skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Quote: I hope you have found this blog post informative and engaging. As the human writer behind this piece, I want to assure you that while ChatGPT is a powerful tool that can provide valuable insights and assistance, it will never replace me as the author of my own work. I believe that the human touch is essential in creating content that truly resonates with readers, and I take great pride in crafting pieces that reflect my own unique perspective and voice. Thank you for taking the time to read my work, and I look forward to sharing more of my ideas with you in the future.

This ChatGPT conclusion is well said! The trend of people putting out blog posts rewritten by ChatGPT because they are self-conscious about their writing style should stop. You won't improve your own writing skills by delegating final editing to an AI.
Request logs are a source of truth for certain metrics. A tracker service may get you more metadata than the request line in the logs, but something like 25% of internet users use ad block, which often blocks trackers as well (I block plausible). Not seeing metrics for bots, scrapers, and x% of users can really mess up certain metrics.
Getting a strong John Henry vibe with Programming (and law degrees). Things are going to get interesting...Tinkering with Calculus and ML models feels like the eventual future of logic tasks.
> When someone in front of you walks in the same direction, you follow them.

I had the exact same thought. It's logical. If you're moving across a crowded place and the person(s) in front of you are acting as "ice breakers", you naturally follow them in that direction as it is the easiest choice.

If you're moving on your own (you're the ice breaker), you will tend to avoid other people according to normal "traffic rules", and assuming everybody else also does that you effectively have lines going each direction. Also unsurprisingly, if you ask people to "evade" to the opposite side this messes up the system.
That means logo designers are out of job. Not programmers.
> todays generation of AI yes.

No. They have no idea what my codebase it, how to translate concepts like "audio is limited to users on free tier" into code etc.

> I worry about an AI that will LEARN your product and LEARN your database and LEARN your tribal knowledge.

It won't, not for any foreseeable future. It fails consistently even at the most simple of tasks. If you're afraid that you will be made relevant because we will be able to teach it those simple tasks?

> when you look at what joomla,wordpress,squarespace did to website design it is a very similar trajectory.

What did they do? Did they make you obsolete?
Yes. For the time being you are still relevant.

But AI is slowly taking over these tasks, pretty much the same way the conveyor belt revolutionized our industry.

It is difficult to predict how fast this will happen, but somewhere within a 5-10 year period high level programming will definitively be different from what we are used to today.

As the AI technology improves, programming will be a matter of dictating what you want, from what sources and how it should be displayed.

Code will become better, stable, accessible for all and make us all high level programmers.

There will still be programmers, however they will most likely be much more specialized than what they are today.
Not an expert on SIPC either, but if you have less than $500k on your brokerage (including a max of $250k in cash), you should be fine either way (just like with FDIC insurance). The only possible exception is if you allow the broker to lend your shares, but even that may be covered, I don't know. If you have more though, the assets of an account with no margin are segregated, held 1-1, and are not allowed to be lent on, which simplifies the situation (barring criminal actions by Schwab, which are very unlikely). Not sure of the exact legal situation, but I remember that in 2008, this was considered relevant for funds that platformed with Bear Stearns, and caused funds to deleverage (ironically accelerating the situation)) in the weeks leading to its collapse/takeover.

Again, this is almost certainly not relevant, but it was a pretty simple action for me to do and quelled my paranoia.
I believe that self pub can make the most, but I'd be hard pressed to recommend it for a first book.

Maybe survivorship bias in the results? I know plenty of self pub authors that never cleared $1000 of sales. But then you have people that hit it big. Those people always seem to have a large existing audience, though.
I've always seen it as a feature that you can't access data from outside your own sandbox, kind of the killer thing that made the internet so useful for so many things without worrying about other sites being able to access your domain's data. Now copied to newer OSes and the reason why I trust my mom on Android a thousand times more than on Windows (or Linux, if it had had enough market share to have a serious malware industry).

But I can see how you could see it another way indeed
I'm probably a bit older than you. Even so, I plan to work as a programmer for roughly the next 25 years at least. I'm not worried about competition from AI becoming a meaningful factor in that timeframe, any more than actors in the past few centuries have been worried about being replaced by trained parrots.
To approximate the validity of this statement, you can ask yourself "What was the earliest time, when I expected AI to be where it is today?"
I guess?

They can also just park on the street and watch you…
Existing AI is not AGI. Existing AI is dangerous. Existing AI is widely deployed and growing.

Existing AI is more important to worry about.
Wow, all the way from Montreal?

The troops were landed on the Patuxent River, and marched a considerably shorter distance to Washington. I would also mention that the British called the burning retaliation for the burning of York (now Toronto).

But supposedly the War Department had plans in its files for an invasion of Canada as late as the 1930s.
I deal with a bit of anxiety for a number of reasons, that I personally work on. I have a background in control theory we even used early neural nets in my research. I’m somewhat familiar with how LLMs work. With all that said? I get mini panic attacks about what my job will look like in 10 years. To pay the bills I’ve been in mobile native development for a few years now. I genuinely panic when I see people say AGI is coming soon, or Sam Altman say that AI is coming for Knowledge based work first. Is my whole world about to crumble? Will I be ok? What can I do to prepare?

Then other days, I use chatgpt or bing and I see some silly response, or I remember my control theory background and I feel at ease again.

It’s a really horrible rollercoaster ride mentally.
Here's the map: https://www.usanpn.org/files/npn/maps/six-leaf-index-anomaly...
> Police and prosecutors can and do make mistakes, inadvertently or sometimes prejudiciously.

That's one of the reasons murder is used. Hard to fudge the statistics on it, immune to overpolicing, most of it is intra-racial, and it's hard to misidentify a perpetrator so bad that they go from white to black.

But for non-murder, there is the National Crime Victimization Survey, that does not involve the police, and acts as a check on their data: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Crime_Victimization_S...
If an AI can "rationalize" your product, know your database, know your design, legal, and other constraints, at that point, what employment role is not at risk?

You wouldn't need project or product managers or designers. Heck, at that point, you don't need accountants either. Maybe you have a team that supervises the AI - but, really, you could have an AI do that. So you have the business owner(s) and zero employees. No more tech companies as everything can be done by AI, including CEO work.

What I actually expect: better tooling. We were not replaced when we went from punch cards to C - it just increased demand for programmers. AI may be the next tooling, but I only see more opportunity: solutions happening faster.
If it wasn’t for appearances only it would be under HR or perhaps HR would report into DEI role.
The productive farmland of today are tomorrow’s arid solar farms unfortunately.
He is right because it is free.

Maybe not free in the geek bugbear sense, but in the sense that the real world actually uses, especially in a discussion about cost.
Wow.

Is it total reduction now of 21K of 86K approximately? 24.4%
Agreed. Some example links or a single small before/after image would have helped.
The foreseeable future is quite short though, and getting shorter. You didn't predict the success of LLMs even a year before they hit the mainstream. Right now you can't predict the next big AI thing, what it'll do and when. To me the future stops being "foreseeable" and becomes very foggy (which jobs still exist and so on) a few years from now at the longest.
Your proposal is that we wave a magical wand and suddenly medical care costs nothing and doctors, nurses, etc. don't need to be paid well?

If we're going to play this silly game of absolutes, you're envisioning a utopia that cannot exist.
Existential questions aside, this post is a non-article that adds nothing to this conversation. It's the kind of noise that I'd expect LLMs to replace.
"What makes it secure" is a common (and reasonable) question from anybody curiously minded.

The answer is symmetric cryptography, and you can give a layman example of what that is. But the key word is cryptography.
But what exactly should I search for? The whole point is that list is I don't remember.
To put it bluntly, a 20% VAT translates into an additional implicit 20% income tax for all income used to pay expenses. Assuming two people make €1k and €5k a month (after accounting for all other taxes) and both have fixed expenses of €1k, the former pays 20% taxes on their €1k and the other pays 20% taxes on their first €1k and gets to take the remaining €4k tax free to invest in retirement savings, repay loans or what have you. This translates into an effective 4% tax for the person making €5k compared to the 20% tax for the person barely making ends meet.

This is why some people call it a regressive tax. You can literally take that €4k and put it all in a stable investment vehicle VAT-free. You only pay taxes on it if you spend it. The person making €1k a month will have the same 20% higher effective income tax but you will always pay a lower effective tax rate unless you also spend (i.e. purchase goods or services with) every single cent of your income.

Cutting VAT would leave you both with more money but while nothing much would change for you it would increase the poorer person's effective disposable income by 25% (€800->€1000). Heck, even if income tax was raised by a flat 4% across the board, you'd be no worse off but their effective disposable income would increase by 20% (€800->€960).
Or maybe I'm a communist and want to follow the example of the USSR when dealing with mental illness.
That sounded interesting. I think it's probably this Dan, https://homes.cs.washington.edu/~djg/publications/, making said thesis "Safe programming at the C level of abstraction", https://homes.cs.washington.edu/~djg/papers/grossman_thesis....
What Makes Disinformation Ads Engaging? A Case Study from Russian Campaign
Honest question: Is ChatGPT better than IntelliJ already was?
How I made $140 without a domain name (or a logo) in one week
No idea. Michigan is more gray than Wisconsin because the air picks up moisture as it crosses lake Michigan. The western parts get a lot of lake effect snow too. Chicago I have no idea. How does it compare to Milwaukee?
> Off-chain data (such as personal information

So actual data that proves that this physical person is the owner of this physical asset.

> It could be stored in a, b, c

> then an application can pull the data from wherever it is stored

Ah yes. Because when it's stored in a non-centralised database of "local computer at owner's residence" or "hosted server controlled by the owner" that data is easily accessible and retrievable.
Can we not admit we’re fucked and any effort at this point is to take the edge off the pain we’re going to experience globally over the next century or two?
Daffodils on our block here in Brooklyn started coming up around the last week of February, which felt like three weeks or so too soon.

This was definitely the mildest winter I've experienced in my life. And if I'm remembering correctly, NYC was reclassified as a "humid, subtropical" climate zone a few years ago. Looking forward to the future palm trees on the east river. /s
Given a choice between pre-industrial life and our current lifestyle, the choice is obvious.
> Is there a way to make it "think" it is connected to internet?

You actually want the opposite, to make it think it's not connected to the internet. In other words, a network connection blockers such as Little Snitch.
It's not just bloat. It's also shitty devs that create more work for everybody else.
The brand is obvious- it's the author's ethics. Why shoehorn into someone else's brand? Sam Bankman-Fried claimed "Effective Altruiat" ethics. What is the value in demanding someone lie about their vrand?
25% seems way too high if you are not talking about some tech audiences focused website. Especially on mobile not many people install an as blocker, I would be surprised if it’s more than 1% globally.
Sorry what is a soy latte programmer
If you celebrate a war over slavery as heroic while falseley claiming it wasnt about slavery, that is glorifying slavery.

Same as holocaust deniers are glorifying the Nazi regimes murders by claiming it didn't happen, when they know it did.
Why not create a diversity team? If diversity is a good goal and companies aren’t meeting it then why not create a diversity team to make more progress?
The Fed has gone out of its way several times to ban full reserve and narrow banks from ever getting access to Fed reserves.
Dear Metamates,

I've had to make some hard decisions, to fire ten thousand of you. But don't worry I take full responsibility for this failure.
Whether it was a mistake or not. It's taken over. And many people have worked hard to make it a modern language the last 20 years.

I've seen many attempts to take over js, thusfar they all failed. At the same time JS got more and more powerful.

Js is so integrated in every corporate it will not go away any time soon.

JS solves so many issues know and the css layout is much more mature than then any under native system (native apps, flash etc are much worse at responsive layouts)

Wasp sounds fun, it's very early stage and doesnt sound like it has anything to do with webpages but runs a binary in a browser sandbox. Kind of like flash without a plugin. Can have a lot of cool features, mainly games etc. But sounds like an addition not a replacement. But who knows!
Funnily enough the new year did use to start in spring before the adoption of the Gregorian calendar, so you were almost right, just 300 years too late
> Also: is SBF really the central example of alignment in your head, and not, say Yudkowsky? Because Yudkowsky is my central example, and he's the exact opposite on all counts.

For normal people who don't spend six hours every day on lesswrong, they were literally in the same camp up until about six months ago (when all the "rationalists" violently disclaimed SBF after being funded by him for a few good years.)
> Overall, we expect to reduce our team size by around 10,000 people and to close around 5,000 additional open roles that we haven’t yet hired.

Wait so does that mean they'll end up with 10K less after hiring 5K folks? Which might imply that they'll be firing 15K people.
> It's not that I don't think diversity in corporate environments is extremely valuable

The fact that you pre-emptively accept the idea that maximizing diversity to its limits is beneficial to corporations shows that people just take these things at heart because "the people in charge said so". It is not a coincidence that much of the research of the supposed benefits of diversity in businesses comes from business schools in prestigious institutions—HBR, Stanford Business School, etc. As these institutions are one of the most authoritative entities of the structures of power in the West. At some point this bubble must burst.
"Year of Efficiency". Oh wow.
I'm not sure what is wrong here, taking into account that it's usual for Sony to make titles produced by their subsidiaries as exclusives for PS only (yes, e.g. God of War was released on PC too, but that was almost 4 years after the initial launch as PS4 exclusive). At least Microsoft releases games on Windows simultaneously with Xbox launch, and these Windows releases could run on Linux too (thank you Valve & Proton). Not possible with Sony stuff.
You're assuming that every single year you're going to have major leaps in this tech. And that in any foreseeable future the leap will be such that an AI will be useful enough to answer those questions.
Dethroning Finance
I mean, take the next ticket on your board, feed it into an AI and call it a day. You could even take another job (or why not a dozen) and just outsource yourself to an AI. Good luck!

In case it's not obvious, this is sarcasm. It doesn't work like that, nor is it likely to anytime soon. And even if that day comes in our lifetime (which I doubt), your boss or PM still couldn't just delegate tickets to the AI. The AI would need people with advanced knowledge of both the AI and the domain who understand how to supervise it, and that would most likely be you and me.
The failure of no-code will be the same failure of AI programming...

People miss understand (and most business failure to realize the potential) of IT in general which is not typing functions in the latest programming lang...

It is problem solving. The number if times I have sat down with a business user to go over a problem they are having only to have to unpack the Rube Goldberg machine of illogical processes, datasets, and dependencies they have created to arrive at their "solution" they are now asking for my assistance with.....

I dont look for AI, at least not ChatGPT AI to solve that. Most IT problems are Solution XY issues. ChatGPT can solve to Y, but understanding X is the real trick
"How many of those services were purposely broken by libertarians,"

Umm none? I don't recall a Libertarian ever being in power.

"When something is privatized, it's usually given a monopoly via bid."

Yes, a bid from the government....
Look up a few "teams enabled camera" webcam on microsoft website. They all seems to be 1080p or higher camera as the article described. And they do have little negative reviews on amazon product page. That probably actually worth looking if I want to buy a better camera for streaming or something else next time. Wondering why no product advertise themself as "teams enabled camera", as it actually need to pass a somewhat strict test to get that badge.
They show an example of this under "Training Recipe". They prompt Davinci to give them instruction following examples, 20 at a time. And that a lot of times. The context window is also 4000 tokens, at least that is the maximum amount you can pick in the OpenAI playground.
That's a good point, and I guess the meta point is that there are a thousand and one things I haven't mentioned here that it would have to do as well. To some extent perhaps we could solve this from the LLM the same way a human would: by iteratively plugging in the errors generated by the output back into the bot and taking some next step based on the suggestions generated.

But then we'd have to coerce the bot into generating structured responses that can act as next steps.
Intel's documentation covers encoding. I remember it being relatively heavy going to decipher, been a few years since I've worked on x64 though.
Would you say that cows are adapted for eating plants? Because boy do those animals fart, even just standing there in a field eating grass. I don't know what a gut "at rest" means, but I would suggest that it's not necessarily indicative of a diet that you're adapted to. In fact it seems like it's more of a psychological thing than anything else.
Metaverse was only mentioned 2 times.
Don't know much about the invisibility cloak. But in wireless communications the "better smart mirror" idea is being investigated to achieve arbitrary reflection directions that defy Snell's law [1][2]. The objective is to hang these "mirrors" on walls/buildings and reflect the incident power towards areas where the reception is poor.

[1] https://arxiv.org/abs/2110.09183

[2] https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9718037
No, it means that they won't hire these 5K in the first place.
Last week: Post surfaces saying that on 3/14 there'd be a mass layoff of managers & directors. Many people react that no way is this true

3/14: Zuck posts that they're making their orgs "flatter", in other words laying off a bunch of managers & directors
If that were true, bank runs could not happen.
An Introduction to the USA Computing Olympiad (2020) [pdf]
I'm reading it as 10,000 people being fired and 5,000 job openings, some of which may have offers out, being cancelled.
The fall of SVB and how I tried to save as many straps as I could
This reminds me of that dumb meme: "you criticize society, and yet you participate in it... Interesting".

In a capitalistic system, money is power, and messing with it has serious consequences.

I'd rather be punched in the face than have all my savings drained, for example (as long as it's not Mike Tyson doing the punching).
> Wasn’t part of the drive to client side analytics an effort to improve data quality, [...]

Interesting, I did not know that narrative. But what I can tell from subjective experience is that bots is'nt so much a problem with client side analytics. counter.dev filters them out by not logging very short page views by the way. For me the bigger challenge with client side analytics is not being able to track clients which are using a tracking blocker. Which I guess is the end users right to use (I even use uBlock origin myself). But if you start missing roughly 50% of page visits it starts getting an issue for web site owners. The data does not need to be detailed, just accurate enough.

Web analytics on hosters... yeah if they fit your use case then great, but for me that is vendor lock in and I would avoid it if possible and web analytics is more or less a topic for itself that I'd prefer to leave with a specialised solution. But obviously I am biased haha.
It's 4chan gobbledegook that has no place in actual discourse
Who knows, maybe we'll see new programming jobs emerge for cleaning up all the shitty LLM code finding its way into systems as we speak. Lazy programmers have provided me a lot of job security in the past.
Palm API and MakerSuite: start prototyping and building generative AI apps
Can LLMs produce orignal work or it just limited answering Q&A?
As someone who is not very knowledgeable in the AI domain, I've been exploring the capabilities of LLMs (large language models). From what I understand, LLMs are trained on existing content that is assumed to be original. However, this means that LLMs are limited to what they have learned from past resources and cannot think beyond that.

Considering this limitation, would it be safe to assume that LLMs cannot produce new, original work?

I'm also concerned that the internet will soon be flooded with LLM-generated content, which will be used to train LLMs further. In my opinion, such feedback will hardly help and may even make LLMs more rigid in their answers.

Although there are parallel efforts to detect machine-generated content and prevent it from ranking on top, this technology is still in its nascent phase.

What do you think about the limitations and potential risks of LLMs?
Surely if there’s one task that’s AGI-complete, it’s programming. So if the AI makes programming obsolete, you probably have bigger things to worry about than job security.
That's not how they decide who gets laid off.