skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
C'mon now, credit where credit is due:

Roger A. Pielke Jr. is an American political scientist and professor, and was the director of the Sports Governance Center within the Department of Athletics at the Center for Science and Technology Policy Research at the University of Colorado Boulder.

But yes, a long time denialist amd one frequently steadfastly wrong in the face of evidence independantly confirmed by multiple third parties of standing.

He got that from his father who was also an AGW denialist (a climate change believer, but a denier that humans play any meaningful role), albeit one with more relevant credentuals:

Roger A. Pielke Sr. is an American meteorologist with interests in climate variability and climate change, environmental vulnerability, numerical modeling, atmospheric dynamics, land/ocean – atmosphere interactions, and large eddy/turbulent boundary layer modeling.

FWiW it is universally acknowledged that Jnr. does have considerable expertise and knowledge in the field of water polo.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Roger_A._Pielke_Jr.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Roger_A._Pielke
If you have layers that look like: view -> controller -> application services -> model/db, I focus most of my automated tests on everything at the application services.

Critically, I don't mock our db, instead I focus on making setup and teardown fast.

It seems to get me the most bang for my buck.

Then I have a few end-to-end tests for more critical flows.
It always is a coincidence isn’t it. Isn’t that unfortunate.
someone who only has a 1060 is what you'd call a casual gamer.

A proper gamer would have a 4080, or at least a 3070, with the requisite 8gig of video ram.
Which has very little to do with profit.
> the whole purpose of the fed is to ensure that we don't have a systemic, cascading bank failure

I thought they set (or manipulate) the price of money via interest rates. And they help provide liquidity to primary dealers of US Treasury debt which helps govt ignore persistent budget deficits. They also hold USA's gold on their balance sheet and there hasn't been a full audit since ..?
https://hedgehogreview.com/

https://www.thenewatlantis.com/

https://thepointmag.com/

https://shop.generalsemantics.org/collections/etc

https://www.analogsea.com/

https://magculture.com/blogs/journal/jonathan-simons-analog-...
Agree. A lot of the frustration and confusion here seems to be due to assuming these universities should just serve the smartest kids. The truth is that in practice they provide credentials for both elites and experts, and the former need not be brainiacs.
not the same at all. Trustzone is a special mode of the very same main CPU (more like intel's SMM), whereas PSP and ME are a separate core
Okay but there are addicts out there, they have families, and your glib reply was offensive to those people, to me.
So weird to think that near-zero interest rates are the best you can do for the next 10 years. I'm pretty sure everyone way saying "lock in this low interest rate before they go up again!"
Damage control. This risks turning into a megathread that would want to stay on the front page for a few days and that would make some people uncomfortable. It conveniently gets flagged or gets demoted to 100th page where fewer pairs of eyes reach.
I think both of those words are nebulous and therefore it is hard to talk about them in a meaningful way.

I feel like freewill is a made up idea entirely and while we might have the experience of free will, the reality is different.

I think drugs are a great thing to think about in reference to free will. There are many drugs that will force your mind into specific modalities. There are drugs that can be injected that will force you to sleep, force you unconscious, or force you to experience reality in a way other than what you are accustomed.

Not eating food can result in people become hangry without even understanding they are angry because they haven't eaten. Interview results and court judgements are different based on having eaten lunch or not.

Even if you believe in the idea of free will, it seems pretty clear that chemical forces can dominate free will. This means that at best free will is a spectrum.

The sights you see are little waves reacting with chemicals in your eyeballs conducting electricity through various nerves. The various stimuli we can experience all have physical and chemical basis. These stimuli are then processed by the machinery of our brain, which can alter the structure and machinery of our brain. At least that's my understanding.

If everything can be explained by a physical processes, then it seems like if you had perfect knowledge about the current state, then you could predict the next, and if you can predict one state, with perfect knowledge of a previous state, then it seems clear that freewill is an illusion and therefore a product of consciousness and not a requirement of it.

If I smashed your hand with a hammer, do you think I could reliably predict you will feel pain? Of course you will. Do you that think that even if you feel pain your response is free will? You can choose to say ow, or try to fight me, or run away so I don't smash your hand again. But what if you had a history of losing fights? What if your testosterone is high or low? What if you have genetic markers that result in under production or over production of adrenaline? Is the adrenaline causing your heart to race free will? Will the subjective experience of rushing adrenaline influence or control your "decision." At what point does influence become control? Are counter influences other predictable physical systems?

Why can't depressed people choose to be happy?

Why can't ADHD people choose to concentrate?

I think dementia and mental illness is another interesting avenue of exploring free well and consciousness.

If I were to try to describe free will somewhat rigorously, I would say free will is the subjective experience of the thinking mind overriding the feeling mind.

Consciousness is much harder. The idea clearly exists, because we all have some notion of "I." Being able to say "I feel this way" means that consciousness is an idea that exists. It seems like the idea of consiousness must involve the idea of a closed system because "I" indicates a separation of one grouping of atoms from another. I'm not sure what the second property is that creates subjective experience, memory?
I knew it guys, I knew it. I knew a comment like this would be the most voted comment.
Silicon Valley Bank Served the Tech Industry and Beyond
Maybe I’m missing something but these USB attacks require interaction with kernel drivers so if you plug in a dock that then presents mysterious storage or HID functions, you’re going to know.
I wonder how ChatGTP reinvented its own game? That indicates it's being retrained very frequently on crawl data which I wasn't aware was happening - certainly not with a cycle time in the weeks!
Anyone feel that everything from the Facebook Hail Mary pivot to Meta, to the gutting of Twitter, to the cargo cult mass layoffs, and now all this entire SVB affair has just completely ripped off the mask of the tech industry?

It used to be obvious charlatans like Theranos or not-even-tech hucksters like WeWork, marginal one-offs like Fast, an easily derided industry like crypto. But in the last few months, both established FAANG companies, once-hyped unicorns, now even YC startups are being drawn into vast resonating cascades of incompetence and fail. Interest rates have risen and the entire industry (Apple aside) has been exposed as naked all along. All of the pontificating tech thought leaders and VCs of the last decade? Nothing against the whims of the Fed.
i don't know what the hedge would be, but if they made some return rather than a loss?
$250k is the absolute minimum cap, if the bank managed to set literally every dollar they were supposed to be holding on fire in the parking lot.

SVB was only a little (relatively speaking) underwater, so people over $250k are likely to take only a little haircut. Bad for the bank, not particularly disastrous for the individual accounts, even the big ones.
But it all sucked big time because what we all wanted, was to run those apps in the browser and on the desktop. Adobe Flex was the first real thing that came close: you could have loaded a swf file into an air wrapper. But Flash is dead, Flex is dead. And now we have what we have. It could have been worse.

Frankly, Flex did s lot of things right. The layout and the default widget library was top notch. The grid was a killer feature. The IDE was really helpful.
Sending money to support something the government has decided is a criminal enterprise ... getting your accounts frozen would seem to be the least thing to be concerned about - if indeed this even happened, there seems to be vanishingly little evidence. By the date they're talking about, a state of emergency has been declared to try to do something about the situation. If you're still sending money after that, you need to acknowledge the risks and maybe think about your actions.

> "The right of the state supersede the rights of the individual"

The rights of people to go about their lives freely, specifically those living and working around the 'protest' site, and the residents and workers of the city in general, should supersede the rights of noisy assholes to block roads and blast their horns at all hours of day and night.

In general, you don't get to ruin everyone else's life for your cause. This is why most protests in western countries work with police and have a window of time during which streets are shut down etc. And why (for example) everyone cheered when an environment protestor in London was ripped away from a train he was trying to glue himself to at peak commuting time and given a kicking by the crowd (not that we should praise violence but really, think about what you’re doing).

You don't get to just shut down everyone else's use of a public space, or disrupt people's sleep with your airhorns, or block their access to transport and services, indefinitely. You absolutely have the right to be heard, but you don't get to hold the population or the government to ransom like that, and not expect society to take steps to stop you.
The user is described as unlucky. Usually luck is separate from merit or blame.
All the Companies Facing Major Troubles After Silicon Valley Bank Crash
You're right, the gap is likely much smaller.

I did a quick calculation based on:

- $200bn deposits (on which we agree)

- press reports that Jefferies and hedge funds are offering to buy claims at up to 70c on the dollar (suggesting 30% loss)
A multimodal language assistant (MS has hinted the forthcoming GPT4 might deliver some of this). I'd love to have something with about the smarts of ChatGPT (which I find more than acceptable/trainable) but the ability to deal with dynamic buffers.

Imagine being able to use it for code generation, but then to highlight a line or two and say 'I dont like this bit, because...', integrate with error messages/debuggers, and so on. I think we'd rapidly see a shift towards node-based low-code architecture/specification graphs (and graphs of structured types) coupled with modular code blocs in Your Favorite Language. Over time, development interfaces might shift toward a combination of math formulae and pseudocode as found in scientific papers.

Similarly, imagine a persistent conversational interface to image generation, where you could highlight regions or objects in a generated image (or depth map, or voxel model, or...) and have two-way conversations about aesthetic preferences, rendering considerations, instruction ('distorted feet look back, because it makes humans think of the pain involved in an ankle injury...we need to treat this as a general constraint.')

I think we're barreling toward a technological future where successful AIrtisans™ simultaneously work as clients and teachers, transferring their unique perspectives and modes of thinking to explore problem spaces in new ways. To me, the current offerings are great but also feel like the state of 8-bit home computing - you can play a text adventure game, or an exciting 2d graphic game, or a fun music composition toy, or a programmable calculator/educational game. They're all great in their own way, but they're also pretty unimodal and if you have the technical/domain knowledge, it's not hard to pick out where the 'rails' are. I think once we are able to combine different input modes and run run good-not-great assistants locally on affordable hardware (as in, they don't necessarily get things right first time, but have to be trained and hand-held), then we'll see astonishing breakthroughs.

I'll spare you my overly-opinionated thoughts on AGI.
The one time I published through a publisher was ridiculously stereotypical. Had a dinner at an industry event where I was sitting next to the managing director and acquisitions editor and then finalized an outline with the acquisitions editor over coffee in London when I happened to be there. Even got a second edition but it's still just been a few thousand dollars overall.

That said, it's been a huge benefit professionally well in excess of direct money with book signings at events etc.
To put another way,

"Get woke, go broke"
Office of Strategic Influence
Perhaps my information is inaccurate, that’s the number I was told by a colleague at a financial services firm that just launched their related HYSA sweep product a week ago. Perhaps the limit is defined by each provider?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Certificate_of_Deposit_Account...
Yes, as long as it's with truthful, non-insider information and you don't have a fiduciary duty to the bank or its customers.
Weird, I see comments with the `* * *` using the app Harmonic, on Android. Like my own, here, https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35115859

That's currently showing as three asterisks on Harmonic app. But loading it up in Firefox mobile, correctly shows the content.
Who's tried this?
select boxes are searchable by default. Just isn't obvious. You can also use a datalist
I called for more research on Covid ‘lab leak theory.’ Here’s what I found out
On Treasuries over what windowed series?
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/tags/series?t=treasury%3Byield+c...

Is this the one?

"10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 3-Month Treasury Constant Maturity" https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T10Y3M
Afraid not, only here.
You can at me at scrap.titanium@fastmail.com though.
Yeah, I’ve done a few Sydney -> SF as well, that’s been around for a while I think.

I was wondering whether we’ll get to the point where we can go any airport to any other airport direct. That means figuring out what are the longest theoretical flights. After a bit of thinking I realized that is equivalent to the distance between two points opposite each other on the surface of a sphere, which is just half the circumference of the sphere. Earth’s circumference is roughly 25,000 miles, so there you go: a 12,500 mile range gives you the ability to fly from any airport to any other airport direct. Qantas’s research flights for this project clocked 11,060 miles so we’re pretty close to this being possible.
Will film cameras see a revival?
We already insure 250k in deposits through the FDIC. If you have more than 250k in cash, I don't think its unreasonable to expect that you need to start investing time/money in managing your reserves and not have the rest of society fund the risks you're taking.

If companies want to lobby for some sort of tax like unemployment tax on wage labor, to fund a business version of unemployment, it might be a different story.
Why would they if somebody else does it for them?
LlamaIndex offers ways to chunk up your data and store them in data structures for response synthesis: https://gpt-index.readthedocs.io/en/latest/guides/primer.htm...
Some other thoughtful things I read - https://bigthink.com, https://www.freethink.com, https://positivepsychology.com (written for therapists but helps me see new perspectives), https://www.newscientist.com, https://futurism.com.
if we're talking about cartels, The NFL using the university system as its private farm team system seems like far more of a problem. Especially given that student athletes are often bringing in large amounts of income to the schools they represent.
I was just thinking it would be cool if FDIC posted status reports like an incident update thing…when you have you know a technical issue or an outage this kind of like a running stream of commentary and updates posted by the company if they’re handling it well.

9 am We’re currently experiencing a liquidity issue with our SVB partner and are investigating

11 am Access to 23% of accounts is now restored

12 noon The issue is worse than we first thought. We are taking remediary steps to prevent contagion of the issue

1 pm We aim to have access to under-250k accounts back up by Monday Eastern 9am. Status of larger accounts is unclear as we assess the scope of the damage

Etc…

It’ll be cool if FDIC was posting this kind of info over the weekend…but they probably want to avoid that because it just be fueling the social media speculation mill but it would be good I think.
Been there: https://www.nbcnews.com/technolog/copier-conundrum-xerox-mac...
A casual gamer would be running with Intel or AMD integrated graphics on whatever laptop they can get for a reasonable sum. They might have a mobile RTX 3060 if they splurged a bit. More likely they'll just have a console to game on.

Gamers with RTX 3070 or above are a small count, at least according to Steam. RTX 4080 gamers are a staggering 0.20% of those surveyed.
because they don't have a hard stance*

important typo there.
Would you be surprised to learn that this has been a thing for years already?

http://www.dkriesel.com/en/blog/2013/0802_xerox-workcentres_...

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29223815

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=6156238
Instead of Next and it's bloat, you should try Svelte, a barebones Svelte (not SvelteKit) app feels like a breeze to scaffold and deploy through Netlify or Vercel with nearly 0 configuration. The same can be said about SvelteKit, though you can just get away by using a minimal router like Itty (https://github.com/kwhitley/itty-router) with barebones Svelte (just run npx create-vite, and follow the interactive scaffold process).
OpenAssistant has already collected 100,000 human feedback examples, estimated 5,000+ hours of human work via crowd sourced volunteers.

Enough programmers want this badly enough that its going to happen. Inference at 8 GB and fine tuning at 24 GB, just like stable diffusion, on a 13B model.
In a way, its kinda sad that Musk has taken on so much already, because oddly-enough he might be an inspired fit with what's left of SVB. He already has financial chops: His tenure at PayPall and his crypto-cred give him what is a unique view on where fin is and where fin needs to go.

In an alternate future he might have been being hailed as the fixer of the global financial order...on two planets....
When you join a startup, you are thinking that there's a good chance the startup will fail. The exact mechanism isn't in your thoughts, because it doesn't really matter.
> 'NO BAILOUTS' is an unsubtle slogan, but we're talking about a headline. Headlines are not meant to be nuanced case-switch statements, they serve the same role as function identifiers and need to be maximally concise to get attention.

Just want to say, I've had bugs caused by misleading function identifiers which do something very similar to what they say, but not quite. Developers take the name literally and won't even bother to read their documentation.

And it's the same thing with slogans like "no bailouts" or "defund the police". These slogans do get more attention, but your actual nuanced argument doesn't. That's a problem, because many people who would agree with the actual argument are immediately turned off by the slogan, including the people who need to hear your message the most: those who are unsure and who you're trying to convince to join your side. These unsure people will hear the most adversarial version of your words, like how a customer will read the critical reviews on a sponsored product (not the positive ones), or a jury will pick apart the testimony of the accused.

This is what people (read: Democrats and Republicans) do in today's society: they preach to those who are already on their side and will already vote for them and their proposals. They don't preach to the other side, and presumably think everyone there is a lost cause, because they themselves are hearing the other side's most radical voices. But despite what mass media would make you believe, most people are actually very rational and understanding: and I still believe that when you present your argument more nuanced and reasonable, even though less people hear it, more end up joining your cause.
Author John Michael Greer said that for you to make a reasonable living out of writing you have to end up with a large back catalog. This can take well over a decade to accumulate.

Mind you this coming for a fellow that has a very weird catalog of occult/spirituality, peak oil stuff and politics/economics things. But over 80+ books, there seems to be just enough residual income that it is working out for him. But as he said, there was a very long time where living on the poverty line was the only way through.
I'm talking about all aspects.

As an example: planes almost never crash. Which is great! So you could drop the requirement to carry life-vests, without compromising safety numbers.

(If you want, you can invest 50% of the cost savings into eg anti-malaria nets, and you'd come out way ahead in terms of lives saved.)

Similarly, airplane seats are massively over-engineered. You could loosen restrictions there, and save weight and thus costs.

I think Japan might already have different domestic regulations there. I remember being on a domestic flight between Kobe and Tokyo, and the seats in economy class used a lot of mesh over aluminium frame or so. They looked a lot lighter (and also more breathable) than your typical airplane seats. See https://photos.app.goo.gl/ZDWQTNMB93mQs5Yz5 for a picture that I took.

I also agree with vlack-vingaard, but they already gave some good examples.
So much of being an author these days is about marketing, I suspect publishers look at either your track record or your twitter followers before making decisions to sign you up or publish.

Unfortunately, with so many people publishing books these days, the chance of your work standing out of the crowd becomes effectively zero, and one bad initial review will stop a book sale dead even if totally unjustified, (we are in a five-star review or nothing culture).

I don't know what the solution to this is except persevere and if you don't succeed feel good in knowing you have a legacy.
I don't know; are many of these the beneficiaries of funding largesse, or is everyone rushing to create an 'AI powered dog washing startup' (to use someone else's colorful descriptor) in hopes of racking up users and then turning those numbers into some cold hard cash?

I don't think LLM progress/excitement/hype is going to slow down significantly. They're a breakthrough of the type that only comes along once a decade or two and leads to a phase change. What's happening in AI now resembles the social media landscape back in the early 2000s.
Probably true for SVB, but still useful for the banking system overall.
> what banks do eBay, Shopify, OfferUp, Facebook Marketplace, and Stripe use?

This is why depositors need to be made whole quickly. You don't want a situation where everyone has to ask what banks some company puts its money in.