cuticle nippers from Suwada. These are self-described as "luxury nail care", with prices to match. They are definitely the nicest nail tools I've ever owned.

https://suwadalondon.co.uk/collections/london-nail-nippers
I am an American living in Spain, running an American company, paying US taxes. I am neither a Spanish citizen nor a permanent resident. Google decided that my accounts are Spanish and switched them. "Bard is not available in your country". My country is the USA. I wonder what's next, my American Google voice and Google Fi phone numbers so i lose US banking access? Be very scared of this Orwellian company.
As the Fed has stopped purchasing MBS and mortgage rates jumped to 7-8%, people are in denial and prices have been stubbornly high.

Everyone I speak with seems to think this is "temporary", however, the current rates are much closer to reality and may be here for longer.
I wonder if this is what the whaling in Avatar 2 was based on??
This is generally a trend with all the solopreneur internet careers, but it’s not a good path for everyone and many other types of small businesses are on the decline so it’s hard to say.
"In reality the license just puts extra restrictions on distribution of the software and how derivative works can be licensed."

Actually, copyright is now implicit. There is NO right to distribute software and NO right to create derivative works. Copyright gives those rights exclusively to the copyright holder.

The GPL makes it legally possible to distribute and create derivative works. Without that license, you have no such right, and can be sued (for damages) by the copyright holder. Proving damages can be difficult.

In any case, the license is the only thing that allows that behavior. Without it, there is no right to do it, and thus restrictions are moot.
I'd be surprised if OpenAI research concluded anything else than that OpenAI products will change the very fabric of society, as such a notion would negatively impact their investor relations.

I'm kinda amazed how the tech crowd, usually marked by critical thinking and skepticism toward incredible claims, seems to guzzle OpenAI's marketing kool-aid completely unquestioned.
we already know First Republic isn't going the way of SVB, despite the blog posts and upvoted HN comments to the contrary

FRC was listing at a P/E of under 2 yesterday...either its collapse is imminent or this is one of the strongest fundamental buy signals I have seen in twenty five years of investing

icing on the cake is all of the Robin Hood kids who are just stumbling upon the blogosphere of bearish Fed critics, thinking they are the first to discover that fiat currencies are basically a faith proposition...and then coming to some conclusion that FRC is a great short

folks I too was hoodwinked by the Fed critics on sites like safehaven.com twenty years ago, none of the "sound money" blog fodder is new

will FRC ever regain its top of 174? who cares, anyone entering in now will be printing money if it only ever retraces 50%

if enough Robin Hood kids shorted this, it could easily hit $200 on fake short-covering energy alone
That brings back a childhood memory of using my mom's good sewing/fabric scissors to cut my nails because I couldn't find the nail clippers.

Sorry mom but scissors are so much better than nail clippers
Overview of Advancements in Graph Neural Networks
I think you are disregarding hundreds of years of progress in pretty much any area.

It was usual to kill natives to take their land.

It was usual to own slaves.

Worker rights have not existed in any form until somewhat recently.

Schools are available.

Violence has declined constantly.

We take the environmental protection much more serious now than 50 years ago (you could argue it's not enough, I'm talking about progress)
Legislation or GTFO. How many times do We (the idiot masses) have to drink the Kool-Aid?

Pass a law or shut up. Rules are (evidently) for suckers.
I have a sort of love hate relationhip with this stuff. On the one hand, yes tracking me is bad if I am not aware, but on the other hand I work for a company that uses it's expert knowledge to help consumers purchase the right tools for them. Ideally we would like the end product to reward us for putting them in touch with the right customer that we've used our name to help land. Much like a hairdresser would recommend a certain brand of hairspray, or a mechanic who carries their preferred oil - there is always a need for a middleman 'tell Bob I sent ya!'. Obviously this an exception to a large majority of what tracking is currently in place for, but until we drop the whole 'tracking is bad we should just shut it all down', and start to think of a fair and reasonable way for users to say 'I am ok with company B knowing that I have a relationship with company A' then these increasingly nerfarious tracking efforts will happen.
Altman warns: Other devs working on ChatGPT-like tools won’t put safety limits
It is possible to both understand why businesses operate the way they do and to sympathize with people who have lost their jobs as a result of how businesses operate.

If you really hate how businesses operate you have a couple of options. You can go work for a non-profit, a public university, or somewhere similar. They generally are lower stress, higher retention, but significantly less pay. That's the tradeoff.

You can unionize to get some worker protections, but of course this is Hacker News where no one wants to unionize because they think it's beneath them; nevermind that even film actors who make orders of magnitude more money have even unionized.
If you don't trust your government, how is it different than being arrested at the flip of the switch?
it means that the writers recognize the topic but have not penetrated into the actual practice as it relates to economics. An analogy would be to say "English spellers are affected" because of spell checking software. I agree that including that raises more questions than it answers.
“Bard isn’t currently supported in your country”

The waiting list to the waiting list to the waiting list…
I will admit that it always made me confused as to why browser has access to detailed hardware information. I can understand OS. I can understand resolution. I can rationalize GPU. I don't understand though why it should be able to access .. well, everything about the machine.

edit: It is still impressive. Even with the firefox settings on, the website was able to identify me. I am not entirely certain how I want to approach this.
> A datacenter is not just servers.

If you buy colocation, it is tho.
Asking the wider audience here, I have uBlock origin installed on my Chrome browser, while I surf mostly on the incognito mode. I know this is no where close to an optimum setup, hence asking. What setup do you folks use to prevent the best you could from being tracked?
Who is going to spend $1B+ on training and release an open model? That’s where we’re headed, with estimates of $250M for training GPT-4’s successor.
I own and use one of those nail clippers and I would say it is worth the money. The ergonomics are really exceptional, all those rounded areas have a purpose + it is fairly heavy, which combined give you great control while clipping.
Then it is just as sharp as on the first day (using it for more than 6 yeas), which sets it apart to my previous clippers which got blunt after a year or two.
The blade also seems to have just the right curvature so that you reach a really nice round shape with 3-5 clips.
Last I love that it looks a little like a Shinkansen.
> Yes and no. It is or can be mean-reverting in the short term but not in the long-term else we have a deflationary economy which would be a disaster and we'd do anything to prevent it.

This doesn't make sense.

If affordability is always trending lower it means that housing is always getting more expensive in real terms. We know this isn't true.

> I think you're starting from a conclusion and working your way backward. It's no different than "the market will crash again at some point we just don't know why". You need to identify the trigger and then draw the conclusion. Not the other way around.

Interestingly, we can do that with many mean-reverting processes. Many, many people called the housing crisis on 2008 based solely on extreme valuations. Same with the market correction of the past year. Same with crypto correction.

You can count on extreme valuations eventually mean-reverting.
There would also be very few houses. Or do you think economies of building become infinitely cheaper when all demand is removed?
Nor can they save for the downpayments, which are not far from where the prices used to be before the explosion that I attribute to cheap loans.
Constrained supply and DINKY households are the two big factors that have driven up house prices in recent decades. Not mortgages in general.
Central banks make interest rates artificially low which makes asset prices (houses) artificially high.

The mortgage industry isn't really to blame for high prices.
The stimulus packages provided for far more than just bank lending. Read some of the bills, there were a lot of projects and spending programs.

Regardless, even it if had only been for banks. Anyone was able to borrow nearly interest free money to turn around and spend.

This means anyone (that was wealthy enough) could take their $100k and borrow an additional $X00k they used to purchase assets. When half the purchasing power of the country does that you suddenly have 2x inflation as there are 2x more purchasers (or 2x more money).
Overall very underwhelming... not even really a compelling landing page. Can't write code, can't understand any language besides english. If this is really the best they've got after months of 'code red' to catch up, they really seem to be in trouble.
Anyone know what is the origin of the name Bard?

Every time I see it I think "barf"
I'm not sure this actually follows.
Bitcoin regularly dives by orders of magnitude worse than the 2008 financial crisis.

Angsty posting like this probably sounded really cool to people in high school, but I'm not sure why we should be impressed with your fact-free faux-radical grifterism.
Same here. I wonder if using a VPN would risk me to get my Google account blocked...
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bard