skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
I can relate to a lot of what you're saying, but I would hold my horses on that:

> we have tools like GPT potentially disrupting our careers on a timescale best viewed on the scale of months.

I am of a realistic nature that in today's craze over anything people tend to call pessimistic. However, some of the code generation examples we've seen are truly astonishing, but a far cry from replacing anyone in the real world. Best case scenarios it would save you minutes.

> We've had a massive influx of new tech talent over the last few years

You're being very generous with the word "talent" there. Things have been a bit crazy and all, but from anecdotal evidence the large influx of new developers has done what large influx always do and lowered the bar.

I've literally been asked in two different companies who boast about their standards being high to "leave aside my ideals" and have "realistic expectations", while the only thing changing in the set {expectations, hiring goals} being the latter. "we need to hire very good people very fast" while not changing anything about the process and sourcing has to make you forgo one of these two. It's physical, people don't get instantiated out of thin air.

So I think it may be harder on average to find a job in software for a while, mostly because of the direction of the job market, but it will be harder for people with less experience, and those who can do something else in which they have experience will also be incentivized to do so.
Apple's computers are actually quite competitive when comparing price-to-performance. Beyond that, they have great build quality, battery life, components, and support which all adds up to being a great package for their cost. Seriously, this whole "Apple is too expensive" talking point died long ago. When the MacBook Air first came out, it was $1,800 ($2,500 adjusted for inflation) with a slow Intel C2D proc. Now you can get an M1 MacBook Air for $1k or an M2 for $1,200.
Luckily there is already a video about that: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Uhx-26GfCBU

The quick takeaways are that there are cities in Finland that are colder than any Canadian city where 50% of the kids rides bikes to school. Also, a test project in Montreal gave a bike path a dedicated snow removal budget and ridership was up 30% in one year.
This will be reverted by a federal court and/or Congress as soon as Disney gets involved, or at least relegated to an unenforceable legal footnote.
And the end goal is to upstream all the work so that we can run, for example, Debian in Macs?

Also, is anyone else afraid of the possibility of Apple deciding to screw us up by imposing restrictions to prevent people specifically from doing this for...reasons?
Real-Time Blocklists for XMPP
Archive link at https://archive.is/9ktlD
Show HN: Sveltos event-driven framework to deploy Kubernetes add-ons
Sveltos has now an event-driven workflow framework:
- define what an event is (Sveltos supports #Lua language for that, so the custom event can be as complex as required);
- list on which managed clusters to watch for such events;
- define which add-ons to deploy when an event happens.

Add-ons to deploy as result of an event can be defined as #templates . Sveltos will instantiate those using information coming from managed cluster.
Honestly, I'll be that guy and say there is a genuine quality difference between CS schools. I went to one that is generally seen as top 5, and when I was studying for my undergrad courses, I would regularly find course notes from grad programs at other schools that were covering the same material.

This might be especially true for theory/fundamentals. It's easy to skip that stuff if your program's focus is on immediate job-readiness training.
In the US they don't do this. The thinking is someone getting a lower salary and the same job will not be very motivated. It's better to just get them go and keep other employees at their same level or higher.
You could have joined and raised the bar, but shied away from it. The more negative the perception is, the more you guarantee only the worst will join
>In my opinion, one of the best ways of identifying an authoritarian is to ask them their opinions on Snowden or Assange.

As far as Assange goes I think he is a liar.

The primary piece of evidence I use to support this is that he claims that his media firm, Sunshine Press was a non-profit when its documents of incorporation list it as a private limited company.

https://www.facebook.com/WikiLeaks.SunshinePress

>Official Facebook Page-- The Sunshine Press (Wikileaks), is an international non-profit organization

(That's all I've got as its website is dead now)

Incorporation document: https://www.scribd.com/doc/47601520/SUNSHINE-PRESS-PRODUCTIO...

Definition of EHF: https://island.is/en/limited-liability-companies

A second piece of evidence is that the original release of Collateral Murder was edited to remove the armed men accompanying the journalists who were killed and the unedited version was only released after public outcry. The presence of armed men escorting the journalists may have been used to justify the attack, which occurred just a couple hundred meters from an active firefight, so the context was deleted in the initial release.

A third piece of evidence is that Assange lied to John Young, a highly-respected member of the "leaking" community to get him to register the original Wikileaks domain waaaay back in the day and then the Wikileaks community turned on John when he dared speak out.

https://cryptome.org/wikileaks/wikileaks-leak.htm

Finally, a fourth piece of evidence is that they used Wau Holland (Chaos Computer Club) as an initial fundraising arm to funnel money to Sunshine Press, and Wau Holland promised an audit of the substantial sums of money being directed to Sunshine Press, but they only ended up publishing three bare-bones "transparency reports" after millions had been spent and their tax-free status had been revoked for funding a for-profit enterprise. Once it became impossible to funnel donations tax-free to the for-profit business through Wau Holland donations slowed, communications stopped, and the association between the two ended. Please note that none of the banking shenanigans going on at the time impacted Wau Holland.

https://wauland.de/en/projects/enduring-freedom-of-informati...

Does any of the above make me an authoritarian?
Because if you hit "R" and your in-game model does something that you are not doing physically in real life, you will likely get motion sick or at least disoriented. It is a very unnatural feeling, and why VR games are so hard to design for.
> The other thing to keep in mind is that tech has attracted a lot of people in it just for the crazy money that FAANGs pay, despite that not being representative of the industry as a whole.

I think a lot of the industry shake up will be to clear house of these people. At big tech companies it’s easier to hide, especially remotely, but slowly layoffs or PIP will come for some of them, and they will have a harder time getting a job than the rest. I just hope the layoffs can affect the management layer like the IC later, because I’ve seen the growth of pretty crappy management.

I was recently laid off, and I know a few other people laid off. I have years of doing projects and contributing to OSS and being a technically curious learner. I found a new job much faster than my peers who admittedly joined tech for the money and don’t care to learn or grow beyond their next pay raise.

I will echo the preparation thing though. I started saving an extra few months of salary across 2022, and tried to convince my partner to lower spending for a while.
Not really. I think there is a matrix: UFOs either are or are not visiting us, and the Government either is or is not lying to us. The varying skepticism comes down to what you believe is the conditional probability of one given the other. There is some famous quote which goes (roughly) "I don't know if aliens are visiting us, but if the government ever tells me they are, I'll know they are not."

Also, just because you can segment something into true/false, absolutely does not mean you have to look at each case equally. You either have or do not have cancer. That doesn't mean there's a 50% chance you have cancer.
Okay, I listened to it. The disparity between male/female in college is indeed overblown by people trying to score political points.
(1) OpenAI started as actually open, has progressively become extremely closed and opaque; AI- and other firm-specific concerns aside, this angers the people with open/libre and/or transparency related general ideologies.

(2) OpenAI and its principals (particular Altman) deliberately and excessively works to promote AI-safety-related fears, but OpenAI is increasingly opaque about what it is doing about AI-safety (notionally, ironically, as a safety measure) – angers both everyone who thinks that the specific AI-safety concerns OpenAI is pushing are bunk and detrimental to useful progress and/or distracting from the real and significant concerns that should be addressed with AI and everyone who has AI-safety concerns (whether the same as OpenAI’s or different) and sees transparency and verifiability as important to confidence that those are being addressed (these are different, but overlapping, groups; it particularly angers people in the overlap, like the people centered on “AI ethics”.)

(3) Generalized anger at the actual and perceived near-future likely disruptions of AI, with OpenAI as a highly visible figure profiting from those disruptions.
using namespace std;

It's fine, I won't tell anyone.
What people arent saying:

VCs received cheap loans and financial services from SVB if they got their portfolio companies to bank with SVB. There were in some sense backdoor deals, which resulted in these odd loans and bad portfolios. It was all built on an assumption of cheap capital. People are not discussing how incestuous SVB was with VCs, and many will get off the hook for unethical financial behavior.

I dont think calling SVB poorly run is accurate, it was run for profits. The decision making is opaque at this point, and my guess is if the curtain is pulled back, it was run exactly as intended.

If you watch the most recent episode of the AllIn podcast, they hint at this being the case. Clearly they know there was bad behavior, but dont discuss it at length. This is just another case of wealthy people gambling, with the common man absorbing the losses.
Those of us on work visas care about time much more than about money.
This is an interesting comparison between the "what makes an entrepreneur" post of a day or so ago.

Entrepreneurs can be defined as optimists - and yet it needs a pragmatic pessimist to actually build something that works
I've interviewed senior engineers who don't know any of that (or DS & A) either.
Yet another blog post about how LLM can't replace people for X task. I wish there was less noise about this and more discussions on how we will (all) benefit from LLM replacing people. Like UBI, paying people to pursue their passions, etc.

I personally would be fine if LLM replaced my $DAYJOB if it meant I could work on learning violin, gardening, or creating videogames.
no-one is arguing you should cycle 40 km - but that doesn't mean we live in a bubble.

That distance is more than the radius of the largest city in Europe -> it's 25km from Heathrow airport to the Buckingham palace.

I don't think having a car is a big problem, I think we could hand out free e-bikes to every family and reduce amount of cars of the roads, because for ~50% of journeys, they make sence.
Already happening. And not a bad question for quite a lot of people.
Just think of it:

HTTP is in the base, but HTTPS is on a subscription model with payment based on volume, cipher, and number of hosts communicated with. Hosts can pay to make their endpoints cheaper to talk to, but curl adds sponsored fields to all JSON sent to endpoints unless a "clean JSON" subscription is purchased. curl of course sends telemetry to its developers' endpoint, at the usual rate, and refuses to work if that endpoint sends a 5xx or 4xx response. Better hope Cloudflare doesn't have one of its hiccups while you're debugging a RESTful endpoint!

(Telemetry may be used to ensure curl isn't employed in violating the law, trade secrets, business model, or terms of service of any business partners. All of this is strictly necessary because the curl developers have no legal or financial presence in the EU or California. Your continued use of curl constitutes your assent to these practices.)
Conviction that something will happen is not the same as rooting for this to happen. I'm 100% sure I'll die one day, but I would honestly rather not.
You have to have the money but you also have to have the ability to be top-tier. If everything is set up so that you're doomed to fail, you'll only have failures bothering to apply.

In the past this type of thing has usually been solved by creating a new police force under a different name, specific to some aspect that needs work. No idea if it would really help now.
It is amazing how badly managed they ended up being.
I appreciate you expanding on your point of view. In response to “get some perspective”, I have to say I think I have plenty and that I find a difference of degrees to be a difference all the same.

Which is to say, while I take your point about the relative morality of large scale leadership, having lived through all the folks you mentioned and more, that Trump’s naked pursuit of personal scores with public resources was unprecedented in my lifetime. Society is a shared illusion, presentation matters, and boy did his coarsening of that conversation have far-reaching consequences.
You're right that it's not meant for SHTF. It's for holding value under normal circumstances instead of passively investing in whatever other bubbles (stocks etc).

Btw, not very many people are putting their money into gold and silver. Returns on that have been lackluster for decades. If BTC truly became "digital gold," I wouldn't be very interested.
Wait until you move to Germany and hear about Osterreich (former east germany communists) - a lot of them are heavy supporters of Putin and russia in general and hate immigrants just like trumpers do. There are like hundreds of thousands of ex-USSR emigres who still love russia and support it.

regarding the rest - with german pay you wont have money to travel across Europe. your best bet will be "backbacker" style travel on budget - which is hard to do with kids.

and dont get me at the quality of their daycares....
An Update to Cover Pages
If you want to make a shitty throwaway account to just post "wrong wrong wrong" and ignore citations and evidence, can you do it somewhere else?

Change "Navy made a nuclear reactor" to "Navy comissioned, owned, operated, bungled, mismanaged, wasted millions of taxpayer dollars on, a nuclear reactor". Happy?
To be fair, that's because NYC's laws are extremely favorable to building owners. A less owner-focused city would presumably tax businesses that are left vacant after X amount of months or years to push the owners to lower rents or sell.
I concur with this wild guess. ChatGPT will always set the chat topic to _something_, and so I presume when given zero input it chooses whatever tokens it happens to have conjured up.
You can't. They filter out the people who are a threat to them. They even use the union to do this.
Do the 50% of all small businesses that had to permanently close fit into your definition of "everyone"?
Don't know it, will check it out.

I think your benign explanation is +more likely than mine and covers the flat earth cohort as well.
For sure, I actually love this idea in theory, it's super clever. :-)

I was just pointing out that it's unlikely we'd be in that scenario, since this approach feels like it would imply letting the ad JS run, but tricking it into thinking that an ad was displayed. Or am I missing something?

If I understood correctly, that means the ad's JS would still run in the background and run any included tracking code, which is what I think a lot of people try to prevent with an ad blocker, more than just hiding the visual ad.
It works but every single time I see it, I start swearing.
Bike commuting during winter is fine as long as you have the right clothes. I have commuted in a -55F wind chill in perfect comfort. I will concede that it takes a few weeks to calibrate clothing if you're not used to it, but it's not some huge barrier if it's something you're interested in
A few months ago during the height of the metaverse craze, I mentioned that it seems forced by some companies. I was told by HN that I live in a bubble ;) So there are probably tons of people who care a lot!
When it goes to zero, your country dies.
I wish author would have also included Signature Bank on his charts, so we'd have another example of a failed regional bank rather than just comparing against functional regional banks.
While I do see huge potential in AI, I personally do not see it as the existential threat you propose in this post. This is something I have thought a lot about.

Do you have a CS degree? If so, then it shouldn't matter too much that your only experience is in web dev, you'll just be looking for more junior roles in other fields which is probably true given your time out off and minimal experience anyway.

Firstly, technology moves fast but business's move slow. I work in a very strict environment due to the regulation of the industry and the volume of PII we deal with. So my work has prohibited the use of AI tools due to unknown security risks. Until they can quantify and mitigate the risk, they probably won't let us use these tools. Furthermore, the software I work on was running on Windows Server 2003 until a couple years ago. Of course, there is a difference between possible efficiency gains from implementing AI and a server upgrade which would provide no direct business efficiencies. By efficiencies I mean improved revenue or reduced cost.

Secondly, I don't think it's possible to "AI-proof" your career since there is no consensus on how AI will be integrated into our daily work flows. There are editor plugins to generate snippets of code directly; you can generate entire pages, sites or applications with a single prompt; you can provide code to debug; and then there are projects working to integrate AI into existing tools, like the project to have AI generate code based on pull requests in Github.

Imo, the best part of software development is the continuous learning you must undertake in order to stay relevant in this field. If you want to stay in this field then start learning what is happening and how best to apply it to your job/role/project/department. If you are the one leading the charge then you're probably not the one they are going to get rid of when they start needing less developers.

Or maybe your best course of action is to find something new. You have a lot of career left in your life, perhaps a field you feel less anxious about would be better for you. My brother-in-law just finished obtaining his commercial pilots license. A lot of people told him it was a bad idea because he's in his mid thirties which is "too old" to start being a pilot; also a field which AI could imminently take over. But it's his dream and that's what he decide was best for him.
Not for the elderly population until they die off.

More consuming than producing means there's less to give up top.
That's just politics and ensuring loyalty to the top of an organization one does not have control of
In Emacs: C-u M-| completions RET
Even with minor infringements with e-bikes in Belgium they punish pretty severely.

For example: bike not properly licensed: Lose your car license for 15 days and pay 800 euros.
I don’t think you understand how the gold trade works if you think you can buy any substantial amount of gold without going through an exchange.

Crypto adds nothing to this it isn’t any different in principal to any other securities banks use for storing wealth.
AI won't take of front-end dev jobs until it can start creating a new framework every week, constantly break backwards compatibility, then abandon the project and start a new one.
Mediocrity for all is better than exceptional outcomes for me and shit for everyone else.
I would love to know how people at the company feel about this in terms of morale. It's hard to bring this stuff up. I would rather be laid off than have this because there's at least a runway with known pay to find a new job.
Take away their guns and build community service into their work schedules and they'll reform themselves pretty quickly. At the moment it's an attractive overglamorized profession for young men who played too much cops and robbers as children and who haven't spent enough time in their communities empathizing with people.
Twitch says it will lay off 400 employees
"I frequently encounter a lack in what I would call foundational computer science knowledge."

I was being paid to write code for over 15 years before I needed to interact with a database or know anything about a network. What you would call foundational knowledge others would call niche.
>In memoriam: AOL CDs, history's greatest junk mail

https://www.vox.com/2015/5/12/8594049/aol-free-trial-cds
So the reason more people are cycling in the area is that the government made cars extremely expensive, almost certainly more than the externalities created by those cars. If they instead instituted a carbon tax and congestion pricing, I doubt your daily expenses would exceed £12.50/day.
Probably saved a good $0.45 using a cheaper header. :(
Rather than becoming despondent about AI, my pessimistic side assumes that things can go wrong and acts accordingly, all while giving the technology a fair chance.

This is what I was looking for. I like the idea the author is presenting here, but I was hoping that he would focus more on what to do when you have a pessimistic thought.

That is, using a pessimistic thought as a cue and reacting with thinking about it as an opportunity to improve something or even accepting it as a reality without approving or disapproving and coming up with a pragmatic response.
They also stifle the aspirational libertarian Ayn Rand wealth fantasy that American culture is built on.
> Taiwan was in negotiations with Hong Kong to extradite him and the protestors were afraid of the implications.

No.

The HK government broke off the negotiations on purpose. They want to use that as an excuse to pass some laws that gain Beijing more control over HK.

It was the proposed laws that terrified HongKongers, not the negotiations.
Let them believe it and choose new careers

For those of us who know we won't be replaced, we only benefit from this FUD
I've been with other hats web developer for 25+ years. And have the impression ChatGPT gives me super powers.
That's one way to learn time schedules, efficiency, but not necessarily the rest of a programmer skillset

I had the most prolific time of my life, when out of work for 6 months, and I did completely random projects, a 2048 solver (it was trendy at that time), a connect-four adversary and many others ideas https://caub.github.io/misc/, just imagination, learning the algorithms, also some leetcode for future interviews, still then this moment helped a lot building myself
I'm convinced a lot of our issues is just our general lost of testosterone and ability to conceive kids. Our bodies are just becoming worse and worse and conceiving and bearing children.

Probably microplastics coupled with a sedentary lifestyle.
thanks for the tip, adding this to my reading list. synopsis sounds awesome.
Biggest red flag is he keeps retweeting quote tweets about his tweets in Jan 2020 about Covid.

By that time, many of the active followers were already aware something was up. He did t do anything special.
The people doing that were CBP deployed in Portland under statutory authorization passed in the wake of 9/11. CBP are a federal police force who aren't required to follow the constitution within 100 miles of the border (so no need to follow constitution in portland) and any case would go to federal courts where 99% of cases end up in plea deal.