skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
If you're a developer and you have Drupal or Joomla, then it's equal whether you choose yours or mine.

If you're an end user and you have Drupal or Joomla and the necessary custom plugins + theme, then it's also equal whether you choose yours or mine.

If you're an end user and you have Drupal or Joomla ONLY, and you don't want to employ a developer to create your custom plugins, then you choose mine.

Or at least, that is the aim.
Just thinking back…
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Tell HN: If there is one shocker on election night, it's Georgia.
"1,994,990 people voted early in Georgia. 3,301,875 total voted in Georgia's presidential race in 2004. Let that sink in."

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/11/on-road-atlanta-georgia.html
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Nate Silver is conducting a propaganda campaign on behalf of Obama. He is not even close to being an honest pollster.

See http://seanmalstrom.wordpress.com/ (long post, search for "silver" in the text)
I love reading; to the point that I avoid buying books when I am in middle of any important projects, just get too obsessive about it. In fact I remm as a teenager I used to have "reading marathons", would finish entire book in one go sitting on my window for 12-15 hours. I used to be a fiction guy and only recently have started to heavily dabble into non-fic also.

At the moment I am reading The Black Swan by Nasim Nicholas Taleb. In the fiction category I last read Haruka Murakami's (hope I spelled it right) After Dark.
Obama grassroots? I don't think you are using the term correctly. It doesn't just mean "has popular support".

Grassroots, as I understand it, is when the movement is not orchestrated, but just springs up around the politician. Ron Paul and Huckabee certainly qualify, but I don't see how Obama does.
Too late! I already early voted. Do all states have early voting or just some?
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FF3 user reported bug about SSL certificate warning
I am currently finishing Atlas Shrugged by Ayn Rand for the first time and it is has become my favorite book by far. I began reading it after someone referred it on here.

Next up is Crime and Punishment by Dostoyevsky.
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I am a fan of Orhan Pamuk. I love Snow, Istanbul and My name is red. I also read historical books. The latest one is The Last Mughal. In science ficton, I love Michael Crichton. Have read all books.
If this person's parents had more than the median income, they almost certainly paid enough in taxes to cover their child's education. They probably also paid for his/her health care.

The value provided by the government is merely the sum of all taxes paid - overhead/waste/corruption. Some people (the rich) get less back than they put in, some (the poor) get back more than they put in. So anyone who is sufficiently rich (1) has probably already repaid any debt they owed to society, and can legitimately secede.

(1) I ignore for the moment people who got rich from rent seeking, e.g. defense contractors, trial lawyers or members of public sector unions.
I'm guessing that the no-queueing is also due to the nice low-tech pencil-and-paper voting solution we have. I have no idea how many voting machines are at a typical US polling place, but I'm sure they can't serve nearly as many people in parallel as the Australian style little cardboard booths, where any decent-size polling place will have dozens of people voting in parallel. The bottleneck is at the place where they look up your name in a giant book (never a computer!) but I've never had to wait more than a few minutes there either.
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Correction appreciated!

I've grown very, very tired over the last 8 years at hearing people who didn't vote complain about the state of the country. Each of them had an opportunity to register their opinion and they chose not to. Listening to them complain after the fact is a waste of my time.
It's true, too bad technohipsters don't run this country (hint: their white haired parents do)
A radical idea: Charge people for your product
AirSharing + http://www.pdfsam.org/ makes an iPhone/Touch a pretty good lay-in-bed reading platform. I have SICP, Patterns of Software and other books split into chapters and I can read them a little at a time.
And now it is time to recommend an excellent book (though that book is now eleven years old and is probably becoming dated by the minute):

The Science of Jurassic Park and the Lost World, or How to Build a Dinosaur by Rob DeSalle and David Lindley

You don't need to have read or seen Jurassic Park to appreciate the book.

At the risk of providing spoilers: The book is, ultimately, a catalog of reasons why cloning dinosaurs is impossible. ;) The simplest reason is that genetic material is very fragile, but once you get beyond that there are many more entertaining reasons, ranging from the profound (fetal development is dependent on the mother's physiology as well as the child's genetic code -- you quite literally have a chicken-and-egg problem when you're trying to clone an extinct creature) to the surprisingly profound (If a live dinosaur walked outside, could he find anything to eat, given that so many of our modern plants evolved after dinosaurs were already extinct? If he did eat anything, would he be able to digest it without his intestinal flora, many of which are probably also extinct? Or would he simply be eaten by one of our modern predators, anything from an eagle to a bacterium?)
"Windows Vista has features to spy on the user, restrict use of data in the machine, and even attack the user (Microsoft can forcibly install changes in the system at any time)."

People take this guy seriously even after spewing idiocies like that? Sorry, Vista isn't 'attacking' me.
I just had a look at 538 and I'd defintely put my money with betfair or intrade. There is no accounting for things like the 'Bradley effect' or other highly correlated events on 538. I'm sure many bettors do use it as a resource but their judgement is likely to be a lot more subtle and incorporate more factors than the statistical analyses provided by the site. Kind of like the way that humans are still smarter than artificial intelligence (which is currently much like statistical techniques).

> If I was placing any bet

Well you should make a fair bit of money if 538 is accurate. Betfair has had 50K available right now for Obama at 1.08 implying a 92.5% chance which looks pretty good considering 538 says it is 98.1%. If you bet 50K you'd have a probabilistic profit of nearly 3 grand (50K * 1.08 * 98.1%). But when you actually went to put the cold hard cash down I'm sure you would have some second thoughts about 538's models. The whole point of betting markets is that talk is cheap.

> There's no empirical test of likeliness

Yes that is a problem. If betfair was (accurately) pricing in a 10% chance of a significant, accoss-the-board Bradley effect then there would be a 90% chance it would not occur and 538's results would look more accurate (across the electorates). However that 10% chance (if accurate) would be enough to make betting according to betfair's odds profitable vs 538's odds.

In general this is reflective of the 'Black Swan' problem of uncommon events such as a market crashes. Those that underestimate the risk can often make money for long periods of time by betting against it. But when the risk event strikes all those profits and more can be wiped out.
The first ~$80k of your income is exempt. As for the rest, the US Government's insistence that it controls you ANYWHERE on the planet is reprehensible.
What, you mean not everyone uses Chrome?
Cellular Automata ( http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cellular_automata )
Particularly rules 110 and 30
I think that voting should be compulsory, but with a 'none of the above' option.
That's the first I'd heard of any UK politicians trying to help Gary McKinnon. The whole situation is an absolute farce.. What Gary really needs is support on the US side, if anyone reading this would like to get involved please message me and I will help give you information from his family with how you can help. Cheers.
You are surprised probably because you either do not understand their position or do not believe they honestly hold that view.

Abortion opponents tend to believe unborn babies are living humans. This implies abortion is the murder of a baby. Hence, legalized abortion is enabling the murder of millions, i.e. genocide.

Is it really surprising that people consider genocide here in America to be a larger issue than the economy?

Note: I'm not going to argue this idea one way or the other, no one will change their mind. Just pointing out that if you understand the logic of abortion opponents, a fanatical opposition to abortion is quite understandable.
The Uses of Adversity
What a load of hype about nothing. All they are trying to do is fool the uneducated into thinking they have actually done something special. A very cheap marketing ploy.

They are the ones who specify which location geo-coded photos fall in to, so it is no surprise that when they over lay them on a map, they match the borders of the actual locations....
Hpricot is now faster than Nokogirl. I'd love to see this turn into the XML Parsing Wars.

http://hackety.org/2008/11/03/hpricotStrikesBack.html
I tried using Amazon's EC2 to run a Windows image. Probably due to the lag, it hasn't been as good as I thought, so I've switched back to running Windows on VMWare.
It's easier to prosecute a "hacker" and portray them as an evil terrorist, than to admit your 'security' absolutely sucks.
Political Sites Scale Up For Huge Election Traffic
True. Both effects might true. However the 2 don't cancel each other out probabilitisticly. Given that McCain is so far behind the mere possibility of a Bradley effect favours him. Let's say both effects are 50% likely to exist and would sway votes by enough to tip the election. Then the results would be

25% Bradley + No Cellphone = McCain wins
50% Bradley + Cellphone = Obama wins
25% No Bradley + Callphone = Obama wins

So in this example McCain now has a 25% chance. Of course this is an exagerated example but hopefully you get the point.
About as often as I vote
This is the same Microsoft business model and strategy that's been in use since the Windows product first got traction.

New and up-rated buzz phrases, same and repackaged and renamed and updated products and services. If you watch, most of the Microsofties will use the same gestures and techniques in the presentations, too.

The languages listed as "soon" would appear to be a freeze-the-market component of the classic competitive strategy, as are the barbs tossed at the competitors.

Almost certainly more technical and operations and licensing complexity and cross-version complexity, though the C-level usually discovers these costs after the deal is done. If at all.

Will it work? Sure. But you'll (still) be using Windows and Windows Networking, with all that entails.

But hey, they got you to look at Windows. Again.
Especially when you're carrying a kid!
Did you really write your whole server code in Erlang? Your intelligence scares me a little bit.

First off, can you elaborate on what these "social network" features are? There is a really popular poker FB application already, that seems to me to have "social network" features.

I think that there are a number of questions you should answer before you embark on this journey.

1. Why will your poker program be unique?

2. How will you achieve critical mass (what's your distribution channel/marketing)?

3. How will you stop your competitors from stealing your idea and implementing them with their existing user base?

------------------------------------

As for how I think you can make money? I think that you are a very intelligent person, much more than me, and you should leverage that to your advantage.

Here are two ways I think you can make a lot more money than just simply running a consumer product:

1. There are plenty of people trying to solve the multiplayer problem (my company for example) and we would love to buy some sort of license to custom code written to handle generic server requests. Then you can package your Poker software on top of that as a "demo". But if you go this route, you really need to redo your server in a more traditional language, Erlang is fun for show and tell, but not very practical for the masses.

2. If you are adamant on doing a poker related site with your stuff. I would recommend making a Ning for Poker Sites. There are so many poker sites out there right now that it doesn't make sense to try and compete with all of them. It does make sense to setup the backbone to run poker sites, take a cut of the money processing, and then let everyone else figure out how to market and distribute your stuff. There is currently no free poker software that is easy to skin and market, you can be the first, you can undercut everyone and be a millionaire by this time next year.
Are these lectures online somewhere?
If I were an american I'd vote. You guys need a change.
Check out LeechBlock Firefox plugin which allows to block sites that you know leech your time then lock the block down for a period of time (i.e. 1 week, 24 hours) so you can't get around it. Genius.

https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/search?q=leech+bloc...
IE 3? That's some dedicated testing.
We'll see how many surprises there are tonight. I expect that one way or another people will be in the streets when the election ends, either celebrating the victory or rioting in anger. Let's hope it's not the latter.
Most good fiction is written with some message. It's not "just a story", but an illustration of a thought, experience, or feeling.

To top it off, I read because it's fun. Why does everything have to have some Franklinesque color of self-improvement?
I like to call this cowboy development, and it works well for some of us. I'm not sure it's suited to all people or environments. I think most coders have developed an application this way and it worked well because they were ecited about it and there were no porcesses to slow them down.

If you're working on your own thing, or you have a client that trusts you, it can blow away other development methodologies. I hear about TDD and BDD, agile this, etc. all the time, but I bet most coders who build something on their own don't actually start with tests etc. I just think that those who do are very vocal about it.

One big issue though is usually documentation. Once you're done, you get the huge sense of accomplishment and it can be a drag to go back and add massive amounts of documentation to what you've just done (not comments, I mean a developer guide for the next guy).
I'm either crawling or racing through Infinite Jest at the moment. Comments on the book are withheld until I've both finished it and have had about a year to digest.

I'm also reading GEB, The Interpreter of Maladies, and Confederacy of Dunces, but, really, I'm reading IJ.
I love reading.

I usually read something to help me further my knowledge base, right now that means a lot of teamwork and business books. I usually read on the Kindle, highly recommended, it makes airplane travel a godsend.

My favorite book is definitely Ender's Game. The psychological twists and turns in that book (plus a very cool concept and game) makes it mesmerizing. Once I start it, I can never put it down until I finish.

I read about 2 books a month, all books are worth reading, everyone has something valuable to share. You just need to skim through the fluff.
Preferential voting probably won't work. I think the two-party system is a bit of a result of culture: we feel the need to shoehorn every political issue into an "us" vs. "them" debate.

Don't forget, however, that there have been third parties in the past that have been popular enough to carry states. Unfortunately, they are generally one-trick ponies that are only present in a single election.

Examples:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/U.S._presidential_election,_194...
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/U.S._presidential_election,_191...
Here in Tampa Bay, a local strip club magnate who keeps running for city council offered no-cover entry (A $35 dollar value!) for displaying an "I voted" sticker.
_The state of alaska didn't buy that land from canada, the United States federal government did and gave it to alaska_

Actually, they bought it from Russia (Canada didn't exist at that point). Alaska didn't immediately become a state either, it was administered by the federal gov't for nearly 100 years.
The Evil Pleasure
Adobe CEO accuses Microsoft of trying to muscle into the web video market
I sit on a ball, which is great for my posture, back and muscles.

Cost: $15

When I'm tired/lazy I sit on a chair from Staples that cost maybe $100 (birthday gift).

8 years in as a pro and with only a little proper training I have almost no problems with my wrist/neck etc.

Now where to spend $1485.
I am from Georgia, voted absentee from Shanghai. This is the 6th time I've voted for a president. Up to now, I've never picked a winner. I'm hoping this time will be different ;).

The turn-out numbers are amazing. If there is one lasting change from this election cycle, I hope it is that people get involved, vote, and stay on top of their elected officials; federal, state, and local.
FSF releases GFDL 1.3 - with Creative Commons Share-Alike conversion clause for wikis
Wow. How unexpected. A company criticising their main/only competitor.
I tried sitting on a ball but found my back muscles tire quickly. How do you avoid this?
Prakash, if you're reading this and can amend the title: "Joel Spolsky", not "Joels SPolsky".
I am beginning to think that I have a special friend on HN. Hello, whoever you are.
Nice job linking to the printer-friendly version. Seriously.
You keep saying "complexity". There's a reason I keep writing "K-complexity". The extra K-complexity comes from the extra bits needed to narrow down the results. The whole multiverse does have English-complexity (the conventional meaning of the word, not the measure of how many words it takes to describe something which would just be K-complexity again) greater than the part... but English-complexity is ill-defined.

Look at a word-processing document. A real one, sitting on your hard drive. The program to output all possible documents is very, very simple. The specification of how to get to the exact document you are looking it is the (compressed) size of the document itself. The English-complexity of "the set of all word processing documents" is high, but the K-complexity is low. The English-complexity of "one particular document" is low, but the K-complexity is quite high.

You might say, "Well, I simply tell you to simulate the multiverse, then hand you instructions on how to get to that document", but the instructions will be of a very non-trivial size. I think you intuitively see the instructions as very small, but they are actually huge. Starting with just "Simulate the multiverse" leaves me with, quite literally, a multiverse in hand. Now what? Now how do I find what you are talking about? I'm worse off than when I had nothing at all!

When you have a gigantic set, simply the act of indicating a member within it takes bits. K-complexity measures those bits. English-complexity says you're lowering the complexity. Neither is wrong... it's a definitional matter.
Cayman Islands GDP per capita is the 12th highest in the world. And has no direct taxation on individuals or companies. The Caymanians enjoy one of the highest outputs per capita and one of the highest standards of living in the world. From CIA world fact book.
we design to firefox and tell everyone that we do (niche audience: a med school). If something breaks it's usually in IE, which we take as a matter of pride, or Opera and I'm pretty sure we're the only ones who know what opera is
I used to call this cowboy development, but I think the term is unfair and draws an inaccurate parallel between this and a bunch of mediocre programmers hacking away without structure.

I made a point of not calling it agile either, because agile is actually very structured, not at all chaotic like this mode of development.

An important distinction with cowboy development is that you can do cowboy development with pretty much any programmers, but most programmers are not capable of this mode of development. It requires a very open and sharp mind (ability to discover and absorb new technologies at a very rapid pace and to embrace evolving requirements without always bitching about how requirements aren't stable).

I struggle to find a name for it, though.
I don't just read books; I wallow in them. I remember well the acute pain of not knowing how to read and the relief when my mother taught me. I was five, and I just haven't stopped reading since. I'll be 38 in a couple of months.

I'm reading Wise Blood by Flannery O'Connor, because O'Connor is wicked and funny. Favorite book? As others have pointed out, this is a ridiculous question -- my favorite kind! Some books I love: Lolita, As I Lay Dying, The Ghost Writer, Goodbye, Columbus, Blood Meridian, Anna Karenina, Where I'm Calling From, Huck Finn, Dubliners and on and on. I read mostly literary novels, but I read fairly widely -- genre stuff (skiffy, crime), history, philosophy, pop science, whatever's good. I average around 1 book per week, but I read in jags and sometimes go a couple of weeks without reading anything but blogs and news.

I'm sure there are any number of studies that will show the benefit of reading, but I much prefer to classify books with whiskey and cigarettes. How do you measure the utility of whiskey and cigarettes? I like the Romantic idea that books are bad for you. You know, the kind of thing that destroyed Emma Bovary and robbed Señor Quixote of his sanity. Maybe I just need to manufacture a vice. I don't like cigarettes, and a beer (and a book) after the kids are in bed is about all I can handle these days.
Steve Jones: The mathematics behind US election
They've got enough inertia to keep going for quite a long time, but they're not a market leader in any of their core businesses. There's better email and search elsewhere. They've got lots of information there, but none of their news, sports, finance, etc. are the best online. Yahoo Answers is the only "really awesome thing" off the top of my head that Yahoo does. Combine with high overhead and they're not in good shape. Not dead, but certainly unhappy.
Questioning Voting: Technology and Democracy
A- He's not polling, he aggregates publicized polls
B- He doesn't claim that he's not biased in his commentary.
C- His numbers come from polls alone. While he could potentially skew through manipulating an algorithm, his results to date have shown that he's done much better than the pundits.
But the markets (and fivethirtyeight projections) exist for every state. Together they're a decent dataset, though still a bit light.

I, too, am very interested in comparing betting (prediction) markets versus poll-based probabilistic forecasts. I wrote more about this here:

http://blog.mercury-rac.com/2008/11/03/election-tuesday-what...
Why not just make a link to the article? I can't wait for tomorrow.
I was in college for the last two elections. If I walked all the way across campus on election day, I'd only see maybe a couple other people wearing "I voted today" stickers. I'm not there today to compare, but at least based on Facebook activity it seems like the turnout is going to be WAY bigger.