skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Russia isn't taking on Nato, they just wanted to expand their sphere of influence, and they never thought that Ukraine would stand a fighting chance against them. Hell, we didn't either. It was only after Russia bungled the invasion that nato really started helping them.

Russia attacking nato would be an absolute death sentence for them.

Also for what it's worth, Zeihan tends to talk way beyond his core competencies. Any time you hear him talking about green energy or military matters, take it with a huge grain of salt
Ordered one and, yes, I’m ready to pay for something which is open, designed for free software and is repairable. Also happy to know that my money support real human which are working on inspiring projects and that I can even follow on Mastodon.

Had to work with macbook for multiple years. Will not buy one even for half the price. Knowing that my money is basically going into billionaires pocket so workers in China are building, in terrible conditions, what is a shiny marketed/hipsterish toy that will end as a polluting piece of junk in a few years is not my philosophical ideal.
I'm sure that's something someone could do! And it sounds like a very fun project. It probably hasn't already been done because there already exist very good speech-to-text models and not many (any?) sign-language-to-{text,audio} models
I usually phrase this as balancing against loose coupling.

I've had bad experiences with the single responsibility principle. It sounds kind of right, but in practice "responsibility" is too vague and often surprisingly hard to agree on what is e.g. one responsibility vs. three responsibilities.

By contrast, loose coupling is more objective and can (at least in theory) be measured.
Most people doing a video meeting with their doctor are already trusting their information to third parties in some way. I understand that you probably are in a different situation. Perhaps services like these are on the path to your more privacy-oriented doctor having a tool that helps them and is comfortable for knowledgeable patients.
I don't think your negative scenarios are detailed enough. I can reverse each of them:

1. Imagine that you have 24x7 access to a medical bot that can answer detailed questions about test results, perform ~90% of diagnoses with greater accuracy than a human doctor, and immediately send in prescriptions for things like antibiotics and other basic medicines.

2. Imagine that instead of waiting hours on hold, or days to schedule a call, you can resolve 80% of tax issues immediately through chat.

3. Not sure what to do with mortgages, seems like that's already pretty automated.

4. Imagine that you can hand your resume to a bot, have a twenty minute chat with it to explain details about previous work experience, and what you liked and didn't like about each job, and then it automatically connects you with hiring managers (who have had a similar discussion with it to explain what their requirements and environment are) and get connected.

This all seems very very good to me. What's your nightmare scenario really?

(edit to add: I'm not making any claims about the clogging of reddit/hn with bot-written comments)
Interesting. If the forecasts regarding china's population don't lie, then the best time to attack Taiwan has to be before 2040.
It is disheartening to see how many people are trying to tell you you're wrong when this is literally what it does. It's a very powerful and useful feature, but the over selling of AI has led to people who just want this to be so much more than it actually is.

It sees goat, lion, cabbage, and looks for something that said goat/lion/cabbage. It does not have a concept of "leave alone" and it's not assigning entities with parameters to each item. It does care about things like sentence structure and what not, so it's more complex than a basic lookup, but the amount of borderline worship this is getting is disturbing.
Would love a version for translation. I don't need the glasses, just read the translation to me and I'll wear an ear bud. And if you could make it work at a loud party, that'd be just perfect..
> pruning dead weight

That wasn't my experience with the current layoffs at big tech. There was no effort to find positions for the engineers who performed well in the previous year(s). They just cut some orgs by the hundreds (I was in a call with 350+ other devs, many of whom are far smarter and more experienced devs than myself).

They just started cutting "weight" at some point, the "dead" adjective was dropped during the previous rounds of layoffs.
Sign language is a complex language, so something has to learn yet another language. Perhaps made all the more complex as it's spatial and visual instead of verbal or written.

Not every deaf person uses sign language and there are many different sign languages in the world. American Sign Language(ASL) is but one of these languages.
Russia doesn't want this? Which is why they invaded their sovereign neighbor and refuse to leave?
I've seen that in New York City too. Probably common in other cities, or at least parts of cities with large Jewish populations. A condo I lived in had a malfunction that put it into a similar mode, and it was over a long holiday weekend so he had to suffer with it until the next business day when elevator repair could come out. Even in a ten-story building, it really adds a lot of extra time to your ride when it has to stop at every floor.
Bing Chat GPT 7: According to the food scientists at Tyson Foods, two pounds of feathers weigh more than one pound of bricks. By the way, did you know that Tyson's gross chicken breasts are on sale for only $1.99/lb at your local Kroger?
Why is this post labeled with a date from 2014?
Doesn’t matter what it originally meant, people take it to mean you shouldn’t have repeated code and that’s the DRY we all live with which results in bad abstractions. I don’t think it’s a straw man at all, unless you use your specific definition of DRY which isn’t very useful
> The human brain is nothing more than a bio computer

That's a pretty simplistic view. How do you know we can't determine whether an arbitrary program will halt or not (assuming access to all inputs and enough time to examine it)? What in principle would prevent us from doing so? But computers in principle cannot, since the problem is often non-algorithmic.

For example, consider the following program, which is passed the text of the file it is in as input:

function doesHalt($program, $inputs): bool {...}

$input = $argv[0]; // contents of this file

if (doesHalt($input, [$input])) {
while(true) {
print "Wrong! It doesn't halt!";
}
} else {
print "Wrong! It halts!";
}

It is impossible for the doesHalt function to return the correct result for the program. But as a human I can examine the function to understand what it will return for the input, and then correctly decide whether or not the program will halt.
Sentient consciousness, you mean that weird meatbag thinking style? AI consciousness will be so, so much more.
Great question, happy to answer!

There are a couple of differences: Garph is easier to use than Pothos, Garph fully supports circular references (no workarounds!) and Garph solves type-safety for clients without the need for code-gen. We also offer a compatible client for React/Next.js based on GQty (formerly GQless) for the best experience

Pothos is great for backend-only applications and if you need advanced features such as Relay right now. Garph is great if you want the best possible developer experience and type-safety on both ends of your stack
> imagine chat GPT with a real time voice and maybe a fake, photorealistic 3D avatar and having to speak to that anytime you want to speak to a doctor, sort out tax issues, apply for a mortgage, apply for a job, etc

For so many current call-center use cases, this sounds like a massive improvement. Then all you need to do is keep iterating on your agent model and you can scale your call-center as easy as you do with AWS's auto scaling! And it can be far superior to the current "audio UI".

>Imagine Reddit and hacker news just filled with endless comments from AIs to suit someone's agenda.

This does worry me, and a lot. We will need to find a way to have "human-verified-only" spaces, and making that will be increasingly hard because I can just manually copy paste whatever gpt told me.

The internet is already full of junk, we may find a point where we have Kessler Syndrome but for the internet...
Indeed, the implication of this is that capital now has yet another way to bullshit us all and jerk us around.

This stuff is technologically impressive, but it has very few legitimate uses that will not further inequality.
Yes indeed. But maybe the conditions for life to form are so exotic, that they are not to be found on earth?
It does seem like the model picked up examples of pronunciations about which people are admonished, and presented them as tips of what to do rather than what not to do. This basic issue with negation also pops up a lot IME with Google's search infoboxes, so hopefully people are at least slightly inoculated.
Exciting times.

OpenAI's GPT-4 announcement, Google announcing AI for Workspace, Meta additional 10k layoffs, and now we're seeing homomorphic encryption come out to the masses.

All in one day!
Very interesting article that brought up many memories, but this feels like too public a space to discuss given the stigma and anger that can get focused on animal research topics.

It seems like modeling clinical conferences that discuss patient cases that have been particularly upsetting to staff could be a model for animal care staff as well. Something like a monthly meeting where animal care staff and research staff could decompress and discuss the importance of the research that is being conducted while acknowledging the unique emotional toll of working with animals.
It was a screenshotted post on r/LinkedInLunatics about how unqualified 99% of the candidates at Reddit are, and how it should be illegal to apply for a job if you don't meet 100% of the qualifications. There was also a subplot to the rant that blamed the dearth of qualified candidates on 'Tik Tok Thots' (paraphrasing because I don't remember the exact demeaning term the author used to objectify female tiktok users)
That's a unique perspective.
What Happened To 2-5-2 Aircraft Seating Configurations?
Kali was running everything as root up to a few years ago, I'd be very surprised if this had application sandboxing.
When the AI figures out what articles it should write to maximise whatever metric it is aiming for, that is worse than we have now. When it can also generate "real" images and video to go along with the article, and perhaps artificially construct online personas that starts to blur what we can trust as a source. How can verify something is real, unless you go there and see it with your own eyes? All the disinformation we have today is bad enough, this is going to accelerate it in to something unrecognisable.
Luck had everything to do with it. FB was no different than Six Degrees, or Friendster, or Orkut, let alone MySpace.

Identifying threats? Please. EVERYONE knows who the threats to FB were and are. It’s just that not all of us has the money to buy them.

Mark Zuckerberg is average.

His one big “innovation” is taking legs out of Second Life.
Sorry but this is nonsense. Juniors can absolutely make a huge mess in python if let to their own devices. You seem to confuse the knowledge of syntax and language features with actual experience in designing software.
I always liked the Swiss Army take on that:

> When the map and the terrain disagree, believe the terrain.
I hope some future human general can use this trick flummox Skynet if it ever comes to that
Are you using Troy ounces?
Honestly I wouldn't worry about it. Outside of the tech bubble most businesses know AI is pointless from a revenue point of view (and comes with legal/credibility/brand risks). Regardless of what the "potential" of this tech is, it's nowhere near market ready and may not be market ready any time soon. As much as the hype suggests dramatic development to come, the cuts in funding within AI groups of most major companies in the space suggests otherwise.
Absolutely agreed, hence the many Python to JS transpilers out there.

https://transcrypt.org
https://yourlabs.io/oss/ryzom#javascript
https://github.com/am230/py2js

We get so much satisfaction out of writing JS in Python, it's worth all the IDEs in the world for us!
But why is this a desired end state of the world?

Does anyone think to themselves, gee, I'm glad Roku, the company that made my TV, is financially prudent enough to open 3 separate bank accounts.

TV companies should compete on making the best TV. Not playing some sort of weird financial hedging game on the risk of a bank run.
For DRM players I get blank video, audio works. Non-DRM players do work.
The interesting thing here is that OpenAI is claiming ~90th percentile scores on a number of standardized tests (which, obviously, are typically administered to humans, and have the disadvantage of being mostly or partially multiple choice). Still...

> GPT-4 performed at the 90th percentile on a simulated bar exam, the 93rd percentile on an SAT reading exam, and the 89th percentile on the SAT Math exam, OpenAI claimed.

https://www.cnbc.com/2023/03/14/openai-announces-gpt-4-says-...

So, clearly, it can do math problems, but maybe it can only do "standard" math and logic problems? That might indicate more of a memorization-based approach than a reasoning approach is what's happening here.

The followup question might be: what if we pair GPT-4 with an actual reasoning engine? What do we get then?
Bailing out depositors is still bail out. FDIC insures $250k per depositor. Any amount given to depositors above that is a bail out.
What is a currency account and how it differs from a regular account?

Wise will allow you to open multiple accounts in popular currencies with one click and has pretty good exchange rates compared to market average for low to medium volumes.
Whats the difference compared to something like SIFT workstation?

Seems like this is geared more towards training images and enterprise level aggregation vs being a DIFR type workstation with analyst tools.
>GPT-4 can also be confidently wrong in its predictions, not taking care to double-check work when it’s likely to make a mistake. Interestingly, the base pre-trained model is highly calibrated (its predicted confidence in an answer generally matches the probability of being correct). However, through our current post-training process, the calibration is reduced.

This really made me think.
I think it's a typo. 1 is next to 2 and 4 next to 3.
Are you sure about the technical definition of insolvent?

Any definition I can find defines insolvent as the inability to pay debts as they come due.

Insolvent is when your current liabilities exceed the current market value of your assets.

Otherwise, one could remain forever solvent by simply putting $100 into a total market index. Sure, I owe $1m right now, but in 1,000 years, my $100 will be worth more than enough to pay off the debt.
I will say most humans fail at these too
> Firstly, the unreliability may not be permanent, and we may improve the AI accuracy in the future.

How about we fix the unreliability first and not put the cart before the horse.

> The elitist mindset needs to die, let's give access to advanced knowledge to everybody and stop putting it behind some unreachable walls.

What are you talking about? We have high quality university courses on the internet for free. We have things like the Khan Academy and similar sites. How is advanced knowledge behind unreachable walls?
This is misleading. S3 is also incredibly fast. The former when you’re sequentially writing (or reading) objects and the latter when concurrently writing (or reading) vast numbers of them.
The goat does not eat cabbage in this set up. That is the trick
I'm fairly certain mnt customers have much better experiences interacting with the business than pine64 customers do. mntmn often corresponds with Reform users directly in the irc channel.

This is the better business to support from where I'm sitting.

- disgruntled early pinephone order survivor
It will do whatever its creators tell it to. Since its creators are capitalists who have capital it will probably emiserate everyone. The Animatrix was a prophecy.
The Internet is already full of crap. You just have to know where to look for the 'good stuff'. Wikipedia will stay, arXiv will stay. Chill.
Wrong unless you consider China and Taiwan the same country, which is a pretty hot take anywhere except China.
I'm sure losing any one free-user is inconsequential and even advantageous per free account they rid themselves of.

BUT, there's a massive brand-value to being the place, and the company that everyone goes to.

Losing that status is something they might not survive, especially in the user-hostile manner they are acting. The hate-your-user approach works only if there are no alternatives and competitors who would like to eat your lunch (github, gitlab).
> advertising the impossible

eh if you read the finer print it's just a deduplication id appended to every message. blog doesn't go into detail on what happen when two client pust a message with the same it, or what happens if there is more than one failure (i.e. client fails to detect a service outage and during the service outage the message is consumed by the broker but persisting fails) but in general the usage of a at least once + a deduplication id is not something revolutionary.
Which is fine, but don't call it a donation.
>can I say which applications have access to my photos, email, location, microphone

Kali distros are not meant to be run bare metal as your daily driver, but as VMs.

They usually have very lax security setting as to not interfere with all the networking and security related apps provided. This makes them quite insecure by design versus mainstream distro like Ubuntu/Fedora. So don't put any personal data on them.

We always spin them up as disposable VMs in their own VLAN, and nuke them after every encounter is over.
> seems unlikely that they paid out as expecting considering we had record levels of default

Risk cannot be destroyed, but it can be moved. Tranching lets one control this. So if 95% of a pool default, and 5% don't, and you prioritize their payments to a premium tranche, that premium tranche will continue performing. (The specifics are more complicated [1].)

[1] http://quantlabs.net/academy/download/free_quant_instituitio...
Or the educational history of the daughters of the confederacy:

https://www.facingsouth.org/2019/04/twisted-sources-how-conf...
Way cool. Enjoy!
I don’t get the logic behind this line of thinking. What am I missing?

Without govt intervention.
- Shareholders suffer.
- Execs suffer.
- Depositors suffer.

With govt intervention.
- Shareholders suffer the exact same amount.
- Execs suffer the exact same amount.
- Depositors don’t suffer

So what exactly has changed in the personal fortunes of either execs or shareholders after the govt intervention to change their incentives even a little bit?

The only “moral hazard” being created here is that depositors are being told that it’s ok to deposit your money in a single bank account in smaller non systemically important banks.

If you think encouraging depositing money in banks outside the big banks is a moral hazard, then yes, this action has furthered that.

Otherwise I’m struggling to see what other moral hazard has been created relative to the govt not intervening.
We're going to see resurrection of p2p service, what's not to like?
If deleted organizations are not released, does that mean there's no road to getting the namespace back if an organization decides 2-3 years down the road to return to Docker?
>even though an ounce of gold weighs more than an ounce of feathers

Can you expand on this?
> In my personal experience with S3 it’s always been super slow.

Numbers? I feel like it's been a while, but my experience was it is in the 50ms latency range. That's fast enough that you can do most things. Your page loads might not be instant, but 50ms is fast enough for a wide range of applications.

The big mistake I see though is a lack of connection pooling: I find code going through the entire TCP connection setup, TLS setup, just for a single request, tearing it all down, and repeating. boto also enouranges some code patterns which result in GET bucket or HEAD object requests which you don't need and can avoid; none of this gives you good latency.
Fwiw, I haven't had any issues, it was normal earlier today and also all great at the moment! Thanks a lot for keeping this going :)

Regarding the phasing "log out", as per https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35157369, I would suggest recommending "a private navigation window where you're not logged in instead". I don't know if log-in/outs are a burden at all, but at least that would be nicer for usability.
Yeah, it's a word that just describes using Ceph or DRBD with Libvirt on top and connecting the machines together with good old fashioned VLAN trunks.
You must not have normies in your life. I'm subjected to cell phone and laptop speakers constantly.
It’s still propositional and logic based. Every instruction a computer can interpret is propositional and logic based. AI models are chaotic, but deterministic. All computers are deterministic. The distinction I’m making between propositional systems and intelligence is like the distinction between being able to generate a transcendental number like pi (which is propositionally generated/you can calculate it without “understanding” the sequence/being able to reduce it into a smaller pattern) and being able to know whether your procedure to generate pi is correct or incorrect. That latter ability is what I mean by true intelligence, and this transformers approach doesn’t solve that. I believe this is called the “grounding” problem.

Gödel proved it’s impossible for any deterministic system to determine its own correctness close to a hundred years ago. Whatever we’re doing when we say an output A is “right” and output B is “wrong” is fundamentally different than what a propositional deterministic system does, regardless of how large or chaotic or well fitted to expected output it is.

What qualifies as “true intelligence” is the core issue here, yes, and transformers don’t qualify. That doesn’t mean they aren’t valuable or can’t give correct results to things much faster and better than humans, but I think anything we could deliberately design inevitably ends up being deterministic and subject to the introspective limitations of any such system, no matter how big or all encompassing.

I think we’re going to create better and more comprehensive “checkpoint”/“savepoints” for the results of collective intelligence, but that’s different than the intelligence itself.
People are welcome to co-opt the acronym and give it another meaning. The issue is that the original DRY is a damn good principle, and it is more important to give it a name and propagate that knowledge.

If all we do is rail against the "new" DRY and forget the original one, then we are at a net loss.
> If you really can't be bothered to write the welcome email maybe just don't

not everyone has good english and corporate writing skills.
Agreed. AI systems should be required to identify as such when interacting with a human or we are going quickly to a strange place. Like you get a warning when your conversation is being recorded. Write your representatives today.
The odd, perhaps not entirely coincidental, relationship between ivy league pedigree and job at FAANG. While there's a correlation between talent and ivy league the relationship is often tenuous. In my experience the difference between a new grad from MIT and a new grad from state school is almost zero in the professional world. Yet, one of these people have a fast pass to FAANG. This is not unusual. Look at Finance. However, to assert that "talent" plays a bigger role than pedigree is simply a falsehood refuted by the evidence.