skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
See, that's exactly the attitude that's prevailed for the past 6 years or so. And what I'm saying is that to me that's clearly a rationalization. It's something the finance bros tell themselves to explain why the stuff they like (dealmaking) is more important than the stuff they don't (making stuff people want).

Interestingly, we've been here before, in the hangover of the dot com boom. And what lifted us out of that mindset was... Y Combinator. Now? YC is maybe the biggest single part of the problem. Just go look at their funding list for the last 3-4 years and genuinely think on how many of those ideas really need the kind of funding you're imagining.
I used it for dozens of requests yesterday and that amounted to less than 7 cents. I used MacGPT for that.
I can only speak anecdotally and assume it's happening everywhere. I'm in the Midwest US. Banks themselves are building neighborhoods full of spec houses. Half of them go empty because they're overpriced. A bunch of developments have stopped before being completely finished, presumably because they can't put up for sale in that condition, but they still contribute to the bank's assets.

I can't say I understand the whole economics of it, but it's obvious something sketchy is happening.
This is another silly argument. Credit risk is only one of many risks in banking.

They bought a bunch of long dated stuff. The credit quality isn't the problem here, it's the sensitivity to interest rates rising. The value of those long dated bonds fell by $15 billion - almost equal to their total equity capital. It was 40% of their assets. On top of that, they had flighty deposits - not grandma with her $100k in the bank which is FDIC insured, startups with millions in the bank who knew they weren't insured. It was incredibly stupid to be so heavily weighted in long term bonds. As dumb as it gets in banking.

All major banks don't have the same problem. The vast majority of them had/have a portfolio of assets with a weighted average duration significantly shorter than SVB because they understood there was a risk of interest rates rising significantly from the extremely low levels they were at. And most banks have stickier deposits than SVB. So - all banks lost money on their long dated assets, but not the same % of their equity capital (because it's a lower % of their assets) and not with depositors who are likely to pull money fast.
Any bill passed by Congress which appropriates money is backed by Article I of the Constitution, and there is no legal way for the executive branch to pause that spending in favor of paying back bond holders. The 14th Amendment commitment to repay debt does not trump Article I powers of Congress.

This is the flip side of why “government shutdowns” happen: the executive branch can’t spend money if Congress does not appropriate it. The flip side is that the executive branch must spend money to execute laws that require spending money.

These articles are written solely to provide cover for political positions. The authors are essentially spending their credibility as a donation to politicians they support. It’s not a plausible way to read the Constitution as a whole.
I think you're agreeing. The "yet" implied a contrast.
>I'm pretty sure the vast majority of gun owners have never actually shot anyone. More common uses are: training, hunting, collecting, and plain old having fun shooting things.

You're confusing use with purpose as if to imply the utility of firearms as tools to commit violence is merely arbitrary, rather than specific to their design. Which is weird because your second sentence makes it clear you know otherwise.

Setting aside that hunting is physical combat, the purpose of guns is not to be collected, or to shoot inanimate targets. The founding fathers didn't create the Second Amendment to protect the right of the people to keep and bear arms against watermelons on stumps. Guns may have multiple uses, but their purpose is combat.
missed the point. It's the dude's website. Very well done too. Gave me the "conspiracy is afoot" feels. Sometime's you need a distraction from all the sky-falling news or the "we just achieved the impossible but no one can reproduce it" news.
I think the mistake you're making is implying that bad working conditions are inherent to a poor nation, and good working conditions are inherent to a rich nation, so the ends (good working conditions in the future) justify the means (bad working conditions now). Might it be possible that america becoming rich and america getting better working conditions were not causally related? It seems to me that better working conditions came out of labor organizing, rather than a natural result of wealth increase.
You can upvote the submissions you want to see higher.
Between covid, an attempted insurrection, proxy war with Russia and now this potential financial crisis, there's a new black swan event happening every ~12 months.
what incentive do they have to actually give out valid information about "their reasoning for shorting this stock?" they have a serious disincentive as a hedge fund to share their insight since someone else can now make the money that they would have made.
There is at least some evidence that levoamphetamine is more effective than dextroamphetamine for "hyperactivity and aggressiveness" associated with ADHD (https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamapsychiatry/article-abst...), and other studies that have found that it has less of certain side effects than dextroamphetamine (though more of others).

A more cynical explanation is that where levoamphetamine and dextroamphetamine alone were not patentable, a new combination of the two (as Adderall is) was patentable, making it more profitable to research.

ADHD is a collection of symptoms that differ enough across individuals that it's almost certain some patients genuinely do respond better to different combinations of drugs.
>The Fed knows that there is no real ongoing inflation.

Can you cite any metric showing there is "no real ongoing inflation"? CPI, PPI, PCE, and other less-commonly used metrics all indicate ongoing inflation. It would be interesting to understand how you've arrived at the conclusion there isn't ongoing inflation.

>The devaluation of the dollar already occurred and the new price has to propagate through the market.

The DXY has been uptrending for nearly a decade, even more rapidly so since mid-2021.
The blogosphere is still a thing, and it's still great.

I use Feedly on desktop, and as a back-end sync service for the many phone and tablet apps that integrate with it.
Not immune, but close. Hear it from the government themselves:

https://www.forbes.com/sites/kellyphillipserb/2020/09/14/irs...
Please look up how desalination works, you’re not dumping salt in the ocean. It is millions of gallons of brine. For every gallon of water produce, the waste is more than a gallon of brine. It would not be commercially viable as compared to say building a reservoir or not growing almonds and alpha alpha in the middle of the desert.
It's understandable that most people don't have the lived experience to realize that firearms are mostly for recreation. Most people live in high population density areas where firearms discharge is not allowed or feasible. But for most firearms uses the vast majority of use, and indeed the marketing by the companies that manufacture them, is about the recreational aspect, not shooting people or animals. There's certainly marketing and intent towards hunting but those are .308 rifles and larger calibres explicitly designed for it and they are not the majority of the market.

It's not the 1800s anymore.
It says it's made with ControlNet and Stable Diffusion. Probably SD'd "charcuterie board" over a drawing of the logo.
I’m going to imagine you mean ‘pawn’ instead of tool here. Otherwise it feels pretty harsh for a young girl who just cares about earth.
> the degradation that you see on sun-damaged clothing is mostly on the dye, not the underlying fabric itself.

UV light will absolutely wreck most things, including fabric. Fabric left outdoors unprotected for a summer in Southwest US will be brittle and tear apart when handled. Plastic that isn't UV-protected will crack in about two summers. Hoses left in the sun will develop multiple leaks in 3-5 years, pretty much no matter how robust the marketing claimed they are.
One of the biggest drawbacks of ChatGPT is that OpenAI knows everything that its users are doing with it. Every prompt and its answer are being logged. Hackers might breach OpenAI systems and leak its data.

If you're Rockstar that's working on GTA 7 then you'll propbably want to keep all the AI written mission scripts, story ideas, concept art and other stuff like that on your own servers.
> This is waaaaaaaaay too many words…

I agree, so I used ChatGPT to summarize this for us:

In the article "Climate Change Scenarios Have Lost Touch with Reality," written by Roger Pielke Jr. and Justin Ritchie and published in Issues in Science and Technology, the authors argue that the climate change scenarios used by policymakers and scientists have become disconnected from empirical reality. They suggest that this has led to an overreliance on untested and unrealistic assumptions, which in turn undermines the credibility of climate change projections and makes it more difficult to develop effective policies.

The authors note that climate change projections are typically based on a set of assumptions about future greenhouse gas emissions, which are then used to generate a range of potential climate outcomes. However, these assumptions often fail to account for a range of important factors, such as economic growth, technological innovation, and changes in land use patterns, which can have a significant impact on emissions and climate outcomes.

Pielke and Ritchie argue that policymakers and scientists need to take a more pragmatic and evidence-based approach to climate change projections, one that is grounded in real-world data and incorporates a wider range of factors. They suggest that this could involve developing more diverse and flexible scenarios that are better able to capture the complexity and uncertainty of the real world.

Overall, the authors stress the importance of ensuring that climate change policies are based on realistic and evidence-based projections, rather than relying on overly simplistic or unrealistic assumptions. They argue that this will require a fundamental rethinking of the way that climate change scenarios are developed and used, and a greater emphasis on collaboration and dialogue between policymakers, scientists, and other stakeholders.
Considering the extraordinary disruptions through Covid and Russia I would argue it is too early to make changes to fundamental trend predictions.
It seems to me Adderall is not even marketed in Europe. Can't find anything suggesting otherwise, but it's hard to find a source on something never happening.

Though I can tell you definitely at least that here in Norway, Adderall is not an approved drug(neither is dexedrine). The only approved amphetamine here is Vyvanse and its generic form Aduvanz.
Lol, so I used to work in the live events business. We would have to order and ship many PA speakers to various trailers when the equipment would break, generally to a hotel where one of the event staff was staying. We would tend to order from Amazon since the event staff wouldn't be in the same spot for long.

One of the times, we ordered a 500-watt Behringer PA speaker; these are around 2 feet tall. While sitting and eating dinner, my phone kept ringing repeatedly. I eventually picked it up only to have the event manager say "Hey, so I got the speaker...but upon opening the box it's full of dolls from the movie Frozen".

The box had all of the Behringer branding on the outside, was sealed, and had the styrofoam to protect the "speaker", but inside...all Elsa.

The strangest part was the Amazon rep didn't ask for the dolls back or even for proof; they simply reshipped the speaker the same day.
I entered the 3 US airports I use most frequently, and I was told to meet at an airforce base.
But it seems to do weird stuff like remove shadows off people's faces.

https://9to5mac.com/2023/01/06/mkbhd-post-processing-ruining...
"just" is doing a lot of heavy lifting.

ChatGPT needs a language model and a selection model. The language model is a predictive model that given a state generates tokens. For chatGPT it's a decoder model (meaning auto-regressive / causal transformer). The state for the language model is the fixed length window.

For a Markov chain, you need to define what "state" means. In the simplest case you have a unigram where each next token is completely independent of all previously seen tokens. You can have a bi-gram model, where the next state is dependent on the last token, or an n-gram model that uses the last N-1 tokens.

The problem with creating a markov chain with n-token state is that it simply doesn't generalize at all.

The chain may be missing states and can't produce a probability distribution. e.g. since we use a fixed window for the state, our training data can have a state like "AA" that transitions to B, thus the sentence is "AAB". The model however may keep producing stuff, thus we need to get the new state, which is "AB". If "AB" is out of the dataset, well... tough luck, you need to improvise on how to deal with this. Approaches exist but nowhere near as good of a performance as a basic RNN let alone LSTMs and transformers.
What fooled me was going from an entirely correct paragraph to one that... had words that were consistent with the topic but a lot of inaccuracies. I think we can treat it as a reverse Turing test. :) I knew I was probably wrong but it seemed like an interesting observation.

Modes other than major or minor are very common in modern non-jazz music. A lot of minor songs are actually Dorian (not all! a couple examples are Boulevard of Broken Dreams or Wicked Game) or in the case of metal Phrygian. A lot of major pop songs are Mixolydian (all those that sound like Hey Jude, for example Sweet Child O'Mine).

Also Lydian is quite common in soundtracks because it has a very "suspended" feeling (due to the lack of a dominant seventh chord that can resolve to the tonic), for example Yoda's theme and the Back to the Future theme are both Lydian. In the case of Yoda it then goes to major (I don't remember if it's a mode change or a modulation), while BTTF remains Lydian.

David Bennett has videos on YouTube with many examples of songs for each mode.
Not the poster you asked. But, a lesson we continue to ignore is that there are other options to tame inflation besides raising interest rates. The problem is the option isn’t politically expedient so Congress just raises its hands in mock exasperation and says well, it’s the Fed’s mandate to manage inflation.

Congress are cowards and won’t do what should be done - raise taxes. That is likely the fastest least painful long term solution to quickly climbing inflation

I say likely solution because at this point economies are so complex I’m not certain there are solutions without any butterfly effect consequences
Does anyone have a good feel for how likely it is that OpenAI might be running it at this price to get companies hooked, with plans to then raise the price later on once everyone is locked in?

I'm personally much more excited about the LLaMA + llama.cpp combo that finally brings GPT-3 class language models to personal hardware. I wrote about why I think that represents a "Stable Diffusion" moment for language models here: https://simonwillison.net/2023/Mar/11/llama/
It was written with TikTok in mind. It could be applied to Telegram just as well.
That chart would probably be more useful if expressed as the shortfall between assets and deposits. It's not really a huge issue if a bank with $1T in assets has a $1M shortfall but the regulators will sure a shit still close it down.
I’d wager it could cost anywhere between 1-10k to do that, which is a considerable amount of money. Might still be worth it though? If the alternative is mechanical turk, that would probably cost x1000-10000? Are there any ML alternatives that reliably produce useful results?
"To create a new repository using the GitHub API, your personal access token needs to have the repo scope or permission. This permission grants full control of private and public repositories, including the ability to create new repositories." You probably give the "repo" scope but it was phrased as just giving access to one repo.
I actually don't think that we will make significant advancements in reducing model size before we make significant advances in increasing available power and compute.

One reason is that the pressure is still on for models to be bigger and more power hungry, as many believe compute will continue to be the deciding factor in model performance for some time. It's not a coincidence that OpenAI's CEO, Sam Altman, also runs a fusion energy r&d company.
It’s not the one time meetings that are a problem. It’s a problem when it becomes a habit to fly super regularly, on a daily or weekly basis.
Picking climate friendly locations for a one off meeting has close to zero impact.
Kind of a waste, since I can't verify if this actually is a summary with confidence.
> Unfortunately, it takes years of consistent water to refill the underground stores.

What about filling the underground aquifers faster by digging a hole to connect a pipe to the aquifer then pressure-pumping water into it?
> dilute the release water

You can mix the brine into treated sewage.
Hah no.

Lots of people work for organisations they actively think are evil because it's the best gig going; plenty of other people find ways to justify how their particular organisation isn't evil despite all it does so they can avoid the pain of cognitive dissonance and keep getting paid.

My current approval of OpenAI is conditional, not certain. (I don't work there, and I at least hope I will be "team-think-carefully" rather than "team OpenAI can't possibly be wrong because I like them").
Most likely the same rule about replies too soon after the comment is posted, like any other comment.
How does one go about minimizing costs for certain situations?

For example if I share a db schema and then ask it to generate some sql, I need to share that entire db schema for every single question that follows, is that right?

Or is it possible for me to somehow pay and have it "retain" that schema knowledge for all subsequent queries without having to send the schema along with every single question?
For all you newcomers, the debt ceiling debate is something that happens every few years and is a waste of everyone's time. It's brinksmanship on the part of the Republicans and Democrats, but it won't ever happen. They start cutting services, etc, and conserve cash way before anything happens and magically they get a new deal. It's political theater.

Plus the US Treasury can unilaterally create a $1 trillion coin and increase the debt ceiling that way.

I have been completely ignoring this nonsense since 2 or 3 iterations ago, don't get too sucked into this.
I'll ask the obvious question, because I have no clue about this stuff. The early failures in 2008 seem to have been followed by a cascade of smaller failures. Is that going to happen again?
Chords2midi: Create MIDI files from numerical chord progressions
There is a thread on /g/ about running your own LLM chatbots with a lot of good info.
Almonds are a luxury crop, not a staple, so it shouldn't matter that they're profitable. Environmental concerns should take precedent over private profit.

Also, cows/alfa or almonds is a false dichotomy, so defending almonds by citing cows doesn't make sense. Almond farming in California should be banned and not replaced with more cows/alfa, since that would obviously defeat the point. The point is for Californian agriculture to use less water, not shuffle the water use around, least of all to other crops which aren't necessary to keep humans fed (e.g. staple crops, of which nether of these are.)
SVB is the second largest failure ever. Nobody really cares in finance circles if some tiny bank in Missouri with $5 million in assets fails, people certainly do about this
... which is one of the strongest arguments for being able to run a large language model on your own hardware instead! https://til.simonwillison.net/llms/llama-7b-m2
Two more followup articles from the same author that are good reads as well (along with a bit of well deserved gloating)...

https://seekingalpha.com/article/4586033-svb-financial-blew-...

https://seekingalpha.com/article/4586342-svb-financial-today...
It sounds like more effective predation against society to me. People more successfully exploited.
In what sense? Google has many revenue streams -- the year is 2023, not 1997. Just HAVING the number one search engine without ad revenues brings mind share, intelligence on trends, what people are searching for, advanced notice on possible disasters...the list is endless.
OK? Without water you'll die, so invest that energy and capital. Other places seem to manage it and the more desalination facilities that are built, the more likely it is that technological and process improvements can bring down the cost. An extremely obvious approach to the energy requirement would be to exploit tidal power, which conveniently comes from the same source as your product input.
Feeding the AI lots of porn is one way to fix broken fingers.
author describes it here: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35110528
In 93, I bought an 720x720dpi Epson inkjet over the 600dpi Canon model. That printer was amazing, but by 99, everyone had caught up. By 99, I had a 1200dpi Tektronix printer at work, and at home the inkjet claimed to do 1200x2400 but looked about the same as the old Epson. My latest printer (a Brother) claims to do 1200x4800, and it looks... maybe better than the old Epson. The one thing, the Brother is really fast compared to the older printers.
How many black swans make a flock? At this rate the unpredictable and rare events are becoming frequent enough to lose that status.
And you can with GP?
GPT is incredibly good at summarizing, it doesn't make stuff up in those cases
That's straight up not true, unless that "demo learning project" is feeding GPT the entire Bible or something.

I have a project that uses davinci-003 (not even the cheaper ChatGPT API) like crazy and I don't come close to paying more than $30-120/month. With the ChatGPT API, it'll be 10x less...
> The banks then borrow government money overnight to settle accounts.

Maybe that’s already implied in your description but they don’t need to borrow from anyone if they had enough reserves to start with.
Adderall was originally formulated and marketed as a diet drug. It had already been approved before it was rebranded and remarketed for ADHD, and the criteria for approving a new on-label use is significant but not as rigorous as approving a new drug.

Drugs that are still under a patent have a company with the incentive to go through the expensive approval process while generic drugs lack that. So a wacky mix of amphetamines designed as a diet drug that are still under patent have more corporate backing for that approval process than plain old generic dextroamphetamine, which has been around forever. There’s a similar story with the use of esketamine versus ketamine to treat depression.