skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
TJ's also sold some that were dipped in dark chocolate. They are the unholy hybrid of vanishing caloric density and a peanut butter cup.
Why are all posts related to Russia's war on Ukraine always immediately astroturfed to death by pro-Putin bots?
I'm about 10-15 years from retiring, and lately, I've been thinking a lot about how to handle the rest of my career with all these new AI advancements.
When my kid was learning to read, we read with her a lot. These days, most of her reading is independent, and she reads many books that contain words that don't commonly occur in normal conversation. Since she is reading these books solo, we don't have a chance to make sure she is learning the proper pronunciation, and we only find out about these gaps when she very cutely says them the wrong way.

If she were using an AI tutor alongside me, that would largely be a waste of my time, if the whole idea is to give every kid an AI tutor. But if she were using it without me, then I would worry about the things that she is "learning" that might not be true. AI speaks confidently, even when it is very, very wrong. But it is right about enough things that kids would likely treat its utterances as truth, as a not-unreasonable heuristic.

I'm sure I'll let my kid use an AI tutor at some point, but I will have to observe it, and observe how she uses it, for quite some time before letting her use it alone.
I've blogged as a form of a research journal and it forces me to finish projects or at least document a great excuse for stopping, and it forces me to understand what I'm learning well enough to write a blog post where I won't get laughed at too much by non-noobs in the field.

My interests are esoteric. I blogged up my process of learning a semi famous microcontroller RTOS, a FOSS virtualization infrastructure that peaked in the 10s that seems to be in the process of becoming rapidly forgotten, and a complete K8S / virtualization / HCI infrastructure system of many parts from a euro-ish company that seems mostly ignored in the USA (weird to me, its pretty awesome and the docs are all English!)

I've also used blogs to write book reviews along the idea that I "will" finish the book and read the entire thing and learn it fully if I'm blogging up a detailed review of every chapter.
Condescending and vapid corporate speak generator.
We don't need them to. 62% of hospitals in the US are non-profit, and an additional 20% are run by the government. Only 18% are for-profit. In some states, like New York and Minnesota, there are no for-profit hospitals.
> Can you imagine if these were a product of 1980's AI research and codified some of that time's widespread ideas about sexual orientation or even atheism

Spot on. There are a lot of people in every era who assume that whatever the dominant moral set of values is must be the most logical, most conclusive set of morals ever developed, and are immediately willing to make those values mandatory and enforced by violence.

Hundreds of years later people become disgusted with behavior that wouldn't even remotely register as immoral at the time. Sometimes I wonder what will be unthinkable in future societies that we don't care about today.
It's 25% of the all mothers or 25% of the mothers that were working before the birth?
Even without AI, switching to computerized competence based learning is showing crazy good results, e.g. https://alpha.school/ after a couple years is seeing double the performance on standardized tests with only 2 hours of app-based instruction per day. Pretty wild.
I've changed my mind. Historically I've been opposed to computers being a panacea for education.

At the MIT Media Lab I was one of the earliest critics of the strategy and effects of the One Laptop Per Child project.

I've changed my mind.

There are real issues certainly, beyond AI making things up, encouraging risky behavior, or kids asking it naughty questions. Things like, can it damage a kids social skills, create echo chambers, or push them towards propaganda.

But the upside is incredible. Integrating an LLM like GPT4 into a more kid-centered suite of models unlocks tons of potential.

The first thing I built into my AI tutor system was the ability for it to look up facts from reputable websites, and to help kids answer questions for themselves.

Then I taught the AI to help a kid develop their interests, so they take a topic they're curious about and dive deeper in to it.

And then I taught the AI to notify me if there are topics that are more appropriate for a parent to engage in.

The tool I'm building actually helps kids become more curious, creative, and thoughtful.

It isn't perfect yet, but the truth is kids spend 7 hours a day on screens already. I'm very excited at the possibilities.

Let me know if you'd like to try it!

seth@gotwonder.com
This is a weird one to me. I had these allergies confirmed medically before I was 1. Almost died from reactions to the smell of foods I later had to avoid. Skin was irritated by cotton, such that I was hard to get to sleep.

That said, I have outgrown pretty much all allergies. And super grateful that my kids are free of any. Super curious to see new learning on this.
I wish CLIs had better discoverability. That's one of the first principles of UX.

There should be a library that makes it easy for developers to include a basic GUI with a CLI
AWS's Anti-Competitive Move Hidden in Plain Sight
I still can’t get over that the official guidelines for years were the opposite of this, and it seems to have led to a tremendous increase in severe peanut allergy. I get that public health organizations have to make recommendations in the face of uncertainty. But to get it so wrong, with severe consequences — was there a postmortem or investigation of how that happened? How are people to trust public health guidelines when that stuff happens without explanation?
Kindle don't work with overdrive anywhere except for the United States.
Linux Intel WiFi driver broken with 5&6GHz bands for longer than three years
The Linux kernel still uses centralized exits in places, with goto to do cleanup.

https://github.com/torvalds/linux/blob/master/Documentation/...
> When these LLMs get normalized probably 5 years from now I'm going go back to these old threads and contact these people who are in self denial and throw it in their face. I'll just link this comment and be like I TOLD YOU, I TOLD YOU, YOU WERE WRONG.

this isn't a kind thing to do.
While other people project.
Thats pretty dangerous thinking though. Adolf Hitler famously said "a lie told often enough eventually becomes the truth" and then used that way of thinking to commit horrible atrocities.
Ever since I started my news diet I feel better overall and less stressed. Sure you can claim being apathetic/ignorant towards global current events makes me a bad person, but I do not care. To me, no human is designed to handle as much information input as we experience today.

Maybe I'll become informed again when news becomes more balanced, but I am waiting.
> Disassembling into raw instructions is the most trivial part

So why not do it in the proven-correct tools and give ChatGPT the instructions?

I'm all for finding neat use cases but I wouldn't use an AI chatbot as a calculator...
Pinker on Alignment and Intelligence as a “Magical Potion”
> That’s because AI is writing them! The first entry here is the proof!

It would be nice if you presented some qualitative analysis to go with... any of this. As-is, this is just AI generated text with a preface saying "draw your own conclusions!" and my conclusions are "wow neither AI nor humans are good at writing layoff letters".
TL;DR: One blog post I wrote had a big impact on me getting a job opportunity in the US.

---

I grew up and lived in México most of my life.

Back in 2014 I was a consultant working in Accenture México. One weekend I wrote a UX analysis of the "Settings" screen in mobile platforms, and I posted it on my personal site. (Long lost, but reposted [here](https://72mena.com/the-ux-of-mobile-settings/)).

I don't know how it happened, but after a few weeks of no traction, it suddenly got a ton of traffic and my site went down.

One year later I was interviewing for a contractor role that required relocation to the US. My last interviewer (and decision maker) mentioned to me something along these lines: "hey, I saw your name and it reminded me about your "UX of Mobile Settings" article, I remember reading it and I liked a lot the analysis you did."

I suspect this article (with all its flaws and broken English) had a big impact on me getting the UX position I was applying for, which made me relocate to the US.
Census GPT
Recall that what made the Primer so effective in Diamond Age is that it had access to enormous external financial and human resources. The later copies that raised the Mouse Army and did not have those resources were (intentionally) not great liberators like the original.
Equally interesting is the psychology of people who take the time to write long posts borderline gloating about tools making software engineers obsolete.
That's my general point: it's easier to say what you want than to implement it in a low-level (relative to English) language. Hence why English is a good programming language.

And LLMs aren't just good at binary search, they're good at lots of things.

Imagine you are in a room with a programmer who is unquestionably better and more expert than you are.

Now let's say you need to write a program. Would you be better off trying to write it yourself, or describing what you want to the better programmer, and letting them write it?

Obviously the latter!

Given a sufficiently advanced compatriot, English is the preferred programming language.

Now, are LLMs good enough? Probably not yet, but getting there rapidly!
> we're still in the early days of LLMs, this is like making a statement on the potential of social networks in the Usenet era

FWIW, we didn't try to use Usenet (or social media) to replace teachers. And we still don't today, even though they've matured (for... some meaning of the word) significantly.
I’m fairly certain that the only way to originally purchase VB 1.0 was an 800 number posted in Dvorak’s weekly PC Info magazine column. It was $99 and I borrowed it from my manager. I still have the original manuals and 3.5” disks.

It was almost like Microsoft was sheepishly waving it and saying, “maybe you’ll think this is cool,” while not directly challenging their C++ audience.
I dont see that happening on any of the current 7 comments.
Estimates of anything that involve the internet are often shockingly high and unreliable. See these two papers that come to opposite results (not just by a little but a lot)

https://www.euronews.com/green/2020/02/17/is-playing-video-g...

and

https://gizmodo.com/downloaded-games-have-a-larger-carbon-fo...

You have to consider not just the server and client costs but how to attribute the cost of all the routers and networking parts between them that are invisible. Networking hardware can be particularly wasteful when it is sitting there waiting for a packet which has to be attributed somehow.
>not that he was very likely to begin with

I feel like this is over-stating the previous likelihood
Shame that the github link is still just a placeholder though...
Indeed, some of my favorite blogs have been basically made with the attitude, "this is my personal brain dump, I write it for myself, but make it public in case anyone else finds it useful." Sort of like social media, but often more thoughtful and better organized, and less often trying to be clever and get a reaction. Monetizing and quantifying everything has not necessarily made it better. Of course, blogs pioneered the toxic attention-hoarding space before social media did, too.
It's like watching Trump become popular again. It's an aberration that becomes more legitimate every day -- independently of the actions taken by any controlling parties.

> Observe: when the value of people is greater than the value of tools, a society becomes more free and equal. When wages depend on skill and knowledge, when an army depends on the prowess of the individual soldiers, these are the kinds of things that usually go along with mass democracy and empowerment, because economic production and war both require the consent of the individual to work.

This might have already passed -- how many people were sacrificed to COVID because of the "economy". A tool supposedly completely in the power of the people was exposed. Corporations can raise prices and don't have to worry about the whim of the people. Small groups of entrenched executives are now the powerful -- the rest of us skilled workers, arbiters of democracy, can either only dream of such power or disdain it. I think ChatGPT rose from this hubris. You have to be pretty privileged to think that what the People really need is a GPU making sentences up to make you happy.
Though there are plenty of people who could provide the social side but aren't equipped to teach the curriculum. Perhaps you could use an AI teacher to deliver lessons that the class teacher was not qualified to teach. This could be done with the real teacher in the room.

One of the best teachers my child ever had was limited to teaching first grade due to a lack of maths ability. Everything else about them was fantastic. Maybe AI teachers can help in cases like that.
> Better to assume a guilty man innocent

that's how you get exploited by sociopaths in your personal life.
All youth is easy to convince of stuff. Not just these days.

That's why religions and the military prefer young recruits.
It will small business will start first cause they have excuse for less money, and in thirdy countries there are lot of hiring for small task that mostly can be automated but gpt-4 has more cleared gap by faster work. Its hard to swallow, u can hire 10 juniors or 4 + gpt69.

Given that thousands of layoffs has shown everyone idea of a human worth too a company.
OK, so the core of React changed and they no longer use a "functional" component to build a component object, which used the be the primary data structure in the state-machine-like engine at the heart of react, and to which they used to attach the lists that contain a component's hooks? That's all changed?
Forecasting Authoritarian Uses of LLMs
Technology’s Impact on Growth and Employment (2018)
(This is not in any way to excuse Putin or his war.)

If you wanted an ideal way to ensure that he will never give up, this is it. Pure grandstanding.
I majored in Philosophy, and the largest benefit is that you walk away from the discipline with a good sense for how to communicate well, a natural consequence of distilling large ideas into short papers.
Politicians are also pushing the notion that things are getting worse for support and those politicians are supported by news networks who may skew coverage.
there will of course be a subset of people for whom the loans will be a very good risk, of those people some will fail despite it being a good risk - the unlucky.

there will be a subset of people for whom the loans are a bad risk but some of them will succeed - the lucky. It seems unlikely there would be many lucky in such a hotly contested area.

But most of the subset of people for whom the loans are a bad risk will fail.
If you zoom out, people used to use leaches for disease. Humans generally go through waves of health care trends. Generally speaking the progress gets better over time.
> It was factual that the earth was 6000 years old, until it wasn't.

This is the opposite of the example you seem to think it is. The Earth has always had the same actual date of origin. If it is not factual now that the Earth is 6,000 years old, then it wasn't before either. The whole argument here is that people's perceptions and reality can in fact be different.
Looks like www is fine but top level appears to be a certificate for *.dnsmadeeasy.com and gives a warning in Chrome
The font is awesome. Can you please tell which font it is.
Maybe at first it was a sane reason like this. When we were having a kid, though, we were definitely told by reputable sources (like an obgyn) not to feed the kid peanuts in any form until 3 years old. We decided that the bureaucracy of what advice to give hadn't caught up to the science we'd read, and just tried small amounts of peanut butter when we moved to solids.
Ask HN: Do you guys use a BFF(back end for front end) pattern?
For some reason that quote and your point made more salient to me a trend with AI research, which is that it seems to increasingly become difficult to understand and predict. That is, for awhile it seemed like tinkering in computer science without strong grounding in mathematical or statistical theory, and then there started to be a lot of discussion about "black box" processes, explainability, and interpretability and not fully understanding what's been done, and now the discussion is about not being able to predict the features of the models.

I'm having trouble putting into words what I'm thinking but this whole field increasingly seems to have moved from something very theory derived into something very empirical very quickly. I wonder at what point gains will start to decrease only because people won't know where to go with things anymore.
If you tried GPT4, you probably understood it's not about feeding all the code in the world. GPT4 analyzes and "understands" your code and will answer based on this. Clearly, it will read the variable names and make deductions based on this. It will actually read the comments, the function names and make decisions based on this. And it knows the rules of the language. I mean, I'm writing this because this is what I've witnessed since the time I spent playing with it.

The problem I've seen is that, maybe like the author has been writing, it's making sh*t up. That's not untrue, sometimes I didn't give it all dependent classes and it tried to think sometimes correctly, sometimes incorrectly what those were (such as method signatures, instance members, etc.) I wish it would have asked me some details rather than trying to figure things out. The guys at OpenAI have still a lot to do, but the current status is very impressive
You forget to consider, in your blame list, the people who created the unstable situation in the first place. If I put a pencil on a table, balanced on its tip, can we find which puff of wind to blame when it falls?

The bank's leadership, for example, by choosing to focus heavily on one industry known for rash herd behaviors, both benefited from it some (lots of VCs recommending them) and now seems to have been undone by it.

The bank's regulators might have also looked the other way, we'll find out more.
Ultimately if everyone stops writing libraries how will GPT get new data to train on? It will form some kind of feedback loop on its own outputs and just write shittier and shittier code.
"Oh thank god, society collapsed, now I don't owe that $5k of credit card debt, win win"
Your blog has been invaluable to me over the years. I search it for dumb linux things before the Arch wiki. Keep doing good things.
Yes that is true, but I'm not sure what you are insinuating.
Stay hungry...
It's not a question of advice. Of course take a wide variety of advice.

The question is whether it's a "bad decision" to pursue a highly competitive field, despite knowing the odds are against you, if you think you might have the talent to make it. I'm not convinced that it's a bad decision. Risky? Yes. Bad? That's debatable.

Did Brad Pitt make a bad decision? According to the logic that a big risk is never worth it, then he made a bad decision. But I don't agree with that. And I don't agree that failed actors necessarily made a bad decision either.

As I stated in another comment, there is no safe, guaranteed path in life. It's risk all the way down. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35196444

Should nobody ever become an actor? Nobody an athlete? Nobody a philosopher? Or are you going to say, only those kids born into wealth? In other words, non-wealthy kids don't ever get to have any ambition?
Everything is broken in its own way. I didn't mean to imply there is anything better out there.
I mean the actual video, that's much bigger

With a vision transformer each token may be around 16x16 pixels. I found an example where they use images of resolution 224x224 for training a vision transformer so if we go with that that 256 pixels per token and 50176 pixels per image, so 196 tokens per frame, 24 frames per second, that's 4704 tokens per second or 16934400 token / hour. In total we're at 2.6x10^15 tokens.

GPT-3 was trained on 5x10^11 tokens, so YouTube done this way would be around four orders of magnitude more tokens that GPT-3 was trained on.

GPT-3 was undertrained by 1-2 orders of magnitude, so the compute required to trained a model on YouTube would then be around 6 orders of magnitude higher than what was used to train GPT-3, so about one million times more.

I did a linear regression on the training costs from cerebras(1) and came up with the formula (1901.67366*X)-197902.72715 where X is number of tokens in billions.

Plugging in 5x10^15 tokens we get a training cost of 5 billion dollars. I guess a lot of optimizations could be done that would decrease the cost, so maybe its doable in a few years.

1. https://cirrascale.com/cerebras.php
It has improved my reading and writing skills.
> A growing number of scientists...

Beware, getting from one to two is already a growing number!
That's two examples in one day of GPT being bad at scansion.
Totally agreed, which is why we carefully curate the books we use within educational curricula to make sure they actually contain useful and accurate material.
Feel free to read other studies/sources: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Causes_of_cancer cites other papers with similar stats, there are also many sub articles listed

> Over one third of cancer deaths worldwide (and about 75–80% in the United States) are potentially avoidable by reducing exposure to known factors.

> Common environmental factors that contribute to cancer death include exposure to different chemical and physical agents (tobacco use accounts for 25–30% of cancer deaths), environmental pollutants, diet and obesity (30–35%), infections (15–20%), and radiation (both ionizing and non-ionizing, up to 10%).

> less than 0.3% of the population are carriers of a cancer-related genetic mutation and these make up less than 3–10% of all cancer cases.
I think this is sarcasm, and you're saying that ICC's warrant holds about as much sway in practice as if a "Sovereign Citizen" issued one... yes?
wonder how well it would cope with "flappy bird but moving right to left"
> Oh dear, oh dear, it's with a heavy heart
That we must make an announcement, and we must impart
Some news that's not so jolly, not so fun
But we promise to make it better when all's said and done

The Dr. Seuss one is amazing. Honestly, I'd rather read that than any corporate-speak mumbo-jumbo if I ever get laid off.
> We know what works in education, and it's hiring more teachers, investing in the teachers so they have the resources to teach, giving them the freedom to refine the lessons to the class, reducing class sizes, etc.

And why haven't we done this? Because no one is willing to pay for it. Your solution is a non-starter, how about coming up with some practical alternatives? AI teachers are how we can implement one on one teaching at a cost people are willing to pay.
...if they survive your experiment in the first place.

Very dangerous advice, both of my kids have very strong reaction to nuts, even half nut is enough, so not sure when should I introduce them, interestingly both me and my wife like nuts and have no problems with them.
Wow - one written in the style of President Trump - is very much in there style, I could not tell it was an AI.