skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
> This is wildly different technology. Talking about what GPT can do today and landing at "it's not good enough" is also missing the point, we are nowhere near the limits of this tech and it's evolving so fast that these assessments are not insightful in the slightest.

Just as often with AI's detractors who claim that it "merely" predicts the next word, I have to wonder if those making these grandiose claims about the near future of AI have actually used GPT-4 and its predecessors in their work. There has to be some sort of logical fallacy regarding "well [insert literally any limitation here] won't exist in GPT(n+1) at this rate."

> Jobs are going to be lost, it's a fact.

What percentage of a programmers' time have compilers automated? It's gotta be multiple orders of magnitude of efficiency gained. I could see a GPT-4 based GitHub Copilot being something like a 3-5x improvement on development in the best use cases (e.g. CRUD development built on public frameworks.) That's a colossal impact, but it's hard to even put on the scale to other ways programmers have automated their work in the past. Every time programming has automated giant swaths of programmer time, the end result has been that programmers can generate far more economic value even faster. This end result has consistently (and paradoxically) led to far more work and jobs for developers than before.

> Even if it's just that junior who was learning code reviews and supporting basic development, that job will be around for maybe a year or two at the rate we are moving.

At least in my admittedly niche area of work, juniors just aren't all that helpful. The time they take away from seniors or other members of the team makes them at net negative for at least a few months. It's often a year or more before we reach break even. Junior positions are investments in potential future independent contributors at a time where filling IC roles is still extremely difficult.
I am likewise Jewish and I do think there's some cultural tendency towards observation that you're describing (hence, perhaps the over-representation of our people among both comedians and scientists)

But perhaps there's a big difference between observation and griping (to use your word) - in the outcome. Observation can lead to improvement: I saw something, I called it out, and then I or someone else can fix it. Complaining to me is the non-actionable form of observation - making a lot of noise but either leading to no improvement or actually discouraging yourself and others from taking action around the topic.
Negative, and likely with a non-negligible value. From what I understand the acquisition came with considerable state guarantees given to UBS for Credit Swisses liabilities. To a degree that I have heard it called a disguised bailout.
We have been getting warnings like this for years and for years things have been getting visibly worse.

I don't know how you "have to force myself quite hard to take this seriously" when the environment around us has been degrading faster than scientist have been claiming for years.

Maybe you're confused by how events related to climate catastrophe unfold? It's not like a nuclear bomb where one day everything is fine, then the next every thing is gone. That case is different in two major ways: the break down is instantaneous and a new normal is almost immediately established.

The final warning for climate is about a process that once started can no longer be stopped.

You don't have to "trust the science", you can literally watch it happen as the arctic heads rapidly towards a blue ocean event (see "arctic death spiral"), crop failures have been increasing, California has suffered extreme years of drought followed by this current season of incredible floods, lake mead reaches a lower level than it has since it was filled, Texas is subjected to extreme weather (in both directions) causing year after year failure of the power grid.

These things will continue to happen, will happen more frequently and at greater magnitude for the rest of your life.

If you feel unconvinced it's because you're in a state of denial (which in part of grieving so not terribly surprising or uncommon).
I think there is a place for a transpile to Bash language, which just adds some tiny bits to fix Bash's idiosyncrasis
The VR version is more often than not more intuitive than the mouse/keyboard combo or even a traditional controller.

Furthermore, the idea that having to stand up (not always true) and perform natural arm movements being bad is just silly to me. Arguably, the best performing VR game is Beat Saber.
Should try out AWeber.com </shameless-plug>
A someone with an M1 pro, keep in mind that there's no support for external monitors aside fron the main laptop display, yet.
Biden uses first veto to defend rule on ESG investing
100+ countries can also show you that copyright infringement is not the same as theft in the eyes of the law.
Well, that's where the losses came in, but why were so many startups holding so much uninsured money at a medium sized (not systemically regulated) bank?

I really can't wrap my head around holding $500M earning almost no interest (>$10M annual) in an uninsured account. Why? It's not like they had that much in monthly expenses or income. Was it just more incompetence or as has been suggested in other posts were there "benefits" of doing this that may not have accrued to the corporation?

Of course it was the run of those giant uninsured depositors that caused the immediate cash. Of course it's not clear (had all depositors not been bailed out) that anyone withdrawing within the last 90 days would have not had their withdrawals clawed back... we'll never know. If that had happened, I think we would see a lot fewer flash runs.

edit:
https://www.thestreet.com/banking/svb-collapse-roku-had-487-...
Just one data point, but I recently talked to a guy that bounces between being a mortgage broker and a tech worker. When the housing business is booming he switches to mortgage work, then when that slows down he jumps back into technology. I think he said he was in some kind of pre-sales role in tech.

Now that they're both slow at the same time, I'm not sure what he's planning.
Well looks like they are from last year so they must’ve modified their business
There is a physical limit to the number of disks you can add to your CPU. There is a physical limit to the memory you can address in your CPU (48-bits). It is not arbitrarily large.

Also wrong for Turing Machines, it really is infinite. That's a big difference to arbitrarily large. The halting problem is undecidable for TM's but not for arbitrarily large (you'll need precise definitions though).
Does your large suburban home improvement shop not offer delivery or rent out work trucks/vans for hauling your DIY catch of the week?

Consider the cost of ownership with maintenance, depreciation, loan interest (if applicable), and insurance compared to renting. Depending on the frequency and distance of your long trips you may actually save money by renting.
I dunno, I'm not sure there were any competitors for the original SMTP spec (but I don't know for sure). But if there were, it would still have been useful for them all to produce an evaluation of their potential for evil.
Simply taxing CO2 emissions and maybe reinvesting some profits (into electrification and renewables) should do just fine.

The problem is people have to pay for these changes. This means potentially:

- General increase in prices/decrease in disposable income

- Danger for competitiveness of domestic industries

- Uncertain second-order effects/additional risk

Just consider electric vehicles-- pushing for no new combustion-car sales starting in 2025 would be political suicide in a lot of democractic nations, simply because people actually value future wellbeing on a planetary scale less than what's in their own pockets right now.

There is absolutely no need to go nuclear for electrical power at this point IMO-- it's not cost competitive, not sustainable and extremely unpopular, too.
But the banks themselves have to be able to exceed those returns in order to actually pay out interest to depositors and make money for their shareholders. That's not an easy task in this environment; everyone's chasing safe yield.
The Math Behind the New Super Commute
Sucks that they will announce who are affected by the end of April. Already struggling with anxiety, this is gonna make it difficult to concentrate on work.
Maybe the technical documentation isn't required with ChatGPT being able to do this? :)
Here is the incident from the status page: https://status.openai.com/incidents/jq9232rcmktd
Mathberet is a self-hosted digital mathematics notebook
> Read Bullshit Jobs

Read my comment again

> hire front line workers

What if you already got rid of the bureaucrats, hired everyone you can and still don't have enough people? Pay more? Sure, but that also has limits in both the amount of people you can pay and the money running out.

Let those robot distribute fresh clothes and collect laundry, stock the fridges, clean the bathroom, all those menial tasks that allow people to have a decent life. Clear up the time from humans to actually interact with people.

I don't like the prospect of needing someone to wipe my ass when I'm old, I'd feel ashamed. Maybe not when a robot does it. Not sure about that yet, I hope that day is far far away.
Amen to this. I wish the USB-IF would officially deprecate the entire mini and micro line, stating that they are not allowed to be used and will not be certified compliant in new hardware designs unless the new design is intended to be a physically identical drop-in replacement for an older design that used those ports.

There is no good excuse for these ports' continued use in new designs, just penny pinching nonsense.

Host-side ports can be full size A or C, device side ports can be full size B or C, anything else is just being cheap.
Not GP but I also believe that MacOS feels like a toy.

All the icons are jumping around everywhere, everything is colourful, it's 2023 and you can't maximize a window or make it take up half the screen, etc.

I also hate the touch bar but I'd probably get used to that. I used a pre-touchbar Air for a few months and going back to windows felt amazing.

I am eagerly waiting for Asahi to be usable as a daily driver, my next laptop will probably run Apple silicon.
So the solution to the banking collapse is to create even MORE too-big-to-fail monopoly banks? The corruption has gotten so far out of control at this point it's laughable.
I used it quite a bit over the weekend to reacquaint myself with my small music studio, which I had ignored over the past few years. It told me all sorts of accurate information about my microphones, hardware, etc, including helping me with some connection problems having to do with buggy signal flow.
I can't say I'm surprised. Combined with Emmett's departure, Amazon is painting a picture of the belief that Twitch has hit its cap. Video games are a hits-driven business, and that goes for Twitch as well. The popularity of the service is driven by games they show, and all attempts to break that ceiling or diversify revenue simply hasn't worked. Now it's time to cut costs and squeeze existing revenue streams.

The good news is that, combined with the implosion of most esports, there may be room to innovate again. Twitch and game publishers didn't leave a lot of room for startups. If they no longer believe there's a ton of money to be made by taking risks, maybe there's an opportunity for new businesses to try again.
People here earn enough for the food to not be on their radar. I guess the office/food is symbolic, though I do understand real estate is hard to get rid of. They could rather have taken on the debt and kept good people (pure speculation, I have no idea).

It's hard to Guage overall morale since we're split into segregated teams per project so there isn't much intersection outside of the dead Slack server.
So? Car sales is so different from software development, there are few profitable comparisons to be made. You might as well assume it's nothing like software development.

Piece-rate only makes any sense if you're doing the same thing over and over. If you're developing the same piece of software over and over, something in seriously wrong.
I don't know what I expected, but it certainly wasn't that.
Thanks for letting me know. Though I really don't know what to make of this now (if anything).
Move some of the work places.
I was in a similar situation in April 2020. I think we had to sign a 20% pay cut. COVID having just started, I signed. After 6 months, they reverted the salary, but I left shortly after. I still regret signing the pay cut
Haha, what a typo! That's funny, yes.

We're in the midst of epistemological de/re-territorialization between objective and subjective and frankly, when I hear or read people frame their opinions as fact/truth/reality/nature/science I instantly shutoff and encourage others to do the same. Specifically, I'm an anti-reificationist and if I catch a wiff of people reifying their symbolic universe, they instantly lose my respect.
Andy Wingo's blog is awesome. A great resource for those interested in PL design and development. I learned a bunch of stuff about delimited control from this blog, among other things.

Also, Andy implements delimited control in this post! What a legend
Maybe, but it seems bizarre that open source developers go so far to contribute to a closed source proprietary ecosystem when the manufacturer doesn't only make it difficult but they at times actually intentionally impede their work. That is a lot of time and effort of someone doing something for free that the manufacturer should be paying them to do and assist with.
Incorrect, I've experienced pay cut once in the US, it lasted a few months and once the company improved its cash flow we got back paid.

I've also seen benefit cut like getting rid of 401k contributions
This is awesome. I wanted this yesterday
mTroll Hybrid MIDI Controller
Not that I disagree with the spirit, X is dead, and someone demo'd Wayland apps on macOS at NixCon Paris.
Wright brothers used few tricks, to make success faster, because of very early stages of flight tech.

First, they spent few years in meteorological archives, to choose very special place for flights - with constant strong winds and with significant long descent.

Only second, they spent time to create best motor, with unprecedented power/mass ratio, and only because automobile manufacturers avoid their order (because thinking, it will not lead to big series).

And Wrights was not first to flight, but they was first to make more or less reliable controlled flight.
And Wright was first to create rule - two brothers should not fly at one plane at same time, for safety reasons.
* poor window management

* no built-in package manager

* low hackability/customizability

* constant code signing prompts with 3rd party software, my OS is fighting me trying to use software

* constant prompts to please finally sign into icloud

* deprecated OpenGL

* general handholding in the OS getting in the way
ThinkPad also has proprietary undocumented subsystems that are reverse engineered to work on Linux. Such double standards versus Apple.
Imagine you are them, and you say "What are you going to do about it?" What's the answer you get?
probably a "Tell HN" would be more appropriate in this case.
I think you need to figure out how important you really are to the company, and how competent your management is.

Are you in a position where, if you leave or are let go, the company would be hurt? (And the management is competent to know it?) Then hold your ground. Point out what will very quickly happen if you were to leave or be fired.

Otherwise, just ignore the request as long as possible and change jobs. If it's customary to give notice before you leave, make it abundantly clear that you're only staying through your notice period at full pay.

(Also, FWIW: In the US and many other places in the world, a lot of high-tech companies are run by people who have no clue how to run a company. Some people come from money and are just trying to follow in their parents' footsteps. Other people are just gambling and keeping up appearances. If you work for someone like that, now is the time to change jobs.)
Amzn allowed me to (a) be a stay-at-home parent (b) work on a FLOSS project for several (maybe 10) years without needing to generate any revenue.

It did not have any impact on my curiosity or learning process during the journey I've been on for the last 25 years.

The point is the the presence (or absence) of children is not determinative of your ability to deep-dive. Or so I am claiming.
> That was exactly my point when I said:

> > > It doesn't even say anywhere on the page that it's Mac-limited

If I said "it doesn't say anywhere that it only runs on OS/400," then this implies that it stated somewhere that the software runs on OS/400 just as your statement implies it runs on Mac. Where did you get Mac from in the first place if the about doesn't mention it?
Specifically the issue was certain banks having much too high a ratio of long-term bonds, and they could have sold those to less concentrated investors without upending the market.
I think at Google about 10% passed phone screen, and then 10% of those passed onsite.

It isn't that bad, interview one per week and you end up hiring about one person per three years (5 interviewers per onsite, so about 50 there and 100 phone screens). Most people interview 1-2 times per week there, and that was roughly how fast they grew, so the numbers adds up.
>In an already-demoralizing job search, it was a real gut punch, and despite 10 years of experience, has me really starting to question whether I still have a future in tech.

Wait till you have about 30 years experience, it gets worse.
I am unsure if 10% cut would be covered by dropping an office. The area is very affluent and exclusive. Note that it is a pretty small company.
Well, its was worth almost nothing, so there.

There are a couple 1000 people who will be awaiting a salary this or next week, it is a bit a financial pandorras box, but with the properties of a bottomless pit.

In all seriousness, I know a couple cs folks with rather expensive flats and habits, this will not end too good for some of them.
Well, I think it's a bit of a circular question :)

But it seems like one of the conclusions of the linked paper in the OP (which is trying to put parameters on this very question) is that it actually would be hard to notice them, for certain scales of probe (on the order of 1 meter), at least while they're in outer space:

> At a distance d from the Sun and the telescope, objects that are a meter in diameter and reflect a fraction a ≈ 10% of sunlight impinging on their surface would yield a flux of optical light of ∼ 0.2(d/1 AU)−2 nJy, well below the detection threshold of even the James Webb Space Telescope

But it goes on to suggest that we could notice them, even at sizes less than a meter, with radar technology, once they're in the atmosphere:

> In contrast, the radar signatures of a meter class object would be detectable with our deep space radars and space fence, much like IM2 was, out to beyond geosynchronous orbit at an altitude above 36,000 km. Such objects could also become optically detectable as they get close to Earth, especially if they create a fireball as a result of their friction with air.

But, such FLIR systems also produce a lot of false positives, i.e. actual everyday meteors in the atmosphere. So the challenge is narrowing down the data to find the most anomalous objects. And indeed that's what Loeb has done with the Galileo project, as he's identified one such object that landed a few years ago, and is chartering a ship to go try to find it in the Pacific Ocean. Estimating the chance of success of his quest is an exercise left to the reader, but we'll have to see what comes of it.
I got hired to do C++ work, JD an all interviews outlined this clearly. Had about a month of C++ work and then was quickly forced to start doing React work. My background and skill set is in embedded C programming.
I have witnessed developers who are shockingly inefficient at getting work done quickly, but they get it done at the pace everyone's come to expect so it's never an issue.

Obviously this doesn't apply to all workplaces, but there are a ton where the slowest workers set the bar for how fast things get done, and anyone who can get stuff done quicker works a couple total hours per week and is dicking around or in meetings the rest of the time.
I had heard somewhere that the Fed doesn't allow for narrow banks to exist. I haven't verified this for myself, however.
Hum... A 1000% overhead looks typical to me.

Whether that's an important saving or not changes from business to business, but anything less than 1000% seems only achievable by customized discounts from the cloud provider.
Whenever I follow a link to a Twitter post now, after maybe five replies there's a bunch of Musk's irrelevant tweets wheeled about. Quite the stench on that public square.

If I needed Twitter for anything, I'd have registered and blocked the stench. But it's easier to just pass by and laugh at the antics from afar.
Reminds me of my experiences with UnitedHealthcare’s website. If I try to log in with Firefox + uBO I get mysterious permissions errors and “something went wrong” messages for the next few hours, even after switching browsers. Use Chromium from the beginning though and it’s smooth sailing. And of course their “tech” support is beyond useless about this.
The biggest and simplest is build massive nuclear power plants and run carbon capture with the energy. It solves the issue it's just not very $$ efficient.
Yeah, those are interesting numbers. Another one I’m curious about is: how much faster are we burning fossil fuels than they are replenished naturally? The only number I found was a low estimate of 750x, and I think that was for oil. I assume “natural” gas is faster?
Telling how the supporting comments on this subthread were downvoted so thoroughly. Even as tech workers are finally having the jackboot of American hypercapitalism pressed against their own throats they defend the neoliberal model. It’s really pathetic, but most are so thoroughly politically illiterate that I can’t [totally] blame them, even though they built their own bubbles in many cases.
A similar issue happened to Steam in 2015 https://www.forbes.com/sites/insertcoin/2015/12/25/steam-is-...
There's at least one other person with the same hobby, because they made a short documentary about it, thereby 'liberating' the source material (in a really unpractical way): "A History of the World According to Getty Images" [1] [2] [3]

[1] https://www.idfa.nl/en/film/f2e29b37-216a-4899-ae67-c4367b8b...

[2] https://www.ahistoryoftheworldaccordingtogettyimages.com/ (which can't be downloaded)

[3] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BIinx95rFxg
Which is really strange to me why uber just recently announced they are moving everything to the cloud.
I'd be going with option 3: Start shotgunning resumes. Clueless management will remain clueless, even if they luck their way out of this particular crisis.
I have, it was quite insane. I played Catan, a board game, with people online. Most immersive social experience I’ve ever went through.

I also went into a cinema, thought I was alone but when I turned my head to the room realized that people were staring at me lol. I screamed of surprise, they heard it and laughed, it was too real so I disconnected.

I did VR chat a bit but in general the feeling of presence was too strong when I wanted to chill so didn’t experience as many things as I could.

I’ve had friends visit my space and play chess with me there as well. But at the time our headsets would only last for like 30min and they would overheat easily. I got the Quest later and every problem had been fixed. Perfect headset. Can’t imagine what the quest 2 feels like.

Wrote about some of it here: https://p1x3l.com/story/239/social-virtual-reality-and-the-o...
Update on ARC's recent eval efforts